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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

scenario's

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 20 2021 at 9:54pm

DJ,

Of course-one has to keep an eye for that-the good news is vaccines seem to offer some protection also-so far-against as far as is known ALL the variants that are spreading. Vaccines-not here a year ago-do make a difference !

And that is GOOD NEWS !!!

Still the number of people in need for vaccinations is the major issue. Also "rich countries" taking most of the vaccines, poor countries taking most of the suffering is another global injustice. 

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ allthough far from perfect give an indication on where we are in this pandemic. India getting close to 300,000 new daily cases-2020 deaths is a horrorshow. Cases have been going up-with much underreporting- for over a week. Can India itself reach 500,000 new cases per day ? Is there a limit to testcapacity ? In theory the number of deaths could increase even faster then the number of new cases when only the deaths would get tested...

Brazil, Turkey, US, France also in high numbers. Poland doing bad in new deaths...The total numbers; just over 825,000 new cases, 13,905 deaths are not yet record high-but the upward trend is sad, bad...

Vaccinations, testing, sequencing remain problematic. NPI-stop spreading the virus-is even worse..."We" are not doing enough to stop this pandemic so it will get worse. 

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913274-india-record-number-of-covid-19-cases-and-deaths-reported-2-007-deaths-293-534-cases-april-20-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913274-india-record-number-of-covid-19-cases-and-deaths-reported-2-007-deaths-293-534-cases-april-20-2021 ;I do not know if the huge number of cases is due to more testing, or not. A terrible number, nevertheless.

Coronavirus | Highest single-day spike in deaths
For the first time, more than 2,000 COVID-19 deaths were registered in a single day in India (without considering backlogs) on Tuesday. As many as 2,007 deaths and 2,93,534 cases were recorded in the country.

more..

https://www.thehindu.com/news/nation...?homepage=true

DJ - Religion-not controlled "god will save us" insanity again as a major problem...I believe in freedom of religion, but I also believe governments should do all they can to protect the (global) population ! See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913291-india-karnataka-media-report-that-many-hospitals-continue-to-ask-their-admitted-patients-to-shift-to-other-facilities-as-they-are-running-out-of-oxygen-april-21-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913291-india-karnataka-media-report-that-many-hospitals-continue-to-ask-their-admitted-patients-to-shift-to-other-facilities-as-they-are-running-out-of-oxygen-april-21-2021 ; Although the State government has been claiming that there is no shortage of liquid medical oxygen, many hospitals continued to ask their admitted patients to shift to other facilities as they are running out of stock. Government helplines 108 and 1912 were flooded with calls seeking help.

Since Tuesday morning, the Emergency Response Team (ERT), a volunteer group, has been getting many calls from desperate families. ERT volunteers said they have got several calls from families of patients admitted in as many eight hospitals in various parts of the city on Tuesday, requesting help in finding oxygenated beds.

DJ-"Politics" is living in a "wishfull thinking" (non)reality making matters worse...and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913283-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-surge-intensifies[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913283-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-surge-intensifiesIndia takes multiple steps to tackle onslaught

Health officials have warned that hospitals in New Delhi could run out of oxygen by tomorrow, and as cases surge to unprecedented levels in the world's second most populous country, India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi today addressed the nation. He said the oxygen demand is felt in many parts of the country, and federal, state, and private groups are working to bolster the supply, according to the Times of India.
Modi also said efforts are underway to increase hospital bed capacity, with large dedicated COVID-19 facilities under construction in some cities. However, he urged India's states to only consider lockdowns as a last resort and opt for establishing "micro containment zones."
In other steps, the government opened vaccination to all people older than 18 and is taking steps to increase the vaccine supply by waiving import fees, according to Reuters.
Indian experts have said a combination of social mixing, relaxed measures, and more transmissible variants—including B1617, first seen in India—are fueling the country's massive second surge. Political rallies in some states and a large Hindu religious gathering on the banks of the Ganges River in the city of Hardiwar are also playing a role in virus spread, and the Modi's political party announced it will no longer hold large rallies in West Bengal state and will cap attendance at 500, according to CNN.

DJ "Politics" denies problems instead of solving them, organizing mass events for their "political insanity", NOT stopping "religious" mass spreading events, relaxing measures "to save the economy"...politics did cause this pandemic by their inaction from the start...we need other politics, politicians...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913282-cidrap-pennsylvania-new-jersey-emerge-as-covid-19-hot-spots[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913282-cidrap-pennsylvania-new-jersey-emerge-as-covid-19-hot-spots ; This week roughly 80% of the world's countries will receive the highest travel warning from the US State Department—"Level 4: Do Not Travel" designation—because of high levels of COVID-19, the Washington Post reported.
Currently only 16% of countries have a level 4 designation, but international travel is slowly returning. The State Department suggests all Americans should avoid unnecessary travel, but United Airlines has announced it will be adding new flights to Greece, Iceland, and Croatia starting in July.
Earlier this week, French President Emmanuel Macron, told CBS's "Face the Nation" his country will begin lifting international travel restrictions in May.
Though the Centers for the Disease Control and Prevention has said fully vaccinated Americans can travel domestically, it also cautions that international travel increases the risk of spreading new COVID-19 variants.

