Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
May - updates (???) |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Posted: May 01 2023 at 10:42pm |
DJ, With most of the testing/reporting on not only CoViD but also M-pox (and H5N1 ?) gone-"the news" on the ongoing healthcrisis is "under control". I will try to find info (here for may 2023) on the ongoing healthcrisis. One question to find out is if CoViD is now resulting more in chronic (long term) disease than deaths. As seen before infection on a large scale in some regions may offer protection against some new variants (either imported or developing in the same region). #COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates TOP lineages (#15DAYTRENDS): 56.2% XBB.1.5 6.1% XBB.1.9.1 4.5% XBB.1.16 2.2% XBB.1.5.1 2.1% XBB.1.9.2 1.4% XBB.1.5.13 1.4% XBB.1.5.15 1.4% XBB.1.5.17 #SARSCoV2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7 Updated: 05/01/23 DJ, India would not have had much of XBB.1.5 (sub) variants resulting in more "room" for XBB.1.16 (sub)variants...XBB.2.3 would be growing -with lots of subvariants (XBB.2.3.1 etc) result of mutations-high speed... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps excess deaths however so far are limited...Also hospital cases -so far- not result in worsening the already excisting healthcrisis...So...is CoViD no longer a major risk ? The US government will end COVID-19 vaccination requirements for federal employees, contractors, international travelers.. DJ, I refuse to be "neutral and objective"...the biden-junta is a disaster for both the US and the world in foreign policy...If they make such a mess there do I trust the US-lots of western governments-on reporting of pandemics ? No...but I need "info" to learn more... As a primary care doctor, I can tell you that “People with #LongCovid don’t fake being ill, they mostly fake being well” DJ, "Long CoViD" may by now be the most widespread form of CoViD...it is NOT a different disease...it is the same disease in a chronic form. Lots of indications for even the virus remaining in "hosts" for a long time....And a lot of "hosts" by now are no longer humans... Spread of CoViD-19 in animals DOES result in more mutations/variants... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory DJ-M-pox in most cases does not kill..."main stream media/MSM" made Mpox a "gay-disease" so stigmatizing people with mpox as a group with "problematic" -lots of partners- behavior...It may fit in an anti-gay agenda but is damaging healthcontrol.... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_spread_of_H5N1[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_spread_of_H5N1 is widespread and out of control...not only in birds but also in mammals... Like with US/NATO wars "MSM"-owned by the war industry- fail to do a good job... [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/04/the-other-mixing-vessel-for-pandemic.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/04/the-other-mixing-vessel-for-pandemic.html ; One of the things we've learned in the past couple of decades about influenza is that humans - much like birds and pigs - can be co-infected with 2 or more flu viruses simultaneously. Up until 2009, human co-infection with influenza A had only rarely been reported.
In 2008, we saw a report of an Indonesian teenager who tested positive both H5N1 and the seasonal flu strain H3N2 (see CIDRAP report Avian, human flu coinfection reported in Indonesian teen), demonstrating that co-infection with Influenza A was possible. But the big breakthrough came in 2009 when the pandemic H1N1 virus emerged and co-circulated for a time with the old seasonal H1N1 virus, allowing scientists in New Zealand to isolate and document 11 cases of Influenza A co-infection (see EID Journal: Co-Infection By Influenza Strains for the full story). Since then we've seen a growing number of documented human co-infections, and more importantly, the detection of novel flu reassortants originating from them. DJ...not only pigs but also humans can be coinfected with different flu-virusses in the same time... Luckily, most reassortant viruses aren't biologically `fit' enough to compete with more established strains, and quickly fade away, often without ever being noticed. If creating a pandemic virus were easy, we'd be hip deep in them all the time.
After three years of the COVID pandemic, and round-after-round of COVID shots, many people are weary of getting vaccines, including for seasonal flu. While understandable, not vaccinating against seasonal flu provides additional opportunities for H5N1 (or H5N6, H3N8, H9N2, etc.) to reassort in a human host. DJ-CoViD infection weakens immunity...so lots of other diseases [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/the-lancet-candida-auris-emerging.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/the-lancet-candida-auris-emerging.html get more chances... ---------------- What can/should we do ? -Reduce (global/air) travel...we are transporting all kinds of diseases all over the planet 24/7...Why ? Profits ? At the end pandemics may kill us all...not worth the "profits/economy"! -Masks have been used hundreds of years to limit infection risks...certainly in combination with eye-protection they may limit infection risks...for lots of diseases... -Ventilation lowers "disease levels" in buildings (hospitals, schools, offices) ...also low cost, very simple... -UV-C lights have been used in the past to limit diseases... -Work/study from home more often -may also limit traffic jams, air polution... -Improving air quality also limits lung (etc) damage...les fossil fuel burning=better air quality ! -Improving your health, ride a bike ( a bicycle...not a motor-bike !), walk more... -Stress reduction also helps...A vaccation nearby can make you enjoy the country/place you live in... So...lots of things YOU !!! can do ! Vaccines have become a conflict-zone...If you do not want CoViD-vaccines make up your mind on flu-vaccines (non mRNA)...Vaccines did save millions of lives ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, The Sahara-desert is moving into Spain...Embedded media like [url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/03/un-warns-heat-records-could-be-broken-as-chance-of-el-nino-rises[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/03/un-warns-heat-records-could-be-broken-as-chance-of-el-nino-rises now more in line with [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/humans-may-be-extinct-in-2026.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/humans-may-be-extinct-in-2026.html ... The only thing under control in pandemics is "the news"...claiming there are no pandemics... Indonesia Covid update Over the last few weeks, Indonesia recorded more than 1,000 new cases every day, bringing the total caseload to 6.7 million since the pandemic began. “The trend is still climbing. The peak is predicted to occur next week,” and The "mini waves" discussed in the article imply a high year round level of infections, with far more overall annual covid infections than flu infections. This is not a good thing (Which both the article and Farrar agree with). - COVID's future: mini-waves rather than seasonal surges https://nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01437-8 link[url]https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01437-8[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01437-8 ; Three years after the start of the pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 shows no signs of settling into a seasonal pattern of spread, like influenza has. DJ...like we did see with corona-virus outbreaks in farm animals...often only "controlled" by "culling=killing" all the farm animals on the farm...corona-virus outbreaks are very hard to control (control of the "news/media" is much easier). Flu.... [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/h5n1-tracking-ag/973670-canada-outbreaks-of-highly-pathognic-h5n5-in-crows-in-prince-edward-island-and-h5nx-mixture-hp-h5n1-and-h4n6-in-a-blue-winged-teal-in-manitoba-woah-may-1-2023[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/h5n1-tracking-ag/973670-canada-outbreaks-of-highly-pathognic-h5n5-in-crows-in-prince-edward-island-and-h5nx-mixture-hp-h5n1-and-h4n6-in-a-blue-winged-teal-in-manitoba-woah-may-1-2023 - [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/belgium/973669-belgium-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-in-3-wild-red-foxes-woah-may-2-2023[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/belgium/973669-belgium-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-in-3-wild-red-foxes-woah-may-2-2023 - [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/germany/973668-germany-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-gray-seals-south-american-coatis-and-red-foxes-woah-may-2-2023[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/germany/973668-germany-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-gray-seals-south-american-coatis-and-red-foxes-woah-may-2-2023 DJ, H5N1 not only spreading into mammals..the Canada story has a mix of H5N1 and H4N6 in crows...no doubt resulting in more mutations-increasing risks... Banks.... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMJp2tP3IkQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMJp2tP3IkQ Redacted; "Half of America’s banks are “potentially insolvent,” according to Stanford School of Business. You may not want to hear that on a day when small bank stocks are taking a nose dive but the writing is on the wall and has been since March when Silicon Valley Bank started this domino chain. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in an effort to stop the bleeding. Maybe that will help but the U.S. is about to hit a debt ceiling in short order so the crisis continues. " "politics" ...[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/joe-biden-engaged-bribery-scheme-foreign-national-fbi-internal-document-alleges[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/joe-biden-engaged-bribery-scheme-foreign-national-fbi-internal-document-alleges ...[url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/05/04/zelenskyy-meet-dutch-pm-defense-min-icc-officials-hague-today[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/05/04/zelenskyy-meet-dutch-pm-defense-min-icc-officials-hague-today Robert F Kennedy; "We need a peacefull revolution" [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AY89a_zXi9s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AY89a_zXi9s DJ-We face a "mega mix" of disasters and miss "leaders/politics" to pull us out of the swamp... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ among others [url]https://www.independentsage.org/[/url] or https://www.independentsage.org/ try to get a view on the ongoing healthcrisis -now officialy (as good as) denied by the (political club) WHO.... - Where I have added my view on this WHO decision too... Esentially, regardless of whether it is considered as a pandemic, Covid remains a significant problem across the world, especially for Long Covid & for the clinically extremely vulnerable. - DJ, as a non-expert, just trying to get an "informed opinion" spread of CoViD from humans into lots of mammals is a nightmare...a "Public Health Emergency of International Concern" (PHEIC)...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_health_emergency_of_international_concern[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_health_emergency_of_international_concern The combination of CoViD spreading from humans into mammals with H5N1 (most) spreading from birds into mammals -at a very high level...out of control...is even more then a PHEIC... Of course climate collapse [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/humans-may-be-extinct-in-2026.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/humans-may-be-extinct-in-2026.html and out of control warmongering by NATO seeking war with Russia-Iran-China, BRIICSS+ are "PHEIC"s... The Iraq-war -killing over 1 million- was "good" a NATO "liberation" - Russia (a.o.) against NATO moving east is "bad"...may already have killed close to half a million...and it is just one of many wars... WHO: The pandemic is over, but.... The highest numbers of new 28-day cases were reported from the US, South Korea, India and France. The highest numbers of new 28-day deaths were reported from the US, Brazil, Russia, France, and Iran. https://who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---4-may-2023 and Relax. That 317% increase in Covid-19 deaths in South East Asia is probably just a blip... https://who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---4-may-2023 DJ [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/the-fallacy-of-declining-sars-cov-2-infections-new-variants-after-debut,-evolve-to-cause-asymptomatic-spreads-and-are-better-adapted-for-viral-persist[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/the-fallacy-of-declining-sars-cov-2-infections-new-variants-after-debut,-evolve-to-cause-asymptomatic-spreads-and-are-better-adapted-for-viral-persist TMN also made the point that -even with hardly any testing/sequencing remaining we still have MORE cases and MORE deaths from CoViD then when the WHO made the PHEIC declaration... "Statistics are a great way to lie"...in climate just change the baseline...so YES we do not see a 2C increase of global temperature if you go for a 1990-2000 baseline...YES-if you stop testing the cases of CoViD you detect decrease... YES...here in NL volunteers !!!!! only pick up H5N1 dead birds in urban area's...There is only very limited effort to pick up dead birds...tens of thousends- from hard to reach locations...It must be spreading in lots of mammals...but "don't look"...inconveniant realities... -There are lots of reports on wild fires (a.o. Canada, Portugal) floods DRC/Rwanda, India...El Nino may push up temperatures this year to record high...It will very likely cause even more extreme weather, decrease food/water supply, increase the number of refugees...trying to stay alive... More wars only worsen the problems...spending millions on a new "king" is insane...another mass event that can turn into a mass spread event... The number of "long/chronic CoViD cases" must be in the hundreds of millions....simply being ignored... Coffee !!! DJ-Looking at history we have seen lots of "bad moments"...in the summer of 1940 the UK was fighting hitler on its own...Trying to imagine the hell of Stalingrad [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Stalingrad#Casualties[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Stalingrad#Casualties ; It is estimated that as many as over 1 million soldiers and civilians combined were killed during the battle is unimaginable horror...Pandemics in the last 2000 years of human history sometimes meant an area got depopulated...people died or tried to get away...