By MONICA RHOR, Associated Press Writer
Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Hurricane Norbert... |
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Posted: September 01 2008 at 9:12pm |
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NOAA
Category Two Hurricane Hurricane NORBERT Public Advisory AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
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FOLLOWING POSTS ARE THIS YEAR'S PREVIOUS HURRICANES ........................................................................................ PREVIOUS HURRICANES OF 2008...... future weather ......................... |
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At the bottom right up there is
Josephine just coming into view |
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H2HPrep
Valued Member Joined: March 14 2008 Status: Offline Points: 325 |
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Hanna and her brothers and sisters.
Maybe the southeast drought is over!
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It rained all summer here in the east, I had to buy an elec power washer to disapear the moss on my deck. Almost too cold to swim.
Hanna not well formed here...
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This is an interesting site on storm surge...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/storm_surge.shtml |
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UPDATE .http://www.srh.weather.gov/mob/productview.shtml?pil=NHCTWDAT&version=0NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 PM EDT TUE SEP 02 2008 excerpt... TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV IS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 93.9W AT 02/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 30 NM NORTH OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA MOVING N-NW NEAR 7 KT. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 19 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB. ISOLATED SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS THE N/CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO N OF 28N BETWEEN GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI AND PORT ARTHUR TEXAS THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS IN THE NRN GULF ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES NORTHWARD AND A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF BY THU. TROPICAL STORM HANNA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 72.4W AT 03/0000 UTC OR ABOUT 55 NM SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE SERN BAHAMAS AND ABOUT 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY AND MOVE HANNA OVER THE SE BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TOMORROW. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. HANNA IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE N/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO AND THE SW ATLC WATERS FROM 15N-24N BETWEEN 65W-77W. HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SE BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WHERE THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING MUDSLIDES AND FLASH FLOODING. TROPICAL STORM IKE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.2N 46.3W AT 02/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 895 NM EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING W AT 15 KT. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. IKE IS STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT WILL MOVE WEST IN TANDEM WITH THE CYCLONE. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IKE HAS AMPLE OUTFLOW AND A COMPACT...WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE IS CENTERED NEAR 13.7N 25.9W AT 02/2100 UTC OR ABOUT 105 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING W-NW AT 12 KT. THIS GENERAL W-NW MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. A LARGE AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE IS ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC AND WILL STEER JOSEPHINE TO PASS SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND OVER THE WARM OPEN WATERS OF THE ERN TROPICAL ATLC ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND JOSEPHINE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SATELLITE IMAGERY REMAINS IMPRESSIVE WITH WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW THIS EVENING. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 24W-28W WITH OUTER RAINBANDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE WRN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. |
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HANNA AND IKE... THURS SEPT, 4 2008 2am
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 800 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008 ...HANNA PASSING NEAR THE BAHAMAS... AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWESTWARD TO NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWESTWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...455 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 760 MILES...1220 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...24.1 N...73.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB |
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check above for more info..
IKE.... sept. 4, 2008........5am 144 miles per hr....
So far a ..........................Catagory 4
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HANNA
(downgraded to Tropical Storm)
Source- For more complete information
As of 11 p.m. EDT September 4 (0300 UTC September 5), Tropical Storm Hanna is located within 30 nautical miles of 26.5�N 76.3�W, about 50 mi (80 km) east of Great Abaco Island and about 540 mi (870 km) south of Wilmington, North Carolina. Maximum sustained winds are 55 knots (65 mph, 100 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 987 mbar (hPa; 29.15 InHg), and the system is moving northwest at 12 kt (14 mph, 22 km/h).
Hanna is a large storm; tropical storm-force winds extend out up to 315 mi (510 km) from the center of Hanna. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches (50 to 75 mm) are expected in the northern Bahamas and along the U.S. East Coast from Georgia to New England, with isolated amounts to 5 inches (125 mm) possible. Storm surge levels of 2 to 4 feet (0.6 to 1.2 m) are possible to the east of the landfall point on the Carolina coast. Watches and warnings
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Hurricane watch
United States: the North Carolina and South Carolina coasts from Edisto Beach, SC northward to Currituck Beach Light, NC, including Pamlico Sound
Tropical storm warning
Tropical storm watch
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NOAA.GOV
5-day track Category 4 hurricane
HURRICANE IKE
As of 11 p.m. AST September 4 (0300 UTC September 5), Hurricane Ike is located within 15 nautical miles of 23.6°N 59.5°W, about 475 mi (760 km) north-northeast of the Leeward Islands and about 755 mi (1215 km) east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. Maximum sustained winds are 115 knots (135 mph, 215 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 945 mbar (hPa; 27.91 InHg), and the system is moving west at 12 kt (14 mph, 22 km/h).
