Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Ukraine-Swine Flu Mutation? |
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Mary008
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WHO said it was swine flu... that was earlier... tested in two areas of the outbreak... most likely Swine Flu.
And now 12 hours ago... London Labs confirm 15 ..... testd Swine Flu.
London lab confirms 15 swine flu cases in Ukraine, says health ... - [ Translate this page ]
5 Ð½Ð¾Ñ 2009 ... London lab confirms 15 swine flu cases in Ukraine, says health ministry. 13:43. Fifteen cases of H1N1 virus have been confirmed in Ukraine, ... www.interfax.com.ua/eng/main/23872/ - 12 hours ago
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Mary008
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Elver
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Med posted earlier in this thread that it is hemorragic. I only read this thread thru page 4, but wanted to keep this thought alive.
Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast All the six dead young people had symptoms of severe hemmorhagic pneumonia. The disease starts slowly, with temperature rising to 37.2 – 37.3 degrees, slight cough and pain in joints. Nasal catarrh developed at the end of the second or third day. Autopsy revealed that the lungs were soaked with blood, the oblast chief specialist said. http://zik.com.ua/en/news/2009/10/29/202374____________________________________________________________
Also read:
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"Joseph Moshe was a Mossad Agent specialized in biological warfare who called into a radio show to warn people about a biological weapn that was being made by Baxter international that would be spread through vaccine and would cause a plague upon it's release."
More:
"Moshe claimed that Baxter's laboratory in the Ukraine out of all places was creating this biological weapon. All of this came out in the beginning of August, which is more than 2 months before the situation that is currently unfolding."
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Death toll still rising in Ukraine's flu outbreak
http://www.earthtimes.org/arti... Kiev - The death toll in Ukraine's flu outbreak continued to rise on Thursday. A total of 95 persons have died from flu-related symptoms since the disease struck Ukraine's western provinces late last month, said Zinovy Mytnik, vice health minister, in comments reported by the Interfax news agency. A total of 633,877 Ukrainians nationwide have registered with health authorities as suffering from the flu, though some have recovered since the disease's late October outbreak, Mytnik said. Ukraine's Ministry of Health on Wednesday gave a total of currently infected at some 470,000. The particularly virulent A/H1N1 flu strain, or swine flu, was likely responsible for a significant proportion of the infections, based on laboratory testing thus far, Mytnik said, speaking at a Kiev press conference. [snip] Tymoshenko's government has attempted to control the flu outbreak with the imposition of a partial quarantine of eight western provinces most badly hit by the disease, a military-style mobilization of state-owned fabric and clothes factories to mass-produce protective masks, and limits to allowable public gatherings. In the midst of a campaign for Ukraine's presidency, Tymoshenko has, since the beginning of the flu outbreak, repeatedly attacked the private health industry, accusing drug manufacturers of inflating prices artificially and pharmacists of hoarding medical supplies. A government consumer protection agency in Lviv, one of the worst-hit cities in the flu outbreak, on Thursday filed a class-action suit against local health officials, accusing them of conspiring with private health suppliers to price-gouge consumers of medical supplies, the Unian news service reported. |
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Long time lurker since day one to Member.
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coyote
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ROSBALT.RU: South Ossetian brought "swine flu" back from Ukraine
www.rosbalt.ru... Ukrainian flu kills a businessman in Russia (Penza oblast) briansk.ru... |
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Loribearme
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if its the plague then tamiflu is a waste of money and time..these people need antibiotics.
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waenderer
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they do have antio- biotics in Ukraine.....
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Albert
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A 50% increase in two days. The infection rate is still doubling every 3 - 4 days. 30% of Ukraine will most likely fall ill over the next 14 days. All of Europe within 30 days. Then the U.S. Right around the first of the year, or maybe sooner, 30% - 40% of the U.S could also fall sick? It is what it is I'm afraid.
I would suggest people in high risk groups get the h1n1 vax asap over the next 30 days, or it may not be possible. It's too bad the vaccination campaigns didn't work considering what's heading our way in just over a month. No vaccine means this will most likely be more severe than a Cat. 1 pandemic, but just a guess.
