Click to Translate to English Click to Translate to French  Click to Translate to Spanish  Click to Translate to German  Click to Translate to Italian  Click to Translate to Japanese  Click to Translate to Chinese Simplified  Click to Translate to Korean  Click to Translate to Arabic  Click to Translate to Russian  Click to Translate to Portuguese


Forum Home Forum Home > General Discussion > General Discussion > Off Topic Discussion
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - War on the horizon
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login

Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic

War on the horizon

 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <1 1516171819 21>
Author
Message
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2018 at 11:03am
Syria

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-11/israel-preparing-war-north-boosts-air-defenses-warns-iran DJ-A very likely scenario could be Israel creating a buffer east of the Golan Heights (and in Lebanon). Such a scenario will bring major conflict, Damascus is less than 50 kilometrers from the Golan Heights. 

https://www.debka.com/iranian-saegheh-drone-syria-worry-us-well-israel/ DJ-Israeli story on the Iran-drone that started the saturday-"incidents". The Iran-drone did pick up/transmit data on US and Israeli defense electronics-was a product of Iran and China based on a US drone Iran managed to take over. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/israel-boosts-air-defenses-north/
DJ-Israel is preparing for (further) war (and would not do so without US support. Both the US and Israel can and will not Russia/Iran be the winner in Syria-to much to loose for the both of them.)


Korea

A piece missing last week should have been about the opening of the Winter Olympics in Korea. The North and the South started with a united team and emphasized the peacefulness of the games. U.S. Vive President Pence made an ass out of himself when he triedand failed, to party-poop the opening festivities with the South Korean president Moon and the well represented North Korean delegation. Kim Yo Jong, the polite sister of the North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, made an excellent impression.

Before Pence came to South Korea he was in Japan to visit the militaristic Prime Minister Abe, a figure widely despised in South Korea. Abe promptly suggested to immediately restart U.S.-South Korean maneuvers which would lead to a restart of nuclear and missile testing in the North.

But the South under President Moon wants -like the North- peace and not a war that would again devastate the country. By now Kim Yo Jong and the North Korean cheerleader squad have gained more sympathy points in South Korea than Pence and Abe combined. How long will it take for the U.S. to decide to "regime change" Moon for some more compliant and belligerent person?

In order to counter China’s rise, the US has also established strong trade and military ties with India.

India has begun holding trilateral naval exercises with the US and Japan that military experts say could eventually include Australia as well.

China is in a territorial dispute with India and with some of its other neighbors in the East and South China Sea. While strengthening its military, the country has been seeking a peaceful rise to a global power status.

In January, Admiral Harry Harris, the head of the US military’s Pacific Command, said China was a “disruptive” power in the Indo-Pacific region and needed to be confronted.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2018 at 9:36pm
Middle East

Israeli News Live on his sources for the news Netanyahu may need to resign, go to prison today, monday. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WlveLB9EST8 (DJ-like most of this kind of news/speculation/info I see it as a possible scenario-not a certainty. But Netanyahu is facing corruption charges-this may influence his decision making. A war could keep him in power. I'm sorry to say but we had several western leaders (Berlusconi-Italy, Sarkozy-France) that would go to far to stay in power.)

(DJ-US is in fact out of Middle East peace proces, even for Israel !) After the downing of the IDF-F16 Netanyahu spoke to Rex Tillerson for the US bur got Putin (the Russian leader-not Lavrov FM) in Russia. Netanyahu and Putin did have a lot of talks the last few years. Would Israel give up on the US when Russia can provide peace AND safety for all of the region ?)

DJ-Russia has split up the wars in/for Syria into several conflicts-stays-as good as it can-sort of neutral in the Turkish-Kurdish conflict, the Arab-Israel conflict. Russia is not even blind pro-Assad, willing to convince Assad to step down when it would save Syria. The Russian intervention in Syria made the East-West conflict more open. (The US-Israel started the "civil"war /regime change to secure Qatar/KSA energy to the EU instead of Russian energy.)

https://sputniknews.com/asia/201802121061568339-china-plans-bigger-role-syria/ :Earlier, the Syrian Minister of Transport told Sputnik that after fixing the transport network within the country, the construction of a railway line to China might be possible.


Russia-US


Korea


http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/12/552076/north-korea-south-korea-kim-jongun-seoul-winter-olympicsUS Secretary of Defense James Mattis says says a temporary warming of relations between North Korea and South Korea could not drive a  “wedge" between the United States and South Korea. (DJ-The US in defense ? The improved Korean relations (due to Trump, Abe pressure for war) as a risk for the US ?) 
(DJ-Will the US support a coup by Admiral Song if PM Moon visits NK ?)
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2018 at 6:29am
Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-turkish-foreign-minister-mevlut-cavusoglu-threatensUS for giving support to Kurds (and enlisting former IS fighters to SDF to fight Turkey).






