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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Peace on the horizon ?
Korea US-perspective:http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2177-breaking-trump-to-meet-kim-jung-un-by-may China-perspective:https://news.cgtn.com/news/316b544e786b7a6333566d54/share_p.html Russia-perspective:https://www.rt.com/usa/420830-korea-kim-trump-letter/, http://theduran.com/lavrov-trump-kim-talks-consider-step-right-direction/ DJ-https://www.globalresearch.ca/north-korea-deafening-silence-around-the-moon-putin-plan/5625321 is in progress. To put it a bit cynical; Putin is giving Trump room to solve the (US-made) Korea-crisis on Russia/China terms. Syria https://www.debka.com/ayatollah-khamenei-is-lone-nuclear-holdout-after-kims-invitation-to-trump/. DJ In recent days again the US came with chemical weapons-story, Israel would like to "somebody do something with Iran". Reality is that Russia is in a position to deal with the situation-the US is not. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-syrian-army-kicks-off-powerful-pincer-assault-to-split-east-damascus-pocket-into-3-parts/ East Ghouta last days as "rebel-zone". Afrin https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/turkish-troops-to-enter-afrin-city-at-any-moment-erdogan/ falling in Turkish hands. "The west" has to sit and watch the events. They could drop some bombs on some pro-Assad forces and than what ? It will not make any change. Afghanistan and NE-Africa https://southfront.org/contest-for-the-horn-of-africa/ becoming new frontlines.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/03/syria-sitrep-afrin-idlib-and-east-ghouta.html DJ-good overview, good comments Talks https://www.debka.com/mivzak/161416/ Netanyahu-Trump on Iran https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803051062223141-syria-eastern-ghouta-turkey-france/ (DJ-Afrin has 1 million inhabitants-Turkey may have killed over 3000, East Ghouta has (maximum) 400.000 hostages kept by terrorists (even for UN)-NATO has to defend the terrorists and not the Kurds ?) Israel https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803051062227333-israel-iran-military-presence-syria/DJ; Netanyahu is facing prison for corruption-so he needs an enemy to stay in power. US https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803041062208032-soleimani-documents-reportedly-prooving-us-daesh-collusion/ and https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803051062226964-iraq-us-presence-daesh-terrorists/ DJ-The US created alquada, IS, etc to make an excuse for staying in the Middle East. Iran https://www.rt.com/news/420435-france-iran-sanctions-missiles/ DJ-Europe has 3M's May. Merkel and Macron. Macron thinks he is Napoleon. Making an Iran-deal unworkable could split the EU even further. Egypt https://www.debka.com/egypt-conducts-first-ever-air-strikes-nile-delta-terrorist-targets/ DJ-The situation in Egypt under el-Sisi is getting worse. "Rebels" between Cairo and Alexandria looks like bad news. El-Sisi depends on Saudi money. Niger https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-graphic-video-us-special-forces-troops-film-getting-gunned-isis-ambush-west-africa/ DJ- Four US soldiers murdered by IS DJ-After the Putin speech comments went from "chance for Putin-Trump meeting" to "Russia almost declaring war". Most likely somewere in between the extremes. Considerations: -The US military is already overstretched-unless there are "new troops" the US is not ready for another major war. -Russia-as long as Putin can claim Russia is gaining something in the Middle East he will remain popular in Russia (He will win the March 18 elections). Russia has moved itself on the negotiating table-while the US made themselves impossible for most Middle East/Muslim countries. But Russia has to show results (soon) ! -Israel-Netanyahu is trying to stay out of prison-but he may face arrest for corruption soon. That puts Israel in a position not to start any conflict. (Proberbly the military and political "top" will stop Netanyahu from doing "stupid things") -Iran needs Russia and China. Does want good relations with EU. Also here for political reasons limits on actions. -Turkey, Erdogan may get himself moving into other parts of Syria. This puts him in risk for war with Syria. "Conflict" with Iran and Russia. Still if Turkey can get EU-membership, extra western investments etc (or the promis of) he may take those steps. Erdogan is a "wild card many countries want to get rid of him. -China does need the New Silk Road to keep its economy going. So more "push" towards Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan, Turkey (and Russia). -Korea-the unificationdream is far from over. South Korea wants to send a delegation to North Korea for (more) talks. Russia and China proberbly very involved. The US seems to keep repeating itself-NK has to give up its nukes before any talks with the US. (Even the EU wants the US to think of something better). All-in-all; the US by trade-wars (sanctions are a part of it) is getting isolated. On some issues the US may get some support (France and UK want to keep some influence in the Middle East). The US foreign policy is getting less support around the globe. DJ-The US "problem" is "wild-capitalism" in wich companies tell the government what to do. Inside the US is becoming almost a police state, outside the US only thinks in conflict. That does not work well !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2148-breaking-news-turkey-directly-bombs-syrian-army-troops-dozens-killed-bombing-continuing, https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/3-march-afrinop-names-of-30-proassad-fighters-popular-forces DJ-Both in Afrin and in Deir Ezzor https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/3-march-deir-ezzur-eastern-countryside-air-raids-the-international pro-Assad forces under NATO attack (to give it that name. Turkey is still a NATO-member. It's operation against Kurds is more and more turning into an anti-Assad-pro jihadi's operation. In Eastern Syria the US is defending oilfields they did steel from the Assad-government (just like the US did steel Iraq-oil) DJ-Hal Turner is claiming that Syria may start bringing down Turkish planes in Syria airspace. (Some reports indicate Syria may have brought down a Turkish gunship-Turkey attacking Syrian forces a reaction). Russia would be trying to get some control on this fight. https://www.debka.com/trump-putin-netanyahu-try-back-away-violent-clash-syria/ DJ-On request of Israel Russia stopped Iran trying to get a navy-base in Syria (proberbly in return Iran may be allowed to use Russian facilities. Russia wants Israel to use its influence on the Kurds in Syria. When the Kurds would have accepted to be part of Syria under Assad there would not be a Turkish-Kurdish war. (DJ-Russia did NOT give Turkey permission to invade Afrin Syria. In Russian perspective Russia can not even give such permission-Syria is not Russian. Russia was informed by Erdogan; the (US backed) Kurds have to stop being a risk for Turkey otherwise we invade. Russia informed the Kurds (and Assad) on that. Turkey and Russia need eachother. In practice Israel may even be one of the reasons Russia is in Syria. If Russia would not be in Syria Iran would dominate Syria and Lebanon-Israel does not want that, can not stop that. The US is not in a position to do anything usefull any longer-Russia has the cards. Other reasons for Russia in Syria:1- protecting allies (after other long term friends of Russia/Soviet Union were lost; Libya, Iraq, Egypt (in a certain way) 2-oil/gas (for a part to be exploited by Russian companies, but also Dutch Shell is in Syria) 3-to get a control on Asia (also for working with China-New Silk Road is not only in interest of China, even more important for Russia-puts Russia in the middle.) https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/3-march-saa-tiger-forces-cut-road-betwen-shifuniyah-and-masraba Pro-Assad forces are taking over East Ghouta "high speed". Limited time for the "rebels" to come with "false flag-events" (and with active Russia/Syria air defense, Russia-Israeli talks on Iran-influence and limited goals-"the west" can have a "big mouth war-of-words but there is a limit to what they can do. NATO wants to keep Turkey in NATO at almost all costs, the US may have to accept some influence on Middle East energy for pulling out it's forces out of Syria, Iraq-and at the end also Afghanistan. The price for the US may become to high.) Ukraine https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/ukraine-freezes-after-russia-halts-gas-deliveries Transport of Siberian gas to the EU is an important source of income for the Ukraine. The Kiëv-junta does want to solve the "problems with the Russian minorities" in a military way. Russia is not willing to enable that. The US promis of more weapons (on credit-Ukraine is broke, corrupt to the bone-just like many other US allies) is making Russia to use this "weapon". Korea https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/lindsey-graham-fighting-war-north-korea-would-be-worth-it DJ-Of course when politicians want to start yet another war I think they should stand in front on the battlefield. (Most politicians never did see war, prevented their family for being in war. Maybe it should be asked from politicians when they decide on war and peace to have lived in a war for at least one year. You do not create hell once you have been there !) US Tradewars https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/trump-threatens-europe-we-will-apply-retaliatory-tax-their-cars DJ-US cars most of the time fail EU enviroment-rules. Trump does not care for the enviroment. The US may need some friends left when they "want to rule the world" after also breaking up NAFTA. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/will-foreigners-retaliate-trumps-trade-war-dumping-us-treasuries DJ starting a tradewar with South Korea and China-at the same time expecting them to do what the US wants them to do does not work. US-Saudi Arabia https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/middle-easts-nuclear-technology-clock-starts-ticking DJ Making a Saudi nuclear weapon possible while trying everything to stop nuclear energy in Iran-and protecting Israel's nuclear weapons put the US in an impossible Middle East position. (Of course it is unwise to do any deals with the Saud royal over 10.000 people-family claiming they own Saudi Arabia. KSA is one of the most corrupt anti-democratic countries in the world. Supporter of IS, alquada etc. doing any kind of deals with Saudi Arabia is doing deals with (global) wahabi-terrorists.) China https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/change-coming-china-accelerating-its-plan-military-base-pakistan and https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/tiny-island-nation-youve-never-heard-has-become-global-battleground DJ-China did open bases in Djibuti (NE Africa-Red Sea, on the other side Yemen), is working on bases in Afghanistan, Sri Lanka and Pakistan. (Most likely already involved in Syria. Several thousend IS fighters come from western China.) China working very close with Pakistan is making India working with Iran (and Myamar-both those countries have problems with the US). The Japan-Australia-India-US anti China pact will not last long. Australia needs the China market (and China will remember the present Australia government of it !). South Korea is interested in the Asia-market-Japan will follow that road when things get more clear. India has always had good relations with Russia. The US wants TAPI not IPI ! (Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India oil/gas pipeline not Iran-Pakistan-India oil/gas pipeline) China wants to integrate both TAPI and IPI in a pipeline network supplying China with (a.o.) Russian energy. (The US did forget that a pipeline can be made longer-so it would connect Russia with Turkmenistan https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commonwealth_of_Independent_States#Membership) India needs the Chinese market to get their economy to grow. (They can not afford any major war-India is already dealing with climate change, agriculture-crises. Famine is around the corner. Russia is producing more grain/food, the US less-do to climate change. A global food-crisis is on its way, a matter of just a few years-at best.) "Press" https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/zuesse-americas-news-media-foment-hate, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/bill-mahers-rules-identifying-fake-news. DJ-The idea of a "free press" with most of the income for news coming from advertisors, press being an "industry"for profit may be outdated. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/one-company-now-owns-over-7-sp500-market-cap The "media" did become part of investments for multinationals-not only for profit also to create "market conditions", lobby-work. "Control of the info = control of investments". Where humans work human interests work. (Nothing is "holy", there are no "saints". People do things for their own reasons. DJ-I do like to understand the world we live in-how we came to this point in time, what the future may bring (scenario's).
