Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Azerbijan:New Bird Flu Outbreak |
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Posted: March 24 2006 at 11:24am |
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BAKU, March 24 (RIA Novosti, Gerai Dadashev) - The head of Azerbaijan's veterinary service said Friday that there was a high probability of a fresh outbreak of bird flu during the spring bird-migration season. Following World Health Organization confirmation that five out of seven people earlier infected with bird flu in Azerbaijan had died, Ismail Gasanov said disturbing reports about growing risks were coming in from some parts of the country. He added that domestic poultry would be vaccinated and control over poultry farms would be tightened. At the same time he said there were substantially fewer wildfowl deaths in the republic because migratory birds were already leaving the country. Veterinary services have destroyed 26,000 dead wild birds since the latest outbreak began. The WHO said Thursday that tests conducted by experts showed that all the seven people known to have been infected with the potentially lethal H5N1 strain of the virus had fallen ill after coming into contact with wild birds. There was some good news, though, as a 10-year-old boy has recovered and been discharged from the hospital, while a 15-year-old girl is still being treated. Earlier this month, Azerbaijan confirmed the deaths of three people, who like the recent victims came from two villages in the east of the country. http://en.rian.ru/world/20060324/44784513.html |
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I do not know if this is a new case or one that has been listed above.
One Infected with Bird Flu Receives Treatment in Hospital
24/03/2006 21:40 15-year-old resident of Salyan region still receives treatment in hospital. Her tests made in London laboratory proved to be H5N1 positive. http://www.bakutoday.net/view.php?d=18458 |
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NUMBER OF BIRD DEATHS DECREASED
March 23, 2006, 21:34:10 Baku, 23 March (AzerTAg). The number of bird deaths has significantly decreased to 3-5 a day, Minister of Ecology and Natural Resources Huseyngulu Bagirov said. Bird deaths have been recently registered in Absheron peninsular and area of Gilazi. Because of the spring bird migration season, which ends in late April, the Ministry is now engaged in compilation of data concerning the countries from which migrant birds can come flying, epidemiological situation in those countries and spread of bird flu. http://www.azertag.com/en/index.shtml?language=english&catid=&news_year=&news_month=&news_day=&newsid=168195&themes_viewing=&themes_page=&themeid=&news_page= |
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I only want to add this because I was reading through the WHO report about were these outbreaks are occuring ...and WHO says they are on holiday well this is what I found out about the holiday they have and it is celebrated in many countries...
I knwo religion is not a part of the disscussion this artical is just to point out a fact of kids going door to door for treats...
Celebrated on the first day of Spring, Novruz is the favourite holiday in Azerbaijan, and remains a strong tradition also in Iran, Afghanistan, Turkey and in central Asia. It has a remarkable endurance and survival capacity, being of non Islamic origin it managed to retain its importance after the Arab conquest and in this century survived Soviet attempts to destroy it.
