Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Defcon 4 |
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DANNYKELLEY
Admin Group Joined: May 01 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 2785 |
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Posted: August 08 2014 at 6:21pm |
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I would say thats the only way Turboguy.but how long would it take to burn itself out.And how would all the dead be handled
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WHAT TO DO????
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onefluover
Admin Group Joined: April 21 2013 Location: Death Valleyish Status: Offline Points: 20151 |
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Hmmm Concern over Ontario patient from Nigeria with flu symptoms The person arrived at an ER in Brampton this morning News1130 Staff August 8, 2014 4:10 pm (Coutrtesy: Brampton Civic Hospital) TORONTO (NEWS1130) - A public health official says a patient at a hospital near Toronto has been isolated as a precautionary measure after showing flu-like symptoms similar to those characteristic of the Ebola virus. Dr. Eileen de Villa with Peel Public Health says the steps are being taken because the patient at Brampton Civic Hospital recently travelled to Nigeria, which has been hit with an outbreak of the disease. She says the patient is showing a fever and other flu-like symptoms but cautioned there has been no diagnosis yet. She says the hospital has put heightened infection-control measures in place in addition to isolating the patient. The World Health Organization says the latest Ebola outbreak in Africa is the largest and longest ever recorded for the disease and has killed at least 961 people. Nigeria on Friday declared a state of emergency because of Ebola. |
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"And then there were none."
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Masks don't seem to cover the typical point of entry.
It seems that people touch something infected and then touch their mouth/eyes. But then again I've heard that people who are fully suited with scba are catching it too. The best method of prevention is social distance. |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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karen
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I bought N95 and N99 masks. I figure when it hits the continent all the healthcare workers will get health care supplies for their own families. When I ordered mine 3 companies were already sold out.
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Thanks for the vote of confidence, Albert
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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No worries onefluover. It's not needed and I shouldn't have suggested it. Appreciate it either way.
Techno, nothing needs to be done in the mod area. It's just for down the road if this place picks up, then you can delete, go after spammers, watch for content, etc... but that's down the road, maybe. I'll message you here soon with more info. Keep up the good work. |
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https://www.facebook.com/Avianflutalk
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CRS, DrPH
Expert Level Adviser Joined: January 20 2014 Location: Arizona Status: Offline Points: 26660 |
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CRS, DrPH
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onefluover
Admin Group Joined: April 21 2013 Location: Death Valleyish Status: Offline Points: 20151 |
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I don't have any other forums I go to currently or I would of already posted the your link. As for posting stories up on EI, I have been doing so here and there but not prolifically as yet as I'm currently working only from my iPhone and it won't let me post clickable links to the sources. My Facebook is currently deactivated due to a situation that is potentially national news at any moment that I am working on. Have been for 33 years.
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"And then there were none."
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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Albert, Now I have gotten used to it, I love being a moderator. Tell me what you want of me and I will try my best to do it. Thanks for the compliment!
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Another quick heads up - off topic. I've changed a few titles around here and fine tuning some things. For example, jacksdad never asked to be a mod, and now he's the chief moderator. Techno has been made a moderator in the same fashion. Moderating may not be needed that much at the moment, but possibly in the future. Aft prepping, you might say.
Best, Albert |
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Yeah, they're loud too. You have the carbine. I'm sure it is incredibly loud. That said, just squirt some Windex in the bore after shooting. Option b is to get a funnel and dump hot, slightly soapy water down the bore. As it is a bolt action you don't have to worry about getting corrosive in any action. So the only corrosive deposition will be from the throat to the muzzle. The reason it is corrosive is because the primers use fulminate of mercury. When fired it leaves mercuric salts. The water will wash it away. Afterwards clean as normal. Old school guns like the Mosin are the penultimate prepper rifle. They're decently accurate, cheap, wicked powerful, and the corrosive ammo will literally last forever. Also they don't draw attention like a big sniper rifle or an AR/AK will. Well... until you fire and its a camera flash accompanied by a hellacious BOOM! |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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I hear you. The stuff I've been getting lately is 148 grain and much more comfortable. First time I put 40 rounds of heavy ball milsurp through it, I didn't just get a bruise - my shoulder was purple. Lots of fun seeing all the other shooters at the range jump every time it let loose a two foot fireball, although it's really dirty ammo (and corrosive) and takes a lot of cleaning.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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gingerlee
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onefluover
Admin Group Joined: April 21 2013 Location: Death Valleyish Status: Offline Points: 20151 |
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Chuck said: "Speaking with some in the business community, I get the sense that they are "whistling past the graveyard." My own financial advisor said it was just "a few cases," a day before CDC activated its EOC and the WHO started holding emergency talks. The money folks just don't get it, so they will keep flying their junior execs into the jungles to make more cash." And this is exactly how it will be brought back here, airborne of sorts. |
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"And then there were none."