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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US-Russia
DJ-Good article AND good comments-summing up the basics of the US-Russia conflict; who can dominate the global energy market. Looking at the comments (and good links) also the confusion on the situation. The Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Ukraine wars are all energy related. The US would like to exclude Russia as much as possible-does need the US-petro-$. The reality for the US is: 1-https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-02/army-major-explains-why-us-military-should-stay-out-iran US military are already overstretched (DJ-And using proxy fighters, other countries, may need US control) 2-https://sputniknews.com/world/201803021062158331-germany-tariffs-steel-aluminum-trump/, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-02/faster-america-grows-faster-america-goes-bust, the US is close to bankrupt ( forget https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-02/hypersonic-arms-race-erupts-darpa-director-demands-more-funding-counter-russia-the "old" strategy of starting an arms-race to break down the Soviet Union may have backfired.) 3-The main global buyer of energy (or anything else for that matter) is China. Allthough their energy-crisis forces China to buy wereever they can "the market" still gives enough room for China to make demands (like the petro-yuan). For energy Asia (and the South Chine Sea) has a lot of energy to offer at low transport costs. The US-Trump-lacks realism. China's economy will get larger than the US economy. China (buyer) and Russia (seller, "door to Europe") share a very large border. Most likely even Trump would like to avoid "very major war(s)"-http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/03/03/554146/north-korea-China-US-UN, http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/03/02/554123/US-military-Mark-Milley-North-Korea-conflict, https://www.rt.com/op-ed/420336-us-turkey-syria-afrin/-wich will do more harm than good for the US. DJ-In my opinion US/Trump foreign policies: -Are almost breaking up NATO (Turkey-exit) -damage US trade https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-02/gmo-global-trade-war-would-lead-40-market-crash and relations with NAFTA, EU etc. -Are pushing many countrie away from the US (South Korea, Turkey, Pakistan) Since the fall of the Soviet Union the "west" did choose the wrong path, instead of cooperation with Russia and China they choose confrontation (Yugoslavia-war, NATO even in Afghanistan, Pakistan !). If the US-at present-is unable to find a way out of the crisis others (EU) have a responsibility. Russia and China want to get their share of the global market. International cooperation is better than global war. A "united west" (Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand, Japan) would have more than enough "weight in the balance" to avoid getting "under Russia/China rule". (The west has been doing trade with backward countries like Saudi Arabia for decades.) Further western confrontation (with Russia) will damage the west. Eastern Europe, Australia, South Korea have "limited room" and need the China-Russia market. Russia will not accept western agression (in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Korea) much longer. "Adventures" of Israel against Iran put the west at risk. The madness has to stop now !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/03/02/554097/Syria-Turkey-Afrin-Assad-YPG-Kurds-Assad and https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-turkish-air-force-bombs-syrian-govt-forces-afrin-18-killed/, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803021062151363-fox-news-fake-report-iran-military-base-syria/, DJ-The picture I am getting is that the US, UK and France back alquada in Syria-may even use "chemical weapons" as excuse for intervention. Turkey getting more and more in confrontation with pro-Assad forces. https://southfront.org/militants-prepare-to-stage-chemical-attack-in-eastern-ghouta-syrian-media/ http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/2-march-syrian-state-sana-citing-military-sources-armed-groups. https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-march-1-2018-syrian-army-overruns-militant-defenses-in-eastern-ghouta/ DJ When you compare East Ghouta with the Alleppo-battle-the west had "agents in the area". That west may have to hide their support for the "rebels".https://southfront.org/russia-syrian-army-threaten-militants-in-northwestern-hama-with-military-operation/. Situation keeps getting worse-not good ! Russia-US Korea Saudi Arabia Afghanistan Ukraine US |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Russia
DJ-The picture is very grim in my opinion. The US did attack Russian forces several time in Syria, is sending more weapons to Ukraine, making threats against North Korea, Iran, Venezuela. Also the US may be playing some sort of role (sabotage ?) in the downing of Russian civilian aircraft. The US is against Nordstream, Turkstream etc-bringing Russian oil and gas to Europe. The US want energy to remain linked to the US-dollar. (DJ-I can understand that-without that link the US$ is getting maybe just 30% of the present "value") Also the US is pushing for other trade-wars (to Make America Great Again-destroy (all) other countries ???). In the 17th century the Netherlands for a short while "ruled the world"-but we did loose Nieuw Holland (now New York, but also Australia once had that name-the Dutch navigators did discover Australia but we did not put any people there), Dutch Brazil (Recife, once Mauritsstad), Singapore, Decima (near Nagasaki-the Dutch were the only westerners doing trade with parts of Japan) at the end also South Africa (Suid Afrika) and in 1949 had to say goodbye to the Dutch East Indies (Indonesia). Still at present the Netherlands has the 17th economy in the world, Dutch as a language is in the top 40 of most spoken languages. After the Dutch the British could claim to "rule the world", most of Africa, South Asia and some countries in the America's fell under the British crown. In the first half of the 20th century that changed-after 1945 the US became the most dominant power. Both the Dutch and the British tried to hang on to their dominant role. The Dutch can blame Napoleon, the British hitler-for the end of their "power"-partly. An other part of course is that nobody can be on top forever. Both the Netherlands and the UK did not become third world countries with the end of empire. The US seems to hang on to the illusion of being the only superpower. In military might one could say that the Russian-China cooperation already ended that status. Also in economy the US can not stop loosing their top-position. In my opinion history shows that the military way to try to stop being "#1" is not working. It would be wiser when the US did invest in good infrastructure, healthcare, education and housing instead of spending "zillions" on war and weapons. I put a load of links-but the story in my view is clear; the US has to change its route if it does not want to get into "very major conflict" (with lots of surprises-all countries would like to minimize their own damage while putting the opponent out of the fight-when possible with one strike.) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1Vx_Rb3n0w Israeli News Live giving his summary of the situation. The Duran has several articles; http://theduran.com/putin-us-deployed-5-cruisers-30-destroyers-near-russian-borders/ (DJ-Does the US want to encourage the Ukraine to start an offensive against Eastern-Ukraine(/Russia) Also the Saker: http://thesaker.is/join-the-live-conversation-with-casus-belli-on-march-3rd-2018/ (Most likely a two hour conversation of "how things may develop") Preparations: http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2140-survive (DJ-I do not agree with Hal Turner on many issues-but I think he is also correct on the crisis in the US). http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/u-s-national-news/2124-i-have-begun-the-process-of-planning-to-keep-this-web-site-publishing-in-the-event-war-breaks-out-and-the-us-is-attacked url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9KcQEmxGJY[/url] Israeli News Live-how you can keep in touch with them.... (DJ-The link to "Southfront"seems to be hacked, from time to time I can not get Press-TV (Iran) online. )
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
Israeli News Live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7RI4NS5MMs Latest US bombings in East Syria seem to be helping IS. In East Ghouta "rebels" put civilians in cages to claim "Russia/Syria killing civilians" at the same time the "rebels" are shelling Damascus. http://theduran.com/un-feigns-outrage/ (a.o. Russian embassy https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/wont-tolerate-shelling-russian-embassy-territory-putin-video/ DJ Do those rebels get coordinates from "western advisers"in the area-or western "instructors"in Israel, Jordan ? On Deir ez-Zur/East Syria-is it a US plan to re-connect several IS held parts to "restart IS"-as an excuse to claim the US has a "legal ground to be in Syria"? More and more indications for IS=US-the only way Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan can get rid of IS is to get rid of US.) https://southfront.org/escalation-in-syria-how-far-can-the-russians-be-pushed/ Longer video on how the US (by proxy) is attacking Russia in Syria. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803011062105652-militants-move-freely-at-tanf-syria/ The US has 20 bases in Syria-works with "militants". https://www.debka.com/mivzak/moscow-20-us-bases-set-kurdish-areas-syria/ http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/1-march-east-ghouta-alquds-brigade-based-in-aleppo-sent-fighters Palestine Liberation Army fighting with pro-Assad forces in East Ghouta. Turkey https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201803011062105491-turkey-envoy-plan/ (Veterans Today had the story on US-UK-France-KSA-Jordan meetings on Syria yesterday) Turkey may have to make a choice (DJ-on how to deal with NATO, US-NATO will not accept a T-exit-will do everything they can to get Turkey under "NATO-control". Turkey is much to important for NATO with its BlackSea-coast, borders with Iran, Armenia, Syria. Most Turkish generals proberbly are pro-secular Turkey, conservative-could be willing to support another coup (or even larger civil war inside Turkey-in Turkey already the army is fighting the Kurds). https://southfront.org/russian-security-council-u-s-provoked-turkish-military-operation-in-afrin/ (old news-the story of a Kurdish Border Protection Force at Turkish border-with modern US weapons-was unacceptable. Israel https://southfront.org/israel-directly-arming-seven-militant-groups-syria-media/ (DJ-Israel wants to keep Hezbollah and Iran away from Golan Heights-Russia could suggest a Russian bufferzone ?) Alquada-state in NW Syria (DJ-The "west" and Gulf states keep calling these terrorists "rebels" and funds them, supplying them with arms.) Lebanon https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803011062110409-lebanese-army-beirut-radioactive-substance/ (not for military use) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803011062116234-hezbollah-lebanon-victory-israel/ Israel would like to kill Hezbollah-leader. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/lebanese-president-visit-armenia-iraq/ (DJ-Armenia is very anti-Turkey, is Turkey a threat for Lebanon ?) Yemen https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201803011062106241-us-no-support-coalition-yemen/ DJ-The US may welcome "a polite way" to stop enabling Saudi Arabia's genocide in Yemen. (DJ-The Yemen-war has no perspective-is damaging both for Saudi Arabia and the US. Iran, Russia, Turkey, China are building bases in several Red Sea countries while the US is stranded in endless wars.) Hypersonic weapons https://southfront.org/putin-new-hypersonic-icbm-is-breakthrough-for-russian-missile-program/ Mach 5+ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypersonic_speed 5500-6000 km/h-could strike any place on earth within hours. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/putin-announces-successful-tests-new-nuclear-powered-stealth-weapons/ https://www.rt.com/news/420171-nukes-us-russia-attack/ When attacked by US Russia will use nuclear weapons.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
Anti-US-group Raqqa https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/video-new-syrian-faction-declares-resistance-usa-occupation-raqqa/ DJ-Kurds may need to make a deal with the Assad/Syrian government since the US can not protect the Kurds against (NATO ally) Turkey. East Syria https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syria-accuses-us-coalition-massacring-another-30-civilians-deir-ezzor/, https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-february-28-2018-us-reportedly-strikes-govt-forces-syrian-army-responds/ (pro-Assad/US still fight for the same oilfields as when US attacked pro-Assad forces february 7. (Only this time pro-Assad forces do have airdefense) Chemical weapons http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/28-february-bashar-aljaafari-the-syrian-governments-permanent and https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802281062090791-russia-syria-chemical-weapons-provocations/ Lebanon https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-28/war-coming-southern-lebanon-lindsey-graham-warns-israel-planning-invasion DJ-Whenever US politicians visit Israel they will hear the Israeli story of threats from Hezbollah and Iran. The main goal is to get more US support. (DJ-One of the reasons Netanyahu has lots of contacts with Putin (by phone or visit) is that Israel knows Russia is able to influence the region-the US is not. Israel wants money and weapons from the US, solutions from Russia.)https://www.debka.com/saudis-summon-lebanese-pm-moments-beirut-falls-iranian-orbit/ DJ-Hezbollah/Lebanon now is stronger than in 2000 and 2006-Israel will not attack Hezbollah/Lebanon without US (a.o.) help-a Lebanon war will get Syria involved as well. (Russia has a lot of interest to avoid such a war-Russia want to end the Syria-war, it is getting expensive-one card the US has is endurance.) Propaganda-press http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/new-york-times-time-warps-back-to-2002-makes-new-bogus-wmd-claims.html DJ-Prior to the 2003 Iraq-invasion (with WMD-lie as excuse-against international law-this invasion in itself was a US/UK warcrime) "media" build a basis for war with propaganda. Now stories of Iran building a basis in Syria, Syria buying chemical weapons from North Korea is meant to do the same. Only on a much larger scale. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-sources-north-korea-sends-missile-experts-syria-materials-chemical-warfare/ Dirty wars https://sputniknews.com/us/201802281062091205-four-countries-us-arsonist/ DJ-In Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria the US started a war then came as "peacekeepers". (You could include several other countries on that list, Yugoslavia, Ukraine). Russia/Syria https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/latest-map-update-east-ghouta-battle-2/, https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-destroys-rebel-mortar-site-attack-damascus-video/ http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/28-february-russia-to-establish-a-military-base-near-damascus DJ-Russia did invest a lot in Syria and has to defend its interests. On the other hand Israel prefers a Russian base near Damascus above an Iranian base. Such a base could bring (some) stability. Korea http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/28/553854/South-Korea-US-joint-drill-North-Korea-warning DJ-For the time being a US-Australia-India-Japan coalition is supposed to "control China". How Korean-talks will go on is a matter of time. (I would not be surprised when high China/Russia officials visit South Korea soon.) https://sputniknews.com/military/201802281062093233-china-nuclear-powered-carrier-within-years/
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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US/NATO-wars
DJ-Of course NATO is involved in many wars, from Ukraine, Libya, to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria. Still that seems to be not enough-wars with Iran, Korea, Russia, China and even https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-27/usaf-general-warns-space-war-matter-years are good investments for zillions of taxpayers $, €, pounds, etc. (Why care about healthcare, education, climate change, housing-as long as people accept "politicians" spending public money on destruction and endless suffering). Syria-Manbij https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/28-february-manbij-frontline-near-sajur---, https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-the-commanding-general-of-cjtfoir-iiicorpscg (DJ-Next frontline within a week ? Turkey http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-slams-us-state-department-over-syria-cease-fire-comments-128011 is "fighting terrorists" wich are excluded from any ceasefire-in Turkeys eyes.) US/UK https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/iran-accuses-us-uk-attempting-cover-complicity-yemen-war/ and https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/02/27/we-hanged-nazis-for-doing-what-is-in-this-article-waging-an-offensive-war/; The US, UK, France, Saudi Arabia and Jordan have meetings on how to keep the Syria-war going. How to damage Russia and Iran. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/28/553878/Iran-Hassan-Rouhani-Saudi-Arabia-Yemen (DJ-US and UK responsible for the Saudi-genocide in Yemen) Afghanistan http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/28/553873/Afghanistan-Taliban-peace-President-Ghani (DJ-Peace in Afghanistan must be a horror for US/NATO. By its strategic position US/NATO can "influence" (by IS, other proxy-groups) Russia, China, Iran and Pakistan from Afghanistan. The Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India pipeline is under NATO-control. With the China Pakistan Economic Corridor hoping to include also Afghanistan http://www.atimes.com/article/afghanistan-ready-play-connector-role-eurasian-integration// the US could loose more control. ) Iran DJ-In the US view the US had "good relations"with Iran till 1979. The Shah-dictatorship for most Iranians was a nightmare. The total lack of self-reflection by the US is shocking. "Making mistakes is human, repeating them is stupid"-does the US not learn anything from history ? https://southfront.org/satellite-photos-allegedly-show-iran-establishing-new-base-in-syria/ Fox-news claiming Iran is building a base in Syria-to open the door to fight Iran in Syria. New Arms Race DJ-Putting more money in mini-nukes, stealth-bombers etc-the world is not getting more safe. Propaganda-wars https://southfront.org/eric-zuesse-americas-news-media-foment-hate/ (DJ-Eric Zuesse on the US propaganda"press" laying the foundation for more wars-with Russia etc. "Totalitarian democracy"is a contradiction in itself-any totalitarian state is a dictatorship under control of an elite. No room anymore for "alternative media" with "conspiry-stories" https://www.infowars.com/cnn-is-directly-lobbying-youtube-to-shut-down-infowars/ The public is not intelligent to make up their own mind ?)
