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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

War on the horizon

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 17 2018 at 11:11pm
DJ; to make my point clear, Afghanistan just one of many examples (Iraq, South Korea, Libya, Syria)from http://katehon.com/article/trump-afghan-policy-aimed-taliban-or-china

China plans: 

For its part, the current government in Kabul is very eager to discuss joining China’s Economic Silk Road project. In October, 2017 Kabul hosted a forum of mayors of cities along the historic silk road and discussed the prospects of joining the China project. Among the projects in discussion between China, Pakistan and Afghanistan a Peshawar-Kabul motorway, the Landi Kotal-Jalalabad Railway, the Chaman-Speen Boldak Railway, a hydropower dam on Kunar River, the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan electricity transmission line, and the trans-Afghan highway to Central Asia from Peshawar, Pakistan. These projects, along with the Logar-Torkham Railway line, would be a part of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Clearly this would create a far more stable dynamic than the present US strategy of endless fighting.

US:

Washington these days has little positive to offer to the nations of Afghanistan or Pakistan. Threats, more troops, cuts in aid are not what is gaining the interest of those countries. Economic development is, and there is no development more attractive than that of building infrastructure corridors linking Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, and potentially Turkey to China, Russia, select EU economies to create entire new markets and industries. To try to stop this is the real background to Washington’s recent military reversal in Afghanistan and its pressure on Pakistan, not the Taliban.


The security zone America intends to establish in Syria is doomed to fail sooner or later. How can this assertion be made and what can it be based on? Well, two main things really; history and facts on the ground.

America’s seven-decade long post WWII intensive and consecutive military gambles have all failed, and without a single exception. And even though America has learnt a big lesson in Vietnam and went into Iraq more prepared; not only in terms of fire power, but also in terms of media control and manipulation of public opinion, it also failed there. And to think that it also learned from the mistakes of the USSR in Afghanistan and adopted more lethal and effective military tactics that should work, they also failed. So why should an alleged army of 30,000 odd Kurdish YPG fighters with ill-defined American support achieve what much bigger fighting forces couldn’t?

But not only is this army that America is trying to build and establish much less potent than former similar armies, but it is also surrounded by many more opponents.

So let’s get this right. In comparison to what happened in Iraq in 2003 when America invaded, it had over 150,000 troops, state-of-the-art military hardware, a huge fleet of multinational attack ships and huge array of fighter jets and bombers, a bottomless budget and no real Iraqi army nor any resistance in existence. Yet, in no time, an “insurgence” sprouted from nowhere turning life on Iraqi soil into hell for the armies of the coalition. In short, even though Saddam was toppled, the invasion failed abysmally in achieving its full objectives.

Now, with an army of a meagre 30,000 Kurdish troops supported by America, the odds of winning against a coalition of the Syrian Army plus its allies are much less likely, if not impossible.

Some may argue that Kurds are hardened fighters and that they know the terrain very well. Whilst this is true, we need to stop and look at Syria and its allies because they too, at least most of them, are not any less hardened and locally savvy.

And speaking of America’s support, there’s no telling as to what extent it will be; let alone for how long.

Historically again, America has turned its back many times on its allies in similar circumstances, and the Kurds specifically are not strangers to finding themselves on the receiving end of betrayal by many of their former allies; including the Americans.

(DJ-On the title of this article; Erdogan of Turkey wants to be both: Islamist and Nationalist but he has to choose between supporting Sunni-extremists and the New Silk Road (with not much Islam involved)-time is ticking. Given the Turkish secular elite inside Turkey Erdogan needs to work with Russia and China to save his own head.)
 
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 18 2018 at 1:34pm
Syria

https://turkey.liveuamap.com/ Turkey getting more active on Turkey-Syria border.

https://www.rt.com/news/416278-syria-turkey-planes-threat/ Syria "not happy" with more Turkish intervention (against "Syrian" Kurds-DJ-quite a lot of the Kurds now fighting in Syria come from Turkey-some of them have PKK-links). https://southfront.org/turkey-says-will-coordinate-military-operation-afrin-iran-russia/ Russia now invites Kurds-as individuals-to Sochi peacetalks (not as members/representatives of Kurdish groups). 

https://www.rt.com/news/416316-afrin-turkey-offensive-kurds/ Most of the fighting will be done by "pro-Turkish rebels in Syria" (or Turkish soldiers acting like rebels-including special forces). Turkish-US relations will not get better soon.



DJ- Turkey may start an intervention in northern Syria and Iraq soon. If in that operation US soldiers will get killed for Turkey "the US should not have been there in the first place". Syria claim they will try to stop the Turkish army and airforce but Syria, Iran and Russia want Syria undivided-if that means a war against the Kurds (by Turkey) and also getting rid of US troops "so be it". (They will not stop Turkey, may even share information. Goal is to get the Kurds accepting Syria and Iraq as a state. If they do not do that a war with the Kurds is the consequence.)




East Asia

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-18/despite-denials-us-officials-show-6-chinese-ships-secretly-breaking-north-korean (DJ- China is allowed to transfer a very limited amount of oil to NK-to keep society going-not the military. But that transfer has to go via land.) https://southfront.org/chinese-naval-aviation-developing-a-viable-carrier-borne-strike-capability/

India


DJ-China-Pakistan work increasingly closer together. Iran and Afghanistan are getting involved. India has China in the north and a growing Islamic block of nations working with China in the west. (And there is also http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/2105440/11-projects-show-chinas-influence-over-malaysia-and-could) Tensions with one are related to the other. India not happy with China may create "incidents" on the India/Pakistan border. https://pakistan.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-january-pakistan-2-innocent-women-killed-and-5-civilian

India-for the moment is working with the US and Israel, Japan-but long term relations are with Russia. (In India Hindu-extremists are in the government https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/07/gauri-lankesh-murder-hindu-extremists-hate-crime-minorities

https://kashmir.liveuamap.com/ The Kashmir conflict is not only between India and Pakistan-China is also involved. 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 18 2018 at 9:53pm
Syria


Russia moving out of Afrin NW-Syria http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-january-pro-fsa--sources-russian-troops-have-just-totally (according to Syria live map may be a hoax-yet Russia could have observers on the ground, Russian army pressence for dealing with refugees, avoiding a genocide. )

DJ-As far as I can see the Turkish government-Erdogan-wants to minimize Kurdish risks for Turkey. In my opinion the majority of Kurds fighting in Syria for a Kurdish state may be Turkish Kurds. Syria only had a small Kurdish minority. When talks can deliver some buffer between Turkey and Kurdish held area's in Syria there may be no need for an invasion. Proberbly Turkey is having these kind of talks with the US. (The Turkish FM did meet with several US high ranks in Vancouver-Canada. Turkey and the US most likely will find a way out-to save NATO. The US does not want to loose support of the Kurds in Syria but also does not want any kind of conflict with Turkey getting out of control.)
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/turkey-increases-military-presence-border-syrias-afrin-180118160650720.html (When a military build-up can do the job there is no need for further action)

http://theduran.com/fake-identities-phoney-reporting-inside-syria-media-center/ DJ-Alternative media can become a playground for intelligence groups spreading propaganda. (DJ-One way of trying to deal with that is following many different sources. Somewere between there may be some thruth. Still secret diplomacy and military planning may come as a surprise.)

Ukraine

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/ukraine-declares-russian-occupation-eastern-region-180118164950405.html DJ; Ukraine, Yugoslavia "fronts"getting more active in the US/NATO-Russia confrontation.

Korea


US


Gulf States

The US want to stay in Syria to fight against "dictatorship and corruption", the US is for the right to demonstrate in Iran-as long as the demonstrations are against the Iran government. The US keeps silence on the corrupt dictatorships and repression in the Gulf States:
In KSA the crown-prince is robbing the rich elite;
The US and Israel, UK some others support the Saudi/UAE genocide in Yemen. 

New weapons (for human self-destruction)

Kanyon is reportedly a very long range autonomous underwater vehicle that has a range 6,200 miles, a maximum depth of 3,280 feet, and a speed of 100 knots according to claims in leaked Russian documents.

But what really makes Kanyon nightmare fuel is the drone torpedo's payload: a 100-megaton thermonuclear weapon. By way of comparison, the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima was 16 kilotons, or the equivalent of 16,000 tons of TNT. Kanyon’s nuke would be the equivalent of 100,000,000 tons of TNT. That’s twice as powerful as Tsar Bomba, the most powerful thermonuclear weapon ever tested. Dropped on New York City, a 100-megaton bomb would kill 8 million people outright and injure 6 million more.

Kanyon is designed to attack coastal areas, destroying cities, naval bases, and ports. The mega-bomb would also generate an artificial tsunami that would surge inland, spreading radioactive contamination with the advancing water. To make matters worse there are reports the warhead is “salted” with the radioactive isotope Cobalt-60. Contaminated areas would be off-limits to humanity for up to 100 years.

Kanyon is designed to get around American ballistic missile defenses, primarily the Ground-Based Interceptor missiles based in Alaska and California. Although GBI is meant to counter small numbers of intercontinental ballistic missiles from rogue countries such as Iran and North Korea, Russia wants to make it abundantly clear that it could still penetrate U.S. defenses even if they were scaled up to deal with larger, more powerful nuclear arsenals.

Kanyon’s range and payload makes it much larger than existing torpedoes. According to submarine expert H.I. Sutton, Kanyon is 5.5 feet wide and 79 feet long, making it twice as large as a Bulava submarine launched ballistic missile. Sutton also believes the torpedo is nuclear powered.

