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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic since 2005; Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic Discussion Forum.

Backing off tip of iceberg theory

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Pixie View Drop Down
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    Posted: February 13 2020 at 1:49pm
Had to post as new,can't access other pages.

These guys are all over the map. One day the sky is falling,the next total reversal.
Yes export cases have not died,but they are getting the best the medical community has to offer. Wait till 50 or 100 people show up at the hospital a day and the need overwhelms capacity. that's when people start dying. These first cases are the lucky ones    https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/02/1057331
As infections from COVID-19 coronavirus continue to rise, a senior UN health expert on Thursday said that there were some indications that disease transmission outside China might not be the tip of the “iceberg” that had been feared.
“We’re not seeing a dramatic increase in transmission outside China,” Dr. Michael Ryan, the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Health Emergencies Programme chief, said, while urging against making hasty assessments.

showed no COVID-19 activity’

Speaking to journalists, Dr. Ryan explained that routine winter testing of patients with chest ailments in hospitals in China, Singapore and Hong Kong had not indicated widespread COVID-19 transmission.

“In emergency rooms and as part of normal winter respiratory disease surveillance, they’ve been actively testing thousands of samples that are not suspect cases of COVID,” he said.

“At the moment, we’re just not seeing COVID activity amongst those samples, and that would give an indication that the iceberg may not be that great – [but] it’s not a guarantee.”

Nonetheless, fears that only a fraction of cases were being detected were “as valid as speculations in the other direction”, Dr. Ryan insisted, before adding that no specific treatments existed for patients, beyond “standard antivirals” used for previous coronavirus outbreaks, such as during the SARS epidemic in 2003.
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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2020 at 1:52pm
With spring and summer approaching soon, they will back-off it. Next winter will be a different story maybe. Long road ahead.
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Thorne! View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Thorne! Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2020 at 3:29pm
Doesn't seem to be "backing off" in Singapore, where it is summer. Temps in the low 90s during the day, and mid 70s at night.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiwiMum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2020 at 4:38pm
If you think it will be seasonally affected then you can all watch Australia and New Zealand as we head into winter.
You can't fix stupid.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2020 at 5:13pm
Originally posted by KiwiMum KiwiMum wrote:

If you think it will be seasonally affected then you can all watch Australia and New Zealand as we head into winter.


True
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