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*CODE RED* HIGH WAR RISK

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 24 2023 at 12:40am

DJ, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y4TWUjulqDo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y4TWUjulqDo Military Summary/MS on the "construction" of a Transnistria-front...

MS story hints at "false flag" scenario; Ukraine dressed in Russian army uniforms "attacking Ukraine"...Transnistria is-Moldova (most of the world) view part of Moldova...So Ukraine openly moving into Transnistria could be seen as an Ukraine attack on Moldova...

There may be weapon stocks in Transnistria Ukraine needs...The more important reason for attack would be (rail)road links between NATO/Romania and Ukraine. 

DJ-MS does not mention Russia being able to attack Ukraine army concentrations near Transnistria from the air/sea...I think that is the most likely scenario...unable Ukraine to have enough forces for such an attack...

Moldova may have all kinds of secret deals with the US/NATO but may try to avoid destruction in an open war with Russia...

Worst scenario could see Romania involved in Moldova attack on Transnistria...It could start a war between Russia and Romania-thus NATO...

Some US/NATO "leaders" may be pushing for this escalation scenario..."Russia attacking Moldova"-bla-bla...By now the rest of the world may be totally fed up with NATO agression...increase financial/economic warfare against the US by increase of de-dollarization and decrease of energy supplies to "the west"....

DJ-I expect Russia will attack targets in the Transnistria-Ukraine border area today...

--

DJ-Looking at the history of the Syrian regime change NATO-war; The US -h.clinton- managed to get gas/chemical weapons from Libya to Syrian "western backed terrorists"...then blaming Syria/Russia for using WMD/chemical weapons in a battle they were already winning...

Will Ukraine go for chemical, bio, even nuclear-dirty-weapons-false flag and blame Russia for it ? (Or Iran, China ? Whoever...). 

The "west" would love to get more support from "the rest". So far insanity rules...will the US or UK use nuclear weapons and then claim a Russian nuclear attack on Ukraine ? 

-------------

DJ-The level of western insanity is shocking the rest of the world...from Indonesia to Argentina...Non-symetric warfare could see US escalation in Ukraine answered by Iran attacking Israel...

[url]https://www.debka.com/an-israeli-missile-hits-the-bunker-venue-of-key-iran-syria-hizballah-parley/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/an-israeli-missile-hits-the-bunker-venue-of-key-iran-syria-hizballah-parley/ ;

In Israel’s latest airstrike in Syria on Sunday, Feb. 13, a missile is said to have penetrated the secret bunker in which Iranian precision missile and attack drone specialists were conferring with their Syrian and Hizballah allies. The attack was first revealed on Wednesday, Feb. 22, by Syrian military sources and Western media in unusual detail.

We live in very dangerous times...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 24 2023 at 11:52pm

DJ, (part 1)

New Atlas/NA [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyAq8xAhmSI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyAq8xAhmSI ;(references under video)

A look at US-based think tank CSIS’ war game regarding a “Chinese invasion of Taiwan.” 

- Western military leaders and the Western media itself suggests China is pushing for war with the US over Taiwan by 2025; 

- It is actually the US rushing to war over Taiwan before China’s military and economic power surpasses the US and closes the door indefinitely to Washington’s ability to use its military to coerce and threaten China; 

- Taiwan is officially considered by the United States as part of China under the One China policy it itself agreed to with Beijing; 

- US arms sales to Taiwan, visits to Taiwan without Beijing’s approval, and even stationing US troops on Taiwan constitute violations of Chinese sovereignty and are deliberate attempts to provoke war; 

- US-based think tank CSIS war gamed a scenario in which China is provoked and invades Taiwan; 

- CSIS admits Chinese military capabilities are comparable to the US’ but ultimately the US could defeat an attempted amphibious landing on Taiwan; 

 -CSIS admits Taiwan’s infrastructure and industry would be destroyed but it would maintain its political autonomy, trading its physical existence in to maintain its political existence; 

- It is clear the US is simply attempting to disrupt the peaceful reunification of Taiwan with the rest of China and forcing China to pay the highest price possible to defend its sovereignty.   

and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yn9D-G250cw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yn9D-G250cw Alexander Mercouris/AM;

Russian Captures Bekhova, Bakhmut Siege Tightens; China Ukraine Position Paper Criticises West, Russia-China Deepen Ties Topic 769 

https://news.cgtn.com/news/2023-02-24... https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/wjdt...

are linked;

DJ, The military industrial complex, banks, oil go for profit-war is a way of making profit...To "sell" war buy "main stream media"....

The US (elite) has one clear goal-keep US #1.