The Russian Navy is testing Kanyon from a Sarov-class Russian Navy submarine. The unique, one-of-a-kind Sarov does not have any torpedo tubes of her own, but instead carries the nuclear-armed AUV externally attached to the pressure hull.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 19 2018 at 1:59am
Turkey-Syria



It looks like talks did not solve Turkey's problem. (Maybe one last try to avoid-proberbly limited-Afrin operation. Russia did pull back its troops and

Syria

is engaged in a major operation south of Afrin (North-West Syria) http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-january-syrian-army-captured-qaytil-and-umm-salasil-despite-IS in that region replacing "moderate rebels" (sometimes that means "moderate rebels" rename themselves (again) as IS) http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/18-january-isis-has-captured-rasm-aldhaba-almuwaylah-abu

DJ; I would not be surprised that by next week North West Syria will be under Syrian and Turkish control. The Russian, Syrian and Turkish (maybe staying above Turkey but using air-ground weapons) airforce could play a major role. (By bombing away several other groups; from IS to the Kurds. In Afrin-as far as is known no US pressence. But the US may have up to 5000 soldiers (and 5000 "contractors") in Eastern Syria-they may be next. This could become a showcase-YPG/US-give up or face the consequences.)

Russia/Africa

Russia already involved in Sudan en Central African Republic, also in Libya/Egypt.

US/False Flag 

DJ-After Japan and Hawaii "false alarms (Hal Turner claiming there was an attack in the Hawaai-story-but kept silent):

With Congress having voted to release a CLASSIFIED Internal memo which lays out the rampant abuse of Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) searches and the "Deep State" facing public exposure of the hideous shenanigans they've been pulling against our own country, it is feared the "Deep State" will pull out all the stops to launch a false flag attack against our own country just to kill the story and divert public attention  of how they have been spying on the American people and worse, how they intentionally tried to overthrow our Presidential Election.

Persons in the northeastern US should be on guard for an enormous and terrifying event - possibly an actual missile attack -- which causes chaos, and realize this is being done by design by traitors in our own government.

 So convinced is the US that some type of horrific attack is being planned against the mainland, that no fewer than 165 military aircraft were airborne over and near the US mainland today!  That's an astonishing number of military aircraft in the air at the same time!



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 19 2018 at 11:17pm
Syria

DJ-Loking at syria.livemap the Turkish operation in NW Syria coincided with the Syrian advance west of Aleppo/Haleb. IS is using the situation both west of Aleppo and in the South East of Syria to take over positions from the "moderate rebels" (some simply now calling themselves IS again) and the SDF. 

Russia-Syria, Hezbollah, Iran, Iraq will do everythingh they can to take over positions from "moderate western backed terrorists/(former)IS" and SDF to avoid IS getting into strategic positions. 

The picture I am getting:
-Turkey will start air-operations if Russia will not shoot at the Turkish planes. (That is not Russia agreeing with Turkish operations. Russia also does not shoot down Israeli planes attacking (mostly from Lebanon airspace) targets in Syria. Russia does not want to start a war with Israel-or Turkey.)
-Turkey wants to take over control on all of the Turkish-Syrian border. (The Kurds consider themselves as one nation-for them Turkish Kurds (wether or not PKK-member) fighting in Syria are Kurds fighting in/for Kurdistan. Given the small minority of Kurds in Syria and some reports-at least some of the fighting by Kurds in Syria is done by Turkish Kurds) For Turkey a buffer/safetyzone would provide better control on Kurdish movements in and out of Turkey.
-The war will cause an "increase of unrest"inside Turkey (IS, PKK attacks- CIA, Mossad activities-maybe Turkish actions against US/NATO pressence in Turkey. The "state of emergency" has been prolonged for another 3 months-certainly Eastern Turkey is already under siege/a police state.)
-In Afrin (NW Syria) there is (as far as known) no US-pressence. Russia did pull out its main force has observers in the region. More to the east maybe up to 10.000 US military and "contractors"at several bases-sometimes mixed/training YPG-SDF. Turkey-most likely-would like to avoid attacking/killing US-staff. (Just like Russia does not want war with Israel or Turkey, Turkey would like to avoid war with the US)
-Syria does not have all the cards in its hands-depends on Russia, Iran, Hezbollah partly for its defense, info and diplomacy. Syria does not want war with Turkey. 
-Turkey, Syria, Iraq, Russia, Iran (and China) do want Syria and Iraq to stay intact-no Kurdish State(s). (Russia was in favor of some form of self-determination for the Kurds-one of the reasons proberbly was that in Russian(/Soviet) view the main reason the Kurds did not get a state was "western imperialism". Of course another reason for the over 30 million Kurds not getting a state is that Kurds are divided in many "groups", political, religion, form-of-income (There are proberbly several million Kurds outside the Middle East-from Istanbul/west Turkey to the EU/US, Russia etc. Just like the IRA did get a lot of finance from Irish in the US so do PKK/YPG a.o. get a lot of finance from Kurds living around the globe. (Sometimes via crime, drugs/human trafficking, extortion"tax"))
-Syria and Iraq would like to take over control of the Kurdish (held) area's. On the other hand they would like to give the Kurds are feeling they are part of Syria, Iraq. (So reports of Syria giving YPG-groups the chance to move forces via Syrian government controlled area's-but also welcoming this Turkish action to weaken the Kurdish armed groups and get rid of US forces).
-Will this escalete ? A worst case scenario could be US or Israel attack Turkish forces-Turkey, Syria, Iran, Russia shooting at US or Israel military. There is a real risk for it.
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_military_intervention_in_Syria_(August_2016%E2%80%93March_2017) Of course Turkey did intervene earlier to avoid the Kurds taking over all of the Syria-Turkey border. The present operation should not come as a surprise.

Cover-up

https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/01/19/new-evidence-did-google-down-mh-17-killing-238/ The western story on the downing of the MH17 flight july 17 2014 still has a lot of question-marks. (Just like many other "stories"/massmurders-from 9-11-2001 to IS-rise, Yugoslavia, Libya, Syria "civil"/proxy wars.) Lies are part of any war, propaganda, mis-information are they basics to get the public to support an image of other humans as "monsters". We are all humans-living on a small planet-let not ruin it !

Exercises ?

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 20 2018 at 2:32am
Syria

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/pat-buchanan-asks-us-turkish-clash-syria-imminent DJ: The US has created a trap for themselves in Syria and Iraq. US pressence to undermine Iran and Russia and supporting a minority group may backfire. 
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/russia-accuses-us-carving-out-alternative-government-syria-mattis-says-no-longer Changing the excuse for US pressence from fighting IS to "stop Iran" goes against all kind of international behaviour.
https://www.debka.com/turkey-declares-de-facto-war-syrian-kurds-russian-troops-move-afrin/ DJ-An Israeli tunnelvision on the situation. Pro-Assad forces could profit more from SDF turning against (pro) Turkish forces. Syria will not start a war with Turkey-they have communications via Russia and Iran. Most of the fighting could be done by pro (paid) Turkish"rebels" already widespread inside Syria. (The chance of US getting involved is limited-the US does not want to worsen relations in NATO any further, most groups do not want a fight with the US (wich they wil lose). A "false flag" excuse for US action does need some goal-and logistics-both are very limited. 

Global


https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/popes-ww3-warning-world-very-limit-nuclear-war (Trump had to deal with mistakes from a.o. Obama-but he is now 1 year a US president and managed to worsen the international situation. (Trump-drunken driver foreign policy ?) With nuclear weapons made battlefield ready and to be used agains non-nuclear countries/conflicts the chances for a nuclear war increase.)https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/what-nuclear-missile-attack-hawaii-would-look

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/tax-reform-and-trumps-chinese-trade-deficit-conundrum China and Japan own over 30% of US debt-with the US tax "reforms" (making the rich more rich and neglecting US internal interests-totally stupid !) giving the US less internal sources of income. (DJ-Russia is oil producer #1, the US-by (expensive) fracking did get to #2 switching with KSA #3-but for getting a very little profit out of US oil you need high energy prices....)

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/watch-live-white-house-holds-emergency-press-conference-shutdown-talks-stall The US is unable to get its own act together (again)-how can the US think of being the major global player ?


China-Pakistan

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/chinese-engineers-mysterious-disappearance-suddenly-takes-geopolitical-significance Pakistan seems to be unable to protect Chinese working in Pakistan. (DJ-Corruption is a major problem-also in the China-Pakistan-Economic-Corridor)

China-US


Media

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-19/facebook-start-ranking-news-sources-promote-only-most-trustworthy DJ-So news that a western elite financed the nazi's, IS, al quada, news on climate (exponential) change etc. would depend on a public that is interested in football and the Kardishian's?

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 20 2018 at 10:44pm
Mix:

Moon of Alabama; Government shut down in US is a right wing powergrab (DJ after the tax-"reforms"-greed rules, money=power). 

US giving more aid to nazi-groups in Ukraine for another war with Russia. Some of IMF money for Ukraine ended up at Ihor Kolomoyskiy https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-kolomoyskiy-privatbank-london-court-asset-freeze/28931357.html (also mentioned in the MH17 story for renting Georgian planes to fight pro-Russian rebels-maybe also shooting down MH17 (believing it was the Russian plane flying Putin ?)

 Syria-what is the deal between Turkey, Russia and Syria (and Iran-DJ- Iran and Iraq also want to keep the Kurds under control). One way of looking at it-the Kurds in Syria accepted US protection and the US plan for an Eastern Syria State (not only Kurdish (thereby anti-Turkish)-the US will not protect the Kurds. Syrian Army was willing to take over Kurdish positions to stop Turkey (DJ-but under US pressure the Kurds could not accept that ?)-now Turkey is moving into 

Syria


DJ-Turkish Airforce in Syrian airspace, Russia moving out at least most of its troops out of Afrin. Syria and Russia accepting-for the moment Turkish actions. But when the Kurds drop supporting the US-plans things will change-Syria and Russia will stop Turkish actions.  

