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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

INDIA: Chicken death spreads (latest news

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Issue Date: Sunday, February 19, 2006

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    Posted: February 19 2006 at 11:10am
1,400 chicken deaths in UP create panic


- By Our Special Correspondent

Lucknow, Feb. 19: The death of 1,400 chickens in a poultry farm,
apparently due to the the bird flu virus, in Etawah district of Uttar
Pradesh, has made the UP government press the panic button. A team of
veterinary experts was rushed to the poultry farm to seize samples of the
dead birds and assess the reasons for the deaths.

"The chicken deaths were reported at a poultry farm owned by one Sanjay
Dubey in Bakewar. The deaths began taking place on Wednesday and
nearly 400 chicken died on Saturday alone. We have taken blood samples
of the birds and the same has been sent to the animal disease laboratory,
which will confirm whether the bird flu virus is the cause of the deaths. It
will take three or four days before the reports are received. We are not
taking any chances since this has happened at a time when the bird flu
virus has been confirmed in Maharashtra," said Dr O.P. Katiyar, chief
veterinary officer of the district.

The animal husbandry department has also set up quick response teams
in all districts to check outbreak and spread of the deadly virus. The
teams have been instructed to inform the state headquarters if mass
deaths of poultry are reported in any part of the state. Incidentally, Mr
Sanjay Dubey, the owner of the poultry farm in Etawah, did not bother to
inform the authorities.


http://www.asianage.com/main.asp?
layout=2&cat1=5&cat2=38&newsid=209602&RF=DefaultMain


Utter Pradesh web site

http://www.upgov.nic.in/







Edited by Rick
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Initial reports came from area colored in brown. Newest bird deaths
are highlighted on map above. The province is in Northern India the
province of Uttar Pradesh.



Edited by Rick
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Andra Pradesh is one of the largest producers of chickens in India, and
produces around 30% of India's supply. It has not reported anything, but
lies next the area where the original Indian outbreaki was reported.



THE TIMES OF INDIA-Sunday, February 19, 2006

HYDERABAD: Andhra Pradesh, the leading producer of poultry products in
the country, is on high alert after the deadly H5N1 strain of the bird flu
virus surfaced in Maharashtra but authorities maintained there was no
immediate threat

"We had sent 200 samples last year but found no traces of the virus," he
said.

The samples were collected from hatcheries, poultry farms and bird
sanctuaries and sent to the High Security Animal Disease Laboratory in
Bhopal. "

"The samples were also sent from bird sanctuaries as migratory birds
land there in large numbers," L Mohan, state animal husbandry director
said.

Priyadarshi Dash, Principal Secretary (animal husbandry) said the state
had been following a set of guidelines from the central government for
the past few months. "We will be collecting more samples," he said.

The state has the largest poultry industry in India accounting for Rs 27
billion. It produces about 40 million eggs a day, the highest in the
country.


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/msid-1420368, curpg-1.cms

Edited by Rick
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Delhi sounds bird flu alert
Sunday, February 19, 2006 09:01:59

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/1420563.cms
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DNA MUMBAI -Monday, February 20, 2006 00:01 IST

"Dealers are surprised over the bird flu happening in Maharashtra. “We
were expecting the bird flu in some states close to Pakistan as the
country had reported bird flu cases last year. This came as a surprise,”
said a poultry dealer in the city.

Naik, however, said there was no need for worry. “We carry out
precautionary exercises in the firms every day,” he said.

Expertspeak

A Pune-based ornithologist has said there was little possibility of
migratory birds coming from northern countries being carriers of the
Avian Flu virus.

“So far there is no evidence to link the migratory birds with the outbreak
of bird flu in Dhule-Nandurbar, as far as we know,” said Taej Mundkur, an
ornithologist and a member of scientific task force on ‘Wild Birds and
Avian Influenza’, set up by United Nations.

“Migratory birds land in India much early — that is, in September-
October. So, if at all they had carried the virus, it would have been noticed
much earlier.”

“Theoretically, however, all species of birds” can carry the virus
responsible for bird flu.

