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War on the horizon

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2018 at 4:24am
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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http://theduran.com/syria-shoots-israeli-f-16-military-balance-balance-middle-east-shifting/ Syria shooting down 1 (or 2 ?) Israeli Defense Force (IDF) planes may come as a shock for Israel. Israel claims the drone that started this war was Iranian-most likely it was Syrian (but made by Iran, controled by Iranians) checking on Israeli support for "rebels".



DJ-The US-Russia/Iran confrontation is-most likely-far from over. https://iran.liveuamap.com/en/2018/8-february-report-25-irainian-militia-were-killed-and-about The US airstrike two days ag o in Eastern Syria may have targeted Iranian forces. https://iran.liveuamap.com/en/2018/9-february-silo-launch-portal-at-imam-ali-missile-base-iran

This is BREAKING NEWS as of 1:33 PM eastern US time on Saturday, Feb. 10, 2018 (ALL UPDATES AT BOTTOM) -- After this morning's shoot-down of an Iranian Drone which crossed into Israeli airspace, the government of Israel launched eight F-16 fighter jets to attack the base in Syria from which that Drone had been launched.   

During the F-16 attack, Syrian air defenses were able to hit TWO Israeli F-16's, downing one INSIDE ISRAEL. (The Israelis sent their jets to the border between Israel and Lebanon, then fired missiles across Lebanon into Syria.  Syria anti-aircraft missiles traveled across Lebanon and into Israel to hit the attacking planes).

Later, Israel launched more F-16's to conduct additional attacks against what THEY say are "Iranian" bases in Syria, except one such base was also shared with Russia.  Upon coming under attack, RUSSIAN air defense missiles were launched against Israeli F-16's.   In addition, during that same later Israeli air assault, the Israelis found their planes had also come under attack from . . . .  LEBANON. 

There is a formal Media BLACKOUT on these operations; a blackout which the Hal Turner Radio Show is not obliged to honor - and is not honoring.

Just a few hours ago, Lebanon publicly announced they would no longer permit Israeli jets to fly into Lebanon, and any jet doing so WILL BE SHOT AT.

In response to these developments, Israel is now sending "massive" numbers of troops and heavy armor toward the Syria Border.

Israel is also opening BOMB SHELTERS in the northern part of the country and telling citizens to get inside them!

This morning's events are a MAJOR escalation on multiple fronts of the Middle East and unless things somehow calm down quickly, expect the worst.

-

Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv, Israel is now CLOSED due to Syria missiles having earlier reached the center of Israel.

-

The Russian Federation has issued a statement which calls for all sides to show restraint.  The statement also explicitly warns Israel against any attacks in Syria where Russian forces may be deployed.

-
The Al Khalkhala Airbase in southern Syria is now under heavy attack by Israel.  Multiple buildings reported destroyed, raging fires all over the base. A squadron of Israeli war-planes are currently carrying out Airstrikes on the Khalkhala airbase in S. Damascus Syria which is the home camp of several Iranians IRGC Soldiers & Hezbollah fighters. Sources on ground confirm huge explosions.
(DJ-No further confirmation on the Hal Turner story-yet-but it could be correct-and very serious)
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https://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=11542&start=20
It looks like a fourth wave of Israeli airstrikes on Syria (Damascus, Aleppo area) saterday-evening (local time). 

sraeli military planes are NOW flying over Syria and bombing pro-Assad targets.

Journalists have been directly ORDERED not to report this.  

https://www.rt.com/news/418445-israeli-airstrikes-syria-dialogue/">https://www.rt.com/news/418445-israeli-airstrikes-syria-dialogue/:

Max Blumenthal, author and senior editor at The Real News, acknowledges that what took place on Saturday was a “dramatic incident,” and if the F-16 really did crash as a result of Syrian fire that would make it “the first Israeli plane that Syria has downed since 1982.”

But, he argues, it is not in Israel’s interest to escalate the conflict. “Benjamin Netanyahu was in the opposition when the Israeli government attacked southern Lebanon and lost to Hezbollah in 2006, and he fears another escalation in which Hezbollah is substantially stronger after the experience it’s gained on the Syrian battlefield,” Blumenthal told RT.

While Israel has once again routinely blamed the entire episode on the Iranians, Blumenthal believes Damascus might have finally lost its patience over constant violations of its sovereignty and the Israeli occupation of the Golan Heights.


http://thesaker.is/who-is-doing-what-in-syria-and-why/">http://thesaker.is/who-is-doing-what-in-syria-and-why/

DJ-At this moment "no news"means "preparations for further actions" on all sides. The only good thing seems to be that Russia is able to have some influence on Netanyahu-with also good contacts on the other countries involved. 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2018 at 11:31pm
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/02/10/intel-drop-israeli-strike-on-syria-utter-failure/
DJ-If this information is correct http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/10-february-the-lebanese-army-the-remains-of-two-missiles and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/10-february-one-of-the-fired-missile-fall-in-lebanonhasbaya-may be some proof-Israel found itself in serious trouble during the attacks on Syria. From the article:

-They report that the Israeli airstrike was a complete failure, that Syrian loses are very minimal with the only notable damage being a large explosion at a mortar depot near Damascus.

The Israeli airstrike was unable to penetrate far into Syrian airspace as the Israeli ECM systems failed to counter the Syrian radars, resulting in most Israeli warplanes dropping their weapon loads harmlessly over southern Syria due to the heavy fire from the Syrian Air Defenses.

The huge failure of the Israeli air strike, forced Tel-Aviv to launch another attack, however, that also failed ignominiously.

-

This embarrassing failure by the Israelis to bomb Syria with impunity will have very serious repercussions not just in Tel-Aviv but in Washington as well. The Israeli aircraft – F-15s and F-16s are American, the same models that are still the backbone of the US airforce; furthermore, they use the same ECM (Electronic Counter Measures) to defend themselves from missiles that the US uses, in short, the Israeli airforce has all the same goodies that the US airforce uses.

Syria, perhaps with the assistance of it’s Russian and Iranian allies has just demonstrated to the world’s air forces that they now possess the capability to successfully defeat the current US aircraft and electronics systems, something that we already strongly suspected following the disabling of the USS Donald Cook in the Black Sea in 2014.

This is a truly game changing event; no longer can Israel and the US carry on their ‘gunboat diplomacy’ where they impose their will on nations through the threat and use of airstrikes as those nations will now be able to defend themselves effectively – no wonder the Saudis were so keen to buy the latest Russian air defence systems including the S-400 missile complex.

-

Sources at the Pentagon tell VT that President Trump has been briefed on the Israeli failed attack.  For background, Israel has been working closely with Saudi Arabia and the US in bombing attacks on civilians in Yemen, honing ECM (Electronic Counter Measure) operations and tactics.

Israel was convinced they could attack Syria without consequence.  American military advisors totally concurred and Israel moved forward and got their tiny little yarmuka’s stuffed up their behinds.

The Pentagon told Trump Russia did it, using S400 and S300 systems under Russian command that were, according to some sources, unconfirmed sources, relocated south to cover Israel and Lebanon.

-

These events push Netanyahu to either respond with tactical nuclear weapons, and we have information that the US is aware Israel is prepared to do exactly that, or use his press assets and lie his way out of it.  The current false reporting on Israel’s attacks is evidence that Netanyahu doesn’t want to see Syria strewn with Israeli plane wreckage again.

Russian pilots, we are told, are begging to burn Israel.  Russian planes in the sector outperform the F15 and F16 by some margin and hatred for Israel runs high in Russia’s military after years of seeing Israel work closely with ISIS.

DJ-If the VT story is correct both the US and Israel may be very limited in how to (re)act in Syria. But since this conflict is not (any longer) on Assad but on Iran, Russia, China new "frontlines" will show up. From the Persian Gulf, Ukraine, to South China Sea and India's borders with Pakistan, China (or even Bangla Desh). The conflict between the "East" and "West"escalated. US, Israel, Gulf States (and some others) are not likely to accept any form of Russian or Iranian "victory" (in Syria, Yemen or elsewere). 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2018 at 2:06am
Financial War

Hal Turner; US banks stopped lending to eachother-forcing the banks to sell their shares on the stock-exchange creating a crash on the stock-exchange. Who is pulling away money from (US) banks ? 
DJ-A limited number of organizations is able to manipulate the market in this way. One "strategic motive" could be making it impossible for the US to find funding for its weapon/war-program. 
(A sort of "nuclear financial war"-in reaction on US decisions in foreign policy.)

China-U.S.

http://thesaker.is/chinas-latest-move-in-the-graveyard-of-empires/ Afghanistan building a base, paid for by China, in the China Afghanistan border region meant to block Uyghur/Chinese IS fighters from entering China. (Wether you call that an Afghan Army Base or a Chinese Base is a matter of words. China wants to increase its influence in Afghanistan. With Pakistan, Iran, Turkey it could become part of the China New Silk Road.)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2018 at 11:03am
Syria

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-11/israel-preparing-war-north-boosts-air-defenses-warns-iran DJ-A very likely scenario could be Israel creating a buffer east of the Golan Heights (and in Lebanon). Such a scenario will bring major conflict, Damascus is less than 50 kilometrers from the Golan Heights. 

https://www.debka.com/iranian-saegheh-drone-syria-worry-us-well-israel/ DJ-Israeli story on the Iran-drone that started the saturday-"incidents". The Iran-drone did pick up/transmit data on US and Israeli defense electronics-was a product of Iran and China based on a US drone Iran managed to take over. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/israel-boosts-air-defenses-north/
DJ-Israel is preparing for (further) war (and would not do so without US support. Both the US and Israel can and will not Russia/Iran be the winner in Syria-to much to loose for the both of them.)


Korea

A piece missing last week should have been about the opening of the Winter Olympics in Korea. The North and the South started with a united team and emphasized the peacefulness of the games. U.S. Vive President Pence made an ass out of himself when he triedand failed, to party-poop the opening festivities with the South Korean president Moon and the well represented North Korean delegation. Kim Yo Jong, the polite sister of the North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, made an excellent impression.

Before Pence came to South Korea he was in Japan to visit the militaristic Prime Minister Abe, a figure widely despised in South Korea. Abe promptly suggested to immediately restart U.S.-South Korean maneuvers which would lead to a restart of nuclear and missile testing in the North.

