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Strong Earthquake-warning !!!!

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2015 at 6:09am
I did take another look at Dutchsinse his forecast for the week may 1-8. At minute 6 he is expecting major movement in the Philipines-Viet Nam. There were two 5.1 quakes and a 5.9 more or less in the area described. 

At minute 9 he is expecting compensation movement from Nepal towards Turkey/Italy. There was a 4.7 in Greece, some other movement 4+ in Croatia, Turkey. But that is not unusual in that area. 

At minute 13 for the US 4+ movement central and California. There was a 3.8 in California, a 4.2 in Michigan (as was predicted min.18.40). In the B.C. Vancouver area he expected at least a 5.0 event, turns out to be the 3.7 in Washington-state. 

Minute 17 expected 5+ in Peru-Nicaragua area. There was a 4.8 in Guatamala, two 4,7 in Colombia and Peru. 

After this Dutchsinse speaks of build-up for major movement like in 2011. Another mega-quake 9+ for Japan within a few months ? At 21.30 the 7.2(downgraded 6.8) at P.N.G. wich he correctly predicted. And he links that to earlier deep movement around Fiji. 

Putting it all together does Dutchsinse convince me ? I think he makes more sense in predicting futere quakes than some other people. There is some logics in it. The coming days might proof him to more correct than he would like to be (also about increasing volcanic activity in California http://dutchsinse.com/5082015-dormant-supervolcano-in-california-shows-movement-below-sign-of-california-pressure/

Earthquakes, pressures, is very complicated. Just like other "big events" pandemics, ice-ages, tornado's, earthquakes keep happening around the globe. Dutchsinse forecast might be better than looking at USGS for the last week to see what the coming week might bring. But sometimes they might look quite similar !


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2015 at 9:04pm
M9 in P.N.G. ? The M9 Japan earthquake of march 11- 2011 had a prelude there from several M6-7 two days before the M9 in the same area. The day before (march 10) the M9 struck Japan there was a deep 6.5 quake in the Bali-sea (Indonesia at 510.6 km deep).


The december 26-2004 M9 Sumatra earthquake saw two deep M5.8's in the Fiji region (dec 17 at  593 km and dec 24 at 614,5 km and a 5,8 at Tonga dec 20 at 227.8 km)
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 12 2015 at 11:30pm
Dutchsinse.com keeps predicting a large earthquake for the west-pacific. The Japan-6.8 might be a for-shock. There was a M4.5 at a depth of 418.7 km near Wallis and Futuna. That might lead to a major (8+) quake to the north-west of that location. That means Papua-New Guinea-Japan area this week. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 12 2015 at 11:43pm
http://fukushima-diary.com/ might be interesting to follow. Before the last 6.8 quake volcanic activity increased at Mt. Hakone. Also temperatures going up in reactor-2 Fukushima. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Hio-VDWG2o and https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCQHopfPwfFjn37JgO1l-axg

A major quake 8+ or a large eruption not far from Tokyo is bad news. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 13 2015 at 12:01am
There is a pdf, "The Largest Earthquakes We Should Prepare For-Fuji Press" it is from 2014 and an evaluation from the M9 2011 quake. A M10 quake would last over 10 minutes, a M11 quake would mean seismic activity over a fault-line from Alaska to New Zealand-20.000 km and movement over 500 meters. It is impossible to measure and would be "very dramatic". 

One of the many problems in these calculations is how much movement is possible at great depths. The deeper the movement the larger a possible magnitude. 

You do not need a collision with an asteroid the have a M10+, movements in the earth itself, plates colliding or volcanic, might produce M10+ quakes. Such an event would change conditions on earth for a very long time. Maybe some people in bunkers might survive such an event but will find out that earth has turned into another planet years later. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 13 2015 at 1:57am
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 14 2015 at 2:20am
http://dutchsinse.com/5142015-45-miles-from-tokyo-japan-dormant-for-800-years-mt-hakone-could-soon-erupt/ the "good thing"about erupting volcanoes and smaller earthquakes is that it can release pressure so a "mega-quake" becomes less likely. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 14 2015 at 1:18pm
Am I right in thinking the largest ever recorded earthquake on earth was a 9.5 in Chile in 1960. Is it possible to have a larger earthquake?

We've had a lot of felt earthquakes here in NZ in the last few weeks. NZ gets dozens of quakes every day but most are not felt by anyone. Of course we are expecting the Alpine Fault to rupture at any moment. It last went 297 years ago in 1717 and it's return time is 300 years + or - 30 years. According to the probability experts, it is more likely to rupture this afternoon than tomorrow morning. It is expected to be an 8.2 or larger.
If it is to be, it is up to me.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote FluMom Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 14 2015 at 6:24pm
Dang KiwiMum I know why you prep. Your whole world could be upside down at any time. Dang you guys have guts.