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/21/549620/Italy-Protesters-rage-at-Turkish-Embassy-over-Afrin-airstrikes In Europe we have millions of both Kurds and Turks. What is happening in Northern Syria will effect western Europe as well-forcing (EU) states to take a stand. (Proberbly condemn for Turkish actions-ask for peace talks etc.-but NOT supporting US stand.) https://sputniknews.com/world/201801211060931873-kurds-turkey-operation-protests/

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/20/549599/Russia-Turkey-Syria-Afrin Syria and Russia demand (by words DJ-not by action yet) Turkey to stap its actions. (Also main action at Afrin NW Syria but more to the east-with US troops also some shelling-Turkey will start/escalete military action there within days.-This will bring US troops in a risky position-put the US under pressure.)

https://www.debka.com/turkey-declares-de-facto-war-syrian-kurds-russian-troops-move-afrin/ Kurds in Syria also backed by Israel (to weaken Syria, limit Iran). Russia and US military talk on how to deal with developments in Syria. 

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48638.htm US-Saudi-Israel want to split up Syria (DJ-East Syria proberbly a Kurdish North, Sunni South-the "Yugoslavia" model. )

Korea

"North Korea talking to South Korea is a form of agression", the "Moon-Putin Plan" in wich Korea becomes part of an East Asia trade system including also Russia, China, Japan "Russian agression" ?? If 'the west"does not get its way it is Putin-insane !!! https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-20/washington-and-allies-go-orwellian-korea-peace-talks

US


Venezuela

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-20/venezuelan-rebel-cop-oscar-perez-massacred-government-after-he-surrendered (DJ-A bit "good rebel-bad communists story"-the CIA /US wants to get control over Venezuela. There are no "saints".)

Jamaica



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 21 2018 at 12:01am
On Syria:


DJ; The Turkish invasion of Kurdish-held NW-Syria is the beginning of a Turkish offensive against the Kurds-part of a Turkish-Kurdish war being fought in Turkey for decades. Since "Kurdistan" is spread over Turkey-Iraq-Iran, Kurds are a small minority in Syria-the anti Kurdish operations will not stay a Turkish-Syrian war. The Kurds will attack in Turkey-also from Iraq. (there are reports of cross-border attacks by Kurds since the Afrin-operation started). 

Since the goal of the US-Saudi-Israel (USI) coalition of helping the Kurds was an anti-Assad, anti-Iran operation the US and Israel are already involved in this newest phase of the "War on the Middle East".

The Syrian war is an "East" (Russia-Iran-China) "West" (US-Israel, but NATO ? Saudi ?-the EU wants better relations with Russia, Iran, China. Saudi Arabia has been in that much wars-in Syria it will help "Wahabist" groups like IS-wich may see an oppertunity to restart their war-but the US may only be able to use IS in this newest phase-now the US will "claim to protect the Kurds and blame Assad, Russia and Iran"most likely-no need for (much) IS in this phase.)

There are many doubts on Turkey-still a NATO member. Will any Syrian action against the invading Turkish army be used by NATO to attack Syria ? This would be an indirect war against Russia, Iran, China.

Is the US planning to let Turkey escalate the war into Iraq, Iran ? Create chaos in the Middle East ? Spread a Kurdish uprising into Iran ?

Erdogan/Turkey may be believing he is working for Turkish goals-maybe even willing to work with Russia, Iran, China to get "New Silk Road"-investments into Turkey ("Turkstream" oil and gas from Russia and Iran to the EU, infra-structure-investments linking Turkey via Iran and Pakistan with China, port-investments). The US are proberbly not blind for what is going on with the "New Silk Road" (also involving Afghanistan).

In Korea the South-under PM Moon is moving away from the confrontation-policies of the US. South Korea would be destroyed in another "Korean War"-talks with the North-Russia and China are not welcomed by the US and Japan. 

Russia has good relations in the Middle East, Africa, Asia. (China has a conflict with India, shares the hatred of Korea against Japan since world-war-2, some countries regard China as a new colonizer.)
Russia will be the main player dealing with the US on the global scale.

When the only card the US has is a military card-no diplomacy left (I do believe Rex Tillerson has talents for diplomacy-but Trump is an "international drunken driver") Russia (Putin. Lavrov) will go in a diplomatic offensive. 

Both the Syria and Korea-conflicts (not to mention Ukraine, South China Sea etc.) are elements of the not-open-yet war between the US/NATO and Russia and China. 

In a worst case scenario we will get an open war between the US and Russia and China soon. 

-US strike at North Korea
-US/Israeli strike against Syrian, Hezbollah, Iran targets in Syria (with possible damage to Russia  not "unwelcome")

-Syria (with help from others) move into Kurdish held area's to stop Turkey. (The US may not want to stop that when Russia warns the US)

-Israel may start a war with Iran (with Saudi help ?) to push the US to start action against Iran ? 

With other conflicts (India-Pakistan, Japan-Korea/China, Ukraine) wich also may "get out of control" the international situation is worsening fast.

Oil/gas, gold-prices will go up. Interst-rates will go up. Global economy may slow down. With higher oil-prices for the US going to make a few very rich people even more rich, Saudi and Russia higher energy-prices mostly benefit the state (in some form-although KSA is owned by the Royal house of Saud, Russia is mixed). China has long-term contracts with several countries (higher energy prices make North Korean coal more interesting)-so limited damage. 

In a "best"scenario maybe Kurds in Syria accept Assad-protection and Turkey has to stop it's operation. (In that scenario the US may have to pull out of Syria). 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 21 2018 at 4:19am
Syria

East-Syria

https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/01/20/manbij-next-says-erdogan-as-turkey-warplanes-bomb-syrias-afrin/ and http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/21-january-turkish-media-reports-that-multiple-jets-left DJ; Most likely today Turkish Air Force will attack Kurdish positions in East-Syria. (In US-terms SDF-YPG is being stopped fighting IS)

IS


NW Syria


Syria-Iraq

DJ; Iran, Russia, China want Iraq and Syria to stay intact-no Kurdish (or Islamic) state. The US has agreed to that by being in the UN (you do not split up another country-it is not very polite !).


Bagdad want Iraqi-Kurds to give oil-exploitation to Bagdad

By Turkey being in NATO Russia/Syria can only limited defend the Kurds in Syria (most of them maybe being Turkish Kurds) to avoid NATO claiming Syria/Russia is attacking a NATO-country. The US has to find an answer to this "Syria-crisis" or be kicked out. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 21 2018 at 11:08am
Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/21-january-another-footage-from-the-turkish-air-force-aerial DJ- Most fighting in Afrin/NW Syria. Turkish Army/Free Syrian Army fighting Kurdish positions.
http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/21-january-ypg-send-reinforcement-from-sheikh-maksoud-to Assad-government gives more Kurdish groups room to fight Turkish/FSA invasion via government controled area' s

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/21/549713/Baqeri-Akar-Afrin-Syria, Iran warns Turkey (do not overstay/overact in Syria).

https://www.rt.com/news/416555-erdogan-kurds-accuse-allies/ Erdogan-US give the Kurds to much weapons. 

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/01/syria-turks-attack-afrin-us-strategy-fails-kurds-again-chose-the-losing-side-.html (Russia did try to get the Kurds to accept Russian/Syrian protection against Turkey-but the Kurds do not want to give up on Kurdistan.)

https://www.rt.com/newsline/416554-france-un-meeting-afrin/ DJ-France want meeting of UN security council on Turkey/Syria. (If the operation for Turkey is harder then expected  https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201801211060943580-kurds-destroy-five-turkish-tanks/ a UN security-council outcome would be an excuse to pull out of Syria-without losing (to much) face.)

https://twitter.com/NewsBreaker101 Thread on Turkey/Syria-war.

DJ-Does Erdogan need this war-trying to unite Turks-with trying to get backing from both Islamists and Nationalist (Secular) he may loose support from both-a war for him may be welcome.

Middle East

https://www.debka.com/us-warns-egypt-jordan-palestinians-pay-continuing-fight-trumps-policies/ US telling Egypt, Jordan to accept US decission on Jerusalem (DJ-another wrong move-for Muslims accepting the third holy place in Islam, after Mecca and Medina, as the capitol of a Jewish State is not done.)

Korea

https://www.rt.com/news/416572-north-korea-executed-kim-return/ (DJ-News of (mass) executions in North Korea (sometimes) incorrect)

Yemen-genocide

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 21 2018 at 10:48pm
Chances of a major war;

DJ-http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1943-us-bombers-flying-nw-from-guam The US is preparing for a war-scenario for Korea. Unless NK does something stupid (another test, insulting everybody) I do not think the US has enough support for starting a second Korean War. 
South Korea is in the middle of talks with the North, Russia, China-the US is not happy with it-but there is very limited (false flag-scenario's) they can do about it. My guess is that most US military are not waiting for yet another major conflict. The US military is overstretched by far. 

-1. The US defending the Kurds to get a wedge to keep Iran from getting to much influence in the region.
-2 The US dropping the Kurds (the US is a long term enemy of the Kurds-did support Turkey, Iraq. Iran-during the Shah with their close to genocide on the Kurds. Long term relationship with Russia for the Kurds was much better. In Soviet-times the Kurds having not a country for themselves was the outcome of "Western Imperialism") and (in secret maybe already) working with the Turks. Goal is control Iran influence, get rid of Assad. 

When the US is about to "dump" the Kurds the up to 10.000 US military/contractors in Eastern Syria (spread over 14 bases-so about 700 per base) are in major danger. The Turks do not trust the US-disagree on more issues (a.o. Jerusalem, Gülen-coup) and are in Syria for Turkish interests. (Wich on a longer term exclude US interests). 

A few weeks ago-on this forem-I wrote that the US shoeld get their troops out of Syria, Iraq-Afghanistan. After the fall of IS the US has no excuse to be in the area(s). I can only repeat that call. 