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Glow
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momasaurus7
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I just read several articles on another site while looking for current news on the outbreak that they have just declared martial law there. There was also an article talking about the spraying of some aerosol type substances over areas just days before the outbreak. Since I have never been to the sites before I cannot say whether or not they are creditable. I pray with a whole heart that what I read at the other site was nonsense, cause if any of it's true...we're screwed. I would appreciate if anyone who knows more could help clear up the information. thanks. Oh these articles were dated Nov 6. 2009. |
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We must always fear the wicked. But there is another kind of evil that we must fear the most, and that is the indifference of good men.
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coyote
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04.11.2009 19:00
Press office of President Victor Yushchenko President's address to the Ukrainian people on the occasion of flu epidemic in Ukraine Dear fellow citizens! I address you in performance of my constitutional duty under the Article 106 of the Basic Law of the state. The reason is the emergency epidemic situation in the country. Infections of viral origin, including the A/H1N1 flu, are rapidly spreading across Ukraine. The emergency is evident in the scale of the epidemic: the speed and the geography of its spreading, rapid progress of the illness and the exceptional number of deaths. People are dying. The epidemic is killing doctors. This is absolutely unprecedented and inconceivable in the XXI century. All the limits have been exceeded - even those under the Constitution that determine my actions as the President. Therefore I am motivated by the most important: the security of your life and your health. Therefore I give clear and frank assessment of the situation. And you should know that. We have special risk factors that aggravate the epidemic in Ukraine. The conclusions of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, my numerous consultations with national and international experts show that. First. Unlike similar epidemics in other countries, three pathogens of viral infections came to Ukraine at the same time: two of them are seasonal flu and the third is the A/H1N1. According to virologists, such a combination of infections due to mutation may produce a new, even more aggressive virus. That's why I have addressed the United Nations with the request to conduct a virologic examination in Ukraine and to establish the appropriate laboratory in order to take timely preventive measures. Second. The A/H1N1 virus is easily mutating. It has travelled across half of the globe before coming to Ukraine. This means that the virus has become particularly pathogenic. This means that medical aid must be urgently reinforced by emergency, critical care treatment. The third risk factor. It is generally known that the only way to prevent any infection is vaccination. Due to unprofessional and highly disorganized vaccination against measles and rubella in Ukraine the practice of vaccination is compromised in essence. According to the estimates of the Minister of Health approximately 58% of citizens are vaccinated today in Ukraine with the effective level being 90% and higher. People have stopped getting vaccinated against extremely dangerous infections: tuberculosis, diphtheria, etc. This led to high risk of A/H1N1 infection spread, when the virus came to Ukraine and made impossible preventive vaccination against both strains of seasonal flu. All this made general epidemic situation in Ukraine even more complicated. As the President I ask you, dear fellow citizens, to reconsider your attitude to vaccination and do it if necessary, but only, I emphasize it - only after consultation with the doctor. At the same time I instruct the Government and the Ministry of Health to immediately start preventive and promotional work in areas where there is no epidemic, targeting primarily the special risk groups. I demand the Government to immediately cancel the existing order of registration of medical supplies, including vaccines. Studying this issue by the National Security and Defense Council shown that this procedure has allowed various dealers to bring to Ukraine dubious medicines, which are not recognized by the WHO or other national institutions. Under my direction the Security Service is investigating the issue. The fourth factor. In reality it is the Reactor 4. I mean the epidemic, rapid spread of viral infections in the west of the country. The Government, the leadership of the Parliament and the opposition were all aware of that already in early October. The first and the most effective preventive measure is avoiding large gatherings of people. Ignoring this principle, hundreds of thousands of people from different regions were brought to Kyiv; from both the areas struck by the epidemic, and those where there was no evidence of this epidemic. This greatly increased the risk of infection. I emphasize: it was a well-known thing. And it was ignored by the Chairman of the Parliament, by the opposition leader and, first of all, by the Prime Minister. And Chief Sanitary Inspector, together with his subordinates in the regions, including those in the city of Kiev ignored their professional duty. This directly reminds of the May Day demonstration in Kiev, held shortly after the accident at Chernobyl NPP. This is a display of criminal irresponsibility of politicians and complete indifference towards the people. Let me cite one example. On October 20 the epidemic of flu was declared in Ternopil with schools and kindergartens closed for quarantine. "From October 21 secondary and primary schools are closed due to the growing rate of flu and ARD sicknessâ€. This was the order of local authorities. As of October 20 the rate of ARD in Ternopil was 172.9 cases per 10 thousand people