DJ-In Syria there are several conflicts going on at the same time-with several "groups" involved. What I (DJ) find remarkable is the amount of contacts between Netanyahu and Putin. I could speculate-nothing more than that-that Israel would prefer more Russian influence in Syria if that would decrease Iran influence. Netanyahu can not say that "in the open" because the US does hate the idea. 

There must also be growing pressure from Iran and Russia on Erdogan and Assad to have talks. Inside Turkey several groups (left wing, also secular, Alevites, Christians) would welcome such talks. It would also mean discussing the position of pro-Turkish groups inside Syria. (From Turkman-a minority going back to the Ottoman-Empire time to Muslim-extremists. Erdogan in Turkey is backed both by Islamists and Nationalists. He has to make up his mind. Turkey is spending a lot of money in the Syria-war-rewards are conditional, Russian/Iranian oil/gas "Turkstream"pipelines, S-400 air-defense on (Russian) credit. Russia and Iran (and China) need Turkey but Turkey/Erdogan can not do without Russia and Iran. 

With the US trying to become the largest oil-exporter on the globe the US-position in the Middle East did change as well. It is pushing Saudi Arabia towards Russia and China, China is the largest energy-consumer in the world. 

Netanyahu is facing corruption-charges-he may need a crisis to stay in power, may need to avoid a war to stay in power and could welcome "improved relations" with India. 

On the long term-most likely-all Middle East countries do need some peace and stability to recover from wars and restore trade-relations. Russia and China are in a position to bring conditions for peace and stability, economic growth. The US is NOT in such a position. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/trump-jerusalem-negotiation-table-180212052249924.html

Foreign policy "stupidity"by the US did make the Philipines, Pakistan, Turkey-maybe now South Korea and maybe even Israel/Saudi Arabia look if Russia and China can offer a better deal. (US)Trade) wars do not make friends-offering economic oppertunities does make friends.

What to expect the coming weeks ? The US would like to stop Russia gaining more influence in the Middle East-but is alone in that position. Russia can and does control Iran, Turkey-to a certain limit also Israel and Saudi Arabia (a.o. via the oil-price, weapon deals KSA willing to buy Russian weapons). According to some reports Russia has ( a basis for) military bases in Lebanon, Egypt. (DJ-In the last few years Russia could also use an Iran Airbase for actions in Syria) Via Russia-Iran-Turkey talks, Sochi-peace conferences etc. Russia will start dominating the Middle East. 

Putin did manage to stay out of conflicts (within other conflicts) that were not in the interest of Russia. He may be even willing to ask the US if they would accept a Russian general to be in command (and protect) US troops in Syria and Iraq. 

The US position in the Middle East (a.o. by the Jerusalem stand, but also with the US being the major oil-exporter (to a. o. China !) has totally changed (The US was a major importer for oil/gas, did sell weapons). The US did not bring peace and is unable to do so now even more than a few years ago. 

Just like South Korea also Israel is not willing to "offer its existance" for US goals. Israel wants to limit Iran but knows a war would bring an end to Israel-Russia may have the better alternative. So Israel does not start a war against Russia in Syria. 

The outcome can be that the US "can park its troops"in the Middle East but it may not be able to do much more without Russian permission. China and Pakistan-together with Russia and Iran will start peace-talks on Afghanistan (excluding the US most likely). 

China's plans for a market from Japan to Patagonia may turn out to have to much momentum for the US to stop it-The US better join it. The "New World Order"could turn out different than what the US was hoping for. The US could start a new war somewere, intensify old conflicts, put sanctions-but with what goal ? 

Europe depends on Russian oil and gas, Europe is a main-investor in Iran, in Korea all parties want to avoid war. 

The Ukraine needs Russian gas(transports) and credits eventhough they are (almost) at war with Russia. This position will stop without US support. The US wants to dominate the world but the only way to play a major role is by having trade-not trade wars.  
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2018 at 10:19pm
Iraq

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/12/552171/US-Iraq-reconstruction-conference DJ; the US seems not to be willing to pay for rebuilding Iraq. https://iraq.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-us-military-requests-14bn-for-iraq-syria-train Only wants to spend billions on "military solutions and occupation"-this is not making Arab-or other-States "happy", they will think twice before asking the US for intervention.

Israel/Palestine

Palestinians can choose who they want to have talks with-when they exclude the US-that may become a US problem.
-Israel wants the US to "pay" for Israel's support-first the US had to decide on Jerusalem, now Netanyahu "would like" US support for annexation of the West Bank. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/13/552190/US-rejects-Netanyahu-annexation-talks-claim. DJ-The US giving in on Israeli wishes is pushing the US out of any negotation-position with Arab/Muslim-countries. 