But the South under President Moon wants -like the North- peace and not a war that would again devastate the country. By now Kim Yo Jong and the North Korean cheerleader squad have gained more sympathy points in South Korea than Pence and Abe combined. How long will it take for the U.S. to decide to "regime change" Moon for some more compliant and belligerent person?

In order to counter China’s rise, the US has also established strong trade and military ties with India.

India has begun holding trilateral naval exercises with the US and Japan that military experts say could eventually include Australia as well.

China is in a territorial dispute with India and with some of its other neighbors in the East and South China Sea. While strengthening its military, the country has been seeking a peaceful rise to a global power status.

In January, Admiral Harry Harris, the head of the US military’s Pacific Command, said China was a “disruptive” power in the Indo-Pacific region and needed to be confronted.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2018 at 9:36pm
Middle East

Israeli News Live on his sources for the news Netanyahu may need to resign, go to prison today, monday. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WlveLB9EST8 (DJ-like most of this kind of news/speculation/info I see it as a possible scenario-not a certainty. But Netanyahu is facing corruption charges-this may influence his decision making. A war could keep him in power. I'm sorry to say but we had several western leaders (Berlusconi-Italy, Sarkozy-France) that would go to far to stay in power.)

(DJ-US is in fact out of Middle East peace proces, even for Israel !) After the downing of the IDF-F16 Netanyahu spoke to Rex Tillerson for the US bur got Putin (the Russian leader-not Lavrov FM) in Russia. Netanyahu and Putin did have a lot of talks the last few years. Would Israel give up on the US when Russia can provide peace AND safety for all of the region ?)

DJ-Russia has split up the wars in/for Syria into several conflicts-stays-as good as it can-sort of neutral in the Turkish-Kurdish conflict, the Arab-Israel conflict. Russia is not even blind pro-Assad, willing to convince Assad to step down when it would save Syria. The Russian intervention in Syria made the East-West conflict more open. (The US-Israel started the "civil"war /regime change to secure Qatar/KSA energy to the EU instead of Russian energy.)

https://sputniknews.com/asia/201802121061568339-china-plans-bigger-role-syria/ :Earlier, the Syrian Minister of Transport told Sputnik that after fixing the transport network within the country, the construction of a railway line to China might be possible.


Russia-US


Korea


http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/12/552076/north-korea-south-korea-kim-jongun-seoul-winter-olympicsUS Secretary of Defense James Mattis says says a temporary warming of relations between North Korea and South Korea could not drive a  “wedge" between the United States and South Korea. (DJ-The US in defense ? The improved Korean relations (due to Trump, Abe pressure for war) as a risk for the US ?) 
(DJ-Will the US support a coup by Admiral Song if PM Moon visits NK ?)
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Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-turkish-foreign-minister-mevlut-cavusoglu-threatensUS for giving support to Kurds (and enlisting former IS fighters to SDF to fight Turkey).






DJ-In Syria there are several conflicts going on at the same time-with several "groups" involved. What I (DJ) find remarkable is the amount of contacts between Netanyahu and Putin. I could speculate-nothing more than that-that Israel would prefer more Russian influence in Syria if that would decrease Iran influence. Netanyahu can not say that "in the open" because the US does hate the idea. 

There must also be growing pressure from Iran and Russia on Erdogan and Assad to have talks. Inside Turkey several groups (left wing, also secular, Alevites, Christians) would welcome such talks. It would also mean discussing the position of pro-Turkish groups inside Syria. (From Turkman-a minority going back to the Ottoman-Empire time to Muslim-extremists. Erdogan in Turkey is backed both by Islamists and Nationalists. He has to make up his mind. Turkey is spending a lot of money in the Syria-war-rewards are conditional, Russian/Iranian oil/gas "Turkstream"pipelines, S-400 air-defense on (Russian) credit. Russia and Iran (and China) need Turkey but Turkey/Erdogan can not do without Russia and Iran. 

With the US trying to become the largest oil-exporter on the globe the US-position in the Middle East did change as well. It is pushing Saudi Arabia towards Russia and China, China is the largest energy-consumer in the world. 

Netanyahu is facing corruption-charges-he may need a crisis to stay in power, may need to avoid a war to stay in power and could welcome "improved relations" with India. 

On the long term-most likely-all Middle East countries do need some peace and stability to recover from wars and restore trade-relations. Russia and China are in a position to bring conditions for peace and stability, economic growth. The US is NOT in such a position. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/trump-jerusalem-negotiation-table-180212052249924.html

Foreign policy "stupidity"by the US did make the Philipines, Pakistan, Turkey-maybe now South Korea and maybe even Israel/Saudi Arabia look if Russia and China can offer a better deal. (US)Trade) wars do not make friends-offering economic oppertunities does make friends.

What to expect the coming weeks ? The US would like to stop Russia gaining more influence in the Middle East-but is alone in that position. Russia can and does control Iran, Turkey-to a certain limit also Israel and Saudi Arabia (a.o. via the oil-price, weapon deals KSA willing to buy Russian weapons). According to some reports Russia has ( a basis for) military bases in Lebanon, Egypt. (DJ-In the last few years Russia could also use an Iran Airbase for actions in Syria) Via Russia-Iran-Turkey talks, Sochi-peace conferences etc. Russia will start dominating the Middle East. 

Putin did manage to stay out of conflicts (within other conflicts) that were not in the interest of Russia. He may be even willing to ask the US if they would accept a Russian general to be in command (and protect) US troops in Syria and Iraq. 

The US position in the Middle East (a.o. by the Jerusalem stand, but also with the US being the major oil-exporter (to a. o. China !) has totally changed (The US was a major importer for oil/gas, did sell weapons). The US did not bring peace and is unable to do so now even more than a few years ago. 

Just like South Korea also Israel is not willing to "offer its existance" for US goals. Israel wants to limit Iran but knows a war would bring an end to Israel-Russia may have the better alternative. So Israel does not start a war against Russia in Syria. 

The outcome can be that the US "can park its troops"in the Middle East but it may not be able to do much more without Russian permission. China and Pakistan-together with Russia and Iran will start peace-talks on Afghanistan (excluding the US most likely). 

China's plans for a market from Japan to Patagonia may turn out to have to much momentum for the US to stop it-The US better join it. The "New World Order"could turn out different than what the US was hoping for. The US could start a new war somewere, intensify old conflicts, put sanctions-but with what goal ? 

Europe depends on Russian oil and gas, Europe is a main-investor in Iran, in Korea all parties want to avoid war. 

The Ukraine needs Russian gas(transports) and credits eventhough they are (almost) at war with Russia. This position will stop without US support. The US wants to dominate the world but the only way to play a major role is by having trade-not trade wars.  
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Iraq

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/12/552171/US-Iraq-reconstruction-conference DJ; the US seems not to be willing to pay for rebuilding Iraq. https://iraq.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-us-military-requests-14bn-for-iraq-syria-train Only wants to spend billions on "military solutions and occupation"-this is not making Arab-or other-States "happy", they will think twice before asking the US for intervention.

Israel/Palestine

Palestinians can choose who they want to have talks with-when they exclude the US-that may become a US problem.
-Israel wants the US to "pay" for Israel's support-first the US had to decide on Jerusalem, now Netanyahu "would like" US support for annexation of the West Bank. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/13/552190/US-rejects-Netanyahu-annexation-talks-claim. DJ-The US giving in on Israeli wishes is pushing the US out of any negotation-position with Arab/Muslim-countries. 

US-Turkey

Rex Tillerson is touring the Middle East NOT visiting Israel (they are not happy with that) http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-us-relations-heading-toward-close-combat-in-syria-mhp-chair-127192 US-Turkish relations are getting close to breakingpoint. https://southfront.org/professor-ivo-hristov-turkey-is-doing-the-dirty-work-of-russia-in-afrin-interview-part-2/ DJ-You could claim that Turkey is fighting Syrian Kurds so Russia/Syria/Iran/Hezbollah would not have to do that "dirty work" to bring Syria under Assad control. 
(DJ-The Kurds have two choices; 1 fight the Turks or 2 accept Assad. While doing 1 they have talks on 2-the more pressure by the Kurds the more (some) Kurdish groups may be willing to deal with Assad. 
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-today-the-arrival-of-a-us-arms-convoy-from-50 DJ-Most likely via Iraq the US is sending weapons to the Kurds-wich end up being used against NATO-partner Turkey. 

From the Kurdish side; https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-kurdish-units-call-on-the-syrian-government-to and https://southfront.org/media-us-led-coalition-airstrikes-mistakenly-kill-300-kurdish-fighters-en-eastern-syria/ (DJ-Most likely the numbers of killed are incorrect but if the US did bomb the Kurds do they see it as a mistake or is the US doing it for Turkey ? )

Syria

The february 7 US airstrikes against pro-Assad forces in eastern Syria may not only have killed many Kurds. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-12/russian-fighters-killed-clash-us-led-coalition-forces-syria also Russian (bridgebuilders). For pro-Assad forces Kurds working with IS make Kurds same as IS. https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-february-12-2018-new-round-of-syrian-israeli-escalation-f-16i-shootdown/
(DJ-Erdogan wants to return the over 2 milion Syrian refugees in Turkey to Syria-former Kurdish held area's).


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2018 at 8:29am
Syria
Feb-7 https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-13/us-strikes-kill-100-russian-soldiers-syria (DJ-it looks like something serious happened last wednesday-feb 7-but many stories, limited proof) may have caused the feb 10 escalation with Syria shooting down a IDF-F16. see also http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/13-february-update-us-mq9-reaper-drone-destroyed-russianmade


https://www.rt.com/news/418649-alnusra-white-helmets-chemical-provocation/ DJ-A false flag would give the US an excuse for (a form of) intervention (maybe joined by France-but Israel would prefer to go after Iran targets, US may be wanting to go for Russian targets). On the MI6 "White Helmets" see below.


Netherlands

https://www.rt.com/news/418689-dutch-quits-putin-lie/ DJ-You can not claim to have been present in Putin's dacha in 2006 and give what you did NOT hear an incorrect interpretation. Jeroen van der Veer -ex CEO Royal Dutch Shell Oil claims the (now ex) FM give Putins words "the wrong twist" (for political reasons.) The Dutch FM was supposed to meet Russian FM Lavrov-you can not have serious talks with a basis this kind of lies.https://www.rt.com/news/418556-dutch-minister-lie-putin/

China-India


Turkey-Cyprus/Greece


White Helmets

What is it with White Helmets and Chemical Weapons. Don't they get sick of using the same script, blaming others and believing they can get away with it all? Or is that all they have left, following the success of Russia in Syria.