Hurricane-force winds extend out up to 35 mi (55 km) from the center of Ike, and tropical storm-force winds extend out up to 115 mi (185 km) from the center of Ike. Source- For More Complete Information
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Tropical Storm Hanna
Winds 70 mi per hr
Tropical Storm Hanna is close to a Category 1 hurricane status. It is spinning just east of the central Florida coast producing squalls of heavy rain, tropical storm-force gusts, and the occasional tornado from Florida to North Carolina. Category 3 Hurricane Ike needs to be monitored closely though in the Bahamas to southern Florida for possible impacts Sunday Night into Tuesday. Josephine, a tropical storm in the eastern Atlantic remains a fairly weak tropical storm and is no threat to land. Hurricane Ike
Category 3 hurricane
The show of possible strengthening did not last long. By the morning of September 5, northerly wind shear began to erode the northern part of the system and the cloud tops around the eye began to warm once more.
The structure of the eye became less prominent by a microwave satellite showed that the inner structure of Ike was not deteriorating or beginning to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle.[23] A later pass made by the satellite found that the northern eye wall had eroded and most of the convection was in the southern semi-circle of the storm. This indicated that Ike was continuing to weaken as it remained in a hostile environment.[
As of 11 a.m. AST (1500 UTC) September 5, Hurricane Ike is located within 15 nautical miles of 23.2°N 62.7°W, about 425 mi (685 km) north of the Leeward Islands and about 550 mi (885 km) east-northeast of the Grand Turk Island. Maximum sustained winds are 105 knots (120 mph, 195 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 954 mbar (hPa; 28.17 InHg), and the system is moving west at 14 kt (16 mph, 26 km/h). Hurricane-force winds extend out up to 35 mi (55 km) from the center of Ike, and tropical storm-force winds extend out up to 105 mi (165 km) from the center. |
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HANNAH
currently 50 miles per hour.
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Tropical storm Josephine has dissipated.
On September 5, the combination of wind shear, dry air, and cooling waters caused Josephine to weaken into a tropical depression. Josephine deteriorated into a remnant low the next morning as it continued to dissipate over the open waters of the eastern Atlantic.
source-
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HANNA...LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA...AND ON HURRICANE IKE...LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOSEPHINE...LOCATED ABOUT 855 MILES WEST OF THE CAPER VERDE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
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HURRICANE IKE NOW A CATEGORY 4
Current storm information
As of 5 p.m. AST (2100 UTC) September 6,
Hurricane Ike is located within 15 nautical miles of 21.4°N 69.7°W, about 90 mi (145 km) east of Grand Turk Island.
Maximum sustained winds are 115 knots (135 mph, 215 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 949 mbar (hPa; 28.03 InHg), and the system is moving west-southwest at 13 kt (15 mph, 24 km/h).
Hurricane-force winds extend out up to 45 mi (75 km) from the center of Ike, and tropical storm-force winds extend out up to 140 mi (220 km) from the center.
Storm surge levels of 13 to 18 feet (3.9 to 5.5 m) are expected in the warning areas north of Ike. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200 mm), with isolated amounts up to 12 inches (300 mm), are expected in the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos.
Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches (150 to 300 mm), are expected in eastern Cuba and Hispaniola, with isolated peak amounts as high as 20 inches (500 mm) possible.
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HURRICANE IKE
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/vis-l.jpg |
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HURRICANE IKE
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HURRICANE IKE (115 knots) 130 miles per hour may weaken over CUBA then regain speed...
