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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic; Now tracking the Aussie Flu.

Flu Widespread in U.S. 2017-2018

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 14 2018 at 1:59am
http://www.thebigwobble.org/2018/01/100-years-ago-spanish-flu-infected-500.html Australian flu A-H3N2 becoming deadly in the UK. 

Worldwide the picture is mixed although A-H3N2 seems to be widespread (and could become a pandemic). A-H1N1 and B-virus is also widespread. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Penham View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Penham Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 14 2018 at 12:12pm
I live in Oklahoma and so far have had one adult friend that has had the flu she was older 55, one client with the flu which was a kid, but co-workers several have had kids sick with the flu. I went to get a routine pap/well woman check the other day and walked in to the waiting room and there were 6 people with masks on. My anxiety level went up immediately, I could tell at least 2 were really sick, the others may have been trying not to get sick?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 15 2018 at 9:51am
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/u-s-national-news/1918-medical-experts-the-worst-flu-season-in-history

Medical experts in the United States are worried that this year's flu season could be the worst in US History as 46 states already report Flu outbreaks. This year's main flu strain, the influenza A virus, known as H3N2, is worse than the swine flu in 2009. 
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To put it in perspective, back when the swine flu was making headlines it infected just 51,000 people in Australia. This year's H3N2 sickened over 215,000 and the illness has hit our shores. 

Reported cases in some states, like Arizona, are up more than 758 percent over this time last year, and the CDC reports the flu is in widespread conditions in 46 states, including California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New York and Virginia, as of Dec. 30, 2017. To make matters worse, the flu vaccine is not proving to be very effective against this year's main strain, because of a virus mutation. In Australia it has been effective in only 10 percent of cases, reports The New England Journal of Medicine. The vaccine now being administered to Americans uses the same formulation.

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With news mounting of this season's flu being a particularly virulent one — evidenced by overcrowded emergency rooms and an uptick in related deaths across the country — it's eerily ironic that this year marks the 100th anniversary of the 1918 global influenza pandemic. Also known as the Spanish flu, the worldwide outbreak infected an estimated 500 million people, nearly a third of the planet's population then, and killed between 50 million and 100 million victims. More than 25 percent of the U.S. population was sickened, and about 675,000 Americans died. 

While no public health officials are declaring the current flu to be a pandemic, this strain is historically more difficult to fight than others. Australia, for instance, just came through its flu season, reporting record-high numbers of cases of the same H3N2 virus and higher-than-average numbers of hospitalizations and deaths.

The United States is experiencing a similarly "early and robust start to this flu season," said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, part of the National Institutes of Health. "It has all the markings of being a severe season."

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Satori View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Satori Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 16 2018 at 11:27pm

This flu epidemic did something never recorded before

https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/01/15/stories-from-a-nation-full-of-flu-sufferers/


why I often find it difficult to  impossible to believe anything the CDC says on anything

"And according to USA Today, the CDC estimates that influenza has caused 9 million to 35 million illnesses, 140,000 to 710,000 hospitalizations and 12,000 to 56,000 deaths in the United States each year since 2010. In many cases, hospitalizations and deaths do not show up in official reports, for a variety of reasons — including the fact that most people with flu are never tested for it and that states are not required to report adult flu deaths."


which is it?

9 million or 35 million?

140 thousand or 700 thousand ?


essentially USELESS statistics

inexcusable

get your act together

“The point of modern propaganda isn’t only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.” Gary Kasparov
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 17 2018 at 12:23am
Satori,

When more than 35 million people in one year in the US get the flu, more than 710.000 people end up in hospital, more than 56.000 people die-it is an above "normal" flu season. Statistics give big variations. 

With statistics you can follow large scale developments-go beyond individual stories. 

To get a first picture of any problems you need statistics to get priorities. And-yes-statistics can give a wrong picture, statistics can be misused. Flu-mixing with pneunomia may give double counting.
(To make things even more complicated-is there a link between climate change and active flu-seasons ? Or is the connection more age-related-you need statistics-to see what age-group is effected, set up vaccination campains to maybe even close schools for a week.)

But basicly-statistics like those you mention are essential to get an oversight of the problem!
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 20 2018 at 6:39am
The flu is now everywhere in the U.S. and widespread. Children are dying as well as adults. Those who die and are over 65 are not even reported.

The geographic spread of influenza in Puerto Rico and 49 states was reported as widespread; Guam reported regional activity; the District of Columbia and one state reported local activity; and the U.S. Virgin Islands reported sporadic activity.

The H3N2 virus strain, which is known to cause more hospitalizations and more deaths, is the dominant strain this season so far, Brammer said.

Medclinician


"not if but when" the original Medclinician
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