Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Mutant Swine Flu Is Vaccine Resistant, Severe. |
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jdljr1
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1621 |
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Posted: May 04 2011 at 2:11pm |
From CIDRAP, http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/content/influenza/general/news/apr2911newsscan.htmlNEWS SCAN: 2009 H1N1 changes, US flu activity, flu vaccine and HCWs, hospital measles outbreak, seafood seizedApr 29, 2011 Researchers track 2009 H1N1 virus changes John L,
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John L
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Good find John.
What's your best guess for next fall with this new strain. Pandemic?
Best,
Albert
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jdljr1
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1621 |
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It is great to hear from you, my friend.
My best guess is not for a full blown pandemic but instead more like the nastiness we had years ago when they blew the vaccine selection and we got stuck with the A-fujian strain, and a lot of vaccinated people still got quite sick. The new swine strain will partially evade vaccine or prior infection but not totally. And some without prior vaccine or exposure, will then die. I could be wrong-sometimes pandemic strains instead return in a much more lethal form. But this is not my take yet.
Signs of an exceptionally early and bad flu year are already being seen in Australia. Now is about the last chance the authorities have to update the vaccine selection for Northern Henisphere production, and they APPEAR TO BE ASLEEP! Which is of course nothing new. Best, John L.
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John L
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Good job John keeping your ear to the track on this thing.
Your response sounds good. I guess we'll see if this one has any legs soon enough.
Albert
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jdljr1
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1621 |
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Mutant Flu Strain Defying Northern Hemisphere Season End.
From CIDRAP;
May 9, 2011 WHO: Global flu activity pausing between seasons |
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John L
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roni3470
Adviser Group Joined: August 30 2006 Location: Colorado Status: Offline Points: 5390 |
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Any updates on this? I find it interesting. The conpiracty folks believe govt was tainting vaccines but that it would take 2-3 years for the breakout to happen. Not that I buy into it but it is interesting that it was the strain from that year. Just sayin!
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NOW is the Season to Know
that Everything you Do is Sacred |
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jdljr1
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1621 |
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An update from CIDRAP as I continue to track the flu, this time mainly re. the Southern Hemisphere:
FLU NEWS SCAN: Southern Hemisphere flu, vaccine safety and efficacyJun 1, 2011 Parts of Australia, Bolivia report increased flu activity |
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John L
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Good call John, although I know you've made no claims.
Researchers fear mutant flu strain
* Brigid O'Connell * From: Sunday Herald Sun June 26, 2011 12:00AM
MUTANT swine flu strains, resistant to existing treatments, have been detected in Australia by Melbourne researchers, sparking concerns of a new virus threat. Swine flu has been stable since the 2009 pandemic, in which 24 deaths in the state were linked to the H1N1 virus. But researchers from the WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza found that 30 per cent of H1N1 samples collected in Darwin and 10 per cent in Singapore, had the mutation S247N. This variant has lower resistance to current drugs, Tamiflu and Relenza. Deputy director of the WHO Centre and senior author of the study, Dr Ian Barr, said the mutation was worrying. "We'd prefer our viruses be completely susceptible to all our medications, so, it's always a concern when we see even low-level resistance to them in these viruses," he said. Dr Barr said treatments generally would work against the new flu strain, but the greatest problem would be treating patients with more than one type of mutated virus. A sample from a Perth patient who died in March revealed he had the new S247N mutation, but also another variant, H275Y, a combination 6000 times more resistant than the 2009 pandemic strain. |
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Elver
Valued Member Joined: June 14 2008 Status: Offline Points: 7778 |
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The risk factors of the H1N1 flu and the seasonal flu virus are similar with the exception of the younger people & the obese according to scientists reported in the journal PLoS Medicine.
However, they did say that 40% of the people who died didn't have any pre-existing chronic conditions, so that leaves me wondering if these scientists weren't talking out both sides of their mouths. One of the symptom's of H1N1 for adults, in addition to the normal flu sumptoms, is vomiting & diarrhea. I think I had this in January & April of 2009, so I probably have some immunity to it. I passed out in our bathroom both times due to severe dehydration. All I can say about it, assuming that is what I had, was that the vomiting was wicked. If you get this, you'd be better off going to the emergency room rather than a doctor. (I had a co-worker who was diagnosed with H1N1 & another whose daughter was diagnosed with the H1N1 at the time.) All 3 of us were sick for 5 full days minimum. My co-worker didn't return to work for 2 full weeks. I had a fever for 8 days.
Check this out from 7/6/2011. http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/230551.php
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Kilt2
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That was lucky - but your luck can run out at any time.
The flu is no joke.
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And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
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We had a woman at work that was out for 1 month with H1N1...no flu shot. She almost died.
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