From NOAA.GOV
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2008 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IKE HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE LAST PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 949 MB AT 1100 UTC WHICH WAS VERY SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FIXES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 115 KT. A RECENT SSMI OVERPASS INDICATES THAT AN OUTER RAINBAND COULD BE FORMING AN OUTER EYEWALL. HOWEVER... EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES...INCLUDING THEIR IMPACTS ON INTENSITY...ARE VERY DIFFICULT TO ANTICIPATE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS...EITHER UP OR DOWN...IN INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. ONCE INLAND...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BUT THE DEGREE OF
WEAKENING DEPENDS ON HOW LONG THE CENTER REMAINS INLAND. THELATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS IKE INLAND FOR APPROXIMATELY 36
HOURS SO SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS SHOWN. HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL DEVIATION FROM THE FORECAST TRACK COULD RESULT IN THE CENTER OF IKE MOVING BACK OVER WATER SOONER. IKE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 2 DAYS. SINCE THE WATERS OVER
THE GULF ARE WARM AND THE SHEAR IS NOT FORECAST TO BE HIGH... RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. IKE IS BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SOUTHWESTWARD OVER FLORIDA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 265/13. IKE SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. IN 2-3 DAYS...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING SOME WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE AND A REDUCTION IKE'S FORWARD SPEED. MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST THE TROUGH TO BYPASS THE CYCLONE RESULTING IN A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. ONLY THE HWRF MODEL SHOWS
ENOUGH OF A WEAKNESS MATERIALIZING TO TURN IKE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. WHILE THIS SOLUTION IS POSSIBLE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS MORE TOWARD THE REMAINING DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHICH AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS ARE CURRENTLY BEING FLOWN BY THE NOAA G-IV...AND THIS DATA...ALONG WITH SPECIAL SOUNDINGS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES...ARE PROVIDING ENHANCED DATA INTO THE DYNAMICAL MODELS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 21.0N 73.4W 115 KT 12HR VT 08/0000Z 20.9N 75.2W 120 KT 24HR VT 08/1200Z 21.4N 77.6W 85 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 09/0000Z 22.2N 79.9W 70 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 09/1200Z 23.0N 81.8W 65 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 10/1200Z 24.5N 85.0W 70 KT 96HR VT 11/1200Z 26.0N 87.5W 85 KT 120HR VT 12/1200Z 27.0N 90.5W 100 KT $$ FORECASTER RHOME http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/071431.shtml |
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YOU WILL LIKE THIS SITE...
The map is interactive...click all over it and see what it offers.
.................................................................................................................................
As of 11 a.m. AST (1500 UTC) September 7, Hurricane Ike is located within 15 nautical miles of 21.0°N 73.4°W, about 15 mi (30 km) west-southwest of Great Inagua Island and about 130 mi (205 km) east-northeast of Guantanamo, Cuba. Maximum sustained winds are 115 knots (130 mph, 215 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 949 mbar (hPa; 28.02 InHg), and the system is moving west at 11 kt (13 mph, 20 km/h).
Hurricane-force winds extend out up to 60 mi (95 km) from the center of Ike, and tropical storm-force winds extend out up to 145 mi (230 km) from the center. Storm surge levels of 13 to 18 feet (3.9 to 5.5 m) are expected in the warning areas north of Ike. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200 mm), with isolated amounts up to 12 inches (300 mm), are expected in the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches (150 to 300 mm), are expected in eastern Cuba and Hispaniola, with isolated peak amounts as high as 20 inches (500 mm) possible. Watches and warningsAs of 11 a.m. AST (1500 UTC) September 7, the following warnings and watches are in effect:
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HURRICANE IKE SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 7 ..... NOAA.GOV
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1119 AM EDT SUN SEP 7 2008 ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS... ...HURRICANE IKE IS MOVING THROUGH THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... AT 1100 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 585 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TODAY AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER CENTRAL CUBA LATE MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES EASTERN CUBA. IKE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA ON MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 949 MB...28.02 INCHES. GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-081530- /O.CAN.KKEY.HU.S.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KKEY.HU.A.0001.080907T1519Z-000000T0000Z/ FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 1119 AM EDT SUN SEP 7 2008 ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED WARNINGS/WATCH SECTION TO INSERT HURRICANE WATCH. UPDATED 11 AM POSITION FOR HURRICANE IKE. UPDATED PREPAREDNESS SECTION TO INCLUDE TRANSPORTATION INFORMATION. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OF THE WATCH AREA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AS OF 800 AM...MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS. ANYONE NEEDING TO FIND INFORMATION ON AVAILABLE HOTELS IN FLORIDA MAY CALL THE FLORIDA ASSISTANCE HOT LINE AT 1-800-287-8598. GENERAL MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDERS FOR FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS HAS BEEN INVOKED TODAY IN THREE PHASES... BEGINNING WITH ALL LOWER KEYS