Who funds the White Helmets?

Thumbnail

European Union donates €4.6 million to OPCW Special Missions and the UN-OPCW Joint Investigative Mechanism... https://www.opcw.org/news/a...

Out of 193 UN Member States, why is it only 12 and the EU that are sponsoring the OPCW Joint Investigative Mechanism? 12 UN Member States, that also have interests in pillaging the natural resources of Syria.

Now who were the 12 nations, besides the EU, who sponsor OPCW JIM?

France 
Germany 
Netherlands 
Israel 
New Zealand 
Sweden 
Switzerland 
UK 
US 
Saudi Arabia 
Canada 
Australia

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Israel

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-13/israeli-police-recommend-netanyahu-be-indicted-bribery, https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/police-set-to-publish-recommendations-in-netanyahu-corruption-probes-1.5812016 DJ-Being the sociopath he is Netanyahu was dealing in national interest while accepting private gifts. He fits in the category of Zuma (South Africa), Erdogan, Trump, Berlusconi and many more-persons that discredit politics. https://www.truthdig.com/articles/deadly-rule-oligarchs/

US-Syria

(DJ-When there is any thruth in reports like https://southfront.org/video-us-led-coalition-strikes-positions-of-syrian-government-forces-in-deir-ezzor-province/ with numbers of people killed going up to 600-maybe propaganda/damaging Putin-Russia/Iran will "react")

Korea-US

(DJ-US preparing to deal with NK nukes with or without South Korea-parallel with US going to deal with Russia in Syria with or without Israel (the US may have started last wednesday-feb 7)

France-Syria


Turkey-Greece


US-China


Israel-US

The Trump administration is growing increasingly irrelevant because it has neither a coherent set of policies nor people competent to implement them. In Syria, Israel is going to share the price


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2018 at 10:30pm
Syria

DJ-If there was any proof of a major blow to pro-Assad forces due to US-airstrikes wednesday feb.7 in Deir Ezzour-East Syria it would have surfaced. The (pro-western) media claiming massive loss of (Russian, Iranian) fighters are the same media reporting Assad using chemical weapons, gas-attacks-on his own citizens. Most likely last wednesday US attacks on pro-Assad forces were (very) limited.

When (western) media reports have any thruth in it-or not-those reports give Russia and Iran excuse for "stronger stands". Syrian very active air-defense saturday feb-10 may have been a surprise for Israel. Israel can no longer use Syrian airspace without risk. 

Israel wants to control Hezbollah, Iran-Russia can be of use for them-for Israel the US did not do enough to protect Israel. The US needs Israel, Jordan, KSA, even Turkey, to keep some grip on the Middle East. 

The US is getting under pressure to explain what the US is doing in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan. Turkey may ask for NATO-help to fight against Kurds from outside NATO-territory. (DJ-If Russia was doing what the US now is doing in Syria NATO would react in a very different way.)

Putin's strategy may be that Turkey could split NATO, Russia be the main negotiation partner for the Middle East for Israel, Saudi Arabia (and Turkey, Iran). 

Korea

DJ-Trumps strategy for Making America Great Again seems to demand all global trade goes on US-terms. Of course this will bring conflicts-Trump seems to see that as part of the deal. As long as the US has enough to offer for the rest of the world-and the conflicts do stay in control-the US strategy might work. 
(DJ-Trump is very wrong on climate change-using fossil fuels to Make America Great Again is unacceptable and shortsighted. Renewables are the future, not oil and gas. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/13/552272/Germany-Air-Pollution-Public-Transport)
http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/13/552285/Pyongyang-nuclear-program-existential-threat-US The US-war-of-words on NK may be meant to push Russia and China (further) on dealing with NK. 
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/02/does-climate-change-cause-more-war/553040/ Climate change does bring war. War for water, food, due to refugees, dams, energy etc. (DJ-Climate change is now out of control-the best hope may be in "buying time" slow-down the proces-but even this is very-over-optimistic.)

DJ-Israel can not start a war-on its own-against Iran and expect an easy victory. War with Iran-even with Hezbollah (with 150.000 missiles aimed at Israel-according to some reports-to be fired in one major attack in case of war) would most likely be the end of Israel. 
The US attacking North Korea would bring conflict with both Russia and China. Even when this would not become World War 3 such a war could bring that much damage (and isolation) to the US (the EU could switch side-start dealing with Russia and China) the price is that high the US will try to avoid this scenario. 

Problem of course is that humans sometimes make mistakes. India-Pakistan-China, Iran-Saudi Arabia, Ukraine-Russia https://sputniknews.com/europe/201802141061632008-ukraine-maidan-georgian-snipers-evidence/ or other conflicts could get out of control.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2018 at 11:55am
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Israeli News Live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvLz-CJrsmw and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_iwuZiO-zY Russia moving ICBM's to North Korea border area. (DJ-Those Inter Continental Ballistic Missiles could be used against an "invasion fleet" gathering of carriers" or Navy Stations a few thousend miles from Korea-DJ-Russia WILL use those ICBM's when the US (a.o.) does attack NK (without some sort of agreement with Russia). 

My impressionDJ-Eventhough the number of Russian private contractors being killed wednesday feb 7 in Eastern Syria most likely will be between 5 and 20 (and not "hundreds") the US attack on these pro-Assad forces that day are seen as a form of betrayel by the US. https://southfront.org/moscow-calls-on-media-not-to-rely-on-misinformation-on-developments-in-syria/

Private contractors are "easy to deny"-fighters doing the "dirty work" (Blackwater did the same in Iraq, is fighting Russian "Wagner"-group in the Ukraine). Still Putin can not act like nothing happened. 

Russia, Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, Afghan- and Pakistan (Shia)-fighters may be preparing to move into the southern part of East Syria (a lot of the Kurds did move to Afrin NW-Syria to fight the Turks-SE Syria now may be "defended"by Arab Tribes, former IS-fighters etc. backed by the US. Some of the Arab-tribes may be willing to join pro-Assad groups). 

Turkey may be considering moving into NE Syria against (more) Kurdish/US forces. (And at the same time try to hinder US using Turkish facilities). 

The Iraq-border-now the main logistics route for US forces in Syria may get blocked. 

Putin's message: (to the US) You do not .... with us !

Israel knows Russia has the cards in the Middle East, Erdogan wants the US to stop supporting the Kurds-may be tired of "words only". Iran wants to make clear they want to keep influence in the region. (DJ-Even for Israel it may get hard to understand why the US keeps it troops in East Syria. There is oil there but no need for US pressence.https://southfront.org/us-state-secretary-control-over-oil-fields-allows-washington-to-influence-situation-in-syria/)
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802151061679025-syria-israel-spy-planes/ Syria claims it will not allow "unwelcome" aircraft in its airspace. (Including US planes !)

Russia-China

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/saudi-arabia-novak-king-salman-talk-energy-cooperation-riyadh/ Russian-Saudi talks on oil(trade-in the petro yuan) (DJ-The US-Saudi-Israel coalition is breaking up. US is now oil producer #1, Saudi#2, Russia#3-China is facing an energy crisis they even buy US oil.)
https://sputniknews.com/science/201802151061674936-china-ai-dominance-white-house-silent/ DJ-China and South Korea already have good contacts in this field-US trade war is pushing South Korea further towards Russia and China. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2018 at 4:20am
Syria

(DJ-Turkey wants the US to stop helping Kurds-with a lot of words the US is saying "No")

The US-led coalition already claimed that it had foiled an attack of the Iranian-backed forces and the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) on the SDF-held CONICO gas facility in the eastern Deir Ezzor countryside on February 7. However, new reports suggested that Iran and the SAA are currently massing bigger forces near key oil and gas facilities in the eastern and southern Deir Ezzor countryside.

It’s unclear if the SAA and its allies, including Iran, will launch another attack towards the SDF-held oil and gas fields in Deir Ezzor governorate. Syrian pro-government activists believe that the SAA and its allies will have to impose a no-fly zone over the fields, if they want their second attempt to be successful. However, this is hardly possible.

(DJ-Syria claims it will shoot at any foreign aircraft (Israeli, Turkish, US, France) in Syrian airspace.

There may be Russian-Israeli talks on Israel staying away from "further action in Syria").


China-US

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/15/552455/China-US-confrontational-Cui-Tiankai-Trump-South-China-Sea

Venezuela

http://theduran.com/regime-change-fails-military-coup-invasion-venezuela-next/

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US-Asia


The US is in several Asian countries to put pressure on Russia and China. To have an excuse for being in the region the US used/created "terrorists". When you look at the past 5 years-from Philipines, Turkey, Pakistan now even effecting South Korea, Israel, Saudi Arabia Asian countries expect better treatment from the US. 

You can not start a tradewar with South Korea and expect South Korea to join the war-of-words against Russia, China and North Korea at the same time. Israel has a large minority with Russian background (and familycontacts) Israel is not waiting for US (proxy) attacks on Russians in Syria, many Israeli's know they need better relations in their region (and hope Russia may be helpfull).
Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Afghanistan welcome Russian and Chinese investments-better traderelations with the EU. 

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NATO-Russia

https://www.neweurope.eu/article/saakashvili-vows-continue-fight-to-topple-poroshenko-from-the-netherlands/ (DJ-A lot of surprise on how fast Saakashvili did get papers to be reunited with his Dutch wife-also his family is welcome to come to the Netherlans. "Some refugees are more special than other refugees"-by the way, Putin's oldest daughter Maria-also married with a Dutch partner-lives in a The Hague-suburb.)

Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-fm-cavusoglu-usturkey-coordination-will-start and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-tillerson-manbij-should-remain-under-our-control DJ-The US claims to have a right to occupy parts of a foreign country without any good reason. When the UN accepts this insanity then end of the UN is getting close !
DJ-Turkey has to make clear if they accept the Syrian State under Assad or do they want to "cut up"Syria (Iraq) in pieces.)

US-China


Cyber-war


Iran

US-Israel want new sanctions against Iran for "not stopping Iran-made weapons showing up in Yemen" (in wich Yemen was attacked by Saudi Arabia). DJ-When the UN would accept this kind of madness-the US, Israel are destroying the UN. (Just like the international sports-world is destroyed by anti-Russia hysteria). 

