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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Europe will prep now

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Corn View Drop Down
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    Posted: February 14 2006 at 4:23pm

Europeans now realizing BF is there will begin stockpiling in a big way causing shortages in Europe. Thier suppliers will lock up supplies on more good as they begin to sell out.

If the Americans drag their asses European demand for goods will  buy products usually destined for the US.

Capitalisim. Free Market. Supply and Demand to the highest bidder. When Americans decide it is time to prep there will be little or nothing left.

What the worlds ecomonies feared if Americans paniced, we would buy the world and cause shortages. However the reverse will happen. Europe will stockpile while America sleeps.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TNbebo408 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 4:37pm
Corn, maybe we can watch the EU and see if they start piling stuff up.

If so, you would be correct.

I hope your wrong, give us more time if you are.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote sweets Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 4:43pm

 Corn You are spot on!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote KOMET163 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 4:58pm
Corn , at least we won't be unprepared I got 3 bottles of clorox, 3 bottles of cooking oil and 3 packages of beans and rice. I did my preps for today, 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 5:19pm

Watch the stock market tonight and tomorrow and rest of the week. If people are preping suddenly for the long term the will begin liquidating assets to raise cash.

Watch gold and you will get an idea of what the big players are thinking.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote elbows Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 5:30pm
The most immediate impact in Europe will be a decline in sale of poultry & related products.

There will be a bit of panic and a bit of stockpiling, but I dont think it will be on the scale you suggest, or cause the shortages you suggest. Europe will panic at some point, but not yet, and even then I dont think everyone else can panic-buy quite like Americans can
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 5:37pm

Fom the bottom of Italy to the Top of Germany BF has been confirmed. That shock alone of how fast one can be caught unaware. All the procrastinators will begin seeing this as there signal to prep.

You will get to watch it first hand.

It should be coming under the chunnel about now by car and train.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 5:45pm
I would disagree Corn.  Europe is much more Socialistically leaning than the US.  The populous is far more likely to expect the government to take care of them than even the average US citizen.  If you expect your government to take care of you, you don't need to prep.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CountryGirl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 6:17pm
I think you make a good point, SZ. But reality will set in as this progresses and hopefully they will prep.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 6:18pm

The next few days will tell the tale. I believe Europeans are educated also.

The ones that are knowledgeable about BF will see this as a signal to start their preps.

I have lived in Europe for 4 years. Smart capable people.

Those that are aware of the BF have no more excuses. The ones that were saying I'll wait and see now see.

Individuals will begin massive prepping. Long term preps trying to be done in a short time span.

Europeans following BF are not that different that people in the US following BF. The have been warned by the government.

How many European members has this forum gained since Turkey, a few, Italy a few more and now I see two or three new ones just today. Europe is waking up.

I just got a PM from Poland today.

Surprise and what a surprise. BF in Europe from top to bottom. side to side in what supposedly 4 weeks?

They are not stupid people.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote elbows Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 6:24pm
My point wasnt that Europe wouldnt prepare at all, or not panic whatsoever, just that I dont expect them to all rush out tomorrrow and empty the shelves of everything. That may happen at some point, but only when humans start dropping dead in large numbers.

What sort of things do you expect to see shortages of?

I expect bird flu is already here in the UK, Ive been waiting for it since the Autumn or even last summer (as I didnt know much about where/when birds migrated to back then), so its not possible for recent news to make me increase panic. Please forgive me if I occasionally seek to slightly dampen down or rebalance threads that either seem too dramatic or are (quite understandably) US-centric in terms of how they see the rest of the world. Europe may just be some other place whose actions could affect US preperations to you, but bear in mind there are a few people on these forums who call this part of the world home

edit - oops I wrote this before corn's last reply, which was certainly not US-centric.  I am genuinely interested to know if you expect the European situation will cause more shortages in the USA, and of what. I dont even expect any shortages of stuff in Europe yet, but yeah, give it time and Im sure it will happen eventually.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 6:27pm

The point is here. The word is out. they will start emptying shelves.  We will just have to wait and see.

Italian loses job over bird flu fear, kills family
14 Feb 2006 18:05:54 GMT
Source: Reuters

ROME, Feb 14 (Reuters) - An Italian trucker killed his wife and child with a hammer and slit his own throat after losing his job delivering chickens because poultry sales fell on consumers' fear of bird flu, local newspapers said on Tuesday.

