Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
New H7N9 infection, Guangdong China.12/16 |
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Kyle
Adviser Group Joined: May 29 2013 Location: Colorado, USA Status: Offline Points: 5800 |
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Posted: December 16 2013 at 6:22am |
Guangdong confirms fourth case of H7N9 bird flu
A 65-year-old mainland woman is in critical condition after being diagnosed with the deadly H7N9 bird flu strain, Guangdong health authorities said on Monday night. The woman, a retiree from Jiangcheng district in Yangjiang city, was confirmed to be the fourth case of H7N9 in the province. The case comes a day after the Health and Family Planning Commission of Guangdong announced a case involving a 39-year-old Dongguan man, who is also in critical condition after being diagnosed with the potentially fatal bird flu strain. Authorities said clinical experts had been sent to Yangjiang by the commission to provide medical guidance and conduct an epidemiological investigation. A total of 142 human cases of H7N9 bird flu have been confirmed so far in China, including 51 cases in Zhejiang, 33 in Shanghai, 28 in Jiangsu and a handful of cases across Jiangxi, Fujian, Anhui, and Henan provinces. Shandong, Hunan and Beijing have confirmed two cases H7N9 cases and a solitary case has been confirmed in Hebei. Source |
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coyote
Admin Group Joined: April 25 2007 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 8395 |
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Ut oh ,now another one..Probably hundreds if not more, that we are not hearing about!
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Long time lurker since day one to Member.
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Albert
Admin Joined: April 24 2006 Status: Offline Points: 47746 |
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I agree Coyote. It's getting too widespread and out of control for China to continue suppressing info.
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CStackDrPH
Valued Member Joined: April 21 2013 Status: Offline Points: 2308 |
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Cinch 'em tight, boys....looks like we are underway.
Buy ammo. Happy Holidays!
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CRS, DrPH
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cobber
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This is very odd. This case is some distance from the others, which is not a good sign!!
Still waiting for some more evidence of H2H before calling it. Having said that it seems the latest cases have all been linked, suggesting H2H is happening. |
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CStackDrPH
Valued Member Joined: April 21 2013 Status: Offline Points: 2308 |
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There is a lot of traffic in chickens, ducks etc., a lot of it underground since fowl is a traditional meal for Chinese New Year (Jan 31) and its run-up. The outlying cases may be due to transport of H7N9 infected poultry to various places. The Chinese PLA has tried to stamp out "wet markets," but they are driving them underground. Hard to kill a tradition that is thousands of years old! I don't think we have H2H yet, but China and its environs (Taiwan, Hong Kong, Viet Nam etc.) are a seething swarm of orthomixoviridae (flu viruses), and reassortment of H7N9, if not genetic shift towards efficient human infection, seems very likely. |
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CRS, DrPH
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cobber
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Black market chooks and duck. good point.
I've lived in China, one thing i can guarantee is market operators wouldn't loose a single Yuan for public safety. I would quite comfortably bet my left nut, that they just moved them to another market. |
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arirish
Admin Group Joined: June 19 2013 Location: Arkansas Status: Offline Points: 39215 |
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Buy more ammo!
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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It's all just a numbers game and the way we're breeding, housing and selling food animals (especially in the far East) is tipping the odds in the virus's favor. H5-10 viruses are now circulating in wild/domestic populations and showing up in humans for the first time (see Kyle's post about H10N8's involvement in a fatal case in Jiangxi) and if they keep mixing and matching with and without our help, a major pandemic strain is sure to emerge eventually. This is getting scary and very unpredictable (like it wasn't bad enough anyway).
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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CStackDrPH
Valued Member Joined: April 21 2013 Status: Offline Points: 2308 |
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Right you are, Jacksdad! I consult in agriculture....the swine flu H1N1 broke out of one of my ConAgra farms in Veracruz, MX. Mexico is like a hospital clean room compared to China, in terms of animal biosecurity - it is common for Chinese farmers to feed poultry litter (poop) and unrendered, dead birds right into swine. Gee, let's stoke the "virus mixing pot" with even more virions! This one just broke, we have more cases popping up in China...and these are just the ones being reported. Ya have to wonder.... GUANGZHOU, Dec. 18 (Xinhua) -- South China's Guangdong Province reported its third human H7N9 case in four days on Wednesday, raising the total H7N9 cases in the province to five since August. The new patient is a 62-year-old resident surnamed Liang in Yangjiang City, said the provincial health authority. He is in critical condition. |
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CRS, DrPH
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