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
US-coalition fighting pro-Assad forces in East Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-deir-ezzur-hear-the-sound-of-explosions-coming, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-deir-ezzur-eastern-countryside-skirmishes-between, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-deir-ezzur-eastern-countryside-the-assad-government Most likely linked to: Looks like-SDF Kurds want to see if a deal with pro-Assad forces can be made without the US blocking it-answer is "No". https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-stay-syria-daesh-defeat-centcom/ and https://www.rt.com/usa/419986-centcom-vote-syria-iran-russia/ : Russia threatens US ability to dominate. IS-rael (Israel is one of many countries giving (in)directly weapons to IS) US-Iran-Saudi Arabia https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-27/us-escalates-threat-against-iran-after-russia-un-veto and https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-start-talks-saudis-multi-billon-atomic-energy-deal/ DJ; US planning to give nuclear weapons capability to Saudi Arabia but want more sanction for Iran US https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-27/us-government-lost-12-trillion-2017, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-27/rand-corporation-proves-link-between-us-military-and-hybrid-war Russia http://theduran.com/sanctions-continue-to-work-in-russias-favor-as-investment-rating-is-raised/, https://www.rt.com/business/419820-russia-outpaces-china-gold/ Korea DJ-Looking at what the US/NATO did for Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Ukraine etc. a "western" intervention in Korea most likely will not bring better living conditions for the Koreans. History DJ-Some 400 years ago protestants and catholics were killing each other all over Europe. Over 30% of the population of what now is called Germany got killed. Catholics wanted to pull https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_Luther out of his grave to burn the remains of his corpse. A little more than 200 years ago Napoleon did find his Waterloo (just south of Brussel(s) Belgium). A 100 years ago we were in the last year of World War 1-which continued in Russia, Turkey in "civil" wars up to 1922. Of course starting a war is a big investment-poor people do not start wars they die in it. Still the main question is why do people even think they have any right to hurt or even kill other people ? If we had nuclear weapons 400 years ago live on Earth would have ended. Are humans a planetary disease, a virus killing all live on Earth in many ways out of stupidity ? "If we do not end wars, wars will end us" is a reality more now than even a few decades ago! We have to stop this collective suïcide-not only for ourselves, but also for other species, next generations. We do not have any right to destroy our planet.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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US airstrikes Syria
https://southfront.org/syrian-forces-fire-missiles-at-us-led-coalition-aircraft-attacking-them-in-deir-ezzor-unconfirmed/, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802271062033539-us-coalition-targets-damascus-forces/, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-26/us-led-coalition-warplanes-strike-syrian-regime-forces, https://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=11596. A little bit more info, pro-Assad forces seem to have moved into SDF-supposed to be held land. Then were attacked by the US. (Just like february 7) this time at least with some airdefense. (No more details-yet-may indicate another major event people do not want to discuss-make their own version first ?) Propaganda war http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-international-experts-north-korea-supplied-the DJ Ideal mix in the propaganda North Korea did sell chemical weapons to Syria (most likely also Russia (Putin himself ?)-Iran (China) involved-in this propaganda story. Russia in Syria https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/syria/russia-s-stealth-fighters-in-syria-are-putin-s-election-gimmick-1.5847755 The Kremlin claims 4 of the most modern Russian fighterplanes are in Syria "to test their radat and for sales-promotion". https://www.rt.com/news/419816-su-57-syria-trial/ DJ-I do not believe a word of it ! Chances of war https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-25/averting-us-russia-warpath https://www.rt.com/news/419877-world-war-long-peace-study/ DJ-Long times of peace are not uncommon but do not make wars unlikely (do not know if the set-uo of such a study should be called science ?) With new technology the old M.A.D. (Mutual Assured Destruction) balance is gone (DJ-the article does not mention climate change-Russia on the short term may benefit-more land for agriculture, little effect of sea-levelrise, China and US are already getting damage due to climate change). To deal with new dangers Russia and the US need talks (DJ-and there is a major problem) or deal with the consequences. (DJ-another remark could be that Russia and China may integrate their military-once-even more than Israel and the US did. It is not only the US against Russia.) East Ghouta https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/militants-attack-humanitarian-corridor-east-ghouta-russian-mod/ (DJ-so much for any ceasefire) Turkey https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-threatens-turkey-sanctions-case-russian-s-400-purchase-reports/ DJ Turkey-US relations "not improving" https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802271062038752-erdogan-cririsized-weeping-martyr/ No Mr. Erdogan most 6 year old girls are not happy with the idea of "dying for your country".http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/no-us-turkey-talks-over-afrin-foreign-ministry-127963 and http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-mulls-purchase-of-uss-f35-b-for-future-airplane-carrier-127923 (There are several problems for Turkey to get the F35. The US may not want to sell it to Turkey, Turkey also does not have the money to buy it (The Russian S-400 's are on credit-and not yet in Turkey). Iraq https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201802271062035139-iraq-russia-defense/ DJ-Several countries are thinking of buying S-400 from Russia-the US threatens those countries with sanctions. NATO-Russia https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-26/endgame-russia-nato-sprawl-invades-eastern-europe-no-more-illusions and https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-26/pros-and-cons-nord-stream-2 (DJ-Maybe it is very simple-if you want to control the world you need to control finance, energy, logistics) UK https://uk.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-uk-may-join-us-strikes-against-syria-if-chemical, https://uk.liveuamap.com/en/2018/26-february-britain-ballistic-missiles-from-yemen-targeted, https://uk.liveuamap.com/en/2018/26-february-uk-summoning-russian-ambassador-to-discuss-continued DJ-After the US the UK is "most active" western country in the Middle East. http://theduran.com/uk-ready-support-al-qaeda-jihadists-airstrikes-support-another-assad-chemical-weapons-false-flag/ https://www.rt.com/uk/419925-saudi-ghouta-johnson-airstrikes/ Israel |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Public opinion on war
https://www.rt.com/news/419878-welt-eastern-front-outrage/, https://www.rt.com/usa/419891-congress-poll-disapproval-lobbysts/ DJ-In western democracies the gap between politics and the public only is getting worse. Politics react by more supervision on the public (state-of-emergence etc.), censorship/repression, trying to get the public to buy there (lobbyists) agenda. (We in the Netherlands had a referendum-law-politics did not like the outcome of the referenda-so they ended referenda by changing the law.) Another note-while the rich 1% (or even 0,1%) get richer on the other side of "the labor market" slavery increases. From refugees being sold as slaves in Libya, Turkey to US prisoners "forced"to work as firefighters etc. Not only income-inequality increases, also legal rights (on the job, also healthcare, housing, education) worsens for most. When "all votes count"in a democracy how can it be that the rich get richer, all other see their position worsen ? Public support for more NATO-wars is simply not there. Putting alternative media under pressure, kicking https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alex_Jones from YouTube, climate change news from Facebook, is not making the general public trust politicians. War possibilities per country; Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-february-us-department-of-state-the-government-claims. Israel did loose several fighters "due to bird-collision a F15, technical problems a F16 on february 10 air-operations above Syria-also another F15, an Apache-attack helicopter had "technical problems". Somehow a lot of US, Israel missiles failed to do much damage in Syria. Israel and the US may be very limited in what Russia allow them to do. Turkey is allowed limited activity above Afrin-Russia and Turkey are talking-Russia is putting pressure on the Kurds. Russia also has lines of (in)direct communication with Israel, the US. But in practice the US-and Israel almost need Russian permission to use most of Syrian airspace. https://southfront.org/syria-energy-reconstruction/ Russia has made deals with Syria on oil and gas. China needs that energy very hard. So far the US is trying to hold on to the East Syria oil/gas fields (Isreal is bying the oil and gas)-but the US position here may be very hard to continue. Kurds may want to sell the oil/gas for their own interest-China may be a better buyer. Iran Israel, US, Saudi Arabia, UAE, would love regime-change in Tehran. Iran now is-in practice part of the Russia-China block. China wants to move trade with Europe via Iran, Pakistan, Turkey-Russia is happy to also have access to the Indian Ocean via the Caspian Sea and Iran (even plans to build a channel connecting the Caspian Sea with the Indian Ocean via West Iran). Attempts to create uprisings by western/Gulf State agencies have had very limited effect-maybe brought even more support for the Tehran-regime. The present Iran government is willing to listen to public demands on food-prices, even womens rights. Also playing on minorities, Kurds, Turkmen, Azeri's, Baluchi etc. will have limited effect. People did see what happened in Iraq, Libya, Syria-they blame the US, Israel , west and Gulf States for that. DJ-Looking at Iraq, Libya, they did have brutal dictators but after western action nobody will claim they are better of now. Looking at how woman were able to dress in Afghanistan (or Iran-for that matter) in the 70's gives the impression of liberties lost. (Allthough in Iran under the Shah most Iranians were poor-and could not afford western clothing). Russia, China, North Korea (Pakistan, Turkey) DJ-Some in the US, UK etc. are thinking of starting a war with these countries. Just like a war with Iran the costs would be that extreme all other ways-even accepting the status quo, may be better. US reasons for war could be defending the US-petro-dollar, but even Saudi Arabia accepted the petro-yuan in deals with China. Also the idea of getting most of the oil and gas under US control-with renewable energy growing fast-proberbly keeps a lot of US decision-makers from going much further in making war-plans with those countries. The US wants to claim to be the only super-power. Russia and China may give the US room to claim so. But it could end up like somebody telling his "boss" I call you my boss when you do what I tell you what to do.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
While the propaganda-war in the media goes full blown-with alquada white helmets as heroes-it looked like western activity inside Syria was limited. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f4581x1MSLY-Israeli News Live making clear criticism does not mean being anti US or anti Israel (the INL has a background in both countries-also military). US attack on pro-Assad forces (feb 26) http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/26-february-al-jazeera-aircraft-belonging-to-the-international and https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-us-allegedly-bombs-syrian-army-deir-ezzor-unconfirmed/ (no further news yet) Chemical attack claim http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/26/553684/Russia-dismisses-bogus-reports-of-chemical-attack-in-Syrias-Eastern-Ghouta and https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-sees-no-evidence-chemical-weapons-used-now-syria-pentagon/ The "rebels/fighters" (western propaganda) or "terrorists" (Syria, Russia but also according to UN) came with a claim of chemical attack from day one of the East Ghouta offensive. That offensive is in full international spotlight-pro-Assad forces would be unwise to use chemical weapons. UN https://www.rt.com/news/419888-yemen-resolution-russia-iran-veto/ DJ-The US tried to blame the Yemen war on Iran but failed to do so in the UN. DJ-In Syria it is good news that Russia/Syria created "room" for civilians to get out of East Ghouta. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802261062013696-terrorists-east-ghouta-civilians-hostages/ The "western backed terrorists" use civilians as propaganda (or even worse https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/graphic-18-fsa-fighters-kidnap-9-year-old-boy-demand-1-million-ransom-video/ Free Syrian Army is backed by a.o. US, UK) Western airstrikes https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-led-coalition-denies-reports-deadly-airstrikes-syrias-deir-ez-zor/ US-led-coalition airstrikes killed over 2300 civilians in Raqqa in 2017, so far the number of people killed by the Turkish invasion (against the Kurds) killed more people than the East-Ghouta operation. http://theduran.com/crazy-erdogan-makes-girl-cry-on-stage-telling-her-she-will-be-martyred-video/ (DJ-Can Erdogan get arrested for child-molesting ? https://southfront.org/turkey-deploys-special-operations-forces-afrin-preparing-new-phase-operation-afrin/ DJ-Turkey may want to concentrate-for the moment-on Afrin NW-Syria. They may have up to 30% of that area under their control. After Afrin Turkey has several options-move south of Afrin "to stabilize" the area, move into Eastern Syria-to put pressure on the Kurds, US-or wait how talks develop. On march 18 Turkey, Russia, Iran will meet again.) DJ-In general "the west" is not united to start a (major) offensive in Syria-for the moment it will be "a war of words" (bad Putin, bad Assad etc.) In Israel Netanyahu is trying to stay PM-but may be in prison for corruption soon. In the US it is clear the US has no clear plan on what to do (anywere-no realistic plan for North Korea, no plan for Afghanistan, Iraq-let alone for starting new wars). The west is not even united on the Syria cease-fire. Terrorists were excluded, Afrin unclear-but a lot of different interpretations going on. In my opinion https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/26-february-every-single-minute-we-wait-there-are-people https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federica_Mogherini and people like her https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigrid_Kaag could have the knowledge to get "us" out of problems. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHOfMc-Oc84 Israeli News Live-The US State dep. calling for support of alquada-linked "white helmets". https://www.rt.com/news/419805-ghouta-militants-shelling-provocations/ and http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/database/index.php?pageid=event_summary&edis_id=CR-20180226-62024-SYR Western propaganda claims of Assad/Russia using chemical weapons against children etc. http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/ The number of people killed by the US war in Iraq is getting close to 1,5 milion, the costs close to 2000 billion (most of it went as profit to companies/politicians making money out of wars they start for profit). http://theduran.com/east-ghouta-last-great-battle-syrian-war/ (DJ-just like in the Aleppo battle hundreds of hospitals will be hit-according to western media. The reality is-just like in Aleppo-the west is supporting terrorists-according to UN.) Turkey http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2126-turkish-president-calls-up-military-reserves-tells-nation-on-the-eve-of-resurrection-of-ottoman-empire DJ-Turkey may be preparing for anti-Kurdish operations in eastern Syria (and may start fighting US forces when they get in the way. DJ-When the US would try to prevent pro-Assad forces moving into east Syria the Kurds may turn against those US occupation-forces. Russia will not allow another mass-murder of pro-Assad forces/Russian PMC's (whit the US claiming pro-Syrian forces were attacking "something" inside Syria as being an excuse. The US occupation of East Syria is against international law-the UN has lost all credit by not discussing this crime.) Manbij-East Syria/ US-Russia confrontation in Syria DJ-Both in Afrin and to the east Kurdish forces will not be able to stop the Turkish army. Russia is willing to negotiate. https://sputniknews.com/world/201802261061991645-russia-syria-threats/ and https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802261061996077-damascus-syria-east-ghouta-operation/. Erdogan once was saved by Russian special forces during the coup attempt. Turkey needs Russian (Iran, China) investments. The US (and Israel, Saudi Arabia) want to split up Syria. DJ-A possible scenario could be that Turkey-Iran-Russia and Syria can agree on Russian, Iran forces on the Turkey-Syria border. For Turkey the main goal is to stop supplies for Kurds fighting for a Kurdish State in Turkey. The Kurds are not happy to let pro-Assad forces into Kurdish held area's but when they have to make a choice between Turkish forces or pro-Assad forces they (mostly) prefer pro-Assad forces. The US (and Israel-buyer of SDF/East Syria oil) does want to keep income of East Syria oil and gas from the Damascus government. In my opinion the risk for a US-Russia/Iran (Hezbollah, Afghan, Pakistan, Iraq shia-forces) is very real. Most likely the US is looking for support for "further actions" in Syria, Korea, Ukraine.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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http://www.rudaw.net/english/world/24022018 (Rudaw=Kurdish press) Syria wanted Afrin (NW Syria) included in ceasefire.