(often getting killed by soldiers trying to stop the spread). Silent disasters -like economic collapse, starvation- did bring horror to millions...We should learn from history...even when that history is "not nice"...We can limit horrors...closing our eyes is NOT helping... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, UK [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK cases increasing again...81,655 new symptomatic cases reported (calculated statistics) for may 7..Active cases just stayed above 1 million...1,034,288 active cases may 5... Dr. John Campbell on UK excess deaths [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgubA8BF3CM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgubA8BF3CM ; Excess deaths, dramatic increase, week ending 21 April 2023 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati... The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 21 April 2023 (Week 16) Was 14,024 22.1% above the five-year average 2,540 excess deaths, of these deaths, 615 involved COVID-19 England and Wales Week 16, 12,420 deaths were registered in England and Wales 538 of these deaths mentioned novel coronavirus (4.3% of all deaths) DJ, a lack of testing is one reason for finding less CoViD cases/deaths...also "Long CoViD" -post CoViD may simply be missed in statistics... Lancet: Indian government "wholly untrustworthy" on COVID-19 health data. Official government figures place deaths at more than 530 000, while WHO excess death estimates for 2020 and 2021 are near 4·7 million. DJ, If you deny a problem you do not have to solve the problem.... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-cases-surging-across-asean-travelers-and-major-events-advised-to-put-off-plans-for-the-month-of-may-as-situation-expected-to-worsen[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-cases-surging-across-asean-travelers-and-major-events-advised-to-put-off-plans-for-the-month-of-may-as-situation-expected-to-worsen We may not see a repeat of 2020-2022 "pandemic news"...I -DJ-think even "playing" with excess deaths/spreading numbers to keep them under the "norm"... H5N1, Here in NL [url]https://www.omroepflevoland.nl/nieuws/332209/dode-meeuwen-zwarte-meer-hadden-zeer-besmettelijke-variant-vogelgriep[/url] or https://www.omroepflevoland.nl/nieuws/332209/dode-meeuwen-zwarte-meer-hadden-zeer-besmettelijke-variant-vogelgriep link to [url]https://dwhc.nl/en/[/url] or https://dwhc.nl/en/ ; The purpose of the Dutch Wildlife Health Centre is to enhance knowledge and expertise in wildlife health in the Netherlands. This will serve to provide scientifically based information for political and practical decisions concerning public health, wild and domestic animal health, and nature conservation issues. On our website you can find information about the sorts of disease found in wildlife in the Netherlands and abroad by searching in the disease or species pages. lots of birds found dead in the middle of NL were infected with H5N1 . It will spread further in mammals. Countries like Ukraine, and countries kept poor, may fail to report even basic spread... [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/wildlife-health-australia-avian-flu.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/wildlife-health-australia-avian-flu.html ; Even though avian flu surveillance and reporting from around the globe are often lacking, the two FAO maps (above) help to illustrate the geographic gains H5N1 has made over the past 16 months.
While large swaths of Russia, China, and the African continent show little activity, there are political and logistical barriers to reporting outbreaks from these regions. Additionally, many nations where the virus has been endemic for years (including Egypt, and Indonesia) are no longer required to report avian flu.
Remarkably, even though H5N1 emerged in Southeast Asia more than 25 years ago, and has been widely reported across much of the Indonesian archipelago for decades, the virus has never managed to get a foothold in Oceania. - The recent move of H5N1 into previously unaffected avian species, however, may provide new opportunities for the virus to make it into Australia and surrounding areas. DJ...both CoViD and H5N1 is spreading in mammals...in theory most of the spread could stay in mammals...(why should the virus move into humans who "fight back?")...but spread in rodents only is increasing risks... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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Tuberculosis is killing more people worldwide than Covid-19 or AIDS. "Tuberculosis is the biggest infectious disease killer in the world today, taking the lives of around 4,400 people every day" link [url]https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/tuberculosis-surge-killing-more-people-worldwide-than-covid-19-or-aids/YB7T2FVVC5EZNGVM6VDWYCUTSM/#[/url] or https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/tuberculosis-surge-killing-more-people-worldwide-than-covid-19-or-aids/YB7T2FVVC5EZNGVM6VDWYCUTSM/# ; Top UN officials and health industry leaders are trying to tackle an alarming surge in tuberculosis, which is now killing more people worldwide than Covid-19 or AIDS. Among the problems: a high number of cases in conflict zones, including Ukraine and Sudan, where it’s difficult to track down people with the disease and diagnose new sufferers. Tuberculosis is the biggest infectious disease killer in the world today, taking the lives of around 4400 people every day, including 700 children, Dr Lucica Ditiu, executive director of the Stop TB Partnership, said before a hearing Monday to prepare for a high-level meeting in late September during the annual gathering of world leaders at the UN General Assembly. Before Covid-19, which like TB is transmitted through the air, “we didn’t see very dramatic cases of TB,” she said, “but after Covid we saw a type of TB that we saw in … movies in which people spit blood and they are very weak, and so on.” Ditiu said the economic impact of Covid and conflicts, first and foremost in Ukraine but now also in Sudan, are having “a huge impact” on efforts to treat people with TB and diagnose new cases. Ukraine has the highest number of estimated people with TB in the European region — 34,000 — and also a high number with drug-resistant TB, she said at a news conference last week. “It’s remarkable, the fact that the Ukrainian people are actually showing an amazing resilience in doing their best to maintain the services for TB,” Ditiu said. “But obviously a lot of people left the country.” DJ...in countries we keep poor there may be NO TB-testing...most TB-cases worldwide are missed ! CoViD weakening immunity is resulting in more cases of -harder to control- TB in weaker patients...So yes...maybe "CoViD deaths" are going down in numbers...but people die from lots of other problems still with CoViD links... Another twitter from coronaheadsup; "We'll go down in history as the first society that wouldńt save itself because it was'nt cost effective" ... Of course CoViD still is a PHEIC/Pandemic !!! The WHO denial only is making-again-matters worse ! H5N1 spreading in mammals-like CoViD - is a nightmare !!! Public health should be priority #1 !!! Climate change-in fact-also has to be #1 as well...We may face "very extreme conditions" later this year with already lots of extreme weather in many places...This august may see temperatures (and humidity) that extreme it can result in massive deaths... The "big picture" is "we" as humans-are moving OUT of a survivable planet...Earth may be Venus-like within decades !!! Maybe some "basic" forms of live may survive such conditions...We will not ! Can we avoid such a scenario ? We should at least do all we can to limit damage/buy time...Going for global wars does NOT help ! US: Bird Flu in Mammals Found in big cats, mountain lions, bobcats. brown & black bears, dolphins, seals, foxes, coyotes, otters, martens, raccoons, skunks & opossums. https://aphis.usda.gov/animal_health/animal_diseases/avian/images/hpai-mammals-map.png see also [url]https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/05/09/a-proclamation-on-revoking-the-air-travel-covid-19-vaccination-requirement/[/url] or https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/05/09/a-proclamation-on-revoking-the-air-travel-covid-19-vaccination-requirement/ DJ-Lots of Asian countries restarting masks, testing etc. again...the "west" in full denial...Insane criminal "word games" like "mild, endemic" ... To go for a "west-rest" scenario; China continues to manage COVID-19 as a Class-B infectious disease. Other Class-B infectious diseases are SARS, Anthrax, AIDS, Typhoid, and Viral Hepatitis. Or, in layman's terms, China is still taking Covid seriously. and [url]https://tass.com/society/1614009[/url] or https://tass.com/society/1614009 ; MOSCOW, May 5. /TASS/. Russia’s COVID-19 case tally rose by 4,215 over the past day to 22,870,557, the anti-coronavirus crisis center reported on Friday. A day earlier, 4,273 daily cases were recorded. As many as 773 people were hospitalized with COVID-19 in Russia over the past day, down 16.8% from a day earlier. The number of hospitalized patients increased in 28 regions, while in 44 regions the figure decreased. The situation remained unchanged in 13 regions. A day earlier, 929 people were rushed to hospitals. DJ [url]https://tass.com/world/1614311[/url] or https://tass.com/world/1614311 ; MOSCOW, May 5. /TASS/. The World Health Organization’s (WHO) decision to declare the end of the COVID-19 public health emergency is correct but anti-epidemic measures must remain in place all the same, a Russian expert told TASS on Friday. "The coronavirus is not gone. But it was quite expedient to end the public health emergency. The virus continues to circulate. It continues to be registered. But its impact on the human population is now a medical problem whereas it was a purely social problem when the coronavirus first appeared," said Dr. Gennady Onishchenko, member of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Vice President of the Russian Academy of Education. He recalled that the highly contagious Arcturus strain continues to circulate. "On the one hand, the WHO was right. On the other hand, the XBB.1.16 is a ‘variant of interest.’ The strain is more infectious than its direct ancestor Omicron. <…> This doesn’t mean that COVID doesn’t require any treatment," he added. and XBB.1.16 certainly is NOT the only problematic corona-variant... DJ-I expect WITHIN A YEAR !!! Sars-3 very likely to show up...Given how widespread CoViD now is in mammals (outside humans) we soon may see a new form of CoViD (with again lab-leak/blame claims/games...) Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant found in Sierra Nevada, California deer from 2021 hunt. California's first Covid infection in wildlife discovered. link [url]https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/05/08/california-detects-first-case-of-covid-infection-in-wildlife/[/url] or https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/05/08/california-detects-first-case-of-covid-infection-in-wildlife/ collected in 2021 means CoViD has been spreading in mammals for years !!! H5N1 is now that widespread in mammals it will find a way to spread in humans...SOON ! So...again...lots of things "we" could/should do; -limit travel (disease fly/travel) for free -Masks as a new normal...even if not perfect-the lower the viral load the better ! -Increase testing/sequencing/surveilance -Ventilation = lower viral/disease load Problem is we know what to do...we are just not doing it... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/05/nuremberg-trials-for-imperiling-all-and-causing-mass-extinction-of-species.