Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
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Mississipp Mama
Valued Member Joined: January 20 2006 Status: Offline Points: 524 |
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You are right about nice neighbors changing in a hurry. I went to the dentist on Tues. We often talk about the bird flu. He doesn't believe anything will happen. I left him a copy of Dr. Grattan Woodson book. Today to my surprise his wife called me, I was shocked she thanked me for the book and we decided to keep in touch and exchange ideas. She told me that she had been telling friends in her neighbor hood that they should prepare for the bird flu. She said one looked at her and said we have guns and will just take what we want, she said she could tell that the lady was talking about taking from them. These are people that live in million dollar homes. The dentist wife said she is not telling anyone else about prepping. She fears them now,remember these are her good friend that live in a super great area.
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Sad thing is that maybe the thought of many when this gets out of hand.
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Legacy
Valued Member Location: Ohio Joined: April 20 2006 Status: Offline Points: 329 |
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I agree with you, Ruth. There seems to be a real "all or nothing" mood surrounding BF. I, too, think it will fall somewhere in the middle, taking down a lot of people, but not quite as deadly as it is now, once it mutates. Make no mistake...I am well prepped by my standards, but my instincts tell me it will not be the "worst case scenario" that many believe. Bad, yes...crazy and uncertain, for sure...but not armageddon. It's just what my instincts tell me.
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I do everything my Rice Crispies tell me to....
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Capricornmonkey
Valued Member Joined: March 13 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47 |
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What really matters is that we make good choices in taking care of ourselves and our families, as best we can. That we can live with the hard decisions that a pandemic may cause us to make. That we come out on the other end, better people for having survived, not worse people for having abused humanity in any way, shape or form, with few exceptions being morally and ethically correct: self-defense being one of those few.
Many of us know what being down and out is like. What poor feels like. We have survived many tests and many experiences. We know what is best of us but we also know that we can survive almost anything, because we have. Now, there's no way of knowing who the BF might take. We really won't have control over that, but we can do our best not to be exposed, and that we will do.
While I watched in horror after Katrina, my heart went out to many of the people who were suffering. Make no mistake, they were suffering. Even if some made really dumb decisions, looting, etc., their lives (whatever kind of lives they may have had previously) were turned up-side down by Katrina. They were trapped by flood waters. No way to get out, no way to get food, no way to get clean water. Perhaps they could have made better choices, but they have seen many hurricanes in the South and not all of them end up being Katrina's. They made their choices; or what choices they had, and they suffered for it. I know that some went on and did more horrible things even afterwards. There are bad people everywhere, but there are also good people everywhere. Sometimes, disasters help to make good people better people; sometimes they stay the same, and still sometimes they become less than what they previously were. It's all about choices. And this is what really matters the most.. making good choices.
Peace.
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March to your own drummer.
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Valgard
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 15 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 58 |
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Today, my beatifully planted raised beds, so full of hope and promise,
overflowing with seedlings, in the prime of their lives, were
ravaged by an unwelcome, thieving, brutal mob of feral chickens, (and I
ain't kidding) they have terrorized the neighborhood for months,
and today killed a large number of seedlings, yes I will oppose them,
and given a chance will kill them with extreme prejudice...I hate being
robbed!
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Do Right and Fear Not
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Capricornmonkey
Valued Member Joined: March 13 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47 |
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Don't we all. It is a violation of our personal property. It is normal to feel violated and angry. Having ferel chickens around cannot be a safe thing, in any case. What is your county/state's opinon/laws say about disposing of them?
I am sorry to hear about for your loss. .
Peace.
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March to your own drummer.
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tonseck
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 316 |
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Violated and angry because a bird ate your flowers?
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Don't be afraid to be afraid; it keeps you on your toes.
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Valgard
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 15 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 58 |
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Thanks for your sympathy Capricorn and Carpenter, nice to have friends...
Well I called the town animal control officer and he is aware of the problem, and he said he would "write a letter" to the owners. I explained that they moved out 2 months ago and just turned their live stock loose on the neighborhood. I guess it's my problem and that of my neighborhood. These vile fowl don't just root and trashthings, they take fowl dumps all over the place and that has me worried...yup it's everywhere...AND you are bound to step in it and track it into the house. I also mentioned to the officer about my fear of the BF, and he just looked at me like I was a loon, and said, "that's an Asian thing", not to worry here... I also had a visit from a herd of javalina a couple weeks ago, the rotten bastards walked into my storage shed and ate about 6 rolls of my toilet paper...yeah I'm ***sed big time - get a rope! |
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Do Right and Fear Not
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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To spell which?
