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War on the horizon

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 hours 12 minutes ago at 10:48pm
Chances of a major war;

DJ-http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1943-us-bombers-flying-nw-from-guam The US is preparing for a war-scenario for Korea. Unless NK does something stupid (another test, insulting everybody) I do not think the US has enough support for starting a second Korean War. 
South Korea is in the middle of talks with the North, Russia, China-the US is not happy with it-but there is very limited (false flag-scenario's) they can do about it. My guess is that most US military are not waiting for yet another major conflict. The US military is overstretched by far. 

-1. The US defending the Kurds to get a wedge to keep Iran from getting to much influence in the region.
-2 The US dropping the Kurds (the US is a long term enemy of the Kurds-did support Turkey, Iraq. Iran-during the Shah with their close to genocide on the Kurds. Long term relationship with Russia for the Kurds was much better. In Soviet-times the Kurds having not a country for themselves was the outcome of "Western Imperialism") and (in secret maybe already) working with the Turks. Goal is control Iran influence, get rid of Assad. 

When the US is about to "dump" the Kurds the up to 10.000 US military/contractors in Eastern Syria (spread over 14 bases-so about 700 per base) are in major danger. The Turks do not trust the US-disagree on more issues (a.o. Jerusalem, G├╝len-coup) and are in Syria for Turkish interests. (Wich on a longer term exclude US interests). 

A few weeks ago-on this forem-I wrote that the US shoeld get their troops out of Syria, Iraq-Afghanistan. After the fall of IS the US has no excuse to be in the area(s). I can only repeat that call. 

Turkey, Iran, Russia, Syria, Iraq (China) do not want a Kurdish state, more or less want to keep Syria and Iraq intact as a state. Syria may be fighting with Tukey in NW Syria (most likely giving aid to the Kurds-to underline those Kurds are Syrians) but both Turkey and Syria will not accept the US in the region much longer. https://www.rt.com/news/416586-washington-arming-kurds-afrin-operation/

The US did give both the Kurds-Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Pro-Turkey Free Syrian Army-alquada moderate terrorists (FSA) all kind of weapons they now use against eachother. Both groups will not stop attacking US pressence when that fits in their plans. 

The US (and UK) has also a base in Southern Syria-near the Jordan/Iraqi border Al Tanf. From there they could use patriot air-defense to shoot at Turkish planes in north Syria. The French (after world war 1-collapse of the Ottoman Empire-Syria became a French protectorate) have limited forces in NE Syria (to be air-lifted when the times come). 

The US-Saudi-Israel (USI)coalition will blame Assad, Iran, Russia, China for this crisis-seek an oppertunity to attack Syrian, Hezbollah, Iran pressence. But the USI-coalition may have-for the moment-little chance of making a major difference without getting deeper in the mud. 

The US, UK (a.o.) have forces in Jordan, https://www.rt.com/usa/416577-pence-king-abdullah-jordan/ but they are not waiting to be pulled in the Syrian war.  Also in Lebanon several thousends of US miliyary could move into NW Syria-pulling Lebanon in a war they do not want.

The US is still using bases in Turkey to provide Kurdish forces in East Syria with supplies they may need to defend themselves against Turkey. (Turkey is using the same bases-like Encirlik-to attack the Kurds the US is helping in NW Syria). 

The USI-goal of keeping Iran, Russia, China under control in the Middle East has no support outside the USI-coalition. Even the UK does want "a working relation" with Russia, hopes financial institutions from China will come to London to fill the Brexit-gap-UK support the Iran-nuclear-deal. 

When the US, Saudi Arabia/UAE and Israel want to escalete the war in Syria they risk isolating themselves from a fast changing world.  Using the "nuclear option" even talking of using US nuclear weapons-against Iran, Russia, China-as a sort of blackmail will make things worse fater. 

The US should pull back from Syria-start using diplomacy-or face the consequences.

Erdogan in Turkey needs this war also for internal reasons. Backed by and nationalist and islamists-giving to much room to one group is losing support from the other group. In my opinio a lot of Kurds in Syria come from Turkey-did and will fight in Turkey again. The US giving those Kurds (that much) support was pushing Turkey towards an intervention. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Joined: May 01 2013
Location: Arnhem-Netherla
Status: Offline
Points: 27917
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 2 hours 58 minutes ago at 10:02am
Syria

DJ-The Kurds may get support from the US AND Syria to fight Turkey. Turkish airforce now also active in Eastern Syria (or a hoax ?)



Iran(deal)


Jerusalem


Yemen


Korea

North Korea handful of months away from ability to nuke US-CIA chef

US-Russia


DJ-The US/Trump is moving closer to war with Korea and Iran-indirect war with Russia and China. "The train is moving in the wrong direction".
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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