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/05/nuremberg-trials-for-imperiling-all-and-causing-mass-extinction-of-species.html ; Leaders, so-called, forcing the atmosphere into a >4 degrees Celsius-high radioactive hell, including corporate chiefs, top executives, billionaires and their conscious-free political mouthpieces, members of parliaments, ministers and presidents, will be recorded in history as first in line to hell, driving the innocent hapless masses into oblivion. DJ, the only important goal for humanity seems to be short term profits for a rich elite... Denial of all kinds of problems-standing in the way of making profits- is a "new normal"..."Living with out-of-control diseases?..No problem...Wars ? Some get very rich from it...In Germany the "green party" is now promoting war and coal....I see myself as environmentalist...but "green parties" in the EU/UK are an insult to decent thinking... China's fresh COVID wave raises concern of trading volume slowdown. "I think about 10% of people around me have caught it again," said a trader at a foreign bank. DJ [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data is it going up or down in the UK ???? Japan, Australia a.o. going again for all kinds of CoViD-restrictions while "living with the virus"??? Again both CoViD and H5N1 is spreading a lot in mammals-will result in new variants and a lot more problems in humans...denial does not help ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qiWj9Jf2o-I[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qiWj9Jf2o-I Dr. John Campbell on (UK) excess deaths...(DJ-Dying with the virus "politics"); 'Brits are dying in their tens of thousands - and we don't really have any idea why' https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/health/... Tens of thousands more Brits died than usual from May to December 2022, excluding Covid as a cause of death, raising serious questions as to why so many died May to December 2022, 32,441 excess deaths The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 21 April 2023 (Week 16) Was 14,024 22.1% above the five-year average 2,540 excess deaths The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 28 April 2023 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati... (Week 17) Was 13,690 12.9% above the five-year average 1,569 excess deaths UK excess deaths in 2 weeks = 4,190 England and Wales 12,152 deaths 459 of these deaths mentioned novel coronavirus (3.8% of all deaths) Of the 459 deaths 65.6% (301 deaths) covid recorded as underlying cause One would expect [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps to give some indicitions...week 17 here has no excess deaths.... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FKspshJ2lDo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FKspshJ2lDo indie_SAGE Q&A... UK: 400,000 fewer workers than before Covid. The UK Pensions Secretary has asked the Covid dead and injured to return to work asap. "If we can get all of those people back into work, it will increase the size of the economy by about 0.2%." DJ, the same political criminals pushing the Ukraine war, ignoring climate collapse are pushing "dying from diseases" and long CoViD... Replying to Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Victoria (log axis):
Highest cases since 13 Jan (17 weeks ago).
Highest deaths since 3 Feb (14 weeks ago). One of the reason lots of countries "see low numbers" is low/no testing...maybe there may be more asymptomatic/mild symptom spread...still lots of indications long term effects are bad still... Tja. Zeg het maar! Week 17 100 kiemsurveillance samples 11 XBB, niet zijnde XBB.1.5/9. Wat dan? XBB.1.16? XBB.2.3? DJ-in short in NL detection of "XBB not being XBB.1.5/9" so what other XBB variants is it ? [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/there-is-no-such-thing-as-long-covid-sars-cov-2-exposure-causes-persistent-infections-along-with-continuous-presence-of-short-viral-rnas-svrnas[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/there-is-no-such-thing-as-long-covid-sars-cov-2-exposure-causes-persistent-infections-along-with-continuous-presence-of-short-viral-rnas-svrnas "divide and rule" pseudo-science came up with the idea "CoViD is limited to max 4 weeks"....following "flu-like-thinking"...while chronic infection...so "long CoViD" may be more "the norm"...It is easy to catch the virus....very hard to get rid of ! And it can do a lot of damage resulting in long lasting healthissues... But...economy/profits first ! DJ...CoViD infection damages immunity...so [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/there-is-no-such-thing-as-long-covid-sars-cov-2-exposure-causes-persistent-infections-along-with-continuous-presence-of-short-viral-rnas-svrnas[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/there-is-no-such-thing-as-long-covid-sars-cov-2-exposure-causes-persistent-infections-along-with-continuous-presence-of-short-viral-rnas-svrnas should not be a surprise; Previously the ECDC had been publishing these highly detailed surveillance reports every 3 months (see here and here), but today - less than 60 days since the last release - they've published a summary for the months of March and April.
The HPAI H5 threat has changed substantially over the past 7 years, starting out with H5N8 in 2016, then transitioning (via reassortment) to H5N6 in 2018, and then finally to H5N1 in 2020. And with these changes in subtype came changes in its behavior.
Over time, the virus has also expanded its host range, both in mammals and wild bird species (see chart below), moving from primarily affecting waterfowl (in blue) to heavily impacting shorebirds (in green). - While H5N1 is current at the top of our hit parade, it isn't the only pandemic threat out there.
Today's report also addresses recent human infections by H3N8, H5N6, and H9N2 as well. A reminder that we live in a threat-rich environment, and we need to prepare for a variety of scenarios going forward. DJ...so what flu variants will be the next pandemic ? Politics/"governments" do nothing to stop it....both climate collapse and more wars only worsen the "background" with more refugees seeking a safe place to live...Politics trying to get the rich even more rich...pandemics as outcome of bankrupt politics... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, Since most countries now simply deny the ongoing pandemic...the WHO doing "a job" like the IPCC is doing in the climate discussian-denial...getting a realistic picture of events is getting harder... In latest news I try to get a perspective on the "west-rest-conflict" with Ukraine now as the main battle ground and "the rest" going for a long term "route' of economic/financial warfare...de-dollar-ization, denial of energy, resources to "the west" ...it may also result in a "pharma-war"... Basic ingriedients and main producers are no longer in "the west" so increase of hospital cases, new diseases may see "the west" also running out of medication...but also out of medical gloves, syringes/needles even HCW-ers ...a lot of "the west" rather "import HCW-ers" then offer a decent pay... Non-western countries seem to take PUBLIC health more serious...somehow the west thinks everything is for sale...And of course-statistics are "for sale"... [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table "only" just over 370,00 new cases of CoViD last week...Maybe more interesting/revealing South Korea has most new cases reported...over 127,000...next comes Australia and Japan... There are 47 countries reporting an increase of cases...some countries in the west simply stopped reporting...hardly any testing left...so "the pandemic is over" don't look up ! Do not ask questions ! A study from #Brazil finds 1 in 4 adults who had mild #COVID19 demonstrated cognitive deficits. The average age of study participants was 38. See what happened when they were asked to copy a diagram. We are not prepared for this. #MedTwitter #LongCovid https://brainfacts.org/diseases-and-disorders/covid-19/2023/the-risks-of-even-mild-covid19-1-in-4-showing-cognitive-deficits-011723#.ZDNC_dg2T9o.twitter Of course "long CoViD patients had those problems before they had CoViD"....it is also "mental" ...the "medical world can not find any science that is why they do not look".... DJ-Both ME-CFS and Long-CoViD very likely are post viral long lasting show of disease...Lots of research finds virus persisting in organs-but missed by LF/PCR testing...but that is "unwelcome info"...we also rather do not want to know the number of people dealing with long term health issues...here in NL there is "no need" for a basic administration of Long CoViD cases...it would only be an extra burden... Good thread here from showing NHS demand pressures eased somewhat in April but remain high by historical standards. l estimated 430 additional deaths a week linked to these delays between Sep and Feb. That’s fallen to 330 a week in April. https://theactuary.com/2023/05/04/wait-watchers DJ, denial of problems result in bigger problems...with growing avian flu risks both for mammals and humans we need MORE testing/sequencing...but politics defunds PUBLIC health out of a neo-liberal ideology and "war promotion".... The basic problem is politics gone mad... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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Weekly covid hospital admission vs flu hospital admission rate in England btwn Oct 2021 and May 2023. #Covid has NOT gone away! Covid still has consequences: it is adding to workplace shortages, it is contributing to long term disability, and it is worsening overstretched NHS DJ, indie_SAGE (mostly UK) also keeps reminding WHO ending PHEIC status is NOT ending by the WHO of calling CoViD a pandemic ! It "only" no longer is seen -by the WHO- as a Public Health Emergency (of International Concern)...since it is no longer "new"...And of course "politics" is a factor... WHO: South-East Asia Covid cases up 223%, deaths up by 281%. https://who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---11-may-2023 and The highest numbers of new 28-day deaths were reported from the US (4680 new deaths; -36%), Brazil (1277 new deaths; +2%), the Russian Federation (955 new deaths; -3%), France (944 new deaths; +39%), and India (715 new deaths; +289%). https://who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---11-may-2023 DJ Some other good points; -excess deaths in many places still high...partly because very long waitinglists...lots of people not getting care in time -one of many CoViD links in excess deaths is CoViD link with auto-immune diseases, but also diabetes...Diabetes itself a "slow killer"... New uploads from China already, so new graphs. XBB.1.16 probably dominant in Shanghai, XBB.1.9.1 in Hubei. Week 18 incomplete, plus take percentages of week 13-16 from Hubei w |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ technical correction..to get under the flu/CoViD hospital statistics... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-new-zealand-reports-11,739-covid-19-infections-and-58-covid-19-deaths-in-the-last-7-days[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-new-zealand-reports-11,739-covid-19-infections-and-58-covid-19-deaths-in-the-last-7-days see also [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table with low testing Australia and New Zealand still in relative high numbers...Lack of testing and reporting makes statistics -even for indication- of "very limited" use... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data still may be of (some) use...DJ-Symptoms however do change, so a self reporting of symptoms-system may have a weak spot over time... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/scientists-warn-that-sars-cov-2-spike-exhibits-extreme-plasticity-and-will-continue-to-adopt-shape-shifting-strategies-for-immunity-escape-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/scientists-warn-that-sars-cov-2-spike-exhibits-extreme-plasticity-and-will-continue-to-adopt-shape-shifting-strategies-for-immunity-escape- Yaneer Bar-Yam -it is his job- calculated the potential number of mutations for CoViD may run in the billions ???? "Keep Up the Fight: WHO’s Emergency Phase End Doesn’t Mean the Threat is Gone" ![]() DJ...and again! CoViD spread in mammals at high numbers very likely SOON may result in a (sort of) SARS-3 !!! With also (a.o.) H5N1 spreading from birds into mammals we are moving towards a "global health disaster" DJ-potentially WORSE then even the "black death" since spread of both SARS-types and H5N1 etc will be airborne...(black death needed fleas-so contact- for spread). Avian Flu risks; [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/eurosurveillance-avian-influenza-new.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/eurosurveillance-avian-influenza-new.html ; The HPAI H5N1 virus has been with us since the mid-1990s, but the virus of today is a very distant relative of that original virus. HPAI viruses - which were common in poultry (aka `fowl plague') - had never been detected in wild or migratory birds prior to 1996. That year a previously unknown H5N1 virus (clade 0) was detected in a domestic goose in Guangdong Province, China (A/Goose/Guangdong/1/1996 (GsGD)). The following year H5N1 appeared in Hong Kong's chickens, and sparked the first human epidemic, hospitalizing 18 and killing six (see Outbreak of avian influenza A(H5N1) virus infection in Hong Kong in 1997). The bold decision to cull every chicken in Hong Kong, and the immediate isolation of cases, were credited with stopping that first outbreak. The H5 virus appeared to go to ground for the next five years, but re-emerged again in early 2003 - albeit as a new clade - in Hong Kong when two members of a family fell ill (one fatally) after returning from Fujian Province on the Mainland. A third relative died (untested) on the mainland. - Within a year, new variants of H5N1 virus caused outbreaks in poultry, wild birds, hundreds of humans, and dozens of captive animals from Beijing and Korea to Thailand and Vietnam.
