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War on the horizon

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 21 2018 at 10:48pm
Chances of a major war;

DJ-http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/1943-us-bombers-flying-nw-from-guam The US is preparing for a war-scenario for Korea. Unless NK does something stupid (another test, insulting everybody) I do not think the US has enough support for starting a second Korean War. 
South Korea is in the middle of talks with the North, Russia, China-the US is not happy with it-but there is very limited (false flag-scenario's) they can do about it. My guess is that most US military are not waiting for yet another major conflict. The US military is overstretched by far. 

-1. The US defending the Kurds to get a wedge to keep Iran from getting to much influence in the region.
-2 The US dropping the Kurds (the US is a long term enemy of the Kurds-did support Turkey, Iraq. Iran-during the Shah with their close to genocide on the Kurds. Long term relationship with Russia for the Kurds was much better. In Soviet-times the Kurds having not a country for themselves was the outcome of "Western Imperialism") and (in secret maybe already) working with the Turks. Goal is control Iran influence, get rid of Assad. 

When the US is about to "dump" the Kurds the up to 10.000 US military/contractors in Eastern Syria (spread over 14 bases-so about 700 per base) are in major danger. The Turks do not trust the US-disagree on more issues (a.o. Jerusalem, Gülen-coup) and are in Syria for Turkish interests. (Wich on a longer term exclude US interests). 

A few weeks ago-on this forem-I wrote that the US shoeld get their troops out of Syria, Iraq-Afghanistan. After the fall of IS the US has no excuse to be in the area(s). I can only repeat that call. 

Turkey, Iran, Russia, Syria, Iraq (China) do not want a Kurdish state, more or less want to keep Syria and Iraq intact as a state. Syria may be fighting with Tukey in NW Syria (most likely giving aid to the Kurds-to underline those Kurds are Syrians) but both Turkey and Syria will not accept the US in the region much longer. https://www.rt.com/news/416586-washington-arming-kurds-afrin-operation/

The US did give both the Kurds-Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Pro-Turkey Free Syrian Army-alquada moderate terrorists (FSA) all kind of weapons they now use against eachother. Both groups will not stop attacking US pressence when that fits in their plans. 

The US (and UK) has also a base in Southern Syria-near the Jordan/Iraqi border Al Tanf. From there they could use patriot air-defense to shoot at Turkish planes in north Syria. The French (after world war 1-collapse of the Ottoman Empire-Syria became a French protectorate) have limited forces in NE Syria (to be air-lifted when the times come). 

The US-Saudi-Israel (USI)coalition will blame Assad, Iran, Russia, China for this crisis-seek an oppertunity to attack Syrian, Hezbollah, Iran pressence. But the USI-coalition may have-for the moment-little chance of making a major difference without getting deeper in the mud. 

The US, UK (a.o.) have forces in Jordan, https://www.rt.com/usa/416577-pence-king-abdullah-jordan/ but they are not waiting to be pulled in the Syrian war.  Also in Lebanon several thousends of US miliyary could move into NW Syria-pulling Lebanon in a war they do not want.

The US is still using bases in Turkey to provide Kurdish forces in East Syria with supplies they may need to defend themselves against Turkey. (Turkey is using the same bases-like Encirlik-to attack the Kurds the US is helping in NW Syria). 

The USI-goal of keeping Iran, Russia, China under control in the Middle East has no support outside the USI-coalition. Even the UK does want "a working relation" with Russia, hopes financial institutions from China will come to London to fill the Brexit-gap-UK support the Iran-nuclear-deal. 

When the US, Saudi Arabia/UAE and Israel want to escalete the war in Syria they risk isolating themselves from a fast changing world.  Using the "nuclear option" even talking of using US nuclear weapons-against Iran, Russia, China-as a sort of blackmail will make things worse fater. 

The US should pull back from Syria-start using diplomacy-or face the consequences.

Erdogan in Turkey needs this war also for internal reasons. Backed by and nationalist and islamists-giving to much room to one group is losing support from the other group. In my opinio a lot of Kurds in Syria come from Turkey-did and will fight in Turkey again. The US giving those Kurds (that much) support was pushing Turkey towards an intervention. 
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 22 2018 at 10:02am
Syria

DJ-The Kurds may get support from the US AND Syria to fight Turkey. Turkish airforce now also active in Eastern Syria (or a hoax ?)



Iran(deal)


Jerusalem


Yemen


Korea

North Korea handful of months away from ability to nuke US-CIA chef

US-Russia


DJ-The US/Trump is moving closer to war with Korea and Iran-indirect war with Russia and China. "The train is moving in the wrong direction".
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 22 2018 at 10:40pm
Energy-war


War-plans

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-22/retired-green-beret-warns-publics-attention-being-diverted-what-really-happening War is a money-maker (DJ-for an insane elite, Russian navy already very active in US waters. DJ we may be a lot closer to a global conflict than most people realize).


