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Strong Earthquake-warning !!!!

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OriginalHappyCamper View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote OriginalHappyCamper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 21 2015 at 4:40pm
DJ Great post 

Thanks for keeping us updated
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 3:21am
http://dutchsinse.com/5222015-erupting-volcano-earthquakes-off-west-coast-of-oregon-whole-coast-moved-over-48-hours/

Dutchsinse issues a major warning for West Canada and California/North Mexico. Pressure release might come in "smaller events" or "major (M6+) events". Also warnings for west pacific, Turkey/Greece, Nepal. 

The last week forcast for UK/Benelux in my opinion was correct. What did change in his expectations is increasing risks for the west-pacific-coast on North America. 

The point of warning people is that that warning should motivate them to think what is good preparation. California has a problem with drinking water. A major event will worsen that situation dramaticly. I hope Dutchsinse is wrong !
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Satori Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 12:00pm
Reuters reporting a 5.4 quake in Nevada
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 12:49pm
http://dutchsinse.com/5222015-extremely-rare-5-4-magnitude-earthquake-strike-south-nevada/

Also a number of after (?) shocks...


After a flurry of West coast earthquake activity yesterday going into this morning (May 22), now an extremely rare 5.4M earthquake has struck South Nevada.

Additionally, a new swarm of earthquakes is now developing at the South Nevada epicenter.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 1:00pm
http://earthquaketrack.com/r/nevada/recent


A magnitude 5.4 earthquake struck Nevada on Friday close to the small town of Caliente, northeast of the tourist hub of Las Vegas, the U.S. Geological Survey said.

It said the epicenter of the quake, which was quite shallow at a depth of only 12 miles (19.4 km), was 24 miles from Caliente, a town of just over 1,000 people, close to the border with Utah.

A dispatcher with the Lincoln County Sheriff's Department, near the quake's epicenter, said it had been felt widely across the county, but that there were no immediate reports of damage.

The quake, which the USGS said was followed less than 20 minutes later by a smaller 3.8 magnitude temblor, could be felt as far away as Las Vegas, about 100 miles to the southwest.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote OriginalHappyCamper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 1:25pm
These strange earthquakes were predicted in the Bible

Matthew 24 King James Version (KJV)

24 And Jesus went out, and departed from the temple: and his disciples came to him for to shew him the buildings of the temple.

And Jesus said unto them, See ye not all these things? verily I say unto you, There shall not be left here one stone upon another, that shall not be thrown down.

And as he sat upon the mount of Olives, the disciples came unto him privately, saying, Tell us, when shall these things be? and what shall be the sign of thy coming, and of the end of the world?

And Jesus answered and said unto them, Take heed that no man deceive you.

For many shall come in my name, saying, I am Christ; and shall deceive many.

And ye shall hear of wars and rumours of wars: see that ye be not troubled: for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet.

For nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom: and there shall be famines, and pestilences, and earthquakes, in divers places.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 1:34pm
OHC, stay safe !
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 22 2015 at 3:59pm
We felt it here in st george ut. Shook the house enough to rattle dishes etc and make my babies bouncy bounce. I rushed them quickly outside. There is a quite massive fault just walking distance from here that cuts right through the city and volcanos all over the place.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 23 2015 at 3:20am
http://dutchsinse.com/5232015-24-hours-of-major-earthquake-unrest-showing-globally-from-las-vegas-to-england/

The past 24-48 hours (up to 200am CDT May 23, 2015) has seen a serious uptick in earthquake unrest.

The unrest has spread to multiple locations including several rare areas which don’t normally see noteworthy movement, such as the M4.0 which just struck South England (along the English channel), or the 5.4 magnitude earthquake which struck near Las Vegas Nevada.

In addition to the rare movement in Nevada, and the UK, a large borderline 7.0M struck near Papua New Guinea, as well as additional movement across the PhilippinesSouth Japan, and thecoast of China.

This is a tremendous amount of activity to see in one 24 hour time period.

The areas which have seen movement need to be on watch for additional nearby activity, in the case of Nevada we should be watching the West coast for movement in the watch zones over the next 5-6 days.


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 24 2015 at 12:08am
After a 6.3 quake in the southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge http://dutchsinse.com/5242015-global-earthquake-unrest-continues-rare-6-3-magnitude-along-the-mid-atlantic-ridge/ I notice an increase in activity in the southern hemisphere. Were Dutchsinse thinks pressure is coming from the east (African plate due to quakes in Nepal, Fiji, Papua New Guinea) I wonder if there is increased pressure from the pacific-plate on South America (Chili saw an increase of quakes) resulting in increase of pressure (also) from the west in the South Atlantic. Increase from both sides proberbly...Chili has a bad history of strong quakes.

On the other side still lots of quakes in Asia http://dutchsinse.com/5232015-mount-hakone-in-japan-hasnt-erupted-in-over-800-years-ground-rising-steaming/ and Nepal, Papua New Guinea, Fiji-area. 

I get the impression that the pacific-plate is "turning anti-clockwise" increasing pressure from the south on Alaska, increasing pressure from the pacific on Asia (Kamchatka, Japan, Taiwan/China, Phillipines, Indonesia) from the north on New Zealand-area and also from the pacific onthe Americas. 