http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/240220181 US to send Erbil 365milion US$ to pay for salaries http://www.rudaw.net/english/analysis/24022018 Russia in Afrin would de-escalate (DJ-Israel would welcome Russians in a bufferzone east of Golan Heights to keep Iran at a distance) Russia will defend Israel when Iran attacks Israel, when Israel attacks Iran it will defend Iran. China will defend Korea when attacked by the US, but when Korea attacks the US China will not defend Korea. February 7 the US attacked Russian PMC's (private Military Contractors), proxy forces to stop a handover of an oil-field. The US would not have attacked regular Russian forces. (I do not believe the US story-the US did know who they were attacking-that there was no air defense. It was meant to make a signal at Putin (and the Russian march 18 elections). No way Russia will forget this US act. The US has 2000 (to 5000) US military and the same number(s) of PMC's in Syria....what the US can do to Russia. This month-february-the world did change, not becoming a better place. ( The 1% claiming to own up to 80% of all there is to own on this planet should start to worry. Things will change.) |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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CRS, DrPH
first pictures of children with gas masks from East Goutha. France24 described what remained of Russian "Vagner"fighters as "minced meat". From Hal Turner: The Russian government has downplayed recent strikes by the United States on Russian mercenaries in Syria, however, recordings from fighters on the ground reveal just how hard U.S. forces hit them. “One squadron *****ing lost 200 people … right away, another one lost 10 people … and I don’t know about the third squadron but it got torn up pretty badly, too … So three squadrons took a beating,” a man believed to be a Russian contract soldier said in the first of three audio recordings obtained from a source close to the Kremlin by Polygraph.info, a fact-checking website affiliated with Voice of America. “They beat our asses like we were little pieces of *****,” the man said. A U.S.-led strike following a raid on a Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) base where U.S. troops were stationed is believed to have killed hundreds of Russian military contractors fighting alongside pro-Syrian irregular forces. The U.S. forces hammered the attackers with heavy artillery and air strikes. The recordings reveal that the mercenaries, outgunned and lacking essential armor support, never stood a chance. -“They were all shelling the holy ***** out of it and our guys didn’t have anything besides the assault rifles … nothing at all, I’m not even talking about shoulder-fired SAMs or anything like that… they tore us to pieces, put us through hell,” the man in the recording revealed, calling the incident a “total *****up, another humiliation.” At least 218 Russian PMC's were killed. No word on how many Syrian partners. Pentagon sources say the dead Syrian tally is "many times the number of dead Russians." |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
As expected pro-Assad forces started the ground attack against western backed terrorist in East Ghouta. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-breaks-islamist-lines-east-ghouta-major-advance-achieved/, https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-captures-another-town-east-ghouta-region/ and https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-syrian-army-begins-another-offensive-east-ghouta-region/ Since the target of these operations are terrorist on UN terror-lists-the west is limited in what it can say. Bringing "humanitarian aid"(and weapons) to the "rebels" (the civilians do not get it) and getting western agents out-so far did not happen. Hal Turners story on Israeli firing missiles at a Damascus airbase-yesterday was incorrect-but may signal Israel coordinating rebels. One can expect "the west"to do what they can to support their "rebels". Russia/Syria seems to be quite succesfull in creating a no-fly zone (and dealing with groups using missiles). https://www.rt.com/newsline/419776-damascus-terrorists-operation-continue/, http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-the-unsc-mandated-ceasefire-will-not-hold.html, Afrin http://theduran.com/syria-turkey-russia-kurds-struggle-afrin/ Russia is doing a balancing act between Turkey and Syria. Turkey would like to occupy the Syrian border area-support their "rebels" (salafists, Turkmen). But Russia may be able to make Turkey accept a smaller border-safety-zone. The Kurds had a chance to make deals with Assad-not doing so means facing Turkey. https://southfront.org/turkish-army-captures-key-town-kills-dozens-of-kurdish-fighters-in-afrin-area/. Syria does want Turkey to leave Syria-but also wants the Kurds to accept Assad-government. Since earlier transfer of land by SDF to pro-Assad forces ended in a US mass-murder new transfers will most likely be done with Russian air cover. US-Iran-Russia in Syria The february 7 attack on pro-Assad forces in East Syria-Deir Ezzour-was a de facto declaration of war of the US on Russia and Iran in Syria. It may have killed over 200 Russians, several hundred other pro-Assad forces (some Kurds are pro-Assad). The february 10 Israeli air strikes on targets in Syria a de facto declaration of war by Israel. The present situation in Syria is a Russian/Iran reaction. The US had three proxy armies in Syria; IS, Kurds and alnusra-like (=alquada). IS is almost beaten. The Kurds do not trust the US any longer. Alnusra etc. are fighting eachother in NW Syria. So the US only has "solid ground" in Al Tanf-near the Jordan/Iraq border (blocking the Damascus-Baghdad road). Russia will not accept another "airstrike"on Russians/pro-Assad forces without air defense. International protest Korea The winterolympics are over, the US is preparing a sea-blockade for (North)Korea. http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2123-north-korea-issues-fresh-war-warning-to-u-s-and-japan, http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/25/553566/US-China-North-Korea-sanctions-company-deal-, https://www.rt.com/news/419787-north-korea-talks-us/ DJ-Proberbly under China/Russia pressure NK may be willing to have talks with US. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-25/china-slams-new-unilateral-us-sanctions-north-korea Propaganda war https://www.rt.com/news/419777-pozner-interview-al-jazeera/ DJ-Al Jazera is Qatar TV, Qatar was financing groups like IS. DJ-A lot of diplomacy most likely going on behind closed doors to avoid an open US-Russia confrontation (in Ukraine, Syria, Korea) or to find allies. The Syria-war is in a new phase-may get out of control.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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CRS, DrPH
Expert Level Adviser Joined: January 20 2014 Location: Arizona Status: Offline Points: 26660 |
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Thanks, DJ!! You are amazingly prolific!!
I am especially alarmed that Russian mercenaries have attacked US troop in Syria: Perspective from the Russian mercenaries, who took heavy losses from the US counter-attack: Putin is attempting to re-created the old Soviet Union and is following their methodologies. I had hoped for better during the Gorbachev and Yeltsin years, but those are far behind us now.
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CRS, DrPH
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Propaganda-war
DJ-"The west" is for"peace" in East Ghouta. The MI6/EU White Helmet "hero's" (steeling with IS etc. most of the "aid") have now their own song http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/the-white-helmet-singalong.html. In the (elite sponsored) nazi-time we had the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reich_Chamber_of_Culture-now we have https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embedded_journalism. Yes-East Ghouta is a "hell in earth" but in the spotlights, many other "hells on earth" are (also)western made but kept out of the propaganda ("press"), Yemen, East Congo etc. The basic-simple-story the propaganda tells the public; Russia is bad, Iran is bad, North Korea is bed, Assad is bad-we are good. With an audience unaware of "programming" the foundations are being build for the "War of the good against evil". Totally sick and deadly ! Syria http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2122-phone-recording-from-russians-in-syria-the-us-beat-our-asses-like-we-were-little-pieces-of-*****, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802251061967259-usa-envoy-doubt-damascus-comply-resolution/ DJ-After the Russian intervention in Syria-NATO/ Gulf States started another "civil"war-the US has started a-by proxy- war against Russia in Syria. Israel is fighting Iran in Syria. http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-4-artillery-points-near-hader-destroyed-as-result After Iranian forces http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-reports-of-iranian-militias-shelled-turkish-checkpoint. Some groups-on a UN terrorist-list-are excluded from the ceasefire. So the "battle" for East Ghouta will go on-with the western propaganda claiming Assad and Russia killing children while "the west"most likely has a command post in East Ghouta and is working with what the UN considers terrorists keeping citizens hostage. US-Kurds https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/kurdish-sdf-hand-manbij-northern-aleppo-syrian-army-report/, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-assad-forces-controlled-talshaieer-and-fafin Kurds (YPG) hand over territory to Syria/Assad. Sooner or later the US will turn against the Kurds-most likely invite Turkey-to avoid Kurds handing over all of the Kurdish held area's in Syria to Assad government. The US did not protect Kurds from Turkey in Afrin. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802251061966101-sdf-pass-territory-syrian-army/ (DJ-With the US opening an embassy in Jerusalem may 10-support for US presence in the region will be minimum-also in Iraq, Turkey, Jordan, Afghanistan, Pakistan). Korea "The west" (US, Australia, Japan, UK, Taiwan) is preparing to bring "peace and prosperity"to North Korea (and most likely regime change-another dictator to South Korea). Hal Turner expect this war to start for march 20: According to an article from the February 23 London Express Newspaper (Here), The United States is likely to ATTACK North Korea before the end of March. This fits with my previous reports to you, wherein I stated on this web site and on my talk-radio shows saying I expect it to begin |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2119-israel-fires-5-missiles-at-syria-all-shot-down (DJ-no other confirmation yet-but very likely-target was Syrian air base in Damascus area-correction https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-eastern-damascus-rebels-bombed-today-dumeir-airbase-no Israel involvement ?)