US-Turkey

Rex Tillerson is touring the Middle East NOT visiting Israel (they are not happy with that) http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-us-relations-heading-toward-close-combat-in-syria-mhp-chair-127192 US-Turkish relations are getting close to breakingpoint. https://southfront.org/professor-ivo-hristov-turkey-is-doing-the-dirty-work-of-russia-in-afrin-interview-part-2/ DJ-You could claim that Turkey is fighting Syrian Kurds so Russia/Syria/Iran/Hezbollah would not have to do that "dirty work" to bring Syria under Assad control. 
(DJ-The Kurds have two choices; 1 fight the Turks or 2 accept Assad. While doing 1 they have talks on 2-the more pressure by the Kurds the more (some) Kurdish groups may be willing to deal with Assad. 
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-today-the-arrival-of-a-us-arms-convoy-from-50 DJ-Most likely via Iraq the US is sending weapons to the Kurds-wich end up being used against NATO-partner Turkey. 

From the Kurdish side; https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/12-february-kurdish-units-call-on-the-syrian-government-to and https://southfront.org/media-us-led-coalition-airstrikes-mistakenly-kill-300-kurdish-fighters-en-eastern-syria/ (DJ-Most likely the numbers of killed are incorrect but if the US did bomb the Kurds do they see it as a mistake or is the US doing it for Turkey ? )

Syria

The february 7 US airstrikes against pro-Assad forces in eastern Syria may not only have killed many Kurds. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-12/russian-fighters-killed-clash-us-led-coalition-forces-syria also Russian (bridgebuilders). For pro-Assad forces Kurds working with IS make Kurds same as IS. https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-february-12-2018-new-round-of-syrian-israeli-escalation-f-16i-shootdown/
(DJ-Erdogan wants to return the over 2 milion Syrian refugees in Turkey to Syria-former Kurdish held area's).


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2018 at 8:29am
Syria
Feb-7 https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-13/us-strikes-kill-100-russian-soldiers-syria (DJ-it looks like something serious happened last wednesday-feb 7-but many stories, limited proof) may have caused the feb 10 escalation with Syria shooting down a IDF-F16. see also http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/13-february-update-us-mq9-reaper-drone-destroyed-russianmade


https://www.rt.com/news/418649-alnusra-white-helmets-chemical-provocation/ DJ-A false flag would give the US an excuse for (a form of) intervention (maybe joined by France-but Israel would prefer to go after Iran targets, US may be wanting to go for Russian targets). On the MI6 "White Helmets" see below.


Netherlands

https://www.rt.com/news/418689-dutch-quits-putin-lie/ DJ-You can not claim to have been present in Putin's dacha in 2006 and give what you did NOT hear an incorrect interpretation. Jeroen van der Veer -ex CEO Royal Dutch Shell Oil claims the (now ex) FM give Putins words "the wrong twist" (for political reasons.) The Dutch FM was supposed to meet Russian FM Lavrov-you can not have serious talks with a basis this kind of lies.https://www.rt.com/news/418556-dutch-minister-lie-putin/

China-India


Turkey-Cyprus/Greece


White Helmets

What is it with White Helmets and Chemical Weapons. Don't they get sick of using the same script, blaming others and believing they can get away with it all? Or is that all they have left, following the success of Russia in Syria.

Who funds the White Helmets?

Thumbnail

European Union donates €4.6 million to OPCW Special Missions and the UN-OPCW Joint Investigative Mechanism... https://www.opcw.org/news/a...

Out of 193 UN Member States, why is it only 12 and the EU that are sponsoring the OPCW Joint Investigative Mechanism? 12 UN Member States, that also have interests in pillaging the natural resources of Syria.

Now who were the 12 nations, besides the EU, who sponsor OPCW JIM?

France 
Germany 
Netherlands 
Israel 
New Zealand 
Sweden 
Switzerland 
UK 
US 
Saudi Arabia 
Canada 
Australia

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2018 at 11:56am
Israel

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-13/israeli-police-recommend-netanyahu-be-indicted-bribery, https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/police-set-to-publish-recommendations-in-netanyahu-corruption-probes-1.5812016 DJ-Being the sociopath he is Netanyahu was dealing in national interest while accepting private gifts. He fits in the category of Zuma (South Africa), Erdogan, Trump, Berlusconi and many more-persons that discredit politics. https://www.truthdig.com/articles/deadly-rule-oligarchs/

US-Syria

(DJ-When there is any thruth in reports like https://southfront.org/video-us-led-coalition-strikes-positions-of-syrian-government-forces-in-deir-ezzor-province/ with numbers of people killed going up to 600-maybe propaganda/damaging Putin-Russia/Iran will "react")

Korea-US

(DJ-US preparing to deal with NK nukes with or without South Korea-parallel with US going to deal with Russia in Syria with or without Israel (the US may have started last wednesday-feb 7)

France-Syria


Turkey-Greece


US-China


Israel-US

The Trump administration is growing increasingly irrelevant because it has neither a coherent set of policies nor people competent to implement them. In Syria, Israel is going to share the price


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2018 at 10:30pm
Syria

DJ-If there was any proof of a major blow to pro-Assad forces due to US-airstrikes wednesday feb.7 in Deir Ezzour-East Syria it would have surfaced. The (pro-western) media claiming massive loss of (Russian, Iranian) fighters are the same media reporting Assad using chemical weapons, gas-attacks-on his own citizens. Most likely last wednesday US attacks on pro-Assad forces were (very) limited.