DJ-Why not STOP international air travel ? Why not STOP spreading variants ? Testing is far from perfect. People may get infected just hours before testing and getting on a plane-in that stage test negative-but still spreading the variants worldwide...Why do politicians not learn a thing ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/913268-eid-journal-reinfection-viral-shedding-of-hcw-s-with-non-voc-covid-brazil-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/913268-eid-journal-reinfection-viral-shedding-of-hcw-s-with-non-voc-covid-brazil-2020

Just over a month ago, in Denmark SSI: Assessment of Protection Against Reinfection with SARS-CoV-2the Statens Serum Institut published their report on 4 million Danes who received multiple PCR tests in 2020. From that researchers calculated the average person is about 80% protected at in the short term - against reinfection with COVID-19.


Among those aged 65 and over, however, that protection was estimated to be only 47%.

This protection was assumed to last at least 6 months. Of note, these results were based on the older, `wild type' COVID, not the more recently emerged variants carrying the E484K mutation, and so these numbers may not hold going forward.

-

All of which brings us to a new report, published yesterday in the CDC's EID Journal, that looks at COVID reinfections among 4 healthcare workers in Brazil during 2020, including their clinical course, and analysis of viral shedding.


Of note, none of these reinfections involved the B.1.1.7, P.1, P.2 or any other recognized VOC (Variant of Concern).

DJ-Reinfections are a major problem. Immunity may not last that long-both vaccine and natural immunity are short term.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913255-cureus-neurological-manifestations-of-covid-19-in-absence-of-respiratory-symptoms-or-fever[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913255-cureus-neurological-manifestations-of-covid-19-in-absence-of-respiratory-symptoms-or-feverThe clinical presentation of COVID-19 ranges from asymptomatic/mild symptoms to severe illness with associated mortality. The most commonly reported symptoms of COVID-19 are cough, myalgia, and headache. Other well-described features include shortness of breath, fever, sore throat, diarrhea, and smell or taste abnormalities. Although COVID-19 infection is primarily a disease of the respiratory system affecting lung parenchyma, it can affect multiple organ systems and cause variable extra-pulmonary symptoms. A broad spectrum of neurologic manifestations has been reported in association with SARS-CoV-2 infection, most probably due to different pathogenic pathways. We report a case of a rare presentation of a COVID-19-positive female who presented with slurred speech, dizziness, and left-sided weakness without the other common symptoms of the disease.

DJ-The infection (of Covid19) does not have to be in the lungs. The virus may infect blood vessels, intestines, organs, and give other symptoms then so far most SARS-2 cases showed...If also a variant may evade testing both symptoms and testing may miss a new way of how Covid19 could be showing itself...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w6Xk9jX4JRA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w6Xk9jX4JRA Tuesday update..a lot of info/links under the video;

DJ: B.1.617 seems to be outcompeting UK and Brazil variants  Levels of immune escape seem to be there

Bangladesh, had South Africa, not Brazil variant Pakistan, had neither India, had both

Where are we now ? [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics ;

-The India variant is in 16/21 countries (at this moment-will get updated...) 800 cases minimum confirmed number...The India-variant is pushing aside the UK variant-will become the next global dominant variant. Is spreading around the globe-not stopped enough by vaccines...

Since most people are not vaccinated and the infection rate in India is "explosive" the India variant can push up numbers in many countries in a matter of weeks, not months (DJ-Again I am NOT an expert...but experts keep running behind the facts, we need proactive response !). A lot of countries "keep reopening/save the economy-spread the virus"-insanity...

Do we need a global political crisis to get rid of "leaders" pushing us over the cliff ? 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics DJ-Numbers are from april 16, 43 countries, 5120 cases...but underreporting. The P1 variant may have a hard time against the UK variant. Earlier it was found the SA variant was stopped by the UK variant...

As far as I can see no new info on the P3 variant...may be spreading undetected in SE Asia ? 

DJ-Some major points;

1-In many countries younger people did not get vaccinated, are social more active. Indonesia (a.o.) has a vaccine strategy to vaccinate first the most social active, those most likely to spread the virus. Vaccination strategy may become a major factor.

2-Very limited reports on spread of Covid19 in animals. It must be happening quite often-we may just be missing it...