Preparations for East Ghouta/Damascus ground-operations on their way. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/video-new-syrian-army-armored-division-heads-towards-east-damascus-100-tanks-armored-fighting-vehicles/ and https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-another-syrian-army-tiger-forces-assault-battalion-arrives-damascus-mother-battles-offensive/ , https://southfront.org/eastern-ghouta-brief-look-at-upcoming-operation-damascus-steel/ DJ-A possible (good) option would be (some) rebels accept being moved to other parts of Syria. The build-up of forces should make clear the "rebels" will have no chance. (Maybe the US can move them to Afghanistan ?) US-IS Russia, Iran, Iraq, Syria all say the US is moving IS fighters when that fits US plans. Afrin https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/map-afrin-front-status/, Turkish forces moving in http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-hundereds-of-turkish-security-forces-are-waiting pro-Assad forces getting killed by Turkish airstrikes. http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-anha-confim-3-dead-government-fighters-in-rajo, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-fsa-forces-captured-syrian-flag-and-burned-it The UNSC will talk further on Syria-Russia, Iran, Syria will attack "rebels". Turkey http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/us-statement-saying-it-will-move-its-embassy-from-to-jerusalem-quite-worrying-ministry-127844, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/us-seeks-turkish-cooperation-to-upgrade-air-defenses-instead-of-russian-s-400s-127834 and http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/opinion/murat-yetkin/trump-wants-to-sell-us-missiles-to-turkey-instead-of-russia-127836, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-cypriots-must-be-part-of-drilling-decisions-erhurman-127839 DJ-In short Turkey against Syria/Russia/Iran/Hezbollah attack against East Ghouta (just like Qatar (aljazera=Qatar) Turkey has "its rebels" there). The US wants Turkey (and Iraq, KSA) to not buy S-400 from Russia. Turkey is fighting its own wars in the Middle East (not part of "the west" or Russia/Iran-but doing a lot of business with Iran, Russia, China, Pakistan)https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-reports-of-iranian-militias-shelled-turkish-checkpoint-DJ-Erdogan can not survive without Russia, Iran. Korea Tomorrow the winter-olympics are over. The speed with wich the US delegation will leave Korea may say something on what the US plans are. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/24/553455/US-Russia-North-Korea-Igor-Morgulov--
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
France24 report on 218 Russians killed by US airstrikes in Syria february 7 http://www.france24.com/en/20180223-russia-fighters-syria-exclusive-interview-mercenary-wagner (DJ-Russia is now reacting in East Ghouta)https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-us-strike-in-syrias-deir-ezzor-killed-218-progovernment https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-heavy-clashes-sustained-around-jinderes-town DJ-Slowly Turkey taking over Afrin NW Syria from Kurds.https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/turkish-choppers-hammer-ypg-positions-afrin-video/ https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/video-militants-shell-important-syrian-army-base-daraa/ (DJ-Daraa is in SW Syria not far from Golan Heights Israel/Jordan border-main road from Damascus to Amman goes via Daraa) http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48857.htm US attack with 59 cruisemissiles on Syria lacks any rationale-open the doors for attack(s) on North Korea ? Trump can not decide to start a war without congress. Yemen EU-IS For the first six months of 2018, Bulgaria is presiding over the European Union; yet in this period, a Nazi torch-lit march took place though its capital, Sofia, on 17 February. A member party of the current government participated in this march. -ontinuing the tradition, now 10 years old, the demonstration of 17 February celebrates the memory of General Hristo Lukov. This gentleman promoted anti-semitism and collaborated with the Nazis. The process had the support of the Union of Patriots, a party member of the coalition government. The Bulgarian Prime Minister, Boïko Borissov, is the godfather of one of two leading Mafia clans in the country. He represents Bulgaria in the EU Council and is in fact the President for the first six months of 2018. He has organized an important trafficking of drugs and arms to support Al-Qaeda and Daesh in Syria [1]. In actual fact, Berlin has known Boiko Borrisov for a long time and is blackmailing him. In the EU Council, Boris is cooperates with Germany and granting its every request. Let us not forget that the Polish Donald Tusk, the High Official chairing the administration of the European Council, is a childhood friend of the German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The European Union is declaring that it was created to fight Nazism and to guarantee peace. Nazi parties are members of the governments in Lithuania [2], Ukraine [3] and Bulgaria. All these parties have been organized by former Nazis recovered by the Stay Behind networks of the CIA and Nato to fight against the USSR. During the Cold War, they benefitted from the protection of the United States and occasionally Germany. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2116-as-warned-russia-begins-destruction-of-ghouta-syria-rebel-enclaves-under-attack-by-su-57-jets DJ-A strategy could be-in urban warfare-bombs-groundtroops move in-resistance=groundtroops pull back, more bombs-troops come back. It is assumed that off the 400.000 people living in East Ghouta more than 50% managed to escape from "western backed rebels/terrorists". In East-Ghouta I assume there will be a western (mossad, saudi) command center-the west want them out, Russia, Iran, Syria want them dead. http://thesaker.is/globally-top-respected-experts-on-middle-east-warn-syrian-war-may-produce-ww-iii/ DJ-I do not fully agree with this article: -Israel would not attack Iran on its own -Israel may heve bases in Azerbeijan -Israel also would use submarines -Israel may use nuclear weapons in a first strike against Iran (to show that they are willing to go that far-also making their point for Russia) The US want to control the global energy market-and therefor the Middle East. (The horror of the article is in the fact that-from a military view-a first strike on an enemy with massive use of nuclear weapons may have some logic. It would unable the opposant to strike back with enough force to do the destruction.) The US needs China for it's military hardware https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-21/how-china-could-freeze-us-military Also good info in http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-the-two-east-ghouta-campaigns-one-is-for-liberation-the-other-to-save-terrorists.html#comments. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-23/iran-threatens-abandon-nuclear-deal-if-western-banks-dont-start-doing-business related to the US making Saudi nuclear weapons possible is also "not an investment in global peace". http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/24/553411/Russia-Syria-UNSC-Eastern-Ghouta DJ-disagreement on UN resolution is on wether to include protection of "rebels"in East Ghouta. Pakistan/Afghanistan/US http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/24/553395/Pakistan-US-Haqqani-network-cuts-Afghanistan-Taliban US: Pakistan has to get terrorists to move into Afghanistan. US Philippines-US Ukraine DJ-Russia; Kiev want to take east-Ukraine by force (DJ-with US (or NATO ?) help). DJ-Hal Turner puts some of his stories for the main part behind a pay-wall. He needs sponsors (but he is so extreme right-wing nobody wants to sponsor him)-sometimes he has good info-from what was not behind the pay wall sums up the global situation : UPDATED 3:23 PM EST SEE BOTTOM --- At a Security Conference in Munich, Germany, Senator James E. Risch (R-ID) told attendees the situation with North Korea is heading toward war. "If it starts . . . .
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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US-Russia
https://www.rt.com/news/419686-north-korea-phase-two-trump/, http://halturnerradioshow.com/, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-president-trump-says-that-what-russia-iran-and DJ-Trump wants to combine war with Iran with war with Russia ? Syria https://southfront.org/jaysh-al-islam-shells-damascus-with-heavy-rockets-russian-warplanes-respond-video-photos/ and https://southfront.org/russia-deploys-two-more-advanced-su-57-stealth-fighters-in-syria-reports/ (https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-doesnt-consider-russias-su-57-fighter-jets-threat-operations-syria/) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uP3quAJDOlI Israeli News Live Turkey Yemen |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
https://sana.sy/en/?p=128290 (more or less same as https://www.gelderlander.nl/buitenland/8-miljoen-burgers-in-damascus-bedreigd-door-terroristen~a19dc7e8/ in Dutch) 8 milion Syrians kept hostage by "rebels"even UN sees as terrorists. Still in the propaganda war http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/die-400-killed-eastern-ghouta-180222145312233.html of course children are used. The US keeps supporting alquada(linked) groups in Syria. DJ-http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-armed-opposition-factions-in-ghouta-the-governments groundoperations still have to start to take over terrorist held area's. Like in Aleppo "the west" may have "military" embedded with "rebels"-so they have to get out. Will the US attack when groundoperations start in Damascus area ? Will (tomorrow-they did two weeks ago) Israel attack Iran targets-reclaim access to Syria airspace ? (For both the US and Israel the de-facto-Russian made no-fly zone above Syria must be unacceptable.) https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-hts-believes-that-turkeybacked-fsa-will-be-coming, https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-greater-idlib-repel-the-invaders-operation-room DJ-Idlib region-south of Afrin-is involved both in East Ghouta-battle and Afrin-operation. Turkey distancing itself from Iran and Russia-may move south to Idlib (to support pro-Turkish "rebels" fighting US/Saudi backed rebels in the region). Iraq DJ-US does not want Iraq to buy Russian S-400 Saudi Arabia/Iran https://thebulletin.org/no-permissive-us-saudi-nuclear-deal11534, http://theduran.com/with-americas-help-saudi-arabia-is-moving-to-become-a-nuclear-power/ and http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/iran-warns-nuclear-crisis-jcpoa-deal-scrapped-180222125809339.html DJ-The US want Iran to stop building missiles for medium range. De facto US wants Saudi Arabia and Israel to dominate the Middle East (for US interests). Israel https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-u-s-to-open-jerusalem-embassy-in-may-white-house-official-says-1.5845868 US will open the Jerusalem embassy in coming may. https://www.haaretz.com/.premium-police-crack-netanyahu-s-black-box-and-there-s-no-turning-back-1.5841406 (DJ-Netanyahu has a choice; start a war or face prison for corruption) Latin America Russia Korea Moon and Ivanka Trump both want peace. https://koreas.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-two-koreas-to-hold-talks-next-tuesday-over-north Korea-joint paralympics ? DJ-Further escalation in Syria may be a matter of hours. Pro-Assad forces moving into East Ghouta area (with Russian airdefense) is quite likely to happen soon. Turkish actions in NW Syria may become a-as good as-Syria/Turkey war. February 25 ends the Korea winter olympics https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Winter_Olympics The US has its warplans for North Korea. (Ignoring Russia/China views).
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Global War
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wV17AW65uLU Israeli News Live-US moving air-defense to the north of Israel. (DJ-Hal Turner a.o. been warning for US attacks at North Korea before end of march)https://sputniknews.com/us/201802231061932109-trump-us-sanctions-nort-korea/) (DJ-IS runs internet casino's, proberbly involved in drugs/slave-trade-could become an "Islamic maffia".) DJ-Turkey is a NATO-member and a questionmark in the Syria-conflict. It could be part of a strategy to pull NATO into the Syria-war. In Israel preparations for a two-front war are being made. If Russia did put an ultimatum on the US to leave eastern Syria-the US may have decided "to go to war". US may want to confront Russia, Israel wants to confront Iran and Hezbollah-for the moment in Syria/Lebanon. DJ-It looks like a old fashioned western with two cowboys confronting eachother-who will pull the trigger the fastest ? Only this is not the "Wild-US-West" but western Asia-with most likely global consequences. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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US-regime change agenda
Of course blaming Russia, Iran, Syria etc for agression while the US is planning regime changes all around the globe makes clear where the problem is...the US "deep state" and its co-workers around the globe bring the world close to (very) major conflict. US want regime change in: -Syria, US (a.o.) did arm "rebels", from wahabi's/salafist extremists to minorities like Turkmen and Kurds. -Iran, the US is making the nuclear deal unworkable for Iran https://www.rt.com/newsline/419583-iran-nuclear-deal-banks/ -Venezuela -North Korea (after the winter olympics again US warplans ?) -Turkey https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201802231061915743-erdogan-alienating-neighbors-cannot-survive/ -Russia -China Regime change in Libya, Iraq, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Ukraine did bring chaos to those countries but "cheap oil/gas" for western companies. Plans like https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-22/us-may-open-path-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-weapons will make the world even more unsafe. Syria In NW Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-the-rest-of-the-convoy-that-was-hit-by-turkish and http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2111-turkish-army-loots-tractor-shoots-farmer-dead-video Turkey is involved in war-crimes against Kurds. The same crimes Turkey was doing to Kurds inside Turkey for decades with NATO-support. In East Ghouta http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/23/553289/Araqchi-Iran-Syria-Ghouta-Damascus 400.000 people are kept hostage by western supported "wahibi rebels" (IS/alquada). https://www.rt.com/news/419618-syria-ghouta-distorted-coverage/ Those "rebels" terrorize the population, fire with mortars on Damascus killing hundreds of civilians there as well. Most likely the US/NATO will come to help those "rebels". Syria, like Iraq, Libya-once had (for the region) good healthcare, housing, education for most. The "west" is destroying all that for oil and profit for a few. Media http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/23/553297/Is-US-Deep-State-targeting-alternative-media DJ-Around the globe bringing news on conflicts, climate change etc. is made "difficult/impossible" by YouTube, Facebook, MSM-giants. The official story is the absolute thruth-we are moving into a "totalitarian democracy" with no room for alternative views. This tendency will go further-having a different opinion may mean ending up in exclusion.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Escalation Middle East
Syria -East Ghouta https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-video-showing-multiple-attacks-with-thermobaric, https://www.rt.com/news/419554-lavrov-overthowing-government-syria/DJ-Russia-US ignoring East Ghouta "fighters"shelling Damascus is making proposed resolution unbalanced-alqauda/IS should be kept out of UN protection. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802221061898946-russia-east-ghouta-al-nusra/, https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-russian-warplanes-carry-relay-bombings-east-damascus/ -Afrin-http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-russian-chechen-military-police-spotted-on-road DJ-Chechen-Russia MP in Afrin region to oversee situation. (Chechen are Sunni-muslim, were able to get good contacts with fellow Sunni-muslims-might help for contact with Turkey (also most Sunni-muslim). https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-n-aleppo-convoy-of-assad-forces-not-anymore-irgclinked Third pro-Assad convoy on its way to Afrin. -IS evacuated by US https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/02/21/us-helicopters-spotted-in-al-hasakah-reportedly-evacuating-daesh-members-video/ -US intervention ? https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/02/21/will-the-us-intervene-in-ghouta-duff-on-press-tv/ -Aleppo https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-ypg-reportedly-hand-aleppo-districts-syrian-army/ -US arming terrorists https://www.sott.net/article/376355-The-Truth-Perspective-Interview-with-Dilyana-Gaytandzhieva-Pentagon-Biological-Warfare-And-Arms-Trafficking-to-Terrorists Iran https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/iran-reportedly-turns-us-secret-talks-washingtons-lost-tehrans-trust/, http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/22/553232/Iran-nuclear-deal-araqchi http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48846.htm US ultimatum on Iran-making nuclear deal unacceptable for Iran and than blame Iran... Russia-US http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/22/553237/US-Russia-Trump-Putin-Ryabkov Russia-US want to destroy Russia. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/22/553216/US-Russia-sanctions-Trump-election-hacking http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48845.htm The war to end all wars other China-India https://russia-insider.com/en/china-will-not-fall-thucydides-trap-india/ri22549#.Wo3ez3nBBlE.facebook |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria-escalation
DJ;http://halturnerradioshow.com/ putting his story behind a paywall-more or less claiming Russia is putting the US an ultimatum-leave eastern Syria or face the most modern Russian fighter-aircraft. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802221061888802-alleged--su57-footage-released-syria/ and https://southfront.org/russia-deployed-its-state-of-the-art-su-57-stealth-fighter-in-syria-reports/-https://southfront.org/russian-aerospace-force-deploy-new-warplanes-at-hmeimim-airbase-video/. DJ-Russia is sending a clear message with these planes-no further attacks-take Russia serious. These aircraft are coming after several (by-proxy) US attacks on Russian targets in Syria the last two months. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-21/syrias-afrin-move-artful-assistance-allies-or-armageddon-making DJ-Russia and Syria not on full agreement on some issues ? In my opinion both want "all of Syria" under Assad control. (This may-at some point even include (parts of) the Golan heights-as a Damascus safety-zone). http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-syrian-observatory-syrian-forces-enter-kurdishcontrolled Pro-Assad forces moving into Kurdish held area of Aleppo (as part of a Kurdish-Syria deal ?-if not Kurds and Syria cooperation may run into a major problem.) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802221061888260-turkey-syrian-fighters-afrin/, https://www.debka.com/mivzak/rising-turkish-syrian-tension-afrin-amid-exchange-fire/, DJ-Russia did get a (sort of) cease fire in Afrin. The Kurds did not want to fight Turkish tanks in urban warfare-Turkey did not want Russia shooting at their planes... In Eastern Ghouta http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/demands-halt-monstrous-campaign-syrian-town-180221183144792.html (DJ-IS/alquada"rabels" shell Damascus killing civilians daily, terrorize the local population.-all this is not in the MSM)https://southfront.org/russian-reconciliation-center-opposition-forces-hindering-evacuation-of-civilians-from-eastern-ghouta/ and https://southfront.org/heavy-clashes-between-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-and-syrian-liberation-front-in-idlib-and-aleppo-videos/-DJ South of Afrin in NW Syria "rebels" are fighting eachother. Both in Idlib and Eastern Ghouta there is a real risk of chemical weapons being used by the "rebels"-for wich the west will blame Assad. Yemen http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/22/553203/Iran-Yemen-Russia DJ-The US is blaming Iran for supporting Houthi's in Yemen war (eventhough the US is making this genocide possible by arming Saudi Arabia). https://southfront.org/houthis-repel-attack-of-saudi-led-coalition-in-taiz-province/ (see also http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/pakistan-tight-lipped-saudi-arabia-troop-mission-180222071931418.html) Iran Pakistan/India |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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The Final Battle ?