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Seems Ebola is now in Mexico...
District Federal.- Jose Antonio Gonzales Figueroa, the first case is confirmed in Mexico and infected with the deadly Ebolavirus. Joseph was admitted and isolated immediately after going to the emergency room with high fever and having confessed that had just returned from vacation in an African country. The first confirmed case after taking necessary and with the support of the United States government evidence, is in the city of Mexico. Young is a medical student at the UNAM of 22 who went on vacation to an African country and was there for almost a month. Young returned to Mexico on August 2 and was admitted the next day by high fever,vomiting and diarrhea. The young and being treatedand medical staff came to the United States and Mexico today in the morning to determine the best control strategy. So far the Ministry of Health has issued several statements to the federal government so far have not received any response. The releases include arecommendation to temporarily suspend the return to classes until you confirm that you have controlled the virus. The health secretary said he will continue trying to communicate with the government to prevent a pandemic in Mexico. WHAT IS THE VIRUS EBOLA? Ebola is a virus that is found naturally in some species of bats and other birds that have their habitat in the forested areas of Africa. Since her first diagnosis in 1976 18 cases have resulted in several countries: Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, Sudan and Gabon. After an incubation time which may take several days to 4 weeks, the initial symptoms are high fever, muscle aches, diarrhea and vomiting that can quickly turn to internal bleeding that can lead to death of the infected, in most cases, . Because there is no known treatment, doctors face this virus trying to relieve their symptoms by strengthening the immune system. A large high percentage of the dead is cleaning staff has been in contact with infected without having complied with the appropriate preventive measures. The pandemic of Ebola virus that is currently infecting four countries in Africa ah increased exponentially in the last 3 weeks and ah killed at least 338 people in about 6 months. The first cases of Ebola dating from 1971 and it was in Africa that were found. Many people wonder why there is still no cure for this virus if you already have many years of detection. Some experts argue that any organization worldwide ah considered profitable to invest in research for this deadly virus. From: http://eldiariodechihuahua.mx/El_Pais/2014-08-06/Confirman-primer-caso-de-ébola-en-México/2066c91ca473570526ad0eae6b25250 This is my phone, so I can't embed... |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Not to derail, but check out the light ball 7.62x54r. You're shooting the heavy stuff and yeah, it kicks the piss lot of you. Its like 147 grain. www.gunbot.net |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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CRS, DrPH
Expert Level Adviser Joined: January 20 2014 Location: Arizona Status: Offline Points: 26660 |
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Good points! This outbreak shows the growing commercial influence of the African continent. Nigeria is still an OPEC country & major oil exporter, and their economy has been diversifying and growing. Liberia is a source of latex & has facilities by Bridgestone-Firestone (Japanese company) taking advantage of the resource. Nestle is HUGE in Africa, which produces cocoa butter for chocolate. Lots of other stuff = coffee, minerals, etc. Speaking with some in the business community, I get the sense that they are "whistling past the graveyard." My own financial advisor said it was just "a few cases," a day before CDC activated its EOC and the WHO started holding emergency talks. The money folks just don't get it, so they will keep flying their junior execs into the jungles to make more cash.
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CRS, DrPH
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Elver
Valued Member Joined: June 14 2008 Status: Offline Points: 7778 |
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I would like for everyone to dismiss the idea that it doesn't spread easily because it does! They aren't wearing moon suits for nothing.