The timing of release of energy, pressure, is difficult to tell. But one quake could trigger a chain of reactions, domino-effect.
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 12:13am
http://171.66.125.217/content/75/3/368.short 

This paper is an update of a 1970 publication, “Major Earthquakes and Tsunamis in Chile” (Lomnitz, 1970), which appeared in the Geologische Rundschau, now International Journal of Earth Sciences. The reference has always been hard to find and in recent years has become almost impossible to locate. Additionally, the database was overdue for revision in light of more recent results.

The earlier conclusion of the paper, that “Chile emerges as perhaps the most highly seismic region in the world, with the possible exception of Japan”, still stands. One might add that Chilean earthquakes have provided data for important historical advances in the Earth sciences. For example, the 1835 earthquake in southern Chile was described by Darwin (1845) and has provided the earliest reliable observations of geodetic uplift along a subduction zone. The 1960 Chile earthquake (Mw 9.5), possibly the largest earthquake in world history, continues to provide invaluable data and challenges for research. Tectonic changes in the coastal morphology of Chile may well be unique (Lomnitz, 1969). As part of a 5,000-km subduction system and with a subduction rate of more than 7 cm/year, Chile is located atop one of the most highly active subduction zones in the world.

Available information on the history of earthquakes in Chile is limited. This is partly due to the nature of the terrain. The northern part of Chile is a desert, where rain falls about once every 25 years. The southern part is extremely rainy and is covered with a dense rain forest. Farther south along the coast one finds glaciers. The country is also wedged between the Pacific Ocean and the Andes Mountains. With the exception of a few scattered ports, most of the population lives in a narrow longitudinal valley between latitudes 32° and 45° south.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 12:29am
The strongest earthquake in the US (excluding Alaska) may have been the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1700_Cascadia_earthquake with a magnitude between 8.7 and 9.2, january 1700. For a list of US earthquakes http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_and_tsunamis_in_the_United_States 

The 1906 San Francisco quake http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1906_San_Francisco_earthquake had a magnitude of 7.9. The biggest danger for the US in earthquake-terms is more north, Washington/Pacific: Recent findings conclude that the Cascadia subduction zone is more complex and volatile than previously believed. In 2010 geologists predicted a 37 percent chance of an M8.2+ event within 50 years, and a 10 to 15 percent chance that the entire Cascadia subduction zone will rupture with an M9+ event within the same time frame.[7] Geologists have also determined the Pacific Northwest is not prepared for such a colossal quake. The tsunami produced could reach heights of 80 to 100 feet (24 to 30 m).[8]
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 12:34am
Strongest Japan-quakes http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_Japan 


Simply looking at the list of Chili the number of M8+ is clear. The southern part of Chili is not much populated, the major danger global would be the tsunami that will be the result of that quake !

The US (ex Alaska) had 4 M8(+), Japan 21 M8(+), Chili had 27  M8(+) in the past. Alaska had 5 M8(+). See also this http://quakehunters.blogspot.nl/2014/04/magnitude-82-earthquake-north-of.html and http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S027737911300139X

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 1:13am
When I look at the USGS-page since 1900 Chili had 10 M8<, Mexico  had 4, Alaska had 8 (different from wiki-list !), Japan 10, Indonesia 9, New Zealand-region 4, Papua New Guinea, Solomon-Islands, Samoa 11. 

This does not mean that there is no earthquake risk for the US but looking at history the chance of such a quake being M8+ are small. Also increase of quakes/volcanic activity can be explainde both ways; build up of pressure or release of pressure. Dutchsinse in his info is giving a lot of attention to Japan volcano's but some of them have been on watch since 2012 !

Also there is not a realistic "norm" for the number of quakes, volcanic activity. There are statistics, but one might claim that sometimes there is an increase, other times decrease of that activity. 

May 28 super-quake in California is not "science" but might be promotion for a movie being released ? 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 2:06am
In 2010 may 1 till may 25 saw 11 M6, 2011 was 5, 2012 was 7 2013 was 13 2014 was 17 and 2015 was 14. So the increase is relative, US west coast phenomena are abnormal. But statistics can be misleading !
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 2:12am
http://dutchsinse.com/5252015-deep-asthenosphere-earthquake-below-japan-china-border-watch-out-at-nepal-china-india-border/ 

The deep asthenosphere earthquake which struck near Japan before the Nepal earthquake was a 5.0M event….. the current deep earthquake is a 5.2M.   We may need to place the area to the West / Northwest of this new deep earthquake on alert for a shallow larger event in the near term.

This means a new alert should be issued now for the areas adjacent to the deep movement.  Please keep watch in Nepal going into China/Russia border regions for a possible larger earthquake.  I wouldn’t rule out North India either.

Next 3-5 days should tell the tale if this deep Japan earthquake causes movement to the West of it (India / Nepal / China / Russia region).