Novruz, from the Farsi 'new day', is a celebration of the spring Equinox (which marks the new year in Iran). It has been celebrated by all the major cultures of ancient Mesopotamia. Sumerians, 3000BC, Babylonians 2000 BC, the ancient kingdom of Elam in Southern Persia 2000BC, Akaddians all have been celebrating it in one form or another. What we have today as Novruz has been celebrated for at least 3000 years and is deeply rooted in the traditions of Zoroastrian belief system. This was the religion of Ancient Persia before the advent of Islam 1400 years ago. It is known as the mother religion in the area. The familiar concepts of Hell, Heaven, Resurrection, coming of the Messiah, individual and last judgment were for the first time incorporated into this belief system. They still exist in Judo-Christian and Islamic traditions. Zoroaster the architect of Zoroatrianism introduced many feasts, festivals and rituals to pay homage to the seven creations and the holly immortals. Seven were amongst the most important. They are known as Gahambars, feasts of obligation. The last and the most elaborate was Novruz, celebrating the Lord of Wisdom and the holly fire at the time of spring equinox. What we have today as Novruz goes back to the Sassanid period. They were the last great Persian Empire before the advent of Islam 1400 years ago. Their celebrations would start five days prior to the New Year. They believed the guardian angles would come down to earth within these five days to visit their human counter parts. A major spring-cleaning was carried out to welcome them with feasts and celebrations. Bon fires would be set on rooftops at night to indicate to the guardian angles that humans were ready to receive them. This was called Suri Festival. At its core, the Novruz festival celebrates the awakening of the natural life. This awakening symbolizes the triumph of good, winning against the evil forces of darkness that are represented by the Winter. Novruz is the point when the oppressive presence of the cold Winter finally begins to retrieve with the commencement of the lively and hopeful Spring. This symbolic and poetic change corresponds to the mathematical instance of the sun leaving the zodiac of Pisces and entering the zodiacal sign of Aries, also known as the Spring Equinox. As implied by its timing and natural significance, Novruz is a time of renewal and symbolizes rebirth, awakening, cleanliness and newness. Trees are pruned, fileds are cleared. A tradition is the annual Novruz cleaning. Families wash their rugs and draperies, clean and wax their furniture and often repaint their homes' interior. An almost iconic tradition associated with Nowrooz is when every person buys at least one set of new clothes, families visit elders and friends in their new clothes. Several things are used to symbolize the occasion, in Azerbaijan sprouted wheat is a favourite. The celebrations begin four weeks before the actual day of Novruz. These four weeks - or, exactly four Wednesdays - are each devoted to one of the four elements and called correspondingly. On the last Wednsday before Novruz people light bonfires and jump over them, as in similar Spring festivities in Europe. Tradition holds that the living are visited by the spirits of their ancestors on the last days of the year. Children symbolically reenact the visits. They jump over bonfires and run through the streets, banging on pots and pans with spoons and knocking on doors to ask for treats. This ritual is called qashogh-zany and reenacts the beating out of the last unlucky Wednesday of the year. The menu varies from a great deal from region to region, but for Novruz abundant meals are prepared and ritually seven objects are laid on the tables. Children enjoy this holiday very much, since they get present from their elders, often in the form of money. Note: you'll come across several spellings for Novruz: Nowrooz, Nowruz, Noruz, No Ruz |
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oknut
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Wouldn't you think that someone in the hospital with suspected bird flu would be tested immediately? How can someone be there long enough to recover and be released and still be only "suspected"? We hear all sorts of numbers of people with flu symptoms and suspected cases, but never see whether or not they tested positive or negative. Sorry for posting as guest, but I cannot login again. Deb (oknut) |
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Maryk... This story is from a YEAR AGO.
We have been caught by this before... something about the search engine or search aggregate used.. pulls the month and day but ignores the year.
Thank you for being on the look out for this sort of news. It takes us all to be vigilant.
Please don't feel bad! You weren't the first and you won't be the last!
SZ
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Maryk
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Someone forgot to tell the virus in Baku, that it's not suppose to be that easy to infect someone's lungs. |
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Fla_Medic
Adviser Group Joined: March 17 2006 Status: Offline Points: 87 |
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And this reported this morning . . . Teenager taken to Baku hospital with suspected bird fluBAKU. March 23 (Interfax) - A teenager has been hospitalized in Baku with suspected bird flu, the Azerbaijani Health Ministry press service told Interfax on Thursday. "A fifteen-year-old girl from the Salyan district was taken to Baku's Clinic No. 2 with suspected bird flu," press service head Samaya Mamedova said. The condition of the patient is serious but stable, she said. Another patient with suspected bird flu has recovered and been discharged from hospital, Mamedova said. |
