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gloom & doom (part 2)

Printed From: Avian Flu Talk
Category: General Discussion
Forum Name: Off Topic Discussion
Forum Description: (In other news... current events happening now)
Printed Date: September 26 2017 at 5:50am

Topic: gloom & doom (part 2)
Posted By: Dutch Josh
Subject: gloom & doom (part 2)
Date Posted: March 20 2017 at 1:25am
The "doomsday clock" is still two-and-a-half minutes to midnight"" rel="nofollow - but time is ticking and moving in the wrong direction." rel="nofollow - After the visit of US foreign secretary Rex Tillerson to China Israeli News Live bring the news that there is troop-movement in Bejing. 

China must be getting tired of North Korea's testing of weapons. But China may be preparing to make its points clear towards the US in a "less friendly way". So far China did not choose military answers, tried to get more economic markets (via financial infrastructures, trade deals with a lot of countries). 

The US-Trump-administration seems to want more confrontation with both China and Iran. Both countries are working on answers-wich means escalation of war." rel="nofollow - , (Pro-Iran forces moving closer to the Golan Heights are unacceptable for Israel." rel="nofollow - The Damascus offensive might indicate Israeli aid to the "rebels". Russia is seeing the Israeli air force serving IS.)" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - .

The war for Syria seems to escalete with more US troops getting involved. Growing chances that Russia (or Syria, Iran) may shoot down western or Israeli airplanes above Syria. The Yemen war is also escalating-" rel="nofollow - . 

"Moderate al-quada linked rebels" can not start their offensive in Damascus without foreign aid. Houthi-rebels can not fire missiles on Riyaad without foreign aid." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

North Korea is most likely preparing for a nuclear test far bigger than previous tests. Those tests did cause earthquakes in the region (the tests themselves with magnitudes M5+).!" rel="nofollow -!

Climate Change:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -


With more cases of humans both with H5N1 and H7N9 maybe worth noting that even if these virusses do not go Human-to-Human (H2H) stay bird-to-human they still can cause a lot of cases.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 20 2017 at 6:22am
On US-China relations:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Finally, in a parallel report from Axios, the website cites China expert Richard McGregor who lists 5 things he believes Xi wants from Trump in order to maintain cordial relations between the two nations:

  1. 1.Don't upend the status quo with North Korea: China's worst nightmare is that the regime would collapse and be subsumed by South Korea, which would make for a U.S.-ally on their border. It needs North Korea as a buffer state. Contra Washington conventional wisdom, the Chinese can't just snap their fingers and tell the North Koreans what to do. China and North Korea deeply distrust each other. So the Chinese hope Trump's tough talk is just bluster. (DJ-North Korea may already be close to collapse, from nuclear test that may go wrong to food-crises. When staying in North Korea means dying in North Korea you will see refugees)
  3. 2.Avoid a confrontation in the South China Sea: Xi will likely deliver to Trump a quiet warning on the South China Sea. During his confirmation hearing, Rex Tillerson told Senators China needed to stop its island building there. The Chinese want Trump to understand they will defend their interests if the U.S. pushes back. (See our Facts Matter on the South China Sea.)

  4. 3.Stick to "One China": Regarding Taiwan, they want Trump to stick with the "One China" policy. Xi was furious when Trump took a call from Taiwan's president, and wouldn't speak with him over the phone until Trump agreed to support the status quo. (See our Facts Matter on the One China policy.)

  5. 4.No trade war: The Chinese, like everyone else, don't know what Trump might do on trade. They are closely following the reports about the tussle within the White House between nationalists (especially Bannon and Wilbur Ross) and the Goldman Sachs wing, led by Trump's chief economic advisor, Gary Cohn. As Axios revealed: trade in automobiles is the big sleeper issue.

  6. 5.The big picture: Xi wants a stable international environment that allows China to continue to develop and accumulate wealth and power. They abhor the prospect of military disruptions and interruptions to trade, with Xi going to Davos this year to sell China as an apostle of the open international order to all the folks Bannon would call "globalists." McGregor says China's ideal state for America is "slow and steady bourgeois decline." Anything too chaotic — Trump's MO, basically — hurts China." rel="nofollow -

Europe" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -  (DJ-An Ukraine attack on Crimea might get some sort of support (info, logistics) by NATO ?)" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - (DJ-Turkey does not want IS fighters from Syria and Iraq inside their country-maybe Saudi Arabia can exploit them in their wars with Iran ? Otherwise the IS fighters may become "refugees").

Middle East" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

(Russia will train Kurdish YPG fighters and open an air base at Afrin-NW Syria. Afrin is not far from the Turkish border." rel="nofollow - An airbase there would block airroutes from Encerlik-Turkey by the western coalition. South west-near Latakia Russia has" rel="nofollow -  So far YPG in Eastern Syria cooperated with US forces.  (Pro)Turkish forces inside Syria now have Russian forces east and west of them. South is the Syrian Army. " rel="nofollow - " rel="nofollow - - )

" rel="nofollow -"> " rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow -
Russia tells Israel to stop actions in Syria." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 21 2017 at 3:23am
China-US relation" rel="nofollow -  :

While press reports put the best "face"  on Secretary Tillerson's meeting with China, skuttlebutt in the Pentagon claims it was "an unmitigated disaster."

