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Ebola reaching Nigeria’s largest city scary

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arirish View Drop Down
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    Posted: July 29 2014 at 8:34am
Why Ebola reaching Nigeria’s largest city is a whole new level of scary

Since it claimed its first victims in Guinea last March, the Ebola virus epidemic has killed 660 people in three countries and infected nearly 1,100—more lethal than any other outbreak in the virus’s nearly 40-year history.


But last week’s developments could transform this outbreak from an unusually nasty regional epidemic to something much bigger. On Jul. 24, Nigerian authorities confirmed that a Liberian man, Patrick Sawyer, had collapsed in Lagos after flying there from the Liberian capital, Monrovia, and tested positive for Ebola; Sawyer died on the night of July 24-25.

This is alarming. So far, Ebola has been confined to Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia—war-torn and largely rural west African countries. But Lagos is different; not only is it Africa’s biggest city, with 21 million people. It’s also one of the world’s most densely populated. And perhaps scariest of all, it’s a center for international travel—meaning that if it’s not contained, the virus could easily go global. Sawyer’s was the first-ever recorded case of Ebola in Nigeria, according to the Nigerian Tribune.


So far, the Nigerian government’s efforts to contain it inspire little confidence. The World Health Organization says that Sawyer, who worked for the Liberian finance ministry, turned himself in to Nigerian health authorities after he began vomiting and having diarrhea in the middle of the three-hour flight from Monrovia to Lagos. Nigeria’s health minister says authorities are currently trying to track down an unspecified number of the 100 or so other passengers on the flight.

This might be tricky. The 35 Nigerian co-passengers took flight once word got out that the health ministry was supposed to have quarantined them, prompting the federal government to launch a manhunt to track them down, reports Sunday Newswatch, a Nigerian newspaper, citing a federal security agent. The government has only now begun screening passengers arriving from foreign countries for the virus, according to the Tribune.

One of the problems for airport screeners is that the first signs of Ebola, which is thought to be spread by bats, are a jumble of flu-like symptoms (e.g. headache, fever and stomach pain). “Unfortunately the initial signs of Ebola imitate other diseases, like malaria or typhoid,” Dr. Lance Plyler of the aid organization Samaritan’s Purse told the Associated Press.

Those symptoms soon become more noticeable, giving way to vomiting and diarrhea. Within a week, the sickened often begin bleeding from mucus membranes, particularly from the intestines. Victims die when internal organs begin shutting down; Ebola typically kills nine-tenths of those infected.

Causing its victims to spew mucus and blood helps Ebola enter the mucus membranes or cuts of its next host. It’s devastatingly good at this. Though medical workers are usually swaddled in biohazard gear, it’s still infected some 100 health workers. So far, 50 have died, including a prominent doctor.

Given that deadly efficiency, the fact that at least 35 people who might have been exposed are at large in Lagos—to say nothing of the other passengers arriving from infected areas of West Africa—is disquieting as well. Confined by geography, the built-up areas of metropolitan Lagos now have more than 20,000 people per square kilometer (53,000 per square mile)—about the same urban density as Dhaka or Mumbai. It has among the highest prevalence rates of open defecation of all major African cities, as well as some of Africa’s lousiest healthcare infrastructure

http://qz.com/241241/why-ebola-reaching-the-nigerian-capital-is-a-whole-new-level-of-scary/
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 29 2014 at 8:51am
^Thanks, A!  This is an amazing story unfolding for us on AFT, and potentially much more profound than either H7N9 or MERS!  

The implications of cases attempting to hide from authorities to avoid quarantine are terrifying.  This thing could just explode in Lagos and across Africa, to points unknown.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 29 2014 at 10:58am
Good points. Even if Ebola stayed put on Africa but decimated human and animal life there, does anyone see how that would present the rest of the world with a rather "profound" problem? In my opinion the race should be on finding a cure -as well as containment. And it should be a world wide effort. Big Pharma is big for a reason and now its time they pay some dues.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote arirish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 29 2014 at 11:50am
Chuck- One of the biggest problems seems to be ignorance! Check this out!

Nigerian pastor declares cure for Ebola

A pastor in Nigeria has claimed that people need not fear the Ebola outbreak that has claimed the lives of nearly 700 people in west Africa this year, because he has the cure.

Pastor Ituah Ighodalo, the founder of Trinity House, has claimed he has a "message of hope and faith" which would shed light on a cure for the disease which has infected over 1 200 Africans this year, mostly in the past two months.

Nigeria was dragged into the crisis last week when a Liberian man died in a Lagos hospital after travelling there with the disease. Local news reports that the Nigerian government is urgently trying to track down 59 people who came into contact with Patrick Sawyer who was 40 years old.