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Fear grips Azerbaijan bird flu region
22 Mar 2006 17:56:53 GMT Source: Reuters SALYAN, Azerbaijan, March 22 (Reuters) - The village at the centre of Azerbaijan's human bird flu outbreak is so gripped by fear that local people refused to attend the victims' funerals for fear of getting ill, a villager said on Wednesday. Four of the five victims of bird flu in Azerbaijan were from the village of Daikend in the Salyan region of southern Azerbaijan. Two young women and a boy were members of the same extended family. A third girl was a family friend. "No one went to the funerals of those girls," said Ilham Salamov, who lives in Daikend and had come into the regional capital Salyan, about 20 km (13 miles) away. "Everyone is afraid. There is panic in the village. Everyone is scared about bird flu." Missing a neighbour's funeral is considered deeply shameful in rural Azerbaijan, where traditional Muslim values hold strong. "I am afraid my children will also get ill and I am afraid to let them go to school. I have forbidden them from going near the Askerov family (to which three of the victims belonged)," said Salamov.Officials from the World Health Organisation (WHO) said the outbreak seems to have stabilised in Azerbaijan -- a mainly Muslim republic that borders Russia, Iran and Turkey. Government officials appear on television nightly telling people the virus is picked up only through contact with infected birds and -- so far at least -- cannot pass from human to human. On a road leading into Salyan, public health workers wearing protective masks, suits and boots were stopping cars and spraying their tyres with disinfectant. But near to the epicentre of the outbreak, some people do not trust the official assurances. Rumours spread quickly through the close-knit communities. "Last week one of my acquaintances was ill and it was bird flu, although the doctors said it wasn't," said Haydar, a 71-year-old man from Salyan. "I am sure there are a lot of people sick with bird flu but the authorities are hiding it." http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L22661112.htm |
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WHO Suspects 14 People Infected with Bird Flu in
Azerbaijan Created: 20.03.2006 16:56 MSK (GMT +3), Updated: 17:05 MSK, 2 hours MosNews "Experts from the World Health Organization suspect 14 more people are infected with bird flu in Azerbaijan where two girls died of the the H5N1 virus earlier this month, Interfax reported Monday. A group of WHO experts reported their suspicions after visiting the Salyansky district of Azerbaijan, 150 km to the south of the capital Baku. Earlier three residents of the district were provisionaly diagnosed with bird flu. Meanwhile, the state commission for preventing the spread of bird flu in Azerbaijan and coordinating the work of relevant government bodies has issued a statement that says no new areas of bird flu outbreak have been discovered, Regnum news agency said. “Bird flu has not been discovered in new areas. The Health Ministry has said no-one has been hospitalized [with suspected bird flu> in recent days, and that it has stockpiled the medications and disinfectants necessary to prevent and treat the bird flu virus,” the statement read." http://mosnews.com/news/2006/03/20/azerflu.shtml |
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Azeri deaths to take grim bird flu toll past 100
Tue Mar 14, 2006 12:35 PM GMT By Stephanie Nebehay GENEVA (Reuters) - Avian flu was believed to have claimed another three lives in Azerbaijan, taking the death toll from the virus beyond 100, while secretive Myanmar on Tuesday tackled its first outbreak in birds. Test results showing three Azeris had died of bird flu were reliable, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said, adding it awaited confirmation from a British laboratory. While it remains mostly a disease of poultry, bird flu can occasionally infect humans and has previously killed at least 98 people in seven countries in Asia and the Middle East. Scientists fear it is only a matter of time before the H5N1 virus mutates into a form that passes easily among people, triggering a pandemic which could kill millions and cripple the global economy. Azerbaijan is located on the Caspian Sea, sandwiched between Russia and Iran. It also shares a border with Turkey where four children died from bird flu in January. In recent weeks, bird flu has spread deep into Europe, taken hold in Africa and flared anew in Asia, adding urgency to efforts to contain its spread and prevent a pandemic. International agencies are rushing protection suits and testing kits to Myanmar as the secretive Asian country battles its first outbreak of bird flu. The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) agreed to send $40,000 worth of equipment to help the former Burma contain the outbreak on a farm in the central Mandalay region. "The situation is under control. The FAO and other agencies are helping us," Than Daing, deputy director general of the Livestock Breeding & Veterinary Department, told Reuters. AFGHANISTAN WARNING Afghan President Hamid Karzai told his people to avoid touching chickens as the country awaited test results to determine if bird flu found in five chickens is the H5N1 strain. "Don't touch chickens at the moment, until this virus is finished," Karzai told farmers at an agriculture meeting in Kabul. There is concern that Afghanistan, with weak veterinary and health sectors