China allegedly demanded the US immediately withdraw all its naval forces from the South China Sea and Tillerson flatly refused. The Chinese also allegedly told Tillerson that China has no way to stop North Korea from continuing to develop nuclear weapons and test missiles, to which Tillerson allegedly replied "don't piss on my leg and try to tell me it's raining."  Offended, China allegedly abruptly recessed the meeting.

Shortly thereafter, North Korea test-fired a new rocket engine, while Tillerson was still meeting with China, and later announced that they would launch nuclear weapons against the US, South Korea, and Japan "if a single bullet is fired by US and South Korean troops toward North Korea."

Middle East" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Korea" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Commetary DJ: When the Trump-administration does not accept the present nuclear treaty with Iran Iran may (re)start its nuclear program (and the US and EU are not on one line).
China does not accept US weapon sales to Taiwan, the presence of US navy in the South China Sea.
Russia does not want Israel to sell weapons to Ukraine, attacking (pro)Iran forces in Syria (or Lebanon). For Russia-Iran-China (RIC) it is getting clear what they can expect from Trump. They proberbly co-ordinate a joined reaction in wich they will not wait for US/NATO initiatives. Russia moving into YPG held regions inside Syria fits that patern. (The Kurds have not forgotten that the US/NATO is on the Turkish side in the war against the PKK, the US helped the shah in Iran in his genocide on the Kurds before the islamic revolution.)

North Korea will continu its weaponsprogramm. Putting satelites in orbit, developing nuclear weapons. The expected nuclear test may cause "very severe damage" in a wide region inside North Korea. Possibly the biggest danger for North Korea is its present government.

Climate Change" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

see also" rel="nofollow -  and" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 21 2017 at 10:54pm
The Trump-administration in the US beliefs in fossil fuels, wants to Make America Great Again. Stands behind Israel and wants to spent even more on the military. 

If you want to be "great", the only "superpower" you can not shy away for confrontations with rivals. 

Given the importance of the Middle East for oil. Also the possibility to involve strong partners-NATO, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan I (DJ) think this could be a possible scenario: 

-Turkey can be pulled into the NATO allience when the Kurds can be used as "a foreign enemy" (supported by Syria, Russia). NATO countries can be forced to come to assist Turkey with its fight against "foreign invaders" (PKK) in Turkey and YPG etc. outside Turkey (that also would provide an excuse for a new invasion in Iraq).

-To stop any nuclear plans from Iran Israel, Saudi Arabia with US help will be enabled to take action in Iran. Pakistan already has troops in Saudi Arabia to help that country with border security close to Yemen. 

-The US wants to show strenght, the Black Sea mostly will become NATO territory. Ukraine, Georgia could become NATO members. At the same time NATO forces will be active in Libya. 

-Since Trump wants to show the world how great he is-also hit-and-run actions in North Korea, South China Sea etc. (Allies South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand-but an objective will be to get the Philipines on the side of the west, regain influence in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia). 

The idea behind this scenario is that Russia-Iran-China (R.I.C.) can act strong because of weakness from the west. Trump believes the west is stronger and R-I-C know that, they want to avoid major wars-and their coalition is not that strong. 

What may go wrong ? Russia and Iran will defend their positions in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan-even the EU-may not want to be pulled in major plans to get Putin back in his"cage".

Russia, China (and other BRICS-nations) believe in a multi-polar world not in a US leadership. 

Also such a large scale military scenario is very expensive. Even for the US itself it may be asking to much (corruption and military mix given the hierarchy and amount of money involved). 

North Korea may be able to do a lot of damage (EMP-satelites ? Nuclear polution ? Blowing up dams to flood South Korea ?)

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 21 2017 at 11:09pm" rel="nofollow - Israeli News Live; Ukraine is working on a dirty (nuclear) bomb to use against Crimea, Eastern Ukraine (with western knowledge see also" rel="nofollow - ). It would provide Russia with an excuse to move into the Ukraine. For the US Ukraine is very strategic-flying time for missiles towars Moscow from the US is 30 minutes, from Eastern Ukraine the US would be able to strike without (much) time for reaction from Russia (or Iran)." rel="nofollow - Israel will keep attacking Hezbollah in Syria. The 4th attack in one week" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

(For a historic background" rel="nofollow -
From about 1500 BC to 1200 BC, the Mediterranean region played host to a complex cosmopolitan and globalized world-system. It may have been this very internationalism that contributed to the apocalyptic disaster that ended the Bronze Age. When the end came, the civilized and international world of the Mediterranean regions came to a dramatic halt in a vast area stretching from Greece and Italy in the west to Egypt, Canaan, and Mesopotamia in the east. Large empires and small kingdoms collapsed rapidly. With their end came the world’s first recorded Dark Ages. It was not until centuries later that a new cultural renaissance emerged in Greece and the other affected areas, setting the stage for the evolution of Western society as we know it today. Professor Eric H. Cline of The George Washington University will explore why the Bronze Age came to an end and whether the collapse of those ancient civilizations might hold some warnings for our current society.