Claudio Rubello, 49, pummelled his wife and 10-year-old daughter to death in their sleep and severely beat his two teenage sons, who survived the attack, before slitting his own throat with a kitchen knife, newspapers reported.

The incident happened on Sunday in Grezzano, near Verona in northern Italy, a month after Rubello lost his job because of the crash in poultry sales. Newspapers said he left a note that read: "By my stupid neglect I have ruined my family."

"He was very worried because we told him there'd be less work because of the crisis in the (poultry) sector and the fall in chicken consumption," Repubblica newspaper quoted an official at the truck company, identified only as Massimo, as saying.

The rise of bird flu in Asia caused a 10 percent drop in chicken sales in Italy in 2005, though humans can only catch the deadly virus through contacts with infected birds and not by eating chicken meat or eggs.

Italian poultry sales plunged more than 50 percent after news last Saturday that the virus had been found in wild swans in southern Italy, the farmers' federation Coldiretti said.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 6:31pm

How shocked is anybody that BF covers Europe in 4-6 weeks? If you go by the media releases.  Even we in this forum are caught back in awe by the last 3 weeks.

Imagine those who were on the fence.

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote elbows Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 6:39pm
Some people will remain on the fence until it starts killing lots of humans.

I will ask some people at work tomorrow whether they are surprised, I thought I noticed people being more aware once it reached Turkey, probably some just assumed the worst and that it would be all over Europe sooner or later.

Who says bird flu covers Eurrope in 4-6 weeks? Positive bird flu test results & news stories can cover such timescale, but the actual bird flu may have been around for months and nobody wanted to find it.

I know you are currently intot he idea that bird flu is being driven around Europe by peoples tyres, maybe that is a component of the spread but really the birds are key at the moment, once people believe that migratory birds can carry H5N1, it shouldnt be any surprise that it can spread quickly and fast.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote merrittjohn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 7:19pm
I called my college roommate this evening in Germany to find out what was going on.  He told me that it was on the front page but that nobody was too freaked out by the whole thing..... Told me he didn't know of anyone that was prepping in any way.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Marjo Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2006 at 11:36pm

I agree with elbows and merrittjohn,

most people are not even aware of the danger and if they are they fully trust the government to take care of everything.

I don't expect ANY stocking up or empty shelves until sick people are filling the hospitals. And even then....

We had the BF in The Netherlands in 2003 in a BIG way : 89 people in hospital in a very serious condition and 1 dead. 30 Milion poultry had to be culled. Don't know whether the pictures reached the UF, but is was ugly...

result:
Panick: no
stockpiling: no
empty shelves: no

People turned to pork and beef for a while, but nobody was really alarmed.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote pola33193 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 12:20am

what a lot of people think is that if they dont have chickens or dont get close to birds nothing is going to happen to them , they are not looking at the big picture because they haven't taken the time to find out or study a little bit  of what bird flu is ! we learned a lot because we  wanted too but 90% of people out there think nothing is going to happen because the government is going to find a cure like my father in law told me today !!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 2:00am

Crisis meeting as bird flu spreads (English)
| (CNN) -- Germany has become the fourth European Union nation to detect the deadly strain of avian flu in wild birds, with health experts from the nation preparing for a crisis meeting in a bid to halt the global spread. | Preliminary tests showed t...
 

Bird Flu Found in Germany, Fifth EU Country; Asian Cases Rise (English)
Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Bird flu spread in the European Union as Germany became the fifth member country to report an outbreak of the deadly virus. Indonesia said the number of human cases of avian influenza is increasing. | Germany said two wild swan...
 



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 2:03am
  1. France warned of high risk of bird flu contamination Open this result in new window

    AFP via Yahoo! News - Feb 14 11:04 AM
    The French food safety agency AFSSA warned of a heightened risk of the deadly bird flu virus reaching the country, and called for poultry to be kept indoors wherever possible.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 2:17am
Bird flu just 600 miles from UK Open this result in new window
Daily Mail - 44 minutes ago
Deadly bird flu is moving ever closer to Britain after German authorities revealed that two infected swans have been found just 600 miles from the UK. Germany is preparing to move all of its commercial fowl indoors to try and isolate suspected cases
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Fiddlerdave Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 2:27am

There is a concept that ypur government ACTUALLY WILL help you.  :)  A friend who was in Japan during the Kobi earthquake.  He said that, by the end of the day, amonst all the wreckage, distribution lines were set up and handing out thousands of emergency  kits conataining: a small tent and a small gas cookstove, thin but serviceable cookware, warm clothes and a sleeping mat, some personal care items and other necessities.  A potable water distribution point about every 4 blocks.  Storekeepers all had the surviving food stores open, and people went in were allowed to take a day or two's supply of basic food items.  He saw NO looting or hoarding of supplies in the middle of this devastated city.