Pakistan (India/China triangle)


DJ; The US wants war with Russia, China and Iran. Blaming them for cyber-attacks, support of chemical weapon-use, illigaly taking control of rheir own ports (in the Crimea), and islands (South China Sea), supporting terrorism etc. It would be nice when the EU could get some control over the US-stop the insanity-not join it !
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Syria


-Last Saturday (February 10) the world took note as Israel sent fighter jets to pound sites in Syria after an Iranian Drone launched from inside Syria, penetrated Israeli airspace.  The world ALSO noticed that Syrian Missiles shot-down one of those Israeli F-16's, damaged a second F-16 and damaged an Israeli Apache attack helicopter. 

Today, the world gets to see something else: Israel's "Iron Dome" missile protection system . . . . could NOT shoot down those Syrian Missiles ! ! ! 

The Israeli government immediately imposed strict media CENSORSHIP on the incidents, but the truth still seeps out. 

-As the Israeli attack on Syria was proceeding and it's jet was shot down as other Syria missiles overflew Haifa and Tel Aviv, Israel decided to stop bombing after hitting  only 3 air defense batteries in Syria fearing that if IDF continued, all cities in northern Israel would come under missile attack.  Put simply, Israel got scared and stopped its attack on Syria.

-The Israeli people are not being allowed to know their vaunted "Iron Dome" proved useless against Syrian Missiles, making all of northern Israel viable targets for Syrian retaliation.

Saturday's failure of Israel's Iron Dome comes about a year after another incident in which Israel tried to destroy Syrian (probably) SAM missile with their "Arrow" air defense system. Later it was reported as failure; the Syrian warhead was not intercepted.

No one is certain as to what Israel is going to do now that they see they are actually vulnerable if they continue attacking Syria.  But vulnerable they are, for certain.

-It now appears that the US is going to work with Turkey despite severe troubles in that relationship regarding Syria.  Secretary of State Rex Tillerson met with Turk Foreign Minister Cavusaglu this week and, after that meeting, 34 additional US Air Force F-15's left Seymour Johnson AFB in North Carolina on Thursday headed to Turkey.  

While yet unconfirmed, word has reached my ear that several F-22's out of Langley Air Force Base (AFB) and several F-35's out of Eglin AFB are also headed over.

The US plans to spend $10 billion upgrading 150 Cold War-era nuclear bombs stationed in Europe, even though the weapons may be more of a security liability than a strategic deterrent, according to a new report by arms experts.

Assumptions about the safety and security of US nuclear weapons stored in Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany and Turkey have been undermined by “recent terrorist attacks and political instability,” the report, published by arms control advocacy group the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI), claims.

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Syria

DJ-Now the US has made a deal with Turkey the Kurds have a choice in who they want to welcome, the Turks or pro-Assad forces. https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-proassad-sources-report-a-saa-reconnaissance First SAA-pro-Assad forces already in Afrin. (DJ-Afrin is most western part of Kurdish area-only a small Turkish piece of land keeping Kurdistan from the Mediterraneansea.)

https://southfront.org/turkey-resumes-financial-support-to-free-syrian-army-and-ahrar-al-sham-in-northern-syria-report/ DJ-Erdogan now must show wich side he is on. Will he move into Syria to hand over land to the Assad-government or to occupy it-joint with the US ? 


DJ-"Things are on the move"
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Syria

DJ-Very limited news from Syria. Major question is how the US-Turkey deal will work out for the Kurdish-Syrian relations. How does the US think to remove Kurds from Manbij-Kurdish held area in North Syria ? Will the US use force against the Kurds or "rename"them ?

Also in NW-Syria-Afrin unclear wether Kurds allow Syrian Arab Army entry to the region and if so-will the SAA fight the (pro)Turkish forces ?

On an international level-how are the relations between Russia, Iran and Turkey ? Do they still cooperate ? Did Putin call Erdogan ? (Did Tillerson contact Israel ?) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802171061748945-usa-kurds-syria-issue-danger/
DJ-Proberbly within the coming 24 hours we will find out wich way things develop in Syria. At best there is hope that in Afrin Russia informed Turkey that Syria is moving in-Turkey agrees to a ceasefire. Syria and Turkey have talks on the Kurds in Syria (at best the Kurds may get some form of self-rule within Syria-"Turkish (PKK) Kurds" could remain in Syria when they stop fighting in Turkey). In the worst case an all-out Syria-Turkish (Russia-NATO) war wich will involve all of the Middle East (at least).

US-Russia

DJ-If I was forced to make a choice during the US presidential elections and I only had a (very bad) choice between h. clinton and d.trump I would vote for Trump. Does this mean I am trying to influence the US election ? Are people visiting the US and having a political opinion "a danger to the US"? The US was/is behind government changes all over the world-but when "non-US-citizens" even give an opinion they are interfering with the US Presidential elections (sponsored by major companies-also from outside the US). Is the US becoming a failed state ?
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Israel

DJ-The conflicts in the Middle East are oil/gas/energy related (with "energy" being dams, watercontrol). Israel may be facing a two-front war-due to its own actions.

Iran

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/mcmaster-time-now-act-iran/ DJ-The main reason why there is no open war-so far-with Iran is that (learning from Iraq) even the US-Saudi-Israel coalition would find it a very hard job. 

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/17/552691/Iran-India-finalize-deal-over-control-of-Chabahar-port DJ-When India wants to deal with Europe-but does not like Pakistan to play a role in it-India deals with Iran.

China

DJ-China is facing a major energy-crisis. Renewable energy is only a small drop in a big demand. So China is buying buying "energy", raw materials, food-production capacity (=land, farms-China is taking over Africa) all over the world. http://www.atimes.com/article/chinas-new-silk-roads-reach-latin-america//. With 20% of the world-population being Chineese they have to move on this road for growth. (A collission with the US-eventhough the US bacame the largest global oil-producer thanks to China-is hard to avoid. Russia and China complement eachother very well-combined they control the world-not (longer) the US.)

Syria

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-prepares-largest-offensive-2018/ DJ-Since Turkey now dominates NW Syria, with talks between Turkey, US, Russia, Iran, Kurds-Syria has limited "fronts"to be active at. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/two-largest-rebel-groups-may-merge-northern-syria/
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Russian PMC

https://southfront.org/russian-mercenaries-syria-around-world/ DJ; Private Military Contractors can be used by states when states can/will not use their own military. From anti-piracy in Somalia to special operations in Ukraine, Syria PMC's are a way to "work outside international law". (The legal position of a PMC most likely can be seen as an armed foreign citizen doing terrorism-so for that "normal armies" provide a better legal status. The (former) Blackwater company may have taken a "major"position in Saudi Arabia (become a state within a state), Wagner/Vagner-the Russian PMC-group makes money out of oil-deals in eastern Syria. PMC's are a step in privatizing wars-with possible PMC-groups fighting each other. (From history point PMC's are an old phenomenon. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercenary)

Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-february-reportedly-terms-set-by-the-syrian-government DJ-The Assad-regime and Afrin Kurds seem to have made a deal in wich the Syrian Arab Army will take over control of Afrin and defend Syria against Turkey. The Kurds have to-pracital become members of the SAA-most likely for Turkey to even think of accepting such a deal. 
For Syria this may form a first step in reaching agreement with the other Kurdish groups inside Syria. (So the SAA has to treat the Kurdish fighters very well-already Kurdish fighters wounded in Afrin go to Syrian hospitals. There is fighting between pro-Assad forces and the Syrian Democratic Front (SDF) in SE Syria-but here (under US control) the SDF is no longer (mostly) Kurdish-the US may have renamed IS groups, Arab tribes sometimes forced to join IS-into SDF.)

see also; https://sputniknews.com/news/201802181061785987-afrin-kurds-syria-army-unified/, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802181061786239-turkey-syria-territorial-integrity/, https://sputniknews.com/news/201802181061788534-ypg-syria-afrin-turkish-jets/ (DJ-There are some claims Russia may not (yet) fully agree on the Syrian-Kurdish deal-Russia may want to discuss this deal with Turkey. Turkey and Syria have no diplomatic relations-unlike Jordan (Jordan and Syria all during the war in Syria had their embassies open in Amman and Damascus). 


Israel

DJ-Another missile attack from Gaza. Israel may face a two front war.

https://southfront.org/hezbollah-media-wing-in-syria-releases-video-threatening-to-strike-israeli-offshore-oil-gas-operations/ DJ-Lebanon and Israel disagree on oil/gas production. Hezbollah is the main military group in Lebanon. 

https://southfront.org/israel-is-ready-to-act-against-iran-if-necessary-pm/ DJ-On the last day of the Munich-Germany Security Conference (a.o. also Poroshenko- Ukraine renewed contacts/support) Netanyahu claimed a drone shot down over the Golan heights was from Iran and entered Israeli airspace. 

Turkey

http://www.atimes.com/article/hold-sunday-put-check-turkey-reaches/ DJ-Turkey may get overstretched. They want/have military presence in Qatar, Sudan, Syria and Iraq, Libya (DJ-Most likely on intelligence bases also working for Turkish minority interests in Ukraine, Bulgaria, Greece, Cyprus). 
DJ-Turkey wants to secure its southern/eastern borders to control the fight against Kurdish separatists inside Turkey. But a war is very expensive-so for Turkey there are limits.

China

DJ-With the Chinese economy becoming the largest in the world, China also paying for energy in Yuan (instead of the petro-dollar), 20% of the global population being Chinese, China-Russia working together to create global influence (by trade relations) the US is "under pressure".


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2018 at 6:06am
Syria

DJ-Turkey may stop (most) of its operations in (NW, or just Afrin ?) Syria when there is a deal between the (Kurdish) YPG and the Assad government. 
Turkey once got involved in the Syria war to support US plans for a Qatar-Europe oil/gas line. Erdogan worked with IS, alquada (the Erdogan clan made money out of oil transported by IS (etc.) out of Iraq and Syria and sold (at low prices) on the international oil market. (France FINA did buy IS-oil during the IS attacks in Paris, Israel still gets lots of oil from (SDF-US/IS) eastern Syria via Iraq)
In southern Syria the main roads between Damascus and Amman (Jordan) and Damascus and Baghdad are-for a part-under "rebel"/US control-this is not only doing damage to Syria but also to the regions economy. Jordan, Iraq are limited in doing business with Turkey. 

