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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

No proof of sustained H2H transmission H7N9

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Kyle View Drop Down
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    Posted: January 26 2014 at 12:42pm
No proof of constant H7N9 human-to-human transmission: health authority
Jan 27,2014


BEIJING, Jan. 26 (Xinhua) -- Current H7N9 cases are scattered and there is no evidence of constant inter-human transmission, according to a paper on H7N9 diagnosis and treatment issued by the National Health and Family Planning Commission on Sunday.

The paper said that the infection source might be the poultry that carry the H7N9 bird flu virus. The H7N9 bird flu could be infected via respiratory spread, close touch with poultry excretion or contact with contaminated environment.

H7N9 patients who have contact with poultry or been to live poultry markets one week before morbidity, especially the seniors, are high risk groups, the paper said.

According to a survey on H7N9 cases, the incubation period for H7N9 human cases is three to four days, and patients will develop to severe pneumonia three to seven days after morbidity, with body temperature above 39 degrees centigrade.

The paper said that early report, diagnosis and treatment are the best ways to prevent and control the virus.

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jacksdad View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 26 2014 at 1:23pm
So says the Chinese Ministry for Heath. And they would never lie to us, would they?

LOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOLLOL


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Health_and_Family_Planning_Commission







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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 27 2014 at 12:01am
The Chinese government wants us to believe that all H7N9-cases came somehow in contact with birds. Did the Chinese people change their behaviour ? Do Chinese people expose themselves more to birds than a few months a go ? Or is the H7N9-virus getting more active ? 

Saying H7N9 is not H2H does not explain the explosion of cases in the last month. (Allthough trying to explain it by saying that a short holliday caused the explosion and the Chines New Year/springfestival most certain will cause more cases might be to simple. The Hajj did not bring an explosion of MERS. H7N9 seems to be influenzed by the weather-it is a complicated thing.)
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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jacksdad View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 27 2014 at 3:23am
I agree, Josh. This virus definitely likes the cold weather, so I think it's relatively safe to assume that if last year was anything to go by, the clock is ticking before the warmer weather stops it in it's tracks again. Pandemic strains don't necessarily follow seasonal patterns though, so if it makes it fully H2H and retains a high CFR we might not see last year's pattern repeated. Lots of ifs, but I guess we'll know either way in a few months.
Of course, if it doesn't mutate past us it has the luxury of trying again each winter.
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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Medclinician2013 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Medclinician2013 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 27 2014 at 8:55am
What is sad is that this post is all over the net and coming up high in the search engines when it is like a blatant falsehood and demonstration of media spin to invalidate the spread and reporting of h7n9 in China. Thumbs Down

The real news?

It is spreading and there are more and more cases. Recent reports from Hong Kong where cases appeared indicate the numbers from WHO are not accurate as people in surrounding areas become more infected from China while China continues to report ones and twos when there are probably hundreds. This is reminiscent of the patients put in ambulances when the survey teams tried to evaluate the hospitals for the spread of SARS.

Now, we are talking reporting a Flu outbreak in a  country who is hosting the Olympics; not likely.
There is nothing new under the sun.

http://www.chron.com/news/article/Chinese-hid-scores-with-SARS-2130994.php

BEIJING -- Chinese authorities ordered doctors in Beijing to hide SARS patients from a team of World Health Organization experts last week in an attempt to downplay the extent of the epidemic, Chinese doctors and other sources said Saturday.

Authorities transferred about 40 patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome to a hotel on the grounds of one hospital, and at another facility bundled more than 30 SARS patients into ambulances to prevent the WHO team from finding them, the sources said.

A worker at the Zihuachun Hotel, on the grounds of Hospital No. 309, said several dozen patients were taken to the hotel Tuesday morning, the day WHO officials visited two military hospitals. The patients were moved back to the hospital later that evening, he said. Doctors at the Sino-Japanese Friendship Hospital said a group of 30 SARS patients, all medical personnel, were packed into ambulances during a WHO team visit to the hospital.

"It was done to avoid detection by the WHO. We drove the patients around Beijing," said a senior medical official at the hospital. "We were ordered by the Beijing government. We don't know if the central government was aware, but we assume it was."



imho

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Medclinician - not if but when - original
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