Proxy wars in SW Asia (Syria, Iraq), Africa, Eastern Europe and Pacific are good for US weapons and energy...

[url]https://southfront.org/rejected-before-published-chinese-plan-and-its-consequences/[/url] or https://southfront.org/rejected-before-published-chinese-plan-and-its-consequences/ 

DJ, China now is promoting a "plan for global security" (a.o. calling unilateral sanctions go against international law...DJ-How does "free trade" mix with western sanctions to many countries?)

The US is promoting the story of China preparing to invade Taiwan...US also claim a "One China" policy...Taiwan as part of Bejing ruled China...Most likely China does not need to invade Taiwan....Most of Taiwan trade is with China, Asia...basic materials for chips come from China...There are talks on China-Taiwan "closer ties" as a win-win for both...

Discussions on US nuclear weapons in South Korea, Japan, US military bases in the Philippines, increasing US military in Taiwan DJ-should be seen as US agression...North Korea may be an excuse... 

China production capacity is already larger then that of the US and EU combined...in many ways China economy could be seen as #1...

The outcome of "western sanctions" is Russia increasing trade with China and India...India may soon be-in many ways-economy #2...putting the US economy at #3...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP) 

Statistics are a way to lie and hide facts....If a cup of coffee goes from 1 $ to 2 $, "economic growth" might be put at 100% in financial terms...Inflation-higher prices-mean "consumer spending increases"...only that consumer may get less for its money...

The other side of "keeping US #1" is tax has to increase... 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2023 at 2:40am

part 2, 


After all the goverment is supported by USA "The death of 500,000 dead Iraqi children was "a very hard choice, but the price-we think the price is worth it" - Madeleine Albright Speaking just in Iraq...

DJ, the Ukraine war "to weaken Russia" may have cost over 200,000 Ukrainian lives....

As far as there is a "western goal" regime change in Moscow-get western control over Russia may have been on top of the western agenda at the start of the escalation of the already ongoing conflict in Ukraine in 2022. 

AM/NA see the west believed western sanctions would hit Russia that hard Putin may face mass protests - a pro-western puppet (navalny ?) regime would serve western (war, oil) industry goals-profit. 

February-march Russia had the hope it would stay a Russia-Ukraine conflict...there were talks, even agreements in Türkiye...then bojo dropped by in Kiev to tell zelensky "the west" would provide Ukraine with victory".....

Western "help" -by now over 200 billion from US, EU etc- resulted in escalation of the "Special Military Operation" into an Ukraine-NATO war fought in Ukraine with tens of thousends of "western volunteers" fighting on the side of Kiev...

The Russian reaction;

-Sanctions of the west may have done harm if the west was serious in these sanctions. Lots of western companies "stopped" working in Russia-only to continue in another form (Heineken increased Russian market share in drinks...) India, China, Türkiya and also Russians themselves (McDonalds)  simply took over most western companies...

-Russia increased energy exports to Asia...a lot of that ended up in Europe at higher prices...

-Instead of exporting oil Russia also increased its own petro-chemy industry now producing more diesel, kerosene, LPG etc. 

-On the war front it switched from limited military on the street to good defensive positions in the east of Ukraine...

-Russia has short logistic lines, air/escalation/artillery control

-Ukraine keeps sending its fighters to frontlines-with up to 75% of Ukraine deaths from Russian artillery

-The west -long logistic lines- only able to send in decreasing number of weapons...

DJ-I do not know the exact number of Russian tanks on the Ukraine frontlines, something between 1200 and 2000 ? So, yesterday Poland send in 4 modern Leopard-2 tanks to Ukraine...Ukraine know trying to find people that may be able to use it...

-Ukraine did see over 1000 of its (old) tanks destroyed, its air force, navy is gone...so are most the best trained soldiers...

-Some estimates claim 10 million Ukrainians did flee their country...

Still the "western story" is "going for an Ukraine victory" ...without very clear definition of what that victory would look like...AM mentions the parallels with the Vietnam and Afghanistan wars..US supporting a corrupt regime without -at the end- any clear goals...(other then profits for war/oil/banks). 

-----------

DJ On the Moldove/Transnistria story two sources;

-In Moldova itself the pro-EU/NATO government facing widespread protests over high energy costs. The government blames Putin for the public unrest...

-Russia claiming some Ukraine forces (Azov-neo nazi...maybe not under full control of Kiev ?) could be preparing a false flag to plunder Russian weapon storage in Transnistria and open logistic routes between Romania/NATO -via Moldova- to Ukraine...

DJ; (my non expert view); Romania may think twice before it would get involved in Moldova...Romania has claims on Moldova (Romania did fight on the side of nazi-germany in W.W.2 part of the price it had to pay was the loss of Moldova. Moldova was part of the USSR.)

