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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 24 2017 at 9:58pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 25 2017 at 12:25pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 25 2017 at 10:23pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 26 2017 at 4:11am
Originally posted by Dutch Josh Dutch Josh wrote:



May 9 will bring elections in South Korea. The leading candidate wants new talks with the north and distance between SK and the US.
That is definitely going to add to the tensions.  'Can't have that can we?  All the more reason to ramp things up from the US's side.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 26 2017 at 5:07am
Technophobe; also this discussion here http://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=60&t=9561.

NK is becoming an unacceptable risk for both the region and the US. Proberbly even China and Russia will agree with that. How to deal with it is the big international question. 

China (with over 80% of the trade with NK) has only recently (under Trump-pressure) made sanctions (coal import from NK) more strict. China claims that time could bring NK to reason. 

For China a nuclear (strongest so far) NK test not far from their border has become a risk. China needs trade for her New Silk Road-policy. A 1961 defense-treaty between China and NK is still valid. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sino-North_Korean_Mutual_Aid_and_Cooperation_Friendship_Treaty.

DJ: In my opinion military action against North Korea only could be an option when Russia-US-China cooperate. Under the given circumstances an unilateral action by the US will "worsen the ralitions" with China and Russia dramaticly. 

North Korea is believed to be able to use satllites for an EMP-strike (against the US, Japan ? https://www.intellihub.com/report-two-n-korean-satellites-are-capable-of-delivering-a-surprise-nuclear-emp-attack-on-u-s/), did have enough time to have agents in western countries for "actions" (nuclear and other https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korea_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction). 

The Korea"region" now is full of US, Chinese, Korean, Japanese, Russian etc. "material" (from submarines to listening devices, cyber-warfare weapons, nuclear sniffers, drones etc. ). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HoB1_AWNgY0 INL NK-update.


http://38north.org/ and others are unable to tell what the outcome of this conflict will be. 


sangyong lee

For a few weeks, the transporter moves north every three minutes. l have never seen so many transports before

(DJ If you want peace you have to be ready for war-can bring you to war).



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 26 2017 at 9:55am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 26 2017 at 9:36pm
Syria:


DJ: Assad warned earlier that if Israel would do more airstrikes Syria would strike back with scuds. Both Turkey and Israel can not strike Syrian (Iran, Kurdish) targets without some role for the US. When YPG (and other Kurdish groups) stop cooperating with the US in Syria and Iraq-Russia taking over-the US may loose further ground in the Middle East. http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4954576,00.html The Israel Air Force reportedly attacked an Iranian arms depot near the Damascus International Airport early Thursday morning, according to the Hezbollah-affiliated al-Manar television station.




https://komnews.org/ypj-spox-will-withdraw-raqqa-us-doesnt-show-concrete-reaction-turkey-airstrikes/ YPG-Kurds wants the US to put pressure on Turkey-may call for a no-fly zone

Korea:






France:

https://www.sott.net/article/349314-Alarming-voter-irregularities-reported-across-France-as-fears-mount-election-being-rigged DJ: Will the French elections become a repeat of the US elections with Macron as Clinton and Le Pen as Trump ? (A choice between the old elite and "change"(for the worse ?)



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 27 2017 at 3:23am
Syria:


DJ: With both Israel https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/27-april-syria-confirms-israel-struck-a-military-compound and Turkey  https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/27-april-turkish-military-planes-are-flying-over-efrn-now "doing their own thing" in Syria, and loosing Kurdish support-the US is getting "a problem" in setting goals in the Middle East.






North Korea:



DJ: One way out of the NK-crises could be less US military in South Korea when North Korea is willing to stop its WMD-programm. There is NO military solution. The price of a war with North Korea, the risks, are much to high. 

Superstation on US warpreparation: 
https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3764 "NK will not stop nuclear programm"
https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3761 "8th Army moves HQ out of Seoul" (was an older plan)

DJ: I get a mixed message from the US-putting pressure but how far the US is willing to go ? China and Russia will NOT accept US unilateral large scale military action. But were is a red line for Russia and China ? 

Geopolitics:


Chinese-Pakistan-Economic-Corridor=CPEC


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 27 2017 at 12:30pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 29 2017 at 1:46am
Korea:

DJ, I guess the main reason why NK did not have its 6th nuclear test proberbly has to do with "pressure" from China (not the US-build up-THAAD in SK made things worse). China could get effected by the NK test. Earlier tests may have brought earthquakes in China. Maybe even some radiation increase. 

NK may have gotten that message. 

In turn China may have made clear that it will not allow any major US military actions against NK. 

China would like to have more control over NK. Economicly NK is like Cuba during the Soviet Union. 

The NK-crisis now is in stalemate. Military options are limited. A US attack could have such a high prize the US will think of other options first. Unless some "leader" (wether Kim or Trump) does something stupid war is not the most likely option. 


NK launched another missile-and again the test went wrong. Maybe the US (or China, SK, Russia ?) did "help to make the test go wrong"? (http://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=9615&start=30 There is discussion if the test was a succes or not. NK was able to fire a missile in the short/medium range-that is not news.) http://www.debka.com/article/26032/North-Korea-launches-new-missile-US-sabotages

The background for this NK-US conflict is "bad for the US". To start tradewars with South Korea, Canada, the EU, Mexico, China AND expecting their support in several dangerous conflicts is "very unrealistic". 


With Le Pen in France as a possible next president, Turkey moving towards Asia, the Philipines thinking they can get a better deal with China (in a.o. South China Sea-but also trade)-even in South Korea elections on may 9 that will result in less SK-US "partnership"- "the west" can not afford major wars.

Japan ruled Korea from 1910 till 1945 and treated the Koreans as slaves. Hate against Japan unites Korea. The 1950-1953 war brought extreme damage http://apjjf.org/-Charles-K.-Armstrong/3460/article.html and did bring the world close to world war 3. Most Koreans do not want another war at almost all cost. 

Combining the Korea-crisis with the Syria-crisis makes Trump maybe a unique US president. 




DJ, When I can find the link I will put it here. US forces in Syria are now trying to protect Kurdish YPG fighters against Turkish airstrikes. https://already-happened.com/2017/04/29/us-stryker-armoured-vehicles-are-deploying-into-northern-syria-along-the-tense-border-with-turkey/



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 29 2017 at 12:58pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 30 2017 at 3:31am
DJ: The not yet open war http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-29/paul-craig-roberts-asks-does-washington-plan-nuke-russia-china between the "west" and the "east" has several fronts:

Europe:

https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3782 Albania (UCK-drugslords backed by US/UK) against Serbia in (Former Yugoslav) Republic Macedonia. http://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=9625

Middle East:




North Korea:

A Declaration of War is very different because it not only authorizes a President to make war, it ORDERS him to do so and triggers our International Treaties REQUIRING other nations to join us in a war.

The reason for this incredible action has to do with Russia and China as well as what took place the last time in Korea and in Vietnam when relying upon the United Nations.

If the Russians and/or Chinese side with North Korea, then the United States will need a lot of help to battle the two other superpowers.  

https://already-happened.com/2017/04/29/us-installing-terminal-high-altitude-area-defense-system-thaad-in-seongju-south-korea/

http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/04/30/520001/Trump-not-ruling-out-use-of-force-against-N-Korea

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 30 2017 at 10:47pm
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/46959.htm#.WQW2PEeNnlk.

The notion that Tillerson would be able to issue an ultimatum to Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov – you're either with us or with Damascus and Tehran – is laughable. Moscow simply is not going to yield its hard-earned sphere of influence in Southwest Asia to the Trump administration or the US deep state. What Moscow really wanted to know is who's making Russia policy in Washington. Now they've got their answer.

And then, there's the Big Picture. The Iran-Russia strategic partnership is one of the three key nodes, along with China, in the big story of the young 21st century; Eurasia integration, with Russia and Iran closing the energy equation and China as the investment locomotive.