When (western) media reports have any thruth in it-or not-those reports give Russia and Iran excuse for "stronger stands". Syrian very active air-defense saturday feb-10 may have been a surprise for Israel. Israel can no longer use Syrian airspace without risk. 

Israel wants to control Hezbollah, Iran-Russia can be of use for them-for Israel the US did not do enough to protect Israel. The US needs Israel, Jordan, KSA, even Turkey, to keep some grip on the Middle East. 

The US is getting under pressure to explain what the US is doing in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan. Turkey may ask for NATO-help to fight against Kurds from outside NATO-territory. (DJ-If Russia was doing what the US now is doing in Syria NATO would react in a very different way.)

Putin's strategy may be that Turkey could split NATO, Russia be the main negotiation partner for the Middle East for Israel, Saudi Arabia (and Turkey, Iran). 

Korea

DJ-Trumps strategy for Making America Great Again seems to demand all global trade goes on US-terms. Of course this will bring conflicts-Trump seems to see that as part of the deal. As long as the US has enough to offer for the rest of the world-and the conflicts do stay in control-the US strategy might work. 
(DJ-Trump is very wrong on climate change-using fossil fuels to Make America Great Again is unacceptable and shortsighted. Renewables are the future, not oil and gas. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/13/552272/Germany-Air-Pollution-Public-Transport)
http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/13/552285/Pyongyang-nuclear-program-existential-threat-US The US-war-of-words on NK may be meant to push Russia and China (further) on dealing with NK. 
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/02/does-climate-change-cause-more-war/553040/ Climate change does bring war. War for water, food, due to refugees, dams, energy etc. (DJ-Climate change is now out of control-the best hope may be in "buying time" slow-down the proces-but even this is very-over-optimistic.)

DJ-Israel can not start a war-on its own-against Iran and expect an easy victory. War with Iran-even with Hezbollah (with 150.000 missiles aimed at Israel-according to some reports-to be fired in one major attack in case of war) would most likely be the end of Israel. 
The US attacking North Korea would bring conflict with both Russia and China. Even when this would not become World War 3 such a war could bring that much damage (and isolation) to the US (the EU could switch side-start dealing with Russia and China) the price is that high the US will try to avoid this scenario. 

Problem of course is that humans sometimes make mistakes. India-Pakistan-China, Iran-Saudi Arabia, Ukraine-Russia https://sputniknews.com/europe/201802141061632008-ukraine-maidan-georgian-snipers-evidence/ or other conflicts could get out of control.
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2018 at 11:55am
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2018 at 1:05am
Israeli News Live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvLz-CJrsmw and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_iwuZiO-zY Russia moving ICBM's to North Korea border area. (DJ-Those Inter Continental Ballistic Missiles could be used against an "invasion fleet" gathering of carriers" or Navy Stations a few thousend miles from Korea-DJ-Russia WILL use those ICBM's when the US (a.o.) does attack NK (without some sort of agreement with Russia). 

My impressionDJ-Eventhough the number of Russian private contractors being killed wednesday feb 7 in Eastern Syria most likely will be between 5 and 20 (and not "hundreds") the US attack on these pro-Assad forces that day are seen as a form of betrayel by the US. https://southfront.org/moscow-calls-on-media-not-to-rely-on-misinformation-on-developments-in-syria/

Private contractors are "easy to deny"-fighters doing the "dirty work" (Blackwater did the same in Iraq, is fighting Russian "Wagner"-group in the Ukraine). Still Putin can not act like nothing happened. 

Russia, Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, Afghan- and Pakistan (Shia)-fighters may be preparing to move into the southern part of East Syria (a lot of the Kurds did move to Afrin NW-Syria to fight the Turks-SE Syria now may be "defended"by Arab Tribes, former IS-fighters etc. backed by the US. Some of the Arab-tribes may be willing to join pro-Assad groups). 

Turkey may be considering moving into NE Syria against (more) Kurdish/US forces. (And at the same time try to hinder US using Turkish facilities). 

The Iraq-border-now the main logistics route for US forces in Syria may get blocked. 

Putin's message: (to the US) You do not .... with us !

Israel knows Russia has the cards in the Middle East, Erdogan wants the US to stop supporting the Kurds-may be tired of "words only". Iran wants to make clear they want to keep influence in the region. (DJ-Even for Israel it may get hard to understand why the US keeps it troops in East Syria. There is oil there but no need for US pressence.https://southfront.org/us-state-secretary-control-over-oil-fields-allows-washington-to-influence-situation-in-syria/)
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802151061679025-syria-israel-spy-planes/ Syria claims it will not allow "unwelcome" aircraft in its airspace. (Including US planes !)