with epidemiological threshold for the city being 160 patients per 10 thousand people. In other words - all services of the country responsible for monitoring the figure were informed and knew about the situation. However, not a single Sanitary Inspector has banned either the movement of people, nor their gathering, including those in Kiev on October 24, when people have gathered at the central square. I would like to remind you, my dear, that on October 24, 2009 10 deaths were known to have occurred in Ternopil region itself and 6 deaths were reported in Lviv region. And in 7 days after the abovementioned gathering Kyiv turned out in the situation, when the rate of sickness demanded the announcement of flu epidemic. This is the behavior of the great politicians. The neglect of elementary means of prevention of a disease in any country in the world, by any society. Because they must conduct a show, they have concerts, because they were paid for and 130 million have already been spent. In that, dear Ukrainians, I see not only moral but also criminal liability. I have addressed the Prosecutor General of Ukraine with the request to institute criminal charges of negligence committed by first of all the Chief Sanitary Inspector, Kyiv City Sanitarian and the officials, who, despite having daily information on the epidemic situation in the country, neglected it in pursuit of political dividends and ambition. Now, the only principle of organizing preventive measures at the national scale should be as follows: We treat the West and defend East, Center, North and South of Ukraine amain. I now rely solely on the professionalism of our doctors. Today they are the true heroes of our nation. I once again demand the Government to comply with the order the National Security and Defense Council to resolve the issue of wages for our doctors in this difficult period for the country. The fifth factor. Dear fellow citizens, the key threat that is aggravating the situation is chaos in the system of healthcare and protection of lives of people. Today we must recognize that Ukraine does not have a single healthcare system. Prevention of any infection, including through vaccination, the localization and overcoming the consequences of epidemics is the responsibility of the State Sanitary-Epidemiological Service of Ukraine. The Service is headed by the Chief Sanitary Inspector. He is appointed by the Prime Minister. The current Constitution after alterations in 2004 makes the Government solely responsible for conducting state healthcare policy. The practice of using the power, as evident today, is a failure. To the executive power, which is not subordinate to the President, I have suggested the holistic healthcare reforms plan and a set of instructions and recommendations that would help create the optimal model of the system for years to come. My remarks were presented as the groundless interference in Government’s work and as the unfounded criticism. Back in April of 2009 I addressed the Government with the request to establish a special interdepartmental commission on fighting the spread of flu viruses, to finance the establishment of Flu Center and to take all measures to protect the country against flu. That included providing adequate availability of medicines, facemasks and all other necessaries. Partial implementation of the instructions has its consequences. They were not ignoring me – they were ignoring the people, the citizens. It is clear why. Because Ukraine still has unfair system of healthcare - one is for the power, the other is for the people. We must change the system. We must change the entire system of government in Ukraine. But now, in this moment there is no time for waiting or remonstrance. National Security and Defense Council should become the center of decision-making. Failure to comply with its orders will immediately result in application to the law enforcement authorities. I remind all the responsible persons and draw attention to all of my orders, made in Lviv four days ago. In three days the deadline for compliance with these orders expires. With my decree I put Minister of Health and Chief Sanitary Inspector of Ukraine into the Council for National Security and Defense. I am conscious of my responsibility. I express deep condolences to the families and relatives of those who have died. I express my deep appreciation to doctors, who are saving our people risking their own lives. I am moved by this sacrifice. Such a commitment means that the epidemic will be stopped. I appeal to all of you, dear fellow citizens, to show solidarity, mutual support, and strictly adhere to all the safety regulations regarding protection of your health and lives. For not a single moment you will be left alone by the state. Thank you for your attention. Print version www.president.gov.ua... President visits Lviv region Photo Gallery President's Schedule 05.11.2009 Official visit of the President of Belarus to Ukraine Virtual tour Mariyinsky Palace EURO 2012 All rights reserved. |
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coyote
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Twenty-eight swine flu cases confirmed in Ukraine, 13 die of swine flu, says emergencies ministry
http://www.interfax.com.ua/eng... Twenty-eight cases of the A/H1N1 flu virus have been confirmed in Ukraine, according to Oleksiy Hromazin, the director of the Ukrainian Emergencies Ministry's department for healthcare and medical and biological protection. He said on Friday that of the 28 confirmed swine flu cases, 13 people had died. He also said that 109 people had already died of flu and acute respiratory infections in Ukraine since the start of the epidemic. |
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june
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I just want to update the information about cases from 6 of November... 32 people with swine flu diagnose, 14 had died . www.correspondent.net. |
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Hotair
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Wow!! That is a 50% CFR!Please keep us posted!