That leads us to the real heart of the matter: the War Party's fear of Eurasia integration, which inevitably manifests itself as acute Russophobia.

http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/04/28/exclusive-trump-apologized-to-russia-for-syria-attack/">http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/04/28/exclusive-trump-apologized-to-russia-for-syria-attack/

https://already-happened.com/2017/04/30/better-dont-forget-south-korean-presidential-election-are-just-9-days-away-and-leading-candidate-mr-moon-wants-a-suspension-of-us-thaad-deployment/

https://already-happened.com/2017/04/30/air-raid-siren-reportedly-tested-several-times-in-shenyang-china-a-city-close-to-north-korea-border/

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-30/north-korea-threatens-sink-doomed-us-nuclear-submarine

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-30/real-wmd-syria-wests-weapon-mass-disorientation

https://www.rt.com/news/386693-nato-afghanistan-mission-stoltenberg/

https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3789

Priebus said the conversations were prompted by the "potential for nuclear and massive destruction in Asia" and eventually in the United States.

http://www.debka.com/newsupdatepopup/20485/Lavrov-Moscow-eager-to-work-with-Washington-on-Syrian-crisis">http://www.debka.com/newsupdatepopup/20485/Lavrov-Moscow-eager-to-work-with-Washington-on-Syrian-crisis


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 01 2017 at 7:28am
DJ: North Korea conflict may be getting worse still;




DJ; I was hoping China and Russia would be able to get some influence on NK. The NK-crisis is far worse than the Cuba crisis. Cuba was placing Soviet missiles in reaction to the US putting missiles in Turkey. North Korea has its own "Weapons of Mass Destruction" (WMD). NK and the US will not get out of the downward spiral at their own strenght-time is an issue-NK (and Trump ?) do not make a diplomatic solution very likely. China and Russia want a diplomatic solution but when that seems impossible they might "take distance from NK" . One of the reasons why the US did not attack yet, NK did not yet have a nuclear test-could be the Chinese-Russian try to avoid war. Maybe there now are getting signs that "talks have ended"?

Explaining the situation on the Korean Peninsula to Russian ambassador Alexander Matsegora, DPRK Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Han Song Ryol said the DPRK will "steadily take measures to bolster up its nuclear deterrence in order to defend the sovereignty and vital rights of the country and peace on the peninsula from the US nuclear war threat." 

The Russian side expressed its understanding of the stand of the DPRK and hoped the tension on the Korean Peninsula would be defused as soon as possible, according to the official Korean Central News Agency. 
Russia backs China's proposal on the suspension of missile and nuclear tests by the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) and of joint military drills by the United States and South Korea at the UN Security Council, the Russian Foreign Ministry said Saturday. 

"During a broad discussion, members of the council (UNSC) unanimously called upon the DPRK to renounce missile and nuclear tests and implement relevant UNSC resolutions," the ministry said in a statement following an open ministerial meeting on the Korean Peninsula nuclear issue held by the UNSC Friday. 

The UNSC also called for "a political and diplomatic solution" to the issue during the meeting, the statement added. 

"In this context, the Russian Federation supports China's proposal for a 'double suspension' (the suspension of Pyongyang's missile and nuclear tests in exchange for the suspension of US-South Korean military drills near the DPRK) as a starting point for political negotiations," the ministry said. 

Nevertheless, no common solution was made at Friday's meeting, according to the statement. 

Last month, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said China proposed a dual-track approach of denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula, namely the "double suspension" initiative, in an attempt to help the parties break out of the current security dilemma and return to the negotiating table.


Chinas Foreign Minister Wang Yi commented on the possibility of war on the Korean Peninsula when meeting the press with his German counterpartSigmar Gabrielin Berlin 
on April 26.We cant risk even a 1 percent possibility of warThe Korean Peninsula is not the MiddleEast
If a war breaks outthere would be unimaginable consequences,” he said.

All parties should follow relevant resolutions passed by the UN Security CouncilChina calls on allparties to avoid any actions that would escalate the situation."

In a commentary published on April 28 in the Peoples Daily Overseas Editionit was pointed out that this is a crucial moment for all parties involved
The DPRK disrupted the nuclear non proliferation regime and went against resolutions adopted by the UN Security Council
Meanwhilethe U.Sand South Korea pose a military threat to the DPRK
and seek further sanctions to and isolation for it.
This situation is fragile and dangerousShould any individual incident occurit could leadto disastrous consequences on the peninsula and its surrounding areas
Wars and conflictsin the Middle East have already become an open wound for humanity
Another war on theKorean Peninsula would only bring a much worse scenario to Northeast Asiathe commentary continued.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 02 2017 at 9:52pm
Situation globally keeps worsening:


Gepubliceerd op 2 mei 2017

China has told its citizens living in North Korea to evacuate, amidst rising tensions between North Korea and the US. At the same time China and Russia are demanding the THAAD system be removed from Soul and Russian General warns that US may be planning preemptive Nuclear strike on Russia
links:
https://www.gazeta.ru/army/2017/04/26...
http://www.newsweek.com/russia-us-glo...
https://www.rt.com/news/386828-china-...
https://already-happened.com/2017/05/...
https://sputniknews.com/asia/20170502...
https://sputniknews.com/asia/20170502...
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20...
https://www.google.cz/search?biw=1280...


Both Russia and China may start thinking the US is preparing a major war against them. 


https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3801 

According to sources with access to international diplomatic communications, the US State Department has quietly told foreign ministries around the world to have citizens and Diplomats OUT OF NORTH KOREA by June 23.

The informal "advice" is seen as a dangerous confirmation of US intent to strike North Korea.

It is interesting to note that June 23 is the date of the "New Moon" when night is darkest around the world.

https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3800

“The reckless nuclear war provocation by the Trump administration will bring it nothing but the fall of the American empire."

North Korea also promised to strike US allies, including South Korea and Japan, saying they will be “submerged into a sea of fire” and “reduced to ashes”.

But the risk of Kim Jong-un successfully launching a nuclear strike on the US seems unlikely.---

The Carl Vinson, the Theodore Roosevelt, the Nimitz and the Ronald Reagan are likely to ALL be within range of North Korea by mid-June at the latest.  It is then that the US might be willing to finally put an end to the nuclear threats of Kim Jung Un and his hermit kingdom.  

By mid-June, China will have had more than adequate time to do whatever it is they think they can do to de-escalate this insane problem and if there is no resolution by then, the US will be completely capable of resolving it alone.

While US naval power is one large component of US capabilities, air power is perhaps more potent.

The US has its most advanced fighter jets at bases in South Korea and in Japan, but they're nothing compared to what the US has already placed in GUAM and Diego Garcia.---

Russia might decide to join with China against the US.


https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3799

Beijing has called for an immediate stop to the deployment of the US Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-missile system to South Korea and warns it is ready to protect its interests, according to the Chinese Foreign Ministry.---

Beijing has previously voiced concerns over the THAAD system and joint US-South Korean drills near the Korean Peninsula, consistently urging all the parties involved to find a peaceful solution to the volatile situation in the region.

Backed by Russia, it also proposed a halt to military drills in exchange for an end to Pyongyang’s missile and nuclear tests during a United Nations Security Council (UNSC) session held in New York on Friday.

Moscow considers the stationing of the THAAD system to be an “additional destabilizing factor for the region” amid alarmingly increasing tensions. It has called on Washington and Seoul to reconsider the decision.

https://www.superstation95.com/index.php/world/3798

The Chinese Embassy in North Korea has advised Korean-Chinese residents to return home amid concern that the North’s military provocations may trigger a U.S. attack on the North, according to a source.

https://www.rt.com/news/386875-global-hawk-drone-japan/

https://www.rt.com/news/386910-hrw-claims-soviet-chemical-syria/

https://www.rt.com/news/386882-putin-trump-speak-by-phone/ and https://www.rt.com/news/386922-syria-ceasefire-talks-us-diplomat/ DJ: Russia and US talking is better than Russia and US fighting.

http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/05/03/520361/saudi-iran-yemen-bin-salman-ties

DJ: The build-up of forces by the US/NATO and Russia-China in itself is already dangerous. The idea of "a military solution" to any kind of major conflict is insane.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 02 2017 at 10:24pm
A good summery of the situation:


This is the DEFCON Warning System. Alert status for 7 P.M., Tuesday, May 2nd, 2017. Condition code is Blue. DEFCON 4.

There are currently no imminent nuclear threats against the United States at this time, however there are events occurring in the world theater which require closer monitoring.

Tensions in the KOREAN theater continue to increase. While the United States has concluded exercises with South Korea, assets continue to move into the area. Numerous Chinese subs have been seen in North Korean waters, along with a large number of U.S. subs. North Korea continues to advance in submarine-launched ballistic missiles, according to U.N. experts, and appears to be accelerating its programme.