Festering thread? What is that truism or whever about whole cloth- something about buying something...?
aargh just reviewed my post and obviously my brain has vacated my skull for this eve- ...
do hope this tread "festers on" althogh with a lot less loathsome by product- it is really interesting... alia atreides
ps have obviously fallen in love with icons etc etc etc
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alia atreides
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Samoa
Valued Member Joined: March 30 2006 Status: Offline Points: 507 |
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Valgard:
We have "feral chickens" down here, too, they are called "Jungle Fowl" kind of like a miniature peafowl with a less decorative tail. They can be very bothersome just before sunrise with their screeching. Fortunately our cats discourage them from coming close. Our little girl has taken to feeding the mothers with chicks with split coconuts lately, however. We also have wild pigs but they're way back in the bush. Truly sorry about the garden. |
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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[QUOTE=Acesh]Edrn
Are you so sure that H5N1 is it's not here yet? I'm not!!
So it just hoped over to the Wild Bird population? When, 2005?
What was it doing in 2004 & 2003?
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Acesh- actually that wasn't what I was saying at all.
Will try and explain the epidemiological concept I was referring to when am less sleepy. (I took the tone of yr note as being a bit hurtful but hopefylly is just my stste of mind from being up too late )
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alia atreides
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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[QUOTE=Scotty]Always wanted to know how to spell that. And the other one as well. C'est la what's its name. Thanks Edrn.
Just popped back to see if this thread is still festering. Purses at ten paces. It's perfectly acceptable to agree to differ you know? ______________________________________________________________-"C'est la vie, la vie " I think...a la Doris Day
alia aka "whatever will be, will be..."
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alia atreides
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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[QUOTE=Valgard]Today, my beatifully planted raised beds, so full of hope and promise, overflowing with seedlings, in the prime of their lives, were ravaged by an unwelcome, thieving, brutal mob of feral chickens, (and I ain't kidding) they have terrorized the neighborhood for months, and today killed a large number of seedlings, yes I will oppose them, and given a chance will kill them with extreme prejudice
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This thread takes me back to my mispent youth-sigh- sitting on the front porch feet on the railing drinking jack daniels with beer backs -Schimt we had no taste- smoking, and taking pot shots at chickens with a 30-30 as the poor things ran thru the sagebrush.
Kind of regret the chicken part cause no bird flu then and all they were doing was profiding us eggs...
Hope we didn't live by the 30-30 and will die by same.
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alia atreides
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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[QUOTE=Edrn][QUOTE=Acesh]Edrn
Are you so sure that H5N1 is it's not here yet? I'm not!!
So it just hoped over to the Wild Bird population? When, 2005?
What was it doing in 2004 & 2003?
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Acesh- actually that wasn't what I was saying at all.
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So, anyway...The "natural history" of a disease or a parisite or a butterfly etc is how it goes thru it's life cycle.
The life cycle of other influence outbreaks (swine flu, Hong Kong flu, H1,2,3; N1,2,3 etc ad infinitim) that cause the flu mutate every year which is what makes vaccines only available just before flu season.
Anyway, flu season traditionally starts around November and quits around
March.
The question among various groups of scientists had always been- so where does it go when it isn't around? So after looking and looking, they found it hops from host to host- in otherwords, Yes, Virginia
So, in simple terms, yes (sigh) it did "hop" fromspecies to speices wild birds, guinea oigs, great apes or lions or tigers or bears oh my, where it mutated into a form that causes lg amount morbity and mortality in humans. And for crying out loud I DID NOT SAY I DON"T BELIELIVE IT ISN'T HERE OR WILL BE SOON!
And at some point it was undoubedly "hopping" around from species to
species . I don't know which hosts, I don't know which years, and neither do you.
So, is this an explanation you can grok, or do you need written in alower grade level?
My purse is studded ahd full of lead weights.
"The mills of the Lord grind slowly, but they grind exceeding small"
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alia atreides
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Valgard
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 15 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 58 |
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Hej Edrn, boy I wish I had a front porch...actually my son wacked one
of the disgusting fowl with a hand axe, and I got one with a broom
handle, another one was doa on the road around the corner, probubly a
chevy 350 or the likes...When yard hunting, I prefer a good
single malt Scotch, chased with a Heinie...