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june
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Dear members. Thank you for your concern and attitude to that situation ih Ukraine.
We have to be optimistic here. But it's not easy.
I want to live, work and study in the United States ).
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Technologist
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You might have missed the way the numbers were counted. If they tested the bodies of 32 people and found 16 positive that does not make a 50% CFR. That just means that 50% of the 32 fatalities tested for the swine flu actually had the Swine flu. Remember the swine flu has been estimated to have infected 100's of thousands with around 100? deaths so far in the Ukraine |
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rickster58
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Tech is right ....Don't get too alarmed ...yet. Things are certainly not looking good there.
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Technologist
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This is just my opinion and it's totally open for debate. The Ukraine Swine Flu "Hype" might be a planned political issue setup to postpone the Presidential Election. To me it looks like the Current President is just trying to hang in office longer.
1. "But should there be a state of emergency, the election would have to be delayed," he said, adding that May 30 would be an alternative date. The election is due to take place on Jan. 17, 2010." Wouldn't this add almost 4 1/2 months to the current presidents term? 2. "Yushchenko this week called for the general prosecutor to investigate possible criminal negligence in the government's handling of the flu epidemic that has killed over 100 in recent weeks and infected over 750,000 in Ukraine" The CFR started off at .03% and now its down to .0134% and is very close to America's CFR. 3. "With public support at 5 percent or lower, Yushchenko is unlikely to win re-election. Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovich -- a former premier who was also the main loser in the Orange Revolution -- are both front-runners now." 4. "KIEV, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Ukraine could delay a January presidential election until May next year if the government fails to control an outbreak of H1N1 flu, a senior official wrote on the respected news Web site Ukrainska Pravda on Friday." It's all in this story if you piece it all together. http://www.reuters.com/article/africaCrisis/idUSL695938 |
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june
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Medclinician
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Lori- I pulled up something today on another fluish thing in India. Also-A Netherlands article that said the new strain in Ukraine is not swine flu. The deaths in India were tested and none of them were Swine Flu. The new disease may be neither viral or swine flu. Also the numbers for pneumonic plague- while 100% CFR in the past range from 5-15% when treated. We still have Bubonic plague in prarie dogs in the Sunbelt states. It is unlikely this is a mutation if one goes by the formal statements of CDC which deny any mutation at all has occured in Swine Flu since Mexico. It may be something else. |
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Albert
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My question is, what did the other suspected swine flu cases die from? Maybe something else is doing the killing and sneaking along with h1n1?
Same pattern. Suspected swine flu deaths not being from swine flu, nor from a detectable flu.
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H1N1PanFlu
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H1N1PanFlu
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http://www.nih.gov/news/health/aug2008/niaid-19.htm
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Mahshadin
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Death toll rises to 135 in Ukraine flu epidemic
Published: November 07, 2009 16:15h
An epidemic of flu and respiratory infections has now taken 135 lives in Ukraine, the health ministry said, as the country Saturday received a new portion of medical aid from Europe.