Turkey, Iran, Russia, Syria, Iraq (China) do not want a Kurdish state, more or less want to keep Syria and Iraq intact as a state. Syria may be fighting with Tukey in NW Syria (most likely giving aid to the Kurds-to underline those Kurds are Syrians) but both Turkey and Syria will not accept the US in the region much longer. https://www.rt.com/news/416586-washington-arming-kurds-afrin-operation/

The US did give both the Kurds-Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Pro-Turkey Free Syrian Army-alquada moderate terrorists (FSA) all kind of weapons they now use against eachother. Both groups will not stop attacking US pressence when that fits in their plans. 

The US (and UK) has also a base in Southern Syria-near the Jordan/Iraqi border Al Tanf. From there they could use patriot air-defense to shoot at Turkish planes in north Syria. The French (after world war 1-collapse of the Ottoman Empire-Syria became a French protectorate) have limited forces in NE Syria (to be air-lifted when the times come). 

The US-Saudi-Israel (USI)coalition will blame Assad, Iran, Russia, China for this crisis-seek an oppertunity to attack Syrian, Hezbollah, Iran pressence. But the USI-coalition may have-for the moment-little chance of making a major difference without getting deeper in the mud. 

The US, UK (a.o.) have forces in Jordan, https://www.rt.com/usa/416577-pence-king-abdullah-jordan/ but they are not waiting to be pulled in the Syrian war.  Also in Lebanon several thousends of US miliyary could move into NW Syria-pulling Lebanon in a war they do not want.

The US is still using bases in Turkey to provide Kurdish forces in East Syria with supplies they may need to defend themselves against Turkey. (Turkey is using the same bases-like Encirlik-to attack the Kurds the US is helping in NW Syria). 

The USI-goal of keeping Iran, Russia, China under control in the Middle East has no support outside the USI-coalition. Even the UK does want "a working relation" with Russia, hopes financial institutions from China will come to London to fill the Brexit-gap-UK support the Iran-nuclear-deal. 

When the US, Saudi Arabia/UAE and Israel want to escalete the war in Syria they risk isolating themselves from a fast changing world.  Using the "nuclear option" even talking of using US nuclear weapons-against Iran, Russia, China-as a sort of blackmail will make things worse fater. 

The US should pull back from Syria-start using diplomacy-or face the consequences.

Erdogan in Turkey needs this war also for internal reasons. Backed by and nationalist and islamists-giving to much room to one group is losing support from the other group. In my opinio a lot of Kurds in Syria come from Turkey-did and will fight in Turkey again. The US giving those Kurds (that much) support was pushing Turkey towards an intervention. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 22 2018 at 10:02am
Syria

DJ-The Kurds may get support from the US AND Syria to fight Turkey. Turkish airforce now also active in Eastern Syria (or a hoax ?)



Iran(deal)


Jerusalem


Yemen


Korea

North Korea handful of months away from ability to nuke US-CIA chef

US-Russia


DJ-The US/Trump is moving closer to war with Korea and Iran-indirect war with Russia and China. "The train is moving in the wrong direction".
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 22 2018 at 10:40pm
Energy-war


War-plans

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-22/retired-green-beret-warns-publics-attention-being-diverted-what-really-happening War is a money-maker (DJ-for an insane elite, Russian navy already very active in US waters. DJ we may be a lot closer to a global conflict than most people realize).


The US-Saudi-Israel coalition

DJ- I get the impression the Trump-government wants to push the EU to-accept Jerusalem as Israel's capitol (in that way also accepting Israel taking over East Jerusalem/West Bank-Palestine to be in Jordan or Sinaï-desert.)
-End of Iran-deal (and then what-another war ?)
-Support Saudi Arabia, UAE-support the US-petro-$
-Support US plans for war with North Korea. 

Middle East

DJ-Giving in to US/Trump insanity by EU(nations-the Iran-deal has UK-France-Germany as EU-partners (others are US, Russia, China as the "6" and Iran) is giving support to an agressive route into the future. (I hope a new German government will stop that route).
Syria-https://www.rt.com/news/416689-how-us-went-against-kurds/ The US goal in Syria-Iraq is to control/stop influence of Iran, Russia, China. The Kurds were a means to do so, but when the Turks are willing to play that role (DJ-are they ? Turkey's future may be in working with the New Silk Road) it is OK for the US. [/url]https://www.rt.com/news/416704-iraqi-peshmerga-syrian-kurds-turkey/[/url] DJ-For the Kurds-they are all citizen of Kurdistan. Turkey attacking one part-in Syria-is attacking all Kurds (also in Iraq, Iran-and in Turkey, this Turkish invasion could start a further escalation of "unrest" in Turkey itself.) Another question is how this Turks-Kurds-War wil evolve; Erdogan is anti-Assad, Syria seems to be giving aid to (Syrian) Kurds. The USI-coalition may be pushing for Turkey fighting the Assad-government (and if need be Iran, Russia).

The EU position

DJ; Most EU countries are already involved in the Russia-Iran-China group. From Italy giving Iran credit, UK buying Russian gas and hoping to be the financial centre for China after the Brexit. Turkey/the Middle East is our neighbour-we did have many refugees from there-we can not have more refugees. (Merkel in Germany did lose her popularity partly because of the refugee-crisis. Erdogan wants to return the over 2 million Syrian refugees in Turkey to Syria). 
To be able to do trade with Muslim nations we can not accept (all of) Jerusalem as the Israeli capitol. Giving up on the Iran-deal without a better working plan for the EU me be over-asking. Also on Korea "we" are not very likely to join the US and Japan to go against Korean peace talks because it would hurt US influence in East Asia. 


(News on a Syrian gas attack on an airbase already under Syrian control-the "media" on the old war-route again.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 23 2018 at 9:47pm
https://thebulletin.org/blog/whats-new-bulletin/watch-2018-doomsday-clock-announcement
DJ-this announcement could be just a fundraising-event. https://thebulletin.org/timeline DJ the two-and-a-halve minute, putting in halve a minute, proberbly means that there was a lot of discussion in the "bullitin-organization".

DJ-In my opinion it would be realistic to move the clock to two, or maybe even (unprecedented) one to twelve. The lack of good main-stream reporting on global events, the lack of will from many countries to even agree on (some sort) of talks (other than just for show). The rise of the Russia-China block and the unwillingness of the US to deal with it puts us on the road to global disaster.

On top of this is climate-change going exponential. The US has now become the second major fossil fuel producer after Russia, in front of Saudi Arabia. Climate change and exploration for fossil fuel increase earthquake risks. Most major conflicts at this moment are energy related. 

The (outdated) link between the US-$ and energy faces competition from gold backed Russian and Chinese currency. Yet the US sticks to the "petro-dollar". 

To put it in short: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBjwMSIC7ik Highway to hell-AC/DC


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 24 2018 at 12:39am
There is an overdose of "war-news" no beginning in sorting it al out;

Maybe frontlines from West to East ?

Baltics;
UK;
Ukraine;

Turkey/Syria
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-january-turkish-fighter-jets-struck-ypg-forces-near-the (My impression-Turkey has difficulty in its anti-Kurdish operation. Attacking dams can do much harm), https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-january-north-latakia-rebels-killed-several-assad-fighters Turkish backed FSA (alquada-also US support) attack Syrian Army
(DJ-Erdogan is in Syria for his own and Turkish interests. He is against US naming Jerusalem as capitol of Jewish State, against US support for Kurds. He is also anti-Assad, but fits in with the demand for Syria and Iraq not getting a Kurdish State. Turkish Airfoerce from time to time active above Iraq)

Afghanistan-Pakistan

India/Pakistan

China/Korea
https://koreas.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-january-china-and-south-korea-condemn-trumps-solar-and US  trade war not only on China also on South Korean electronics.

other

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-23/watch-comedian-shred-cnns-regime-change-talking-points-under-minute western media on Assad using chemical weapons against Syrians-at least ignores the "moderate rebels" use of chemical weapons. (Often false-western reports-as an excuse for intervention.) With Russia https://www.rt.com/news/416738-s-400-syria-russia/ putting S-400 airdefense in Syria, US patriot airdefense arriving in Israel-on its way to US-held south Syria, preparations for a US-Russia confrontation (also) in that region.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 24 2018 at 11:42am
Syria

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-january-according-to-almayadeen-kurdish-in-afrin-agreed and https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-january-ypg-denied-al-mayadin-report-about-agreement-with DJ-It looks like Syrian Army/pro-Assad forces are having talks with YPG Kurds about fighting Turkish invasion together. 

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/trump-concerned-turkeys-conflicting-signals-syria/ and https://www.debka.com/mivzak/mattis-reproves-turkey-afrin-incursion-boon-isis/ DJ- Turkey is on the side of Turkey/Erdogan. When working with Iran, Iraq helps Turkey in dealing with the Kurds
Turkey works with Iran and Iraq. Turkey is interested in working with Russia in Turk-stream energy transport to SE Europe from Russia (and Iran). The New Silk Road is interesting for Turkey-working with China. But to be a "bridge"between Asia and the EU Turkey also needs a good relation with the EU. Mattis is correct in stating that YPG can not fight and IS and Turkey. (DJ-So for the US=IS will get stronger providing the US for a longer stay in the region to fight their own creation.)


Afghanistan

DJ-With China working with Pakistan, Iran, and Pakistans worsening US relations logistics for US forces in Afghanistan must get harder. Also the Afghan government seems interested in working with China, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Turkey-in the New Silk Road plans China has. (See also http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/24/550046/Pakistan-US-drone-Kurram)

Israel

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-meet-trump-davos-thursday/ DJ US-Israeli relationship is that close, it puts the US out of negotiating position. 
https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-stresses-world-leaders-need-improve-iran-nuclear-deal/ Israel wants it so the US wants it-to sabotage the Iran-deal and then blame Iran. When Russia and China stay on the Iran-side in US/Israeli view "They support Iran terrorism" (more sanctions etc.)