And as H5N1 expanded geographically, it expanded genetically as well (see chart below), forming numerous new subtypes (e.g. H5N6,H5N8, H5N5, etc.), new clades, subclades, and genotypes. Many of these variants were less `fit' than their competition, and died out along the way, but others thrived and survived, and became the dominant clade in different parts of the world. - Over the years we've seen several sudden expansions of the H5 virus (2005, 2009, 2015-16, and most recently 2020-21). Each one occurred after a major evolutionary change to the virus (new clade or new reassortment). While today's H5N1 virus is thankfully not spilling over into humans at the rate same we were seeing in the mid 2000s (see chart below), it is far better suited for long distance carriage by migratory and wild birds, has spread globally at a phenomenal rate, and continues to experiment with new mammalian hosts. While the future course and impact of HPAI H5N1 is unknowable - and the threat may recede as it has in the past - these recent developments are red flags we can't afford to ignore. DJ, CoViD weakening immunity creating an extra risk... We are now already with record high number of refugees...politics promoting war will only worsen it...Climate collapse is a major killer...lots of diseases already very hard to control... We URGENTLY !!!! need to change the way we live if we want to have even a remote chance of human survival.... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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Italy; Covid outbreak on an Italian mink farm. Yes, it's 2023, and we are still allowing mink farming to endanger global human health. mink-link [url]https://news.italy24.press/covid-19/531951.html[/url] or https://news.italy24.press/covid-19/531951.html ; Covid outbreak in a mink farm in Calvagese della Riviera: more than 1,500 will have to be slaughtered. This is what the ordinance of May 3 of the Ministry of Health provides, and from May 6 in the Official Gazette, implemented by Ats Brescia – the health authority – which therefore ordered the definitive demolition. The outbreak, according to the Ministry’s ordinance, was identified on 26 April as part of the periodic surveillance activity in mink farms where, we recall, positives had already been detected in the European Union since the end of October 2020. Sars-Cov2 virus. DJ, The outbreak is in the north of Italy (Brescia/Lake Garda) Several riders out of Giro d'Italia with Covid-19. Overall leader Remco Evenepoel abandoned the Giro d'Italia on Sunday after testing positive for COVID-19, the Belgian rider said on Sunday. - DJ - hate sports - still masks return to the cycling "round of Italy" ...so maybe the runners were in the "mink area"...did the mink-CoViD in Italy spread into humans ? -------- DJ, lots of NPI-Non Pharma Interventions are under YOUR control ! YOU decide on where you use a mask ! YOU decide on what events you visit YOU decide on ventilation in your location YOU decide on where to work or study (Okay...a bit optimistic...not everyone is willing to wear safety glasses and a gasmask in the office...but the basic point is YOU have options !) link [url]https://www.jpeds.com/article/S0022-3476(23)00311-6/fulltext[/url] or https://www.jpeds.com/article/S0022-3476(23)00311-6/fulltext DJ-Diseases in children may not be taken serious.."it will go away when they are older"...the bad news is Long CoViD in children may be able to do even more harm then in adults...Children are still developing much more then when you are older...so more things can go wrong ! (Also may go for pregnancy..lots of processes that can be disrupted by infections/disease-like diabetes). In the UK, all children with no underlying health conditions born after 2017 are unvaccinated. And as primary vax withdrawn for everyone under 50 from this summer, *no prospect of a Covid vax for decades*. Kids growing up locked out of protection we got. 1/2 DJ, if vaccines end up in endless discussions then more attention can go to improving ventilation, smaller classes/groups, more rights to study/work from home...UV-C lights killing diseases... There are lots of options...bad news "politics in denial of the problem".... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK cases slowly increasing again ? Most likely because of a mix of variants (all named "Omicron"). [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/whats-brewing-in-vietnam-1987-new-covid-19-infections-in-last-24-hours-and-growing-number-needing-supplemental-oxygen-new-sublineage-detected[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/whats-brewing-in-vietnam-1987-new-covid-19-infections-in-last-24-hours-and-growing-number-needing-supplemental-oxygen-new-sublineage-detected XBB.1,9,1 with an extra F456L mutation ??? DJ-Both CoViD and H5N1 are now that widespread in mammals it will result in new diseases/increase in (human) cases...We are in a global health crisis...but we do not want to know how bad it is... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, One of the major questions in the ongoing CoViD pandemic is -for the long run- what effects did vaccines have ? There are claims vaccines saved millions of lives-with growing indication vaccines also did do some damage...but we have to learn on those effects still. Also vaccines would limit Long CoViD...by now the most seen form of CoViD... China: About 1.2 billion Covid infected people may have weakened antibodies. Epidemiologist Zhong Nanshan said that if you have been previously infected with Covid and face XBB variants, your antibody protection may be weakened. and WHO: The extreme consequences of long COVID. Unable to walk and housebound at the age of 12 – the extreme consequences of long COVID link [url]https://www.who.int/europe/news-room/feature-stories/item/unable-to-walk-and-housebound-at-the-age-of-12---the-extreme-consequences-of-long-covid[/url] or https://www.who.int/europe/news-room/feature-stories/item/unable-to-walk-and-housebound-at-the-age-of-12---the-extreme-consequences-of-long-covid Also auto-immune diseases, diabetes increase of cases seem to be linked to the chronic CoViD infections...CoViD is NOT an illness for just a few weeks...it may be a life long illness.. -Routine testing in the UK did find two poultry workers testing positive for H5N1 [url]https://www.gov.uk/government/news/avian-flu-detected-in-2-individuals-taking-part-in-testing-programme[/url] or https://www.gov.uk/government/news/avian-flu-detected-in-2-individuals-taking-part-in-testing-programme Given how "politics" at present "work" they may decide to stop testing because "our leaders/the political elite" do not like the outcomes... DJ Both H5N1 and ongoing CoViD pandemic demand "drastic changes" in the way we live...You can not beat all kinds of diseases via vaccines... -costs are two high... -it does not work that way...CoViD vaccines started a mutation selection process. We now have lots of variants (all still named "Omicron" for over a year) evading immunity...in part because of non-sterilizing vaccines. People could get infected but the vaccine would limit the disease/effects...(sterilizing vaccines stop infection itself). [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/thailand-medical-experts-issue-warning-as-covid-19-cases-increase-by-39-percent-in-last-7-days-about-59-different-xbb-sublineages-found-in-circulation[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/thailand-medical-experts-issue-warning-as-covid-19-cases-increase-by-39-percent-in-last-7-days-about-59-different-xbb-sublineages-found-in-circulation DJ Lots of countries now -again- report increase of CoViD cases...In Thailand 59 different variants of Omicron detected doing the infections...People may catch more than one variant of CoViD at the same time...resulting in even newer variants/recombinations... [url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports may have by now thousends of variants of "Omicron"...Since the WHO (politicians/member states) decided "Omicron" had to be the variant ending the pandemic for over a year we only get "Omicron" variants...If we would use a new name for each new variant-of-concern (VOC) we may run out of names... Fourth Covid wave in Taiwan. "The COVID-19 epidemic has risen and officially entered the fourth wave of the epidemic." "The risk of severe illness in children cannot be ignored." https://cna.com.tw/news/ahel/202305160191.aspx DJ...anti-virals may further increase immunity evasion...The "western" strategy of creating money-give it to private companies (with no doubt politicians as shareholders) to "solve the problem" is NOT working... Of course another long lasting NATO mass murder...this time in Ukraine...may distract...however only makes matters worse...(refugees). DJ-STOP WARS ! Stop pushing zillions into war-industry ! We need that money in public healthcare ! We need that money to deal with climate disasters ! We can not go on "flying around the globe" spreading diseases the way we do...We should accept LESS social contacts, more masks, work from home...Increasing ventilation, UV-C etc. But even than the damage is already that major we may NOT survive...we have still to do the best we can... