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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Excess Deaths From COVID-19

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Tabitha111 View Drop Down
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Joined: January 11 2020
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    Posted: July 02 2020 at 5:06am

Paper written by VCU faculty, Virginia Commonwealth University. We should start to see similar analyses to this paper demonstrate similar effects as vital records data becomes available.

July 1, 2020

"These estimates suggest that the number of COVID-19 deaths reported in the first weeks of the pandemic captured only two-thirds of excess deaths in the US. Potential explanations include delayed reporting of COVID-19 deaths and misattribution of COVID-19 deaths to other respiratory illnesses (eg, pneumonia) or to nonrespiratory causes reflecting complications of COVID-19 (eg, coagulopathy, myocarditis). Few excess deaths involved pneumonia or influenza as underlying causes"

[...]

 "Large increases in mortality from heart disease, diabetes, and other diseases were observed. Further investigation is required to determine the extent to which these trends represent nonrespiratory manifestations of COVID-19 or secondary pandemic mortality caused by disruptions in society that diminished or delayed access to health care and the social determinants of health (eg, jobs, income, food security)."

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2768086?

'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
--Confucius

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