Considered for a Pulitzer Prize for his recent book 1177 BC, Dr. Eric H. Cline is Professor of Classics and Anthropology and the current Director of the Capitol Archaeological Institute at The George Washington University. He is a National Geographic Explorer, a Fulbright scholar, an NEH Public Scholar, and an award-winning teacher and author. He has degrees in archaeology and ancient history from Dartmouth, Yale, and the University of Pennsylvania; in May 2015, he was awarded an honorary doctoral degree (honoris causa) from Muhlenberg College. Dr. Cline is an active field archaeologist with 30 seasons of excavation and survey experience." rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 23 2017 at 3:47am" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - "saboteurs blew up munitionstorage near Charkov"." rel="nofollow - A drone was seen december 2015, was it a drone attack ?" rel="nofollow - Russia busy with very large drills in Crimea and Belarus." rel="nofollow - SDF (YPG and US forces) crossing Eufrates-river near Raqqa." rel="nofollow - (" rel="nofollow - goal may be not only stopping IS moving west, also blocking Syria/Russia, Iran moving towards Raqqa. This action is a reaction on Russia moving into Afrin-YPG held area NW Syria close to Turkey? Russian transports in the area came under Turkish shelling" rel="nofollow - )" rel="nofollow -
NK celebrates a 100 year anti-Japan coalition. (DJ they can celebrate this with testing missiles, nuclear test, rocket engine-test ?)

China" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - Putin: Russian-Chinese ties reached unprecedentedly high level.

South America" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - can we stop climatechange ? Iran-watercrisis" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 23 2017 at 10:40pm" rel="nofollow - Israeli News Live-update." rel="nofollow - North Korea ready for another (larger) nuclear test within days." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - China warned a US bomber it was flying in Chinese airspace, the US considered it to be international airspace." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - you may wonder how much this is a US-operation in Syria." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -  Ukraine explosion by drone" rel="nofollow -

Climate Change:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 24 2017 at 10:58pm
Preparing for war ?" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - . MAGA=war" rel="nofollow -

Japan starts using new helicopter-carriers" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - US has little options in North Korea-any action would risk war with China. (On defcon" rel="nofollow - good discussion on the position of North Korea towards China and Russia; just like Iran (a.o.) NK does not want to be dominated by any neighboors." rel="nofollow - United Korea would have 72 million inhabitants. It has a long history-also of being dominated by its neighbours-maybe a solution could come from the Korea(n)'s themselves ?)" rel="nofollow - Debka has proven to be incorrect earlier. But they have a point that Lebanon is very divided-with Sunni-muslims possibly willing to accept IS as defense against shia-muslims/Iran. The "powers behind IS" could provide transport. IS showing up from  Yemen, Libya," rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - Ukraine, Afghanistan" rel="nofollow - even Philipines, Nigeria/West Africa suggests a logistical network-air travel-for IS leadership." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - Making profit from wars makes elites rich.

Climate Change;" rel="nofollow - ." rel="nofollow -

Paul Beckwith recently mentioned that temperature-rise is already going exponential with a rise of 0.6C the last 5 years." rel="nofollow - sea-surface-temperatures(SST) going up-means more watervapor-more clouds-more rain-more floodings. Also up till recent 40% of Sea Level Rise (SLR)came from water-expension due to warming. SLR will go up as well. More warmth is more energy, when you start to see yellow here" rel="nofollow - you are watching at superstorms.

Another note, less landice in Greenland, Antarctica means that the landmass under the ice starts moving upward. (Both Greenland an East Antarctica have up to 2 miles/3,2 km land-ice-without the pressure of that ice land would lift 1 kilometer/0,6mile. That lifting would cause earthquakes-in combination with the "normal seismic activity" this would give larger quakes (and tsunami's, wich also could transport heat/cold to regions were it would normaly not go.)" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 26 2017 at 7:12am
Middle East:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - (DJ; Veterans Today and some other sources claim that since IS has no airforce airfields in Syria may be used by "third parties" for supplies for IS, transporting fighters (from Libya to Syria, from Iraq to Syria)-some "groups" are interested in dividing Syria in a Kurdish, a Sunni and a Shia-part. Airfields may be usefull for that goal.)" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Korea:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -
testsite preparations NK;" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -   (see also" rel="nofollow - )
Ukraine:" rel="nofollow -
JD The Balakleya munition storage had some large explosions. Israeli News Live did mention earlier the Russian claim that Ukraine was working on a dirty bomb to use against seperatists. VT did mention more often the use of small nuclear weapons (in Iraq 2003, Yemen, Syria and there may be some proof in both images, radiationmeasurements, ground samples (when possible). The reason that the usage of small nuclear weapons is not main news could be that all parties involved would like to denie the story ? It is not unthinkable that Ukraine could have SS-21 missiles from the Soviet Union time.

Climate Change:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 27 2017 at 5:15am" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 27 2017 at 9:29pm
climate change:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - :

Unlike others, I do NOT expect an Arctic Ice Free Summer this year. We should have 15% of the Winter Ice come October. But with 85% of the ice gone, we should see a massive increase in Methane release. Remember this summer in the northern hemisphere we will start seeing localized temperature peaks at inland sites of 105 to 117 degrees Fahrenheit (DJ 40 to 47 C) within 2000 miles of the Equator give or take a few hundred miles.