SOUTH KOREA has established its THAAD system which CHINA sees as a threat and is taking retaliatory measures. China has placed its bombers on high alert over U.S. posturing.

Continuing in the area, military activity between JAPAN and CHINA near disputed islands increases while China launches its second aircraft carrier. Japan continues to reassess its non-combat policy and is beginning to take a more proactive stance with regard to both North Korea and China.

The U.S. says IRAN fulfilling terms of nuclear deal, but later says that Iran is not meeting “spirit” of agreement. 

PAKISTAN military doctrine currently includes uses of nuclear weapons if the country believes it would not result in massive retaliation from INDIA, a significantly dangerous theory.

RUSSIA continues to fly bombers near Alaska while NATO deploys troops to Poland and the United States calls for faster deployment of space-warfare weaponry.

Due to continuing tensions in Korea and the volatility of the situation, we are continuing to hold at Blue for the time being. We will continue to reassess and adjust the code as necessary. We caution the public to not mistake a lack of headlines in the news as a lowering of hostilities.

The DEFCON Warning System is a private intelligence organization which has monitored and assessed nuclear threats against the United States by national entities for over 33 years. It is not affiliated with any government agency and does not represent the alert status of any military branch. The public should make their own evaluations and not rely on the DEFCON Warning System for any strategic planning. At all times, citizens are urged to learn what steps to take in the event of a nuclear attack.

If this had been an actual attack, the DEFCON Warning System will give radiation readings for areas that are reported to it. Your readings will vary. Official news sources will have radiation readings for your area.

For immediate updates, go to www.defconwarningsystem.com . Breaking news and important information can be found on the DEFCON Warning System message board and on the DEFCON Twitter feed DEFCONWSAlerts. You may also subscribe to the You Tube channel DEFCON Warning System and the DEFCON Warning System mailing list. Note that Twitter and You Tube updates may be subject to delays. The next scheduled update is 7 P.M. Pacific Time, May 23rd, 2017. Additional updates will be made as the situation warrants, with more frequent updates at higher alert levels.

DJ: The overview does not mention other conflicts like Ukraine, Syria (Iran-Israel-Saudi Arabia etc) Yemen, Libya, Macedonia, etc. https://already-happened.com/2017/05/02/us-alaska-busy-as-well-with-very-interesting-military-drills-f-22s-f-35s-etc/">https://already-happened.com/2017/05/02/us-alaska-busy-as-well-with-very-interesting-military-drills-f-22s-f-35s-etc/, https://www.rt.com/news/386923-blast-nato-vehicles-afghanistan-kabul/ (US is claiming that Russia is working with the taliban against IS). 

New fronts are very likely to show up in the coming days. Venezuela is moving into disaster. Southern Africa is in constant crisis. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Mali_conflict All of Africa may end up in several wars. "Failed states can become a new normal" bringing massive death.
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https://already-happened.com/2017/05/03/another-submarine-with-precision-strike-capabilities-uss-cheyenne-visits-japan-sasebo/


China still doing trade with NK.


DJ: good story


Japan and South Korea aim for more American involvement in the region, but for very different reasons.

The South Korean elite is in a crisis, Park Geun-hye daughter of the founder of the country having been fined for corruption and the likely new president seeming to have positions on the DPRK and the alliance with the US that are very different from that of his predecessors. The danger the US sees is that a substantial part of the South Korean elite prefers a shift from a strongly anti-DPRK and pro-US policy to a more balanced one, especially with China, South Korea's main partner. The best solution to prevent this change is to raise the level of tension with the DPRK (and, as a consequence, with China), aiming to solidify the US presence in the country (witness the urgent deployment of the THAAD system, which candidate Moon Jae-in seems to oppose).

The Japanese case is even more explicit, with Abe's nationalist vision aiming for a constitutional revision that does away with the limits placed on Tokyo’s armed forces.

The US war industry will of course benefit, ready to sell weapons of all kinds to Japan in to reassure its ally over the “North Korean threat”.


DJ: The US itself has lots of internal political problems, even worse-the political chaos in Europe could get worse with a Le Pen victory in France coming Sunday. The French elections are becoming a repeat of the US elections. In the US the "democracy"ended up with a "choice" between war-criminal clinton or fraud trump. In France the choice is between bankster macron or neo-nazi le pen. 
(A choice between being kicked or beaten-this is not how democracy should work !)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2017 at 2:31am
DJ: Both in Korea and the Middle East the "west"/US is pushed to the sidelines (by the "east"/Russia-Iran-China).





http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-04/war-words-escalates-china-blasts-hyper-aggressive-north-koreas-irrational-logic (For China the NK nuclear test has other risks-close to the border-than for the US. When negotiations fail NK will do their nuclear test but pay with a very high price-China could stop all trade. A war in Korea proberbly will be the result of NK actions. Trump does not want to start a major conflict, Russia and China also rather end present wars, not start new ones. In the Middle East Israel, Saudi Arabia see Iran growing its influence. Turkey-Iran-Russia can "limit" actions by "the west". NATO-planes operating above Syria and Iraq will have to do so from Jordan ? Russian (and Iranian???) planes on Turkish-NATO-airbases? ) http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-05/north-korea-accuses-cia-plotting-biochemical-attack-against-kim-jong-un, https://www.rt.com/news/387222-kim-biochemical-assassination-plot/

DJ: History of cold war; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-04/deep-history-us-britains-never-ending-cold-war-russia (According to sme historians the "cold war" started when the US reached it western limits and Russia its eastern limits-selling "Russian America=Alaska" to the US was part of that 19th century "cold war".)


India-Pakistan (and China) conflict:
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2017 at 10:20pm
Middle East:



https://www.rt.com/business/387528-gazprom-turkish-stream-start-construction/, https://already-happened.com/2017/05/06/turkish-m-60-tanks-reportedly-spotted-in-akcakale-near-tell-abyad-border-syria/ DJ: Turkey is still a NATOmember but it is unclear how far they will go in fighting "terror" in Syria and Iraq. (Turkey considers the Kurdish groups as their main enemy).


East Asia:


Europe:

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Middle East:

The US is going to sell Saudi Arabia missiles-Ukraine was developing missiles for Saudi Arabia as well-now that stops. http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/05/06/us-missile-sale-to-saudis-undermines-ukraine-program/

Trump:

By putting the responsability to the Pentagon Trump can fire generals when things go wrong. Turkey is now buying Russian weapons, bombing a US ally in Syria and transporting Russian gas. http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/05/08/neo-major-shifts-in-trump-policies-happening-behind-the-scenes/ , http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/05/08/521110/US-oligarchs-have-taken-control-of-Trumps-foreign-policy

India-Pakistan:

South China Sea:
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/05/08/521089/US-Nay-to-challenge-China-in-South-China-Sea Does the US realy expect China to cooperate wih yhe US when the US is putting THAAD in South Korea and provokes China in the South China Sea ?



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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG3wkg-KuCQ DJ; Israeli News Live has some  "interesting" items,

-Russia and US would be talking about an exchange Syria for the US, (Eastern) Ukraine for Russia. 


-A "North Korean young woman wants to be rescued by the US".

DJ, I think Russia and the US realize that war is not a realistic option on the longer term. Russia will NOT give up its position in the Middle East. Russia does not want just the eastern part of Ukraine in exchange for Syria (or Middle East). Russia is part of a larger coalition with Iran and China. If the US realy does not understand Russia's position it may take some time before some realism shows up. (Of course Israeli News Live is the source of this "news" but it may reflect what is happening.)

Russia and China most likely will NOT accept US (major) military action against North Korea. (Eventhough Russia and China may consider Kim as a problem). 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-14/least-200000-victims-europol-fears-computers-simply-wont-start-monday-after-unrivall It is not clear who is behind the cyber-war. North Korea ? IS ? Criminals ? The CIA or another "intelligence" group (from some country or organization, could it even be a sort of "Snowden" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden gone criminal ? 

A very big risk in this story could be that the virus/worm is "out of control" and could be bringing down this modern https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tower_of_Babel. See also http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-14/worried-about-wannacry-you-should-have-listened-julian-assange. (I do not believe in coincidence much, the New Silk Road forum in China and the "global" cyber attack is linked ?????)