Russia-China

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/saudi-arabia-novak-king-salman-talk-energy-cooperation-riyadh/ Russian-Saudi talks on oil(trade-in the petro yuan) (DJ-The US-Saudi-Israel coalition is breaking up. US is now oil producer #1, Saudi#2, Russia#3-China is facing an energy crisis they even buy US oil.)
https://sputniknews.com/science/201802151061674936-china-ai-dominance-white-house-silent/ DJ-China and South Korea already have good contacts in this field-US trade war is pushing South Korea further towards Russia and China. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2018 at 4:20am
Syria

(DJ-Turkey wants the US to stop helping Kurds-with a lot of words the US is saying "No")

The US-led coalition already claimed that it had foiled an attack of the Iranian-backed forces and the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) on the SDF-held CONICO gas facility in the eastern Deir Ezzor countryside on February 7. However, new reports suggested that Iran and the SAA are currently massing bigger forces near key oil and gas facilities in the eastern and southern Deir Ezzor countryside.

It’s unclear if the SAA and its allies, including Iran, will launch another attack towards the SDF-held oil and gas fields in Deir Ezzor governorate. Syrian pro-government activists believe that the SAA and its allies will have to impose a no-fly zone over the fields, if they want their second attempt to be successful. However, this is hardly possible.

(DJ-Syria claims it will shoot at any foreign aircraft (Israeli, Turkish, US, France) in Syrian airspace.

There may be Russian-Israeli talks on Israel staying away from "further action in Syria").


China-US

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/15/552455/China-US-confrontational-Cui-Tiankai-Trump-South-China-Sea

Venezuela

http://theduran.com/regime-change-fails-military-coup-invasion-venezuela-next/

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2018 at 9:49pm
US-Asia


The US is in several Asian countries to put pressure on Russia and China. To have an excuse for being in the region the US used/created "terrorists". When you look at the past 5 years-from Philipines, Turkey, Pakistan now even effecting South Korea, Israel, Saudi Arabia Asian countries expect better treatment from the US. 

You can not start a tradewar with South Korea and expect South Korea to join the war-of-words against Russia, China and North Korea at the same time. Israel has a large minority with Russian background (and familycontacts) Israel is not waiting for US (proxy) attacks on Russians in Syria, many Israeli's know they need better relations in their region (and hope Russia may be helpfull).
Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Afghanistan welcome Russian and Chinese investments-better traderelations with the EU. 

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2018 at 3:01am
NATO-Russia

https://www.neweurope.eu/article/saakashvili-vows-continue-fight-to-topple-poroshenko-from-the-netherlands/ (DJ-A lot of surprise on how fast Saakashvili did get papers to be reunited with his Dutch wife-also his family is welcome to come to the Netherlans. "Some refugees are more special than other refugees"-by the way, Putin's oldest daughter Maria-also married with a Dutch partner-lives in a The Hague-suburb.)

Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-fm-cavusoglu-usturkey-coordination-will-start and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-tillerson-manbij-should-remain-under-our-control DJ-The US claims to have a right to occupy parts of a foreign country without any good reason. When the UN accepts this insanity then end of the UN is getting close !
DJ-Turkey has to make clear if they accept the Syrian State under Assad or do they want to "cut up"Syria (Iraq) in pieces.)

US-China


Cyber-war


Iran

US-Israel want new sanctions against Iran for "not stopping Iran-made weapons showing up in Yemen" (in wich Yemen was attacked by Saudi Arabia). DJ-When the UN would accept this kind of madness-the US, Israel are destroying the UN. (Just like the international sports-world is destroyed by anti-Russia hysteria). 

Pakistan (India/China triangle)


DJ; The US wants war with Russia, China and Iran. Blaming them for cyber-attacks, support of chemical weapon-use, illigaly taking control of rheir own ports (in the Crimea), and islands (South China Sea), supporting terrorism etc. It would be nice when the EU could get some control over the US-stop the insanity-not join it !
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2018 at 6:46am
Syria


-Last Saturday (February 10) the world took note as Israel sent fighter jets to pound sites in Syria after an Iranian Drone launched from inside Syria, penetrated Israeli airspace.  The world ALSO noticed that Syrian Missiles shot-down one of those Israeli F-16's, damaged a second F-16 and damaged an Israeli Apache attack helicopter. 

Today, the world gets to see something else: Israel's "Iron Dome" missile protection system . . . . could NOT shoot down those Syrian Missiles ! ! ! 

The Israeli government immediately imposed strict media CENSORSHIP on the incidents, but the truth still seeps out. 

-As the Israeli attack on Syria was proceeding and it's jet was shot down as other Syria missiles overflew Haifa and Tel Aviv, Israel decided to stop bombing after hitting  only 3 air defense batteries in Syria fearing that if IDF continued, all cities in northern Israel would come under missile attack.  Put simply, Israel got scared and stopped its attack on Syria.