Iran-deal


Europe


Korea


Philippines

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US-China

http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/2130413/chinas-toolbox-turn-retaliatory-screws-trade-tensions DJ-Close to 70% of China trade surplus is due to doing trade with the US. So making US-China trade difficult would harm China. http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/business/2018/01/24/0502000000AEN20180124000200315.html DJ; With South Korea also facing US"trade restrictions"(protectionism) US "restrictions" is pushing South Korea towards China, Russia. (DJ-The US has 330 million consumers, Asia has 4 billion consumers.)

Economic warfare

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-24/global-crisis-events-weird-keeps-getting-weirder, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-24/ken-rogoff-warns-china-will-be-center-next-global-financial-crisis DJ-China needs exports for its economy (but proberbly "any buyer will do"-it may be more interesting for China to exchange products for Russian, Malaysia energy.

Russia


Syria

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/concerns-turkey-military-confrontation-syria-180124203652700.html DJ-Turkey-in fact-is pushing the Kurds towards the Assad-regime. Kurds and Syria Army fighting same enemy; Turkey (and US) is backing alquada and Turkmen-groups. The US can only give limited support to Kurds if it does not want to damage further relation with Turkey.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 25 2018 at 11:43am
Korea

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1954-u-s-weighing-tactical-nuclear-strike-upon-north-korea US preparing nuclear attack on NK (????-this would-in al forms-be a US-war crime)

The United States of America has been reviewing possible options for military force to stop North Korea's nuclear weapons program, and a consensus has been arrived at calling for a "Bloody Nose" attack.  But sources in the Intelligence Community have now confirmed to me that this "bloody nose" attack WILL BE NUCLEAR!

The two scenarios being actively discussed are:

1) A High Yield attack using 10 W-88 warheads against five targets resulting in "2-3 Million Dead in North and South Korea,"  OR;

2) A Low Yield attack using twenty B-61 warheads against five targets resulting in "less than 100 dead."


Syria

Erdogan did not get his “no fly zone” like the US did, so now he is playing his Kurd card, moving his army and FSA mercenaries into NW Syria to play king on the mountain, daring anyone to push him out.

He has the Russians over a barrel with the major gas pipeline deal, and got his S-400s largely on credit, which he can default on if and when he wants to. Iran has no leverage over Turkey at this point, despite their having a shotgun marriage for a while helping the Iraqis deal with their crazy Kurds.

Their leaders had robbed them blind and borrowed billions on their oil reserves. Whatever is done, Baghdad will want to continue shipping  Kurdish oil out through Turkey.

Erdogan is setting the stage for the Sochi talks in a big way. He will be there and the US won’t.

So you have to hand it to Erdogan, getting himself into the middle of everybody’s business where he can cause them more pain than they him.

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/01/who-lost-turkey-the-us-kurdish-project-in-syria-endangers-nato-.html">http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/01/who-lost-turkey-the-us-kurdish-project-in-syria-endangers-nato-.html

Erdogan, though unwillingly, changed sides and now works with Russia (and Syria) to bring the war to a conclusion. "Regime change" in Damascus has become an unlikely scenario he no longer supports. At the same time he is still willing to invest money and forces to gain something for his failed investment in the war. Taking Afrin to later incorporate it into an enlarged Turkey is one of those plays. He is clearly still aiming for additional territory. The U.S. now offered him some in form of a safe zone in Syria:


bigger
Ilhan tanir @WashingtonPoint - 7:50 PM - 24 Jan 2018
This map being discussed all day on Turkish TVs as Turkey’s planned security zone/safe zone on Syria border.
Reportedly OK’ed by Sec.Tillerson though nobody on the American side confirms it

If the U.S. indeed made the "safe zone" offer - Tillerson did not deny today to have made such - it found a rather cold response:

Washington’s proposal for the creation of a “security zone” along Turkey’s 911-kilometer border with Syria has received a cool reply from Ankara, with Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu urging the U.S. to first take steps to “re-build trust” between the two allies before discussing such military matters.
...
“The U.S. needs to stop delivering weapons to the YPG. It needs to push the YPG to withdrawing from Manbij if it wants to re-build confidence with Turkey … We have to see all these commitments fulfilled,” Çavuşoğlu said.

It is the U.S. supported founding of a Kurdish state-let in north-east Syria which is Ankara's most serious security concern. No "safe zone" will help if the U.S. military continues to build and supplies a Kurdish "border force" that can penetrate Turkey's south-eastern underbelly - now, tomorrow or in ten years. Unless the U.S. stops that project and retreats from the area Turkey will continue to push against it - if necessary by force.

(DJ-If the 30km-safe zone is OK for the US-the US has lost the Kurds. The Turkish Army may be moving into their own Yemen-war.)

https://www.rt.com/news/416971-germany-turkey-afrin-nato/">https://www.rt.com/news/416971-germany-turkey-afrin-nato/

War US-Russia/China

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/25/550183/US-China-Russia-nuclear-weapons-James-Jatras

America’s flawed political leadership and planned expansion of nuclear weapons will lead to a major conflict with Russia and China, says a former US foreign policy adviser and diplomat.

“There is definitely a move towards a new arms race with Russia, the kind of thing that should have ended completely when the first Cold War with the Soviet Union ended,” James Jatras said in an interview with Press TV on Thursday.

“This is a consequence less of military technology than it is of very bad political leadership,” he added. “This eventually can lead in one thing and that’s a major war.”

US-Pakistan

https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/01/25/why-pakistan-us-ties-reached-point-of-no-return/


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Syria;

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1964-turkey-air-strikes-kill-two-american-military-in-syria-revenge-by-turkey



DJ-The Kurds in Syria start realizing that the only force maybe willing to give some help is the Syrian Arab Army. The Kurds claim they organized YPG to defend themselves against IS-NOT to start a Kurdish State in East Syria. The "West" will not back the Kurds in a war against Turkey. If Turkey now want to start a "Turkman/Sunni"state in East Syria the "West" may even help Turkey.

For the "West" the goal in the Middle East was to stop growing influence of Iran, Russia, China. 

Most likely (Syrian) Kurds have talks with the Assad-regime on conditions for working with the Assad Government. Maybe there will be Kurdish regiments in the Syrian Army. This could work out into a request for western military to leave Syria. (And if that does not work they could become P.O.W.-Syria, Iran, Iraq, Russia, China would like to know more of western involvement in the Middle East wars. 
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^Thanks, Dutch Josh!  I have long supported the Kurds and wish the USA would not keep abandoning them like this.  

Great intelligence gathering by the Netherlands! 


Dutch intelligence reportedly hacked Russian election hackers in 2014

Posted  by Devin Coldewey

Next Stor

As if the story of the 2016 election and associated cyberattacks wasn’t already complicated enough, new information now suggests that Dutch intelligence has for years been aware of, and sharing, information on the Russian hackers suspected to be behind a number of high-profile hacks.

Dutch broadcaster NOS and newspaper Volkskrant reported the news today.

The Netherlands’ Joint Sigint Cyber Unit, in the summer of 2014, seems to have found the den of “Cozy Bear,” as the state-sponsored group came to be known (also APT29) after the DNC hack in 2016. JSCU infiltrated its network and a nearby security camera, allowing it to see what Cozy Bear was up to, and possibly who was a member.

JSCU shared this data with the CIA and NSA on a continuing basis all the way through the 2016 election, after which their surveillance was discontinued or compromised. A report in the Washington Post months later apparently revealed a bit more than they were comfortable with, and the report says that the Dutch intelligence sources have been more guarded with their information since that time.

The full story is well worth reading; clearly we have a lot to thank our Dutch allies for. No doubt this treasure trove of information will (perhaps already has been) prove extremely useful in our own government’s ongoing investigation in Russian interference in the election

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 26 2018 at 10:51am
I agree about the Kurds.  Best of all the peoples in the area, - and the most s**t on too.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 26 2018 at 12:53pm
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2018/01/26/blockbuster-dutch-agencies-provide-crucial-intel-about-russias-interference-in-us-elections/

DJ-Countries try to have influence in other countries-I think that is a normal event. The NSA hacked Merkels phone, intelligence agencies spread propaganda (now called "fake news" but nothing new). 
Did Russia try to influence US elections-most likely-proberbly since the US had their first elections. 

The way the US now is dealing with "Russian influence" is further undermining US democracy. 

On the Kurds-the lack of unity (even on who can call him/herself a Kurd) is the major reason for Kurdistan not coming to a state. (No Turks, Iran etc. needed). Another problem for the Kurds is being in an oil-rich region without access to a sea. Kurds have been used by "regional powers" to do their "dirty work" (also against Christians during the Ottoman-period https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Kurds#Shaikh_Ubaidullah's_Revolt_and_Armenians)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Kurds#Rise_of_nationalism The British-fighting the Turks-promised the Kurds a Kurdish State (see also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balfour_Declaration nov. 1917 the UK promissed the Jewish minority in the Ottoman Empire a Jewish State) as a weapon against the Turks. The Kurds at present are being used (let themselves be used ?) against Assad in Syria and against Iran. 

Is a Kurdish State possible ? There will be very much discussion on who is a Kurd, were are the borders. But I think when there is an international will to give a nation a country "Kurdistan" can become a reality. (Turkey, Iraq, Iran would need to get some compensation-but fighting endless wars may be more expensive.)


DJ-Much of the present Syria-crisis is becoming a Kurdish crisis. Turkey may regret starting the anti-Kurdish operation in Syria. It could escalete the "unrest" in Turkey (even end Erdogan's rule). Syria may be willing to protect its borders against the Turks (and so protect the Kurds) but at a price. 