A total of 871,037 people have been recorded ill with flu and acute respiratory infections since late October, with 39,603 of them hospitalized, including 317 people in a grave condition, the ministry said. The country has reported 32 cases of swine flu including 14 deaths connected with the A(H1N1) virus although officials have said it could prove to be the main strain of flu in the country. A plane with Austrian assistance worth 2.5 million Ukrainian hryvnias (more than 300,000 dollars) arrived in Kiev early on Saturday, the press officer of the European Commission delegation to Ukraine, David Stulik told AFP. "The consignment, of total weight 10.4 tonnes, consists of 464,640 protective masks, disinfectant liquids for face, hands and surfaces as well as 150,000 pairs of protective gloves," he said. The United States is planning to deliver Ukraine 930,000 doses of vaccines for immunization against swine flu in early December, the embassy said. Meanwhile, the panic over the flu epidemic has caused speculation of the possible imposing of a state of emergency and postponing of the presidential elections, scheduled on January, 17, 2010. The secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council Raisa Bohatyriova said in a TV interview that there were some prerequisites for the emergency measures. "To save other people perhaps we need the state of emergency. And there are the constitutional prerequisites (for that)...," Bohatyriova said. But Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko refuted that the epidemic may influence the date of the presidential elections, saying that "for the moment there is no need for the cancellation of the elections." Analysts suggested that rival Ukrainian leaders may be trying to exploit popular fears in campaigning ahead of January 17 presidential polls, as each candidate seeks to take the initiative in fighting the outbreak. |
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"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." G Orwell
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Mary008
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this was written in post above..
The Ukrainian Security Service, the SBU, -- the Ukrainian government's secret police -- has arrested a 30-year-old man who reported on the unfolding pandemic in the country, specifically on 170 people being hospitalised, trains travelling through Tarnopol without stopping, planes carrying out disinfection missions at night time and the death of students at Tarnopol and Lviv. The case has gone to court. If found guilty, the blogger can be sentenced to one month of forced labor, have a 20% salary deduction or be fined 15 times the minimum income.
The blogger was arrested for spreading "rumours and fearmongering" under special emergency laws the Ukrainian government is implementing under the pretext of fighting a pandemic.
According to Ukraine's presidential decree and a decision by the Ukrainian National Security and Defence Board of 30 October 2009, the Ukrainian Security Service is to "provide national security during an outbreak of a flu pandemic in Ukraine in case of urgent actions
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.http://www.1tv.com.ua/about/1tvnews
November 1st... their tv says they have decided to now go with vaccination...
HEALTH
..................
12:30. Learn all the pros and cons of vaccination with the presenter of the "Health" Svetlana Uminskoyu November 1 at 12:30.
Why Ukrainian changed its attitude towards vaccination? How to make the right choice and competently prepare your child for vaccination? Find the answer with the best professionals, November 1 at 12:30 in "Health"! Doesn't seem to want to load?
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Mary008
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pig flu
Notes From Ukraine
................................................ Panic Over Black Market, Incredible Rumors and 9 Dollar Lemons
............................................................................................................................................... ............................................................................................................................................... Hysteria about swine flu in Ukraine increased too.
Spin doctors afraid that President Yushchenko is about to introduce a state of emergency and thwart the presidential election. They themselves do not believe that, knowing that the parliament does not approve the emergency under any circumstances. But in the panic already get rich speculators - scarce tablets vparivayut from under the counter for $ 700 per pack. The Ukrainian government was unprepared for the epidemic in the same way as the financial crisis. A year ago, Prime Minister Tymoshenko urged that the crisis will bypass Ukraine party, and a week later hryvnia has fallen by almost 40%... A month ago, the Ministry of Health assured that the swine flu did not come before the New Year and all will be provided with medicines, which are allocated 50 million hryvnia
But when the western areas people began dying people Doctors initially could not even establish the diagnosis. Only when the number of victims has reached a dozen, Minister Vasily Knyazevich admitted that it was swine flu.
A late response was associated with lack of basic tests and ventilation devices. Cabinet got a rush job order imposed quarantine in nine areas, banned for three weeks, all public events, including meetings, canceled classes at universities and schools. It threw people into a panic. It is compounded by the disappearance of antiviral drugs. Pharmacies reigns Soviet deficit: when the government of populist considerations have frozen the price of drugs, traffickers hid them under the counter.
Such bursts from pharmacies have not seen one yet. People waiting for hours in the cold, when you can buy at least "askorbinku. (asprin?)
She also finished as gauze bandages, which as gumpomoschi supplies neighboring Poland. Recently, Tymoshenko convinced pharmacists ( to) free prices, but it helps the poor - an initiative intercepted speculators. Now they are selling drugs out from under the counter at exorbitant prices. From under the floor you can even buy a "Teraflyu", (Tamiflu?) which is known here only vaccine against influenza. True, the insane price from 4000 to 6000 hryvnia - about 500-700 dollars per dose.Cabinet set a limit price of the mask in 2 hryvnia, on the black market they sell for 5.