I imagine the Mormons are going to operate  in a similar manner, especially since I understand they are supposed to keep 1 years food supply on hand.  (I learned this when I bought a farmhouse from a Mormon couple - it had a metal lined room, large walk-in closet sized, and talked with the son as he moved out  5 gallon buckets of grain and beans, 5 gallon cans of honey and packages of some kind of hard-tack dry bread.

I don''t wish I lived in Japan, and I couldn;t deal with being a Mormon.  And while nothing is perfect, there I times I wish a large cooperative effort could be a workable concept.  It has been done.

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 2:52am

In isolated disaster events the government  and the world can come to the rescue.

In a pandemic everyone is affected.

The Federal govt. here in the US has already gone on the record to say,"YOu are on your own."

Yes communities can pull together with like minded people but like the fable of the grasshopper and the ant. The ant worked. The grasshopper played. The ant tried to explain to the grasshopper to prep. When winter came the grasshopper asked the ant to feed him. The ant said "Hell no!"

Grasshopper died.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 4:40am

Europe scrambles as bird flu spreads further

15/02/2006 12h15

German health officials bag a dead swan
©AFP - Jens Koehler

BRUSSELS (AFP) - European experts scrambled to hammer out a response to a fast-developing bird flu threat, as the lethal H5N1 strain spread into Germany, the latest country to be hit by the virus in days.

The European Union health experts, holding two days of talks in Brussels, were expected to agree speeded-up procedures to clamp down on any outbreaks, while studying the option of slaughtering poultry should any contract bird flu.

The European outbreaks of H5N1 have so far been restricted to migrating wild swans, but experts fear it is only a question of time before the virus transfers to chickens and other birds in the human food chain.

The H5N1 strain has killed at least 90 people -- almost half those who catch it -- mostly in eastern Asia, but also in Turkey and northern Iraq.

The avian virus, which was first reported on Europe's southeastern flanks at the start of January, has re-erupted with a vengeance in recent days, with new outbreaks almost daily in a string of EU countries.

In Germany Wednesday, health authorities set up the now-standard 10-kilometre (six-mile) surveillance zone around the spot where the dead wild swans were found on the island of Ruegen in the Baltic Sea.

A tighter three-kilometre (two-mile) protection area will also be set up.

German officials said tests had confirmed the H5N1 virus, but added that samples were being sent to an EU-approved laboratory in Weybridge, England, with results expected on Thursday or Friday.

Also Wednesday in Greece, where it has been detected in dead swans, two elderly people who buried a dead chicken with their bare hands and are showing flu symptoms were admitted to hospital as a precautionary measure.

Cases of H5N1 were confirmed in Greece and Italy at the weekend, and in Austria on Tuesday.

EU newcomer state Slovenia is also investigating a suspected case found near its border with Austria, as is Croatia. Further east, Bulgaria, Romania and Ukraine have also reported H5N1 cases.

The Italian press reported on Wednesday that two swans which died in southern Italy had tested positive for the H5N1 form, bringing to eight the number of birds to have died of the virus in Italy.

Bird Flu spreads to Germany
©AFP Graphic

The swans were found in Puglia, one of three regions with Calabria and Sicily, where the first six cases of H5N1 were discovered.

The discoveries have been made further south than would have been expected, but bird experts say the extremely cold winter weather may have forced the swans off their usual migratory paths.

"We have absolutely no control over the introduction of the virus by migratory birds that are about to start returning from Africa to Siberia, Scandinavia and Greenland. It is unavoidable," French food safety agency panelist Jean Hars told AFP.

Also further north, Danish and Swedish authorities said they had ordered all poultry and tame birds to be kept indoors in a bid to prevent the spread of a deadly strain of bird flu rapidly approaching their borders.

Until now though the 25-nation EU -- the third biggest exporter of poultry in the world after Brazil and the United States -- has said it is satisfied that the measures taken are sufficient.