after decades of war, will struggle to contain an outbreak. Azerbaijan, which lies at the crossroads between Asia and Europe, said late on Monday that three people who died this month had been infected with bird flu. The results came from a mobile laboratory brought into Azerbaijan from the U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit in Cairo, WHO spokesman Dick Thompson said. The tests were positive for H5 avian flu, but the exact strain of the virus was not yet known. The infected people were thought to be members of a family from the Salyan region, in southern Azerbaijan near the Caspian Sea coast, who were admitted to hospital early in March with suspected bird flu. Four of them died. Azeri officials said a further six people from the same area who were in hospital with suspected bird flu were not infected. Relatives told local media that the infected family kept poultry in their house, a common practice in rural Azerbaijan. (For more stories, pictures and video on bird flu see http:// today.reuters.com/news/globalcoverage2.aspx?src=cms) (Additional reporting by Aung Hla Tun in Yangon, Yousuf Azimy in Kabul) |
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http://www.azertag.com/en/index.shtml? language=english&catid=&news_year=&news_month=&news_day=&new sid =166750&themes_viewing=&themes_page=&themeid=&news_page= |
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Mahshadin
Admin Group Joined: January 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 3882 |
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I guess they cant just keep denying it anymore
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"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." G Orwell
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araywood
Adviser Group Joined: March 04 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 206 |
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BIRd FLU SCARY. Him REALLY SCARY!
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NO NEWS IS WHO NEWS
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http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/03/13/health/ main1393075.shtml The winner of the Survivor Afganistan: immunity challenge. |
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http://eng.primenewsonline.com/?c=124&a=6780 |
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outsidethecamp
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 16 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 361 |
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Women...
= the passion in this world. Anybody beg to differ? God bless us all... Peggy in MN |
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http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM. 20060312.wcdc0312/BNStory/specialScienceandHealth/home I guess the CDC geeks have to constantly fight off those groupies. |
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outsidethecamp
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 16 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 361 |
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Rick...
Believe me, there is nothing like it. (The grandson, I mean.) Keep fighting for this...I've been blessed beyond belief! Tonight, he called me "Auntie"! It was priceless. I'll take that anyday! He kissed me goodbye by putting his little tongue on my eye. I love that kid more than anything I've ever loved in my life! By God, I'm gonna do everything I can do to protect him! Gotta get more diapers! Keep prepping all...keep prepping. For EVERYBODY you love, even though they don't see what's about to come, do it because YOU LOVE THEM. A tongue on my eye is worth any bird in the bush!!! God help us all... Peggy in MN |
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This is more than one person that shares your concerns. The reason I do
this is that, I hope to have a grandson to play with one day. Live in hope never die in despair. Toronto Star, March 12, 2006. Excerpt: "A leading scientist in the field of genetic sequencing is calling on publicly funded U.S. researchers and research organizations to throw open their collections of H5N1 avian flu viruses to allow others to work toward lessening the pandemic threat the virus poses. Steven Salzberg wants the U.S. Centers for Disease Control as well as researchers funded by the National Institutes of Health to place their virus sequence data in open- access databanks on an as-processed basis. He hopes such a move would entice scientists elsewhere, as well as governments in H5N1-afflicted countries, to end a pattern of virus hoarding many believe is undermining the world's ability to battle H5N1. "I think what ought to happen is that the U.S., starting with people funded by NIH and the CDC itself ought to start releasing all of their data and all of their samples — and lead by example," says Salzberg, director of the Center for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology at the University of Maryland. "Because one complaint I've heard from other scientists in other countries is: 'Hey, the CDC in the U.S. doesn't release all their data. So why should we?' http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thes tar/ LayoutArticle_Type1&c=Article&pubid=968163964505&cid=1142203 809 676&col=968705899037&call_page=TS_News&call_pageid=968332188 4 92&call_pagepath=News/News |
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outsidethecamp
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 16 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 361 |
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Rick...You are the best!