Just like Poland moving into western Ukraine, Romania moving into Moldova may face widespread protests of the local population not welcoming Poles/Romanians...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moldova[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moldova Moldova population under 3 million is one of the poorest countries in Europe....

Even the EU/NATO may think twice on realy getting involved...Maybe -just like US tanks for Ukraine- "somewhere in the future" Moldova may join the EU/NATO....

So also Moldova may think twice on increasing a role in the Ukraine war...the price-even further economic collapse, destruction- would be short term...the reward "joining the west" only a promise...

-------------

The price of the Ukraine war for western countries is going up...a victory becoming less and less realistic. Public support is dropping..."The united West" may not be that united....

Japan still buying Russian oil/LPG...trying to limit conflict with Russia to be in a better position for a conflict with China...

EU-as always- divided...US economic policies, sanctions, high energy for what ? To keep the US #1 ? (By PPP the EU economy may be larger then that of the US...so in many ways the US is in conflict also with the EU...). 

The US also now increasing tensions with China..."problems with Iran" ...At the beginning of 2022 there was unrealistic western optimism over a short conflict-sanctions would beat Russia...

We now face a long military conflict...Further western "help" for Ukraine may see China, Iran, others "helping" Russia...

I think the Ukraine war may be ended soon...western continuation only damages the west....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2023 at 11:23pm

DJ, Slowly we may see a "two front" confrontation...maybe even a "three front"...

1. Military Summary (MS) mentioned Russian forces picking up more foreign languages radio communications in North-East Ukraine. Russia believes another larger Polish "volunteer army group" may be in the area. No doubt also English radio communication picked up...US/UK/Canada "advisors/instructors" getting "more involved"....

Still Russio enclosing several pro-Ukraine positions -in that way breaking the last prepared Ukraine line of defense in the east of Ukraine...

2. Home front in "the west"...The demonstration yesterday in Berlin [url]https://www.change.org/p/manifest-f%C3%BCr-frieden?redirect=false[/url] or https://www.change.org/p/manifest-f%C3%BCr-frieden?redirect=false did see -even with bad weather and main stream sabotage- between 50.000 to 60.000 protestors...

[url]https://rageagainstwar.com/[/url] or https://rageagainstwar.com/ in the US may be the start of a peace movement there...

Politics claim pandemic is over while it is not...climate change not that important..."fight Russia" is their top priority worth spending hundreds of billions of $, € or pounds...and the population by now demand to know why....

Is getting Ukraine into NATO worth 250,000 dead Ukrainians ? Whe "we need regime change in Moscow"...we need peace...

3. India seems to be moving high speed away from "the west"...trying to improve relations with China. On the international front most of the world want this war to be over...Blame the "west" for keeping this war going...

DJ-What next ? 

-If the west would further escalate, fighter jets, more modern tanks, NATO armies "fighting as volunteers" in Ukraine I expect-within a few months they may face China, Iran (etc) forces...

The "rest" of the world -90% of global population- has had enough of western agression...

-Türkiye agrees with the basics of the China "security plan". Hungary wants to discuss Sweden, Finland joining NATO...the EU has run out of sanctions against Russia...NATO is running out of weapons to send...The few options still open is sending western weapons with western trained military...

But it is the military showing much more realism -in general-  then politicians seem to be able to...

DJ-Russia did see two major invasions; NApoleon 1812 reached Moscow but did not last one winter...NAzi [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Barbarossa[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Barbarossa invasion/war 1941-45....Russia lost 27 million people...Lots of historians agree Russia did do the main job in beating NAzi's...

There was "western intervention" after the Russian revolution" 1917...but the civil war till 1923 -war fatigue- economy made that intervention limited. Long logistic lines put a high cost on any action...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War 1853-56 did weaken Russia...

So now NAto is fighting Russia in Ukraine...most of the fighting is within a few hundred kilometers of Russian borders...Russia -again- has no logistical problem. Supplies get wheer the are needed...NAto has a logistics supply problem for "its" army fighting Russia...

Russia is switching to war production, has more then enough sources of energy, basics for war production...is NOT isolated...The "west" is isolated...

DJ-When you move in conflict you better have a plan...the west has NO realistic plan, NO realistic goal (regime change in Moscow ???) and OPEC+, BRICS, SCO are growing fast and more and more likely to join Russia in this conflict...(I would be shocked if India forces would join Russia forces...but it could be India wants to make very clear what India position is...). 

-The US blew up Nordstream...the Russian-EU major energy link. Both in the US and EU "politics" see that as a "new normal"? 

