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12 additional human cases of avian influenza A(H7N |
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Eight
Adviser Group Joined: March 07 2017 Status: Offline Points: 300 |
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Posted: June 12 2017 at 7:19am |
The out-of-season spread is concerning to me as well. I suppose it really comes down to whether it spreads seasonally or not in domestic poultry and wild water fowl. I'd assume so, but I must admit I haven't seen this confirmed in the literature.
Sorry for my absence! Busy times... |
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Such a beautiful number, eight.
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Despite reports being spoon fed out of China that it's slowing, apparently that's not the case. Spreading at this rate during the summer months is a fairly ominous sign. This next winter could get interesting. Efficient limited human to human transmission, well, could equal a slow moving pandemic as the best case scenario in 6 months. An h7n9 pandemic seems fairly likely. I always thought the next pandemic flu would be a sudden mutant strain emerging, and a mix of two, although one single strain evolving may be the case with this super bug soon. Let's hope it's only going to be a slow-spreader. Maybe something similar to SARS with regard to global transmission. Rishat -- be on standby.
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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2 cases a day in June? And a 4 year old?
And it looks like the Guangdong strain has made it's way to Mongolia. It's on the move, but how far will this strain manage to travel? |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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Increase reported in H7N9 avian flu cases in China
In its weekly report, Hong Kong's Centre for Health Protection (CHP) today confirmed 12 H7N9 avian flu cases reported from China's mainland from Jun 2 through Jun 8. The previous 2 weeks saw 8 and 9 cases reported, respectively, so the update reflects a small uptick. Nine of the 12 cases had known exposure to poultry, and one patient was listed as a 4-year-old. That case is notable because H7N9 infections in children are uncommon. Eight men and four women contracted the virus, and their ages range from 4 to 68 years. The patients reported symptom onset from May 20 to Jun 3. Three of the cases are from Beijing, and officials said they were likely imported from other provinces. A new case from Shaanxi province was likely imported from Inner Mongolia province, the second case such case in Shaanxi in the last 2 weeks. There were two cases each reported in Anhui, Chongqing and Henan, and one each from Jiangsu and Shandong. The CHP said the new cases warrant a call for strict personal hygiene for travelers to China's mainland. Travelers to the mainland or other affected areas have been told to avoid visiting live-poultry markets or farms. "They should be alert to the presence of backyard poultry when visiting relatives and friends," the CHP report said. "They should strictly observe personal and hand hygiene when visiting any place with live poultry." Poultry die-off in Mongolia In other H7N9 news, Avian Flu Diary, an infectious disease tracking blog, posted a translated report from the Chinese Ministry of Agriculture, which described a large poultry die-off in Inner Mongolia province, which reported its first poultry outbreak just a few weeks ago. Of almost 60,000 laying hens, more than 35,000 died, the report said. A national reference lab confirmed H7N9 yesterday, and the large number of poultry deaths suggests that the virus is highly pathogenic. At least three human cases of H7N9 have been traced back to Inner Mongolia province in June. http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/06/increase-reported-h7n9-avian-flu-cases-china |
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Buy more ammo!
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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its very close to being a human flu - just 1 more genetic change
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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seriously
H7N9 avian influenza: 12 more cases reported in ChinaOutbreak News Today-16 hours ago The Chinese National Health and Family Planning Commission announced an additional 12 human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) from ... |
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Remember how much H5N1 scared us all? It never got to the point where it could keep up this kind of momentum, even during the flu season.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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For the last few reports it seem the numbers have been in single digits so a report with double digits might not be a good sign (but it could just be statistical noise as 12 is not much different from 9)
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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So it's in Mongolia now. And still spreading well outside of the flu season.
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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CHP notified of human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) in Mainland ******************************************************* The Centre for Health Protection (CHP) of the Department of Health today (June 9) is monitoring a notification from the National Health and Family Planning Commission that 12 additional human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) were recorded from June 2 to 8, and strongly urged the public to maintain strict personal, food and environmental hygiene both locally and during travel. The eight male and four female patients, aged from 4 to 68, had onset from May 20 to June 3. Three of them are from Beijing, two each from Anhui, Chongqing and Henan, and one each from Jiangsu, Shaanxi and Shandong. Two cases reported in Beijing were likely infected in Hebei and Shanxi while the case reported in Shaanxi was likely infected in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Among them, nine were known to have exposure to poultry, poultry markets or mobile stalls. http://www.chp.gov.hk/en/ |
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Buy more ammo!
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