Thank you, Thank you, Thank you! for all your hard work & fantastic research. While I'm busy playing with my grandson, trying to teach him to say "Gamma", you're busy researching the latest news for us & providing us with up-to-date news articles. I want you to know that I, personally, can't thank you enough. Okay, one thing that really stuck out to me tonight from Rick's posts was this...
What will be the first signs of a pandemic? "In one possible scenario, we will see clusters of respiratory illness from one region. ---------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------ Now, from everything I've read, haven't we already seen an obvious H2H cluster in Azerbaijan? What's with the WHO? Isn't the criterion for raising the alert that we start seeing H2H clusters? WHO in the h#ll is in charge? So much for waiting on the World Health Organization to be truthful. God help us all... Peggy in MN |
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Fiddlerdave
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Negative ion generators are cheap, $30 or $40 and up. If they really improve the filtering efficiency of a mask by 10 to 100 times, they would be a MUST HAVE.
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Dave
"Ask not for whom the bell tolls, it tolls for us"! |
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Fiddlerdave
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According to the diagram, and my understanding of ion activity, by adding ions to the air, they will attract to surface of the mask normally if you put them in the air with your ion generator. Negative ions are reputed to have some positive heallth effects. Positive ions (as shown in this drawing) can have negative effects. I am not certain it would matter to use negative ions instead of positive - negative may produce the same response involving the mask. A negative ion generator does pull very small particles out of the air. I will try to research this more (can't make the link work to see more info there) Some health effects of ions: |
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Dave
"Ask not for whom the bell tolls, it tolls for us"! |
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Corn
Valued Member Joined: December 13 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1219 |
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nice art work. kids must of had fun with that project. anyway, can we ionize our mask? and how? |
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Speculation is the only tool we have with a threat that can circle the globe in 30 days. Test results&news is slow.Factor in human conditions,politics, money&bingo!The truth!Facts come after the fact.
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by Sergey Grinshpun, PhD Center for Health-Related Aerosol Studies, University of Cincinnati Workshop on Respiratory Protection for Airborne Infectious Agents November 30 - December 1, 2004 Atlanta, GA http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/resources/pressrel/announceme nts/ 113004wkshp/pdfs/Presentation%2009_Sergey%20Grinshpun.pdf http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/resources/pressrel/announceme nts/ 113004wkshp/presentations.html Department of Environmental Health, Center for Health-Related Aerosol Studies, University of Cincinnati, P.O. Box 670056, 3223 Eden Avenue, Cincinnati, OH 45267-0056, USA by Sergey Grinshpun, PhD Center for Health-Related Aerosol Studies, University of Cincinnati Workshop on Respiratory Protection for Airborne Infectious Agents November 30 - December 1, 2004 Atlanta, GA http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/resources/pressrel/announceme nts/ 113004wkshp/pdfs/Presentation%2009_Sergey%20Grinshpun.pdf http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/resources/pressrel/announceme nts/ 113004wkshp/presentations.html Department of Environmental Health, Center for Health-Related Aerosol Studies, University of Cincinnati, P.O. Box 670056, 3223 Eden Avenue, Cincinnati, OH 45267-0056, USA Abstract: We developed a novel concept that allows to considerably improve the performance of conventionally used filtering-facepiece respirators against ne and ultra finne aerosols including airborne viral and bacterial agents. The concept is based on the continuous emission of unipolar ions. The e ect was evaluated through the real-time monitoring of the concentration and size distribution of ne and ultra fine aerosol particles. The measurements were conducted inside and outside of a respiratory mask that was face sealed on a breathing manikin. A commonly used Type N95 respirator and surgical mask were utilized for the tests. The manikin was placed in a 24.3-m3 indoor test chamber and exposed to polydisperse surrogate aerosols simulating viral and bacterial particles with respect to the aerodynamic size. The particle penetration through the mask was found to decrease by one-to-two orders of magnitude as a result of continuous unipolar ion emission in the chamber. The influx of air ions migrated to the breathing zone and imparted electrical charges of the same polarity to the aerosol particles and the respirator lter surface. This created an electrostatic shield along the external surface of the filter, thus enhancing the protection characteristics provided by the respirator. The above performance enhancement e ect is crucial for minimizing the infectious risk in the cases when the conventional ltering-facepiece respirators are not able to provide an adequate protection against airborne viruses and bacteria. http://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/resources/pressrel/announceme nts/ 113004wkshp/pdfs/Presentation%2009_Sergey%20Grinshpun.pdf - some kid called Picassso did the art for me, he was in sheltered workshop, what can I say. |
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Corn, for years I've kept a mental list of the 5 people I'd want to be stranded on a desert island with. For much of my adult life, it was 4 young movie starlets and Issac Asimov (for mental stimulation).