People ran to the markets, where pounds buying lemons, garlic and onion.
The doctors assert that before the Overseas flu this "gentlemen's set" is powerless, but Ukraine has long been one nobody believes it. As a result, and then warmed the hands of speculators. Lemons are now almost worth its weight in gold, in the western regions they are served from 70 hryvnia (about 9 dollars) apiece. Panic being warmed through the media pre-election headquarters of the major candidates, generates incredible rumors.
It turns out that Ukrainians do not mow down any influenza, pneumonic plague, which unearthed (by ) the "people of Yushchenko." Ostensibly in western Ukraine on behalf of the guarantor of archeologists enthusiastic antiquities, along with "glechikami" and other utensils dug (up a ) sleeping virus.
This version is supported by the symptoms: People infected with swine flu for three days burned from pneumonia. On Internet forums, anonymous patalogoanatomy argue that the lungs of the victims are black. ( hype has to stop )
And the "experts" assure us that none of the bandage (masks ) will not save the Ukrainians to (from) death - because the (H1N1v) plague is transmitted through touch. And who does not perish from the plague, die of typhoid.
After all, it is because of dirty drinking water is mowing down people all the same west of the country. (they do have other troubles ... they need an assist)
Mass hysteria has led to the fact that Kiev for the weekend is
practically extinct. (deserted) Empty shops, cinemas and cafes. In public transport and on the streets, more people in gauze bandages. (masks, they are making their own also) On TV screens with ads talk about how they need to iron and wash every three hours. On Monday, the protection of the Verkhovna Rada deputies met in masks and gloves... However, Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn compel (asked ) colleagues (to ) refused (refuse ) to wear a mask. Coughing, he explained, is finally tip the citizens in shock, and flee from the country.
But this does not prevent - January 17 shall be held the first round of presidential elections. Candidates have armed themselves against influenza with competitors.
Viktor Yanukovych's camp blame the Tymoshenko. It turns out that it gave impetus to the epidemic by organizing a congress on the Maidan, where two weeks ago, came to more than 100 thousand people from all over the country. Close to the headquarters of Tymoshenko's political strategist Taras Berezovets yet last week warned that Yushchenko might sign decree on the introduction of emergency. Political analyst Viktor Nebozhenko convinced that Yushchenko and waited - for other chances to retain the presidency he has not. Not preclude the imposition of emergency and Speaker Lytvyn. However, the abolition of elections to anyone but Yushchenko is not favorable. And if so, the Parliament, where the weather is doing faction Yanukovych and Tymoshenko, will not vote for his decree.
True, ordinary Ukrainians from this not better.
While still wrote Gustave Le Bon, the masses are easier to manage when they are in the boundary condition.
And it is possible that the new president will be the one who will be able to send a panic in the right direction.
Anna S
Mary008
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SheepLady
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Welcome, June.
I am very sad this has come to your beautiful country. Our thoughts and prayers are with you.
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SheepLady
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Mary008
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All kinds of vaccination ideas...
Zh Mikrobiol Epidemiol Immunobiol. 2007 Jul-Aug;(4):15-9. [Tetravaccine--new fundamental approach to prevention of influenza pandemic][Article in Russian] Onishchenko GG, Zverev VV, Katlinskiĭ AV, Semchenko AV, Korovkin SA, Mel'nikov SIa, Mironov AN. According to opinion of WHO's experts,
development and use of tetravaccine, which contains both interdemic and pandemic (H5N1) serotypes of influenza viruses,
is one of the most promising approaches to control possible influenza pandemic.
Results of recently obtained data from clinical trials allowed experts from WHO to make a conclusion that protective immunity against avian influenza virus can be achieved after 2-doses immunization, when the immune system will be primed to hemagglutinin after the 1st dose and sufficient protective immunity level will be formed after the 2nd dose. However,
in case of real threat of pandemic, the time for immunization with 2 doses of the vaccine will be absent. In order to provide protection for population of Russia in a limited time frame it is reasonable to vaccinate them with H5 hemagglutinin beforehand. In that case, when real threat of pandemic will arise, not two but one injection with monovalent vaccine against avian influenza will be sufficient. This idea formed the basis for concept of development of tetravaccine. The essence of the concept is vaccination of population with tetravaccine, consisting of antigens of influenza virus serotypes H3N2, H1N1, B, and H5, before the influenza pandemic caused by H5N1 virus will begin.