US

DJ-Internationaly more and more the US is seen as a problem. Does the US want trade or war ? 
The EU needs Russian energy, trade with China and Iran-when this means US sanctions against European companies (of course) this will effect relations in NATO etc. 

US-Russia

http://thesaker.is/the-black-sea-development-navy-brief-2-18-february-2018/ DJ-US navy activity in the Black Sea (see also https://liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-february-lnr-group-ukrainian-army-is-preparing-wide-scale DJ-Poroshenko-Kiev junta under pressure from inside Ukraine due to corruption, failed economy, no end to war etc.)
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Syria

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/552962/President-Rouhani-Turkey-Erdogan-Syria, DJ-Erdogan/Turkey is in (constant) talks with Russia and Iran on Syria-while for the moment escalating the war in Afrin (to put more pressure on the Kurds). http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/552948/turkey-syria-afrin-kurds-deny. DJ-Since the talks with the Kurds are about giving up any idea of a Kurdish state in short term these will be hard talks. -Turkey wants certainty that the Kurdish uprising in Turkey itself will not be supplied from Syria or Iraq. -The Kurds want maximum self-rule, would like to have their own "armed force" (maybe called militia, Kurdish Police). -Syria wants to control its country-not help creating a federal state with a Kurdish part out of Damascus control. -Russia would like to know what is expected of them-form a bridge between Syria and Turkey. -Iran has a large Kurdish minority and is also looking at how the talks in Syria unfold.
The outcome could be that armed Kurdish groups get away from the Turkish border, pro-Assad forces take over control of the Syrian-Turkish border (maybe not the SAA-government army, maybe even Russia can play a role (just like Russia could play a role in the Israel/Syria/Golan region)-and maybe-for the moment-this only goes for the Afrin-Kurdish held area.) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061823113-syrian-army-afrin-deployment-turkey/

https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/19-february-eastern-ghouta-number-of-air-strikes-and-locations Syrian pro-Assad forces in full scale offensive in Eastern Damascus region. 

Jordan

DJ-The US would like to see Jordan becoming a member of an Arab-NATO-like group (with Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Egypt). Jordan will not say "no" to this plan-since talks on this US "plan/insanity" will bring in a lot of money. Of course Jordan will not seek confrontation with Saudi Arabia-the southern neighbour. But since Saudi Arabia is involved in a lot of wars Jordan wants to stay out-no way Jordan will-for real-join such a coalition. (Maybe just in words-Jordan does not want to give up the West Bank, East Jerusalem-the US might be willing to give this Jordan-land to Israel. Amman still has Syrian Embassy and a Jordan Embassy in Damascus. A sort of "neutrality" under (western) pressure-with the US/UK training "rebels" in Jordan.)

Lebanon

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061820964-lebanon-army-threat-israel/DJ-Lebanon-Israel disagree on a wall Israel wants to build on land that Lebanon claims is theirs-also disagreement on a oil/gas field of the coast. (DJ-Russia did sign a deal giving Russia access to Lebanon air/navybases).

US


Global

And while there have been times in recent years when the MSC demonstrated signs of hope and optimism, none of that was evident this year. This year’s motto “To the Brink – and Back?”- which seems to be an accurate portrayal of the current geopolitical situations in most regions. After several days of senior decision-makers bickering back and forth, the negativity in the atmosphere only means one thing: A global conflict between nuclear superpowers is lingering.

“I was hoping when I opened this conference on Friday that, in concluding the conference, I would be able to say we can delete the question mark. In other words: ‘We are back from the brink,'” former German diplomat Wolfgang Ischinger said in closing remarks of the MSC. “I’m actually not sure we can say that,” he added.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2018 at 10:48am
Syria

Fierce fighting east of Damascus and in NW Syria.

Most likely in Goutha https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-at-least-110-civilians-were-killed-as-result and Idlib (were the MI6 "White Helmets" with alquada are planning a chemical attack) escalation of fighting could bring "the west" to claim "they have to save humans" (while the "west"started the war). 

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-president-erdoan-says-a-small-proassad-militant in NW Syria a small group of pro-Assad (and pro-Iran) fighters moved in - Turkey claimed they have pulled out again (?)-DJ-Will NATO claim a NATO country is being under attack by Syrian/Iran-forces ? 


DJ-There is very serious risk for (major) western intervention in Syria (moving into conflict with Iran and Russia). https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061845953-syria-russian-center-militant-attack/in Damascus


Israel/Gaza


https://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewforum.php?f=6&sid=ad95eb86c49f9ae391040986c06971e4 (and many others trying to keep up with -most likely-serious escalation of Syria-war. DJ-It is unclear how the situation in Eastern Syria-SDF (US-"zone"-but the US will be no match when the YPG-Kurds, some Arab tribes and pro-Assad forces would work together (to stop Turkish action) will work out. 


US-EU Trade War

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2018 at 9:33pm
DJ-Just like Turkey is more likely to leave NATO than NATO putting Turkey out-Turkey is much to strategic, bordering Iran, Syria, Black Sea, second largest army (after US)-a T-exit-Turkish exit out of NATO-would be even worse (for NATO) than the BR-exit is for the EU.

Also Syrian forces getting out of Afrin-NW Syria-is very unlikely. Syria does see Afrin as part of Syria-Turkey is the invader. Although Syrian-Kurdish talks did not bring Kurdish forces under Syrian (Assad) control-the YPG-Kurds giving access to pro-Assad forces is much to valuable for Damascus. When pro-Assad forces show themselves as "good friends of the Syrian Kurds"-pro-Assad forces may show up (maybe just for a short term, as advisor, giving aid etc.) in other YPG-held area's.

DJ Some remarks:

-Since there are over 30 milion Kurds Kurds can be found on all sides in this conflict. A few Kurds joint IS, quite a lot of them might be in pro-Assad forces. (Also forces from Iraq, Iran-even Russia could include Kurds).
-In the Syria conflict Kurds and pro-Assad forces most of the time did not fight eachother, but did fight with IS, "moderate western backed jihadi-terrorists". The Kurds claim they had to organize themselves in defense against IS. (Kurds and muslim-extremists do not mix. Kurds have several religions, christian,(Yezidi) to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoroastrianism)
-Syria itself had a small Kurdish minority. Since the Kurds see "Kurdistan" as their country a lot of the Kurds in Syria may not come from Syria but are defending Kurdistan. 

East Damascus

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/senseless-human-suffering-east-ghouta-180220064101130.html Urban warfare is a horror for civilians. The "western main-stream-media" are still producing the "bad-Assad/bad-Russia-story" and ignoring who paid IS, other terrorist groups/"moderate rebels". 

It is very difficult-so far-to get a clear view of what is going on in several parts in/on Syria at this moment. Both for fighting and for talking.

Most likely Russia and Iran are having talks with both Turkey and Syria to avoid a Turkish-Syrian war. Russia is selling-on credit-S400 missiles to Turkey, did invest in Turk-stream gasline. Russia does have the exploration-rights for Syrian oil and gas. Both Iran and Russia need Turkey to limit the US and Israel.
Turkey now moving to US/NATO would end Russia's/Iran's dream of being in control of the Middle East-would also damage Putin's plans for his march-re-election. 

Erdogan has limited room to move. The US wants to get rid of him. The EU is-at this moment-not very interested in a Turkey membership. (Even if it would bring Turkey back to the west-political climate in the EU does not allow a Turkish EU membership). Russia still has to deliver the S-400, and a oil/gas pipeline is under construction and can be shut of. Iran and Turkey both have a large Kurdish community-a conflict with Iran would make Turkish internal problem with the Kurds even larger.

DJ-I expect a sort of ceasefire in Afrin. Turkey did gain a lot of land the last few days. The YPG-Kurds in Afrin may have been close to collapse and encirclement. Turkey now has a good position for talks (with Russia-via them with Assad. (DJ-Jordan has better relations with Assad then Turkey !) Russia does want the Syrian-Kurds under Assad/Syria control.

The US (France, Israel, others) may start major action when the rebels release gas/chemical weapons and "the west"blaimes Assad for it (again). But that would bring an "East" (Russia, Iran, most likely China)-"West" (NATO, some Gulf States, Israel) conflict wich would be hard to contain. 

Russia complaining on EU moving into the Balkan/SE Europe-of course Russia could/should do a better offer (then the EU would complain). Turkey and Iran may soon be joining al kind of deals with Russia and China. 

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802211061850434-iran-threatens-israel-drone-downing/ DJ The Israel(US)-Iran relation is part of the war in Syria-one of the many reasons why this war might "explode" into a conflict that brings war from Turkey (Cyprus, Greece ?) to Pakistan, Somalia, North Africa.
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Korea


China


Afghanistan


Iraq


Philippines

DJ-Duterte-will US plan coup ?

Syria


International


Secret wars

DJ-The main "thing"with "secret wars" is that they are secret-but in time enough gets out to get a bigger picture. Also goals are often quite clear. So it is a jigsaw-puzzle, connect-the-dots-drawing.

"The West" is not a country but via NATO, ASEAN, etc. groups of countries united on certain goals. The US is dominating these organizations, also main supplier of weapons, (satelite)info, etc. Other countries have (very) limited room for their own actions. (Israel active above Syria means US is allowing this-if not even ordening it.)

With Russia and China working (very close) together and "New Silk Road"plans the US global dominance is "under pressure" more than ever before. This dominance is based on the US military being all over the globe. Also economically the US wants to control energy and financial markets (US-petro-dollar, SWIFT).

To keep Russia and China from moving to the Middle East, to get Iran under "control" US is moving IS fighters from Syria and Iraq to Afghanistan (and Libya). The US (via a.o. Israel) is trying to get the Kurds under control (Kurdish/Iraq-Syria oil ends up in Israel).

From the EU-via Ukraine, Georgia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia%E2%80%93NATO_relations, Azerbaijan, to the Pakistan-India-China border https://asia.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-stratfor-according-to-reports-indias-army-chief area a "western shield" is being made. 