If the WHO doesn't ban flights out of Africa, then this will quickly become a worldwide disaster. |
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cobber
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my tipping point too.
Dozen cases linked in a cluster I dont actually think it will get there. Lots of hysteria
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Elver
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My tipping point is when we have a dozen cases spread out in the U. S.
I inventoried our food yesterday and will fill in the gaps immediately! |
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onefluover
Admin Group Joined: April 21 2013 Location: Death Valleyish Status: Offline Points: 20151 |
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How I Longo for Dago! Gives me goose bumpsies. Canada has probebly been more honest than us and Mexico...overly honest? Looking at the current infectious disease maps tracking of spread, Mexico and further south is on the radar. Just a hunch of mine. |
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"And then there were none."
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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To be frank, once the guy was dead, they probably did not bother with the test. They have such a bad reputation for containment. Leave it all up to the will of Allah!
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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Turbo- .223 Rem?
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Buy more ammo!
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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Not so fast - the article you referred to had this: "The ministry, however, declined to reveal the test results of the deceased, to ascertain if the deceased has been suffering from the Ebola virus." So he may, or he may not have had Ebola - we will have to await more details (a long time wait if it is like the Saudi reporting in MERS). |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Good job techno.
I'll be working on fixing and adding some things to ebolainfo.org. The site is currently endexing with the search engines and is about to make a splashdown. With regarding to people searching online for info, that little site should dominate and really bring in a lot of new peeps soon. Anyway, what helps improve the search engines and this effort is when links are posted on other sites. If possible, maybe we can sneak a link on our facebook profiles, which will really kick start it. Or on other forums, etc... It's probably terrible for me to suggest that one, lol. |
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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The Saudi case was not ebola either: http://sunnewsonline.net/news/ebola-scare-man-dies-of-heart-attack
This does show the risks of panic. |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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No it wouldn't give us much time. I'm in Long Beach and you're in Sand Diego. I suppose it has to get thru you first, lol. We could also go to defcon 5 if it reaches other continents or regions first.
I'm a little surprised that Canada has had no suspected cases. H5n1 showed up in Canada. SARS hit Canada first, etc... They're somewhat of a hot spot. Usually it's Canada, London, New York/California or Mexico as the wild card. |
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Sounds good, A.
The false alarm in Mexico got me wondering how they would cope, and how it might play out along the southern border. Being in SoCal wouldn't give us much lead time, would it? |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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I agree that it's inevitable that it will reach the U.S. I'm guess probably sooner than later. Somewhat hoping it reaches South America first so we have a little more time to prepare. If it reaches here or South America then we'll go to defcon 5 as an Ebola Pandemic will be imminent, albeit a slow moving one that may not reek too much havoc on the U.S., but a pandemic non the less. Defcon 5 will be a pretty significant warning that the time has arrived.
With currently 2000 + cases in Africa and an outbreak this large, it could be at anytime. Also remember as you're out buying ammo lol, people will in fact begin to panic, SIP, etc.... and when that happens they will be searching all over the internet for info, and a large amount of the public will find their way here looking for it. In that situation, you folks will be the experts they're look for. You're not obligated to assist by no means, but actually you are! |
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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It feels like it afterwards, Rickster - Russian M44. You run out of ammo and you can still stick capitalist pigs with the bayonet (seriously). After that gets too dull, you turn it around and use it like a 2x4.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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pheasant
Admin Group Joined: May 20 2006 Location: Florida Status: Offline Points: 9851 |
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Turbo,
look at Lagos for your answer. Run down the timeline from the American Sawyer landing the timeline of the other infections, and watch for the spread...if it does. What your looking for is unseen spreading that culminates in reported illness. For instance, if we see widespread infection (in Lagos)within a week from now, then you can extrapolate. the point is it looks like you have a few days from the time they get the first reported case in a city. Sawyer died July 25th....2 weeks ago, already the nurse has died and others are sick. The 21 day incubation period ends next friday. If we see 20-30 or more infections in Lagos by next week then we know it is circulating today and yesterday, meaning yesterday could be to late to bug out. |
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The only thing we have to fear, is fear itself......FDR
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rickster58
Moderator Joined: March 09 2009 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 4875 |
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What have you got Jacksdad - an elephant gun?