RESIDENTS INCLUDING THE CITY OF KEY WEST AT 8 AM... MIDDLE KEYS
RESIDENTS INCLUDING MARATHON AND KEY COLONY BEACH BEGINNING AT NOON... AND FINALLY THE UPPER KEYS RESIDENTS...INCLUDING ISLAMORADA
AND OCEAN REEF AT 4 PM. T HE EVACUATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY...BEFORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE. THE OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
UNIVERSITY...JUST OFF THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE AT U.S. ROUTE 41... TAMIAMI TRAIL...IN MIAMI WILL OPEN AT 8 AM THIS MORNING...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW PETS. AS OF 800 AM...THE CITY OF KEY WEST WILL OPERATE AN EVACUATION SHUTTLE...FOR RESIDENTS WHO LACK THEIR OWN MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION. THIS SHUTTLE WILL TAKE RESIDENTS TO THE MONROE COUNTY SHELTER IN
MIAMI. PICK-UP LOCATIONS IN KEY WEST WILL BE AS FOLLOWS.. .DOUGLASS
GYM IN BAHAMA VILLAGE...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...SEARSTOWN ON NORTHSIDE DRIVE...AND BERNSTEIN PARK ON STOCK ISLAND. THE SHUTTLES WILL ALSO PICKUP RESIDENTS AT NORMAL BUS STOP LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS UP THROUGH MARATHON. GREYHOUND OPERATIONS WILL CONTINUE A REGULAR BUS SCHEDULE WITH DEPARTURES AT 545 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND THE LAST DEPARTURE SCHEDULED AT 855 AM MONDAY. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS WILL REMAIN OPEN FOR ALL COMMERCIAL FLIGHTS TODAY...BUT THE LAST COMMERCIAL FLIGHT WILL BE AT 705 PM. OTHERWISE...GENERAL AVIATION WILL REMAIN OPEN UNTIL NOON MONDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 69 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 21 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 16 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 41 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... AS OF 800 AM...SNAKE CREEK AND OLD JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES ARE LOCKED DOWN. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 15 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. $$ FLZ076>078-081530- /O.CAN.KKEY.HU.S.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KKEY.HU.A.1009.080907T1519Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1119 AM EDT SUN SEP 7 2008 ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED WARNINGS/WATCH SECTION TO INSERT HURRICANE WATCH. UPDATED 11 AM POSITION FOR HURRICANE IKE. UPDATED PREPAREDNESS SECTION TO INCLUDE TRANSPORTATION INFORMATION. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OF THE WATCH AREA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AS OF 800 AM...MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS. ANYONE NEEDING TO FIND INFORMATION ON AVAILABLE HOTELS IN FLORIDA MAY CALL THE FLORIDA ASSISTANCE HOT LINE AT 1-800-287-8598. GENERAL MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDERS FOR FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS HAS BEEN INVOKED TODAY IN THREE PHASES...BEGINNING WITH ALL LOWER KEYS RESIDENTS INCLUDING THE CITY OF KEY WEST AT 8 AM...MIDDLE KEYS RESIDENTS INCLUDING MARATHON AND KEY COLONY BEACH BEGINNING AT NOON...AND FINALLY THE UPPER KEYS RESIDENTS...INCLUDING ISLAMORADA AND OCEAN REEF AT 4 PM. THE EVACUATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...BEFORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE. THE OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY...JUST OFF THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE AT U.S. ROUTE 41... TAMIAMI TRAIL...IN MIAMI WILL OPEN AT 8 AM THIS MORNING...BUT WILL NOT ALLOW PETS. AS OF 800 AM...THE CITY OF KEY WEST WILL OPERATE AN EVACUATION SHUTTLE...FOR RESIDENTS WHO LACK THEIR OWN MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION. THIS SHUTTLE WILL TAKE RESIDENTS TO THE MONROE COUNTY SHELTER IN MIAMI. PICK-UP LOCATIONS IN KEY WEST WILL BE AS FOLLOWS...DOUGLASS GYM IN BAHAMA VILLAGE...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...SEARSTOWN ON NORTHSIDE DRIVE...AND BERNSTEIN PARK ON STOCK ISLAND. THE SHUTTLES WILL ALSO PICKUP RESIDENTS AT NORMAL BUS STOP LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS UP THROUGH MARATHON. GREYHOUND OPERATIONS WILL CONTINUE A REGULAR BUS SCHEDULE WITH DEPARTURES AT 545 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND THE LAST DEPARTURE SCHEDULED AT 855 AM MONDAY. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY. THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS WILL REMAIN OPEN FOR ALL COMMERCIAL FLIGHTS TODAY...BUT THE LAST COMMERCIAL FLIGHT WILL BE AT 705 PM. OTHERWISE...GENERAL AVIATION WILL REMAIN OPEN UNTIL NOON MONDAY. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR ALL ROAD TRAVEL THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. WINDS MAY BECOME UNSAFE FOR TRAVEL MONDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 18 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 13 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... AS OF 800 AM...SNAKE CREEK AND OLD JEWFISH CREEK DRAWBRIDGES ARE LOCKED DOWN. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 15 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. $$ APA |