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ Several sorces report some countries see CoViD cases increasing again... [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data for the UK the number of (active/new) cases is a bit unclear...Symptoms may have changed so "self reporting of symptoms" may show a weak spot.... [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table does no longer have UK (or NL) updates due to lack of testing.... Still Canada cases +158% deaths +138% cases from 7,833 last week to 20,230 the last 7 days...Canada deaths 16 grew to 38 last 7 days ???? South America cases +32% deaths still -9%. Brazil cases +34%, deaths -9%, Colombia cases +7% deaths +180% from 5 last week to 14 CoViD deaths reported this week... In Asia several countries show increase of cases and deaths; Israel cases +64% =last week 744, last 7 days 1,222 with deaths +80%=5 last week 9 last 7 days..."only" 38 countries reporting increase of cases...It would be welcome if Israeli media had more info on CoViD in Israel... S. Korea 4th Covid wave. New cases over 20,000 for 2nd day running. link [url]https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20230517002600320[/url] or https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20230517002600320 SEOUL, May 17 (Yonhap) -- South Korea's new coronavirus cases stayed over 20,000 for a second day Wednesday, as the country has eased COVID-19 rules to leave behind the pandemic that upended people's lives for the past few years. The country reported 26,147 cases, including 39 imported cases, bringing the total caseload to 31,465,107, the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency (KDCA) said. Wednesday's tally was higher than the 23,515 cases the country reported a week ago. The corresponding figure was 20,192 two weeks ago. The country added 11 COVID-19 deaths, raising the death toll to 34,634. The number of critically ill patients came to 147, down 3 from the previous day, the KDCA said. South Korea is set to lower the national crisis level for COVID-19 to "alert" from "serious" next month, thereby removing remaining antivirus measures, in line with the World Health Organization's declaration early this month that the COVID-19 global health emergency is over. Worldometers has South Korea cases +13%, deaths -5% [url]https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=KOR&xmin=2022-11-18&xmax=2023-05-18[/url] or https://outbreak.info/location-reports?loc=KOR&xmin=2022-11-18&xmax=2023-05-18 indicating XBB.1.16 and XBB.1.9.2 would be increasing-however latest info is pretty old... H5N1, [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/brazil-aa/974315-brazil-esp%C3%ADrito-santo-33-people-monitored-for-possible-exposure-to-h5n1-avian-flu[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/brazil-aa/974315-brazil-esp%C3%ADrito-santo-33-people-monitored-for-possible-exposure-to-h5n1-avian-flu ; The State Department of Health of Espírito Santo (Sesa) reported on Wednesday, 17, which monitors 33 people who may have been exposed to the H5N1 avian influenza virus by contact with infected birds. According to the folder, one of the individuals had mild flu-like symptoms and is in isolation. - Avian flu: first suspected case in humans is investigated in ES According to the Ministry of Health, samples from the 61-year-old patient and 32 other people who work with him were sent for analysis. Bruno Luis Barros - EM postado em 17/05/2023 23:27 A 61-year-old man, who lives in Vitória, in Espírito Santo, may have been the first infected in Brazil with the H5N1 virus, which causes avian flu. The suspicion was notified on Wednesday (17/5), informs the Ministry of Health (MS). The elderly man is an employee of a park where a bird was found that tested positive for the disease. According to a statement from the MS, "the patient has mild flu symptoms and, according to the health surveillance protocol, is in isolation and monitored by health teams in the municipality". According to the Ministry of Health, samples from the patient and 32 other people who work in the park were sent for analysis to the Central Public Health Laboratory (Lacen) in Espírito Santo. Subsequently, the material collected will also be analyzed by the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz)...... ![]() and [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/usfws-usda-update-on-impact-of-h5n1-on.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/usfws-usda-update-on-impact-of-h5n1-on.html ; Five weeks ago, in in U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service Statement: HPAI Confirmed As Cause Of Death For 3 California Condors, we looked at a preliminary report on the deaths of 3 Condors - and the investigation into additional deaths - in northern Arizona due to HPAI H5N1. Since then we've seen three updates (here, here & here ) where those numbers continued to climb. As scavenger birds, Condors feed almost exclusively on carrion, which increasingly runs the risk of being infected with HPAI H5 (see USDA Mammalian HPAI Infection List). The critically endangered California Condor nearly became extinct in the early 1980s, but has pulled by from the brink due to conservation efforts by the US Fish & Wildlife Service, the National Park Service, and breeding programs at San Diego's Wild Animal Park and the Los Angeles Zoo. Today there are roughly 500 birds in captivity or in the wild, and H5 avian flu poses a genuine risk to the survival of the species. It may end some species... Mpox [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/other-diseases-ai/monkeypox-ab/974309-cdc-warns-of-new-mpox-cases-potential-new-outbreak-this-summer-it-s-not-over[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/other-diseases-ai/monkeypox-ab/974309-cdc-warns-of-new-mpox-cases-potential-new-outbreak-this-summer-it-s-not-over ; Source: https://news.yahoo.com/cdc-warns-mpo...121200598.html CDC Warns of New Mpox Cases, Potential New Outbreak This Summer: 'It's Not Over' Korin Miller Wed, May 17, 2023 at 8:12 AM EDT 5 min read Mpox, formerly known as monkeypox, can surge again this summer, the CDC says. More than 30,000 people in the U.S. have gotten the virus since the outbreak began last summer. Experts recommend getting vaccinated if you're considered high risk. Last summer, people watched closely as cases of mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) jumped across the country. But public health officials acted quickly, encouraging high-risk people to get vaccinated against the disease, and cases of Mpox started falling in August 2022. Now, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a warning: Mpox could come back again this summer. “The outbreak is not over,” the CDC warns in a health alert issued Monday. “Spring and summer season in 2023 could lead to a resurgence of mpox as people gather for festivals and other events.” The alert then urges healthcare providers to be on the lookout for new cases or outbreaks of the disease... DJ, reporting on Mpox stopped...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory very likely most cases simply are not reported.... [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ad/monkeypox-aa/974303-an-mpox-resurgence-in-the-european-region-this-spring-and-summer-to-prevent-that-key-measures-must-continue-who-europe-may-17-2023[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ad/monkeypox-aa/974303-an-mpox-resurgence-in-the-european-region-this-spring-and-summer-to-prevent-that-key-measures-must-continue-who-europe-may-17-2023 Copenhagen, 17 May 2023 DJ information helps...denial does not help ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, Very warm ocean water increasing risks for extreme weather [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfJ8BrEpzaI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfJ8BrEpzaI ...sea surface temperatures are like august in lots of places...much to warm for may... So...CoViD, H5N1 spreading into mammals so far only see limited increase of risks for humans...but the "background" simply is NOT good...we should act NOW to prevent problems later...but we are not doing it... [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/viruses-detection-of-sars-cov-2-in.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/viruses-detection-of-sars-cov-2-in.html While overwhelmingly a `humanized' pathogen, SARS-CoV-2 has also found a plethora of other suitable hosts, including mink, deer, dogs, cats, and even rodents (see Nature: Comparative Susceptibility of SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV Across Mammals). This co-circulation in non-human hosts could provide COVID with new opportunities to adapt and evolve, and potentially spill back into humans at a later date. We saw an example of this kind of parallel evolution a month ago in Eurosurveillance: Cryptic SARS-CoV-2 Lineage Identified on Two Mink Farms In Poland, when we looked at the detection of two closely related COVID variants that turned up - 3 months apart - at two mink farms in Poland.
Between vaccines and acquired immunity, older variants have a limited shelf-life in humans and are supplanted by new variants fairly quickly. But they may be maintained in other animal populations, where they continue to evolve and adapt (see PNAS: White-Tailed Deer as a Wildlife Reservoir for Nearly Extinct SARS-CoV-2 Variants). Over time, we've seen SARS-CoV-2 adapt to new species, including those that did not appear susceptible to the first wave of the pandemic (see PrePrint: The B1.351 and P.1 Variants Extend SARS-CoV-2 Host Range to Mice). Early assurances that pigs, cattle, poultry, and other common livestock were not susceptible to COVID are constantly being reevaluated (see EID Journal: SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies Detected In Cattle Suggest Limited Spillover - Germany). All of which brings us to a remarkable study, published this week in the journal Viruses, which describes the finding of SARS-COV-2 in large number of farmed, or peridomestic, animals in Southern Nigeria.