3-Covid19 can show itself by inflamation/infection NOT in the respirartory system-and be missed. Testing is far from perfect. Earlier CDC reported 59% a/pre-symptomatic spread of the "old variant"...We have to stop spreading the virus...

4-Sequencing has to increase. Newer variants must be developing all over the place due to a high number of infections. (Variants are mutated virusses spreading in a larger group. Often that spread is stopped by other variants better able to reproduce themselves. Mutations happen all the time-"mistakes" made during reproduction-most of the time making the virus weaker...Since corona virusses are a well known-very hard-problem in animals we should know that the ultimate way of solving coronavirus in-limited-groups of contained animals-culling them-is not an option in humans...)

Conclusion this pandemic is NOT stopped-only will get worse ! The only way to stop it is to stop virus spreading...and we are NOT doing that. 

WAR 

DJ-The basic problem is the US still dreaming they are the #1-able to tell all other countries what to do-resulting in problems all over the globe;

China [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-china-moves-nuclear-force-to-launch-on-warning-high-alert[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-china-moves-nuclear-force-to-launch-on-warning-high-alert and [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/xis-boao-forum-speech-and-the-messed-up-reporting-around-it-.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/xis-boao-forum-speech-and-the-messed-up-reporting-around-it-.html 

The US is telling China not to get oil from Iran, telling other countries not to make deals with China, supporting "protests/rebels" in China...The CCP="Communist"  with the US simply not able to learn anythingh from history...nationalists became communists because the alternative was western colonialism...

"Western allies"

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/germany-will-not-abandon-nord-stream-2-natural-gas-pipeline[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/germany-will-not-abandon-nord-stream-2-natural-gas-pipeline and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/new-zealand-betrays-leaves-five-eyes-to-join-mordor-china[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/new-zealand-betrays-leaves-five-eyes-to-join-mordor-china 

Europa wants to make their own choice in where to buy energy, part of it already comes from Russia-north stream is making that supply more secure-now a lot goes via Ukraine pipelines...And yes-"we" in the EU did not break the Iran-deal, the US did...so we want to buy part of the energy from Iran...

For Australia, New Zealand an d the EU China is a major trading partner. The US/UK agression towards Russia, Iran, China is damaging EU, NZ, Aus economies...

Russia

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/nuclear-war-possible-within-days-as-russia-ukraine-situation-escalates-out-of-control[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/nuclear-war-possible-within-days-as-russia-ukraine-situation-escalates-out-of-control After NApoleon, the NAzi's now NAto has to "move east" if it is on US, UK, Poland and some other countries...As if there was a Warsaw-pact under the Soviet Union trying to include Mexico...

Of course US bases, nuclear weapons just hundreds of miles away from Moscow, Bejing are a problem...Do not call that "Russian or Chinese agression" it is US utter stupidity to ignore or (dis)respect other countries interests...

The US/UK goal is to stop EurAsian integration. Germany/the EU working with Russia, Iran, China on a bases of mutual respect...With NATO already broken into four segments, US, EU+Canada often, Turkey and the UK and the US still dominating that NATO the US may be pushing for a very welcome end of NAto...

Music; R.E.S.P.E.C.T. -Aretha Franklin 1967 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6FOUqQt3Kg0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6FOUqQt3Kg0  Maybe an unknown word for the criminal corrupt US pseudo political elite ?

lyrics under the video...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 21 2021 at 9:08pm

DJ-Do you have to see unwanted advertisements as a cyber attack ? Or just common digital insanity ?

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show a new sad record in new cases. With over 881,026 new cases it went over the 843,970 cases from january 8. The number of deaths-14,089 is not a record (that is 17,365 january 20-12 days after the peak in new cases..)-proberbly we will see these kind of "global deaths" in two weeks...Vaccinations may make some difference...

Most of those new cases have to do with the explosion of cases in India-315,802 new cases and 2,102 deaths tested/reported. Brazil is now in a phase with still lots of new cases-almost 72,000-and a lot of deaths 3,157...US reporting over 65,000 new cases, 876 deaths.

Looking at the weekly trends [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table -after wednesday april 21 statistics show India increase of cases of 62%, Brazil and US would have a decrease of -7 and -10% Number of deaths India +84%, Brazil -7%, USA -3%. 

Statistics can give a false image...wednesday and thursday show the highest numbers...Both US and Brazil may show increases in saturday statistics...

Of yesterdays numbers The US, India, Brazil had over 450,000 of the 881,000 new cases, and over 6100 of the over 14,000 deaths..

Dr.J.C. keeps an eye on the India statistics-did not want to give numbers but was shocked by the exponential growth...The India variant has THREE mutations  (E484Q, L452R and P681R ) that seem to make it much more infectious-the extreme high numbers mean hospitals are running out of oxygen...simply no capacity...the India variant is spreading all over the globe...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics has not been updated yet...