DJ-I feel betrayed by politics...this war was a bad idea from the start...no need for it ! The money wasted on it enrich war-mongers...not HCW-ers, public services...

Giving another war priority over a healthcrisis, climate crisis is becoming criminal....

In scenario's in 2020 I did write (I think) pandemics increase risks of wars ...I hoped to be wrong then...It is the worst kind of scenario to deal with major global healthissues...


Germany - is that the 11th or 12th Covid wave just starting?

and [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps ...millions of Long CoViD cases ...

The "main stream media/politics" go for war and denial of problems...an insult for democracy !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 26 2023 at 10:42pm

DJ, 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5lBSOAnQrhE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5lBSOAnQrhE The Duran; China and Russia align to challenge collective west


and [url]https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/26-february-reports-of-blast-targeting-russian-a50-radar[/url] or https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/26-february-reports-of-blast-targeting-russian-a50-radar 

Reports of blast targeting Russian A-50 radar plane this morning at Machulischy airfield in Belarus. Increased security measures reported in the area. No official confirmation

Also Military Summary updates on You Tube a.o. mentioning Russia picking up radio communication a.o. in Polish in eastern Ukraine.

My view;

-Russia is encircling/destrouing Ukraine defenselines in eastern Ukraine

-To stop collapse of Kiev regime NATO is moving in

-Further escalation supposed to change outcome. Ukraine attacking Belarus, Moldova/Transnistria; western media/politics will blame it on Russia-rest of the world blame it on NATO

-Very likely both Poland, Romania, Baltics could be preparing "a large role" NATO planes attacking Russian targets in Ukraine (and Belarus) ? If Russia attacks air bases used for NATO attacks on Russia "Russia unprovoked attacked NATO".....

DJ-This is very bad...

-China, Iran are informed and very likely SOON could be showing themselves openly joining Russia 

-One goal is to avoid US starting nuclear war

-Military Russia may not need help, Geo-political "the rest" now openly supporting Russia against the 10% west in a good scenario may "wake up the west"...

However since insane leaders obsessed with regime change-to start in Moscow- are not open for reason I expect biden "may go nuclear"....

Ukraine is only one of the frontlines. The Middle East (Israel terrorising Palestinians with western help)  high risk of further escalation. 

[url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/26/698909/protesters-across-italy-demand-West-stop-rearming-Ukraine[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/26/698909/protesters-across-italy-demand-West-stop-rearming-Ukraine

Thousands of Italians have demonstrated across the country in Rome, Florence and Genoa against Western sanctions imposed on Russia and transfer of lethal military hardware to Ukraine, a day after the first anniversary of the Ukraine-Russia war.

The protesters chanted “No to war” and “Peace”, demanding an end to the war and urging the Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s government stop supplying Kiev with weapons.

and [url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/25/698893/No-to-NATO-demo-in-London-on-Ukraine-anniversary[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/25/698893/No-to-NATO-demo-in-London-on-Ukraine-anniversary

Thousands of kilometers away from the front lines of the Russia-Ukraine war, an appeal for peace comes from central London.

Saturday's protest means that while there may be a consensus in at the official political level here in Britain and some other countries on the need to escalate in Ukraine, anti-war sentiment among ordinary people is on the rise.

DJ  [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/02/26/health-care-staff-shortages-become-problem-coming-coronavirus-wave[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/02/26/health-care-staff-shortages-become-problem-coming-coronavirus-wave ; If hospitals have trouble caring for coronavirus patients in the coming weeks, it's mainly because they don't have enough staff. That shortage will determine whether they can handle the influx, rather than the number of patients. That's what hospitals say in a survey by ANP. Even before the pandemic, the health care system suffered from staff shortages, and those shortages worsened during the Covid-19 years. As the number of infections and admissions increases, health care workers will also get sick and drop out. Then fewer and fewer people will be available to treat more and more people.

The official stand of NL politics is "CoViD" now is "low risk"...In the west politics destroy public healthcare, public education, public transport, public housing on the same time pushing trillions in endless wars...

And -of course- the US comes up again with another "China lab leak claim" causing the CoViD pandemic, after Chinese weather balloons spying over the US....

-Antarctice sea ice at lowest level, Arctic sea ice on 3rd lowest level -extreme weather now a "new normal" "we have to live with"...

A western political elite is destroying the planet....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 27 2023 at 8:30am

Hal Turner is a racist....this does not mean all his info is incorrect...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/romania-prepares-for-war-tanks-himars-on-the-streets[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/romania-prepares-for-war-tanks-himars-on-the-streets ;

Army columns of Gepards and  HIMARS Multiple-Launch-Rocket-Systems (MLRS) are on the streets inside Romania, apparently headed towards the Moldova border.

