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12 additional human cases of avian influenza A(H7N

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arirish View Drop Down
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    Posted: June 09 2017 at 6:42am





CHP notified of human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) in Mainland

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      The Centre for Health Protection (CHP) of the Department of Health today (June 9) is monitoring a notification from the National Health and Family Planning Commission that 12 additional human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) were recorded from June 2 to 8, and strongly urged the public to maintain strict personal, food and environmental hygiene both locally and during travel.

      The eight male and four female patients, aged from 4 to 68, had onset from May 20 to June 3. Three of them are from Beijing, two each from Anhui, Chongqing and Henan, and one each from Jiangsu, Shaanxi and Shandong. Two cases reported in Beijing were likely infected in Hebei and Shanxi while the case reported in Shaanxi was likely infected in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Among them, nine were known to have exposure to poultry, poultry markets or mobile stalls.

http://www.chp.gov.hk/en/
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 09 2017 at 10:32am
So it's in Mongolia now. And still spreading well outside of the flu season.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 09 2017 at 9:58pm
For the last few reports it seem the numbers have been in single digits so a report with double digits might not be a good sign (but it could just be statistical noise as 12 is not much different from 9)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 3:44am
Remember how much H5N1 scared us all? It never got to the point where it could keep up this kind of momentum, even during the flu season.


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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 3:17pm
seriously

H7N9 avian influenza: 12 more cases reported in China

Outbreak News Today-16 hours ago
The Chinese National Health and Family Planning Commission announced an additional 12 human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) from ...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 3:18pm
Originally posted by jacksdad jacksdad wrote:

Remember how much H5N1 scared us all? It never got to the point where it could up this kind of momentum, even during the flu season.



its very close to being a human flu - just 1 more genetic change
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 8:15pm
Increase reported in H7N9 avian flu cases in China

In its weekly report, Hong Kong's Centre for Health Protection (CHP) today confirmed 12 H7N9 avian flu cases reported from China's mainland from Jun 2 through Jun 8. The previous 2 weeks saw 8 and 9 cases reported, respectively, so the update reflects a small uptick.

Nine of the 12 cases had known exposure to poultry, and one patient was listed as a 4-year-old. That case is notable because H7N9 infections in children are uncommon. Eight men and four women contracted the virus, and their ages range from 4 to 68 years. The patients reported symptom onset from May 20 to Jun 3.

Three of the cases are from Beijing, and officials said they were likely imported from other provinces. A new case from Shaanxi province was likely imported from Inner Mongolia province, the second case such case in Shaanxi in the last 2 weeks.

There were two cases each reported in Anhui, Chongqing and Henan, and one each from Jiangsu and Shandong.

The CHP said the new cases warrant a call for strict personal hygiene for travelers to China's mainland. Travelers to the mainland or other affected areas have been told to avoid visiting live-poultry markets or farms.

"They should be alert to the presence of backyard poultry when visiting relatives and friends," the CHP report said. "They should strictly observe personal and hand hygiene when visiting any place with live poultry."
Poultry die-off in Mongolia

In other H7N9 news, Avian Flu Diary, an infectious disease tracking blog, posted a translated report from the Chinese Ministry of Agriculture, which described a large poultry die-off in Inner Mongolia province, which reported its first poultry outbreak just a few weeks ago.

Of almost 60,000 laying hens, more than 35,000 died, the report said. A national reference lab confirmed H7N9 yesterday, and the large number of poultry deaths suggests that the virus is highly pathogenic. At least three human cases of H7N9 have been traced back to Inner Mongolia province in June.

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/06/increase-reported-h7n9-avian-flu-cases-china
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 8:59pm
2 cases a day in June? And a 4 year old?

And it looks like the Guangdong strain has made it's way to Mongolia. It's on the move, but how far will this strain manage to travel?

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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 11 2017 at 10:19am
Despite reports being spoon fed out of China that it's slowing, apparently that's not the case.  Spreading at this rate during the summer months is a fairly ominous sign.   

This next winter could get interesting.  Efficient limited human to human transmission, well, could equal a slow moving pandemic as the best case scenario in 6 months.  

An h7n9 pandemic seems fairly likely.  I always thought the next pandemic flu would be a sudden mutant strain emerging, and a mix of two, although one single strain evolving may be the case with this super bug soon.  

Let's hope it's only going to be a slow-spreader.   Maybe something similar to SARS with regard to global transmission.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Eight Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 12 2017 at 7:19am
The out-of-season spread is concerning to me as well. I suppose it really comes down to whether it spreads seasonally or not in domestic poultry and wild water fowl. I'd assume so, but I must admit I haven't seen this confirmed in the literature.

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