In 2018 the heating will include another thousand miles to the North.

in 2019 another thousand miles or more. It is coming and we can not stop it. The Arctic Ice will be gone by 2019. Civilization will most likely be gone by 2020 if we do not take action now to cool the planet. We can always hope for volcanic action increase, especially from BIG volcanoes like Mount Pinatubo, as they are the ones to put sulfur into the skies. (Sulfur blocks out the sunlight and thus provides for global cooling.)$1b/8390716" rel="nofollow -$1b/8390716" rel="nofollow -

Wars:" rel="nofollow - The control-techniques are destroyed (by fire started by IS ?) which could mean the dam is not able to fully control waterlevels. If the dam would break it would put Raqqa under water. Northern part of dam under SDF (US) control, southern part still in IS control. (Other sources claim there was no serious damage at the dam-it still functions)." rel="nofollow -  In november 1983 the Soviet Union assumed that NATO-exercises were meant as a surprise attack on the Warsawpact and almost attacked NATO themselves. NK may draw wrong conclusions also." rel="nofollow -

DJ, the international community is aware of the dangers an escalation in Korea can bring. There will be more testing, exercises, THAAD etc. So far each escalation brought (indirect) communication on how to react on the event. The number of countries involved stayed limited. Japan and South Korea leave military action on the US. China and Russia would like to have more control on NK. North Korea itself has a clear (but insane ?) leadership. 

Another nuclear (underground ?) test in NK is expected the coming week. The test is expected to be much stronger then previous tests. It is not unthinkable that this test could go (very) wrong; fast way-causing a large earthquake (earlier test did cause M5/M5.5 range quakes), The explosion itself is supposed to be in a tunnel-blocked by concrete. But when the blockage blows away what was meant to be an underground nuclear explosion could come above ground-with lots of radiation problems and possibly much widespread damage. In short NK could blow itself up. 

A slow way in wich things go wrong is leakage of radiation into water, atmosphere, destabelizing coalmines in the region. It could produce seismic pressure wich could result in an earthquake in the region. 

The test itself is already a big problem. Working on missiles and (war)satellites is another problem. 

How do you deal with a nuclear armed mad man keeping a country hostage-in wich most of that country follow their leader blindly ? Agression proberbly creates more madness. The Chinese aproach of talking may be the only solution when you want to avoid serious problems. "Limited international action" could be possible when the US, China and Russia would discus it. Taking out NK satellites could be a step. When THAAD indeed is meant to keep NK under control China and Russia may be interested in limiting strike-ability from NK. 

Economic "weapons" could maybe convince NK to change its way. Could a de-militarized Korea be united ? Would the US, China, Russia guarantee the safety and neutrality of Korea when that would make the region (and world) more safe ? More weapons destabilize the region further-it is time for good communication with the US, China and Russia and make a plan." rel="nofollow - tree of languages)

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: CRS, DrPH
Date Posted: March 29 2017 at 12:04pm
^Thanks, Dutch Josh, great information as always!!  

The increase in global temperature is causing the Arctic jet stream to behave strangely, it whips around and dips far into countries of the Northern hemisphere, resulting in the turbulent and unpredictable weather we are encountering.  

This is high-level stuff, but it explains it perfectly:  

http://" rel="nofollow - http://

The jet stream, which Mann describes as a "ribbon-like air current that travels eastward … in the lower part of the atmosphere where weather happens," exists because of the difference in air temperatures between the subtropic and subarctic regions. 

The eastward-flowing air isn't one completely steady band. Slow-moving waves that travel from north to south often appear across the ribbon of air. It is those particularly large undulations, called Rossby waves, that researchers link with extreme weather, because of the intensely low or high pressure systems they bring with them.

In a warming world, these Rossby waves are getting stuck in one place for a long period of time, Mann and his colleagues say. And this means that a region under the low pressure part of these waves will experience intense, prolonged rainfall resulting in flooding. The regions under the high pressure systems will be stuck with hot, dry conditions conducive to drought and wildfires.

What's making these waves static, or at least slowing them down? Mann points to the warming Arctic. The tropics aren't warming as much as the Arctic, so the temperature gradient from north-to-south is less extreme. As the temperature differences that create the jet stream decline, the jet stream's dynamics change.


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 30 2017 at 6:12am
Thanks CRS,DrPH,

On the jetstream:" rel="nofollow - the jetstream can also cause high-speed transport of weathersystems (from Polar vortex to extreme heat "out-of-place", the jetstream also influences the wind(speed) at lower altitude" rel="nofollow - )." rel="nofollow - Antarctica is belowe average temperature but the Arctic is sometimes +5C above average. (Wich will mean les sea-ice, more landice melt or sliding into the ocean more methane release, more warming seawater-etc.)" rel="nofollow - )

Eric Zeusse:" rel="nofollow - Tropics climate catostrophe by 2020 (=refugees, starvation, war etc.)