But Brussels is closely monitoring the situation and if poultry should become infected, it may call for the destruction of all birds and eggs on small holdings or farms, said the EU's spokesman on health and consumer matters.

In addition the European Commission has proposed speeding up the process of clamping down on new outbreaks, by making the arrangements automatic rather than decided on a case-by-case basis.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote fritz Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 8:30am
From the people my husband has spoken to SZ is exactly right.  They do know about the BF and the recent outbreaks in birds in Germany and Austria but they will carry on with life as usual until they are told by their gov or the news to do elsewise. They are concerned but not as prone to panic and distrust as we are. His friends feel that if they stay away from birds it's not an issue for them. They are not glued to the news and are not prepping. They feel if it happens, it happens, and that's it. It is really out of their control anyway and are not interested in spending time & $ to stess and obcess(sp?)  They have a very fatalistic attitude. They are more relaxed than Americans probably because they take more and better vacations. I don't know that they trust the gov to take care of them, just to inform them in real time. Does anybody know if it's a big year for the regular flu in europe? Because the more regular flu that is circulating around, the more opportunity there is for the BF to make the jump. Do they promote getting flu shots in Europe? I will try to ask my husband to find out.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 9:21am

I agree, people won't panic until lagre numbers of people start getting sick - by then it will be too late...

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gives me more time to stock up and convince my girls to do the same
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Left Field Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 10:53am
Are the people dieing (by the thousands) in S. America of a pretend Yellow Fever disease and in Africa, we'll never know the truth, How much truth came out of China? Have they ever submitted samples of their dead?  Folks, this thing has arrived.  Did the government of any country really admit the flu in 1918 was killing large numbers of people?  How could you ever rely on a government to tell you when things are bad, their past record speaks for itself.  Think Katrina.
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EU handout to help combat bird flu (English)
The European Commission is giving a £1.3 million handout to EU governments to help pay for early-warning surveillance programmes to combat the spread of bird flu. | The funding amounts to 50% of the overall cost of national monitoring schemes renewed...
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Aftenposten
New pandemic plan for bird flu (English)
Norwegian health authorities are implementing a new preparedness plan for pandemic bird flu.Related stories: - 15.02.2006 - 28.10.2005 - 27.10.2005 - 24.10.2005 - 28.09.2005 - 25.08.2005 | Norwegian authorities are escalating preparations to meet the...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MissRX Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 11:49am

Originally posted by Left Field Left Field wrote:

Are the people dieing (by the thousands) in S. America of a pretend Yellow Fever disease and in Africa, we'll never know the truth, How much truth came out of China? Have they ever submitted samples of their dead?  Folks, this thing has arrived.  Did the government of any country really admit the flu in 1918 was killing large numbers of people?  How could you ever rely on a government to tell you when things are bad, their past record speaks for itself.  Think Katrina.

Scary thought of the day.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 4:40pm
It only take 3-5% of the population (?) to say,"Hey! I'm going to buy 6 months woth of food to disrupt modern supply chains.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote steve 101 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 5:25pm
has anybogy looked at it being spread by flies. They hop onto a dead chook and then fly and land on a car door handle or table. With it living betw 1 - 4 weeks  I suspect this will be  a problem
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote koolsteve Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 5:35pm
the bastards! thats OUR food!
ninjas rule
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stardust Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 6:17pm

I had to fly to and from a meeting today. It was an interesting experience. I am much more consious about things now. I took Airborne before I left and used Purell throughout the day and stayed away from public restrooms. It was only an hour flight each way. 

The way I look at it, may as well start forming these habits now. 

"Prepping is Power"!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2006 at 7:10pm

I wouldn't be concerned about the possibility of infected flies contaminating door knobs. Focus on what you can do to prevent becoming infected.

1. Learn about H5N1 transmission / ingestion routes and viral shedding.

2. Avoid (at least within 3 ft.) people who have obvious flu symptoms.

3. If you must be around sick people, your goal is to avoid virus laden droplets (like sneeze and cough droplets). Wear a N-95 mask, wear nirtile gloves, wear protective eyewear to prevent the virus from entering through the eye and consider a disposable tyvek coverall to prevent clothing contamination. Use Purell liberally and often.

4. If you are still concerned, talk to a nurse or doctor and ask how medical personnel protect themselves from contagious patients. In particular ask about "isolation" and "reverse isolation" techniques and clothing.