The US-Saudi-Israel coalition

DJ- I get the impression the Trump-government wants to push the EU to-accept Jerusalem as Israel's capitol (in that way also accepting Israel taking over East Jerusalem/West Bank-Palestine to be in Jordan or Sinaï-desert.)
-End of Iran-deal (and then what-another war ?)
-Support Saudi Arabia, UAE-support the US-petro-$
-Support US plans for war with North Korea. 

Middle East

DJ-Giving in to US/Trump insanity by EU(nations-the Iran-deal has UK-France-Germany as EU-partners (others are US, Russia, China as the "6" and Iran) is giving support to an agressive route into the future. (I hope a new German government will stop that route).
Syria-https://www.rt.com/news/416689-how-us-went-against-kurds/ The US goal in Syria-Iraq is to control/stop influence of Iran, Russia, China. The Kurds were a means to do so, but when the Turks are willing to play that role (DJ-are they ? Turkey's future may be in working with the New Silk Road) it is OK for the US. [/url]https://www.rt.com/news/416704-iraqi-peshmerga-syrian-kurds-turkey/[/url] DJ-For the Kurds-they are all citizen of Kurdistan. Turkey attacking one part-in Syria-is attacking all Kurds (also in Iraq, Iran-and in Turkey, this Turkish invasion could start a further escalation of "unrest" in Turkey itself.) Another question is how this Turks-Kurds-War wil evolve; Erdogan is anti-Assad, Syria seems to be giving aid to (Syrian) Kurds. The USI-coalition may be pushing for Turkey fighting the Assad-government (and if need be Iran, Russia).

The EU position

DJ; Most EU countries are already involved in the Russia-Iran-China group. From Italy giving Iran credit, UK buying Russian gas and hoping to be the financial centre for China after the Brexit. Turkey/the Middle East is our neighbour-we did have many refugees from there-we can not have more refugees. (Merkel in Germany did lose her popularity partly because of the refugee-crisis. Erdogan wants to return the over 2 million Syrian refugees in Turkey to Syria). 
To be able to do trade with Muslim nations we can not accept (all of) Jerusalem as the Israeli capitol. Giving up on the Iran-deal without a better working plan for the EU me be over-asking. Also on Korea "we" are not very likely to join the US and Japan to go against Korean peace talks because it would hurt US influence in East Asia. 


(News on a Syrian gas attack on an airbase already under Syrian control-the "media" on the old war-route again.)
Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 4 hours 13 minutes ago at 9:47pm
https://thebulletin.org/blog/whats-new-bulletin/watch-2018-doomsday-clock-announcement
DJ-this announcement could be just a fundraising-event. https://thebulletin.org/timeline DJ the two-and-a-halve minute, putting in halve a minute, proberbly means that there was a lot of discussion in the "bullitin-organization".

DJ-In my opinion it would be realistic to move the clock to two, or maybe even (unprecedented) one to twelve. The lack of good main-stream reporting on global events, the lack of will from many countries to even agree on (some sort) of talks (other than just for show). The rise of the Russia-China block and the unwillingness of the US to deal with it puts us on the road to global disaster.

On top of this is climate-change going exponential. The US has now become the second major fossil fuel producer after Russia, in front of Saudi Arabia. Climate change and exploration for fossil fuel increase earthquake risks. Most major conflicts at this moment are energy related. 

The (outdated) link between the US-$ and energy faces competition from gold backed Russian and Chinese currency. Yet the US sticks to the "petro-dollar". 

To put it in short: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBjwMSIC7ik Highway to hell-AC/DC


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 52 minutes ago at 12:39am
There is an overdose of "war-news" no beginning in sorting it al out;

Maybe frontlines from West to East ?

Baltics;
UK;
Ukraine;

Turkey/Syria
https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/24-january-turkish-fighter-jets-struck-ypg-forces-near-the (My impression-Turkey has difficulty in its anti-Kurdish operation. Attacking dams can do much harm), https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-january-north-latakia-rebels-killed-several-assad-fighters Turkish backed FSA (alquada-also US support) attack Syrian Army
(DJ-Erdogan is in Syria for his own and Turkish interests. He is against US naming Jerusalem as capitol of Jewish State, against US support for Kurds. He is also anti-Assad, but fits in with the demand for Syria and Iraq not getting a Kurdish State. Turkish Airfoerce from time to time active above Iraq)

Afghanistan-Pakistan

India/Pakistan

China/Korea
https://koreas.liveuamap.com/en/2018/23-january-china-and-south-korea-condemn-trumps-solar-and US  trade war not only on China also on South Korean electronics.

other

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-23/watch-comedian-shred-cnns-regime-change-talking-points-under-minute western media on Assad using chemical weapons against Syrians-at least ignores the "moderate rebels" use of chemical weapons. (Often false-western reports-as an excuse for intervention.) With Russia https://www.rt.com/news/416738-s-400-syria-russia/ putting S-400 airdefense in Syria, US patriot airdefense arriving in Israel-on its way to US-held south Syria, preparations for a US-Russia confrontation (also) in that region.


Que sera, sera, Whatever will be, will be, The future is not ours to see, Que sera, sera !
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