Korea:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -
(This Radio Ecoshock show contains disturbing possibilities. It may not be suitable for small children or anyone already prone to fear or depression. DJ:this goes for all the Doom&Gloom Stuff DGS: take a break when it affects you to much-live here and now not in possible scenario's but do not close your eyes ! EMP may be the result of nuclear warfare but could also be caused by the Sun " rel="nofollow - -"> - )
" rel="nofollow - -"> -

The bad thing with North Korea may be that it could hit the globe any minute and in a way never seen earlier in human history. " rel="nofollow - -"> -

Middle East:" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - (DJ-Sunni-summit of states that finance IS)

Putin-Trump meeting; sept in Finland or july G20 (DJ; During the Czars Finland was part of Russia. Finland and the Baltic states did get independent during the Russian oktober-revolution 1917 and following civil war. Stalin did fight wars with these countries in 1939/1940-Poland before 1918 was divided in a German (Prussia) and Russian part-wich re-occured in sept 1939 (Stalin and Hitler in stead of the Kaiser or Czar). " rel="nofollow - " rel="nofollow - -"> -

Health: ALS  " rel="nofollow - " rel="nofollow - -"> -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 30 2017 at 11:33pm" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: jacksdad
Date Posted: March 31 2017 at 12:04am
Oh, the irony..." rel="nofollow -

"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 31 2017 at 2:10am
US willing to accept Assad in Syria ?" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -
US troops in Syria at frontline ?" rel="nofollow -

Climate Change:

Las Vegas storm" rel="nofollow -

Inconveniant truth sequel" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - You can deny a problem, ignore a problem but you then end up with a bigger problem. The EU and China may become leading in energy-innovation." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - plankton can blossem under the thin polar ice-less albedo=more warming.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 02 2017 at 12:45am
After the Peru floods" rel="nofollow - Columbia now has mudslides" rel="nofollow - . 

Starvation in Africa" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - . 

Extreme heat in India" rel="nofollow - ." rel="nofollow -  

Climate change is becoming a major killer. 

Cold War:" rel="nofollow - -US-Russian relations never were this bad before according to the Kremlin." rel="nofollow - The Military Industrial Complex wants more money, profit from war. As always politicians tell the story of their sponsors." rel="nofollow - .

North Korea proberbly still preparing nuclear test" rel="nofollow - . 

Fukushima" rel="nofollow -

Antidote:" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 04 2017 at 9:12am

Both Assad as "the opposition" are able and evil enough to use chemical weapons against the population." rel="nofollow - While NATO is moving more troops towards Syria" rel="nofollow - . 

DJ: In the past "alternative media" brought news of Turkey and Saudi Arabia preparing to intervene in Syria "against IS". The west claims to "protect human rights" and blames Russia for its intervention in Syria "wich made things worse". IS did sell oil to the west via Kurdish traders, Turkey (Erdogans family). Still the plan seems to be that Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia will intervene in Syria and "to get rid of IS you have to get rid of Assad"" rel="nofollow -  With the latest terror attack in Russia" rel="nofollow - Russia will fight even harder against IS terror groups in the world." rel="nofollow -

Climate change:" rel="nofollow - and" rel="nofollow - CO2, methane etc. on the rise means temperatures on the rise means rising sealevels at record speed etc.....

Korea:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - DJ reminds me of" rel="nofollow - US intervention during Tehran hostage crisis april 1980. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 04 2017 at 10:03pm
North Korea:" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow -

A reminder on Syria:" rel="nofollow -   (And even a MIT study !!!" rel="nofollow -  , see also" rel="nofollow - : "Only fake news sub-zoology specimens can possibly believe Damascus would profit from staging a chemical attack just a few hours after the St. Petersburg metro tragedy. The timing is NOT accidental. No wonder hysterical block to block "coverage" in NATO-controlled MSM - actually editorials, blaming Damascus without any investigation whatsoever.")  DJ Russian claim:" rel="nofollow - (DJ Syria did agree in destroying chemical weapons. Chlorine for industrial use was excluded. Also areaś not under government control were excluded. Several "rebel" groups (and Turkey ?) may have owned or used chemical weapons in Syria. 

The western mass media tend to "bad Assad-bad Russia" stories while reality is more complex. In my opinion we are in an undecleared World War 3 scenario with "the West" at war with Russia-Iran-China (RIC) and a.o. Ukraine, Syria/Iraq-Yemen, Afghanistan and Korea as the frontlines. 

The US can not claim to be the "only superpower" having a petro-linked-dollar when they loose control over the Middle East. ) Israeli News Live" rel="nofollow - US sending US forces to Lebanon. (DJ: Preparations for US/NATO forces moving towards Damascus from the west, Lebanon, Israel moving nort-east via the Golan Heights and Turkey via western Syria south. Maybe Trump is thinking of at the same time large scale attacks in Korea and Syria ? "make america great again by starting world war 3 ? )