Such vaccination will induce immunologic memory to hemagglutinin of avian influenza virus serotype H5 and, when the real threat of the pandemic will occur, only single immunization with monovaccine against avian influenza instead of 2 doses will be required.
In 2006 Scientific-Production Association "Microgen" conducted extended preclinical study of immunogenic and protective characteristics of candidate vaccines against avian influenza prepared from vaccine strains of H5N1 and H5N2 serotypes. It has been shown that candidate vaccines prepared from both strains have high protective ability against Russian epidemic isolate A/chicken/Kurgan/Russia/2/2005(H5N1).
To this time Scientific-Production Association "Microgen" has produced monovalent bulk of H3N2, H1N1, and B serotypes, which are included in interdemic influenza vaccines, as well as monovalent bulk of H5N1 and H5N2 serotypes. This intermediate products are ready to be produced into tetravaccine for conducting extended preclinical studies of its safety, reactogenicity, immunogenicity, and protective properties.
If results of such studies will be positive then it is possible to begin clinical trials of the tetravaccine in 2007 and to discuss the questions about its dosage, methods of challenge and schedule. PMID: 17882832 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE] |
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4=laro
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If this was a mutation, I would assume we would know by now. If this is a new virus turned loose on the general public, then it would be kept quiet. A new and improved virus would trump the swine flu vaccine and it would have to be flushed. And we are back to square one. We should know in the next two weeks.
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Elver
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Ukrainian News Agency "Fraza" reported that, according to informed sources, "it has been confirmed 100 % Pneumonic Plague in Ukraine". http://www.kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2009/11/02/11155.shtml"This new lab produced virus is a certainly a killer and we can likely expect it to spread throughout the world in the next few weeks or months."
"The pneumonic plague has an acute course than other forms, over and is accompanied by a very high mortality rate. The incubation period of primary pneumonic plague rarely exceeds more than 1-4 days. It begins, as a rule, suddenly - with shivering, fever, headache, myalgia, weakness, nausea. The symptoms of pneumonia - cough with phlegm, chest pain, shortness of breath - usually appear on the second day of the disease. Blood spitting, growing respiratory disorders, heart failure, respiratory failure, shock are being observed. In primary pneumonic plague phlegm usually is watery or mucinous, foamy, with blood or visibly bloody."
"The rapid rise in reported infections, hospitalizations, and deaths in the past few days raise concerns that the virus is transmitting very efficiently."
"We could be seeing something of monumental importance happening in the Ukraine. An advanced biological genetically engineered killer virus has been released. "
Ukraine's Pneumonic Plague: A New Strain of Flu Many Times More Lethal Than H1N1"
# of infections. This page is Ukranian
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momasaurus7
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The article is dated Nov 2. Is there anything more recent to add confirmation that it is indeed 100% pneumonic plague? Any other news sources? It's been six days since the article was posted. Alot can happen in six days.
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We must always fear the wicked. But there is another kind of evil that we must fear the most, and that is the indifference of good men.
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Technologist
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The Actual Headline was: "Ukraine: Influenza or Pneumonic Plague? The situation is getting worse and worse" With a question mark ? Also it was reported last week just a few days after the Ukraine situation started. Yet today we only have 135 people dead and over 871,000 sick in Ukraine. Today's Ukraine Fatality ratio is .01542% <---- Modeling the Seasonal Flu and Swine Flu pretty closely in CFR's. Also note the headlines are now changing to it's the "Swine Flu" in the Ukraine "Slovakia closes border crossings with Ukraine amid A/H1N1 fears" http://en.rian.ru/world/20091107/156749426.html WARSAW, November 7 (RIA Novosti) - Slovakia will close on Sunday all border crossings with Ukraine, except for the car checkpoint in Vysne Nemecke, amid fears of spreading the A/H1N1 virus ( SWINE FLU ) the Slovakian interior minister said on Saturday. |
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Mary008
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moved it to going green...
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Elver
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I'm still looking. I'm really hoping that the confirmation of pneumonic plague is false. I found this & added to my post above.
