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Post Reply - War on the horizon


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Topic - War on the horizon
Posted: December 18 2015 at 10:36pm By Dutch Josh
With Erdogan running Turkey you only can expect "severe unrest"in the region.  But also Israël has a big problem with less support from the US and EU and growing Russian influence (more than 1 million Israeli's have a Russian background, Russian is the second language in Israël).



Turkey helped Iran evade international sanctions, but has since fallen out with the Islamic Republic of Iran over its support of Syria's Bashar Assad. A Muslim Brotherhood supporter, Erdogan was close to Egypt's former President, Muslim Brotherhood member Mohamed Morsi, and has been an outspoken adversary of President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. Turkey was and remains a conduit for arms and money for various parties to the Syrian civil war. The U.S. has demanded that Erdogan seal Turkey's border with Syria, which he has not done. Turkey also has bombed Kurdish fightersdeployed its forces to Iraqi territory and declined to remove them; and sold ISIS oil on the black market. There are allegations that the Turkish government knew sarin gas was transferred to ISIS across Turkish territory. In November, Turkey shot down a Russian military jet, in the biggest move down the current slide of Turkish-Russian relations, which began when Vladimir Putin stepped in to prevent the collapse of Syria. [This is on top of historical animosity between Turkey, the successor to Muslim Ottoman rule, and Russia, the self-proclaimed defender of the Christian Orthodox Church.]

Russia, furious at the downing of its plane, instituted a series of economic sanctions against Turkey, the most important of which is suspension of the TurkStream project, designed to boost Russian gas exports to Turkey. Turkey is the second-largest importer of Russian gas, after Germany.

(DJ) a good comment:

It's not long ago that Turkey wanted to buy Chinese missiles and was reprimanded by NATO. They joined the low rank in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and wanted to be on the path to full membership. When told that this was not possible while being a NATO member, they were quite dismissive of NATO. They were also dismissive of EU membership. Now it's buddies again. Erdogan + Assad, google that, they were quite friendly for a while, buddies like the French President Chirac and Saddam Hussein.

In that region they change their attitudes and allegiances like the weather. Anybody who takes them seriously will be burned.