See also" rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Climate change:" rel="nofollow - :
Rapid disintigration of Laptev Sea Ice, 04 04 2017. Open water can be seen. This is nerve-wracking for those who know what is in the Laptev Sea.,MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Graticule,Reference_Labels,Reference_Features%28hidden%29,Coastlines&t=2017-04-04&z=1&v=111253.46151723218,1490926.1857975481,684693.4615172322,1808878.1857975481" rel="nofollow -…
(DJ: less ice means more release of CO2, methane etc=temperature rise." rel="nofollow - )" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 05 2017 at 5:20am
More on Syria false flag:" rel="nofollow - Israeli News Live" rel="nofollow -
Turkey preparing further actions in Syria:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - IDF-drill on Golan heights." rel="nofollow - Israeli air force-drills (with several other countries) in Greece.
US supporting oderate al queda rebels in Syria" rel="nofollow -  (Free Syrian Army willing to give Golanheights to Israel when Israel supports the FSA against Assad.)" rel="nofollow - US has to take action when UN fails against Assad/Syria." rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - US Ro-Ro-ships." rel="nofollow -
(trying to find out transportcapacity US-there are already several thousend US/NATO soldiers in Syria, Iraq (Kuwait, Djibouti, etc.)" rel="nofollow - Liberty Passion room for 6500 vehicles," rel="nofollow - Prestige New York same size.)

North Korea:" rel="nofollow - "The US has spoken enough about North Korea. No further comment." White House." rel="nofollow - .

updates at:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

DJ:" rel="nofollow - North Korea 23.00hrs=17.00hrs in Moscow-10.00hrs in Washington DC.  A "military operation" in the early morning in North Korea could be combined with early evening actions in the Middle East/Ukraine. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 05 2017 at 10:05pm" rel="nofollow - Airstrikes on Syrian (and pro-Iran ?) positions in SW Syria. (Proberbly by Israel ?) see also" rel="nofollow -

Unclear what missile North Korea fired/tested" rel="nofollow -

DJ: Russia-Iran-China may consider the US policy as an offensive to "make america great again". Without clear plans from "the west" this only brings more war. Every ten minutes a child dies in the (US) war in Yemen (against Iran (and China) without western support IS would not exist. IS is a danger for Russia-Iran-China and is meant to be a weapon against them. When Trump follows Obama in supporting "moderate head-choppers" R-I-C will have left no other option to fight these ("pro-western) terrorists." rel="nofollow - Israeli News Live; Trump is following the Bush-line of regimechange in several countries." rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - US troops on the move to Lebanon, Jordan. (Transports started before sarin gas attacks happened.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 06 2017 at 2:13am" rel="nofollow - Turkey is "expanding its borders inside Syria".

In Syria a new offensive is started by the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and "russian speaking fighters"" rel="nofollow - . (DJ) Russia, Iran, Syria will increase efforts to gain grounds as much as possible in the short term. NATO forces are already inside Syria; US, French troops in eastern Syria with Kurdish fighters in the Raqqa-region. UK special forces also involved ? Turkish troops are fighting Kurdish groups in northern Syria. Several NATO countries, KSA, Israel have aircraft in the region. 

US is preparing large scale troop movements from near Beirut-Lebanon and Aqaba-Jordan." rel="nofollow - (Israeli News Live) Also in Jordan there are already several thousend US, UK etc troops. US and Turkey are expanding airfields inside Syria. 

If Russia accepts this they loose their position in the Middle East. They are proberbly preparing reaction-plans, "red lines" ." rel="nofollow - More or less confirmation of Israeli airstrikes in Syria last night." rel="nofollow -
(JD) Debka claims Russia is giving Israel (and the US) "room to attack inside Syria" (both Hizbollah and SAA targets. ) I (DJ) think they have it very wrong. Russia has done so much to get its position in Syria, Iran wants to protect shia-muslems and a connection to Lebanon. Russia, Iran, Syria will not allow US/Israel actions when they can stop it. 

On" rel="nofollow - there is a discussion about the possibility of "limited war" between the US and Russia (or Israel and Iran ?). CHinese leader Xi is visiting the US these days. Proberbly that could stop escalations for the moment. Unless North Korea does it nuclear test. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 06 2017 at 9:56pm
Israeli News Live" rel="nofollow -  (Israel is getting ready for war against (pro) Iran (forces) )" rel="nofollow - and" rel="nofollow -

Russia will not accept US taking over Syria." rel="nofollow - message 1 US misiles strike Syria, message 2 UK troops in Estonia." rel="nofollow - with" rel="nofollow -

DJ: First indications suggest the US is moving into Syria to get rid of Assad. Russia and Iran will react one way or the other. China president Xi visiting the US may consider these attacks as an insult. 

Other reactions:" rel="nofollow - and" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -  (SuperStation95 has now learned that TWO Syrian air bases were attacked by US Cruise Missiles.  History records that 100 years ago TODAY (April 6, 1917) The United States entered World War One.  Many are now wondering if we have just entered World War Three?" rel="nofollow -

Pepe Escobar: The Russian S-400s in Syria could have easily disabled those lumbering Tomahawks.

The order came from above – and they didn’t.

The Pentagon gave Moscow the heads up because they knew what was at stake.

So Moscow decided to back off - in exchange of SOMETHING every one of the key players is mum about.

The Tomahawk show was the Pentagon way of smashing the credibility of the Russian Ministry of Defense – which explained the “chemical attack” was actually the result of the bombing of a secret Jabhat al-Nusra warehouse manufacturing sarin gas.

Now the Russian Ministry of Defense is naked.

There will be a response.