Now that Issac is gone, I'm thinking I'd like to put you (at the bottom, of course) of my short list. You seriously crack me up! Keep up the good work. |
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Corn
Valued Member Joined: December 13 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1219 |
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Colleen yes, who knows? I have 4-6 days left on my earlier call of h2h jumping out of the box prediction. unless a big suprise awaits all we get is this dribble of cases, the current trickle of cases though, is a significant amount compared to the dribble we got 3 months ago. we get used to the news. 3 months ago one or two deaths or cases a bi weekly and we were concerned. now we gt 10-20 suspected and 5-7 deaths a week and we still say "we'll not to bad don't see drastic spread.". so in another 3 months from the current trend in the news reports. (not based on exponentals) 3 months from now we'll get 25-30 deaths a week and 200 suspected cases? and say "oh what a slow week." All I really want to know is "about when" so that I can aviod exposure early. We're all looking for just the right time so at the last minute we can bug out. Don't care for all the bad news but have to keep abreast to monitor the "reported" spread.. I say we're getting about 20% of the news. another 20% we dig for. another 20% is being purposely held back and 40% of whats really happening in remote areas etc not even the WHO can't keep up with. cases go misdiagnosed and unreported. the reported cases are just the tip of and iceburg. so if they say 5 you can andd another 20 and make it 25. It's the 40% I'm concerned about. somethings going on. not enough information. wish we got all the news............ Let us see what next week brings ....I have to be in Nashville wed-fri people=germs..I'm going to invent the "Body Condom."non-lubricated of course, |
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Speculation is the only tool we have with a threat that can circle the globe in 30 days. Test results&news is slow.Factor in human conditions,politics, money&bingo!The truth!Facts come after the fact.
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I think we have a ways to go yet. I do think it's h2h but not that easily spread yet, seems to stick to family units, I think we will begin to see towns,maybe in another month. JMO Though what ever happen to the quarantined town in India, that must be over now? |
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Hey Corn-I noticed the same thing about the reporter's guide
rightaway.-The phrase"once cases begin to be intentified as the new
infuenza strain......"
does not make any sense to me. Whether they are identified as such or not, has nothing to do with it's spread- right now there are not indentified, or amonth later. What good does that do?? silly folks:-( I think we 're in for some trouble. If they are having trouble at the beginning of the pandemic, how are they going to handle the rest of it. ? |
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Corn
Valued Member Joined: December 13 2005 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1219 |
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from who article in above post a few up W.H.O. Pandemic Guide for Journalists looks like we are already getting the dozen of reports stage. if you count just part of the pnumonia, mysteriuos fever, etc. reports we're getting close to the hundred report stage hell what we don't know....' we're probably at the hundred mark already, next week will tell it all. If it's gonna blow to where they can't hide it. Next week or so will tell. We're either fearmongering zealots or we're dead right on the money. I'd say if you compiled all the articles we could get last week their were close to a hundred suspected cases. My how the pace has changed from the weekly death report 3 months ago. we're getting 2-3 a day now. 3 months ago it was asias baby. now we pretty much lack 1/3 of the world left to report. which all the experts agree will be doing so in about no later than 6 months. For not ever being in a pandemic before or knowing what the start of one feels like. The last 3 months sure have been freaky. Next week will tell. everybody dig as deep as we can into the news,, web, searches etc. we might hit one hundred suspected cases in one day if we put 2 + 2 together. If we can do that it's pretty much a sure thing. it's coming. |
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Speculation is the only tool we have with a threat that can circle the globe in 30 days. Test results&news is slow.Factor in human conditions,politics, money&bingo!The truth!Facts come after the fact.