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Do Right and Fear Not
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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_____________________________________________________________ Sigh yes sad to say we had not much money (not working much will do that) and even less taste in ETOH (but the porch was & is awesome) "Simple minds, simple pleasures" - me |
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alia atreides
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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____________________________________________________________ BTW No reason to believe that now it is staying in human hosts only... |
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alia atreides
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Edrn
Valued Member Joined: March 19 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 36 |
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alia atreides
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TheLoveBurts
Valued Member Joined: May 27 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 9 |
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I am very new to this forum but I did want to comment on this whole idea of self-preservation verses helping others. I’m a licensed social worker & have worked in a level I trauma center and was working for the Department of Health and Human Services in WV at the time of the Katrina disaster. I can guarantee you that if my clients were told to go to the supper dome they would have ended up there in their own good time with no though of even bringing a bottle of water…that would be the government’s job according to their way of thinking. I tried to instill some modicum of personal responsibility in my clients for the entire year I worked there and discovered this to be a bit more of challenge than one might imagine.
Our state took in almost 1,000 Katrina victims and after a child was rapped discovered that a small number of that group were actually escaped prison inmates. I don’t think the majority of Katrina victims were people who chose not to provide for themselves but rather were those who due to lack of age, vigor, intelligence, insight, education or mental stability were not able to care for themselves. The problem was that a very small minority were predators and I can attest to the fact that was difficult if not impossible to tell the difference between the two groups. The group of people who cannot or will not care for themselves depend upon others to do that. Our Katrina victims were so grateful for our state’s assistance that they used the VISA cards FEMA gave them for beer and luxury items, complained of the fee accommodations and demanded only minority workers to serve them. And I don’t mean a few did these things and gave everyone a bad name…most did these things. It was a totally ridiculous situation. I cam guarantee our state never anticipated the problems that offering to help Katrina victims would bring. The real problem I see is that there will be no one to provide for these types of people when a pandemic hits and they are all over the country. We all know state and federal governments are not going to. Local municipalities are not going to be prepared to care for them. You and I cannot possibly provide the level of care that these people need in addition to caring for our own families. The really sad part of this situation is that not only can we not provide for these people some of the needy will become desperate enough to become predators themselves. My worst-case scenario is that we will be forced to stand by while the predators prey on the young, old and mentally incapacitated. The more I offer to help/protect others the more I open myself /my family up to being targeted by predators. If you were a desperate person with limited ethics what would you be on the lookout for when you went out searching for food and supplies? I would be looking for the dumb bunny trying to “inconspicuously help others”. I guarantee you that you will be noticed and you will not be able to tell who is safe to share with and who will go back and tell there families and neighbors who in turn will “convince” you to share willing or not. To think this will not happen is just naive and to think that you can be ever vigilant against others who do discover you have provisions is not realistic (and not how I want to live my life even for a short period of time in the event of a disaster). How many times have you thought someone was trustworthy, told them your thoughts or opinions and found out later they told other people? I have had that happen a couple of times. Now imagine that the safety of your whole family depends upon you being able to KEEP YOUR BIG MOUTH SHUT, keep your personal business personal just take care of your family and their ability to survive depends upon them involving other people they think they can trust. I am not going to play a guessing game about whom I can trust and whom I can’t. That would be playing games with my family’s life just to gratify my own ego (or appease my own conscious). You don’t make it through major catastrophes and times of great upheaval with a lot of warm fuzzy feelings left inside. I’m afraid that we will all have very tough decisions to make. I for one am fine with risking my own life to help others but I absolutely refuse to risk the lives of the people who depend on me. I don’t feel I have to right to do that no matter how it makes me feel. |
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The woods are lovely dark and deep but I have promises to keep.
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Proudest Monkey
Adviser Group Joined: January 17 2006 Status: Offline Points: 345 |
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TheLoveBurts,
Welcome to the forum. That was an interesting post to read.
I am torn between the two sides. Helping others seems like the right thing to do, but I do not want to be naive about the dangers involved. |
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Scotty
Adviser Group Joined: March 06 2006 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 846 |
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And I still don't know how to spell "It is the life" in French.
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