Animals tested came primarily from in and around small family farms in rural Nigeria, where the human-animal interface is much closer than with large commercial farms. Surprisingly, they found evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in poultry, cattle, goats, and even lizards. DJ, Just another warning we ignore...so even lizards tested positive for CoViD in Nigeria !!! A possible Brazil human H5N1 case-with two more UK human cases this week also should be a warning.... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/the-invisible-armor-against-covid-19-in-schools-swiss-study-reveals-the-impact-of-masks-and-air-cleaners[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/the-invisible-armor-against-covid-19-in-schools-swiss-study-reveals-the-impact-of-masks-and-air-cleaners DJ-Avoid getting the virus in is "very basic"...so masks, ventilation, avoiding crowds is what you CAN do ! It would be wise if "politics" limited travel, improved testing/sequencing, provided good info instead of lies...DJ-I have given up on "politics"...however NOT in common sense... A right to work/study from home is even asking too much from "our leaders" (into the abyss)...so "we" have to do the best we can ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, The G7/NATO-"collective west" US empire going for MORE wars, sanctions...the political "leaders" in a tunnelvision destroying western economy...No doubt first to go is "anything public"...so less public healthcare, less public housing, public education, public transport... Public information "main stream media" further becoming propaganda outlets...so; -We did see 3 human H5N1 infections within the last 7 days...(2-UK, 1 Brazil all male, bird contact) but "no news" -Several countries report CoViD cases increasing again-new variants..."no news" -Spread in mammals of both CoViD (on its way to SARS-3 ?) and H5N1 will bring worse pandemics..."no news" -"Long CoViD" (often the virus still in the host-mutating !) in hundreds of millions "no news" DJ-The west is bankrupt in many ways...Less energy imports will bring lots of damage SOON ! Petro-chemical also in part is "big pharma"...De-dollar-ization only just started... Basic ingredient of any civilization is trust...and trust is gone.... "Expensive energy may have killed more Europeans than #covid19 last winter", says the Economist! link [url]https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/05/10/expensive-energy-may-have-killed-more-europeans-than-covid-19-last-winter[/url] or https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/05/10/expensive-energy-may-have-killed-more-europeans-than-covid-19-last-winter ....DJ "may have killed" main stream "no news"...however soon may be real... Brazil: Suspected human case of H5N1 bird flu. A 61-year-old man from Vitória, in Espírito Santo, may be the first person in Brazil infected with the H5N1 virus. Samples from the patient and 32 other people are being analysed. DJ so more cases in Brazil/Latin America are expected ? South Australia entering fifth Covid wave. Health Dept reported 3,256 new cases in the seven days to Friday, up by 785 cases. An epidemiologist at the University of South Australia said that, at the current rate, infections could double in 13 days. link [url]https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-20/rise-in-covid-flu-rsv-cases-in-south-australia/102372534[/url] or https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-20/rise-in-covid-flu-rsv-cases-in-south-australia/102372534 ; SA Health said eight COVID-19 deaths had been notified in the past week, in people aged in their 70s to 90s. There are currently 140 people in hospital with COVID, a figure Professor Esterman said "wouldn't be causing SA Health too much concern". "If it got to double that number then they would start getting really worried," he said. Professor Esterman said health authorities were also dealing with more cases of influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV). "It's a triple whammy at the moment," he said. DJ, less immunity against disease because one infection could open the door for more infections...Australia/the South moving towards winter... Thailand: FU.1 spreading 50% faster than XBB.1.16. Reports of Covid-19 clusters at primary schools in Bangkok and other provinces link [url]https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand/general/2573392/new-covid-strain-mild-but-children-need-watching[/url] or https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand/general/2573392/new-covid-strain-mild-but-children-need-watching and [url]https://www.pattayamail.com/thailandnews/thai-public-health-officials-keep-close-watch-on-latest-strain-431659[/url] or https://www.pattayamail.com/thailandnews/thai-public-health-officials-keep-close-watch-on-latest-strain-431659 ; A new case of the latest Covid-19 sub-variant has been reported in Thailand. The XBB.1.16.1.1 or “FU.1” is said to be 50% more transmissible than XBB.1.16, which is one of the dominant Omicron strains in the country. The Center for Medical Genomics of Ramathibodi Hospital has posted on its Facebook page about the continuous mutation of the Omicron variant around the world. Currently, the dominant Omicron sub-variants are XBB.1.5, XBB.1.16, and XBB.1.9.1, with the latter two being the dominant strains around the world including in Thailand. DJ...with hardly any testing left...so only limited sequencing...we may have been lucky to have had a break in the pandemic in some western countries... Excess deaths statistics-for me- are not always clear...[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps only has very limited excess deaths in Germany...however deaths in age group 0-14 is even higher then previous two (pandemic) years...15-44 at same level ??? WHO designates XBB.2.3 as a Variant Under Monitoring. https://who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---18-may-2023 So...even a political club as the WHO can not ignore new variants any longer..."still will name them "Omicron".... Bulgaria: 120 new Covid cases in the last 24 hours. 300 people with a diagnosis of COVID-19 are in hospital, of which 29 are in intensive care units. There are 32 new hospital admissions, and 3 deaths were reported. Time to see if [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table gives any realism ? Only 42 countries reporting increases...UK would have had "0" cases this week...NL is not even on the list ! So ignoring the problem is solving the problem ! We are on our way to a very major crisis...the present "political elite" made itself useless.... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, May 23 all ready... Let me start with some welcome good news; The Brazil 61 y/o male expected to be positive for H5N1 turns out not to be infected with H5N1 in final testing...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/brazil-aa/974315-brazil-esp%C3%ADrito-santo-34-people-monitored-for-possible-exposure-to-h5n1-avian-flu-test-negative-2-people-still-have-tests-pending-may-17?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/brazil-aa/974315-brazil-esp%C3%ADrito-santo-34-people-monitored-for-possible-exposure-to-h5n1-avian-flu-test-negative-2-people-still-have-tests-pending-may-17?view=stream one of the latests; Published on 5/20/2023 4:04 pm Updated on 5/20/2023 4:10 pm However.... Avian flu: two states already register cases of the disease; see the risks DJ, lots of unclear info coming from Brazil...There are lots of birds with H5N1...there was a lot of contact between humans and infected birds-so a lot of testing was believed to be needed...My impression is "testing process may still be ongoing"...Is there a cover up or do-at the end-tests come out negative ? -------- [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/h5n1-tracking-af/new-jersey/970785-new-jersey-8-dolphins-dead-after-washing-ashore-in-new-jersey-media-no-confirmation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/h5n1-tracking-af/new-jersey/970785-new-jersey-8-dolphins-dead-after-washing-ashore-in-new-jersey-media-no-confirmation DJ-Sea mammals get a lot of contact with H5N1 from infected sea birds...AGAIN !!!! H5N1 is spreading from birds into (wild) mammals on a large scale... Mammal to mammal spread may be ongoing in limited number of (mink-like ?) species... This "process" will result in mutation-selection for better spread in mammals-increasing also risks for humans...[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/woah-rethinking-avian-influenza.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/woah-rethinking-avian-influenza.html ; For the past two decades the World Organization for Animal Health (WOAH, formerly the OIE) has stated that the `preferred' method for dealing with HPAI H5 or H7 in poultry is stamping out (culling), and that vaccines should be viewed as a `temporary' solution at best.
- While most of the world's countries followed that advice, China, Egypt, Indonesia, Vietnam, and Hong Kong - all hotbeds of avian influenza since the early-to-mid 2000s - embraced poultry vaccination instead, with no signs of an `exit strategy'. In theory, a comprehensively applied, and frequently updated poultry vaccination program should be an effective strategy against avian flu, at least in captive birds. But in actual practice (see Egypt: A Paltry Poultry Vaccine), those can be difficult standards to maintain. Instead we've seen dozens of cautionary studies suggesting that improper application, or outdated vaccines have helped to drive the evolution of avian influenza viruses. - While poultry remain victims of HPAI H5, in many ways we have entered a post-poultry avian epizootic, where wild birds (and in a few cases, mammals) are now the main drivers of avian flu.
But poorly implemented avian flu control strategies of past likely contributed to getting us to where we are today. Given the stakes, we need to do a lot better going forward. DJ, Less meat/poultry consumption may be part of a strategy-less farm birds may reduce spread...Eggs however are a basic food source...AGAIN !!! Vaccines have their limits !!!! Unwise use of vaccines make matters (much !!!) worse !!! -------------- [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/mass-gatherings-and-upcoming-hajj.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/mass-gatherings-and-upcoming-hajj.html ; All able bodied Muslims are required to make at least one major pilgrimage to Mecca during their life, but over the past 3 years pandemic restrictions have prevented nearly 10 million from doing so. The faithful may also make `lesser pilgrimages’, called omra (or Umrah), at other times of the year. These minor pilgrimages don’t absolve the faithful of making the hajj journey unless they take place during Ramadan.
As we've discussed often, the Hajj - like many other mass gathering events - has the potential to amplify and disperse emerging and existing infectious diseases on a global scale (see J, Epi & Global Health: Al-Tawfiq & Memish On Hajj Health Concerns).
