Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
3 New Cases in Iran |
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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Posted: February 20 2020 at 2:03am |
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Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Online Points: 95857 |
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https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/coronavirus-deaths-outside-china-surge-overnight-explosion-new-cases-suggests-outbreak;
Iran is now reporting 9 deaths after shocking the world by revealing that two Chinese nationals infected with the virus had died in the city of Qoms earlier this week. (DJ-Did not find any confirmation-in a later update it read; https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/coronavirus-deaths-outside-china-surge-overnight-explosion-new-cases-suggests-outbreak; Iran confirms 5 cases of COVID-19 ) https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/02/20/619106/Iran-health-taskforce-coronavirus-Covid-19 https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-confirms-two-dead-from-coronavirus-may-quarantine-city-of-qom https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/202002191078353680-two-people-infected-with-coronavirus-die-in-iran---health-ministry-official/ https://health.liveuamap.com/en/2020/20-february-panic-amongst-iranians-in-qom-amid-coronavirus |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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The diamond Princess gave us accurate transmission %, very contagious,now this sudden death cluster makes the CFR of 2% questionable!
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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https://en.radiofarda.com/a/announcement-of-iran-coronavirus-deaths-fuels-public-distrust-of-government-/30445147.html
According to unconfirmed reports four patients in Mashhad, Iran's second largest city and another religious center, have also been tested positive for Coronavirus. Mashhad is also a pilgrim destination and tens of thousands visit the city every day.
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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Exclusive: 11 Coronavirus deaths in IranBased on the reports that Iran International has received, so far, eight coronavirus patients have died in Qom city’s Kamkar-Arabnia hospital with two hospital personnel in intensive care, and one woman passed away from coronavirus in Qom’s Imam Reza hospital. According to these reports, Qom’s Beheshti hospital with 2100 personnel has distributed 200 L95 masks among them. The sources told Iran International that several cases of coronavirus have been spotted in Mashhad city and two patients have died of the virus in the northern provinces of Iran. Iranian officials have not commented on these cases. https://iranintl.com/en/iran/exclusive-11-coronavirus-deaths-iran |
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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Iran confirmed 13 new coronavirus cases, bringing the total in the country to 18, with four of the total having died. “Based on existing reports, the spread of coronavirus started in Qom and with attention to people’s travels has now reached several cities in the country including Tehran, Babol, Arak, Isfahan, Rasht and other cities,” health ministry official Minou Mohrez said, according to the official IRNA news agency |
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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The death toll from the deadly coronavirus rose to 18 in Iran on Sunday, reported Al Arabiya citing Iranian sources. The Iranian government confirmed two more deaths on Sunday, putting their total to eight, but Al Arabiya sources put the number initally at 18 and then at “more than 15.” On the same day, Iran International media outlet also put the number at 18 on its Arabic Twitter page. |
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Pixie
Admin Group Joined: June 05 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 19668 |
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TEHRAN An earthquake of magnitude 5.7 struck West Azerbaijan Province in northwestern Iran on Sunday, emergency authorities said. The quake that hit at 9:24 a.m. local time (0622GMT) had a depth of 6 kilometers (3.7 miles) and the epicenter was Qotur district, according to the Iranian Seismological Center (IRSC). So far, there are no reports of any casualties or damage caused by the tremors. The West Azerbaijan Province borders Turkey and Iraq. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/57-magnitude-earthquake-strikes-northwestern-iran/1742038 |
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BabyCat
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an important point. It generally takes 3-4 weeks to die. If there are suddenly 18 deaths, the virus has been circulating a while. In other words, since Jan. 22..already there in Iran. 18 deaths, at 2%, implies 900 infections 3-4 WEEKS ago. SO...How many today?
My guess? 20,000-40,000 have it now. No joke. Wait and see. |
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cobber
Admin Group Joined: August 13 2014 Status: Offline Points: 6035 |
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The Diamond Princess is a fantastic case study. It shows that the CFR is quite low. Also remembering many on these ships are older. |
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Flubergasted
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We actually don't know that yet. Some of the passengers are just now testing positive. Others my yet be incubating, some are still sick. I'm also not certain they have all been tested.
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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Flubergasted is right Cobber. That death toll has not started yet.
But in another three weeks we should have a real CFR from the passengers of the Diamond Princess. Another sad fact is that in such cramped quarters, we will not get a realistic R0, it will be artificially inflated. |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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Newbie1A
Adviser Group Joined: January 26 2018 Location: Alberta Status: Offline Points: 11180 |
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Up to 50 dead from coronavirus in Iran, claims local official in Qom
Conflicting reports suggest an increase in the death toll in the country The National February 24, 2020 Fifty people have died from coronavirus in the Iranian city of Qom, the country’s semi-official ILNA news agency reported on Monday. That came hours after wildly divergent figures were released by Iran's state TV, which reported the death toll was only 12, with 47 people infected. Coronavirus Kuwait, Bahrain and Afghanistan confirm first cases Middle East countries 'need to act quickly' An official from Qom, Ahmad Amiriabadi Farahani, was quoted by ILNA as saying more than 250 people were in quarantine in the city, which is a popular place of religious study for Shiites from across Iran and other countries. He said the 50 deaths dated as far back as February 13. But the first officially reported cases of the virus and its first deaths in Iran were released on February 19. The Iranian government has denied attempting to cover up the full extent of the outbreak. “I categorically deny this information,” the country's health minister Iraj Harirchi said in a news conference broadcast live on state television. “This is not the time for political confrontations. The coronavirus is a national problem,” he added. Authorities in Iran have closed schools across much of the country for a second day as neighbouring countries reported infections from travellers from Iran, prompting several to shut their borders to Iranians. If confirmed, the number of deaths from the virus compared to confirmed infections is higher in Iran than in any other country, including China and South Korea, countries where the outbreak is far more widespread. https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/up-to-50-dead-from-coronavirus-in-iran-claims-local-official-in-qom-1.983674 |
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