-The Israeli people are not being allowed to know their vaunted "Iron Dome" proved useless against Syrian Missiles, making all of northern Israel viable targets for Syrian retaliation.

Saturday's failure of Israel's Iron Dome comes about a year after another incident in which Israel tried to destroy Syrian (probably) SAM missile with their "Arrow" air defense system. Later it was reported as failure; the Syrian warhead was not intercepted.

No one is certain as to what Israel is going to do now that they see they are actually vulnerable if they continue attacking Syria.  But vulnerable they are, for certain.

-It now appears that the US is going to work with Turkey despite severe troubles in that relationship regarding Syria.  Secretary of State Rex Tillerson met with Turk Foreign Minister Cavusaglu this week and, after that meeting, 34 additional US Air Force F-15's left Seymour Johnson AFB in North Carolina on Thursday headed to Turkey.  

While yet unconfirmed, word has reached my ear that several F-22's out of Langley Air Force Base (AFB) and several F-35's out of Eglin AFB are also headed over.

The US plans to spend $10 billion upgrading 150 Cold War-era nuclear bombs stationed in Europe, even though the weapons may be more of a security liability than a strategic deterrent, according to a new report by arms experts.

Assumptions about the safety and security of US nuclear weapons stored in Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany and Turkey have been undermined by “recent terrorist attacks and political instability,” the report, published by arms control advocacy group the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI), claims.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2018 at 1:04pm
Syria

DJ-Now the US has made a deal with Turkey the Kurds have a choice in who they want to welcome, the Turks or pro-Assad forces. https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/16-february-proassad-sources-report-a-saa-reconnaissance First SAA-pro-Assad forces already in Afrin. (DJ-Afrin is most western part of Kurdish area-only a small Turkish piece of land keeping Kurdistan from the Mediterraneansea.)

https://southfront.org/turkey-resumes-financial-support-to-free-syrian-army-and-ahrar-al-sham-in-northern-syria-report/ DJ-Erdogan now must show wich side he is on. Will he move into Syria to hand over land to the Assad-government or to occupy it-joint with the US ? 


DJ-"Things are on the move"
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2018 at 11:05pm
Syria

DJ-Very limited news from Syria. Major question is how the US-Turkey deal will work out for the Kurdish-Syrian relations. How does the US think to remove Kurds from Manbij-Kurdish held area in North Syria ? Will the US use force against the Kurds or "rename"them ?

Also in NW-Syria-Afrin unclear wether Kurds allow Syrian Arab Army entry to the region and if so-will the SAA fight the (pro)Turkish forces ?

On an international level-how are the relations between Russia, Iran and Turkey ? Do they still cooperate ? Did Putin call Erdogan ? (Did Tillerson contact Israel ?) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802171061748945-usa-kurds-syria-issue-danger/
DJ-Proberbly within the coming 24 hours we will find out wich way things develop in Syria. At best there is hope that in Afrin Russia informed Turkey that Syria is moving in-Turkey agrees to a ceasefire. Syria and Turkey have talks on the Kurds in Syria (at best the Kurds may get some form of self-rule within Syria-"Turkish (PKK) Kurds" could remain in Syria when they stop fighting in Turkey). In the worst case an all-out Syria-Turkish (Russia-NATO) war wich will involve all of the Middle East (at least).

US-Russia

DJ-If I was forced to make a choice during the US presidential elections and I only had a (very bad) choice between h. clinton and d.trump I would vote for Trump. Does this mean I am trying to influence the US election ? Are people visiting the US and having a political opinion "a danger to the US"? The US was/is behind government changes all over the world-but when "non-US-citizens" even give an opinion they are interfering with the US Presidential elections (sponsored by major companies-also from outside the US). Is the US becoming a failed state ?
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 17 2018 at 10:24pm
Israel

DJ-The conflicts in the Middle East are oil/gas/energy related (with "energy" being dams, watercontrol). Israel may be facing a two-front war-due to its own actions.

Iran

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/mcmaster-time-now-act-iran/ DJ-The main reason why there is no open war-so far-with Iran is that (learning from Iraq) even the US-Saudi-Israel coalition would find it a very hard job. 

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/17/552691/Iran-India-finalize-deal-over-control-of-Chabahar-port DJ-When India wants to deal with Europe-but does not like Pakistan to play a role in it-India deals with Iran.

China

DJ-China is facing a major energy-crisis. Renewable energy is only a small drop in a big demand. So China is buying buying "energy", raw materials, food-production capacity (=land, farms-China is taking over Africa) all over the world. http://www.atimes.com/article/chinas-new-silk-roads-reach-latin-america//. With 20% of the world-population being Chineese they have to move on this road for growth. (A collission with the US-eventhough the US bacame the largest global oil-producer thanks to China-is hard to avoid. Russia and China complement eachother very well-combined they control the world-not (longer) the US.)