Hope it never ruptures!
Always Be Prepared
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 15 2015 at 1:55am
Flumom, I hope it does rupture, and while I'm young enough to enjoy it. I studied the Alpine Fault in a short course at the local university and find the whole thing fascinating. It's a fact of life in New Zealand that you get earthquakes. I don't think you ever get over the feeling of awe at the power of nature. 

The biggest quake I've been through was a 7.1 and it shook our whole house not just side to side, but up and down as well. How much power is needed to move an entire landmass. It was an amazing feeling and I didn't feel frightened until afterwards and we were scrambling to get out of the house at 4.35am in case another larger one came. There was so much movement that I was being thrown up and down on the bed, for about 45 seconds.

In the Feb 11 quake that killed 180 people in Christchurch, they pulled out the body of a young woman and her baby. She had been pushing her pushchair along Colombo Street and the parapets above smashed through the verandah and killed them both. It was exactly where I used to shop, near all the second hand bookshops and even now I think there, but for the grace of God, go I. It so easily could have been me and one of my babies. It's a sobering thought. 

If it is to be, it is up to me.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 15 2015 at 4:37am
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_earthquakes in the 19th century a 9,2 9 (aprox) 1833 Sumatra and a 9.0 1868 Chili. That seem to be the spots for severe earthquakes. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lists_of_earthquakes#Largest_earthquakes_by_magnitude
In 1952 at Kamchatka (eastern Russia) there also was a 9.0. But the Valdivia-Chili-1960 earthquake with a 9.5 (or 9.6 ?) was the biggest quake in recent history. 

Both the Alaska 1964 and Chili 1960 quake caused a tsunami but still the number of people died was limited. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_natural_disasters_by_death_toll#Earthquakes

The 1935 Richterscale http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richter_magnitude_scale is based on formula and makes some statistics possible. A meteor-strike at Yucatan 65 milion years ago had a M 13. 

Here in the Netherlands earthquakes are not very common, but I experienced a 4.5 in 2011. In 1992 we had a 5.8 but I was sleeping at that moment.....

In theory earth can produce bigger than M9.5 is possible, a M10+ is very unlikely. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 15 2015 at 4:52am
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 15 2015 at 11:25pm
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 17 2015 at 12:48am
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 18 2015 at 8:44am
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/04/03/tech/mci-earthquake-animals/?sr=cnnifb and http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1474706515000236 and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47jTuonEo9Q

(CNN)Rats deserting a city before a devastating earthquake may be the stuff of folklore, but scientists believe that animals really could hold the key to a quake early warning system.

Reports of pets vanishing or wildlife disappearing ahead of large earthquakes had previously been anecdotal, but an international study has for the first time documented changes in wild animal behavior before a seismic event.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 19 2015 at 12:00pm
Josh, I had one of my beehives open on the morning of the 6.3 quake that killed 180 people in my local city. It was about 2 hours before the quake and I noticed that they were behaving oddly, and flying very low to the ground. I actually mentioned their odd behaviour to my family. And not just around the hive, as I walked back to the house I noticed they were all flying below knee height.

Then a month or so later I had a hive open when an earthquake struck. I was working the hive as normal when suddenly the bees started buzzing very loudly. There was no reason for it, the sun was shining, it was a warm day, I hadn't knocked the hive or dropped a frame but they became very aggressive very quickly so I started to put the hive back together. A minute or two later I heard a quake coming and stood still hugging the hive as it was a large hive of 5 or 6 supers and the last thing I want to happen is for it to fall over on me. 

The second the quake passed the bees calmed down. 

I also know of a local farmer who was outside on the morning of our first big quake (a 7.1 in Sept 10). He was about to milk his dairy herd and noticed that even though it was pitch black outside, all the birds were singing. And I mean all, it was very loud. Then they suddenly stopped. A moment or two later he saw multiple flashes of light but they were coming up from the ground around his farm, not down from the sky like lightning. A minute later the big quake hit. These flashes of light were static electricity.

There were a few people out and about just before that quake and a number of people reported the birdsong and the flashes. 

I was deeply asleep when the quake struck, but something woke my husband and he heard it coming. He rushed through to our boys room  and spent the duration holding their bunk beds hard against the wall. 

I've been leading a cow when an earthquake came and she paid no attention to it at all. 
If it is to be, it is up to me.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 19 2015 at 10:18pm
KiwiMum, I think animals might be able to pick up signals that humans mis. We take our way of looking at things as "complete" but in fact most lights and sounds "vibes" simply escapes us because our senses can not pick up those frequencys. 