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HURRICANE IKE HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 |
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Some determinants point to Hurricane IKE possibly making landfall east or west of Galveston Texas. Ike's current wind speed is 100 mph http://www.stormpulse.com/fullscreen/hurricane-ike-2008 |
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Energy Firms Prepare for IkeBy ISABEL
ORDONEZ
September 9, 2008 With Hurricane Ike on the horizon, energy companies in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico are bringing employees onshore again and preparing to halt production just days after they began restaffing following Hurricane Gustav. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122088186183509943.html?mod=yahoo_hs&ru=yahoo |
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HURRICANE IKE currently 75 mies per hour The map below is interactive...click over it and see what it offers. |
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HURRICANE IKE Current winds at 85 mph ...................................................................... HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 |
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Evacuations begin in Texas ahead of Hurricane IkeBy MONICA RHOR, Associated Press Writer excerpt-
HOUSTON - The frail and elderly were put aboard buses Wednesday and authorities warned 1 million others to flee inland as Hurricane Ike steamed toward a swath of the Texas coast that includes the nation's largest concentration of refineries and chemical plants.
story-
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HURRICANE IKE
Was a Category 2 at 8pm
winds at 100 mph
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HURRICANE IKE
Read
FORECASTER FRANKLIN in full at
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 700 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 Excerpt-
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE... AND IT COULD INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM. AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT WILL BE INCREASING ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST AS IKE APPROACHES. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...25.3 N...88.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
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HURRICANE IKE CATEGORY 2 FROM- FORECASTER AVILA HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 45A AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...585 |
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***IKE *** |
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PREDICTION IS...
IKE may become a CATEGORY 3 Hurricane by landfall.
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HURRICANE IKE INFO HERE... http://www.accuweather.com/news-top-headline.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&date=2008-09-13_00:10 |
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HURRICANE IKE
From NOAA FORECASTER STEWART HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 |
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Jim Cantore says ... "The sad part is the number that stayed." He says that only 40% left Galveston Island. ( on MSNBC later heard that 40% elected to stay...) VIDEO http://www.weather.com/multimedia/videoplayer.html?clip=328&from=news_top_video |
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Asked to describe the city’s damage, Mr. Varela assessed it as a 10 on a scale of 1 to 10.
Huge Storm Slams Into Coast of Texas
By JAMES C. McKINLEY Jr. and IAN URBINA
Published: September 12, 2008 HOUSTON — Hurricane Ike made landfall at Galveston, Tex., early Saturday as it threatened to devastate it and other towns along the Gulf of Mexico with a wall of seawater 20 feet high.
Read here-
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September 12th, 2008 Posted: 11:01 PM ET
(CNN) — One person died Friday after drowning in the water off the coast of Corpus Christi, Texas, as Hurricane Ike approached, authorities said. Read here http://cnnwire.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/12/19-year-old-dead-in-texas/ |
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HURRICANE IKE VIDEOS
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Ike destroys oil facilities, damages pipelinesAt least 10 affected after preliminary survey, damage worse than Gustav
updated 6:00 p.m. ET, Sun., Sept. 14, 2008
Reade here... photos also....
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Well that should make gas prices go up. ???? is how much and for how long?
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Long time lurker since day one to Member.
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Look at GAS Prices here..
.
Prices here have not gone up much. Anywhere from 3.54 to 3.87
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