Syria

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-prepares-largest-offensive-2018/ DJ-Since Turkey now dominates NW Syria, with talks between Turkey, US, Russia, Iran, Kurds-Syria has limited "fronts"to be active at. https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/two-largest-rebel-groups-may-merge-northern-syria/
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2018 at 10:04pm
Russian PMC

https://southfront.org/russian-mercenaries-syria-around-world/ DJ; Private Military Contractors can be used by states when states can/will not use their own military. From anti-piracy in Somalia to special operations in Ukraine, Syria PMC's are a way to "work outside international law". (The legal position of a PMC most likely can be seen as an armed foreign citizen doing terrorism-so for that "normal armies" provide a better legal status. The (former) Blackwater company may have taken a "major"position in Saudi Arabia (become a state within a state), Wagner/Vagner-the Russian PMC-group makes money out of oil-deals in eastern Syria. PMC's are a step in privatizing wars-with possible PMC-groups fighting each other. (From history point PMC's are an old phenomenon. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercenary)

Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-february-reportedly-terms-set-by-the-syrian-government DJ-The Assad-regime and Afrin Kurds seem to have made a deal in wich the Syrian Arab Army will take over control of Afrin and defend Syria against Turkey. The Kurds have to-pracital become members of the SAA-most likely for Turkey to even think of accepting such a deal. 
For Syria this may form a first step in reaching agreement with the other Kurdish groups inside Syria. (So the SAA has to treat the Kurdish fighters very well-already Kurdish fighters wounded in Afrin go to Syrian hospitals. There is fighting between pro-Assad forces and the Syrian Democratic Front (SDF) in SE Syria-but here (under US control) the SDF is no longer (mostly) Kurdish-the US may have renamed IS groups, Arab tribes sometimes forced to join IS-into SDF.)

see also; https://sputniknews.com/news/201802181061785987-afrin-kurds-syria-army-unified/, https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802181061786239-turkey-syria-territorial-integrity/, https://sputniknews.com/news/201802181061788534-ypg-syria-afrin-turkish-jets/ (DJ-There are some claims Russia may not (yet) fully agree on the Syrian-Kurdish deal-Russia may want to discuss this deal with Turkey. Turkey and Syria have no diplomatic relations-unlike Jordan (Jordan and Syria all during the war in Syria had their embassies open in Amman and Damascus). 


Israel

DJ-Another missile attack from Gaza. Israel may face a two front war.

https://southfront.org/hezbollah-media-wing-in-syria-releases-video-threatening-to-strike-israeli-offshore-oil-gas-operations/ DJ-Lebanon and Israel disagree on oil/gas production. Hezbollah is the main military group in Lebanon. 

https://southfront.org/israel-is-ready-to-act-against-iran-if-necessary-pm/ DJ-On the last day of the Munich-Germany Security Conference (a.o. also Poroshenko- Ukraine renewed contacts/support) Netanyahu claimed a drone shot down over the Golan heights was from Iran and entered Israeli airspace. 

Turkey

http://www.atimes.com/article/hold-sunday-put-check-turkey-reaches/ DJ-Turkey may get overstretched. They want/have military presence in Qatar, Sudan, Syria and Iraq, Libya (DJ-Most likely on intelligence bases also working for Turkish minority interests in Ukraine, Bulgaria, Greece, Cyprus). 
DJ-Turkey wants to secure its southern/eastern borders to control the fight against Kurdish separatists inside Turkey. But a war is very expensive-so for Turkey there are limits.

China

DJ-With the Chinese economy becoming the largest in the world, China also paying for energy in Yuan (instead of the petro-dollar), 20% of the global population being Chinese, China-Russia working together to create global influence (by trade relations) the US is "under pressure".


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2018 at 6:06am
Syria

DJ-Turkey may stop (most) of its operations in (NW, or just Afrin ?) Syria when there is a deal between the (Kurdish) YPG and the Assad government. 
Turkey once got involved in the Syria war to support US plans for a Qatar-Europe oil/gas line. Erdogan worked with IS, alquada (the Erdogan clan made money out of oil transported by IS (etc.) out of Iraq and Syria and sold (at low prices) on the international oil market. (France FINA did buy IS-oil during the IS attacks in Paris, Israel still gets lots of oil from (SDF-US/IS) eastern Syria via Iraq)
In southern Syria the main roads between Damascus and Amman (Jordan) and Damascus and Baghdad are-for a part-under "rebel"/US control-this is not only doing damage to Syria but also to the regions economy. Jordan, Iraq are limited in doing business with Turkey. 

US

DJ-Internationaly more and more the US is seen as a problem. Does the US want trade or war ? 
The EU needs Russian energy, trade with China and Iran-when this means US sanctions against European companies (of course) this will effect relations in NATO etc. 

