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gloom & doom (part 2)

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 29 2018 at 5:40am
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/09/musings-on-climate-change.html#

The Trump administration admits that climate change will increase the global temperature more than anticipated:

Last month, deep in a 500-page environmental impact statement, the Trump administration made a startling assumption: On its current course, the planet will warm a disastrous 7 degrees [Fahrenheit] by the end of this century.
A rise of 7 degrees Fahrenheit, or about 4 degrees Celsius, compared with preindustrial levels would be catastrophic, according to scientists.

That increase though, says the Trump administration, is no reason to stop emitting gases that, for a large part, cause such warming:

But the administration did not offer this dire forecast, premised on the idea that the world will fail to cut its greenhouse gas emissions, as part of an argument to combat climate change. Just the opposite: The analysis assumes the planet’s fate is already sealed.
"The child already fell into the well, there is no longer any need to cover it."
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 29 2018 at 6:36am
True! But the "child's" siblings are getting set to follow. Cover the well or lose the whole "family" - ALL OF US!
Absence of proof is not proof of absence.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 29 2018 at 10:12pm
DJ-Human rights are not only for "us" and "now"but also for next generations in their lifetime....

I could not believe the US giving up on trying to slow down climate change-but it looks like they did.
https://jpratt27.wordpress.com/2018/09/29/trump-administration-sees-a-7-degree-rise-in-global-temperatures-by-2100-auspol-qldpol-nswpol-climatechange-stopadani-endcoal/

All over the world politics is simply failing to deal with the crisis. http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/09/looking-the-climate-abyss-in-the-eye.html

DJ-"Extreme weather" will be normal within a few years, this means our "civilization"(or lack of it) will collapse.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 06 2018 at 3:10am
https://robinwestenra.blogspot.com/2018/10/the-ipcc-plays-catch-up-with-reality-in.html
DJ-Even the IPCC does not believe the Paris-agreement is doing its job. If we have to stay below 2C temperature increase by 2100 (above that life on Earth is in danger) much more drastic action is needed.

DJ-With the total lack of international cooperation, most countries going after short term economic growth in stead of dealing with the climate crisis things only will get much worse very fast.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p4yZZtvefhA Robert Scribler on the lack of refreezing in the Arctic-it is simply much to warm there !

https://truthout.org/articles/how-feedback-loops-are-driving-runaway-climate-change/?utm_source=sharebuttons&utm_medium=facebook&utm_campaign=mashshare
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 11 2018 at 2:44am
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/10/what-does-runaway-warming-look-like.html

DJ-"Michael" may be a symptom of a "disease" called (rapid) climate change.
The shocking fact is that a sharp temperature increase may happen very fast (weeks, months ?) From Arctic-news.blogspot;

What Does Runaway Warming Look Like?

The forcing caused by the rapid rise in the levels of greenhouse gases is far out of line with current temperatures. A 10°C higher temperature is more in line with these levels, as illustrated by the image below.

(DJ-It did not copy a graph showing that present levels of CO2 and CH4 (methane) are related with a temperature of 10C+ based on ice-cores)

Carbon dioxide levels have been above 400 ppm for years. Methane levels above 1900 ppb were recorded in September 2018. Such high levels are more in line with a 10°C higher temperature, as illustrated by the above graph based on 420,000 years of ice core data from Vostok, Antarctica, research station.

How fast could such a 10°C temperature rise eventuate? The image below gives an idea.

(DJ-the story is 10C+ by 2026, but basicly-others claim temperatures can go up so much faster with a massive methane release-wich may already be on its way !)

Such runaway warming would first of all and most prominently become manifest in the Arctic. In many ways, such a rise is already underway, as the remainder of this post will show.

High Arctic Temperatures

(DJ-The Arctic should be re-freezing-it is not-seems to be warming up !!!)

Why are Arctic temperatures currently so high for the time of year?

(DJ-Most 93% of global warming and CO2 went into the oceans-it is now released at the poles. The jet-stream is disrupted due to less temperature difference between the equator and the poles so that jetstream is transporting more often warmth to the poles (and polair cold away from the poles. Also salt water/ice melts at -2C-so more open ocean absorbing heat instead of ice reflecting it.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 14 2018 at 6:18am
DJ-One of the major problems is that the IPCC is lying;
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/10/ipcc-keeps-feeding-the-addiction.html

Of course media claiming that extreme weather causing billions worth of damage https://www.wunderground.com/news/storms/hurricane/news/2018-10-10-hurricane-michael-billion-dollar-weather-disasters-2018 are "incidents" are part of the problem as well. Failing to connect the dots, draw conclusions is misleading the public.

Most of the media are owned by those who also have interests in fossil fuels.