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Azerbaijan investigating possible family cluster
of bird flu cases, WHO says Canadian Press Saturday, March 11, 2006 GENEVA (CP) - Health authorities in Azerbaijan are investigating a worrisome cluster of possible human cases of H5N1 avian influenza, the World Health Organization said Thursday. A total of 11 suspected cases, including eight members of the same family, are being assessed, WHO spokeswoman Maria Cheng said. Of the 11 suspect cases, three people have died and one is listed in serious condition in hospital. "Currently there are signs that suggest this could be a human H5N1 cluster," Cheng said. "But we don't know that right now. We still need to do more thorough epidemiological investigation and wait for the lab results." "It certainly looks a bit suspicious, but we don't have enough information to draw conclusions." Though all human cases of avian flu are potentially dangerous, WHO pays particular attention to clusters of cases. While clusters may be the result of several people from the same family or village each having exposure to infected birds, they could also signal that the virus has passed from one person to another. It is believed there have been a number of cases of limited human-to- human transmission of the H5N1 virus. But any sign of continued spread could mean the virus had mutated in ways that would allow it to more easily jump to and between people. The possible cases in Azerbaijan have been reported in two villages, Sarvan and Daikend, in the eastern part of the country. They are near Baku, where that country's first reported H5N1 outbreaks in birds occurred. Reports received by the WHO suggest some of the possible cases may have recovered and left hospital. Cheng said specimens from the suspected cases, including the people who have died, will be sent to Britain's National Institute of Medical Research for testing. The North London lab is part of the WHO collaborating laboratory network. Cheng said it wasn't yet clear if the samples could be sent Thursday. "We're waiting, I think, to see if they need more containers to ship the samples." A three-member team from the WHO has been in Azerbaijan assisting local authorities with avian flu risk assessment and helping with the investigation. The team is made up of an epidemiologist, an infection control expert and a laboratory specialist. Early indications suggest that at least some of the possible cases had a history of contact with poultry. And Cheng said it was known that there have been poultry outbreaks in this region. "We know in that area there were sick and dying poultry and in neighbouring districts they had confirmed H5N1." At present there has been no discussion of sending a larger WHO team to Azerbaijan, and authorities there have not asked the WHO for additional help. "It hasn't been raised yet. Certainly we'd be prepared to do that if the country made that request," Cheng said. http://www.canada.com/topics/news/agriculture/story.html? id=eb8e2204-6c7c-4618-9638-1112fe45feb3&k=75559 |
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Rick, Thank you so much for the news articles and maps! It makes it so much easier to see the big picture. I can't tell you how much I appreciate it. |
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"Nobody seems to care or have any concerns. What is one to do?" -------------- Try to apply some emotional triage with your finite resources, to take care of those that you care for most, get prepared and stay informed. |
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That seems a common complaint here in the UK as well. Welcome Barley.
have good look round and you will see lots of ideas |
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Barley
Valued Member Joined: March 11 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 1 |
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I am finding it hard to find out information that is current on the BF, Luckily I found this site today. Thanks for all the info. I am a nurse and every time I mention the BF to my fellow workers (including doctors) , they just seem to think it is just a joke that will never happen here and are not prepared for when it does explode into a pandemic that spreads rapidly. This is scary because I work for a Major Hospital in a large city. Nobody seems to care or have any concerns. What is one to do?
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trying to stay informed.....