US-Russia

http://thesaker.is/the-black-sea-development-navy-brief-2-18-february-2018/ DJ-US navy activity in the Black Sea (see also https://liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-february-lnr-group-ukrainian-army-is-preparing-wide-scale DJ-Poroshenko-Kiev junta under pressure from inside Ukraine due to corruption, failed economy, no end to war etc.)
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 19 2018 at 11:32pm
Syria

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/552962/President-Rouhani-Turkey-Erdogan-Syria, DJ-Erdogan/Turkey is in (constant) talks with Russia and Iran on Syria-while for the moment escalating the war in Afrin (to put more pressure on the Kurds). http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/20/552948/turkey-syria-afrin-kurds-deny. DJ-Since the talks with the Kurds are about giving up any idea of a Kurdish state in short term these will be hard talks. -Turkey wants certainty that the Kurdish uprising in Turkey itself will not be supplied from Syria or Iraq. -The Kurds want maximum self-rule, would like to have their own "armed force" (maybe called militia, Kurdish Police). -Syria wants to control its country-not help creating a federal state with a Kurdish part out of Damascus control. -Russia would like to know what is expected of them-form a bridge between Syria and Turkey. -Iran has a large Kurdish minority and is also looking at how the talks in Syria unfold.
The outcome could be that armed Kurdish groups get away from the Turkish border, pro-Assad forces take over control of the Syrian-Turkish border (maybe not the SAA-government army, maybe even Russia can play a role (just like Russia could play a role in the Israel/Syria/Golan region)-and maybe-for the moment-this only goes for the Afrin-Kurdish held area.) https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061823113-syrian-army-afrin-deployment-turkey/

https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/19-february-eastern-ghouta-number-of-air-strikes-and-locations Syrian pro-Assad forces in full scale offensive in Eastern Damascus region. 

Jordan

DJ-The US would like to see Jordan becoming a member of an Arab-NATO-like group (with Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Egypt). Jordan will not say "no" to this plan-since talks on this US "plan/insanity" will bring in a lot of money. Of course Jordan will not seek confrontation with Saudi Arabia-the southern neighbour. But since Saudi Arabia is involved in a lot of wars Jordan wants to stay out-no way Jordan will-for real-join such a coalition. (Maybe just in words-Jordan does not want to give up the West Bank, East Jerusalem-the US might be willing to give this Jordan-land to Israel. Amman still has Syrian Embassy and a Jordan Embassy in Damascus. A sort of "neutrality" under (western) pressure-with the US/UK training "rebels" in Jordan.)

Lebanon

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061820964-lebanon-army-threat-israel/DJ-Lebanon-Israel disagree on a wall Israel wants to build on land that Lebanon claims is theirs-also disagreement on a oil/gas field of the coast. (DJ-Russia did sign a deal giving Russia access to Lebanon air/navybases).

US


Global

And while there have been times in recent years when the MSC demonstrated signs of hope and optimism, none of that was evident this year. This year’s motto “To the Brink – and Back?”- which seems to be an accurate portrayal of the current geopolitical situations in most regions. After several days of senior decision-makers bickering back and forth, the negativity in the atmosphere only means one thing: A global conflict between nuclear superpowers is lingering.

“I was hoping when I opened this conference on Friday that, in concluding the conference, I would be able to say we can delete the question mark. In other words: ‘We are back from the brink,'” former German diplomat Wolfgang Ischinger said in closing remarks of the MSC. “I’m actually not sure we can say that,” he added.

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
Dutch Josh View Drop Down
Senior Advisor Group
Senior Advisor Group


Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 31017
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2018 at 10:48am
Syria

Fierce fighting east of Damascus and in NW Syria.

Most likely in Goutha https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-at-least-110-civilians-were-killed-as-result and Idlib (were the MI6 "White Helmets" with alquada are planning a chemical attack) escalation of fighting could bring "the west" to claim "they have to save humans" (while the "west"started the war). 

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/20-february-president-erdoan-says-a-small-proassad-militant in NW Syria a small group of pro-Assad (and pro-Iran) fighters moved in - Turkey claimed they have pulled out again (?)-DJ-Will NATO claim a NATO country is being under attack by Syrian/Iran-forces ? 


DJ-There is very serious risk for (major) western intervention in Syria (moving into conflict with Iran and Russia). https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201802201061845953-syria-russian-center-militant-attack/in Damascus


Israel/Gaza


https://www.defconwarningsystem.com/phpBB3/viewforum.php?f=6&sid=ad95eb86c49f9ae391040986c06971e4 (and many others trying to keep up with -most likely-serious escalation of Syria-war. DJ-It is unclear how the situation in Eastern Syria-SDF (US-"zone"-but the US will be no match when the YPG-Kurds, some Arab tribes and pro-Assad forces would work together (to stop Turkish action) will work out. 


US-EU Trade War

Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <1 1516171819 21>
  Share Topic   

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down