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/26/550230/Syria-Turkey-Iraq-United-States-Kurds-Afrin DJ-The US will choose Turkey above the Kurds-if they need to choose. 
https://kurds.liveuamap.com/ (DJ-Also Kurds from other area's (most likely even Europe) may join the Kurds fighting Turkey. "Unrest" around the globe between Kurds and Turks is increasing. )
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 26 2018 at 10:57pm
Syria

DJ-Although there are Syrian peace-talks at Vienna-Austria-backed by the west-as well the main peace-talks on Syria will be in Sochi-south Russia january 30. https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201801271061110504-syrian-opposition-boycott-sochi-congress/

DJ-The Turkish intervention in Syria is not going well for the Turks. During "Euphrates Shield" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_military_intervention_in_Syria_(August_2016_%E2%80%93_March_2017)#The_campaign
the Turkish Army took a large part of the Turkey-Syrian border in one week-with US help-from "IS". The present Turkish operation may have already claimed more Turkish lives, did not gain much land-internationaly is a risk for the role Turkey wants to play in the New Silk Road as a bridge between China and the EU. 

http://theduran.com/end-afrin-crisis-kurds-assad-help/ DJ-Syria taking over control of the Syrian-Turkish border may be welcome for both Kurds and Turks.  (DJ-This would mean a total failure of US-plans-the Kurds would accept talks with the Assad-regime, in Sochi and Damascus.)

Ukraine


Financial War

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-26/economic-collapse-and-dollar-hegemony-how-did-start, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-26/brief-and-messy-history-modern-gold-standards, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-26/one-bofas-imminent-market-crash-indicators-was-just-triggered, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-26/stocks-storm-best-start-1989-dollar-devastation-worst-30-years, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-26/kunstler-what-happens-next-blow-orgies-financial-smash-ups, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-26/if-currency-wars-have-indeed-started-what-comes-next etc. DJ-The time of the petro-dollar has passed-a shift to gold-backed currency (and energy for products-Russia-China-trade to bypass market-pricing) is on its way. The US may be willing to fight a battle they already lost.

Davos

http://www.atimes.com/article/comes-davos-inequality-stupid//, https://www.rt.com/op-edge/417087-davos-inequality-uk-economy/ DJ-"What a nice social occasion to make new friends", inequality is the outcome of how countries are run. An elite gathering to discuss changes without introspection is useless. But of course the goal of a global elite is to get even more....

UK


other


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 27 2018 at 7:44am
Syria



http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-january-turkish-president-erdoan-says-turkish-military Turkey moving to Idlib ? (South of Afrin in NW Syria-DJ Free Syrian Army (with US supporting Turkman and alquada) fighting Assad-forces.

Libya


Iraq

US helicopter-gunship attacked number of cars west of Ramadi-killing over 20 civilians and police.

Afghanistan

https://www.rt.com/news/417145-afghanistan-kabul-blast-embassies/ Taliban-attack in central Kabul kills over 95.

Baltics


US-Korea


US-China trade war


DJ-Both in Syria and Iraq the pressure on US presence is growing. The Afghanistan-war is becoming problematic. Trump talking of starting a war with North Korea is "bad timing". 
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Korea

NK-South Korea has to reconsider its alliance with US if it wants further dialogue with North.

Syria

DJ-The Turkish Army is not very motivated (after coup-processes-Army now put to pay a price in Syria ?) to intervene in the Syrian war. The US may stop sending weapons (meant to fight IS) to Kurds. Turkey gets money from Qatar and China, also in energydeals with Russia and Iran. Russia/Putin aproved Turkish plan for intervention-maybe to get further control on Turkey ? Russia, Turkey and Iran are running the Sochi-peace proces. When the US does not listen to Turkey the US/NATO could lose Incirlik Air Base and access to the Black Sea.  In SE Syria IS is gaining ground with Kurds/SDF moving to fight Turkey http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/26-january-deir-ezzur-eastern-countryside-the-exit-of-a-military

Iraq

https://iraq.liveuamap.com/en/2018/27-january-several-local-security-forces-in-anbar-were-killed communication failure caused US to attack the wrong group of cars.

Afghanistan


False Flag


Bio-Warfare


Anti-Islam coalition



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Syria


Pakistan

https://failedevolution.blogspot.nl/2018/01/the-deeper-reason-for-which-trump-is.html After first ending the Rousseff-presidency in Brasil the US is trying to get India in its influence. (DJ-Also South Africa as the 5th BRICS country is in problems). India has at present a government with much influence of extremist Hindu's. https://www.haaretz.com/indian-soldiers-fought-in-haifa-in-1918-here-s-what-happened-1.5730777 India and Israel honoring Indian cavalary that did beat Turks (and Germans, Austrians)
september 1918.

Jordan

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/01/weekly-review-and-open-thread-2018-04.html End of subsidies on bread mean higher living cost for the poor. Jordan does suffer from the Syria-war in that it has less trade with Turkey. Rising costs of living was one of the reasons for the "Arab spring"; Jordan also considers East Jerusalem/West Bank as part of jordan. The US decision to see all of Jerusalem as capitol of Israel (and silently accepting the West Bank of the Jordan river as part of Israel) is unacceptable for Jordan. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/28/550418/palestine-abbas-us-oslo-accords (DJ-Even for Egypt the US/Trump decision on Jerusalem may be a red line.)

Lebanon


UK


China


IS

And since IS=US IS is showing up in....

Iran

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 28 2018 at 10:23pm
Syria

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1970-turkey-tells-u-s-to-remove-forces-from-manbij-syria-u-s-says-no (DJ-Hal Turner expecting confrontations between (pro)Turkish forces and US-forces-when Turkey would move into Eastern Syria.)
https://www.debka.com/putin-plans-end-alawite-hegemony-damascus-evict-pro-iranian-shiite-militias-including-hizballah/ DJ-If true-this is a shocking plan !!!-Putin/Russia would thank Hezbollah and Iran for their work and send them out of Syria. Reforms inside Syria would start a (Russian led) form of nation-building. (Debka claims Saudi Arabia, Egyp, US are involved in this plan. Netanyahu will arive today in Moscow to discuss this plan with Putin. DJ-my opinion; sceptical on Debka-often wishfull thincking instead of facts. The Putin-plan would show longer term vision. Proberbly still include the New Silk Road-China-EU link-and involve Egypt and Saudi Arabia in these plans ! (Egypt already working with Russia in Libya-border area) The Putin-plan would-still-kick the US out of the Middle East. Since it is the US wich is starting the chaos Trump has to agree on this plan-not very likely.) https://sputniknews.com/russia/201801291061143254-putin-netanyahu-talks-moscow/ (Netanyahu made two visits to Putin, had six telephone conferences with Putin in 2017. First 2018 telephone conference Netanyahu-Putin was january 1.  About 20% of Israeli's have Russian background, Netanyahu and Obama were "no friends"-Israel may welcome US decission on Jerusalem but may not believe Trump is the one that can help Israel forward. Israel may be interested in working with Russia-in and outside the Middle East.)

US-Russia

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-28/fbi-releases-docs-claiming-rt-founder-beat-himself-death-his-hotel-room (DJ-Russia pushing for answers, the US coming up with bizar stories-something "did go wrong"?)

Financial war

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-28/bonds-finally-noticed-what-going-stocks-are-next, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-28/greatest-stock-market-bubble-history DJ- Once the US was "the promissed land" anything related to it was as good as gold. Blind trust mixed with a large amount of (foreign) gold and energy-link to the US dollar made the US the leading nation in the world. Those days are over. Still-I believe-with international cooperation, the US being now the second largest oil-producer, the US also being able to innovate-find new solutions to global problems-the US can be a/the major player. Wars to control the oil/gas in the Middle East did weaken the US. Russia is showing that a (good) mix of diplomacy and military can make a small economy (of Russia) a dominant player. But you have to have good plans and info !


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2018 at 4:26am
Korea

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48668.htm (DJ-confirmation, more or less of http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1954-u-s-weighing-tactical-nuclear-strike-upon-north-korea-any US attack on Korea at this moment is unacceptable for most countries. Most likely Russia and/or China would stop this attack-when they can. A B52, B1 or B2 moving towards NK-or missiles launched from it-will be picked up by radar-high speed weapons may be used-still an attack that was stopped could be a major disaster. A nuclear explosion blowing up a bunker deep in the ground will do less damage than such an explosion in air at 20 km high-above sea ???)
SK-def.chief NK using nuke's would be suicide.
South Korea eyes China service market.
(DJ-South Korea getting to friendly with the North must be a major worry for the US/Japan)

Iran


US-Israel

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48667.htmVP-Pence in the Knesseth claimed Jerusalem as a christian capitol. (but mp's did not notice it.)

Saudi Arabia

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/29/550559/Saudi-Arabia-US-shale-oil-boom US oil-exports growing to India, China (Eastern Europe-Poland). KSA is in several wars they can not aford. The US has better logistics.

Iraq

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/29/550546/US-firm-Abrams-tanks-Iraq Tanks would be used by Shia-militia's not Iraq Army. http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/27/550398/Iraq-us-airstrike Muqtada Sadr slams US forces for killing Iraqi's. (DJ-US being in Iraq has to be for a certain goal-otherwise they may face troubles.)

Russia

https://sputniknews.com/world/201801291061152800-us-kremlin-list-interference-election/ (DJ-The US does interfere in most all elections in the world. From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Salvador_Allende in Chili to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammad_Mosaddegh in Iran, many attemps of killing Fidel Castro in Cuba, an amazing list of countries the US invaded-the US (government/elite) does only respect the US-that has become a major problem.)

Syria

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2018 at 11:20pm
US-Russia

https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2018/01/28/war-america-democratic-party-over-whether-go-war-against-russia.html (DJ;in the US view cooperation is surrender, domination (by the US) the norm-Russia and China are not taking that view any longer-since nobody is giving in a confrontation is on its way.)
DJ-The Russia-bashing in western media is becoming insane; Putin ordered doping during the olympics in 2008 and 2012-based on one source. https://www.rt.com/news/417335-us-list-russian-oligarchs/, https://www.rt.com/newsline/417279-dutch-banks-cyber-attacks/ in Dutch media the suggestion that Russia is behind cyberattacks on Dutch banks-because Dutch intelligence informed the US about Russian hacking of democratic party. The "Russia=bad"theme has become a form of war by itself-proberbly hardly/not based on facts-sometimes likely based on lies.