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W.H.O. Pandemic Guide for Journalists
What will be the first signs of a pandemic? "In one possible scenario, we will see clusters of respiratory illness from one region. Clusters of illness could indicate transmission between people, including casual contacts and health-care workers. Once cases begin to be identified as a new influenza strain, the disease may spread very rapidly, beyond family members and health care personnel, into the general population. This will be the start of a pandemic. Next, we will likely see dozens of cases being reported in a single day, followed by hundreds. Once the pandemic starts, it will be nearly impossible for any surveillance system to miss it." http://www.who.int/csr/don/Handbook_influenza_pandemic_dec05 .pdf |
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http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-03/11/content_4288408 .htm |
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http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/content/influenza/avianflu/ news/ mar1006human.html |
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PITTSBURGH, March 10 /PRNewswire/ -- Recombinomics
fully supports the appeal by Dr. Llaria Capua of the OIE/FAO Reference Laboratory for AvianInfluenza at the Istituto Zooprofilattica Sperimentale delle Venezie inPadova, Italy to allow influenza researchers worldwide open access to H5N1sequences collected by the WHO. Currently, most of the recently collected H5N1 gene sequences are sequestered in a private, WHO controlled database, which can only be accessed by 15 laboratories. These sequences should be made available immediately to the general scientific community. The sequences are essential in pandemic vaccine development and should be accessible to all. This week the United States government announced a new pandemic vaccinetarget, the H5N1 sequence from a patient in Indonesia. Although available sequences indicate several pandemic vaccine targets would be desirable, theutility of the chosen sequence cannot be independently evaluated because noneof the H5N1 sequences from human patients in Indonesia are publicly available. Similarly, no sequences from confirmed H5N1 positive human patients in Turkey,Iraq, and China are available outside of the private WHO database. Considering the hundreds of millions that will likely be spent in manufacturing a "new" vaccine against H5N1, additional research and analysisby the scientific community would be both warranted and potentiallybeneficial. On February 28, 2006, researchers at the Beijing Genomics Institute released H5N1 sequences under the submission title "A cohort of AIV H5N1subtypes isolated from wild aquatic birds and domestic poultry revealed rapid transmission, frequent reassortment, and identifiable recombination." Recombinomics has released a series of commentaries detailing the examples ofrecombination in these newly released sequences, including single nucleotidepolymorphisms. These newly released public sequences provide compelling evidence of recombination in the H5N1 virus's evolution. "Release of recent H5N1 sequences is essential," said Recombinomics President, Henry L. Niman, Ph.D. "These sequences provide a roadmap of where H5N1 has been and where it isgoing. They also can be used to predict new sequences of new strains of H5N1before they emerge. These data are critical for effective vaccine development." Recombinomics has used the available public sequences to predict the acquisition of HA S227N in the Middle East in the fall of 2005. The prediction was verified in sequences from the index case in Turkey. Similarly, Recombinomics has predicted the acquisition of G228S form H1N1 inswine in Europe this spring. Both of these genetic changes increase theaffinity of influenza for human receptors and increase the efficiency of H5N1transmission to humans. These predications are dependent upon a full andcurrent sequence database. Through this patent pending approach, Recombinomics identifies novel gene targets for new vaccines, which in turn allows manufacturers to develop vaccines in advance of the emergence of new genetically altered, and potentially pandemic viral strains. About Recombinomics, Inc. -- The Company was founded by Dr. Henry Niman, a former Scripps Institute Assistant Member, based on his pioneering work in the area of viral evolution. Dr. Niman's research identified recombination as the underlying mechanism driving rapid genetic change, allowing him to file a series of patents based on a deep understanding of this paradigm shifting process. Recombinomics is in the process of commercializing its patent-pending approach to significantly improve the standard vaccine development process. Recombinomics, through its analysis and commentary section of its website(http://www.recombinomics.com ), has been consistently ahead of both the scientific community and government agencies in anticipating the genetic evolution and geographic expansion of H5N1. Contact Information: Dr. Henry Niman President Recombinomics, Inc. 648 Field Club Road, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15238 Tel. 866.973.2662 henry_niman@recombinomics.com |
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Mahshadin
Admin Group Joined: January 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 3882 |
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WOW Rick nice coverage of an area (Hot Spot) Map gives better perspective to how closely linked all of these reports are. |
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"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." G Orwell
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virusil
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 26 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 450 |
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get ready this is human clusters,prep
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ignorance.
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