-FluTrackers-no doubt also a lot of news on India...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/913393-welcome-to-the-yolo-economy[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/913393-welcome-to-the-yolo-economy ;Some are abandoning cushy and stable jobs to start a new business, turn a side hustle into a full-time gig or finally work on that screenplay. Others are scoffing at their bosses’ return-to-office mandates and threatening to quit unless they’re allowed to work wherever and whenever they want.

They are emboldened by rising vaccination rates and a recovering job market. Their bank accounts, fattened by a year of stay-at-home savings and soaring asset prices, have increased their risk appetites. And while some of them are just changing jobs, others are stepping off the career treadmill altogether.

If this movement has a rallying cry, it’s “YOLO” — “you only live once,” 

DJ-It may come as a shock-but India may be showing we are just at the beginning of "a big event"...Infectious diseases were a big problem killing over 1% of the population till 1900-per year ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infection#Epidemiology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infection#Epidemiology gives a 20th century "normal"...

[url]https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm4829a1.htm[/url] or https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm4829a1.htm Some "politicians" and even "experts" believed infectious diseases were something of the past..This insanity was ignoring climate change as a motor for infectious diseases...Malaria soon may be a problem in Europe, US...maybe even Canada...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913383-cidrap-who-pandemic-shows-no-signs-of-easing[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913383-cidrap-who-pandemic-shows-no-signs-of-easing ;COVID-19 cases and deaths have been rising at a worrisome pace since the middle of February with no downturn in sight, and with about a third of all pandemic cases and deaths reported in the last 3 months alone, the World Health Organization (WHO) said yesterday in its weekly snapshot of the pandemic.

-

The five countries reporting the most cases over the past week include India, the United States, Brazil, Turkey, and France. Nations reporting the steepest rises last week include India (64%), Malaysia (45%), South Africa (35%), Argentina (29%), Iran (29%), Japan (29%), and Germany (28%).
Deaths also continue to accelerate, with the largest increases in the region that includes India, followed by the area that includes Iran.
At a briefing today, WHO Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) director Carissa Etienne, MBBS, MSc, said there is some sign of slowing in Brazil's massive surge, including in the Amazon region. However, she warned that cases are still alarmingly high, with some cities quick to ease restrictions, which puts the trend in danger of reversing.
Chile's cases have plateaued, but cases are rising in Colombia, Bolivia, Uruguay, Venezuela, and Argentina, with nearly all countries in Central America reporting increases, Etienne said.

DJ-We are now in a scenario that variants are competing with each other. Global population did see 10% of all people vaccinated? Even if it would be 15%, 20% it is not enough to stop variants...even worse..Vaccines may stop "milder variants". Vaccination is of use-in this kind of pandemic-when you can vaccinate over 80/90% of ALL the population within a few months..But there is no international coordination...NO global effort to stop this pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc/913382-postvaccination-sars-cov-2-infections-among-skilled-nursing-facility-residents-and-staff-members-%E2%80%94-chicago-illinois-december-2020%E2%80%93march-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc/913382-postvaccination-sars-cov-2-infections-among-skilled-nursing-facility-residents-and-staff-members-%E2%80%94-chicago-illinois-december-2020%E2%80%93march-2021Among 627 persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection across 75 SNFs since vaccination clinics began, 22 SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified among 12 residents and 10 staff members across 15 facilities ?14 days after receiving their second vaccine dose (i.e., breakthrough infections in fully vaccinated persons). Nearly two thirds (14 of 22; 64%) of persons with breakthrough infections were asymptomatic; two residents were hospitalized because of COVID-19, and one died. No facility-associated secondary transmission occurred. Although few SARS-CoV-2 infections in fully vaccinated persons were observed, these cases demonstrate the need for SNFs to follow recommended routine infection prevention and control practices and promote high vaccination coverage among SNF residents and staff members. ...