Animals might work like canarysin mines, an early warning system. We should listen better to animals !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 20 2015 at 7:23am
Spot on Josh, but I think the signals are detectable to our sense organs: it is our brains which miss them.  We humans are so wrapped up in our world's obvious side we fail to spot the little clues.  

Just before noticeable seismic activity our cats all start quarreling and hubby and I start having dizzy spells.  But, it took us over a decade to put the clues together.  Now, whilst sitting on my behind and watching the umpteenth cat-fight, I am wont to say: "I wonder which poor s**s are due a quake this time?"  Evolution dictates that those wild animals who alter their behaviour according to the tiny, quiet signals are the ones more likely to live long enough to breed. Which is why it is more common in wild animals. 

This does not apply to us for whom the dictates of civilization swamp the instinctive responses (over 10 years is not a good survival response time) or those for whom the evolutionary pressures are diverted, just like KiwiMum's cow.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 21 2015 at 12:52am
Technophobe, "electrical polution" might block signals coming from the earth. Dutchsinse is expecting a "megaquake m8+" still building up. I expect such a quake NW of Fiji were there is a proces of deep (more than 100 kilometres) quakes. But the area might be Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Japan and even north from there (Kamchatka-Alaska ?).

Recent events along the North American Pacific coast indicate also increase of pressure there. When hole plates start to move that will result in more quakes south of the first "wave". The southern region in Chile has a history of very strong quakes which were the follow-ups of earlier movements more north-west. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1960_Valdivia_earthquake

The first ConcepciĆ³n earthquake was at 06:02 UTC-4 on 21 May 1960. Its epicenter was near Curanilahue. Telecommunications to southern Chile were cut off and President Jorge Alessandri cancelled the traditional ceremony of the Battle of Iquique memorial holiday to oversee the emergency assistance efforts. The second and third ConcepciĆ³n earthquakes occurred the next day at 06:32 UTC-4 and14:55 UTC-4, on 22 May. These earthquakes formed a southward migrating foreshock sequence to the main Valdivia shock, which occurred just 15 minutes after the third event.[6]

USGS has a search option and when you look at developments from april 1 to may 23 1960 you can see a "ballet"of quakes resulting in a "crescendo" in southern Chile from may 21.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 21 2015 at 7:39am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tti4jIW-fk4

West coast United States showing multiple dormant volcano earthquakes , as well as a new pipeline rupture along the coast of Santa Barbara (South California).

Internationally, mainly focusing a new look on Taiwan, keep watch South of Japan going into North Philippines.

Now we're on serious watch along the Coast of the Pacific Northwest , Washington State to BC... since it did NOT move this past week as expected.

We are now watching SOUTH of Baja California near Mexico City for a possible large earthquake, sure hope I'm wrong on that.

Turkey and Greece.. keep watch for 6.0M+ earthquake activity.

New volcanic eruptions should pop off in Chile again.. and a large earthquake should strike Colombia into Panama (above 6.0M)

East coast United States now needs to be on SERIOUS watch for either a swarm of earthquakes , or a single larger event from Virginia North along the edge of the Craton to South Quebec / New Brunswick. Could either be a series of smaller swarms, or a single event that gets everyones attention (above 4.0M).

Texas.. Oklahoma, Kansas.... you can expect the swarms to spread across the Texas craton edge... Oklahoma + Kansas.. due for mid-upper 4.0M earthquakes that should shake everything up. Keep watch.

_______

Download a copy of earthquake 3D here:

http://www.wolton.net/quake.html

_______

Very odd geologic steam plume event across the West coast captured by tatoott1009:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6y3mT...

_______

Salton Sea California volcanic swarm:

http://dutchsinse.com/5202015-souther...

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Oil pipeline rupture near Los Angeles CA:

http://dutchsinse.com/5192015-rupture...

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Swarm of earthquakes in Los Angeles due East of Oil Pipeline rupture:

http://dutchsinse.com/5042015-califor...

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New Yellowstone magma chamber activity:

http://dutchsinse.com/5182015-yellows...

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Mount Hood Oregon dormant volcano earthquake:

http://dutchsinse.com/5152015-west-co...

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Glacier Peak dormant volcano earthquake:

http://dutchsinse.com/5152015-another...

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Two Sisters (Twin Peaks) dormant volcano earthquake:

https://www.facebook.com/DutchsinseOf...

________

Mammoth Mountain dormant volcano earthquake:

http://dutchsinse.com/5152015-fourth-...

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Markagunt Plateau volcano earthquake:

http://dutchsinse.com/5152015-third-d...

_______

Bitner Butte volcano earthquake:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquake...

________

New eruption off the coast of Oregon:

http://dutchsinse.com/4302015-volcani...
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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