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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Effect of Temperature, Humidity, and Sunlight

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ksc View Drop Down
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    Posted: March 17 2020 at 5:45am

Effect of Temperature, Humidity, and Sunlight on SARS-CoV-2, and a Proposal for Installation of Humidification Systems

https://medium.com/@tomstavola/effect-of-temperature-humidity-and-sunlight-on-sars-cov-2-and-a-proposal-for-installation-of-602211a982b2 

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Technophobe View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 17 2020 at 6:08am

The humidity really surprised me.  Thank you!

That 104*f  (40*C) inactivates the virus quickly suggests that (unless it reaches really dangerous levels) allowing a fever to run its natural course in the sick would be a good move.  But this is a precise thing!  A tightrope! I can't recommend it, but it is what I would do.


To quote Google:

High-grade fevers range from about 103 F-104 F. Dangerous temperatures are high-grade fevers that range from over 104 F-107 F or higher (extremely high fevers are also termed hyperpyrexia). ... Prolonged or persistent fever is fever lasting longer than about 10-14 days; these are usually low-grade fevers


In other words,  Watch the patient's temperature like a hawk!  But allow it up to about 103*, as this is the body fighting the bug effectively.  I say 103* as this inactivates the virus - albeit more slowly - and gives a small margain for error in the safety of the patient.  Should said patient experience convulsions, reducing temperature urgently is vital!  (ice, fan + alcohol wipe over a large area of skin, paracetamol (acetaminophen/tylenol).

High temperatures hurt the patient, but they hurt viruses more and more quickly, that is why we get them when we have an infection.  I would not normally use a temperature to fight anything, but other treatment options for this bug are non-existant.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 17 2020 at 7:39am

Indeed, fevers are the body's attempt to neutralize these invaders.  I don't believe in regulating fevers unless they become life-threatening. 

I would not read too much into temperature effects upon the SARS-CoV2 virus.  Singapore is near the equator and has high heat & humidity, but this has not hampered the spread of the virus over there. 

Dr. Lipsitch of Harvard University addresses seasonality in this fine article:

https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/will-covid-19-go-away-on-its-own-in-warmer-weather/

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KiminNM Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 17 2020 at 10:45am

I heard Chris Martenson of Peak Prosperity talking about this a few days ago, and kept expecting to see it posted here. I don't think it has been, so here's the info. I *think* it contradicts the above? (my brain is foggy today)

The original Twitter link that Chris found the study at
https://twitter.com/JeromeRoos/status/1236729401833861120


Peak Prosperity video - watch from 6:15-11:10  He talks about the study, then shows how he's going to use the information from the study to calculate the best days to go out in public if you have to go out.   If I understand it right, the WORST times are Temperature between 41-52 F and Humidity between 45-80.  
(Please correct me if I'm misunderstanding, as I said, my brain is very foggy today)


Direct link to the pdf of the study titled Temperature and latitude analysis to predict potential spread and seasonality for COVID-19  https://t.co/cJBZcXdyMm?amp=1

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CRS, DrPH View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CRS, DrPH Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 17 2020 at 1:00pm

Originally posted by KiminNM KiminNM wrote:

I heard Chris Martenson of Peak Prosperity talking about this a few days ago, and kept expecting to see it posted here. I don't think it has been, so here's the info. I *think* it contradicts the above? (my brain is foggy today)

The original Twitter link that Chris found the study at
https://twitter.com/JeromeRoos/status/1236729401833861120


Peak Prosperity video - watch from 6:15-11:10  He talks about the study, then shows how he's going to use the information from the study to calculate the best days to go out in public if you have to go out.   If I understand it right, the WORST times are Temperature between 41-52 F and Humidity between 45-80.  
(Please correct me if I'm misunderstanding, as I said, my brain is very foggy today)


Direct link to the pdf of the study titled Temperature and latitude analysis to predict potential spread and seasonality for COVID-19  https://t.co/cJBZcXdyMm?amp=1

The problem is, KWM, we tend to catch this as a bioaerosol when a patient sneezes/coughs in our presence.  This virus does not hang around in the air like some kind of vapor, and our indoor human environment is always set at near perfect temperature/humidity to ensure survival of this thing.

CRS, DrPH
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