(DJ-When it sounds dramatic it is because the global situation IS dramatic) An overview; -T-exit, Turkey out of NATO is out of any question for the US/NATO, rather a new try on getting rid of Erdogan (bringing in "foreign Turks"), Turkey may be slipping into a not-wanted war with Syria. (The US and Israel would welcome a war between Turkey and Iran, Russia-US/Israel may try to create such a war) -Syria http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2104-ultimatum-russia-warns-saudis-pull-forces-out-of-ghouta-syria-or-it-will-be-be-obliterated-grozny-style Russia, Iran want to restore Syria as a state. The US wants to split up Syria-US being in Syria (Iraq, Afghanistan) to stop Russia/China from taking over the Middle East -Afghanistan; Russia claims the US is transporting IS fighters into Afghanistan-to threaten Russia, Iran, China, Pakistan-those group of 4 may be planning to "get a grip" on Afghanistan. (China already working on a military base to stop IS fighters moving into China) -many other conflicts; -Israel-Gaza -Egypt-Sinaï/Libya -Chad, Mali, (South)Sudan, Somalia, Ethiopia (China, Turkey, Russia trying to get military bases, UN peace-keeping-wars spilling over into Kenya, Nigeria) -Iraq (US presence there means US creating reasons to stay in Iraq) -Yemen (US backed Saudi genocide-with UAE/Sudan doing a lot of the fighting-Pakistan support for Saudis) -Pakistan/China-India; disagreement on Kashmir/Himalaya-states, Indian ocean (etc) https://southfront.org/india-build-major-overseas-military-base-off-africa-combat-china/ -Myamar(Burma/Birma)-Bangla Desh (Rohingya's, Muslim refugees from Myamar) -Black Sea/Ukraine/Crimea https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-21/navy-deploys-destroyers-black-sea-desensitize-russia-us-presence -Korea (US-China) The basics is the "old"East-West conflict (in fact going back to the 18th/19th century with the US moving west, Russia moving east-up into Alaska/Russian America). China being "new" in this conflict. The US will not give up its position as THE dominant nation. The US want control of (all-when possible) oil and gas in the world. Russia and China challenge that US-position. The situation in Syria may cause a (final) spark in this global powder keg. The US has had a central-Asia corridor to keep Russia and China from the Middle East. (http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/21/553159/Iran-Azerbaijan-Amir-Hatami-Zakir-Hasanov-Aliyev-Karabakh) That corridor is now collapsing (Pakistan working with China, Ukraine out of control, Turkey working with Iran etc.) The US claims "moral superiority" with "bad-Putin, bad-Assad, bad-China-sanctions-storiers"and mass-media not pointing to the risks of a third world war. (http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/russian-bots-how-an-anti-russian-lobby-creates-fake-news.html Mass-media has become part of the problem-again.) DJ-Even if Saudi Arabia stops supporting it's rebels in Syria the international situation may have crossed a point of no-return. (Not "new" but a good summary of US-created mess in Syria/Middle East. from the comments (see also http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/21/553183/russia-unsc-syria-ghouta-nebenzia-Russia-"moderate US backed rebels" keeping civilians hostage in Eastern Ghouta) Eric Zuess points to the various names which CIA gives their proxies to hide the fact they are all on the CIA Al’Qaeda payroll. Analyst Canthama supplies a breakdown of the named groups in E.Goutah, and predicts a tough battle. From SyrPer 5hr ago. “.. most of them are Syrians but there many Arabs from MENA. The issue in Ghouta is the … siege and most civilians under hostage situation, they are forced to fight for the terrorists. The different groups inside East Ghouta are as follows; all of them are WahhaBeasts, hardcore salafists, extreme radicals, the lot. 1) ISIS doing a job for US/Israel in the Palestinian refugee camp in Yarmourk camp. I mean, this very ISIS group is mostly Hamas Palestinians (one main reason Syria is not mending ties with Hamas after they betrayed Syria in 2011 and were kicked out of Qatar in 2017). This ISIS group is Hamas political branch and has deep ties to Mossad. Hamas military branch [on the other hand] is resistance [to Israel]. [I am not interested in these nomenclatural niceties. They are all terrorists taking up arms against a democratic government]. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/21-february-second-batch-of-ndf-begin-entering-afrin-region and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/21-february-afrinop-proassad-forces-which-entered-afrin-yesterday DJ-Pro-Assad forces now fighting against Turkey https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802211061854367-syrian-army-entry-afrin-turkey-warning/, https://sana.sy/en/?p=127995 DJ-Turkey having talks with Russia and Iran (DJ-proberbly Turkey wants to avoid a Turkey-Syria war-the US/Israel would welcome a war between Turkey and Syria/Iran) Turkey claims no pro-Assad forces in Afrin https://www.rt.com/news/419412-syria-convoy-afrin-retreated/ http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/syrian-pro-government-forces-seen-moving-afrin-aid-fight-against-turkey-433640662 and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-anatolia-agency-1200-turkish-special-forces-troops, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/21-february-5-rockets-hit-kirikhan-district-of-antiochturkiye DJ-War also on the Turkish side of the border. Are the rockets coming from YPG-Kurds or pro-Assad-forces ? US Iraq Iran China-India and http://theduran.com/us-japan-india-australia-indo-pacific-strategy-counter-china/, https://www.rt.com/news/419446-maldives-war-india-china/, https://www.rt.com/news/419278-chinese-military-bases-duterte/ (DJ-Growing risk of conflict between India (and US) and China (Pakistan, Iran, Russia). Israel |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Korea http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/21/553068/Mike-Pence-secret-meeting-North-Koreans-Winter-Olympics DJ-Not surprised-still http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2018/02/20/why-north-korea-and-america-could-be-at-war-by-april.html is the "other side of talks". China Afghanistan Iraq Philippines DJ-Duterte-will US plan coup ? Syria International http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/553062/iraq-us-troops-pmu-ameri and http://www.voltairenet.org/article199781.html, Secret wars https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azerbaijan%E2%80%93Israel_relations and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_Kurdistan%E2%80%93Israel_relations DJ-The main "thing"with "secret wars" is that they are secret-but in time enough gets out to get a bigger picture. Also goals are often quite clear. So it is a jigsaw-puzzle, connect-the-dots-drawing. "The West" is not a country but via NATO, ASEAN, etc. groups of countries united on certain goals. The US is dominating these organizations, also main supplier of weapons, (satelite)info, etc. Other countries have (very) limited room for their own actions. (Israel active above Syria means US is allowing this-if not even ordening it.) With Russia and China working (very close) together and "New Silk Road"plans the US global dominance is "under pressure" more than ever before. This dominance is based on the US military being all over the globe. Also economically the US wants to control energy and financial markets (US-petro-dollar, SWIFT). To keep Russia and China from moving to the Middle East, to get Iran under "control" US is moving IS fighters from Syria and Iraq to Afghanistan (and Libya). The US (via a.o. Israel) is trying to get the Kurds under control (Kurdish/Iraq-Syria oil ends up in Israel). From the EU-via Ukraine, Georgia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia%E2%80%93NATO_relations, Azerbaijan, to the Pakistan-India-China border https://asia.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-stratfor-according-to-reports-indias-army-chief area a "western shield" is being made. The conflicts over the South China Sea https://china.liveuamap.com/en/2018/19-february-president-duterte-defends-his-dealings-with-china and Korea also are parts of this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Containment This containment-cold war-strategy needs US forces in positions to avoid "enemy" forces to take over those positions. The US is in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan-to avoid Russia/China getting there. When you mix this "way-of-thinking"with the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Domino_theory "War=Peace" under US-rules. (See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rollback)
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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DJ-Just like Turkey is more likely to leave NATO than NATO putting Turkey out-Turkey is much to strategic, bordering Iran, Syria, Black Sea, second largest army (after US)-a T-exit-Turkish exit out of NATO-would be even worse (for NATO) than the BR-exit is for the EU.