This comes on the heels of an ORDER issued by government on January 31 informing Romanian men to " Immediate Training for All Men Fit to Fight. "  They are required to report for mandatory training by March 31. 

That Order, issued by the Ministry of National Defense, Brila County Military Center, shown below, is being referred to as a "CALL TO WAR."

More . . .

The US military/NATO is deploying some reservists to Romania to train European soldiers. The reservists have been told that the war will escalate. They will be training the Europeans to fight against Russians for at least six months.

DJ, Russia claims to pick up radio communication near the front a.o. in Polish...also in Romanian ? How many "NATO army volunteers" are already in Ukraine ? 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/statement-by-russian-ministry-of-defense-regarding-ukraine-attacking-transnistria[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/statement-by-russian-ministry-of-defense-regarding-ukraine-attacking-transnistria ;

We consistently advocate the solution of any issues in a political and diplomatic way. At the same time, no one should have doubts that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will adequately respond to the provocation of the Kiev regime, if one does follow, and will ensure the protection of our compatriots, the Russian peacekeeping contingent, military personnel of the Operational Group of Russian troops and military depots in the village. Any actions that pose a threat to their security will be considered in accordance with international law as an attack on the Russian Federation."

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/romania-deploys-air-defense-missiles-along-moldova-border[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/romania-deploys-air-defense-missiles-along-moldova-border

Overnight, Romania began deploying air-defense missile systems along its border with Moldova/Transnistria.

Tensions in the region are now at maximum, with Ukraine troops massing along their border with Transnistria/Moldova, just near a huge ammo depot filled with 20,000 tons of Soviet-era weapons and ammunition.   If Ukraine can grab that weapons depot, it will supply their war effort against Russia for a full year.

DJ, in the past there were claims Romanian military already were stationed in Moldova.

[url]https://southfront.org/russian-long-range-radar-detection-and-control-aircraft-targeted-at-airfield-in-belarus-reports/[/url] or https://southfront.org/russian-long-range-radar-detection-and-control-aircraft-targeted-at-airfield-in-belarus-reports/

On the morning of February 26, a military airfield located on the outskirts of the capital of Belarus reportedly came under attack. This military facility hosted Russian military aircraft.

According to some Belarusian news sources, at least two explosions thundered on the territory of the military airfield in the village of Machulishchi. Some sources claimed that three explosions were heard in the area. One of them thundered at night and two others were reportedly heard in the morning.

The preliminary reports claimed that a snowplow and an aircraft were damaged as a result of the attack. Roads  leading to the airfield were blocked. Ambulance officers and officers of the investigative committee were reportedly sent to the area of the incident.

Some local sources spread information that the attack was allegedly carried out by some Belarusian saboteurs who are members of the local radical opposition groups. Drone control consoles were reportedly found near the airfield.

The reports about the attack are yet to be officially confirmed by Belarusian or Russian military authorities.

The reports were supported by the following photo allegedly showing the smoke ober the military airfield. However, it has nothing to do with Belarus and was already circulating online before the attack.

DJ, making claims, publishing photo's before an attack indicate it was a planned (CIA ?) operation....

The information was first shared by the media sources belonging to supporters of Belarusian opposition sponsored by Poland and were widely shared by the Ukrainian media.

In their turn, some Russian military reporters confirmed the attack, citing their own sources in Belarus, claiming that any any damage is yet to be confirmed.

The Belarusian newspaper Nasha Niva reported that the target was a Russian A-50U aircraft. Some Ukrainian sources claimed that the aircraft suffered some “average damage”.

-

Reports about any damage to Russian aircraft are yet to be confirmed.

It is still not clear whether the attack took place and whether it was carried out by local saboteurs or Ukrainian forces. Ukraine has already carried out several attacks on Russian military airfields with its UAVs launched from the Ukrainian territory. Russian airfields near Ryazan, Kursk and in Engels near Saratov were hit in 2022. All the previous attacks were confirmed by the Russian military. LINKLINKLINKLINK

On the same day, Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces allegedly launched an attack on the Belarusian territory. One of the members of the Ukrainian territorial defence units was reportedly killed in clashes on the border. The Border Committee of Belarus denied the reports and claimed that there were no incidents Belarusian border guards did not open fire.

DJ, further escalation of the Ukraine war is ongoing....

[url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/27/698968/Iran-General-Baqeri-Iraq-regional-security[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/27/698968/Iran-General-Baqeri-Iraq-regional-security

Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Major General Mohammad Baqeri says Iran and Iraq are boosting security cooperation to ensure regional security and counter "common threats."

