Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
The collapse |
Post Reply |
Author | |
Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Offline Points: 95317 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
Posted: June 25 2018 at 2:44am |
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-24/trumps-doomsday-gamble-china-trade-war
DJ-Will the US-China/rest of the world trade-war end up in real war ? https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-24/trump-drops-new-bomb-trade-war-plans-restrict-china-investment-us-firms I do not think so. Since the two causes for the bankruptcy of the US can not be solved in a military way, the US did export labour to low-income countries away from the US-for decades, is fighting costly wars for decades, the US policy should go for damage-controll to the maximum. From tradewar on solar panels with China and South Korea, steel with the EU and India, German cars, even tradewars with Canada and Mexico the US is in a defensive. The petro-$ is history-and the US does not have a plan "B". Russia-Iran-China are cooperating more and more in a military way. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization, including Pakistan, India, soon proberbly Turkey-is moving in the same direction. Europe-Asia-Africa do use "lines of communication" on land (rail)ways-so a strong US navy has a limited value. Russian and Chinese weapons are proving often to be of better quality and cost a fraction (sometimes only 5%) of the US alternative. The US is thus losing all of its controls-US-petro$, military and economic power, weapon-deals against a group of nations-the SCO-(a.o.) that involves almost half of all the people on this planet and close to 50% of the global trade. Besides that-the US seems to be very vulnarable to disasters, from hurricanes-linked to climate change, earthquakes and volcanic activity linked to fracking. More fossil fuel production by the US is a short term form of selfdestruction and pushes even further away countries like Saudi Arabia, UAE and the few "friends" the US has left. There may come limited military confrontations between the US and Russia, China, Iran. In Syria Putin is showing a strategy to "choose your battle"-this will go for other coming confrontations. A US missile-strike in wich most missiles do not reach their target may do more damage to the US than to go for full confrontation. If the US want to send some ships/planes into the South China Sea-so be it-China may put some pressure but will not seek all-out war. China may stop trade with the US increase trade with India-so the US may need to find cheap products elsewere. On the longer term http://www.thebigwobble.org/2018/06/fukushima-has-changed-our-world-forever.html there are global challenges-the US does not want to see. Dealing with climate change on a global scale (even when the US does not want to cooperate) will be a priority. (The world will not buy US fossil fuels-to expensive, to much conflicts and on the longer term unwelcome). The US may slip into "a second class player" (just like the UK did after world war 2) unless it is able to deal with the rest of the world in a more constructive manner. |
|
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
|
Post Reply | |
Tweet
|
Forum Jump | Forum Permissions You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot create polls in this forum You can vote in polls in this forum |