Trump will visit Israel and Saudi Arabia coming week. http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/05/15/521918/Trump-MidEast-visit-all-about-Israel. Selling more weapons, spread more war-total insane !

http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1046944.shtml China is going further in its "Belt and Road forum", a new Silk Road under Chinese leadership. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Cooperation_Organisation Western media seem to be totally blind on non-western global economic initiatives. 

Turkey-Russia-Iran-China (TRIC) may be working an a new non-western world order. That system would not use the US$ (and thereby end the US as a major economic player). The EU, Africa, Latin America proberbly will do some sort of deals with TRIC. Present global conflicts have to be seen with this TRIC background. 

For most countries the US is the country to blame for the chaos in the Middle East-the Iraq war, regime changes by the "western elite" are unacceptable for most countries. Jordan and Lebanon do want to stay out of the Syria and Iraq war-they do not want chaos inside their borders. If that would mean asking for Russian "assistence" (to get rid of US/UK "aid") they have no choice. They do not want to become another Iraq, Libya or Ukraine !

We live in "interesting times", hope we survive it !

US warcrimes in Syria:

good to follow:
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/14-may-unconfirmed-reports-american-and-british-forces--maghawir live-maps of all major conflicts. The US/UK also in southern Syria "fighting terrorists they created themselves". 

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Syria:


DJ; The US is attacking pro-Assad forces in southern Syria to get control over the Syria-Iraq-Jordan border area (and oil/gas fields). The goal of the US (UK, France etc) is to avoid the Tehran-Lebanon axis. Western forces may face fighting with Iraq PMU, Iran, Hezbollah and SAA in this invasion. 

Eventhough the US keeps selling record amounts of weapons to Saudi Arabia-the main sponsor of IS-IS is being replaced by "moderate terrorists" (like al-quada) as western ally. In Turkey the US/NATO will support Erdogan in his genocide on the Kurds-as the west has been doing for decades. The US support for the Kurds in Syria has to do with creating a buffer between Syria and Iraq/Iran. The US wants to control the Raqqa-Deir ez-Zor-Al-Qaim https://syria.liveuamap.com/ line.

https://www.rt.com/news/388888-us-strike-syria-forces/ For Russia the US agression against Syria is unacceptable. 

North Korea:

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/18/asia/ferry-russia-north-korea/index.html?sr=twcnni051817ferry-russia-north-korea1010AMStoryLink&linkId=37718529 A new ferry-line between Rason NK and Vladivostok-Russia makes clear how Russia wants to deal with the US build-up for war(s). http://tass.com/economy/945934 Russia and China will develop East Asia region US intervention is not welcome. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-18/us-deploys-second-aircraft-carrier-toward-korean-peninsula

Latin America:

http://www.voltairenet.org/article196335.html The "west" is creating chaos in Venezuela, Brazil, etc. in an effort to limit the growth of China-Russian influence. Earlier there were reports of new "contras" in Venezuela terrorising border regions, A secret Russian bases in Nicaragua. Without the US there would not be a "civil-drugs-war" in Mexico. 

China will build nuclear reactors in Argentina http://en.people.cn/n3/2017/0518/c90000-9217426.html wich will join the AIIB.

Several U.S. senators have expressed their support for the creation of the APSI: “Like you, we remain concerned with the eroding military balance,” the senators said in a letter to Secretary Mattis penned in February. They called on Secretary Mattis to maintain U.S. leadership in the Asia-Pacific and said that the initiative will show both allies and adversaries that the U.S. remains committed to the region.

But rather than boost confidence in U.S. commitment, the initiative shows just how out-of-step the U.S. has become with the changing world order. Building an iron wall of military power to maintain dominance might reassure U.S. allies, such as Japan, but the effort goes squarely against the region’s efforts to promote common development and win-win cooperation. In addition, Asia-Pacific-focused initiatives such as the APSI are likely to be seen as moves to contain China, increasing friction between the two major countries.

Rather than seek dominance in the region, the U.S. should follow in China’s footsteps and seek integration. With the Belt and Road Initiative, China is playing a constructive role in the region, focusing tremendous efforts and resources on promoting an open and inclusive plan that will benefit not only China, but all countries of the world, regardless of their size, strength, or regime type. This stands in stark contrast to the Pentagon-backed plan.

US:

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/05/the-special-council-investigation-will-be-bad-for-trump.html# In the US post-election chaos goes on.

Sanctions:

The US (and some EU-countries) have put sanctions on North Korea, Syria, Russia, China, Iran, Venezuela (etc) and still claim A; the west is "good" the others are "bad", B sanctions are isolating even countries that share borders (like Russia and China). These sanctions have become counter-productive, push countries to one another (like NK to Russia and China). The sanctions also damage international trade-the EU will not be able to go on with these sanctions with Trump putting up trade-borders for the US as well. The outcome is that western sanctions encourage a non-western trade system and dumping of the US$. 



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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-21/world-leaders-gather-beijing-while-us-sinks-irrelevancy The one clear message the Beijing meeting sent out to the world is that America’s «unipolar» vision of the world was dead and buried. Even among Washington’s longtime friends and allies, one will not hear Donald Trump referred to as the «leader of the Free World.» That phrase has been discarded into the waste bin of history along with America’s insistence that it is the world’s only «superpower.» The United States is a power, a second-rate one that happens to possess a first-rate nuclear arsenal. But nuclear weapons were not being discussed in Beijing. Major projects were on the agenda, projects that when completed will leave the United States at sea in the propeller wash.


Trump is in Saudi Arabia claiming that the Gulf States want to fight terror that Iran creates.

DJ, The US-like most western democracies-is in a political crisis. Selling for billions of $ weapons to countries that give them to IS around the globe in a "war against terror" is insane. 

Climate change is getting out of control. The US does not recognize the problem at the moment. Public healthcare under Trump is worsening, just like education, public housing etc.

Western countries may face severe civil unrest if they do not solve that kind of problems.

Syria:

After US attacks on Iran, Iraq forces in southern Syria Russia is moving in https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/21-may-russian-flag-raised-over-1-of-fsa-bases-captured-by to deal with "western backed terrorists" in the region. https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/21-may-russian-military-police-are-currently-securing-alwaer Russian MP's in central Syria. http://www.debka.com/article/26066/Russian-paratroops-move-to-Syrian-border-triangle (DJ maybe to fight terrorism Russia could attack US weapons-shipments to Saudi Arabia ? How much more insults should the average Amarican citizen accept ? US taxpayers money is used to finance terrorgroups and then more tax money is needed to fight terror ? Does Trump realy expect other countries will support this absurdism ?) https://southfront.org/syrian-government-forces-recapture-50-km-of-border-with-jordan/, https://southfront.org/russia-may-deploy-special-operations-fores-to-support-syrian-troops-advancing-in-southeastern-syria/

Yemen-war:


North Korea:

North Korea continues to test weapons of mass destruction. 
More alarming: re-entry of a missile brings it closer to ICBM's
SEOUL, May 22 (Yonhap) -- North Korea on Monday disclosed scores of photos of the Earth taken from mid-atmosphere via a camera installed on a ballistic missile which it test-fired the previous day, in an apparent bid to show off its missile atmospheric reentry technology. https://southfront.org/north-korea-continues-missile-tests-launches-unidentified-ballistic-missile/">https://southfront.org/north-korea-continues-missile-tests-launches-unidentified-ballistic-missile/

India-Pakistan

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/05/talking-tactics-lacking-strategy-the-generals-on-syria-and-iraq.html#">http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/05/talking-tactics-lacking-strategy-the-generals-on-syria-and-iraq.html# You can have the "best" military in the world but if you do not know how to use it there is no point. (The US attack on Deir enZur-SAA positions, the cruise missiles on a Syrian air base after a (rebel) gas incident and the latest US attack on pro-Assad forces in southern Syria were all "mistakes" according to this MoA-story. The US-support for the Kurdish YPG is temporary-the US also keeps supporting Turkey in its fight against the Kurds. In northern Syria the Kurds did get Russian protection against Turkish attacks. Further Kurdish involvement in the battle for Raqqa-without a realistic US perspective-will give Russia further chances to pick up a role. On the Kurdish issue Iran and Turkey are-more or less-allies. NATO has a history of supporting genocide on the Kurds in both countries for decades.)
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Philipines:

The Philipines have to pay a price for its cooperation with Russia and China. The IS invasion fits a pattern as IS as a proxy army.