DJ-Vaccines never offer 100% protection. Most vaccines-for the old variant-did very good, above 90% protection. But newer variants will decrease protection. Vaccine protection may decrease in months...Again urging to stop spreading virusses/variants...vaccines were brought as "a way out" but given the number of people and the history of corona virus in animals-vaccines are of limited use, unless you can vaccinate ALL of the people in just 4 months or so...and given Covid19 not spreading in non-human hosts..If Covid19 gets widespread in animals we "have lost the war against Covid19"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/913372-transmission-infectivity-and-neutralization-of-a-spike-l452r-sars-cov-2-variant[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/913372-transmission-infectivity-and-neutralization-of-a-spike-l452r-sars-cov-2-variant ;We identified an emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant by viral whole-genome sequencing of 2,172 nasal/nasopharyngeal swab samples from 44 counties in California, a state in the Western United States. Named B.1.427/B.1.429 to denote its 2 lineages, the variant emerged in May 2020 and increased from 0% to >50% of sequenced cases from September 2020 to January 2021, showing 18.6-24% increased transmissibility relative to wild-type circulating strains. The variant carries 3 mutations in the spike protein, including an L452R substitution. We found 2-fold increased B.1.427/B.1.429 viral shedding in vivo and increased L452R pseudovirus infection of cell cultures and lung organoids, albeit decreased relative to pseudoviruses carrying the N501Y mutation common to variants B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and P.1. Antibody neutralization assays revealed 4.0 to 6.7-fold and 2.0-fold decreases in neutralizing titers from convalescent patients and vaccine recipients, respectively. The increased prevalence of a more transmissible variant in California exhibiting decreased antibody neutralization warrants further investigation.

DJ-Translation; natural 4 to 6,7 times, vaccine 2 times more vulnarable for the California variant due to L452R mutation...(did I get that right? ). The L452R mutation is one of the main mutations in the India variant...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-flutrackers/913371-covid-19-vaccinations-are-pushing-pharmacists-to-a-breaking-point[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-flutrackers/913371-covid-19-vaccinations-are-pushing-pharmacists-to-a-breaking-point ;A memo circulating among Walgreens employees is calling for mass walkouts. Pharmacists at other chains say they're overworked and stressed, too.

... “Any reimbursement we get, whether it's insurance or government reimbursement,” the Atlanta Walgreens manager said, “it's all pure profit for them because they're not allocating any extra labor to it. They're just having us do it within our normal workday.” ...

DJ-For to many people this pandemic is "making profits" so no reason to stop this pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913370-new-antibody-resistant-coronavirus-variant-discovered-in-texas-bv-1-variant[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913370-new-antibody-resistant-coronavirus-variant-discovered-in-texas-bv-1-variantResearchers at Texas A&M University this week reported a new strain of the coronavirus called the BV-1.

The BV-1 variant was found in a saliva sample taken from a student who lives off campus and tested positive for the coronavirus on March 5, the university announced Monday.

Researchers have not found the strain in other individuals but called its genetic make-up “concerning” because it may be resistant to antibodies.

DJ; "It may be resistant to antibodies"=part of human immune system does not work against this variant...You have to depend on T-cell immunity..B-cell immunity "lost its job"...terrible news....but just one sentence...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/internet-communication-aa/913364-we-know-a-lot-about-covid-19-experts-have-many-more-questions[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/internet-communication-aa/913364-we-know-a-lot-about-covid-19-experts-have-many-more-questions ;In the 16 months since the SARS-CoV-2 virus burst into the global consciousness, we’ve learned much about this new health threat. People who contract the virus are infectious before they develop symptoms and are most infectious early in their illness. Getting the public to wear masks, even homemade ones, can reduce transmission. Vaccines can be developed, tested, and put into use within months. As they say, where there’s a will, there’s a way.

But many key questions about SARS-2 and the disease it causes, Covid-19, continue to bedevil scientists.

DJ-WRONG !!!!! Corona virus has been a big problem in (other) animals for almost 90 years !!! "Science" mostly ignored the problem...if an outbreak in animals did get out of hand just kill all the animals...That kind of "solution" does not work when corona virus did get a problem in humans...

India [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913291-india-karnataka-media-report-that-many-hospitals-continue-to-ask-their-admitted-patients-to-shift-to-other-facilities-as-they-are-running-out-of-oxygen-april-21-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913291-india-karnataka-media-report-that-many-hospitals-continue-to-ask-their-admitted-patients-to-shift-to-other-facilities-as-they-are-running-out-of-oxygen-april-21-2021?view=stream ; This continues to be a huge problem despite the State government claiming that oxygen is not in short supply

Although the State government has been claiming that there is no shortage of liquid medical oxygen, many hospitals continued to ask their admitted patients to shift to other facilities as they are running out of stock. Government helplines 108 and 1912 were flooded with calls seeking help.

Since Tuesday morning, the Emergency Response Team (ERT), a volunteer group, has been getting many calls from desperate families. ERT volunteers said they have got several calls from families of patients admitted in as many eight hospitals in various parts of the city on Tuesday, requesting help in finding oxygenated beds.

DJ-Claiming there is "no problem" when the problem gets out of hand never helped anyone...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913302-yale-doctor-harvey-risch-calls-covid-lockdown-counterproductive[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913302-yale-doctor-harvey-risch-calls-covid-lockdown-counterproductive"In our real world, the virus will continue to spread until it cannot reach enough new or susceptible people to infect, that is, herd immunity. Thus lockdown only prolongs the inevitable," he wrote in response to Newsweek's questions. "The reason that lockdown is counterproductive is that, as I said, the pandemic ends with herd immunity."