He said there were various ways in which the virus could spread, but most
commonly it carried through poultry-droppings.

Until now movement of poultry and poultry products had been found to
be the most common cause of the virus spreading across the world.

“Illegal trafficking of pet or exotic birds is also one of the ways the virus
can travel across,” he said.

Another reason could be illegally made sub-standard
vaccines, which, instead of immunising, may infect the birds."


http://
dnaindia.com/report.asp?NewsID=1013869

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Do's and Don'ts -

Good article just published by the Telegraph in Calcutta:

Dos and don’ts on the disease

The World Health Organisation answers frequently asked questions on bird flu.

What is avian influenza?

Avian influenza, or bird flu, is a contagious disease of animals caused by viruses that normally infect birds and, less commonly, pigs. Avian influenza viruses are highly species-specific, but have, on rare occasions, crossed the species barrier to infect humans.

What is special about the current outbreak in poultry?

The current outbreaks, which began in Southeast Asia in mid-2003, are the largest and most severe on record. Never before have so many countries been simultaneously affected, resulting in the loss of so many birds.

What are the implications for human health?

The widespread persistence of the H5N1 virus in poultry populations poses two main risks for human health.

First is the risk of direct infection when the virus passes from poultry to humans, resulting in very severe disease. Of the few avian influenza viruses that have infected humans, H5N1 has caused the largest number of cases of severe disease and death.

More than half of those infected have died. Most cases have occurred in previously healthy children and young adults.

The disease caused by H5N1 follows an unusually aggressive clinical course, with rapid deterioration and high fatality. Primary viral pneumonia and multi-organ failure are common.

The second risk, of greater concern, is that the virus — if given enough opportunities — will change into a highly infectious form for humans that spreads easily from person to person. This could mark the start of a pandemic.

Where have human cases occurred?

In the current outbreak, laboratory-confirmed human cases have occurred in Cambodia, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam.

How do people become infected?

Direct contact with infected poultry or surfaces and objects contaminated by their faeces is considered the main route. To date, most human cases have occurred in rural or peri-urban areas where households keep small poultry flocks that roam freely, sometimes entering homes or sharing outdoor play areas with children.

As infected birds shed large quantities of virus in their faeces, risk of exposure to infected droppings or to environments contaminated by the virus are abundant.

Exposure is considered most likely during slaughter, defeathering, butchering and preparation of poultry for cooking.

Is it safe to eat poultry and poultry products?

Yes, though certain precautions should be followed in countries currently experiencing outbreaks. In areas free of the disease, poultry and poultry products can be cooked and eaten (following good hygienic practices and proper cooking) with no fear of infection.

In areas experiencing outbreaks, poultry and poultry products can be safely consumed provided these are properly cooked and handled carefully.

The H5N1 virus is sensitive to heat. Normal temperatures used for cooking (70 degree Celsius in all parts of the food) will kill the virus.

Consumers need to be sure that all parts of the poultry are fully cooked (no pink parts) and that eggs, too, are properly cooked (no runny yolks).

Juices from raw poultry and poultry products should never be allowed to touch or mix with items eaten raw as a precaution against cross-contamination.

Persons involved in cooking should wash their hands thoroughly and clean and disinfect surfaces in contact with poultry products with soap and hot water.

In areas experiencing outbreaks, raw eggs should not be used in food that will not be heat-treated like baking.

There is no evidence of anyone getting infected following the consumption of properly cooked poultry or its products, even when these foods were contaminated with the H5N1 virus.

Does the virus spread easily from birds to humans?

No. Although more than 100 human cases have occurred in the current outbreak, this is a small number compared to the huge number of birds affected and the numerous associated opportunities for human exposure, especially in areas where backyard flocks are common.

What about the pandemic risk?

A pandemic can start when three conditions have been met: a new influenza virus subtype emerges; it infects humans, causing serious illness; and it spreads easily and sustainably among humans. The H5N1 virus amply meets the first two conditions: it is a new virus for humans and it has infected more than 100.

Only the third condition has not been met: the establishment of efficient and sustained human-to-human transmission of the virus.