Latin America:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-24/will-venezuela-be-battleground-next-us-russia-proxy-war Bankruptcy of Venezuela state oil could mean that Russia gets the instalations, China the oil-they are the main creditors.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-25/trump-may-have-taken-money-illegal-syrian-oil-sales-bbg In a report published Thursday, Bloomberg alleges that Citgo officials were involved in a plot to illegally disguise Syrian crude and sell it at gas stations in the U.S..

Citgo, the U.S. arm of Petroleos de Venezuela, the country's state-owned oil firm, controversially made a $500,000 donation to Trump's inauguration fund, which Bloomberg noted was larger than donations from other U.S. corporations.

With oil production in Venezuela seemingly on the brink of collapse, Venezeulan officials allegedly entered into a conspiracy to help disguise the source of Syrian crude, allowing the troubled Socialist "republic" to sell the oil below market price and reap higher profits. The plot was allegedly organized by a Venezuelan oil trader who was Bloomberg's main source for the story.

Wilmer Ruperti, the trader in question, acknowledged his participation in the scheme during a phone interview, Bloomberg reported. Ruperti said he no longer has a role in the scheme, and Bloomberg reported that it’s unclear whether the operation is ongoing. Ruperti says Syrian officials approached him in early 2012 during a party at the Syrian Club of Caracas.

Unsurprisingly, there's a Russian angle to the story, too.

With Venezuela’s government bleeding revenue, Petroleos de Venezuela year used just under half of its Citgo shares as collateral for a loan from Rosneft, according to a Nov. 30 financial statement filed in Delaware. A group of U.S. senators recently noted that, thanks to Rosneft’s recent purchase of bonds for the troubled oil company on the open market, the Russian oil giant could wind up controlling Citgo should Petroleos de Venezuela default.


Middle East:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4UDszzgxnQY&t=325s Israeli News Live, The "west" is preparing for a war with Iran. With the son of the latest shah to become the next dictator. (History repeats itself). 


Europe:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-24/farage-rages-whats-uk-government-actually-gonna-do In the UK there are 3500 people on the terrorist suspect list, Belgium has 18.000 on such a list. Still the borders are open. No limits on people moving to and from Syria, Libya etc...

https://already-happened.com/ Build up of NATO-forces in the Baltics goes on.
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Korea: 


The US is preparing for "military action" against North Korea. The USS Carl Vinson, the USS Ronald Reagan and USS Nimitz are in that region. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-27/us-deploys-third-aircraft-carrier-toward-north-korea

Syria and Iraq:


[url]https://southfront.org/popular-mobilization-units-captured-adnaniya-qahtaniya-road-north-east-al-baaj/  PMU in Iraq wants to control Syrian-Iraq-Jordan border. (against US).

https://southfront.org/sdf-allow-isis-withdraw-raqqah-fight-syrian-army-near-palmyra-russian-media/ Is IS now renamed Free Syrian Army ? (They were fighting with western weapons-they get from Saudi Arabia) In northern Syria https://southfront.org/sdf-denies-agreement-isis-raqqah-blames-syrian-iranian-russian-alliance-making-agreements-isis-near-palmyra/ IS-fighters may switch armies to survive.

Egypt-Libya:

https://www.rt.com/news/389963-libya-tripoli-rival-clashes/ The UN recognized Tripoli government is under attack by (NATO supported, weapons from Turkey and Qatar) "moderate rebels". These "rebels" are under Egyptian attack. http://libya.liveuamap.com/  Egypt and Russia are backing Haftar in eastern Libya (proberbly moving towards military intervention with Russian and Egyptian forces fighting western backed chaos in Libya.)

G7

Trumps rude behavior at the G7-top (and earlier at the NATO-top) will also increase a role for Russia and China. Insulting Germans/Merkel for "to many German cars on US streets" and "to little European money spent on US weapons" give a wrong signal. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-27/merkel-furious-trump-after-unprecedented-g-7-failure-reach-consensus-climate-change

When the US wants to go to war on several fronts it should treat its friends better. The EU is willing to support the US but when the US prefers Arab dictators as "friends"  (and leaves the US with a refugee-crisis as a result, terrorism etc.) it has its price. In China there was a large New Silk Road meeting just previous to the G7 meeting. http://www.globaltimes.cn/ Russia-Iran-China want to make bussinessdeals with the EU. 

Mohammad Hashemi Rafsanjani, a leading member of the Iranian parliament’s Expediency Council, claimed these multi-billion dollar arms sales may ultimately backfire on the Saudi regime. Rafsanjani warned that one day, the Saudis may end up turning these weapons against the Saudi royal family.

“We have seen it all before. The Saudis are spending billions on arms which they don’t have the capacity to absorb. At the same time they are facing rebellion at home they are trying to hide and a costly war in Yemen,” Rafsanjani said, according to the Independent.

Drawing a parallel with recent Iranian history, during which the U.S. was very friendly with the Middle Eastern nation while it was under the rule of Shah Reza Pahlavi, a brutal, U.S.-installed dictator, Rasfanjani stated the following:

“The Shah, too, spent billions of dollars buying arms from America, he too had capacity problems. We had 65,000 Americans in Iran, most of them in the armed forces. But then came the revolution and the weapons were used against him and his regime.

 

“We watch what is going on in Saudi Arabia and I think the fate of the Saudi royal family will be the same as that of [the Shah’s dynasty] the Pahlavis. There is less and less space in the world for absolute monarchies like the Saudis”. [emphasis added]

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As I did write in my latest post the G7/NATO meetings will have an effect on global developments. 


With elections coming in Germany, Macron the new French president, http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/05/29/523513/france-macron-putin-russia European leaders seem to gain popularity by making clear "alternatives for the EU" after the Brexit. Was the UK a bridgehead for the US in the EU ? Maybe it was more then most realized. Putin visits Paris today, http://www.globalresearch.ca/isis-touches-down-in-the-philippines-islamic-state-mayhem-in-mindanao/

Asia:

The unipolar US approach will keep giving conflicts with China. (DJ: If the US wants to keep much of its global control it has to find an answer to the Russia-Iran-China block. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-28/russia-and-iran-sign-oil-goods-barter-deal-escape-petrodollar Confrontation makes RIC stronger.)


Philipines https://southfront.org/61-isis-members-killed-in-clashes-in-philippines-marawi-photos-videos/ close to 200 people being killed in this IS-local war. (IS using mainly US weapons ? Fighters from Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand brought to the Philipines by who ?) http://www.globalresearch.ca/isis-touches-down-in-the-philippines-islamic-state-mayhem-in-mindanao/5592326

Syria https://southfront.org/us-led-coalition-warns-the-syrian-army-not-to-approach-al-tanf-town/ The "Free Syrian Army"-working with IS troops-under US supervision attacking the Syrian (and Russian) forces in South Syria. (On how US weapons end up with IS see https://sputniknews.com/us/201705241053930109-us-arms-supplies-monitoring/, http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/05/28/why-pentagon-continues-to-lose-arms-in-war-zones/. Also the UK, France, Israel and Gulf States are arming IS eventhough they claim to be fighting them.)https://www.quora.com/Why-is-ISIS-not-running-out-of-weapons-and-ammunition-Where-do-they-continue-getting-arms
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 29 2017 at 11:13pm
The US leadership is under pressure:

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/05/us-wants-control-of-anbar-and-beyond-iraq-and-syria-will-prevent-it.html# The US wants a US company to exploit the Bagdad-Amman highway with Blackwater "security" (under another name) looking after safety. 

https://www.rt.com/news/390118-lavrov-egypt-libya-terrorism-west/ "The West" seems unable to realize there are other views than "western views". For most people in this world "the West" is not peacefull or just-just rich. 


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SpueKU_qo-Q Israeli News Live is correct in saying that in Syria quite a lot of fighting is done by people "for rent" . Russia, Israel. US, Saudi Arabia paying fighters for a war that is destroying their homes.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-29/russia-expects-china-help-resolve-syrian-crisis-restore-country and http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2017/05/29/523554/Irans-membership-to-EEU-to-complete-by-2018 Non-western global cooperation is moving fast. The EU may notice it-could choose to do more deals with China, Russia if Trump wants to protect US markets. 


