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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic; Now tracking the Aussie Flu.

This will change

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Kilt5 View Drop Down
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    Posted: December 12 2017 at 12:24pm

No Change in Human-to-Human H7N9 Transmission Risk Over Time

Contagionlive.com-4 hours ago
Despite the increase in the number of human infections with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus during the fifth epidemic in China, a new study suggests ... of clusters with probable human-to-human transmission during 2013–2017 suggest no change in human-to-human H7N9 virus transmission risk over time.
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CRS, DrPH View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 12 2017 at 3:19pm
Originally posted by Kilt5 Kilt5 wrote:

No Change in Human-to-Human H7N9 Transmission Risk Over Time

Contagionlive.com-4 hours ago
Despite the increase in the number of human infections with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus during the fifth epidemic in China, a new study suggests ... of clusters with probable human-to-human transmission during 2013–2017 suggest no change in human-to-human H7N9 virus transmission risk over time.

We need some more reassortment first, Kilt!  

Don't worry, it will happen.  Throw some swine into the genetic mix and *BOOM!!* Dead
CRS, DrPH
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Kilt5 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kilt5 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 28 2017 at 4:18pm
I don't agree

There are two ways it mutates - by shift and  or by drift

So far its all drift and it has kept drifting and will keep drifting to the point it only has to make a couple more genetic changes and its a human pandemic virus.

Drift is when it does it all slowly and Shift is when it re-assorts when it meets another flu virus

both are possible but both work

it can drift to a human flu
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