The only positive trend is that more and more people realize that doing nothing will cost much more then-finaly-try to deal with rapid escalating climate change. https://www.voanews.com/a/wfp-climate-change-to-accelerate-world-hunger/4612092.html
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 09 2018 at 9:25pm
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/11/doomsday-by-2021.html
conclusion:

The events as described above could result in a combined additional warming due to changes in aerosols of up to 2.5°C (4.5°F) in a matter of years.

The prospect of such a sequence of events makes a Doomsday-by-2021 warning appropriate.

DJ-https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-09/will-taiwan-question-give-rise-world-war-iii-scenario, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-09/superbugs-pose-very-real-threat-humanity

A "mega-mix" of events can destroy our "civilization"-and to be realistic; it could happen any minute and go very fast.

From nuclear war to economic collapse-disasters often combine. The present "political" chaos in the US is dangerous but not unique. The EU is facing a powerstruggle between Merkel and Macron with a Brexit, Italy/Euro-crisis and "East European" challanges.

The "foundation" of currencies is under threat. The US$ link with energy is a thing of the past-this will also effect the €/Euro and other currencies-and with that the global economy.

The "captains of states" are no longer in control of their "ships". (The stock-exchanges may go up-expressed in some currencies that keep fluctuating with one another but those currencies-mix may fall. (Example share goes from 100 US$ to 105 US$ in a month-but the €/US$ goes from 1,25 to 1,15 so expressed in Euro's the share is losing value-not gaining. Putting the US$, € pound etc in the same basket and that basket compared to gold, oil etc the loss could be even greater.) Western economies may be "bubble based" and the bubble may collapse...
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 29 2018 at 9:57pm
DJ-There have been several (US, UN) reports on climate change and the (lack of) response by the international community. Politics seems to be over "how we eat our planet not how to save our planet".
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/11/dangerous-situation-in-arctic.html and
http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/11/as-el-nino-sets-in-will-global-biodiversity-collapse-in-2019.html
HOW FAST COULD 5°C WARMING HAPPEN?

The U.S. Global Change Research Program has just released its Fourth National Climate Assessment. One of its key messages is that temperatures could rise by 5°C or more. The report adds that this could occur by the end of the century, but the report doesn't deny this could also occur much earlier. Indeed, one of its key findings is that some feedbacks and potential state shifts cannot be quantified; and some are probably still unknown.

What the report doesn't mention is that global biodiversity will have collapsed at 5°C of warming. Such a rise kills all plants on land and thus virtually all mammals (including humans), since they either directly or indirectly feed on plants.

A rapid 5°C rise could occur if an influx of warm salty water triggered methane eruptions from the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean. Combined with snow and ice loss, it could rapidly raise temperatures by 1.5°C, which increases water vapor. If cloud feedback is strongly positive, water vapor feedback can lead to 3.5 times as much warming, so these warming elements alone could cause more than 5°C warming within years.

And then, of course, there are further warming elements.

DJ-Further wars will worsen the climate situation. Wars in the (Ant)Arctic are a worse case scenario....

http://www.thebigwobble.org/2018/11/monster-dust-storms-torrential-rains.html Summer in Australia...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 31 2019 at 2:04am
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-30/making-juan-guaido-how-us-regime-change-laboratory-created-venezuelas-coup-leader
Another year another western (US-EU-Can/Aus) backed coup. From a.o. the former Yugoslavia, Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Brazil, Nicaragua, Iran, now "the west is bringing democracy to Venezuela". No doubt regime change is what the "west" wants for Russia and China. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-30/armed-services-committee-chairman-warns-us-and-china-headed-world-war-iii Most likely it is not "if" but "when" things get out of control.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2019/01/when-former-spies-run-wild-bad-things-happen.html,
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2019/01/26/cia-expert-saudi-has-nukes-building-icbms/

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Arctic-Day-Midwest-US?cm_ven=cat6-widget Extreme weather is getting only more extreme. http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/heatwave/, https://www.carbonbrief.org/chinas-methane-emissions-rise-despite-tougher-laws-satellite-data-shows?

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/01/a-revision-of-future-climate-change-trends.html There is a race between climate change and world war-3.

(DJ-I take great distance from following developments close. It is total insanity with "fake-democracy-politicians" and "press" simply producing propaganda. Maybe a good development is an increase of protest in the west-when it is not used for regime-change-efforts to bring even worse "leaders". Another interesting development https://www.empr.com/features/are-obesity-and-climate-change-connected/article/321099/-a 2013 article but the links are getting more clear. We are combining self-destruction with destruction of our planet.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2019 at 9:55pm
DJ-What phase are we in-at present-climate change-wise ? The way I understand it you could compare it with being in an airplane with enginefailure. Passengers may start remarking how silent the flight is-when they notice at all that the engines stopped working. As long as there is enough speed and altitude the plane keeps horizontal-more or less....