Not now. A few moves later in the game." rel="nofollow -

(DJ; Russia may get "room" in the Ukraine ?)" rel="nofollow -

At this time, we are holding at DEFCON 5. We continue to monitor, and are waiting to see what Russia will do.

Although Russia has stated that this represents and escalation, we do not believe that this will be more than a minor incident. We do believe Russia will do something, but may be more on the diplomatic front rather than militarily.

We do not believe there is any cause for undue public concern at this time.

We will continue to monitor and report as necessary throughout the night.

(DJ: The US informed Russia about the coming strikes. Russia had a chance to move their personal from the airfield(s). Pepe Escobar suggests that there was a deal with Russia and for that reason Russia did not shoot down the US cruise misiles.)

" rel="nofollow - -"> -

When Moscow was not informed the situation is "very bad" (DJ). " rel="nofollow - - Did the US coordinate the attacks with IS ??????

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 11 2017 at 12:59pm
Syria:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

North Korea:" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow -

Climate Change:" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 26 2017 at 11:36pm" rel="nofollow -

From David Wasdell of the" rel="nofollow - Apollo-Gaia Project ;
“It is with the utmost concern that we draw your attention to the fundamental methodological flaw in the determination of the value of Climate Sensitivity that is embedded in the Summary for Policymakers of the Scientific Workgroup of the 5th Assessment Report of the IPCC. The error was replicated in the Reports of Workgroups 2 and 3 and carried forward into the Synthesis Report. It has been used as the given basis for every subsequent publication. Our radical analysis of Climate Dynamics has generated a new and robust value of “Earth System Sensitivity” which has profound implications for:

• The relationship between temperature change and cumulative carbon emissions.
• The calculation of “available carbon budget”.
• The evaluation of the INDCs.
• The terms of reference of COP21 in Paris (30 November – 11 December 2015).
• The future global strategy for climate stabilisation.”" rel="nofollow -

These levels now correspond with the" rel="nofollow - Miocene Climate Epoch when seas were 120 to 190 feet higher than today and when global temperatures ranged from 3 to 5 degrees Celsius hotter than preindustrial averages .

Record Rates of Accumulation

These new records come following two years of record rates of atmospheric CO2 accumulation. According to NOAA," rel="nofollow - carbon dioxide accumulated by 3.03 parts per million during 2015 and by 3.00 parts per million during 2016 . These now represent the two fastest rates of carbon dioxide accumulation in the climate record to date. By comparison, the substantial warming at the end of the last ice age was accompanied by an approximate 0.01 part per million per year rate of CO2 increase averaged over 10,000 years." rel="nofollow -

When taking into account the many elements that are contributing to warming, a potential warming of 10°C (18°F) could take place, leading to rapid mass" rel="nofollow - extinction of many species, including humans .

DJ: Eventhough human CO2 production is slowing down feedbacks are escalating. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 05 2017 at 7:40am
The person behind this Zero Hedge article must be blind-thinking climate change is only a matter of CO2." rel="nofollow - ." rel="nofollow - ." rel="nofollow -" rel="nofollow - Some parts of Greenland are above melting point. 


In the "war for the Middle East" US may move south from Raqqa to get control over the Iraq/Syria, (border) Russia may move east from Palmyra." rel="nofollow - ." rel="nofollow - ," rel="nofollow - North Korea conflict may escalate" rel="nofollow -

EU-US relations:" rel="nofollow - US sanctions for EU companies working with Gazprom do not improve EU-US relations. 

DJ: There is a risk that the US will act on its own in South Korea before the G20-top/Putin-Trump meeting coming Friday in Hamburg Germany. This G20-top may result in forming aliences in several conflicts-not solutions. (Most likely the US will use cruisemissiles against several military targets in NK-China and Russia have had all the time to prepare for that-and in trying to "controll the conflict" may shoot most of the US missiles out of the sky (like Russia did in Syria). The messeage for the US will be: 1- Russia and China stand united on NK. 2-No actions on NK without Russia and China from anybody. 3-Russia/China have the capacity to shoot down US missiles-and do so when they think it is needed. 4-For NK the message is also clear; Russia and China can de-escalate but also could give the US the Okay to do "their thing". 

Major risks are; misinterpretation by the US-shooting down US missiles is not an attack on the US military. NK could "go wild" were Russia and China may need to do much more-worst case invade NK. 

Why would Russia and China react that way ? They want a multi-polar world with not only the US as the only superpower. Russia and China have a lot of reasons to see the US as an enemy; from US support for IS to selling weapons to Taiwan/South China Sea conflict, the trade/sanctions war. 

Russia and China are willing-proberbly-to go very far on actions against NK-wich they-as neighbours-consider a big risk. But they want the US to talk with them on equal bases. And also they would like the US to take away THAAD-stop military drills in SK etc. The US is not willing to consider Russia and China as equal. That is the basics of the conflicts. 

The G20 at best could provide openings for talks, peace etc. at worst they have failed before they started.)

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 06 2017 at 8:25am" rel="nofollow - Dutchsinse warning for earthquakes in Montana-central and east-coast US after M5.8 quake near yellowstone. That quake was related to a M7 quake (wich was under-reported) in Northern Canada a few days ago." rel="nofollow -  This quake may influence the Yellowstone volcano-but is related to other quakes-seismic-NOT volcanic." rel="nofollow - will follow this story. 