5. Information and knowledge is the best cure for the jitters.

Good Day All

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AmMan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2006 at 12:11am
In many countries, particularly those here in eastern Europe where I live, stocking up is not an option. People just don't have the money for such things. People do generally have some food that they've brought back from the village in the summer or canned themselves. However, people in Europe are as prone to panic as people are elsewhere, nor are they as interested in such things overtly as western people are. Fatalism has much more of a grip on people's lives here, so when your numbers up, it's up, BF or no BF. I see no prepartion, nor really even much interest in the whole thing. Now if the government gets on this in a big way, then the interest will go up because people depend entirely on government here for health care. There are few private doctors or clinics and none that anyone can afford. Since moving to Europe last year, I too have shaken some of my American phobias and while I still read intensely on the subject, I tend to have a much more wait and see mentality these days. Don't worry too much about the Europeans buying it all up and leaving the shelves bare across the rest of the world. That's not happening right now.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AmMan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2006 at 12:12am
Above post should read, "people in Europe are not as prone to panic as people are elsewhere."
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2006 at 1:26am
Welcome AmMan.  Bulgaria is a beautiful country! You can help be our eyes and ears over there. We would rather hear first hand from individuals like you than the government.

Edited by Corn
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AmMan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2006 at 6:03am
I enjoy reading the post here but have not posted much myself. Bulgaria is blessed to only have dead swans and nothing else at the moment. However, the dead swans are popping up everywhere and should it make it into the population, it will be very bad because people cannot do much to prepare for it. Their economy doesn't allow for any "what ifs," because all of life is one long perpetual string of what ifs for Bulgarians. The government here has been pretty forth coming so far and has issued a what to do list to avoid BF. The crowded conditions of life here in Sofia will make it very difficult for people to avoid others since many are relegated to subways, buses and crowded trams for means of transportation, particularly the elderly.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2006 at 5:27am

'Bird Flu Psychosis' Is Catching

  • Despite efforts of health officials, anxiety is spreading with the virus in Western Europe.

  • By Livia Borghese and Jia-Rui Chong, Special to The Times

    Western Europe has been preparing for months for the arrival of bird flu, with health officials urging calm in the face of the spreading virus.

    Apparently, some people weren't listening very well.

    "The feathered death — it has landed," blared a headline from the Berlin tabloid BZ.

    "Bird flu psychosis," was how Italian television channel Rai News 24 described the national mood.

    The lethal bird flu, known as H5N1, crossed into Western Europe this week for the first time with the discovery of infected birds in Italy, Greece, Germany and Austria. On Friday, France reported it had a probable case of bird flu in a dead duck.

    Since first emerging in Hong Kong in 1997, the virus has spread across Asia; it reached Turkey in October. European health officials prepared emergency plans and began getting the word out that the virus only rarely infected humans.

    Despite their reassurances, the reality of the virus' arrival has sent parts of the continent into hyperventilation.

    Since the beginning of the week, the Italian Health Ministry reported, it has received more than 13,000 phone calls to a special bird flu hotline to report dead birds or ask for advice.

    Health Minister Francesco Storace on Monday toured the southern provinces where infected swans had been found.

    "We have to keep calm," he said, the Italian media reported. "The problem is restricted to wild waterfowl. The illness has not affected poultry, and we can continue to eat chicken."

    Nevertheless, poultry sales have plunged 70%.

    The Italian Farmers Confederation published the results of a national poll showing that eight of 10 consumers said they would not buy chicken, even though thorough cooking destroys the virus.

    Umberto Borelli, head of the confederation's animal production department, said the economic damage had been "dramatic."

    "We are losing every day 6 million euros, over $7 million," he said.

    Italians are saying the virus already has taken its first human victims.

    In Gozzano, a village in the Veneto region where 50% of all the country's farms are concentrated, Claudio Rubello, a 49-year-old trucker, killed his wife and child and slit his own throat Sunday after losing his job delivering chickens.

    "He was very worried because we told him there'd be less work because of the crisis," a trucking company official told the newspaper La Repubblica.

    The virus has infected 169 people in seven countries, killing 91, according to the World Health Organization. Scientists are worried that more human infections could allow the virus to mutate into a form that would be easily transmissible to people, leading to a pandemic.

    No human cases have been reported in Western Europe, said Maria Cheng, a WHO spokeswoman in Geneva.