Pakistan


Israel-Russia

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-29/information-blackout-follows-putin-netanyahu-meeting, https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-already-moving-prevent-iranian-military-foothold-syria/ DJ-Moscow/Putin proberbly prevented Israel taking more (drastic) action in "the region" (Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran-against Iran, Hezbollah, Assad). Putin and Netanyahu proberbly disagree on lots of issues but also know there is a limit to what they (their countries) can do. So talking may be more effective in dealing with the situation than fighting-although the outcome still could be war. 

Korea

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-27/history-isnt-all-about-us-nationalism-means-peace-korean-peninsula DJ-Korea in its history had to deal with western colonization, Japanese occupation, Russian and Chinese domination. A new Korean war would not be in the interest of the Koreans. 

Syria

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48688.htm US staying in Syria could mean confrontation with Turkey. http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48689.htm Getting Turkey involved in the Syria-war may be a US plan. http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/48684.htm Neo-Cons in the US want US (further) intervention in Syria-war.

Iraq


DJ-The US military budget is over twice the Russia-Chinese budget put together. On the other hand some Russian weaponsystems cost 5% of what a similar US system can cost. With far less money Russia and China may be getting a much stronger army. The basis of any war is the will to go for a military confrontation. The idea that a "military solution" is better than talks. The US was the dominant global player-at least since 1945-and is losing that position. War may speed up that proces. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-29/financing-war-whom-balance-sheet-expansion-reaches-unchartered-territory, https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-29/stocks-tumble-news-nafta-countries-wont-issue-joint-statement.
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Syria

https://southfront.org/turkish-militay-established-observation-post-in-southern-aleppo-reports/ and https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-january-30-2018-sdf-sends-reinforcements-to-afrin/ Turkey moved its army in an NW Syria area under pro-Turkish (alquada-linked) control to stop Syrian advance. Russian/Syrian airforce, artillery stopped the Turkish convoy. (DJ-Turkey has now troops south of the Kurdish held area to stop pro-Assad forces fighting "moderate rebels". The area-west of Aleppo-was meant to be a Turkish held/controled de-escalation zone-Turkey wants to de-escalate when their proxy-fighters are losing ground. Turkey did move one step closer to fighting the Syrian pro-Assad forces.)

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/30/550739/Hossein-Jaberi-Ansari-Sochi-Staffan-de-Mistura-Qi-Qianjin Iran will pull back it's (invited) advisors from Syria on request of Assad. 

https://www.debka.com/us-moscow-syrian-understandings-break-putin-netanyahu-left-little-discuss/ DJ-My impression-Israel expects protection from US, solution from Russia. Discussion could be on limiting Iran-influence in Syria, Lebanon-while opening up transportroutes for Iran/Russian (and Qatar, Saudi) energy to EU. Sochi-peace talks are just one step in a longe (and much wider) proces. (DJ-Western media claiming the Sochi-talks are a failure fail to see it in the wider perspective.)

Energy-war


South Asia


Afghanistan-Iran


Korea

South Korea should limit buying US-LNG in reaction to US trade war on South Korea. 
US will not put sanctions on South Korean ski-group-transporter flying to NK for combined training. 

U.S.

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/trump-delivers-state-union-address-protests-180131035843780.html DJ-Trump's "State of the Union" will push many countries further away from U.S.  It looks like the U.S. will not solve problems, open-up markets etc. 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 31 2018 at 11:17am
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US-Russia;

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-31/pcr-washington-reaches-new-heights-insanity-kremlin-report DJ-As long as an "elite" in the US is in power that wants to "rule the world"; tell Russia and China what to do-or else....we are on our way to global confrontation.

-frontlines:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-31/taiwan-holds-live-fire-war-drills-amid-fears-china-invasion China will attack Taiwan when the US Navy visits Taiwan (de facto recognizing Taiwan as "China")
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-31/ukraine-tests-fires-first-ever-cruise-missile-aimed-neutralizing-russian-aggressors DJ-The present Ukraine "junta" is in permanent crisis-dependend on Russia for energy(transport-income) but at the same time not willing to have serious peaca-talks. (DJ-More than 10% of the Ukraine population left Ukraine-partly to Russia.)
http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/01/31/550856/Russia-US-Iran-missile-Yemen-war and [url] DJ-Houthi's in Yemen did get missiles from North Korea in 2015-had a lot of missiles from before the Saudi invasion. 
https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-anti-missile-systems-deployed-across-israel-juniper-cobra-drill/ DJ-History shows Israel can live in peace with its neighbours. But when Israel attacks Syria, Lebanon-countries that did not attack Israel-at least part of the problem is in Israel. 

DJ-The "new" "cold" "war" is in fact old, hot and split up in several wars. An elite seems to want to control all energy-resources of the globe ? The US-now-is their instrument of choice ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 01 2018 at 9:21pm
Middle East

DJ-The foundation for further escalation (by the US, Israel) is being laid. The goal is:
-Get Russia and Iran "under control"
-Get the oil/gas
-Save the petro-dollar
-Stop China's New Silk Road

U.S.-Russia


U.S.-China

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/02/550971/China-is-getting-a-foothold-in-Latin-America-Tillerson DJ-US/China in conflict over North Korea, Taiwan, South China Sea, New Silk Road (involving Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, Turkey)...

Syria

https://southfront.org/government-troops-deploy-within-16-km-from-strategic-town-of-saraqib-map-update/ DJ, The pro-Assad forces in NW Syria are fighting Turkish (and US)backed "alquada""moderate terrorists". Those "rebels" are also fighting the Kurds. Turkey did send a convoy in support of their "rebels" and "not happy" with Syrian offensive. http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-erdogans-bashibazouk-ravage-afrin.html#,
https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-february-1-2018-tiger-forces-break-militants-defense-in-eastern-idlib/ (DJ-pro-Assad forces pushing "moderate US/Turkey-backed-terrorists" out of NW Syria. Turkey will have a lot to explain to both Russia and the US.)
DJ-Growing US-Russia confrontation in Syria.

Iraq

https://southfront.org/iraqi-army-receives-first-batch-of-t-90s-battle-tanks-from-russia-reports/ DJ-Iraq defense is getting more and more support from Iran, Russia.

U.S.

http://theduran.com/us-switzerland-most-corrupt-nations/ DJ, The wars the U.S. now is fighting damage most US citizens, only makes money for a very small group. Time for regime-change in the U.S. !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 02 2018 at 8:38am
Syria

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/rift-widens-us-russia-syria/(pro-Assad forces preparing operation in SW-Syria ?)
DJ-The pro-Assad forces are using Free Syrian Army (alquada, Turkmen etc) fighting the Kurds in NW Syria with starting a major offensive. http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/2-february-units-from-saa-5th-corps-are-preparing-to-move Syria and Kurds are having talks-with Russia and Iran also playing a role-on how to react on Turkish invasion. Giving in to Assad may end all dreams on a Kurdish State-not giving in on the long term-may bring the same under Turkish pressure. 

U.S.-Russia

http://russia-insider.com/en/100-years-ago-us-troops-attacked-russias-pacific-coast-and-committed-atrocities/ri22341 DJ-After World War 1 Russia did see a civil war lasting to 1922 with Japan and the US sending forces-engaging in fights. Also mention of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War 1853-56 When Russia tried to gain ground in the Ottoman-empire (and did get US-help against the UK, France, Turkey.)

East-Asia


Ukraine


US Middle East peace plan


Afghanistan

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/02/02/551026/Ghani-Afghanistan-Pakistan-Kabul-Taliban DJ-With the US having problems with almost all countries in the region Afghanistan may look for others (China, Iran, Russia, Pakistan) to get out of the war. Accusing Pakistan of supporting terrorists by the US-backed Kabul regime does not solve much. https://pakistan.liveuamap.com/en/2018/2-february-pakistan-is-the-center-of-taliban-ghani

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 03 2018 at 2:03am
War plans

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-02/can-impending-collapse-russiagate-halt-slide-toward-nuclear-1914 DJ-The US claims a first-use of nuclear weapons "right"-this lowers the treshold for a nuclear conflict. 

The US is standing "on the top of a mountain" pushing away Russia and China-but knowing they may have to give up their "top-position" at the end "unless....Internet-problems"a cyberattack"-could provide an excuse for Mutual Assured Destruction. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_assured_destruction

Looking at history major wars show up from time to time https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_War. War was politics with military means. 



Basicly-looking at history;
1-The western coup in Ukraine against a democratic pro-Russian president
2-The Russian intervention in Syria after the western attempt for regime-change (so the EU would by Arab energy not Russian)
4-the western invasions in Afghanistan-2001, Iraq 2003
by themselves could have started a global conflict. 


Politics (both in the west and in Russia, China) has fallen-again-in the hands of a rich elite. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-02/why-albert-einstein-thought-we-were-all-insane DJ-We as humans may need to rethink our activities-since we are destroying our home(planet). 

I was trying to put some news on international affairs on this forum that is not covered (enough, correctly-or in an other way) by main-stream media. Pandemics and wars are correlated. The Spanish-Flu had everything to do with World War 1, the 14th century plague came from the Crimea-1343 (starting in Central Asia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Death also with Silk Road/War-links. 

I am thinking of an other way to deal with this item. Linking wars with diseases-trying to make a readable, workable presentation (putting it in a historical context). We are all humans-our main goal should be to give the next generations a liveble future and planet. Modern technology makes "nation-thinking" and old-fashioned "politics" an obstacle for a better future. 
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2018 at 10:13pm
After the shooting down of a SU-25 in NW Syria by "moderate alquada-western armed-rebels" the war in Syria is escalating. 

In NW Syria:
-Kurdish held area more Kurdish forces have arrived from other Kurdish sectors in East Syria and Iraq (2000 to 5000 fighters) to fight against the Turkish Army and pro-Turkish "rebels" (including Turkmen but also alquada-linked groups/some former IS-elements). The Assad government allowed those Kurdish fighters to travel via government territory.