Speaking at a meeting with Iraqi Defense Minister Thabet Muhammad Saeed al-Abbasi in Tehran on Sunday, General Baqeri said the two countries are engaged in joint activities to fight terrorism.

“The situation in the region requires that Iran and Iraq work together to ensure security because the two countries are facing common threats,” he said.

World powers, he continued, created the Daesh Takfiri terrorist group to wrest control over regional states, but the plot failed due to cooperation between the Iranian and Iraqi nations and warriors.

In the Middle East tensions also grow...In Türkiye in a recent poll 70% of the people did see "Russia as a friend"....

[url]https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/27/698992/Egypt%E2%80%99s-FM-visits-Damascus-for-first-time-since-Syrian-conflict-started,-meets-with-Assad[/url] or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2023/02/27/698992/Egypt%E2%80%99s-FM-visits-Damascus-for-first-time-since-Syrian-conflict-started,-meets-with-Assad 

Egypt’s foreign minister has arrived in Damascus in the first such visit by a top Egyptian diplomat since the foreign-sponsored militancy started in Syria more than a decade ago.

Sameh Shoukry met with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad at the presidential palace on Monday, reaffirming his country's solidarity with Syria and its preparedness to continue supporting Syrians in the aftermath of the devastating February 6 earthquake, Syria’s official news agency SANA reported.

He also conveyed Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi’s greetings to the Syrian leader, and called for further development of long-established and friendly relations between the two countries

DJ...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Republic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Republic ;

The United Arab Republic (UARArabicالجمهورية العربية المتحدةromanizedal-Jumhūrīyah al-'Arabīyah al-Muttaḥidah), or simply the Arab Republic or Arabia, was a sovereign state in the Middle East from 1958 until 1971. It was initially a political union between Egypt (including the occupied Gaza Strip) and Syria from 1958 until Syria seceded from the union after the 1961 Syrian coup d'état. Egypt continued to be known officially as the United Arab Republic until 1971.

first time Arabic is used on this forum ? 

[url]https://southfront.org/west-tells-global-south-you-cant-be-neutral-in-ukraine-war-you-are-either-with-us-or-against-us/[/url] or https://southfront.org/west-tells-global-south-you-cant-be-neutral-in-ukraine-war-you-are-either-with-us-or-against-us/

Written by Ben Norton. Originally published by Geopolitical Economy Report 

The foreign ministers of the United States, Germany, and Ukraine have told the world “you can’t be neutral” in NATO’s proxy war with Russia, recalling President George W. Bush’s infamous declaration, “You are either with us, or against us”.

In doing so, these Western officials are implicitly criticizing the vast majority of the countries on Earth, which are in the Global South, and which have maintained strict neutrality over the war.

In a joint event at the Munich Security Conference on February 18, Germany’s Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock declared,

“Neutrality is not an option, because then you are standing on the side of the aggressor”.

DJ, for the west "nuance", "diplomacy" even "thinking" have become dirty words...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 28 2023 at 2:06am

DJ

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhfvRTTR3Z8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhfvRTTR3Z8 ;

Thousands of people in several big cities in Europe such as in Germany, France, Italy, staged anti-NATO protests. They demanded a withdrawal from NATO members and protested the transfer of arms to the Ukrainian war, in which NATO was directly involved in attacks on Russian forces. 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n-sXKj6w4QU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n-sXKj6w4QU Alexander Mercouris/AM;

Russia Claims Bakhmut Roads Cut; Scholz Macron Mull Zelensky Ultimatum; Moscow Warns Kiev War if Transnistria Attacked

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_Ac3LSUjUQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_Ac3LSUjUQ Military Summary/MS

-MS/AM both did not see any proof of any attack in Belarus. There are NATO (western/Ukraine) claims a Russian "AWACS" was attacked "by Belarus partizans"....

The Russian high tech radar plane is used to detect Ukraine airdefenses during airstrikes. It is part of the warfare to destroy Ukraine air defense. But destroying/damaging one plane only means it will replaced by another...There have been reports of two-three "loud bangs" south of Minsk in Belarus...Also some "anti-terrorist" operation/training...

There are some "Belarus fighters" (and "Russian fighters" on the Kiev-side...MI6/CIA may be involved in operations/gathering intel in Belarus...claims of "Belarus partizans" -and maybe even of a (successfull) attack may be propaganda...

MS also made the point of China thinking of using Belarus as a supply route for Russia. China would send "supplies" to Belarus...Belarus "could sell it to anyone interested"...In that way China would avoid western sanctions...