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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...180 grains in my case - hopefully they all stand behind each other in one long line so I can save some money. |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Curing the disease, 62 grains at a time. |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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Kilt2
Adviser Group Joined: December 17 2007 Status: Offline Points: 7414 |
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A pandemic is imminent - its likely to occur at any time.
H5N1 is ready to flick the genetic switch and infect humans big time - its in Africa, Asia and the Middle East. H7N9 is exactly the same except its just in Asia and it has more genetic switches to change - and its doing that. MERS - spreading. Ebola - spreading. One or more of these is about to blow. A pandemic is imminent.
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And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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God help anyone that comes to your door with anything but good intentions, TG |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Turboguy
Admin Group Joined: October 27 2007 Status: Offline Points: 6079 |
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Meh, they haven't said that things are out of control in the United States either. My temporary SIP will begin when they start saying, "Uh Oh..." Might that be too late? Perhaps. Hell, probably. But I'll know that things are major league out of control when it's pretty much "Grab what ye can boys!" I'm a big proponent of the theory that "If you're not at your spot when the SHTF, you're not going to get there" but at the same time, no sense in going full chicken little. Realistically the time to close the borders was a month or two ago, and we should have militarized the southern one and had standing orders to shoot anyone trying to enter illegally. |
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Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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CRS, DrPH
Expert Level Adviser Joined: January 20 2014 Location: Arizona Status: Offline Points: 26660 |
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Good point....if we have to go into defensive mode, it will likely be because the population wigs out & goes nuts & not because of the actual incidence/prevalence of the Ebola virus. We've probably all seen cases where our local population went a bit crazy because of some rumor.... I'm just not that worried about Ebola, even if the USA had a few hundred cases. Shelter in place for a few incubation periods, the public health quarantine police will ensure that it gets snuffed out. I know the laws that apply. Just stay off the streets & public transit, which are crazy in my town anyway.
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CRS, DrPH
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I agree Jacksdad. This is a slow virus that the Western world can kill within their borders. I feel sorry for Africa they have a long hard battle.
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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TG - I'm really not seeing this outbreak as a reason to lock the doors and SIP.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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onefluover
Admin Group Joined: April 21 2013 Location: Death Valleyish Status: Offline Points: 20151 |
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She probebly means the UN. Which is really no more than a committee made up of many nations that already do not like each other. But in light of the threat I would think they would be calling an emergancy full session any minute now to at least figure out who of the members are capable of substantially providing resources and coordinance to stamp this outbreak out. They certainly are able to acomplish that with a war looming. Well this is a war.
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"And then there were none."
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Couldn't agree more. There isn't even a cohesive group dealing with the outbreak on the ground, let alone one that could require sovereign states to close their borders and watch their economy sink without trace. That's their call, right or wrong. We can restrict inbound air traffic however, and many international airlines have already suspended services to airports in affected regions. As much damage as it would do to developing economies heavily dependent on exports, if governments that are failing to control the virus within their borders don't start getting their act together soon, it should be explained that they can fully expect to be cut off from the rest of the world for the duration of the outbreak. Maybe the specter of international isolation will get them up to speed about the way their problem is fast becoming an international one. |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Johnray1
Valued Member Joined: April 23 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8159 |
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Turboguy,I would until the initial craziness is over and then go to your safe place. No one can over come a mob or beat one,wait until they are tired and some are dead,then move quickly and quietly.Once you start to move,do not stop for anything.From the way you talk you have a family.Get them to safety even if you have to hurt some people.Johnray1
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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KiwiMum- My question exactly! Who are "they"? The WHO? They seem to be completely ineffectual! To start with they're bankrupt and on top of that they have no real power! "They" can only ask country's to do what they've signed on to do! The WHO can only make suggestions as far as I know.
The U N ? that's a laugh! What country is going to Quarantine itself for a month? The economic damage would be astronomical! People would be starving and eating more bush meat within a few days! What a mess we've made of the world! |
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Buy more ammo!
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ginerlee
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