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 25 2015 at 4:00am
https://seismicenergy.wordpress.com/2014/04/19/the-place-of-dreams/

Epicenter Iquique

This earthquake is caused due to the interaction between the giant tectonic masses called Nazca and South American plate , which imperceptibly remain in an eternal dance in a titanic struggle . The Nazca plate is going beneath the South American one and this lustful symbiosis, gives origin to the vast and beautiful American continent.

The orography of our continent has been sculpted through this cyclopean pugilism , is important to remember that Nazca moves with a lightness of 6.5 mm / year, precisely against his antagonist , the South American plate does the same in the opposite direction with a lightness of 7.5 mm / year.

I have fought strongly against the term “seismic swarm” because it doesn’t describe the mechanism of the fault rupture. To determine that we are facing a premonitory earthquake, there must be a coordinated and related hypocenters, the analysis should conclude that there is a spatial and temporary correlation. If this corelation exists , we can infere that the tremors could be premonitors .

On April 16, there was an earthquake of Mag. 6.7, escorted by 60 earthquakes greater than Mag. 4 and 25 earthquakes grater than Mag 5 .  Then, on 17th , then 22nd , then 23rd, there were earthquakes higher than Mag 6.2, each of these days.  According to the information provided by the USGS, the hypocenters migrated to the north, and coincidentally the strongest earthquake of April 1st, was the northernmost too . After the big earthquake, the region continues moving, there was  a  Mag 7.6 earthquake on the 3rd of April.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 26 2015 at 11:25am
This movie is coming out coming friday May 29 http://m.imdb.com/title/tt4547120/


Still pressure build-up in pacific. Events on US and Chili-coast indicate pressure from pacific-plate. Also this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tamu_Massif
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 27 2015 at 10:02pm
From Dutchsinse on Facebook: 

A dramatic silencing off of earthquakes has occurred in a short amount of time (past 24 hours).

Forecast expires early on the 28th.. just a few more hours left in the forecast from the 21st.

Scroll down on my wall for a recap of events this past week ... out of the 12 areas named, again.. 9 areas were hit.

3 same areas did NOT move ... same goes for the previous forecast.

Thus.. Vancouver BC, Philippines/Taiwan, and Mexico.. still silent... to me, this is not a "good" thing.. since there should be some movement at these locations.. instead NOTHING.

Rather, the areas adjacent to each area which did NOT move all showed excessive activity. For instance, the whole of the West coast moved between both watch points with multiple 4.0M+ earthquakes at SEVERAL dormant volcanoes.

I was watching Baja California (South California ) for a near 6.0M event.. instead Las Vegas (South Nevada) was hit by a 5.4m and multiple events at a dormant volcano.

Just one state over from the expected area, we saw the expected movement (5.4M). Somewhat of a hit on the forecast zone, but still no movement near Mexico city like expected.

A new eruption in Central / South America at the Galapagos, and an noteworthy earthquake struck at San Pedro volcano in Chile.. now reports of a possible eruption coming in Chile... just as expected.

We are still watching Nepal for possible large movement for an additional 2 days beyond today (due to the deep Japan earthquake from 2 days ago).

Overall, the movement this past week was very noteworthy.. 4.0M in England... 4.7M in Kansas... 5.4M in Nevada... multiple 6.8M in Papua New Guinea.. noteworthy earthquake in South Japan (downtown Tokyo).. major activity at mount Hakone near Tokyo, several 4.0M up the West coast of California/Oregon .. several earthquakes at dormant volcanoes in the United States... several East coast earthquakes in Quebec, Maine, and New Hampshire... earthquakes in Turkey near the Caspian Sea... mid-atlantic ridge movement South of the Canary Islands (6.3M + swarm), and a swarm of events in South Europe / Greece (multiple 4.0M to 5.0M ).

Again, no movement at all near Vancouver, North Philippines, or near Mexico City.... still a few hours left before the full 7 days is up.

Will have a new forecast and recap of the past week video out by tomorrow AM.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 27 2015 at 10:07pm
In my opinion Dutchsinse has credibility, he admits that his expectations are sometimes not correct. I did not study his predictions in every detail but what he is claiming in my opinion is just as correct as weatherforcasts. And for earthquekes and volcanic activity that is very good. 

On the other hand you have to ask what is a "normal pattern" of earthquakes. On https://seismicenergy.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/the-seismic-behavior-of-the-planet-in-april/ a blogger from Chili evaluates April 2015 and Chili had an 8+ earthquake. When I want to warn people for "strong earthquake" what do I mean (and how long should that warning stand, have a use) ? 

My warning is based on several facts; eventhough Dutchsinse forecasts started it later developments convinced me he may have a point. "Reality-check" has to be a basic thing when you give a warning (for earthquakes, pandemics etc.) Commercial interests, the release of a movie, that profit from some "hysteria" over earthquakes can encourage people to come up with less realistic stories. 

Again, looking at historical facts and geological information Chili and Japan run the major mega-earthquake risk. Alaska and maybe even Turkey/Greece Indonesia/Philipines and New Zealand run more risk that the "home of western movie culture"California. For the US the 1700 megaquake was for the coast of Washington/Oregon. The 1906 San Francisco quake was a 7.8 and the fire that came after the quake might have been the major disaster. The 1989 quake had a magnitude of 6.9. 


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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