This containment-cold war-strategy needs US forces in positions to avoid "enemy" forces to take over those positions. The US is in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan-to avoid Russia/China getting there. When you mix this "way-of-thinking"with the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Domino_theory "War=Peace" under US-rules.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 21 2018 at 6:49am
Syria

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802211061854367-syrian-army-entry-afrin-turkey-warning/, https://sana.sy/en/?p=127995 DJ-Turkey having talks with Russia and Iran (DJ-proberbly Turkey wants to avoid a Turkey-Syria war-the US/Israel would welcome a war between Turkey and Syria/Iran) Turkey claims no pro-Assad forces in Afrin https://www.rt.com/news/419412-syria-convoy-afrin-retreated/


US


Iraq


Iran


China-India

(DJ-Growing risk of conflict between India (and US) and China (Pakistan, Iran, Russia).

Israel


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 21 2018 at 9:15pm
The Final Battle ?

(DJ-When it sounds dramatic it is because the global situation IS dramatic)

An overview;

-T-exit, Turkey out of NATO is out of any question for the US/NATO, rather a new try on getting rid of Erdogan (bringing in "foreign Turks"), Turkey may be slipping into a not-wanted war with Syria. (The US and Israel would welcome a war between Turkey and Iran, Russia-US/Israel may try to create such a war)
-Syria http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2104-ultimatum-russia-warns-saudis-pull-forces-out-of-ghouta-syria-or-it-will-be-be-obliterated-grozny-style Russia, Iran want to restore Syria as a state. The US wants to split up Syria-US being in Syria (Iraq, Afghanistan) to stop Russia/China from taking over the Middle East
-Afghanistan; Russia claims the US is transporting IS fighters into Afghanistan-to threaten Russia, Iran, China, Pakistan-those group of 4 may be planning to "get a grip" on Afghanistan. (China already working on a military base to stop IS fighters moving into China)
-many other conflicts;
-Israel-Gaza
-Egypt-Sinaï/Libya
-Chad, Mali, (South)Sudan, Somalia, Ethiopia (China, Turkey, Russia trying to get military bases, UN peace-keeping-wars spilling over into Kenya, Nigeria)
-Iraq (US presence there means US creating reasons to stay in Iraq)
-Yemen (US backed Saudi genocide-with UAE/Sudan doing a lot of the fighting-Pakistan support for Saudis)
-Pakistan/China-India; disagreement on Kashmir/Himalaya-states, Indian ocean (etc) https://southfront.org/india-build-major-overseas-military-base-off-africa-combat-china/
-Myamar(Burma/Birma)-Bangla Desh (Rohingya's, Muslim refugees from Myamar)
-Korea (US-China)

The basics is the "old"East-West conflict (in fact going back to the 18th/19th century with the US moving west, Russia moving east-up into Alaska/Russian America). China being "new" in this conflict.

The US will not give up its position as THE dominant nation. The US want control of (all-when possible) oil and gas in the world. Russia and China challenge that US-position. The situation in Syria may cause a (final) spark in this global powder keg. 

The US has had a central-Asia corridor to keep Russia and China from the Middle East. (http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/21/553159/Iran-Azerbaijan-Amir-Hatami-Zakir-Hasanov-Aliyev-Karabakh) That corridor is now collapsing (Pakistan working with China, Ukraine out of control, Turkey working with Iran etc.) The US claims "moral superiority" with "bad-Putin, bad-Assad, bad-China-sanctions-storiers"and mass-media not pointing to the risks of a third world war. (http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/russian-bots-how-an-anti-russian-lobby-creates-fake-news.html Mass-media has become part of the problem-again.)

DJ-Even if Saudi Arabia stops supporting it's rebels in Syria the international situation may have crossed a point of no-return. 

(Not "new" but a good summary of US-created mess in Syria/Middle East. from the comments (see also http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/21/553183/russia-unsc-syria-ghouta-nebenzia-Russia-"moderate US backed rebels" keeping civilians hostage in Eastern Ghouta)

Eric Zuess points to the various names which CIA gives their proxies to hide the fact they are all on the CIA Al’Qaeda payroll. Analyst Canthama supplies a breakdown of the named groups in E.Goutah, and predicts a tough battle. From SyrPer 5hr ago.

“.. most of them are Syrians but there many Arabs from MENA. The issue in Ghouta is the … siege and most civilians under hostage situation, they are forced to fight for the terrorists. The different groups inside East Ghouta are as follows; all of them are WahhaBeasts, hardcore salafists, extreme radicals, the lot.

1) ISIS doing a job for US/Israel in the Palestinian refugee camp in Yarmourk camp. I mean, this very ISIS group is mostly Hamas Palestinians (one main reason Syria is not mending ties with Hamas after they betrayed Syria in 2011 and were kicked out of Qatar in 2017). This ISIS group is Hamas political branch and has deep ties to Mossad. Hamas military branch [on the other hand] is resistance [to Israel].
2) JIA (Alloush’s gang) has deep ties with KSA, there are several Arabs here from all sort of MENA countries.This group continues to be the largest.
3) Ahrar al-Sham – deeply connect to Turkey and Qatar but also with ties to KSA, this is the most effective terrorists group in Ghouta, lots of ex SAA.
4) HTS – Al Qaeda, this Ghouta branch is linked to KSA and Turkey.
5) Al-Rahman Legion, mostly funded by Qatar, they are a mixed bag of many factions that changed sides since 2015.”

[I am not interested in these nomenclatural niceties. They are all terrorists taking up arms against a democratic government].

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 22 2018 at 1:44am
Syria-escalation


DJ-Russia is sending a clear message with these planes-no further attacks-take Russia serious. These aircraft are coming after several (by-proxy) US attacks on Russian targets in Syria the last two months.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-21/syrias-afrin-move-artful-assistance-allies-or-armageddon-making DJ-Russia and Syria not on full agreement on some issues ? In my opinion both want "all of Syria" under Assad control. (This may-at some point even include (parts of) the Golan heights-as a Damascus safety-zone). 

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-syrian-observatory-syrian-forces-enter-kurdishcontrolled Pro-Assad forces moving into Kurdish held area of Aleppo (as part of a Kurdish-Syria deal ?-if not Kurds and Syria cooperation may run into a major problem.)

DJ-Russia did get a (sort of) cease fire in Afrin. The Kurds did not want to fight Turkish tanks in urban warfare-Turkey did not want Russia shooting at their planes...

In Eastern Ghouta http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/demands-halt-monstrous-campaign-syrian-town-180221183144792.html (DJ-IS/alquada"rabels" shell Damascus killing civilians daily, terrorize the local population.-all this is not in the MSM)https://southfront.org/russian-reconciliation-center-opposition-forces-hindering-evacuation-of-civilians-from-eastern-ghouta/ and https://southfront.org/heavy-clashes-between-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-and-syrian-liberation-front-in-idlib-and-aleppo-videos/-DJ South of Afrin in NW Syria "rebels" are fighting eachother. Both in Idlib and Eastern Ghouta there is a real risk of chemical weapons being used by the "rebels"-for wich the west will blame Assad.


Yemen


Iran


Pakistan/India

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 22 2018 at 5:58am
Escalation Middle East

Syria

-Afrin-http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-russian-chechen-military-police-spotted-on-road DJ-Chechen-Russia MP in Afrin region to oversee situation. (Chechen are Sunni-muslim, were able to get good contacts with fellow Sunni-muslims-might help for contact with Turkey (also most Sunni-muslim). https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-n-aleppo-convoy-of-assad-forces-not-anymore-irgclinked Third pro-Assad convoy on its way to Afrin.
Iran

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48846.htm US ultimatum on Iran-making nuclear deal unacceptable for Iran and than blame Iran...

Russia-US


other



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 22 2018 at 10:13pm
US-regime change agenda

Of course blaming Russia, Iran, Syria etc for agression while the US is planning regime changes all around the globe makes clear where the problem is...the US "deep state" and its co-workers around the globe bring the world close to (very) major conflict.

US want regime change in:

-Syria, US (a.o.) did arm "rebels", from wahabi's/salafist extremists to minorities like Turkmen and Kurds.
-Iran, the US is making the nuclear deal unworkable for Iran https://www.rt.com/newsline/419583-iran-nuclear-deal-banks/
-Venezuela
-North Korea (after the winter olympics again US warplans ?)
-Russia
-China

Regime change in Libya, Iraq, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Ukraine did bring chaos to those countries but "cheap oil/gas" for western companies. 


Syria

In NW Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/22-february-the-rest-of-the-convoy-that-was-hit-by-turkish and http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2111-turkish-army-loots-tractor-shoots-farmer-dead-video Turkey is involved in war-crimes against Kurds. The same crimes Turkey was doing to Kurds inside Turkey for decades with NATO-support. 

In East Ghouta http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/23/553289/Araqchi-Iran-Syria-Ghouta-Damascus 400.000 people are kept hostage by western supported "wahibi rebels" (IS/alquada).
https://www.rt.com/news/419618-syria-ghouta-distorted-coverage/ Those "rebels" terrorize the population, fire with mortars on Damascus killing hundreds of civilians there as well. 

Most likely the US/NATO will come to help those "rebels". Syria, like Iraq, Libya-once had (for the region) good healthcare, housing, education for most. The "west" is destroying all that for oil and profit for a few.

Media

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/23/553297/Is-US-Deep-State-targeting-alternative-media DJ-Around the globe bringing news on conflicts, climate change etc. is made "difficult/impossible" by YouTube, Facebook, MSM-giants. The official story is the absolute thruth-we are moving into a "totalitarian democracy" with no room for alternative views. 

This tendency will go further-having a different opinion may mean ending up in exclusion.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 23 2018 at 6:38am
Global War

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wV17AW65uLU Israeli News Live-US moving air-defense to the north of Israel.
(DJ-Hal Turner a.o. been warning for US attacks at North Korea before end of march)https://sputniknews.com/us/201802231061932109-trump-us-sanctions-nort-korea/)
(DJ-IS runs internet casino's, proberbly involved in drugs/slave-trade-could become an "Islamic maffia".)

DJ-Turkey is a NATO-member and a questionmark in the Syria-conflict. It could be part of a strategy to pull NATO into the Syria-war. In Israel preparations for a two-front war are being made. If Russia did put an ultimatum on the US to leave eastern Syria-the US may have decided "to go to war".

US may want to confront Russia, Israel wants to confront Iran and Hezbollah-for the moment in Syria/Lebanon.

DJ-It looks like a old fashioned western with two cowboys confronting eachother-who will pull the trigger the fastest ? Only this is not the "Wild-US-West" but western Asia-with most likely global consequences. 