While billed as the first `unrestricted' Hajj since the start of COVID, there are still minimum vaccine requirements, and pilgrims must provide a negative COVID PCR test conducted no more than 72 hours before arrival in the Kingdom. Reports on the other coronavirus of concern - MERS-CoV - have plummeted since 2019, although the virus remains endemic in camels, and there are doubts over the thoroughness of surveillance and reporting by many Middle Eastern countries. DJ, we had sport events (football, racing) in Middle East countries in the last 12 months...so far only limited health issues showed up...Very likely a "political/insanity" agenda may be behind western anti-Islam propaganda...The UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia etc. are joining BRIICSS+...restarting links with Syria-Assad... YES !!! Mass events are high risk !!! But not only Islamic mass events are high risk-ALL mass events are high risk ! Non Pharma Intervention does limit risks...Can masks be used in the Hajj ? Good/maximum surveilance; testing, sequencing, waste water controll could tell us a lot of the risks...A "mega mix" of people from around the globe in a limited time/place in itself is unwise/unwelcome... --------- Maar ook XBB.1.5 muteert door! zag al dat EL.1 (XBB.1.5.14.1) er wat snellere mutaties bij had gekregen en ik zag dat daarbovenop nog S:P521S (XBB.2.3) en ORF9B:I5T (XBB.1.16/XBB.1.9) waren gekomen. 4 uit 12 Brabantse samples van week 18. DJ...insane number of CoViD mutations/recombinations...So now also "EL.1" is detected (in NL a.o. places...) an XBB.1.5.14.1 variant...now with some extra mutations...so it could be seen as XBB.1.5.14.1.1 ? Or XBB.1.5.14.2 ??? (Of course by now XBB variants are the major detected variant-recombination...Still all named "Omicron" by the WHO as a sign of "science gone insane"... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/more-than-207-sars-cov-2-xbb-sublineages-in-circulation-globally-in-last-30-days-and-more-to-come-covid-19-public-health-emergency-over[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/more-than-207-sars-cov-2-xbb-sublineages-in-circulation-globally-in-last-30-days-and-more-to-come-covid-19-public-health-emergency-over So hundreds of XBB (sub)variants now spreading around the globe... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-sars-cov-2-infections-skyrocketing-in-hong-kong-and-even-parts-of-china-but-authorities-downplaying-or-concealing-data[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-sars-cov-2-infections-skyrocketing-in-hong-kong-and-even-parts-of-china-but-authorities-downplaying-or-concealing-data DJ...most countries are in denial...Often hardly any testing is done...Symptoms may be changing (less fever more headache, G.I. or fatigue...) [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data has its limits when symptoms are getting different from "classic CoViD symptoms"...(loss of taste/smell is an "old" symptom). SARS-CoV-2 infection and “long COVID” strongly correlate with the onset of progressive neurological disturbances that include Alzheimer's disease, prion disease and other neurodegenerative disorders. https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9551214/ DJ, Most pandemic damage may NOT show in excess deaths but in long/cgronic disease...less immunity so more room for all kinds of other diseases... ------------ We are in a very major global health crisis !!!!! But we keep ignoring/denying it...just like we ignore climate collapse...(a.o. resulting in an increase of seismic events...). So...we know the outcome will NOT be good... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, Maybe best describing present situation; Covid-19: We can always tell when there is something big happening with Covid because they censor the fxxx out of our Twitter account. TLDR: There's something big happening right now. (TLDR may stand for To Long Did not Read) and Update on the arrival of oxygen tanks in Amapa, Brazil, from the local government website: https://portal.ap.gov.br/noticia/2305/surto-de-sindromes-respiratorias-3-ordf-reuniao-do-coesp-alinha-acoes-de-controle-de-casos-no-amapa - Update on the hospital situation: “Our bed occupancy rate today is over 100%. We still have a very large number of patients, especially in the range of 0 to 5 years. We have children in the emergency room waiting to be admitted inside the hospital”. https://g1.globo.com/jornal-nacional/noticia/2023/05/23/amapa-recebe-reforco-de-oxigenio-para-combater-surto-de-doencas-espiratorias.ghtml DJ [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/south-korea-s-news-agency-yonhap-says-covid-19-cases-dropping-as-only-19,080-cases-in-last-24-hours-but-failed-to-say-testing-rates-are-down[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/south-korea-s-news-agency-yonhap-says-covid-19-cases-dropping-as-only-19,080-cases-in-last-24-hours-but-failed-to-say-testing-rates-are-down ....if cases go up - decrease testing...Because the credo is "pandemic is over".... Health authorities may also be "slow" with updates...may even go for "balancing excess deaths numbers".... [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/brazil-aa/974315-brazil-esp%C3%ADrito-santo-38-people-monitored-for-possible-exposure-to-h5n1-avian-flu-test-negative-4-people-still-have-tests-pending-may-17?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/h5n1-tracking-ab/brazil-aa/974315-brazil-esp%C3%ADrito-santo-38-people-monitored-for-possible-exposure-to-h5n1-avian-flu-test-negative-4-people-still-have-tests-pending-may-17?view=stream latest; Brazil Has 4 Suspected Cases if Avian Flu in Humans - [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/study-high-rise-buildings-risk-factor.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/study-high-rise-buildings-risk-factor.html ; Despite the experience at Amoy Gardens, the spread of COVID aerosols via ventilation and air conditioning systems was initially downplayed (see June 2020's ECDC Technical Report: Heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems in the context of COVID-19), which reassured. In conclusion, the available evidence indicates that: That view would eventually change as we began to see more and more reports of unexpectedly efficient COVID spread through large residential and/or commercial buildings, including: EID Journal: Probable Aerosol Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 through Floors and Walls of Quarantine Hotel, Taiwan, 2021 EID Journal: Detection of SARS-CoV-2 on Surfaces in Quarantine Rooms EID Journal: Aerosol and Surface Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 in Hospital Wards, Wuhan, China CCDC Weekly: Field Simulation of Aerosol Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in a Special Building Layout To this list we can add the following report in the journal Public Health in Practice on an outbreak at a high-rise residential building in Shenzhen, China which found evidence that (like Amoy Gardens) faulty plumbing venting was probably behind the rapid spread of the virus. DJ, Some people are more at risk then others; -Most people today live in urban area's...no longer in the country = increase of risk -Poverty, overcrowded housing, lack of info/language skills, access to care further increase risks -The duration of a healthcrisis also "eroding" care...a relative high % of HCW-ers got ill themselves or did seek other (less risk, better pay/hours) jobs -"Politics" loves to claim the "solve problems" while they kick cans down the road -International situation now has tens-of-millions of people on the move to places with better perspectives/future ...of course Mpox is NOT over...increase warnings summer may see new spread/cases. But in the "media" Mpox no longer is "news"...Pandemic fatigue has most of the public ignoring risks...Politics actively push for denial of any crisis...(and promote war)... ------------- DJ-I find it pretty hard to "get a basic view" on events...Will try to share my ideas/info on this site... There are parallels with "war" and "climate collapse"; official story denying risks...with lots of experts (not for sale) giving lots of warnings... Distrust of politics/politicians is now widespread...a danger in itself for society. When the wheel of a car gets disconnected from the car while driving you have a major-high risk- problem. In that way denial is doing a lot of -further- damage... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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indie_SAGE [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9Ihlx7QJwg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9Ihlx7QJwg ; LIVE: Join in & listen to students who share their experiences of the pandemic, with Dr Keri Wong also as guest, Prof Christina Pagel & Dr Zuabida Haque hosting, Prof Anthony Costello as chair & Prof Pagel on numbers Chapters 01:22 Intro: Prof Anthony Costello 02:29 Stats: Prof Christina Pagel 11:12 experience of young peoole/students: Dr Zubaida Haque & Christina Pagel 11:52 An overview from a lecturer who experienced SARS1: Dr Kerie Wong (Associate Prof of Psychology, UCL) 14:46 What work have you been doing? Students/research assistants 15:50 Your experiences of the pandemic, both +ve & -ve 16:55 +ve experiences: Isil 18:26 Struggles with habits & routines: Jaimie 19:52 Isolation, loneliness & impact on relationships: Eoin 21:56 Missing milestone experiences: Jaimie 23:45 1st year experiences in uni: Jasmine 26:13 Panic Masters? 27:20 Now that precautionary measures have been abandoned and in-person learning is back again, what are you experiencing? Kerie Wong 30:37 inequalities amongst students during this time? Eoin 33:18 What could have been done better? Jasmine 37:22 Jaimie 40:57 Dr Leonard Lee 44:40 Questions from the public 44:49 WHO state that original vaccines based on the first variant are no longer effective, but some experts say that the original vax are just as effective as new bivalent vax. Who is right? 53:50 Is it possible to quantify the damage done by one reinfection? 1:00:00 Conclusion and close Next Briefing 2023-06-09 DJ, focus on CoViD and young adults...in the statistics; School year 2021-22 over 20% of pupils/students did miss more than four weeks following lessons. Also take up of vaccines for 75+/immuno compromised (ic)is "low"...only still under 60% of UK citizens 75+ went foor a booster...ic-group just over 27%...last autumn that % was higher... UK hospital/I.C.U. cases with CoViD going down...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data has no clear sign...new daily cases around 80,000 per day...active UK cases between 1.1 and 1.2 million... 18-64 y/o no longer looking for work in the UK moved up from just over 2 million before the pandemic to 2,55 million...(DJ-part due to "politics" destroying NHS)...long-CoViD may be one of the reasons... [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps DJ excess deaths in age group 0-14 still above 2021, 2022...only Germany-slightly- above "normal" in excess deaths... So...looking at this info one may claim -at least UK/EU- is not in a major health crisis...The problemn is backlog/waitinglists, lack of HCW-ers...capacity. ------------- Our two most censored* posts of the day: Four suspected cases of avian flu in humans in Brazil. https://twitter.com/CoronaHeadsUp/status/1661816856171225089… Update on the outbreak of multiple viruses in Amapá, Brazil - 800 health professionals hired within days. DJ, the global picture is "not good"..... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-thailand-s-largest-public-hospital,-siriraj-issues-notice-that-there-are-no-more-beds-available-due-to-surging-covid-19-infections[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-thailand-s-largest-public-hospital,-siriraj-issues-notice-that-there-are-no-more-beds-available-due-to-surging-covid-19-infections Australia: Reported Covid cases per 1M population rose in every state. and Covid cases, deaths rise in Africa. "The African Region reported 6835 new cases, an 11% increase as compared to the previous 28-day period. Six (12%) of the 50 countries for which data are available reported increases in new cases of 20% or greater." - WHO: The highest numbers of new 28-day Covid deaths were reported from the US, Brazil, France, Spain and Russia. The highest numbers of new 28-day Covid cases were reported from South Korea, the US, Japan, Brazil and Australia. https://who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---25-may-2023 DJ, besides CoViD flu a major problem in Brazil, Japan...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table 41 countries report increase of cases (or testing ?) ....lots of countries may decrease testing if cases go up..."the pandemic is over-religion"... ------------ [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/mmwr-five-recent-reports-on-mpox.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/mmwr-five-recent-reports-on-mpox.html and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak DJ-the "new normal" is stop the news on any problem and the problem will go away....Wordgames "post pandemic/endemic" ..."long-CoViD as post CoViD"...in fact lies... I am not a scientist...try to inform myself...try to get an "opinion" based on "facts/science" ...but if even basic info is denial and lies it is getting pretty hard... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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DJ, see also [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/depressing-data-emerging-one-out-of-25-in-the-uk-who-test-positive-for-covid-19-typically-dies-within-28-days[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/depressing-data-emerging-one-out-of-25-in-the-uk-who-test-positive-for-covid-19-typically-dies-within-28-days part of the story is testing only is done in very severe cases...Still "CoViD is NOT !!! a flu "!!!! Thanks Mike. This chart from also shows the growth of FE.1 in Brazil over the last month. Thread: https://twitter.com/camposfabricios/status/1659177113751023616… Chart: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/fabricio.campos6980/viz/Variant_Dashboard_Brazil1/Brazil and mentioned the growth of FE.1 in Brazil just before the press articles about the explosion in Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) started appearing: DJ, [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table still has Brazil cases for last 7 days -66% compared to last week...so if cases increase testing decreases ? [url]https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2023-05-15/covid-pandemic-us-economic-costs-14-trillion[/url] or https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2023-05-15/covid-pandemic-us-economic-costs-14-trillion ; The economic toll of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States will reach $14 trillion by the end of this year, our team of economists, public policy researchers and other experts estimate. That makes it by far the costliest disaster the country has suffered this century. DJ, this century the US did spend 8,000 billion (!!!!!!) on wars....The Military Industrial Criminals (MIC) are the biggest global disaster...over 40% of all spending on killing machines/weapons is done in the name of just 4% of the global population (=US population...). Only the 0,1% of very rich get more rich by exploiting-not solving-problems... [url]https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/3222025/coronavirus-hong-kong-parents-warned-about-rise-other-respiratory-illnesses-despite-peaked-covid[/url] or https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/3222025/coronavirus-hong-kong-parents-warned-about-rise-other-respiratory-illnesses-despite-peaked-covid ;