-Transnistria...Russia did warn against an attack on Transnistria-in many ways seen as still Russian speaking part of Moldova. MS suggested Russia could attack "decission making centers" in Ukraine if Ukraine would go for such an attack...

MS made the (good) point Ukraine may decide to attack Transnistria when Bakhmut falls...So "Ukraine still could claim some sort of victory"....If there are still weapons stored in Transnistria it may be very old-and unsafe-Soviet era-weapons...(DJ-I would not rule out most of the storage might be empty...). Around 400 Russia military with 600-1,000 Transnistria-Russians are "protecting peace" in the area...

MS did earlier mention Azov-neo nazi regiments, hardly under Kiev control- may be planning those attacks. (With US/UK other help ?) 

AM mentioned Moldova tried to blame internal unrest on Putin...but now may push for deescalation...Does not want to get involved that deep in the Ukraine war...(even no longer seeking NATO/EU membership...? ). Also Romania may not be that willing to get into an escalation...

-AM mentioned 30% of German Leopard-2 tanks are "ready for use"...In talks UK-France-Germany decided there "are limits" to "helping" Ukraine...DJ-In fact we now reached those limits...AM mentioned Ukraine using 3.000 shells per day...Wagner PMC is using over 10,000 per day...

Public support for the NATO-Russia war is dropping fast...low income groups are hit the hardest by higher prices, worsening housing and healthcare...Many western military have been warning for months "military aid" has its limits...

In Ukraine military leaders want another strategy then the zelinsky-clique...Russia pulls back forces if costs are to high...limiting losses...Ukraine/NATO "claiming victory" when Russia pulls back from some positions...only to attack on other weak spots...

Ukraine military want to use good defensive positions...Some indications new defensive positions were not built due to corruption...

-DJ My view is Ukraine military is being systematically destroyed by Russia...The outcome of each day of fighting is hundreds of Ukrainians being killed for what ? (Ego's ?)

There is no "clear-and realistic-definition" of what an Ukraine/NATO victory would look like...Both "regime change in Moscow" and even return of Crimea to Russia now is phantasy...

I also think the will for further escalation in most of the west may decrease...The "rest of the world" wants peace...blames NATO/US for this war....The longer this war goes on the more damage for "the west" in global position...Also costs now have become very high...Energy, food, for the 2023-24 winter are a worry...

Also CoViD is NOT over...H5N1, climate collapse are major risks...ignoring them "don't look up-style" only worssens them....

-Outcome -also for the Israel/US - Iran conflict- will have to be talks...I think there is a lot of talking in many places on "how to proceed"....Problem may be in "hard liners"...US-biden, Poland, Baltics...still pushing for escalation...By now -my view- most of the west want to find a way out of this crisis...

Elections could bring "unwelcome outcomes" in most western countries...pro-war parties lose votes...Also major companies see a better future in Asia...(more and younger consumers getting more wealthy...). In the past Germany not only wanted Nordstream energy links with Russia-it also wanted a railway link with China...The reasons for those choices did not see better alternatives...

There is always a risk of "uncontrolled escalation/miscommunication" worsening a crisis-zone...But even Israel-Netanyahu knows there is no alternative for -indirect- talks with Iran...

The "west" simply is not able to have a chance of "winning" a war with Russia-Iran-China...Only some "leaders" still not willing to accept that...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 28 2023 at 11:47pm

DJ 

The attack on an air base near Minsk-Belarus most likely can be related to [url]https://southfront.org/military-overview-ukraine-launched-massive-drone-attack-testing-russian-air-defenses/[/url] or https://southfront.org/military-overview-ukraine-launched-massive-drone-attack-testing-russian-air-defenses/ ;

The blocks carried by the UAVs were marked PE8 L23A1. Some sources claimed that these are explosive devices in special containers that were delivered to the Kiev regime by the British Ministry of Defense. The total mass of the explosive used in such a block is approximately 1.5-1.6 kg in TNT equivalent. Even one explosive is sufficient to cause significant damage to an infrastructure facility and civilians.

-

The Ukrainian military and its NATO partners have already demonstrated their ability to carry out military provocations on the Russian territory, including with the use of unmanned aerial vehicles. Ukraine is actively using UAVs to attempt sabotage on Russian territory, including at a considerable distance from the zone of a special military operation.

All today’s emergencies should be considered as preparation for the spring offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, when the purpose of such strikes will be to destabilize Russian rear and disperse mass panic among Russians.

Kiev is assessing the reaction of Russian authorities, while the Ukrainian military is checking the capabilities of Russian air defense and cyber forces in various regions.

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have already attacked Ukrainian factories and storage warehouses where, drones and their components supplied to Ukraine were manufactured. The enemy’s reserves were partially thinned out.