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Syria

https://sana.sy/en/?p=128290 (more or less same as https://www.gelderlander.nl/buitenland/8-miljoen-burgers-in-damascus-bedreigd-door-terroristen~a19dc7e8/ in Dutch) 8 milion Syrians kept hostage by "rebels"even UN sees as terrorists. Still in the propaganda war http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/die-400-killed-eastern-ghouta-180222145312233.html of course children are used. 
The US keeps supporting alquada(linked) groups in Syria.
DJ-http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-armed-opposition-factions-in-ghouta-the-governments groundoperations still have to start to take over terrorist held area's. Like in Aleppo "the west" may have "military" embedded with "rebels"-so they have to get out. Will the US attack when groundoperations start in Damascus area ? Will (tomorrow-they did two weeks ago) Israel attack Iran targets-reclaim access to Syria airspace ? (For both the US and Israel the de-facto-Russian made no-fly zone above Syria must be unacceptable.)

https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-hts-believes-that-turkeybacked-fsa-will-be-coming, https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-greater-idlib-repel-the-invaders-operation-room DJ-Idlib region-south of Afrin-is involved both in East Ghouta-battle and Afrin-operation. Turkey distancing itself from Iran and Russia-may move south to Idlib (to support pro-Turkish "rebels" fighting US/Saudi backed rebels in the region). 

Iraq

DJ-US does not want Iraq to buy Russian S-400

Saudi Arabia/Iran

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/iran-warns-nuclear-crisis-jcpoa-deal-scrapped-180222125809339.html DJ-The US want Iran to stop building missiles for medium range. De facto US wants Saudi Arabia and Israel to dominate the Middle East (for US interests).


Israel


Latin America


Russia


Korea

Moon and Ivanka Trump both want peace. https://koreas.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-february-two-koreas-to-hold-talks-next-tuesday-over-north Korea-joint paralympics ?

DJ-Further escalation in Syria may be a matter of hours. Pro-Assad forces moving into East Ghouta area (with Russian airdefense) is quite likely to happen soon. Turkish actions in NW Syria may become a-as good as-Syria/Turkey war. 

February 25 ends the Korea winter olympics https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Winter_Olympics The US has its warplans for North Korea. (Ignoring Russia/China views).
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 23 2018 at 12:35pm
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Syria/Middle East

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2116-as-warned-russia-begins-destruction-of-ghouta-syria-rebel-enclaves-under-attack-by-su-57-jets
DJ-A strategy could be-in urban warfare-bombs-groundtroops move in-resistance=groundtroops pull back, more bombs-troops come back. It is assumed that off the 400.000 people living in East Ghouta more than 50% managed to escape from "western backed rebels/terrorists". In East-Ghouta I assume there will be a western (mossad, saudi) command center-the west want them out, Russia, Iran, Syria want them dead. 

-Israel would not attack Iran on its own
-Israel may heve bases in Azerbeijan
-Israel also would use submarines
-Israel may use nuclear weapons in a first strike against Iran (to show that they are willing to go that far-also making their point for Russia)
The US want to control the global energy market-and therefor the Middle East. (The horror of the article is in the fact that-from a military view-a first strike on an enemy with massive use of nuclear weapons may have some logic. It would unable the opposant to strike back with enough force to do the destruction.)



http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/24/553411/Russia-Syria-UNSC-Eastern-Ghouta DJ-disagreement on UN resolution is on wether to include protection of "rebels"in East Ghouta.



Pakistan/Afghanistan/US


US


Philippines-US


Ukraine

DJ-Russia; Kiev want to take east-Ukraine by force (DJ-with US (or NATO ?) help).

DJ-Hal Turner puts some of his stories for the main part behind a pay-wall. He needs sponsors (but he is so extreme right-wing nobody wants to sponsor him)-sometimes he has good info-from what was not behind the pay wall sums up the global situation :
UPDATED 3:23 PM EST SEE BOTTOM --- At a Security Conference in Munich, Germany, Senator James E. Risch (R-ID) told attendees the situation with North Korea is heading toward war.  "If it starts . . . . most catastrophic event in the history of our civilization . . . . .mass casualties on a scale this PLANET has never seen before . . . Biblical."
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 24 2018 at 12:37am
Syria




https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/video-militants-shell-important-syrian-army-base-daraa/ (DJ-Daraa is in SW Syria not far from Golan Heights Israel/Jordan border-main road from Damascus to Amman goes via Daraa)


http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48857.htm US attack with 59 cruisemissiles on Syria lacks any rationale-open the doors for attack(s) on North Korea ? Trump can not decide to start a war without congress.

Yemen


EU-IS

For the first six months of 2018, Bulgaria is presiding over the European Union; yet in this period, a Nazi torch-lit march took place though its capital, Sofia, on 17 February. A member party of the current government participated in this march.
-ontinuing the tradition, now 10 years old, the demonstration of 17 February celebrates the memory of General Hristo Lukov. This gentleman promoted anti-semitism and collaborated with the Nazis. The process had the support of the Union of Patriots, a party member of the coalition government.

The Bulgarian Prime Minister, Boïko Borissov, is the godfather of one of two leading Mafia clans in the country. He represents Bulgaria in the EU Council and is in fact the President for the first six months of 2018. He has organized an important trafficking of drugs and arms to support Al-Qaeda and Daesh in Syria [1].

In actual fact, Berlin has known Boiko Borrisov for a long time and is blackmailing him. In the EU Council, Boris is cooperates with Germany and granting its every request. Let us not forget that the Polish Donald Tusk, the High Official chairing the administration of the European Council, is a childhood friend of the German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

The European Union is declaring that it was created to fight Nazism and to guarantee peace.

Nazi parties are members of the governments in Lithuania [2], Ukraine [3] and Bulgaria. All these parties have been organized by former Nazis recovered by the Stay Behind networks of the CIA and Nato to fight against the USSR. During the Cold War, they benefitted from the protection of the United States and occasionally Germany.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 24 2018 at 9:43am
Syria

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2119-israel-fires-5-missiles-at-syria-all-shot-down (DJ-no other confirmation yet-but very likely-target was Syrian air base in Damascus area-correction https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-eastern-damascus-rebels-bombed-today-dumeir-airbase-no Israel involvement ?)

DJ-A possible (good) option would be (some) rebels accept being moved to other parts of Syria. The build-up of forces should make clear the "rebels" will have no chance. (Maybe the US can move them to Afghanistan ?)

US-IS

Russia, Iran, Iraq, Syria all say the US is moving IS fighters when that fits US plans. 

Afrin


The UNSC will talk further on Syria-Russia, Iran, Syria will attack "rebels".

Turkey

DJ-In short Turkey against Syria/Russia/Iran/Hezbollah attack against East Ghouta (just like Qatar (aljazera=Qatar) Turkey has "its rebels" there). The US wants Turkey (and Iraq, KSA) to not buy S-400 from Russia. Turkey is fighting its own wars in the Middle East (not part of "the west" or Russia/Iran-but doing a lot of business with Iran, Russia, China, Pakistan)https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-reports-of-iranian-militias-shelled-turkish-checkpoint-DJ-Erdogan can not survive without Russia, Iran.

Korea

Tomorrow the winter-olympics are over. The speed with wich the US delegation will leave Korea may say something on what the US plans are. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/24/553455/US-Russia-North-Korea-Igor-Morgulov--
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 24 2018 at 10:39pm
Propaganda-war

DJ-"The west" is for"peace" in East Ghouta. The MI6/EU White Helmet "hero's" (steeling with IS etc. most of the "aid") have now their own song http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/the-white-helmet-singalong.html. In the (elite sponsored) nazi-time we had the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reich_Chamber_of_Culture-now we have https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embedded_journalism.
Yes-East Ghouta is a "hell in earth" but in the spotlights, many other "hells on earth" are (also)western made but kept out of the propaganda ("press"), Yemen, East Congo etc.
The basic-simple-story the propaganda tells the public; Russia is bad, Iran is bad, North Korea is bed, Assad is bad-we are good. With an audience unaware of "programming" the foundations are being build for the "War of the good against evil". Totally sick Dead and deadly !

Syria

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2122-phone-recording-from-russians-in-syria-the-us-beat-our-asses-like-we-were-little-pieces-of-*****, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802251061967259-usa-envoy-doubt-damascus-comply-resolution/ DJ-After the Russian intervention in Syria-NATO/ Gulf States started another "civil"war-the US has started a-by proxy- war against Russia in Syria. Israel is fighting Iran in Syria.
Some groups-on a UN terrorist-list-are excluded from the ceasefire. So the "battle" for East Ghouta will go on-with the western propaganda claiming Assad and Russia killing children while "the west"most likely has a command post in East Ghouta and is working with what the UN considers terrorists keeping citizens hostage. 

US-Kurds

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/kurdish-sdf-hand-manbij-northern-aleppo-syrian-army-report/, http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-february-assad-forces-controlled-talshaieer-and-fafin Kurds (YPG) hand over territory to Syria/Assad. Sooner or later the US will turn against the Kurds-most likely invite Turkey-to avoid Kurds handing over all of the Kurdish held area's in Syria to Assad government. The US did not protect Kurds from Turkey in Afrin. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802251061966101-sdf-pass-territory-syrian-army/
(DJ-With the US opening an embassy in Jerusalem may 10-support for US presence in the region will be minimum-also in Iraq, Turkey, Jordan, Afghanistan, Pakistan).

Korea

"The west" (US, Australia, Japan, UK, Taiwan) is preparing to bring "peace and prosperity"to North Korea (and most likely regime change-another dictator to South Korea). Hal Turner expect this war to start for march 20:
According to an article from the February 23 London Express Newspaper (Here), The United States is likely to ATTACK North Korea before the end of March.  This fits with my previous reports to you, wherein I stated on this web site and on my talk-radio shows saying I expect it to begin "Before March 20."  
  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2018 at 9:14am
Thanks, DJ!!  You are amazingly prolific!! 