DJ-He would have a point if it was a mild virus not going for variants...But in countries like Brazil, India, most of Africa there was hardly a lockdown. Sweden went for "herd immunity" to find out it was a disaster...A Yale-doctor should know better...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/913350-diagnosis-berl-are-sniffer-dogs-a-reliable-approach-for-diagnosing-sars-cov-2-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/913350-diagnosis-berl-are-sniffer-dogs-a-reliable-approach-for-diagnosing-sars-cov-2-infection ;Results: Three studies could be finally included in pooled analysis, totaling 17 dogs (47% females), aged between 0.5 and 12 years. The pooled diagnostic sensitivity was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.84-0.91; I 2, 85.3%), the diagnostic specificity 0.99 (95% CI, 0.99-0.99; I 2, 97.4%), whilst the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC) was 0.979 (standard error, 0.003).
Conclusions: The notable performance observed in this pooled analysis would persuade us to suggest that adequately trained dogs could represent an intriguing and sustainable resource for purposes of rapid SARS-CoV-2 mass screening.

DJ-Dogs can be high speed testing at relative low costs...but training a dog will take a few months ? 

-Dr. John Campbell-with another good update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_-8uTslpfQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_-8uTslpfQ ; Info under video-some main points;

Cases, increased for past 8 weeks Cases, + 5.2 million (7 days) Deaths increased for past 5 weeks Deaths, + 83,000 (7 days) up 7% on last week

Indian airline flight, Delhi to Hong Kong, 4th April https://nypost.com/2021/04/20/dozens-... Up to 188 passengers All tested negative within 72 hours of boarding 53 tested positive Emerged during mandatory three-week quarantine Also several cases from Mumbai flights

DJ-More info in his video...

WAR is still the global priority; 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/vladimir-putin-on-petty-tabaquis-and-other-international-issues.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/vladimir-putin-on-petty-tabaquis-and-other-international-issues.html 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URedvZoxVgE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URedvZoxVgE Alexander Mercouris very good info...

[url]https://southfront.org/large-explosion-at-sensitive-israeli-defense-factory/[/url] or https://southfront.org/large-explosion-at-sensitive-israeli-defense-factory/ and [url]https://www.debka.com/idf-hits-back-at-syrian-battery-after-missile-misses-dimona-nuclear-center/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/idf-hits-back-at-syrian-battery-after-missile-misses-dimona-nuclear-center/ 

DJ-In the US more and more people start realiizing "the US is not the center of the universe" . Acting like the US is #1 in everything-closing eyes for how other countries must see it is "unwise" and damaging for the US. In my opinion-if US elections are "that easy to steal" from Al Gore not becoming US president to "Russia" or "biden" stealing US elections maybe the US has a problem with its elections...

The US is the main factor in Ukraine attacking pro-Russian separatists, Israel attacking Iran, South China Sea...etc. and Russia-Iran-China-with several other countries (Venezuela, Cuba, North Korea, Syria etc.) want to limit the US in starting yet more wars...So getting the US out of Asia, Latin America may be very welcome for almost all people...(Only a rich, corrupt elite "loves the US"-that should worry the US !!!). Stopping EurAsian integration is also damaging the EU...and we "do not like that"...

It would be very welcome if the US gets the point that the US has become its own enemy...

We need global cooperation to deal with global worsening health issues-Covid19 just a part of it, related to climate change...And yes-economy is very, very important. But maybe the US$-linked to global energy trade is NOT helping the US ! Maybe we need another-more global-currency (SDR's based...).

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JaYTNsS_m2w[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JaYTNsS_m2w Love Affair-Everlasting Love 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 22 2021 at 7:18am

I do not believe American elections are easy to steal, they're easy to interfere in (Russia, China); gerrymandering by either party to achieve certain results; attempts to discourage/disenfranchise poor and minority voters; and the Electoral College.  We need reform for sure.  But except for the Electoral College, these problems are not unique to America -- nearly every country has them.

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ViQueen24, First of all thank you for reading my writings...It did become large stories-with lots of links (to show I did not make up the story/further info)-I try to keep non-sense low as best as I can...

Interfering in elections is a US speciality-no election in the world or the US shows up-often supporting extreme right wing groups. The US was behind the 9-11-73 coup in Chili-killing Salvador Allendo-bringing to power pinochet-good freind of tatcher/reagun...The US supported all fascist Latin America dictators for decades, supported Turkey/Iran under the Sjah killing Kurds for decades...The US supported uprisings against Lula in Brazil, Evo Morales in Bolivia, Maduro in Venezuela...supporting thugs like bolsonaro, guido etc...