Also Syrian forces getting out of Afrin-NW Syria-is very unlikely. Syria does see Afrin as part of Syria-Turkey is the invader. Although Syrian-Kurdish talks did not bring Kurdish forces under Syrian (Assad) control-the YPG-Kurds giving access to pro-Assad forces is much to valuable for Damascus. When pro-Assad forces show themselves as "good friends of the Syrian Kurds"-pro-Assad forces may show up (maybe just for a short term, as advisor, giving aid etc.) in other YPG-held area's. DJ Some remarks: -Since there are over 30 milion Kurds Kurds can be found on all sides in this conflict. A few Kurds joint IS, quite a lot of them might be in pro-Assad forces. (Also forces from Iraq, Iran-even Russia could include Kurds). -In the Syria conflict Kurds and pro-Assad forces most of the time did not fight eachother, but did fight with IS, "moderate western backed jihadi-terrorists". The Kurds claim they had to organize themselves in defense against IS. (Kurds and muslim-extremists do not mix. Kurds have several religions, christian,(Yezidi) to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoroastrianism) -Syria itself had a small Kurdish minority. Since the Kurds see "Kurdistan" as their country a lot of the Kurds in Syria may not come from Syria but are defending Kurdistan. East Damascus http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/senseless-human-suffering-east-ghouta-180220064101130.html Urban warfare is a horror for civilians. The "western main-stream-media" are still producing the "bad-Assad/bad-Russia-story" and ignoring who paid IS, other terrorist groups/"moderate rebels". It is very difficult-so far-to get a clear view of what is going on in several parts in/on Syria at this moment. Both for fighting and for talking. Most likely Russia and Iran are having talks with both Turkey and Syria to avoid a Turkish-Syrian war. Russia is selling-on credit-S400 missiles to Turkey, did invest in Turk-stream gasline. Russia does have the exploration-rights for Syrian oil and gas. Both Iran and Russia need Turkey to limit the US and Israel. Turkey now moving to US/NATO would end Russia's/Iran's dream of being in control of the Middle East-would also damage Putin's plans for his march-re-election. Erdogan has limited room to move. The US wants to get rid of him. The EU is-at this moment-not very interested in a Turkey membership. (Even if it would bring Turkey back to the west-political climate in the EU does not allow a Turkish EU membership). Russia still has to deliver the S-400, and a oil/gas pipeline is under construction and can be shut of. Iran and Turkey both have a large Kurdish community-a conflict with Iran would make Turkish internal problem with the Kurds even larger. DJ-I expect a sort of ceasefire in Afrin. Turkey did gain a lot of land the last few days. The YPG-Kurds in Afrin may have been close to collapse and encirclement. Turkey now has a good position for talks (with Russia-via them with Assad. (DJ-Jordan has better relations with Assad then Turkey !) Russia does want the Syrian-Kurds under Assad/Syria control. The US (France, Israel, others) may start major action when the rebels release gas/chemical weapons and "the west"blaimes Assad for it (again). But that would bring an "East" (Russia, Iran, most likely China)-"West" (NATO, some Gulf States, Israel) conflict wich would be hard to contain. Russia complaining on EU moving into the Balkan/SE Europe-of course Russia could/should do a better offer (then the EU would complain). Turkey and Iran may soon be joining al kind of deals with Russia and China.
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802211061850434-iran-threatens-israel-drone-downing/ DJ The Israel(US)-Iran relation is part of the war in Syria-one of the many reasons why this war might "explode" into a conflict that brings war from Turkey (Cyprus, Greece ?) to Pakistan, Somalia, North Africa. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
Fierce fighting east of Damascus and in NW Syria. East of Damascus; https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061828547-white-helmets-chemical-attack-syria/ and NW Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-turkish-artillery-shelling-targeted-the-convoy both have very serious risks for escalation. Most likely in Goutha https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-at-least-110-civilians-were-killed-as-result and Idlib (were the MI6 "White Helmets" with alquada are planning a chemical attack) escalation of fighting could bring "the west" to claim "they have to save humans" (while the "west"started the war). http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-president-erdoan-says-a-small-proassad-militant in NW Syria a small group of pro-Assad (and pro-Iran) fighters moved in - Turkey claimed they have pulled out again (?)-DJ-Will NATO claim a NATO country is being under attack by Syrian/Iran-forces ? https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-20/syrian-fighters-enter-afrin-turkey-retaliates-immediate-bombing-sending-turkish, https://southfront.org/turkish-media-claims-syrian-government-forces-withdraw-from-afrin-before-reaching-city/, https://southfront.org/turksih-military-strikes-area-near-government-convoy-entering-afrin/, http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/553033/Syria-Turkey-afrin, DJ-There is very serious risk for (major) western intervention in Syria (moving into conflict with Iran and Russia). https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061845953-syria-russian-center-militant-attack/in Damascus http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-us-foreign-ministry-russia-must-stop-supporting (US still pushing for regime-change) https://www.rt.com/news/419325-syria-russian-nationals-killed/, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061832536-russian-citizens-killed-syria/, Israel/Gaza https://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewforum.php?f=6&sid=ad95eb86c49f9ae391040986c06971e4 (and many others trying to keep up with -most likely-serious escalation of Syria-war. DJ-It is unclear how the situation in Eastern Syria-SDF (US-"zone"-but the US will be no match when the YPG-Kurds, some Arab tribes and pro-Assad forces would work together (to stop Turkish action) will work out. US-EU Trade War |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/552962/President-Rouhani-Turkey-Erdogan-Syria, DJ-Erdogan/Turkey is in (constant) talks with Russia and Iran on Syria-while for the moment escalating the war in Afrin (to put more pressure on the Kurds). http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/552948/turkey-syria-afrin-kurds-deny. DJ-Since the talks with the Kurds are about giving up any idea of a Kurdish state in short term these will be hard talks. -Turkey wants certainty that the Kurdish uprising in Turkey itself will not be supplied from Syria or Iraq. -The Kurds want maximum self-rule, would like to have their own "armed force" (maybe called militia, Kurdish Police). -Syria wants to control its country-not help creating a federal state with a Kurdish part out of Damascus control. -Russia would like to know what is expected of them-form a bridge between Syria and Turkey. -Iran has a large Kurdish minority and is also looking at how the talks in Syria unfold. The outcome could be that armed Kurdish groups get away from the Turkish border, pro-Assad forces take over control of the Syrian-Turkish border (maybe not the SAA-government army, maybe even Russia can play a role (just like Russia could play a role in the Israel/Syria/Golan region)-and maybe-for the moment-this only goes for the Afrin-Kurdish held area.) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061823113-syrian-army-afrin-deployment-turkey/ https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/19-february-eastern-ghouta-number-of-air-strikes-and-locations Syrian pro-Assad forces in full scale offensive in Eastern Damascus region. Jordan DJ-The US would like to see Jordan becoming a member of an Arab-NATO-like group (with Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Egypt). Jordan will not say "no" to this plan-since talks on this US "plan/insanity" will bring in a lot of money. Of course Jordan will not seek confrontation with Saudi Arabia-the southern neighbour. But since Saudi Arabia is involved in a lot of wars Jordan wants to stay out-no way Jordan will-for real-join such a coalition. (Maybe just in words-Jordan does not want to give up the West Bank, East Jerusalem-the US might be willing to give this Jordan-land to Israel. Amman still has Syrian Embassy and a Jordan Embassy in Damascus. A sort of "neutrality" under (western) pressure-with the US/UK training "rebels" in Jordan.) Lebanon https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061820964-lebanon-army-threat-israel/DJ-Lebanon-Israel disagree on a wall Israel wants to build on land that Lebanon claims is theirs-also disagreement on a oil/gas field of the coast. (DJ-Russia did sign a deal giving Russia access to Lebanon air/navybases). US Global And while there have been times in recent years when the MSC demonstrated signs of hope and optimism, none of that was evident this year. This year’s motto “ “I was hoping when I opened this conference on Friday that, in concluding the conference, |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2081-russia-tells-u-s-to-leave-se-syria-immediately-playing-with-fire, https://www.rt.com/news/419177-us-safety-zone-syria/, https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/19-february-calls-to-stop-syrian-armys-offensive-in-idlib, https://southfront.org/kurdish-sources-reveal-new-details-about-negotiations-between-ypg-and-damascus/ DJ-Turkey may stop (most) of its operations in (NW, or just Afrin ?) Syria when there is a deal between the (Kurdish) YPG and the Assad government. Turkey once got involved in the Syria war to support US plans for a Qatar-Europe oil/gas line. Erdogan worked with IS, alquada (the Erdogan clan made money out of oil transported by IS (etc.) out of Iraq and Syria and sold (at low prices) on the international oil market. (France FINA did buy IS-oil during the IS attacks in Paris, Israel still gets lots of oil from (SDF-US/IS) eastern Syria via Iraq) In southern Syria the main roads between Damascus and Amman (Jordan) and Damascus and Baghdad are-for a part-under "rebel"/US control-this is not only doing damage to Syria but also to the regions economy. Jordan, Iraq are limited in doing business with Turkey. US https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-18/us-executing-global-war-plan, http://theduran.com/german-foreign-minister-we-can-no-longer-recognize-our-america/, DJ-Internationaly more and more the US is seen as a problem. Does the US want trade or war ? The EU needs Russian energy, trade with China and Iran-when this means US sanctions against European companies (of course) this will effect relations in NATO etc. US-Russia http://thesaker.is/the-black-sea-development-navy-brief-2-18-february-2018/ DJ-US navy activity in the Black Sea (see also https://liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-february-lnr-group-ukrainian-army-is-preparing-wide-scale DJ-Poroshenko-Kiev junta under pressure from inside Ukraine due to corruption, failed economy, no end to war etc.)
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Russian PMC
https://southfront.org/russian-mercenaries-syria-around-world/ DJ; Private Military Contractors can be used by states when states can/will not use their own military. From anti-piracy in Somalia to special operations in Ukraine, Syria PMC's are a way to "work outside international law". (The legal position of a PMC most likely can be seen as an armed foreign citizen doing terrorism-so for that "normal armies" provide a better legal status. The (former) Blackwater company may have taken a "major"position in Saudi Arabia (become a state within a state), Wagner/Vagner-the Russian PMC-group makes money out of oil-deals in eastern Syria. PMC's are a step in privatizing wars-with possible PMC-groups fighting each other. (From history point PMC's are an old phenomenon. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercenary) Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-february-reportedly-terms-set-by-the-syrian-government DJ-The Assad-regime and Afrin Kurds seem to have made a deal in wich the Syrian Arab Army will take over control of Afrin and defend Syria against Turkey. The Kurds have to-pracital become members of the SAA-most likely for Turkey to even think of accepting such a deal. For Syria this may form a first step in reaching agreement with the other Kurdish groups inside Syria. (So the SAA has to treat the Kurdish fighters very well-already Kurdish fighters wounded in Afrin go to Syrian hospitals. There is fighting between pro-Assad forces and the Syrian Democratic Front (SDF) in SE Syria-but here (under US control) the SDF is no longer (mostly) Kurdish-the US may have renamed IS groups, Arab tribes sometimes forced to join IS-into SDF.) see also; https://sputniknews.com/news/201802181061785987-afrin-kurds-syria-army-unified/, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802181061786239-turkey-syria-territorial-integrity/, https://sputniknews.com/news/201802181061788534-ypg-syria-afrin-turkish-jets/ (DJ-There are some claims Russia may not (yet) fully agree on the Syrian-Kurdish deal-Russia may want to discuss this deal with Turkey. Turkey and Syria have no diplomatic relations-unlike Jordan (Jordan and Syria all during the war in Syria had their embassies open in Amman and Damascus). https://southfront.org/syrian-army-tiger-forces-shell-dozens-positions-of-militants-in-eastern-ghouta/ SAA now in offensive east of Damascus Israel DJ-Another missile attack from Gaza. Israel may face a two front war. https://southfront.org/hezbollah-media-wing-in-syria-releases-video-threatening-to-strike-israeli-offshore-oil-gas-operations/ DJ-Lebanon and Israel disagree on oil/gas production. Hezbollah is the main military group in Lebanon. https://southfront.org/israel-is-ready-to-act-against-iran-if-necessary-pm/ DJ-On the last day of the Munich-Germany Security Conference (a.o. also Poroshenko- Ukraine renewed contacts/support) Netanyahu claimed a drone shot down over the Golan heights was from Iran and entered Israeli airspace. Turkey http://www.atimes.com/article/hold-sunday-put-check-turkey-reaches/ DJ-Turkey may get overstretched. They want/have military presence in Qatar, Sudan, Syria and Iraq, Libya (DJ-Most likely on intelligence bases also working for Turkish minority interests in Ukraine, Bulgaria, Greece, Cyprus). DJ-Turkey wants to secure its southern/eastern borders to control the fight against Kurdish separatists inside Turkey. But a war is very expensive-so for Turkey there are limits. China DJ-With the Chinese economy becoming the largest in the world, China also paying for energy in Yuan (instead of the petro-dollar), 20% of the global population being Chinese, China-Russia working together to create global influence (by trade relations) the US is "under pressure". |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Israel
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-air-sirens-go-off-israel-rocket-fire/, https://www.debka.com/mivzak/sirens-alert-israeli-locales-around-gaza-israeli-air-strike/, DJ-The conflicts in the Middle East are oil/gas/energy related (with "energy" being dams, watercontrol). Israel may be facing a two-front war-due to its own actions. Iran https://www.debka.com/mivzak/mcmaster-time-now-act-iran/ DJ-The main reason why there is no open war-so far-with Iran is that (learning from Iraq) even the US-Saudi-Israel coalition would find it a very hard job. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/17/552691/Iran-India-finalize-deal-over-control-of-Chabahar-port DJ-When India wants to deal with Europe-but does not like Pakistan to play a role in it-India deals with Iran. China DJ-China is facing a major energy-crisis. Renewable energy is only a small drop in a big demand. So China is buying buying "energy", raw materials, food-production capacity (=land, farms-China is taking over Africa) all over the world. http://www.atimes.com/article/chinas-new-silk-roads-reach-latin-america//. With 20% of the world-population being Chineese they have to move on this road for growth. (A collission with the US-eventhough the US bacame the largest global oil-producer thanks to China-is hard to avoid. Russia and China complement eachother very well-combined they control the world-not (longer) the US.) Syria https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-prepares-largest-offensive-2018/ DJ-Since Turkey now dominates NW Syria, with talks between Turkey, US, Russia, Iran, Kurds-Syria has limited "fronts"to be active at. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/two-largest-rebel-groups-may-merge-northern-syria/
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-kurdish-forces-accuse-turkish-troops-using-chemical-weapons-afrin-photos/, http://syria.liveuamap.com/ DJ-Very limited news from Syria. Major question is how the US-Turkey deal will work out for the Kurdish-Syrian relations. How does the US think to remove Kurds from Manbij-Kurdish held area in North Syria ? Will the US use force against the Kurds or "rename"them ? Also in NW-Syria-Afrin unclear wether Kurds allow Syrian Arab Army entry to the region and if so-will the SAA fight the (pro)Turkish forces ? On an international level-how are the relations between Russia, Iran and Turkey ? Do they still cooperate ? Did Putin call Erdogan ? (Did Tillerson contact Israel ?) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802171061748945-usa-kurds-syria-issue-danger/ DJ-Proberbly within the coming 24 hours we will find out wich way things develop in Syria. At best there is hope that in Afrin Russia informed Turkey that Syria is moving in-Turkey agrees to a ceasefire. Syria and Turkey have talks on the Kurds in Syria (at best the Kurds may get some form of self-rule within Syria-"Turkish (PKK) Kurds" could remain in Syria when they stop fighting in Turkey). In the worst case an all-out Syria-Turkish (Russia-NATO) war wich will involve all of the Middle East (at least). US-Russia DJ-If I was forced to make a choice during the US presidential elections and I only had a (very bad) choice between h. clinton and d.trump I would vote for Trump. Does this mean I am trying to influence the US election ? Are people visiting the US and having a political opinion "a danger to the US"? The US was/is behind government changes all over the world-but when "non-US-citizens" even give an opinion they are interfering with the US Presidential elections (sponsored by major companies-also from outside the US). Is the US becoming a failed state ?