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-29/james-mattis-war-north-korea-would-be-catastrophic and a military solution for the North Korean problem is not very realistic to control. (DJ, North Korea is a problem-but the solution is cooperation between the West and the East-maybe even joined military action. The US/West can not "do that job" on their own.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 31 2017 at 1:24am
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-30/nato-recoils-trump-spending-salvos

DJ; Will there be a major war the coming months ? I have my doubts. NATO is splitting up and that means that one "block" to start a major war is disintegrating. The "differences of interests and opinions" between the US and other NATO members go back further than Trump. 

In the Ukraine-crisis "F..k the EU" as the official US view, NSA spying on other NATO members head of state are beginning to effect the US relations with other NATO-members. 

Also in the mind is the way the US dealt with the situation after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990. US foreign policy then was to avoid the EU getting to close to a new Russia. 

The refugee-crisis, chaos in the Middle-East, no progress on Israel is seen in most EU-countries as the outcome of US foreign policy wich was NOT in European interest. 

Southern EU-states, Spain and Portugal-would like to do more business with Latin America-but find other countries playing another game there. Russia and China against the US in a new front of an insane "cold war".

Climate policies is one of many issues of disagreement; fossil fuels are outdated for most countries except the US-wich is still fighting oil-wars around the globe (Syria, Iraq, Libya, South Chine Sea, Venezuela). 

Canada, Mexico-as part of Latin America, Africa and the EU can try to find a constructive way in dealing with Russia, China (India, Iran etc.). The EU mostly has seen what wars bring. An educated European only can hate war. Sees a "military solution" as a last resort and to be avoided at almost al costs. 

The present US is spreading war around the globe in its failing "war on drugs", "war on terror" etc. Drugs, terror only became a bigger problem. Most Americans would like to see a change but the last US elections did bring two criminals as potential president. 

It is time for the US to deal with corrupt politics-get rid of people like Trump, clinton, the Bush-mafia etc. or face the consequences-isolation. 

Climate change is getting out of control and should be priority number one. Good healthcare, education, housing are state matters not to be left to a "free market" when the outcome is increasing income inequality, paying more for less as a norm. 

The US should not expect a lot of support in an attack on North Korea on this bases. US support for IS has to stop. 

http://www.debka.com/newsupdatepopup/20700/Lavrov-warns-Washington-against-use-of-force-in-Syria, http://www.debka.com/article/26078/Indirect-US-talks-for-ISIS-fighters-to-exit-Raqqa, https://southfront.org/russian-foreign-ministry-unidentified-aircraft-assist-isis-afghanistan/ (Proberbly the US played an (in)direct role in supporting IS in Nigeria, Philipines both oil-linked- and elsewere. The CIA is the main drugs distributer in the world while the US claims to be fighting drugs. Most terrorism in the world has US fingerprints-impossible to claim that the US is fighting terror when weapons, explosives, logistics etc indicate the US as the main (co)actor.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2017 at 3:34am
The wahabist royal dictatorship Saudi Arabia thinks the wahabist emirat dictatorship is "to friendly with Iran". The US has it main airbase in Qatar, its main navalbase in Bahrain-where Saudi military keep another dictatorship in position. 

Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Gulf States support IS, Al Qaeda and other "moderate terrorists" with large western support. So for that west this scenario-in wich the US and UK did sell king Salman for billions of weapons-must be a nightmare. https://southfront.org/saudi-arabia-egypt-uae-bahrain-cut-diplomatic-ties-shut-borders-qatar/ (Turkey also has a base in Qatar)

Some sources think it might be possible Saudi Arabia does take military action against Qatar. (US weapons against US weapons)




The Saudi-UAE warning to the Qatari emir did not specify the penalties he faced for disobedience. The virtual blockade announced Monday may be the first course. Our sources in the Gulf disclose that a small-scale military operation against a Qatari target might still be on the cards. Neither do they rule out the undercover agencies of Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE engineering a coup d’etat for unseating the Al-Thani clan in Doha.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4288768/Malaysian-police-say-foiled-attack-Arab-royalty-ahead-Saudi-King-visit.html">http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4288768/Malaysian-police-say-foiled-attack-Arab-royalty-ahead-Saudi-King-visit.html King Salman is 81 and several people are waiting to succeed him. This "king" also did buy-as a private property-a nuclear bomb from Pakistan in 2015 http://www.timesofisrael.com/report-saudis-may-purchase-pakistani-atomic-bomb/. Veterans Today claimed a nuclear weapon was used in the Yemen genocide/"war" (but by Israel after Saudi Arabia requested it) http://www.veteranstoday.com/2016/09/24/how-israel-was-busted-nuking-yemen/

DJ: Saudi Arabia is proberbly involved in "military action" in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Bahrein, and maybe also in Afghanistan, Libya, Egypt, Lebanon. Qatar could ask Iran (or Turkey) for protection against Saudi Arabia. This could become a further escalation of the Saudi-Iran war. With the US having two main military stations in different camps. The western foreign policy "weapons for oil" has become a major disaster.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2017 at 10:10pm
-Globalization:

DJ; There is an Eur-Asian market of over 5 billion consumers for German electric cars with Chinese solar batteries. Getting rid of fossil fuels could bring the EU and China (and India, Turkey etc.) closer; they both are buyers of fossil fuels and looking for cheaper alternatives they can control themselves. (No Arab/Russian deals, no US-petro-dollar). 

-Middle East:






DJ: The outcome of trumps visit and weapondeals with "king" salman (81) of the wahabist terror sponsor saudi arabia is getting clear. The "king" wants war with Iran and trump is willing to enable that. 

The US presence inside Syria is illegal. US attacks on (pro) Syrian forces inside Syria go against international law. A US-Saudi "government change"in Qatar could start a larger conflict with Turkey, Iraq, Iran (now) backing Qatar. 

The "king" for the moment has a.o. Egypt on his side. But "leaders" who only start wars do not live long. (Certainly when you are 81 !). 

My impression is that Jordan allows western forces to act in Syria but want to limit its own actions to not end up with "inviting the neighbours wars inside their own house". Fossil fuels are under pressure, with that the US-oil-linked-$ is under pressure. 

Enough US/western people realize that. How to deal with it has many answers. There is an elite with (still) large interests in fossil fuels. They want that changed for other interests. (Dump oil and by "green energy companies" -requiering some grid to get profits-when all consumers can create energy themselves there is no "moneymachine" for an elite.)

"Friendly faces can turn grim when words need actions".

http://www.debka.com/newsupdatepopup/20754/UK-FM-Johnson-People-ask-how-terrorist-slipped-through-the-net (DJ; Theresa May has a lot to explain-the 3 latest terrorists were also known to the police).



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 08 2017 at 7:31am
UK:

http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2017-40173107
In the UK people at least had a real choice between a party that want to cut spending on police combining with selling weapons to IS sponsors-or the Labour-party that want to limit putting more weapons in conflictzones. The NHS-public healthcare-also being an issue. The outcome in the UK can determine how wars will evolve in the Middle East-with or without the UK. How the Brexit wil go-a conflict or a compromise. 


Middle East:

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/06/the-saudis-demand-total-surrender-but-qatar-may-not-fold.html#

-Turkey want to send 3000 military to a base in Qatar
-Qatar is preparing for an invasion by Saudi Arabia (or will the US play a role inside Qatar?)
-In Southern Syria pro-Assad forces are fighting with the US proxy "Free Syrian Army" (partly former IS fighters under another name, "moderate al-qaeda western backed terrorists" with support of US/UK special forces)
-Iran blames the terrorist attacks on Saudi Arabia (and the US). 

DJ: The war(s) in the Middle East are escalating-it will be a matter of hours before a full war between Iran( and Turkey ?) and Saudi Arabia (and US) could develop. NATO in fact is in a crisis with Germany pulling its planes/staff from Turkey. Turkey getting close to conflicts with the US (over US YPG-Kurds-support in Syria, Qatar etc.)

Korea:

North Korea tests ground-ship-missiles.




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In Southern Syria US-(backed) forces and (pro)Syrian (including Russian and Iranian) forces shelling/bombing each other. 




Also west of Raqqa fighting between US/Kurdish?Arab forces and pro-Assad forces.