In many US elections in ends up with TWO terrible candidates for the US President...h.clinton-war criminal or d.trump fraud...j.biden -to be honest-his age IS a problem...Remind me of the Soviet leaders after Brezjnev died...

All elections should be able to deal with foreign influence...In the US Israel is a major factor...I want to interfere with the next US Presidential election; Tulsi Gabbard for President ! Go Tulsi ! Go Tulsi !

DJ-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Top 5 in new cases has India at #1 with over 332,000 (!!!!!) new cases and an upward trend for over a week...At #2 is the US also showing numbers going up-just over 67,000 new cases..Turkey at #3-a country to watch because it may become another Brazil-scenario with almost 55,000 new cases...Brazil #4 with close to 50,000 new cases-it would be welcome if numbers are going down. At #5 France-with a lot of restrictions-still over 34,000 new cases...In tested/reported deaths India (#1) and Brazil (#2) reporting over 2000 deaths a day-real number will be much higher...

[url]https://innovationorigins.com/corona-in-europe-welcome-to-the-covid-casino/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/corona-in-europe-welcome-to-the-covid-casino/ has lots of info/graphs...last part of the story; 

"The original virus strain from Wuhan that started the crisis last year is now almost extinct. That this pandemic will eventually become a manageable one is inevitable. But when? That remains guesswork. As long as the virus is not under control in India and Brazil, another pandemic will remain lurking around the corner.

New Delhi airport hosts recurring flights every day to dozens of destinations including Dubai, Chicago, Frankfurt and Schiphol. This not only takes a gamble with the policy in its own country, but the door to the rest of the world is left very much wide open."

DJ-Looking at [url]https://cov-lineages.org/lineages/lineage_B.1.617.html[/url] or https://cov-lineages.org/lineages/lineage_B.1.617.html The India-variant (on april 19) was already widespread...(They changed the page...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics then is as good/limited...The India-variant showing up in the US, UK, Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg, France, South Korea, Australia (limited-1 case-contained)-the list does not mention Israel-I believe they did find 8 cases at airport checks...

The head of the Dutch CDC claimed yesterday there was "no reason to stop flights from Brazil or India" because "the WHO does not see those variants as VOC (Variant Of Concern)"...so the virusses/variants still have free flights across the globe...

"This pandemic becoming a manageable one" in my (DJ) is very optimistic ! When you look at coronavirusses in-contained-animals the way we "manage it" is killing the animals...The present Covid-19 is NOT contained, very likely also spreading in non-human hosts-jumping species-creating more variants...Corona viruusses in animals may have been a problem for hundreds of years-we detected the virus more recently...

It would be welcome to be able to believe a "super corona virus-variant" being able to dominate all the other variants-like the UK variant now seems to be outcompeting the SA and possibly the P1 (and P3 ?) variant...But looking at corona virus in animals it does not work that way...Yes the India-variant will show to be more infectious then the UK variant-spreading fast-becoming a dominant one within a few months in many countries...but it will NOT be the last variant spreading around the globe...

To keep the story readable I continue in part 2-thank you all for reading...I hope I make some sense...Information helps to deal with a crisis. Stopping/slowing down virus/variant spread is a way out of this pandemic ! The good part of that story is YOU are in control !!! Limit social activities, travel for the coming months...if we all would be able to do so the variants spreading will slow down... 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 22 2021 at 10:44pm

Part-2

Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913476-texas-woman-hospitalized-after-j-j-shot-with-similar-symptoms-as-blood-clot-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913476-texas-woman-hospitalized-after-j-j-shot-with-similar-symptoms-as-blood-clot-cases and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913475-oregon-cdc-investigating-woman%E2%80%99s-death-after-j-j-vaccine[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913475-oregon-cdc-investigating-woman%E2%80%99s-death-after-j-j-vaccine 

DJ-There are no 100% safe vaccines...so governments make a choice ! If you do not want to go for vaccines go for NPI ! The problem is governments behaving like little children in a candy shop-NOT making choices...inaction kills ! And yes-this pandemic can get very much worse...remember exponential growth; doubling in every number of time-1,2,4.8.16.32.64 and then 100% spread...