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
DJ-Now the US has made a deal with Turkey the Kurds have a choice in who they want to welcome, the Turks or pro-Assad forces. https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-proassad-sources-report-a-saa-reconnaissance First SAA-pro-Assad forces already in Afrin. (DJ-Afrin is most western part of Kurdish area-only a small Turkish piece of land keeping Kurdistan from the Mediterraneansea.) https://southfront.org/turkey-resumes-financial-support-to-free-syrian-army-and-ahrar-al-sham-in-northern-syria-report/ DJ-Erdogan now must show wich side he is on. Will he move into Syria to hand over land to the Assad-government or to occupy it-joint with the US ? http://theduran.com/russia-will-have-exclusive-rights-to-produce-oil-and-gas-in-syria/ Russia will not accept further occupation of Syria by NATO. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/16/552524/Syria-Kurds-Afrin-deployment-Turkey Will pro-Assad forces end up fighting Turkish Army (and will Turkey ask for NATO help ?) https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201802161061745730-turkey-us-relations-syria/ DJ-"Things are on the move"
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/16/552547/Turkey-US-Syria-operation DJ; Turkey AND US to station forces in Manbij-(Kurdish held) region-(YPG-Kurds supposed to give up their Kurdish dreams ? Or will they turn to Syria/Russia ? http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/15-february-mayadeen-says-deal-reached-for-deployment-of) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802161061731183-lavrov-syria-us-military/ -Last Saturday (February 10) the world took note as Israel sent fighter jets to pound sites in Syria after an Iranian Drone launched from inside Syria, penetrated Israeli airspace. The world ALSO noticed that Syrian Missiles shot-down one of those Israeli F-16's, damaged a second F-16 and damaged an Israeli Apache attack helicopter. Today, the world gets to see something else: Israel's "Iron Dome" missile protection system . . . . could NOT shoot down those Syrian Missiles ! ! ! The Israeli government immediately imposed strict media CENSORSHIP on the incidents, but the truth still seeps out. -As the Israeli attack on Syria was proceeding and it's jet was shot down as other Syria missiles overflew Haifa and Tel Aviv, Israel decided to stop bombing after hitting only 3 air defense batteries in Syria fearing that if IDF continued, all cities in northern Israel would come under missile attack. Put simply, Israel got scared and stopped its attack on Syria. -The Israeli people are not being allowed to know their vaunted "Iron Dome" proved useless against Syrian Missiles, making all of northern Israel viable targets for Syrian retaliation. Saturday's failure of Israel's Iron Dome comes about a year after another incident in which Israel tried to destroy Syrian (probably) SAM missile with their "Arrow" air defense system. Later it was reported as failure; the Syrian warhead was not intercepted. No one is certain as to what Israel is going to do now that they see they are actually vulnerable if they continue attacking Syria. But vulnerable they are, for certain. -It now appears that the US is going to work with Turkey despite severe troubles in that relationship regarding Syria. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson met with Turk Foreign Minister Cavusaglu this week and, after that meeting, 34 additional US Air Force F-15's left Seymour Johnson AFB in North Carolina on Thursday headed to Turkey. While yet unconfirmed, word has reached my ear that several F-22's out of Langley Air Force Base (AFB) and several F-35's out of Eglin AFB are also headed over. The US plans to spend $10 billion upgrading 150 Cold War-era nuclear bombs stationed in Europe, even though the weapons may be more of a security liability than a strategic deterrent, according to a new report by arms experts. Assumptions about the safety and security of US nuclear weapons stored in Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany and Turkey have been undermined by “recent terrorist attacks and political instability,” the report, published by arms control advocacy group the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI), claims. |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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NATO-Russia
https://www.neweurope.eu/article/saakashvili-vows-continue-fight-to-topple-poroshenko-from-the-netherlands/ (DJ-A lot of surprise on how fast Saakashvili did get papers to be reunited with his Dutch wife-also his family is welcome to come to the Netherlans. "Some refugees are more special than other refugees"-by the way, Putin's oldest daughter Maria-also married with a Dutch partner-lives in a The Hague-suburb.) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802161061723418-ankara-washington-critical-stage-relation/ DJ-US giving in to Turkey Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-fm-cavusoglu-usturkey-coordination-will-start and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-tillerson-manbij-should-remain-under-our-control DJ-The US claims to have a right to occupy parts of a foreign country without any good reason. When the UN accepts this insanity then end of the UN is getting close ! DJ-Turkey has to make clear if they accept the Syrian State under Assad or do they want to "cut up"Syria (Iraq) in pieces.) US-China https://sputniknews.com/world/201802161061725033-admiral-us-australia-china-war/, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-15/chinas-rapid-military-modernization-remarkable-set-challenge-west-several-fronts Cyber-war http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/white-house-says-iraq-has-wmd-russia-created-cyberattack.html and https://www.rt.com/news/418955-us-blames-russia-notpetya-cyber-attack/ Iran http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48805.htm, https://iran.liveuamap.com/en/2018/15-february-this-report-highlights-what-weve-been-saying US-Israel want new sanctions against Iran for "not stopping Iran-made weapons showing up in Yemen" (in wich Yemen was attacked by Saudi Arabia). DJ-When the UN would accept this kind of madness-the US, Israel are destroying the UN. (Just like the international sports-world is destroyed by anti-Russia hysteria). Pakistan (India/China triangle) DJ; The US wants war with Russia, China and Iran. Blaming them for cyber-attacks, support of chemical weapon-use, illigaly taking control of rheir own ports (in the Crimea), and islands (South China Sea), supporting terrorism etc. It would be nice when the EU could get some control over the US-stop the insanity-not join it !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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US-Asia
The US is in several Asian countries to put pressure on Russia and China. To have an excuse for being in the region the US used/created "terrorists". When you look at the past 5 years-from Philipines, Turkey, Pakistan now even effecting South Korea, Israel, Saudi Arabia Asian countries expect better treatment from the US. You can not start a tradewar with South Korea and expect South Korea to join the war-of-words against Russia, China and North Korea at the same time. Israel has a large minority with Russian background (and familycontacts) Israel is not waiting for US (proxy) attacks on Russians in Syria, many Israeli's know they need better relations in their region (and hope Russia may be helpfull). Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Afghanistan welcome Russian and Chinese investments-better traderelations with the EU. At the longer term the US has to think of something better than this: http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-new-chemical-weapons-fake-planned-chlorine-though-will-not-do.html
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
YPG-Kurds pull back from SE Syria (leaving it to US paid DMC) https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-backed-kurdish-forces-withdraw-deir-ezzor-province-sources/, (DJ-Turkey wants the US to stop helping Kurds-with a lot of words the US is saying "No") https://southfront.org/15-russian-private-military-contractors-died-in-weapons-depot-explosion-msm/ (DJ-propaganda-war ?) The US-led coalition already claimed that it had foiled an attack of the Iranian-backed forces and the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) on the SDF-held CONICO gas facility in the eastern Deir Ezzor countryside on February 7. However, new reports suggested that Iran and the SAA are currently massing bigger forces near key oil and gas facilities in the eastern and southern Deir Ezzor countryside. It’s unclear if the SAA and its allies, including Iran, will launch another attack towards the SDF-held oil and gas fields in Deir Ezzor governorate. Syrian pro-government activists believe that the SAA and its allies will have to impose a no-fly zone over the fields, if they want their second attempt to be successful. However, this is hardly possible. (DJ-Syria claims it will shoot at any foreign aircraft (Israeli, Turkish, US, France) in Syrian airspace. There may be Russian-Israeli talks on Israel staying away from "further action in Syria"). China-US Venezuela http://theduran.com/regime-change-fails-military-coup-invasion-venezuela-next/ |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Israeli News Live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvLz-CJrsmw and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_iwuZiO-zY Russia moving ICBM's to North Korea border area. (DJ-Those Inter Continental Ballistic Missiles could be used against an "invasion fleet" gathering of carriers" or Navy Stations a few thousend miles from Korea-DJ-Russia WILL use those ICBM's when the US (a.o.) does attack NK (without some sort of agreement with Russia).
My impressionDJ-Eventhough the number of Russian private contractors being killed wednesday feb 7 in Eastern Syria most likely will be between 5 and 20 (and not "hundreds") the US attack on these pro-Assad forces that day are seen as a form of betrayel by the US. https://southfront.org/moscow-calls-on-media-not-to-rely-on-misinformation-on-developments-in-syria/ Private contractors are "easy to deny"-fighters doing the "dirty work" (Blackwater did the same in Iraq, is fighting Russian "Wagner"-group in the Ukraine). Still Putin can not act like nothing happened. Russia, Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, Afghan- and Pakistan (Shia)-fighters may be preparing to move into the southern part of East Syria (a lot of the Kurds did move to Afrin NW-Syria to fight the Turks-SE Syria now may be "defended"by Arab Tribes, former IS-fighters etc. backed by the US. Some of the Arab-tribes may be willing to join pro-Assad groups). Turkey may be considering moving into NE Syria against (more) Kurdish/US forces. (And at the same time try to hinder US using Turkish facilities). The Iraq-border-now the main logistics route for US forces in Syria may get blocked. Putin's message: (to the US) You do not .... with us ! Israel knows Russia has the cards in the Middle East, Erdogan wants the US to stop supporting the Kurds-may be tired of "words only". Iran wants to make clear they want to keep influence in the region. (DJ-Even for Israel it may get hard to understand why the US keeps it troops in East Syria. There is oil there but no need for US pressence.https://southfront.org/us-state-secretary-control-over-oil-fields-allows-washington-to-influence-situation-in-syria/) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802151061679025-syria-israel-spy-planes/ Syria claims it will not allow "unwelcome" aircraft in its airspace. (Including US planes !) Russia-China https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/saudi-arabia-novak-king-salman-talk-energy-cooperation-riyadh/ Russian-Saudi talks on oil(trade-in the petro yuan) (DJ-The US-Saudi-Israel coalition is breaking up. US is now oil producer #1, Saudi#2, Russia#3-China is facing an energy crisis they even buy US oil.) https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russia-plans-sign-contract-deliver-second-batch-s-400-systems-turkey-source/ Russia is taking over the weapon-market https://sputniknews.com/science/201802151061674936-china-ai-dominance-white-house-silent/ DJ-China and South Korea already have good contacts in this field-US trade war is pushing South Korea further towards Russia and China.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95877 |
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Syria
On the US attack wednesday feb 7 Deir Ezzor/East Syria. https://southfront.org/u-s-strikes-and-scores-of-killed-russian-fighters-in-syria/ also MoA-mention http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/consolation-post.html In that region build-up for pro-Assad operation against SDF/US-backed forces. https://southfront.org/syrian-army-us-backed-forces-massing-troops-in-euphrates-valley-reports/ Russian (made/provided) air-defense sat feb 10 https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/02/14/syria-forces-shot-down-13-israel-cruise-missiles-during-feb-10-attack/ and https://southfront.org/syrian-forces-shot-down-13-israeli-air-launched-cruise-missiles-during-feb-10-encounter-russian-media/ Syria will "bring down" any new Israeli aircraft https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802141061657421-syrian-army-down-jet/ Libya Pakistan Israel |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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