Read: The signs that someone has Ebola

Pastor Ighodalo claims that all that is needed to cure those suffering from the disease is "anointing" and the "living words of Jesus." In particular, the Pastor advocates the laying on of hands. He believes that by touching the sick, he could rid them of the disease.

The inspiration for his claims come from the legacy of John G. Lake, a Canadian-American minister who lead missionaries in South Africa in the early 20th century. Lake reputedly dealt with an outbreak of bubonic plague simply by touching the affected.

This is now the worst outbreak of Ebola ever. The disease kills up to 90% of those who are infected with it.

The claims have prompted outrage in Nigeria with many calling for the pastor to take down the post and accusing him of dangerous misinformation.

The controversy lies in the fact that touching infected individuals is the main way through which Ebola spreads. Ebola is not transmitted through the air, like Influenza, but through the bodily fluids of infected people. Given that Ebola brings with it a strong fever, sufferers sweat profusely, and thus touching them would put the healer at severe risk of catching the disease.

Read: SA healthworkers on the lookout

The priority for governments and aid agencies in affected countries is currently on controlling the spread of the disease. Actions like those of Pastor Ighodalo are already likely to attract legal rebuke in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia and should the situation in Nigeria worsen, it's possible that the Pastor and his Church would face similar attention.

Read the full post below:

"I just saw this and I think will help many believers.

Solution to Ebola!

Several years ago, Ebola virus erupted in Africa, killing thousands without restrain or cure. The medical world was perplexed. A great man of God by the name John G Lake came to the rescue. Laying hands on infected people who were not to be touched. The slightest contact with any secretion from an infected person is all it t
akes for transmission. But with bare hands, cleaning secretion and curing every victim, John G Lake along with his Holy Ghost filled team, brought to an abrupt end the spread of the deadly virus. When asked by the medical world how he did it. He had this to say: I have the life of God in me, every virus that comes in contact with me dies. He asked them to get an innoculum from an infected person, observe same under a microscope to ascertain viral activities in it. They did and confirmed living and multiplying virus. He then asked them to put the innoculum on his palm and observe under the microscope. This time there were no more activities. ALL WERE DEAD upon contact with him. What a life! Every child of God has this life! He that has the Son has this life! That higher life that put out Ebola in the days of John G Lake will do the same through you in your day! At the Name of Jesus, Ebola will bow out! Stop the fear!

Let this message of hope and faith go viral and the Ebola viral spread will stop! Don't disdain the ever living words of Jesus: And these signs shall follow them that believe, in my Name, they shall cast out devils, they shall speak with new tongues, they shall take up serpents, and if they drink any deadly thing (Ebola virus included) it shall not hurt them, they shall lay hand on the sick (those already infected) and they shall recover - Mark 16:15-18.
John G Lake and team are long gone! But I am here, you are here! We can save our world!
We have the life of God in us!
Spread the faith!
Stop the fear!
Spread the life!
Stop the death!
Yes you can!
The world belongs to you!
Cause you belong to Jesus!
Halleluyah!"


http://www.health24.com/Medical/infectious-diseases/Ebola/Nigerian-pastor-declares-cure-for-Ebola-20140729
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 29 2014 at 12:03pm
Zaire strain Ebola can kill up to 90% of it's victims, with an average CFR of 83% over the last 27 years, but this outbreak has a 60% CFR (660 dead out of 1100 identified cases).
Improvements in diagnosis and patient care, a change in the virus - what's different about this outbreak?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Suzi Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 03 2014 at 12:26pm
Sawyer was admitted to the hospital on the 20th. It's been 13 days since people on the airplane were exposed. If there are new cases they should be showing up soon.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 03 2014 at 1:04pm
Some would have already presented. We all know we're coming down with something well before it is obvious. In some cases it takes only hours from exposure to begin to feel it. I have been keeping track of the days as well. Good point.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 03 2014 at 2:32pm
Originally posted by jacksdad jacksdad wrote:

Zaire strain Ebola can kill up to 90% of it's victims, with an average CFR of 83% over the last 27 years, but this outbreak has a 60% CFR (660 dead out of 1100 identified cases).
Improvements in diagnosis and patient care, a change in the virus - what's different about this outbreak?

JD, I still think that there is a ton of case activity in the bush, undetected by the authorities.  Witch doctors peddle their "cures," and ill relatives are kept at homes until they expire, at which time they are buried out of the public's notice.  Some cases probably survive due to luck/good genetics, which perpetuates the myth that the witch medicine has value.  

The cases being treated by folks like Doctors Without Borders probably have a better survival rate than the ones in the bush - hydration with saline solution, fever control etc. seems to help a great deal.  

My gut feel is that this thing is still just winding up.  If it spreads beyond the present involved states of Guinea, Sierra Leone & Liberia, we have big troubles.  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 03 2014 at 3:18pm
Yep - and the problem of hidden cases will only get worse if uniforms get involved. That will only drive the problem even further underground.
"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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