How serious is the current pandemic risk?

The risk of a pandemic influenza is serious. With the H5N1 virus now firmly entrenched in large parts of Asia, the risk that more human cases will occur will persist.

Why are pandemics such dreaded events?

Once international spread begins, pandemics are considered unstoppable, as they are caused by a virus that spreads rapidly by a cough or a sneeze. The fact that infected people can shed virus before symptoms appear adds to the risk.

The severity of a disease and the number of deaths caused by a pandemic virus vary greatly, and cannot be known prior to the emergence of the virus. Under the best circumstances, assuming the new virus causes mild disease, the world could still experience an estimated 2 million to 7.4 million deaths (projected from data obtained during the 1957 pandemic).

What are the most important warning signals that a pandemic is about to start?

The most important warning signal comes when clusters of patients with clinical symptoms of influenza, closely related in time and place, are detected, as this suggests human-to-human transmission. The detection of cases in health workers caring for H5N1 patients would also suggest the same.

What is the status of vaccine development and production?

Vaccines are produced each year for seasonal influenza but will not protect against pandemic influenza.

Although a vaccine against the H5N1 virus is under development in several countries, no vaccine is ready for commercial production and no vaccine is expected to be widely available until several months after the start of a pandemic.

What are the drugs available for treatment?

Two drugs (in the neuraminidase inhibitors class), oseltamivir (commercially known as Tamiflu) and zanamivir (commercially known as Relenza) can reduce the severity and duration of illness caused by seasonal influenza.

The efficacy of the neuraminidase inhibitors depends, among others, on their early administration (within 48 hours after symptom onset).

For cases of human infection, the drugs may improve prospects of survival if administered early, but clinical data are limited.

The H5N1 virus is expected to be susceptible to the neuraminidase inhibitors. Antiviral resistance to neuraminidase inhibitors has been clinically negligible so far but is likely to be detected during widespread use during a pandemic.

An older class of antiviral drugs, the M2 inhibitors, amantadine and rimantadine, could be used against pandemic influenza, but resistance to these drugs can develop rapidly and significantly limit their effectiveness.

Some currently circulating H5N1 strains are fully resistant to the M2 inhibitors. However, should a new virus emerge through reassortment, the M2 inhibitors might be effective. For the neuraminidase inhibitors, the main constraints — which are substantial —involve limited production capacity and a price that is prohibitively high for many countries.

At the present manufacturing capacity, it will take a decade to produce enough oseltamivir to treat 20 per cent of the world’s population.

Since influenza is often complicated by secondary bacterial infection of the lungs, antibiotics could be life-saving in the case of late-onset pneumonia.

Is the world adequately prepared?

No. Despite an advance warning that has lasted almost two years, the world is ill-prepared.

WHO has urged all countries to develop preparedness plans, but only around 40 have done so. WHO has further urged the countries with adequate resources to stockpile antiviral drugs nationally for use at the start of a pandemic.

Source: World Healt

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2006 at 2:08pm

Bhopal, Feb. 19:
The Telegraph Calcutta (excerpt)

"Thousands of samples kept pouring into the Bhopal-based High Security
Animal Disease Laboratory (HSADL) from across the country, spreading
concern among residents of the city where memories of the gas tragedy
are still raw.

The presence of the lab, the only one in Asia equipped to deal with bird
flu, close to the dense population is keeping many on tenterhooks. When
the 135-acre lab was set up three decades ago, it was away from the
population zone. But the city grew over the years and residential
complexes came up near the facility."




http://www.telegraphindia.com/1060220/asp/nation/story_58699 55.asp
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2006 at 2:23pm


http://www.indianexpress.com/full_story.php?content_id=88281
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Points: 89 Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cosmicpixie Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2006 at 3:32pm

Hello doug,

could you put that article from the Telegraph on a thread by itself please? I reckon it merits it's own string as s a very sensible,serious-toned piece and personally I'd like to save it to a file folder so i can email it to friends.I can't do that currently as would have to email all the other posts over too .

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2006 at 4:24pm

Rick,

It's now a new topic. OK?

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