Climate change does not only mean increase of (global) temperature and extreme weather (as a polar vortex), it also increases risks of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions-especialy in colder regions. Less snow and ice means less pressure on the earth-the balances are shifting-pressures from inside the earths crust get more room.

Those pressures could bring earthquakes. Those quakes do bring more methane and other green house gases. Also glaciers may get disrupted, tsunami-waves will further erode any ice surface.

Volcanic eruptions could cool the planet in some scenario's by putting up gases in the stratosphere that limit energy from the sun getting to the earth surface. But in polar regions volcanic eruptions may melt/warm ice, cause more water vapor, warm up the ocean. Also under water eruptions could change the chemistry of the water and by that the ability to contain heat. (Salt water/ice melts at -2C as an example).

I-DJ-think we have to do everything we can to slow climate change, try to buy time. But it is preparing emergency equipment on an already sinking (global) Titanic.

Guy McPherson calls it "damned if you do, damned if you do not". "Hopium".
I think that new ways of removing CO2 (etc) from the atmosphere-on a very large scale-could have made a difference 20-or so-years ago. The "plastic soup" we call our oceans reflect humans tendency for self-destruction.

It is sad to think that the only "succes" we may archieve as human species is self-destruction. Another insane "world-war" will only speed up this proces. We-as human species-have failed....(sorry for the coming generation-enjoy while you can-it will not last long.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 27 2019 at 11:53am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 10 2019 at 11:13pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 11 2019 at 2:50am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=arwbhmrX3zs:
New Orleans flooding: 'Parts of Uptown are flooding that I've never seen flooded before'-New Orleans City Councilman Jason Williams talked about flooding in New Orleans on July 10, 2019.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1O8VGJChPg Tropical Tidbit-The surge/rain is the main problem-coming weekend. DJ-How people are able to evacuete with streets flooded ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jxVSABGsHTc Paul Beckwith:

Once again, New Orleans, LA (NOLA) is threatened with inundation, which could result in yet another water-world type flooding disaster. About a week ago, the European forecast models projected a low pressure region developing and passing southward from land into the Gulf of Mexico, strengthening into a potential hurricane in the exceptionally warm ocean surface waters, and then looping back ashore near NOLA. Unfortunately, this projection is playing out. The tropical storm, likely to become Hurricane Barry will dump several feet of water around and inside the city within a few short days. This huge amount of water will add to the already swollen, record duration flooding of the Mississippi River, which is at great risk of overtopping levees, flooding the city yet again.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/085028.shtml?rainqpf#contents

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/085028.shtml?ero#contents flash flood

DJ-Will Mississippi turn into a lake ? Extreme warm water in the gulf may give extra energy for "Barry". Is there a chance of "Barry" moving into land-back to the gulf-and then go land again ?

http://www.thebigwobble.org/2019/07/a-deadly-brain-eating-amoeba-in.html:
A potentially deadly brain-eating amoeba has been detected in a Louisiana neighbourhood's drinking water - the third time the terrifying discovery has been made in the same parish since 2015, reports said.
Naegleria fowleri, which causes fatal brain swelling and tissue destruction, was found over the weekend in Terrebonne Parish, deep in the Louisiana bayou about an hour south of New Orleans, WWL-TV reported.

DJ-A cubic meter of water=1000 kilo/a ton-this storm will move millions of tonnes of water into the Mississippi-delte while California is dealing with extreme seismic unrest. "Not a good combination".
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Yesterday at 8:48am
url]https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-07-15/food-shortage-warnings-begin-tropical-storm-barry-rips-through-americas-heartland[/url], https://paulbeckwith.net/2019/07/13/not-in-eighty-years-but-now-global-food-climate-casinos-new-orleans/

DJ-US food production must be getting a problem-with the US in trade wars with almost all other nations food-import will not be easy (because also global food production is a problem.)

https://robinwestenra.blogspot.com/2019/07/more-on-earthquakes-in-california.html

DJ-To be optimistic-the present over 10.000 smaller quakes in the SW-US may be release of pressure-the "best scenario"-much better than a (still possible) larger quake.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-warns-turkey-against-launching-military-operation-east-of-euphrates/ (DJ-Turkey may be working with Iran and Assad against the (US backed) Kurds. Turkey and Iran already cooperating in Iraq.)
https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/chinese-troops-allegedly-spotted-in-venezuela/ (DJ-China is a major investor in Venezuelan oil.)

DJ-The US foreign policy is a major disaster for the US. "Natural-man made-disasters" and the dumping of the US$ for international trade could bring the US "a third world status" high speed.
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