Korea:" rel="nofollow - After blaming China for not doing enough trump comes up with more words. The US may start losing allies when this is the best they can do. Maybe the Trump-Putin meeting tomorrow (Friday) in Hamburg Germany may bring some real solutions. Russia and China are not pleased with the US role in Korea." rel="nofollow -

Middle East:" rel="nofollow - The US did sell weapons to Saudi Arabia wich gave those weapons to "rebels" fighting Assad in Syria. Also Saudi Arabia used those weapons in Yemen, now even making threats against Qatar-the outcome is that the "saudi royals" are afraid to leave their country fearing a coup. 

Climate Change:

More and more warnings for escalating climate change:" rel="nofollow -

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 08 2017 at 9:34pm" rel="nofollow -

From" rel="nofollow -

Watch the methane release in the Arctic and remember that the IPCC has never been right once on any political decision. As a political body, their politics sucks.

Their initial assessment of Methane (a political decision) was that it had a global warming potential of 21 times that of CO2 over 100 years.

They then revised that to 25 times that of CO2 over 100 years.

Recent Figures used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Methane’s Global Warming Potential (GWP) values for each ton of Methane are 34 times more than CO2 when viewed over a 100-year timeframe, and 86 times more over a 20-year timeframe, and 108 over a 10-year time frame.

34 over 100 years.
86 over 20 years
108 over 10 years
??? over 1 year

They do not stipulate what the GWP is for the first year or first five years it is in the atmosphere. They need to but refuse to do so, because the prospect is scary. If you look at the tremendous warming effect in the Arctic as Methane is released from the permafrost and the sea it would appear to be well over 200 but for the time being, we can estimate and just say 200.

The actual GWP value probably varies slightly based on other factors, like temperature, humidity and other gases in the air that offer competition for the same heat energy wavelengths.

The only good news about Methane is that its GWP diminishes over time relative to CO2 because methane stays in the atmosphere for only 10 to 12 years, whereas CO2 lingers for hundreds as long as it is in excess to nature.

If methane is credited with a 200 GWP and there is approximately two ppm of methane in the sky than the CO2 equivalent is up near 800 when the effects of Methane and CO2 (420 ppm) are combined. That is part of the reason why I expect to see far more rapid warming in the coming months.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: FluMom
Date Posted: August 09 2017 at 1:30pm
Hey, good news we will no longer worry about Climate Change if the little fat guy in NK nukes someone. We will have bigger problems than Climate Change.

Funny seems like one problem is solved by a bigger problem.

Always Be Prepared

Posted By: Satori
Date Posted: August 10 2017 at 8:26pm
"All glaciers in Iceland are retreating at an unprecedented pace," says geologist who has studied them for 30 years

and we have as President,a climate change DENIER
who is appointing people to high positions who are also deniers of climate change

good luck everyone

“The point of modern propaganda isn’t only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.” Gary Kasparov

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 10 2017 at 9:32pm
Satori, maybe it is correct to say that at least Trump is open in his support of fossil fuel. Most other "leaders" claim they want change but do not act to their words. I do not expect miracles from politics-it is-at least for now-up to citizens to change things. 

Sharing information, education "at the grassroots" might be the best option for now. Fossil fuel is in power around the globe-citizens can try for smaller ecological footprints.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Satori
Date Posted: August 10 2017 at 10:01pm
"-up to citizens to change things. "

about that" rel="nofollow - How America lost its mind – “A third of us believe not only that global warming is no big deal but that it’s a hoax perpetrated by scientists, the government, and journalists”

NEVER underestimate the STUPIDITY of the American peopleLOL

“The point of modern propaganda isn’t only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.” Gary Kasparov

Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 11 2017 at 2:11am
Satori, when I look at smoking and how not that long ago over 50% of the people smoked-it now has turned into a small group-I am optimistic.

Most people do not have such a large eco-footprint. A small group with a big eco-impact has to change. 

Steps are easy, less meat, less driving a car-also saves lots of money ! When it is also becoming the fashion things may change ! (But I do admit that that in itself is not enough. Political change is also needed ! Stupidity is widespread- but pioneers lead the way the flock may follow !)

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !

Posted By: Satori
Date Posted: August 23 2017 at 1:26pm

How Deeply Will Rising Temperatures Cut into Crop Yields?


A sweeping study examining decades of research says that yields of the globe's most important crops—providing two-thirds of the world's calories—will plummet as temperatures rise.

For every degree Celsius that the Earth warms, corn yields will go down an average of 7.4 percent, according to the study, which focused on the effects of rising temperatures and did not directly examine other influences related to" rel="nofollow - climate change .

Wheat yields similarly will drop by 6 percent on average for every degree Celsius that temperatures rise, rice yields by 3.2 percent, and soybean yields by 3.1 percent, according to" rel="nofollow - the study ."

“The point of modern propaganda isn’t only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.” Gary Kasparov

Posted By: Satori
Date Posted: August 23 2017 at 2:01pm

Exxon played us all on global warming, new study shows

and who headed EXXON ?

“The point of modern propaganda isn’t only to misinform or push an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.” Gary Kasparov

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