I am especially alarmed that Russian mercenaries have attacked US troop in Syria: 


Perspective from the Russian mercenaries, who took heavy losses from the US counter-attack:


Putin is attempting to re-created the old Soviet Union and is following their methodologies.  I had hoped for better during the Gorbachev and Yeltsin years, but those are far behind us now.  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2018 at 9:39am
Syria

As expected pro-Assad forces started the ground attack against western backed terrorist in East Ghouta. 
Since the target of these operations are terrorist on UN terror-lists-the west is limited in what it can say. 
Bringing "humanitarian aid"(and weapons) to the "rebels" (the civilians do not get it) and getting western agents out-so far did not happen. 
Hal Turners story on Israeli firing missiles at a Damascus airbase-yesterday was incorrect-but may signal Israel coordinating rebels.
One can expect "the west"to do what they can to support their "rebels". Russia/Syria seems to be quite succesfull in creating a no-fly zone (and dealing with groups using missiles). https://www.rt.com/newsline/419776-damascus-terrorists-operation-continue/, http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-the-unsc-mandated-ceasefire-will-not-hold.html,

Afrin

http://theduran.com/syria-turkey-russia-kurds-struggle-afrin/ Russia is doing a balancing act between Turkey and Syria. Turkey would like to occupy the Syrian border area-support their "rebels" (salafists, Turkmen). But Russia may be able to make Turkey accept a smaller border-safety-zone. The Kurds had a chance to make deals with Assad-not doing so means facing Turkey. 
https://southfront.org/turkish-army-captures-key-town-kills-dozens-of-kurdish-fighters-in-afrin-area/. Syria does want Turkey to leave Syria-but also wants the Kurds to accept Assad-government.
Since earlier transfer of land by SDF to pro-Assad forces ended in a US mass-murder new transfers will most likely be done with Russian air cover.

US-Iran-Russia in Syria

The february 7 attack on pro-Assad forces in East Syria-Deir Ezzour-was a de facto declaration of war of the US on Russia and Iran in Syria. It may have killed over 200 Russians, several hundred other pro-Assad forces (some Kurds are pro-Assad).
The february 10 Israeli air strikes on targets in Syria a de facto declaration of war by Israel. The present situation in Syria is a Russian/Iran reaction. 
The US had three proxy armies in Syria; IS, Kurds and alnusra-like (=alquada). IS is almost beaten. The Kurds do not trust the US any longer. Alnusra etc. are fighting eachother in NW Syria. So the US only has "solid ground" in Al Tanf-near the Jordan/Iraq border (blocking the Damascus-Baghdad road). 
Russia will not accept another "airstrike"on Russians/pro-Assad forces without air defense. 

International protest


Korea


Propaganda war

https://www.rt.com/news/419777-pozner-interview-al-jazeera/ DJ-Al Jazera is Qatar TV, Qatar was financing groups like IS.

DJ-A lot of diplomacy most likely going on behind closed doors to avoid an open US-Russia confrontation
(in Ukraine, Syria, Korea) or to find allies. The Syria-war is in a new phase-may get out of control.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2018 at 9:54am
CRS, DrPH

first pictures of children with gas masks from East Goutha.

France24 described what remained of Russian "Vagner"fighters as "minced meat".
From Hal Turner:

The Russian government has downplayed recent strikes by the United States on Russian mercenaries in Syria, however, recordings from fighters on the ground reveal just how hard U.S. forces hit them.

“One squadron *****ing lost 200 people … right away, another one lost 10 people … and I don’t know about the third squadron but it got torn up pretty badly, too … So three squadrons took a beating,” a man believed to be a Russian contract soldier said in the first of three audio recordings obtained from a source close to the Kremlin by Polygraph.info, a fact-checking website affiliated with Voice of America.

“They beat our asses like we were little pieces of *****,” the man said.

A U.S.-led strike following a raid on a Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) base where U.S. troops were stationed is believed to have killed hundreds of Russian military contractors fighting alongside pro-Syrian irregular forces. The U.S. forces hammered the attackers with heavy artillery and air strikes. 

The recordings reveal that the mercenaries, outgunned and lacking essential armor support, never stood a chance.

-“They were all shelling the holy ***** out of it and our guys didn’t have anything besides the assault rifles … nothing at all, I’m not even talking about shoulder-fired SAMs or anything like that… they tore us to pieces, put us through hell,” the man in the recording revealed, calling the incident a “total *****up, another humiliation.”

At least 218 Russian PMC's were killed.  No word on how many Syrian partners.  Pentagon sources say the dead Syrian tally is "many times the number of dead Russians."

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2018 at 12:16pm
http://www.rudaw.net/english/world/24022018 (Rudaw=Kurdish press) Syria wanted Afrin (NW Syria) included in ceasefire.
http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/240220181 US to send Erbil 365milion US$ to pay for salaries
http://www.rudaw.net/english/analysis/24022018 Russia in Afrin would de-escalate (DJ-Israel would welcome Russians in a bufferzone east of Golan Heights to keep Iran at a distance)

Russia will defend Israel when Iran attacks Israel, when Israel attacks Iran it will defend Iran.
China will defend Korea when attacked by the US, but when Korea attacks the US China will not defend Korea.

February 7 the US attacked Russian PMC's (private Military Contractors), proxy forces to stop a handover of an oil-field. The US would not have attacked regular Russian forces. (I do not believe the US story-the US did know who they were attacking-that there was no air defense. It was meant to make a signal at Putin (and the Russian march 18 elections). 

No way Russia will forget this US act. The US has 2000 (to 5000) US military and the same number(s) of PMC's in Syria....what the US can do to Russia.

This month-february-the world did change, not becoming a better place. ( The 1% claiming to own up to 80% of all there is to own on this planet should start to worry. Things will change.) 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 26 2018 at 2:55am
Syria

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHOfMc-Oc84 Israeli News Live-The US State dep. calling for support of alquada-linked "white helmets". 


http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/ The number of people killed by the US war in Iraq is getting close to 1,5 milion, the costs close to 2000 billion (most of it went as profit to companies/politicians making money out of wars they start for profit). 

http://theduran.com/east-ghouta-last-great-battle-syrian-war/ (DJ-just like in the Aleppo battle hundreds of hospitals will be hit-according to western media. The reality is-just like in Aleppo-the west is supporting terrorists-according to UN.)

Turkey

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/2126-turkish-president-calls-up-military-reserves-tells-nation-on-the-eve-of-resurrection-of-ottoman-empire DJ-Turkey may be preparing for anti-Kurdish operations in eastern Syria (and may start fighting US forces when they get in the way. DJ-When the US would try to prevent pro-Assad forces moving into east Syria the Kurds may turn against those US occupation-forces. Russia will not allow another mass-murder of pro-Assad forces/Russian PMC's (whit the US claiming pro-Syrian forces were attacking "something" inside Syria as being an excuse. The US occupation of East Syria is against international law-the UN has lost all credit by not discussing this crime.)

Manbij-East Syria/ US-Russia confrontation in Syria

DJ-Both in Afrin and to the east Kurdish forces will not be able to stop the Turkish army. Russia is willing to negotiate. https://sputniknews.com/world/201802261061991645-russia-syria-threats/ and https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802261061996077-damascus-syria-east-ghouta-operation/. Erdogan once was saved by Russian special forces during the coup attempt. Turkey needs Russian (Iran, China) investments. The US (and Israel, Saudi Arabia) want to split up Syria. 

DJ-A possible scenario could be that Turkey-Iran-Russia and Syria can agree on Russian, Iran forces on the Turkey-Syria border. For Turkey the main goal is to stop supplies for Kurds fighting for a Kurdish State in Turkey. The Kurds are not happy to let pro-Assad forces into Kurdish held area's but when they have to make a choice between Turkish forces or pro-Assad forces they (mostly) prefer pro-Assad forces. 
The US (and Israel-buyer of SDF/East Syria oil) does want to keep income of East Syria oil and gas from the Damascus government. 

In my opinion the risk for a US-Russia/Iran (Hezbollah, Afghan, Pakistan, Iraq shia-forces) is very real. Most likely the US is looking for support for "further actions" in Syria, Korea, Ukraine.
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Syria

While the propaganda-war in the media goes full blown-with alquada white helmets as heroes-it looked like western activity inside Syria was limited. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f4581x1MSLY-Israeli News Live making clear criticism does not mean being anti US or anti Israel (the INL has a background in both countries-also military).

US attack on pro-Assad forces (feb 26)


Chemical attack claim

The "rebels/fighters" (western propaganda) or "terrorists" (Syria, Russia but also according to UN) came with a claim of chemical attack from day one of the East Ghouta offensive. That offensive is in full international spotlight-pro-Assad forces would be unwise to use chemical weapons.

UN

https://www.rt.com/news/419888-yemen-resolution-russia-iran-veto/ DJ-The US tried to blame the Yemen war on Iran but failed to do so in the UN. 

DJ-In Syria it is good news that Russia/Syria created "room" for civilians to get out of East Ghouta. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802261062013696-terrorists-east-ghouta-civilians-hostages/ The "western backed terrorists" use civilians as propaganda (or even worse https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/graphic-18-fsa-fighters-kidnap-9-year-old-boy-demand-1-million-ransom-video/ Free Syrian Army is backed by a.o. US, UK)

Western airstrikes

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-led-coalition-denies-reports-deadly-airstrikes-syrias-deir-ez-zor/ US-led-coalition airstrikes killed over 2300 civilians in Raqqa in 2017, so far the number of people killed by the Turkish invasion (against the Kurds) killed more people than the East-Ghouta operation. http://theduran.com/crazy-erdogan-makes-girl-cry-on-stage-telling-her-she-will-be-martyred-video/ (DJ-Can Erdogan get arrested for child-molesting ? https://southfront.org/turkey-deploys-special-operations-forces-afrin-preparing-new-phase-operation-afrin/ DJ-Turkey may want to concentrate-for the moment-on Afrin NW-Syria. They may have up to 30% of that area under their control. After Afrin Turkey has several options-move south of Afrin "to stabilize" the area, move into Eastern Syria-to put pressure on the Kurds, US-or wait how talks develop. On march 18 Turkey, Russia, Iran will meet again.)

DJ-In general "the west" is not united to start a (major) offensive in Syria-for the moment it will be "a war of words" (bad Putin, bad Assad etc.) In Israel Netanyahu is trying to stay PM-but may be in prison for corruption soon. In the US it is clear the US has no clear plan on what to do (anywere-no realistic plan for North Korea, no plan for Afghanistan, Iraq-let alone for starting new wars). 

The west is not even united on the Syria cease-fire. Terrorists were excluded, Afrin unclear-but a lot of different interpretations going on. 


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