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H7N9 only 2 mutations to go |
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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Posted: June 24 2017 at 5:53pm |
and we have a human pandemic like never before in recorded history.
This close now people and every time a person contracts this virus it mutates to humanity. A pandemic is imminent. Bird flu pandemic worse than 2009 swine flu outbreak could be on ...Mirror.co.uk-3 hours ago The virus, H7N9, has so far only been caught by humans from birds or a close family member who is infected. But scientists say that it is only two mutations away ... |
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EdwinSm,
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I thought that it was at three mutations away....so this is a recent change (or, more likely, I haven't been following this as closely as I should).
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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And in at least one case, it's shown markers that suggest it's developed, or is developing, resistance to antivirals. I'm guessing it's either picked up the necessary genes from another strain circulating at the same time like H1N1, or Chinese farmers are prophylactically dosing their poultry again. I really don't think there have been enough cases in China to make it resistant yet, unless they're lying about the extent of the spread. Whatever the mechanism, it could mean that an H2H virus could emerge with little warning for which we have no vaccine or effective treatments.
Now there's a cheery thought |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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It "could" be getting close, but since none of us have ever witnessed this sort evolution actually taking place before and getting this close, we can't be sure. I'm just glad Hachiban and JD live fairly close by. hehe |
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https://www.facebook.com/Avianflutalk
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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No you are correct. Since actual samples will never be released from China, we have to take China's word on it, and hope for info to be leaked. 2 mutations might also not be accurate. Maybe the truth is somewhere in the middle.
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https://www.facebook.com/Avianflutalk
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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Yeah, about that. We'll probably be busy that day with a thing. Next pandemic maybe. |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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H5N1 only has 1 mutation to go
the point being Every time a person gets this bug it gets closer to jumping to humans. When a human cell gets infected with flu it replicates and one cell produces 100,000 new fly bugs and every single one is a mutant of the original flu bug that first infected the cell. So every time a human gets this flu - watch out. A pandemic is imminent. |
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Kilt we all know how it happens,no need to keep telling us.....
and every time it changes its got a an equal chance to just give us all a headache....... |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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Kilt5
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Three Mutations Could Turn Bird Flu Virus Into A Human PandemicIFLScience-18 hours ago The researchers are interested in a strain called Avian influenza A(H7N9). This virus has infected over 900 people since 2013, according to the World Health ...
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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Where are you in WA?
This is serious - I am just putting up the facts. |
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Kilt5
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People have witnessed pandemics - scientists Robert Webster for one. Robert Webster (virologist) - WikipediaRobert Gordon (Rob) Webster is an avian influenza authority who correctly posited that ... at the same university in 1957, and his PhD from the Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, in 1962. ... the Department of Microbiology and the Department of Immunology at the St. Jude Children's Research Hospital in . |
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Perth,why?
We all serious,but light hearted aswell,ive been waiting and watching with interest for a long time,thought it was h5n1 ,but since all the pigs in the river, h7n9 has had my attention,just have to wait see if it's the "Slate wiper" |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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The pandemic is imminent
that means hanging over our heads ready to drop at any time. I love Perth
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Where are you ?
Perth, The most isolated city in the world |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖
Marcus Aurelius |
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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I love you to death, Kilt - but that was the most conflicted post I've seen in a long time. Had me on an emotional roller coaster there. Just glad you ended on a high note |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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the official government status is " an influenza pandemic is imminent"
the definition of imminent is "hanging over our head ready to drop at any time
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