Qatar:

Al Jazeera under cyberattack (proberbly as a start for further actions)



US is backing Saudi Arabia/ "king"Salman (81 dementia):


International "war-on-terror


Pakistan-India:

China is building a port in southern Pakistan to get access to the Indian Ocean.
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Syria:



UK:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jun/08/live-uk-election-results-in-full-2017 May will try to form a coalition with a protestant Ulster-party. Labour more or less in a coalition/opposition with Scottish, Welsh and Sinn Fein (Ulster catholics) parties. Regional conflicts can become national problems ? http://www.globalresearch.ca/general-election-early-statistics-britain-in-chaos-divided-and-polarised/5594124

SCO

http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/06/09/fighting-terrorism-is-at-the-top-of-the-agenda-at-the-sco-summit/ India and Pakistan join Russia and China (a.o.) in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Declare to support eachother in the fight against terror (a.o. in Syria). Iran and Turkey may join in 2018 (?)

Qatar:

http://www.aljazeera.com/ Al Jazeera now doing more on the internet. The pro-Saudi coalition trying to block the Qatar news. Iran is offering ports, airspace, fooddelivery. The Saudi-coalition may try to block that. https://www.ft.com/content/09c45a96-4c61-11e7-a3f4-c742b9791d43?mhq5j=e2

(DJ; the conflict between saudi "king" salman and Qatar is about wich terrorists to support. Saudi Arabia is behind IS, Qatar supports hamas, al-qaeda (for the US "moderate rebel"-terrorists). Also Qatar is doing business with Iran in Liquid Natural Gas (LNG). Qatar was thinking of a pipeline via Iran-Iraq-Turkey-making the "civil war" in Syria pointless. Above that Qatar wants to do deals in Chinese Yuans instead of US$. The conflict with Qatar involves therefor also the US (petro-dollar).)

DJ; my impression is that there is-from time to time-a "news black out". (Update-https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-southeastern-syria-after-government-forces-reached-border-with-iraq/ According to this map also (PMU) movements on the Iraq-side of Syria-Iraq border locking in US-UK/FSA. Almost no confirmation so far. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-syrian-army-hezbollah-reaches-border-iraq-first-time-years/ Hezbollah can get weapons from Iran over land-Israel will try to avoid that.)
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SCO:

http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1050352.shtml India and Pakistan join (a.o.) Russia and China in the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Cooperation_Organisation, http://eng.sectsco.org/ (DJ; half of the world population lives now in a SCO memberstate-western media totally blind !)
https://www.rt.com/news/391582-xi-lonely-warrior-putin/ Russia and China have become "good friends".

Qatar:

With 10.000 US soldiers in Qatar and https://www.rt.com/usa/391746-trump-qatar-terrorism-statement/ there is no need for an invasion. (DJ: The US is backing "king" Salman (81-dementia) of Saudi Arabia. In Qatar there might be 3000 Turkish soldiers and 300 (?) Iranian Revolutionary Guard-elite forces.)

Syria:

http://russia-insider.com/en/military/breaking-syrian-army-has-reached-iraqi-border-cutting-americans-al-tanf-russian-mod/ri20066 Syria and Iraq took over control of their border from US-UK-IS-proxy fighters. Proberbly backed by Russia. (Russian pressbreefing here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdZGi9l_2Xw western media total blackout.)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 7:59am
Syria:


US-IS cooperation:

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/commander-russian-forces-syria-accuses-u-s-cahoots-isis/, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-vChVTMF8M (Israeli News Live; IS giving up positions without a fight to "US backed groups", in Raqqa IS is pushed out to fight the pro-Assad forces. For the 4th time in a few weeks the US is attacking pro-Assad forces instead of IS in Syria. https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/10-june-the-usled-coalition-warplanes-targeted-military-columnsee also https://southfront.org/government-forces-seized-one-more-village-west-of-tabqah-map/.

http://www.debka.com/article/26092/How-an-Iranian-general-duped-US-command-in-Syria Pro-Assad forces just stayed out of the 55km zone the US wanted in southern Syria when they moved to the Syrian-Iraq border. https://southfront.org/strategic-implications-of-syrian-government-forces-success-at-border-with-iraq/
Those pro-Assad forces (Syrian, Hezbollah, Iraq, Iran) are digging in for the expected counterattack (by both the US and Israel trying to avoid a land-link from Iran to Hezbollah.)

Philippines:


Qatar:

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/06/israel-saudi-uae-team-anti-qatar-lobbying-move-170610023635122.html, http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/06/qatar-diplomatic-crisis-latest-updates-170605105550769.html. Qatar Foreign Minister (FM) visited Germany Friday, Russia Saterday. Both Germany and Russia call for peacefull dialogue. (DJ; It is unclear what support Qatar wants. Turkish or Iranian protection against Saudi Arabia or the US will have its price? Saudi Arabia may not want to escalate another war wich can turn into a third front (after Yemen and Syria) against Iran. Pakistan sends 20.000 troops to Qatar http://www.yenisafak.com/en/world/pakistan-to-send-soldiers-to-qatar-2709724

SCO:

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/us-says-china-likely-to-build-more-overseas-military-bases-maybe-in-pakistan/articleshow/59028685.cms?from=mdr Pakistan and India joined Russia and China in the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Cooperation_Organisation:The SCO has served as a platform for larger military announcements by members. During the 2007 war games in Russia, with leaders of SCO member states in attendance including Chinese President Hu Jintao, Russia's President Vladimir Putin used the occasion to take advantage of a captive audience: Russian strategic bombers, he said, would resume regular long-range patrols for the first time since the Cold War. "Starting today, such tours of duty will be conducted regularly and on the strategic scale", Putin said. "Our pilots have been grounded for too long. They are happy to start a new life".

On 4 June 2014, in the Tajik capital Dushanbe, the idea was brought up to merge the SCO with the Collective Security Treaty Organization. It is still being debated.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 10 2017 at 10:47pm
IS-leader "Baghdadi" killed in Raqqa ? 

Kurds:

DJ-The Kurds are the biggest nation (20-30+ million depending on the defenition) without their own country. The US is presently using the Kurds to divide Syria. Kurds are their own biggest enemies by their division. The West has proven to be no friend of the Kurds, supporting Iran during the Shah, Turkey, Iraq-in their wars against the Kurds. The West is interested in oil and gas-the Kurds are "in the way".

For that reason the best hopes for the Kurds is in both the diplomatic field-getting support from Russia and the US AND in the military field; trying to get as strong and united as possible. 

Trump has said that "there is no long-term US commitment, US friendships have to serve the US". In other words "use 'm and dump 'm". As long as it serves the Kurdish groups they are willing to cooperate with the US, happy to get US (and Israeli) weapons. But for getting their own country they can only do that themselves. 

Turkey, Iraq, Iran, Syria all-at best-are willing to give the Kurds within their borders some form of self-government as part of their country-but not a "Kurdistan". 

In Syria and Iraq the Kurds did get a stronger position, although already divided in several groups. When the Kurds want their own country they need support from outside the region. 

Qatar:

DJ: When you invite a guest you expect that guest to behave. When that guest is misusing your hospitality it may come to a point were you want that guest to leave your house.

The US is a guest in Qatar. Calling the Doha leadership "friends of terrorists" is not very polite. 

There are 10.000 US military in Qatar. Turkey, Pakistan, Iran are now sending troops to Qatar. 

Trump keeps insulting Qatar, Tillerson is wiser. There are enough countries interested in getting the-now-US base in Qatar. Iran taking over that bases would be very provocative, but Russia, China, Turkey, Pakistan all show interest.

Trump created the Qatar-crisis. If he wants the US to loose another ally, give Russia, Iran, China more influence in the Middle East-he is doing a "good" job. 

Of course Qatar is supporting terrorism. Most of the Middle East countries do so. The US does it herself as well. 

EU-US:

Merkel-Macron-May all got the message of how Trump sees "friendships"; it has to serve the US. 

Germany is leading the EU-in-crisis. Expanding the EU for political reasons with 10 East European countries is one of the reasons for that crisis. (The Euro is another one, Southern Europe proberbly should have stayed out of the Euro for their own good.)

Trump willing to start trade wars against the rest of the world will not "make America great again". It is pushing the EU-with the 10 eastern Europe states-towards EurAsia; Russia, China. 