DJ, Hong Kong now over 10,000 new CoViD cases per day....If there is a more effective alternative for masks/NPI it would be welcome ! US; #COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates TOP lineages (#15DAYTRENDS): 31.5% XBB.1.5 11.8% XBB.1.16 5.3% XBB.1.9.1 2.5% XBB.1.16.1 2.1% FL.4 2.1% XBB.1.5.49 [Includes ~44.5% Airport surveillance seqs] #SARSCoV2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7| 05/24/23 compared to global; Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally Top lineages -#20DayTrends (#G20):
XBB.1.5 (19.8%) ![]() ![]() DJ, not only lack of testing=lack of samples for sequencing...Also the difference in reporting subvariants is a problem. Akiko Iwasaki: ‘We are not done with Covid, not even close’ The virus is here to stay with us and that’s why we do need to think about .. the potential of new variants that further evade our existing immunity. link; [url]https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/may/27/immunologist-akiko-iwasaki-we-are-not-done-with-covid-not-even-close[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/may/27/immunologist-akiko-iwasaki-we-are-not-done-with-covid-not-even-close ; According to the most recent estimates, more than 65 million people worldwide may be living with some form of long Covid, a startling number that will only continue to increase, given the lack of available treatment options. DJ, since the definition for "long/post/chronic CoViD" is very unclear-those that run higher risk may already have had other healthissues only getting worse-the real number of "long CoViD" may be over 100 million...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table mentions 690 million reported CoViD infections...but lots of cases simply never were tested and/or reported...Maybe a more realistic number could see over 1 billion (1.000.000.000) people may have been infected...those at higher risk may have had more then one infection... Spread of CoViD (and H5N1) in mammals is a very major risk.... DJ-We may be at a "pause" in some western countries...The global picture however is still bad...pandemic is NOT !!! over...the "emergency-phase" in WHO term for Public Health Emergency-of International Concern PHE-IC may be over... Czech Republic: High Covid hospitalization rates across the country: https://covdata.cz/pece.php H/t DJ, my non expert view...just trying to get some realistic opinion-it is a matter of time before we see CoViD, H5-linked flu, creating an even worse healthcrisis.... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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Brazil: H5N1 in humans 10 people monitored, 5 with flu symptoms https://eshoje.com.br/2023/05/h5n1-em-humanos-10-pessoas-monitoradas-5-com-sintomas-gripais/ and The last report we saw from Brazil, dated 25th May, mentioned four people still being tested for avian flu, with 38 possible infections, so the numbers have increased a lot in four days. DJ, In Brazil now 102 people under investigation-92 of them test negative, so 10 cases wait for further outcomes...Since Brazil is part of BRICS/BRIICSS+, Brazil, Argentina dumping the US$ for international trade...is the US going for bio-war against Brazil ? The US keeps making claims China was to blame for a "lab-leak" start of CoViD...without any realistic proof-the opposite -gradual development- seems so much more likely... H5N1 is "on a global tour" now also reaching Brazil...(first time ?) ...It is also winter, CoViD is not gone... China: Quadrivalent Covid vaccine rolled out. Beijing’s Sinocelltech vaccine contains the antigenic components of four variants of COVID; Alpha, Beta, Delta and Omicron. DJ, China may be the country with highest number of people being vaccinated against CoViD...(non-mRNA vaccines I think in most cases)...So can vaccines stop CoViD in China...maybe in combination with NPI/masks, ventilation etc...CoViD spread in mammals will also happen in China... Japan: "H5N1 virus is highly likely to infect humans in the near future." Japan's health ministry plans to stockpile vaccines for 10 million people. https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20230526_15/ DJ...my basic problem with (non-sterilizing) vaccines is they may not be able to stop a healthcrisis on the long run...People still get infected-the vaccine is meant to stop major disease. Sterilizing vaccines stop infections... To get out of this global health crisis-with very likely over 100 million people worldwide dealing with long term CoViD related illnesses-we need to change the way we live... -Limit travel (=spreading disease) -Limit meat (animals are hosts) -Non Pharma Intervention; masks, ventilation, work/study from home... DJ-"Politics" claim they are fighting climate collapse...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Convention_on_International_Civil_Aviation[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Convention_on_International_Civil_Aviation ; Article 24 of the Chicago Convention stipulates that when flying from one contracting state to another, the kerosene that is already on board aircraft may not be taxed by the state where the aircraft lands, nor by a state through whose airspace the aircraft has flown.[6]: 16, 22 This was intended to prevent double taxation.[6]: 22 However, there is no tax regulation in the Chicago Convention to refuelling the aircraft before departure.[6]: 16 The Chicago Convention does not preclude a kerosene tax on domestic flights and on refueling before international flights.[6]: 16 Although the ICAO has produced various policy documents suggesting that no taxes of any kind should be placed on aviation fuel,[note 1] none of these are legally binding, and they are not found in the Chicago Convention itself.[6]: 22–23 Although there are numerous bilateral agreements, so-called 'air services agreements', which make more extensive agreements, including often tax exemption when refueling an aircraft that has come from another contracting state, these are independent from the Chicago Convention; moreover, some air services agreements do allow for the taxation of fuels.[6]: 6–7 DJ...there is NO tax on kerosine...so air travel is stimulated still.... -Air travel is a major cause for pandemics -Air travel is a major cause for climate collapse... And "politics" claim "new techniques" will take CO2 from the air...no doubt someone getting rich from pumping CO2 in the air-then tax money going to the same persons to get that same CO2 out of the air... With this kind of madness you do not fight climate change, pandemics etc...You only put billions extra to a rich elite... To defend that "freedom" the "US is leading the free world" into World War Three...the real problem is human insanity... |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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Dutch Josh ![]() Adviser Group ![]() Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95857 |
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May 31...last day of may..."We" are still around...(me writing-you reading...) The very bad reality is we are moving high speed towards major escalation of conflict between NATO-west and BRIICSS+ rest...With "the west" in control by a bunch of crazies...(my view).. [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/05/31/remarkable-increase-people-memory-concentration-problems[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/05/31/remarkable-increase-people-memory-concentration-problems ; There has been a remarkable increase in the number of people who go to the doctor with memory and concentration problems, according to a large-scale study by the RIVM and the Netherlands Institute for Healthcare Research (Nivel) into the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic. In the first quarter, 40 percent more adults aged 45 to 74 went to the GP with cognitive problems than in the same period of 2019, NOS reports. In the 25 to 44 age group, the increase was 31 percent. Young people under 25 did not seek help more often. “It is a development that worries us,” said Michel Dukers, professor by special appointment of Crisis, Safety, and Health in Groningen and the research leader on behalf of the RIVM and Nivel. “We still don’t know much about the long-term effects, but the picture is now emerging that the pandemic can lead to faster aging on a significant scale.” Among people over the age of 75, 18 percent more reported cognitive problems to their GP than in 2019. “The increase there is probably less strong because people of this age already had cognitive problems more often than other age groups before the pandemic,” said Duckers. The researchers haven’t formally proven that the increased cognitive problems are due to the pandemic, but they believe it fits with the growing knowledge about the consequences of the coronavirus. How the virus may cause these problems is not yet fully understood. One explanation may be that the lockdown measures against Covid-19 led to a faster decline in people with early memory and concentration problems. Researchers at the Alzheimer Center expected at the start of the pandemic that the social restrictions might lead to an increasing group of people with mild memory and concentration problems. According to Dukers, the virus itself may also be behind the problems. Some people have long-term complaints after a Covid-19 infection, and several studies have shown that memory and concentration problems are common in Long Covid DJ, did interventions cause major problems (lock downs, vaccines) or is most of the damage related to CoViD possibly being much more widespread than believed ? Did a lot of people catch the virus and now start to show long term damage symptoms...With no symptoms after getting infected ? Did we simply not detect a lot of infections ? [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/05/31/one-ten-families-facing-financial-social-problems-research[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/05/31/one-ten-families-facing-financial-social-problems-research ; One in ten adults in the Netherlands is in a “vulnerable position,” the Social and Cultural Planning Office (SCP) said in a report on Wednesday. These people have “problems accumulating in different areas,” such as few social contacts, financial problems, and problems with doing the housework. This group often has financial and social problems but does not have the resources to solve them independently. As a result, they are more often lonely and less satisfied with their lives, the advisory body said in its report “View on concerns.” The SCP said that citizens don’t trust enough that they can fall back on help from the government. “People experience barriers to accessing support from the social domain.” Application forms are often complicated, the aid system challenging to understand, and information mainly available digitally, the SCP said. “Municipalities seem to assume a self-reliant and (digitally) skilled citizen,” according to the SCP. The organization advised municipalities to be more alert to people with an “accumulation of problems” and not to overestimate their self-reliance. The provision of information should also be made more accessible and simpler. More higher-income people needed financial aid last yearThe Dutch Association of Public Credit (NVVK) also reported that people with higher incomes sought financial help more often than unusual last year. The sector organization based this on data from municipal departments for financial aid and from foundations and private organizations. DJ-of course related with long term health issues...but also loss of income during the pandemic (because of lock downs etc.). US: More than 40% of school-aged children and adolescents have at least one chronic health condition. https://cdc.gov/healthyschools/chronicconditions.htm of course the long term damage of CoViD is a global problem... and Taiwan: In the fourth Covid wave, 80% of patients will be infected for the first time. https://cna.com.tw/news/ahel/202305300236.aspx DJ, I also would LOVE !!! to see the pandemic is over...however denial is the worst possible strategy...it is also the dominant strategy...making the healthcrisis even worse! Brazil, Paraíba: 1,200 severe cases of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndromes and 31 deaths. At least 564 cases were positive for respiratory syndrome, with a general predominance in the age group under one year old, equivalent to 46%. Babies-very young children-may not have any protection against CoViD ? (Not even via their mother ?) [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/articles/coronavirus[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/articles/coronavirus lots of stories on damage-all over the body-from CoViD... Maybe new cases of CoViD may be decreasing-testing is minimal-the long term damage is showing more and more... [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/preprint-bat-borne-influenza-virus-h9n2.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/05/preprint-bat-borne-influenza-virus-h9n2.html DJ, H5N1, H5N6, H5N8...H7 and H9 variants of flu...maybe a combination of flu and CoViD may show up...there will be some interaction in/via spread... Governments/politics should act now...just like they should stop climate collapse...but the only "political action" is pushing us towards global war...Crazy times ! |
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
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