It shows the # of cases. (of whatever) I'm still looking for one more single source of confirmed.
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Elver
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******************
"These numbers show about 32443 more people getting sick in less than 24 hours."
"Authorities officially called the disease "swine flu", "California flu", "SARS","pneumonia", but doctors say on the basis of clinical data and the rapidity of the epidemic, that it is pneumonic plague. "
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MarieF
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Ukraine: Influenza or Pneumonic Plague?by snuffysmith | November 7, 2009 at 10:34 pm
164 views | 6 Recommendations | 2 comments
Ukrainian News Agency "Fraza" reported that, according to informed sources, "it has been confirmed 100 % Pneumonic Plague in Ukraine". The Agency asserts that "the head physician of the medical
institutions has sent out an informal disposal - not to sow panic, to
refute the information about the plague, and to speak only of swine
influenza". According to the "Fraza" agency, "today in Ukraine pneumonic plague is going in parallel with swine flu. The plague has killed over 60 people, and about 14 from the flu. http://kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2009/11/02/11155.shtml http://www.nowpublic.com/world/ukraine-influenza-or-pneumonic-plague |
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Marie
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Elver
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Marie,
Did you not read what I just posted a few minutes ago on Page 12 today?
This whole issue of pneumonic plage may not be 100% confirmed. I'm looking for more information. Also, see above!
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Technologist
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Thats the same Nov 2rd article "reprinted again" that's already being called the Swine flu today.
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Technologist
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Thanks for the Update Elver. I'm just running a daily Fatality Ratio.
969247 Sick, 155 Dead = .01599% Fatality Ratio. Also these 969247 sick are the people that went to a doctor or hospital reporting flu like symptoms. This does not count the people that might be sick at home not seeking medical attention. It's a poor country and many might be at home riding it out. So the Fatality Rate may or may not be lower. I know you don't see it in print but I'm guestimating 30-50 million people have already caught the swine flu in the US since it started. I could be wrong on the numbers but that's only 10-16.67% of the population so far. |
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Elver
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Perhaps there is a connection between the pneumonic plague that was reported in China back in August & the Ukraine now.
Anyone remember H5N1 in and around Qinghai?
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momasaurus7
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Yeah, I think there was an outbreak a few years back.
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We must always fear the wicked. But there is another kind of evil that we must fear the most, and that is the indifference of good men.
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Elver
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The pneumonic plague outbreak in China was in August of this year.
"Pneumonic plague is rarer than bubonic, but is fatal in over 95% of its victims (5)."
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Technologist
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This has been going around for as long as man can remember. We had this in California with squirrels spreading it and on indian reservations. "In the United States, human plague cases average about 10 to 15per year. Worldwide, there are 1,000 to 2,000 cases each year." "Plague is an ancient disease that occurs in irregular cycles and remains a public health hazard in parts of Asia, the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Africa, and South America, as well as the United States. Epidemics of plague in humans usually involve house rats and their fleas. Rat-borne epidemics continue to occur in some developing countries, particularly in rural areas. Highly publicized outbreaks of bubonic and pneumonic plague occurred in 1994 in India, leading toad heightened international reaction. The last rat-borne epidemic in the United States occurred in Los Angeles in 1924-1925. Since then, all human plague cases in the United States have been associated with plague outbreaks in wild rodents and their fleas.? http://74.125.155.132/search?q=cache:tfgbmg_jyaEJ:www.dhpe.org/infect/plague.html+plague+california+squirrels&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&client=safari |
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Elver
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http://www.channel4.com/history/microsites/H/history/plague/plague.html
"Pneumonic plague is the most deadly: it is usually fatal and it does not require flea bites to spread. When the bacilli reach the lungs, severe pneumonia occurs, and the bacilli are present in the water droplets spread by coughs and on clothing. Thus it is highly contagious, especially in crowded, poorly ventilated buildings. " |
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Mary008
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yes i remember... it was back in August
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momasaurus7
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Sorry, I was refering to the H5N1 outbreak. I read about the one in China in August. I understand that there is another one happening in China now. It started shortly after the events in the Ukraine.
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We must always fear the wicked. But there is another kind of evil that we must fear the most, and that is the indifference of good men.
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