The EU needs to reform, but can provide a bases for European regions to get more self determination within a larger entity. If you want to solve regional problems in Europe the EU-at its best-can be helpfull.
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http://www.unz.com/tsaker/the-crisis-in-qatar/

Very good article because it looks wider than just Qatar. 

The US-Israel-Saudi coalition had a plan to put pressure on Iran but find out they may get the opposite of their goals. Russia may get more influence in the Middle East. 

Last lines put the basics right !:

I will end this column by comparing what Presidents Putin and Trump are doing these days as I find this comparison highly symbolic of the new era we are living in:

Trump, after bombing a few “technicals” (4×4 trucks with a machine gun) and trucks in Syria, the proceeded to tweet that Comey was a liar and a leaker.

The Russian version of the G8: the SCO

The Russian version of the G8: the SCO

As for Putin, he participated the latest meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) which welcomed both Pakistan and India as full members. The SCO now represents over half of all the people living on our planet and one quarter of the world’s GDP. You can think of it as the “other G8”, or the “G8 that matters”.

I submit that this quick comparison of agenda really says I all.

http://www.debka.com/newsupdatepopup/20805/Russia-tells-US-to-stop-striking-pro-Assad-forces-in-Syria

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/06/qatar-hosted-taliban-request-government-170611114833584.html

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2017/06/arab-world-tweets-hamas-resistance-terrorism-170611092718961.html

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2017/06/bizarre-decisions-gulf-qatar-crisis-170611075123926.html

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 26 2017 at 10:55pm
https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article165905618/We-got-a-*****in-problem.html The US claim of Assad using Sarin gas in april 2017 was a lie. Still the US comes up with more insanity to keep their weapon-production going; https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/06/26/white-house-says-syrias-assad-preparing-another-chemical-attack-warns-of-heavy-penalty/?utm_term=.502490ddae43. Assad-a dictator the US did deals with many times in the past-would be planning "another chemical attack".

http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/06/24/germany-mulling-over-sanctions-against-the-us/ The US putting sanctions on EU companies working with the Russian energysector is making EU-US relations worse. After the climate-insanity of d.trump, the refugeecrisis, the US supporting IS via Saudi Arabia (https://southfront.org/fake-news-saudi-arabia-issues-ultimatum-putin-vows-destroy-russian-forces-syria-3-days/ the mad "king" salman pointing another insane "prince" as his successor-does Saudi Arabia still plan (with Turkey, Israel ??) to openly fight on the side of IS and other "moderate western supported terrorists" in Syria ?) the EU may become fed up with this US.

https://southfront.org/chinas-maritime-strategic-realignment/ The US is fighting for the petro-dollar, the idea of being the "only super power". Thereby the basic conflict is between the US and Russia,China. The EU has its own interests-in eastern europe and around the globe. When these interests are in danger due to "unwise activities" it will influence (old) relations (with the US, Israel, Gulf States).

DJ: the http://thebulletin.org/clock/2017 is still two-and-a-half to twelve. In my opinion for climate change we may be getting to two-and-a-half to twelve the next morning. Geo-political the situation requires a shift in US-basic thinking. The US economy has made itself dependent on fossil fuels and export of weapons to states "wich do not support democracy or human rights". With more than half the worl population living in Asia, Eur-Asia and Africa being closely linked (the present wars are at the linking point-the middle east) the US viewpoint becomes more and more unrealistic.

Trump did get elected because he wanted to work with Russia. The world did change the last 50 years-economic growth is now in Asia. The US did not invest enough in good US infrastructure, healthcare etc.. To put it bluntly; when the US wants to polute and spread war around the globe it will loose all its friends and end up in chaos.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 28 2017 at 10:49pm
Turkey does not want a Kurdish state near its borders:

Russian observers leaving Kurdish Afrin area in NW Syria.

The US is claiming Syria is preparing to use chemical weapons against their own people-eventhough pro-Assad forces are winning the war and the "rebels" need "a chemical false flag" for western intervention. http://www.debka.com/newsupdatepopup/20934/US-prevented-imminent-Syrian-chemical-weapon-attack-Mattis)


Other reports http://thesaker.is/the-latest-escalation-in-syria-what-is-really-going-on/, the use of Russian and Iran missiles in Syria-indicate that a largescale western-backed attack would be answered. http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/dispatch-from-the-middle-east-u-s-buildup-all-about-iran/ The US presence in Syria (DJ and Iraq) is to stop Iran (DJ and Russia).

DJ: Assad wants to control all of Syria. The Kurdish groups are doing a lot of fighting in northern Syria-for the duration backed by the US (DJ and Israel, to a certain level NATO and even Russia-with observers east and west of a Turkish sector). When Turkey fights "Kurdish terrorists" in Syria it could help Assad weakening the Kurdish role in Syria. (Syria, Iran, Turkey and NATO/US in the past all worked against the Kurds getting their own state.)

Turkey has been supporting IS in Syria and Iraq for several years-selling stolen oil, delevering (western) weapons, allowing IS-fighters/terrorists to cross borders (also towards the EU !!).  Pushing the Kurds in northern Syria gives IS some room. The US wants IS to fight against Assad-it allowed IS to move its "fighters" from Mosul, Raqqa etc to fight against Assad-up to a certain level even IS groups were renamed-became "moderate rebels". 

Israel has its own "rebel groups" both IS and "moderate" east of rhe Golan Heighrs as a proxy army to keep Iran and Hezbollah away from the Golan border area. Israel was giving these "rebels" medical care, providing them with weapons, food/water and when needed air defense. 

From the south IS getting supplies via Jordan, Iraq-from their main sponsor Saudi Arabia (wich buys a lot of the military goods from the US and UK). (Qatar is a al-quada-moderate terrorist group sponsor). 

All put together: Assad is winning the war in Syria. The longer the west waits with an invasion on false grounds the harder it will get to stop the Teheran-Beirut-link. The US claims it wants to stay in Syria (with several bases) but Russia can not allow that. The Kurds proberbly are already having talks with Assad, Iran and Russia about their future in Syria. 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 03 2017 at 8:50am
With the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_G20_Hamburg_summit on the agenda for July 7-8, 4th of July in the US may see a false flag. Also elsewere "groups" may try to influence this meeting of world leaders. 


-IS may plan major actions in the EU/US (elsewere-another region taken over by IS in southern Thailand ? Bosnia ?), another chemical/gas attack for wich the west blames Assad.
-Ukraine might attack (pro)Russian forces and claim to be the victum of "Russian agression".
-North Korea may do its nuclear test ?
-Saudi Arabia could attack Qatar, Iraq, Syria "to fight terrorism"? Turkey is already fighting Kurdish "terrorists"-wich can escalate into invasions into Syria and Iraq. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_federal_election,_2017 Merkel want to show the world Germany (and the EU) can play a significant role (when some other "leaders"fail. http://mother-earth.net/climate-politics/eu-in-potential-collision-with-trump-over-climate-issue).
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 08 2017 at 6:44am
G20 Hamburg-Messe:

http://theduran.com/russia-expert-stephen-cohen-and-tucker-carlson-explain-why-trump-putin-meeting-was-a-huge-win-for-the-world/-DJ: I think it is very good news Trump and Putin had a good conversation ! They may not agree at all issues-when the conclusion can be that "talking is better than fighting" it is already a big succes ! http://thesaker.is/the-first-putin-trump-meeting-yields-something-very-close-to-nothing/ (Words are not yet actions).

https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2017/8-july-tillerson-maybe-russia-has-the-right-approach-to-syria-in many western countries there is serious doubt wether replacing Assad by IS would be good for anybody-maybe "the West-leadership" may get the point.

Allthough the G20-nations represent 66% of the population and 80% of global trade http://theduran.com/president-putin-and-xis-meeting-in-moscow-is-far-more-important-than-the-g20/ China-Russian cooperation may be more important-are Russia and China taking a leading global role ? The EU-(Canada, Mexico) and US are more and more in disagreement. At this G20-alternative for the UN-Trump may find himself isolated.

The Hyundai Research Institute comes to a 9% economic GDP growth for North Korea as an explanation how NK can make the weapons. http://theduran.com/truth-north-korea-booming/

China and Russia are blocking US plans for intervention in NK. Maybe China and Russia can find a way to reduce tensions ? https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/07/world/americas/united-nations-nuclear-weapons-prohibition-destruction-global-treaty.html


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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