    She said Western Europe has a solid public health infrastructure and probably could respond to outbreaks more quickly than governments in Africa, Asia and the Middle East, where the virus infected humans.
    http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci-birdflu18feb18,0, 4776180.story?coll=la-story-footer
    Speculation is the only tool we have with a threat that can circle the globe in 30 days. Test results&news is slow.Factor in human conditions,politics, money&bingo!The truth!Facts come after the fact.
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    Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote trish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2006 at 8:09am

    Is there anyone else here from Finland?

    As far as people stockpiling anything, not only don't I see any sign of it .When I  try to talk to my husband or co workers about   the dangers of avian flu, they look at me like I am nutty.

    I finally insisted this week that we begin to at least stock extra canned goods, water etc. My husband on the other hand believes that when and if " things get bad"  we can just pile the kids in the car and head towards northern Finland where his folks have a "summer place" deep in the woods.

    Any thoughts?

    PS I haven't seen it listed on this fourm yet...but has anyone here read about the dead birds found late this past week here in Finland that have been submitted for testing? I was shocked to read a government vet. stating that she doubted it was avian flu in the dead swans since they did not migrate from Finland during the  winter. But , wasn't that the case in Germany where some of the swans which tested positive were not migratory??

     

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    Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote trish Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2006 at 8:18am
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    Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2006 at 11:17am
    Welcome Trish, Glad to have input from Finland. Just prep and don't worry about your husband. He'll fall in line soon and thank you for it.
    Speculation is the only tool we have with a threat that can circle the globe in 30 days. Test results&news is slow.Factor in human conditions,politics, money&bingo!The truth!Facts come after the fact.
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    Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Corn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2006 at 8:54pm
    Bird flu boom for throwaway mask manufacturers (AFP)19 February 2006

    PARIS - The demand for throwaway face masks has exploded as deadly bird flu sweeps across the globe, manufacturers say.

    The world leader in personal protection equipment, Bacou-Dalloz, says its factory in western France is operating 24 hours a day, seven days a week to keep up with orders.

    “With fears last summer of transmission of bird flu to people, the French government placed two orders for respiratory protection masks, one last July for 12 million units and a second in November involving nine million pieces,” communications director Christophe Mathy told AFP last week.

    This year the company would double the size of its plant in Brittany to increase production to 180 million masks annually by 2008.

    “Bacou-Dalloz has signed a contract worth 80 million euros (95 million dollars) with the (French) state for respiratory masks to be delivered from now until the end of 2008,” Mathy said.

    “Our current capacity of 40 million per year will then have quadrupled to reach 180 million units.”

    Made of propylene tissue covered with two layers of polyester, the masks sell for 50 euro cents (59 US cents) apiece.

    Britain’s Infield Safety was on track to make 24 million masks this year, twice as many as last year and a four-fold increase on 2004, said David Laird, manager of the firm’s French subsidiary.

    “Agencies such as firefighters and ambulances which are in contact with the public are building up their stocks. Current orders from laboratories have increased five-fold and those of hardware shops three-fold,” he said.

    The H5N1 virus that has killed 91 people in Asia, Turkey and Iraq since 2003 has been detected in poultry and wild birds in a host of European countries and in Egypt and Iran, and is raging through chicken farms in Nigeria.

    Animal experts fear migrating birds with the virus could spark an epidemic in European poultry flocks this spring.

    While the 169 human H5N1 cases recorded so far have involved people in contact with contaminated poultry, health experts fear the virus could soon evolve into a form easily transmitted between people.

    Authorities in France, Europe’s largest commercial poultry producer and the junction of major migration routes for wild birds, have warned people not to touch any dead birds and to call emergency services.

    Speculation is the only tool we have with a threat that can circle the globe in 30 days. Test results&news is slow.Factor in human conditions,politics, money&bingo!The truth!Facts come after the fact.
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    Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2006 at 9:54am

    UK Friends,

    I just saw this news. Are you really seeing panic or is this Tabloid BS?

    Bird flu panic grips Britain
    Ian Mcphedran in London

    21feb06

    PANIC is spreading across Britain as experts warn that the bird flu virus has already arrived and bird owners are being warned to keep them indoors.

    Whole Article: http://www.thecouriermail.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,59 36,18219780%255E954,00.html

    Thanks,

    Pioneers Attract The Most Arrows - Prep-On

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