Today’s strikes on the Russian territory became the first test of unmanned Ukrainian systems to carry out a massive attack on several directions. So  far, judjing by the preliminary reports, today’s attack failed to cause any significant damage to Russia.

DJ, I think it was a NATO/UK provocation...Ukraine may not have the supplies needed for a (major) offensive. So NATO has to change the strategy...

[url]https://southfront.org/the-u-s-to-unleash-chemical-war-in-donbass/[/url] or https://southfront.org/the-u-s-to-unleash-chemical-war-in-donbass/ 

On February 28, the Russian Defence Ministry revealed that the United States intends to organize a provocation in Ukraine with the use of toxic substances, accusing Russia of the use of chemical weapons.

The Chief of Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Protection Troops of Russian Armed Forces Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov claimed at a briefing that on February 10, a train with chemicals, accompanied by a group of foreigners, arrived in the city of Kramatorsk in the Kiev-controlled part of the DPR.

The car was detached and towed to the territory of the Kuybyshev Iron and Steel Works in Kramatorsk, where it was unloaded under the control of the Security Service of Ukraine and the AFU command representatives.

The consignment consisted of 16 sealed metal boxes, eight of which were labelled with a chemical hazard symbol, BZ inscription and marked with two red bands, corresponding to the class of poisonous substances of temporary incapacitation action. Five of the boxes were labelled as ‘C-S-RIOT’, three were labelled as ‘C-R-RIOT’ with a single red band, which corresponds to substances with an irritant action.

The cargo was placed on the U.S.-manufactured armoured vehicles, which moved to the combat line of contact as part of the convoy.

In addition, 11 wagons with shrapnel ammunition with special markings were unloaded in Kramatorsk on February 19. Previously, such projectiles were upgraded in the United States for striking elements with liquid formulations of irritating substances. The shells were unloaded at night on a suburban platform, and on the cars were inscriptions “Building Materials” and “Cement”.

NATO also plans to supply a large batch of protective equipment to Ukraine.

We did see that in Syria...Assad was winning from "western backed moderate terrorists" so "he had to use chemical weapons"...The west went for a cruise missile attack...however stayed out of getting to much involved...

NATO needs new propaganda...[url]https://southfront.org/people-against-nato/[/url] or https://southfront.org/people-against-nato/ ;

Despite the loud statements of the Western elite about their unity in support of the Nazi Kiev regime, it turns out that the population of their respective countries does not support their attempts to incite a large-scale war in Europe.

A new wave of demonstrations against NATO military aid to Ukraine swept across Europe and other countries. Along with calls to refuse to transfer weapons to Ukrainian nationalists, there are demands to stop killing people in the Donbass, and to force the Kiev regime to immediately launch negotiations. People across the West are demanding that their governments to stop the escalation of the proxy war in Europe, take back the sovereignty of their countries and dissolve NATO.

In Italy protestors in Genua/Genova tried to block the port from wich Italy would send "military aid" (for more deaths...) to Ukraine...

By now most of the world is disgusted by "western help for Ukraine self-destruction"....

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/02/the-context-of-the-new-anti-china-campaign.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/02/the-context-of-the-new-anti-china-campaign.html "the real enemy" for a corrupt western elite is China...

DJ-my view-China;

-Is talking with Belarus as a "hub" for Chinese aid to Russia. To avoid sanctions it may sell weapons to Belarus...Belarus then exports them to Russia...

-China no doubt will be in lots of talks with many countries on strategies to stop "an insane west"...De-dollarization will be one of them, info/propaganda war another...

-Cyberwarfare. EW/Electronic Warfare very likely to increase...Loss of electricity for days, logistics disrupted, will "collapse the west" without an "open war"...

However "our insane leaders" need war...The only way out for the west is "regime change/change of strategy" in the west...Confrontation at the end is destroying us...diplomacy could have saved us...

Outlook simply is bad....Israel/Palestine conflict is also escalating...


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ME163 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 01 2023 at 4:08pm

Ok, so we are all goibg to die. What's new about it.  You know, This world has been sucking goats asses for quite some time and maybe  we need a  good ole fashion cleaning.  I think it wouldn't be too bad to go out  with a bang.  Who knows, maybe in 200 million years, life will come back.  Maybe the lemmings had it right. I remember reading a story about lemmings and thinking, what a way to go. As I see it now, we have had our party and now it's last call.  We are going to go hell anyway?  Let's make it worth the trip.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ME163 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 01 2023 at 4:15pm

BTW,  it's been a honor and a blessing to be in this group.   Have fun and watch tthe bombs go off, going to be the last thing anyone sees. 


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