-south of the Kurdish held area-"rebel" controled Turkey is moving its army to "stabilize"the area, working with pro-Turkish "rebels" that are fighting pro-Assad forces. 
Russia did sent special forces to deal with the "rebels" that did shoot down the SU-25, find out were the airdefense came from. 

DJ-de facto-pro-Assad forces, including Iranian, Hezbollah and Russian forces are fighting Turkish (led) forces in NW Syria. The Damascus/Moscow goal may be to "clean up" the area. In doing so they also support the Kurds that are fighting the same groups. Rex Tillerson is expected to visit Turkey to talk on the situation-Russia seems to be doing something. (Damascus is trying to win Kurdish support-the Kurds can show themselves as loyal to Assad-but fighting in self-defence against IS). 

In Israel a joint Israel/US "exercise" is on its way to drill for a two-front war with Israel fighting in Gaza and Lebanon/Syria. During these exercises with the US Israel keeps shooting missiles at the Damascus-area in Syria. 

With the US "relocating" forces from Iraq ro Afghanistan in my opinion the US is slowly realizing the "difficult position" it has both in Syria and Iraq. For the moment-and for different reasons-all countries in that region would like the US to leave the region. Turkey does not want the US to work with Kurds. Syria and Iraq do not want a Kurdish state-Iran and Russia do not want US bases in the region. 

Links:


China/Korea

(DJ-Syria is the US-Russia-conflict area, Korea is the US-China-conflict area. Just like Turkey, South Korea may switch sides willing to make deals with the growing Asia market.)

Financial war

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-06/market-earthquake-coming-icahn-warns-lot-people-will-pay-price-1929 (DJ-it is speculation on where profits go for bitcoins etc. it might be North Korea was making a lot of money out of it.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2018 at 10:42pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 08 2018 at 3:31am
Syria


DJ; Syria and Russia claim they are fighting IS related forces in SE-Syria, the US claims those fighters are "moderate rebels". Given the history of the war in Syria former IS-groups may change names and join "US backed moderate rebels".


https://www.debka.com/mivzak/new-iranian-weaponized-drone-deployed-syria-likely-handed-hizballah/ DJ-Both US and Israel see all kind of reasons to keep the Syria war going on-to fight Iran, Russia, China's New Silk Road. 

DJ-With Assad working with the Kurds the US seems to split up the Syrian Democratic Forces in Sunni's and Kurds. Now giving Sunni's (partly former IS-tribes) support in fighting Assad. This may get out of control. Both Israel and US are looking for further escalation by their provocations and (false) claims.
Build-up of US forces during the US flu epidemic may spread the A-H3N2 virus in the Middle East. 

Korea

https://www.rt.com/newsline/418188-korea-olympics-kim-sister/ SK PM Moon to meet NK delegation at the winter olympics. 

South China Sea

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 08 2018 at 8:40am
Syria

Moon of Alabama http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-us-may-have-arranged-self-defense-attack-on-syrian-government-forces.html# has the story on how the US misused a local gasfield transfer to attack Syrian forces. DJ-With the US planning to stay both in Syria, Iraq (and Afghanistan) to block the New Silk Road, hinder local peace-process the US is playing with fire. 

Syria, Iraq, Iran, Russia, Turkey want the US out of the region. Proberbly within days the US will find out what happens when they do not give in. (Proberbly by-proxy or covert warfare. My estimate-DJ-is that the Kurds do not see that much reason to expect much from the US in the region. Russia/Syria may come with a better, more credible offer. With limited logistics and sources for support in Jordan, Israel US troops in Syria and Iraq are NOT safe.)

With Russia making a very special deal with Lebanon-by wich Russia can use Lebanese (air)ports, joint excersises Russia is taking over more parts of the Middle East. 

More US/Israeli agression against Syria/Lebanon/Iran may cause "unforseen action". The US and Israel should try to avoid "such action".

Some further links:

Russia calls US action war-crime (DJ-The US is not invited by the Syrian government, the 2003-Iraq-WMD-war was against international law. https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201802081061481714-us-syria-attacks/)

US-Russia/China

DJ-New arms race includes electronic warfare, cyber warfare, hypersonic weapons, space war etc. Several countries also into bio- and chemical-warfare. 

other



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 08 2018 at 11:11pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2018 at 2:32am
https://www.rt.com/news/418281-illegal-us-presence-syria-crime/

DJ-The basics for a global conflict-worse than any time in history-are being laid. The US and Israel-with India-are forming an anti-Muslim coalition. Trump sticking to Jerusalem as capitol of Israel is pushing countries like Pakistan, Indonesia (largest Muslim nation in the world), Turkey and even Jordan away from the "west".


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2018 at 12:55am
DJ-A US attack on Korea during the winter-olympics is very unlikely. Today delegations from North- and South-Korea will have talks on lots of issues. From enabling family-reunification-"moments" to military issues. Most likely the Moon-Putin-Plan will be part of the talks. 

DJ-In my opinion; 1-Russia and China may be willing to give guarantees for Korea to lift the need for nuclear weapons.
2-Russia and China may be willing to give a united Korea access to their markets, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization etc. opening-more or less-a market of more than 4 billion consumers.
3-Russia, China and Korea will have talks on how to deal with Japan, under wich conditions Japan could join the New Silk Road-economic program. 
4-Russia and China will try to put pressure on South Korea "to distance itself" from the military side of its relations with the US. 

DJ-Russia and China will not be at the Korea-talks-it will (and has to be) a Korean program. But Russia and China have been creating pre-conditions for a peacefull way out of the Korea-crisis. 
On the other hand the US keeps up its conflict modus to Russia and China, making any kind of peacefull cooperation for Korea impossible. The US supporting rearmament of Japan, better (military) contact with Taiwan, not accepting China in the South China Sea has been pushing China and Russia to eachother, did push the Philipines away from the US-now is pushing away even South Korea. 

The lack of US understanding that war is an unwelcome perspective-anywere in the world-is shocking !

A new Muslim aliance

By the US pushing for a global acceptance of Jerusalem-the third holiest place in Islam-as capitol of a Jewish State the US now is starting to push Muslim countries against the US. Once the difference between Sunni and Shia-Islam was making a united Muslim-front impossible. Now Turkey, Iran, Pakistan may form a bases for an anti US-Muslim aliance. 

India at present is ruled by Hindu-fanatics-joining Israel and the US in an anti-Islam aliance. (India is supporting the Myanmar government-eventhough that government is "in conflict" with its Muslim minority. Muslim Bangla Desh, but also the largest Muslim country-Indonesia-are moving away from "the west".) The Muslim Gulf States are split on Qatar, working with Iran, the Yemen-war. 

In Syria the downing of an Israeli F16-after the US attack on pro-Assad forces near Deir Ezzor that were attacking an IS cell may give a hint on what to expect. Syria may get tired of US and Israel action in/against Syria.

Links;

https://southfront.org/syrian-war-report-february-9-2018-syrian-army-purged-isis-terrorists-in-northeastern-hama/ (The US killed mostly pro-Assad Arab-tribe-fighters in their anti-IS action. The attack(s) were not coordinated with Russia.)
The EU will not follow the US in anti-Iran sanctions. (DJ-France/Macron may be willing to support limited US attacks on Syria. With a new (weak) German government we have to wait and see how the EU-US relations may unfold. Germany and most EU countries need Russian energy.)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2018 at 1:38am
War Israel-Syria

After shooting down an Israeli F16 by Syria during a first wave of Israeli anti Iran-actions (deep) inside Syria-a second wave of Israeli airstrikes in Syria is on its way. 

DJ-The US has a base in Israel, a pressence fo major drills. Israeli actions in Syria at this moment are not coincidence but may be an Israeli plan to start a major US-Iran-war. https://twitter.com/ejmalrai/status/962191002122498049twitter from a reporter in the war-zone. (Things look very ugly at the moment. A US-Russia/Iran war may be the worst case scenario).

MOSCOW (Sputnik) - Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have struck 12 targets in Syria, including Syrian air defense batteries and Iranian military facilities during second wave of attack, the IDF said Saturday.

"The IDF is striking numerous (12) Syrian and Iranian military targets in Syria, in response to Iranian aggression," IDF spokesman Jonathan Conricus said on Twitter.

​Earlier in the day, an Israeli helicopter downed an Iranian drone after it crossed into the Israel-occupied Golan Heights and struck at what the Israeli military said were Iranian targets in Syria, prompting Syrian fire.

https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-leads-urgent-military-conference-tel-aviv/

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2018 at 1:45am
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/syria-is-war-with-israel-imminent.html

Should Israel escalate to a bigger war it will be covered with hundreds of missiles per hour. Normal civil life would come to a stand still. Lebanon and Syria would also be under severe attacks but are better positioned to endure such a situation.

Russia, as well as the U.S., could be come involved and into direct conflict. This must be avoided at all cost. But the current personal in White House, especially the military triumvirate behind the president, is of dubious quality. Moscow is hopefully aware of this.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2018 at 2:32am
Israel claims Russia involved in downing Israeli F16 https://www.debka.com/russian-troops-involved-iranian-syrian-clash-israel/

Syria https://sana.sy/en/?p=126849 claims more Israeli planes hit (DJ maybe an Israeli Apache helicopter hit ?)

http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/10-february-new-israeli-attack-is-taking-place--jets-can Israel used Lebanon airspace for attacks on Syrian and Iranian targets in Syria. 


https://southfront.org/isis-repels-israeli-backed-attack-in-southern-syria-launches-successful-counter-attack-photos/ DJ-Israel is supporting "rebels" east of the Golan-heights. It wants to keep away Hezbollah and Iran from the Israeli/Golan-border. 

DJ-The coming hours will show if these "incidents" will go to an all-out war. (And when it moves into a Syria-Israel war or (much) larger).
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