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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

ECDC-WISO week 3

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: ECDC-WISO week 3
    Posted: January 24 2014 at 7:15am
http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications/Publications/influenza-surveillance-overview-24-jan-2014.pdf

For week 3/2014: 
• Of the 29 reporting countries, four (Bulgaria, Greece, Portugal and Spain) reported medium-intensity 
influenza and Portugal, Spain and the UK (England) reported geographically widespread activity. 
• Of 1 401 sentinel specimens tested across 27 countries, 447 (32%) were positive for influenza virus. 
• Dominant viruses were reported by Bulgaria, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, the UK (Scotland) 
(A(H1)pdm09 virus) and Slovenia (A(H3)). 
• Since week 40/2013, France and Spain have reported 33 fatal cases related to influenza virus infection, 19 
(58%) of them being infected with influenza A(H1)pdm09 virus. 
A growing number of countries are reporting an increasing proportion of specimens testing positive for 
influenza virus. Increasing numbers of hospitalised laboratory-confirmed and fatal influenza cases have been 
reported in the last few weeks. 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Joined: May 01 2013
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 24 2014 at 7:23am
http://pf11.blogspot.nl/2013/09/emergent-h7n9-homology-in-fatal-human.html

Again; H1N1 and H7N9 may have "mixed":

On 2013-09-25, the Rospotrebnadzor of Moscow, Russia released a set of human pH1N1 sequences without age or gender at GISAID, including 6 Fatal cases. The Neuraminidase segments were not released.

One HA segment sampled in late January 2013 from Astrakhan [map], near the Caspian Sea, [EPI471830] strongly suggests Emergent H7N9 involvement.   This Astrakhan H7N9-related viral Hemagglutinin displays a standardEmergent H7N9 amino at 179V on a pH1N1 Clade2:188T background.  The HA 179V is Novel to pH1N1 after more than 4 years of pH1N1 circulation in humans.  HA 89G, found in the H7N9 reservoir, is co-located on this same pH1N1 sequence.  Polymorphisms at two antigenic amino positions practically adjacent, HA 129Q and HA 131L, provide grist for the Host-Transition mill. 

Contemporary sequences from Spain carry homology as well as an unusual change adjacent to these odd aa129 andaa131 positions from the Russian Federation:
  • HA 477M SpainCatalonia5925S_29F_2013_02_05
  • HA 132S  SpainMurcia164_80F_2013_01_30_s
Furthermore, SpainMurcia164_80F_2013_01_30_s, an In-Patient case, is on a cross-clade background (HA 188T &189T) and features a polymorphism at aa89 (HA 89N)

HA 219T, also seen in the H7N9 reservoir, is demonstrated in Kazan [map], [EPI471827].
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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