When I look at worldometers deaths per million Gibraltar has 2791 deaths per million-eleven countries now above 2000 deaths per million-that is 0,2% of the population dead from Covid...If we do NOT make choices in strategy that number will go up...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913470-ms-usa-healthy-43-yr-old-father-paralyzed-and-unable-to-speak-after-getting-the-johnson-johnson-covid-vaccine[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913470-ms-usa-healthy-43-yr-old-father-paralyzed-and-unable-to-speak-after-getting-the-johnson-johnson-covid-vaccine and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913468-some-people-are-reporting-abnormal-periods-after-a-covid-19-vaccine-u-of-i-professor-is-looking-for-answers[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913468-some-people-are-reporting-abnormal-periods-after-a-covid-19-vaccine-u-of-i-professor-is-looking-for-answers ...If governments/ "experts" are unable to (finally) decide anything YOU can decide to minimize social contacts, travel-the internet is a great help...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913447-india-the-reason-why-services-are-cracking-is-because-too-many-health-workers-including-doctors-nurses-ward-boys-and-lab-technicians-are-falling-sick-april-20-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913447-india-the-reason-why-services-are-cracking-is-because-too-many-health-workers-including-doctors-nurses-ward-boys-and-lab-technicians-are-falling-sick-april-20-2021Okieman Comment: This article came out two days ago. It is a heartbreaking article in it's description of the situation in Uttar Pradesh and much of India. But I wanted to post it because of the description in the text up above. Please note that in the previous article I posted by Scientific American they describe a situation in India where it is believed that a very large portion of the country had already been exposed to the virus last year. And you would think that the health care workers there would have had an inordinate amount of exposure in the previous wave. But as you can see in the article about Uttar Pradesh the health care workers are being very strongly effected by this current wave. Read into that what you will, but those of us who have been involved in pandemic awareness and planning have always paid very close attention to circumstances where the healthcare workers begin to fall ill in large numbers.

DJ-In NL hospitals often 20% of HCW-ers are allready ill, in isolation-with a peak of cases still on its way...Reinfections on a large scale also was reported from the P1 variant in Brazil...Natural immunity may be offering some protection against the same variant for a short time...months not years...but not protect enough for new variants after some months...See also

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913461-cidrap-india-posts-world-s-biggest-single-day-case-total[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913461-cidrap-india-posts-world-s-biggest-single-day-case-total ; The country's cases yesterday topped a daily level set by the United States, currently the country with the most cases, on Jan 8, according to data from the Washington Post. Today, cases soared even higher, with India's government reporting 332,358 new cases, along with 2,255 more deaths.
Hospitals in the area that includes New Delhi are down to just 26 open intensive care unit (ICU) beds, and yesterday, the facilities received less than half of the oxygen they requested, with some private hospitals reporting between 2 and 18 hours of oxygen supply left, according to CNN.
As part of its response to the surge, the country is exploring ways to boost its vaccine supply. Pfizer said today that it is in talks with India to supply vaccine at a nonprofit price through the government's immunization program, according to Reuters.
Also, China signaled that it is willing to help India with its battle against COVID, based on comments today from China's foreign ministry, though there were no details on what type of assistance it could provide.

DJ-The India number of deaths will explode, new cases may run into testing limitations...a lot of people are unable to get even tested...So a slow down in increase of new cases may show testing limits...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913463-south-african-virus-variant-fuels-record-cuban-covid-19-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913463-south-african-virus-variant-fuels-record-cuban-covid-19-cases ; HAVANA, April 22 (Reuters) - Cuba reported a record 1,207 new coronavirus cases on Thursday as the arrival of more contagious new virus variants like the one first discovered in South Africa fuels its worst outbreak since the start of the pandemic.

While the government in the Caribbean's largest island did a good job initially at containing infections, the opening of borders in November without requiring negative COVID-19 tests and subsequent year-end socializing sparked a surge in cases that a lockdown and curfew have failed to curb.

Health authorities, who complain of a low risk perception among Cubans, have said many of the institutions dedicated to COVID-19 patients are full and they are seeking to open new centers to take in suspected cases and patients.

However, Cuba's vaunted medical system is not near the breaking point, they say.

DJ-Cuba may be isolated-to some point-for UK/US variants...Cuba is "the third world doctor" giving medical aid to countries "we" keep poor...Cuba is also working with Iran on vaccines that may reach countries "we" keep poor/suffer...China and Russia, UK/EU also making a difference...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913456-cidrap-double-masking-amid-covid-19-not-backed-by-research-experts-say[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913456-cidrap-double-masking-amid-covid-19-not-backed-by-research-experts-say ; study concluding that wearing a disposable medical procedure mask under a reusable cloth face covering protects the wearer against COVID-19 infection better than a mask alone has some scientists worried that it could inadvertently lead to a false sense of security, risky behaviors, and infections.

DJ-Masks do have limits. A Stanford study did find virus parts itself are that small they would get through most (if not all) masks...Maybe humidity-virus getting some moisture-make a difference...Masks are part of a strategy, including social distance, ventilation, washing hands/surfaces...etc. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913291-india-karnataka-media-report-that-many-hospitals-continue-to-ask-their-admitted-patients-to-shift-to-other-facilities-as-they-are-running-out-of-oxygen-april-21-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913291-india-karnataka-media-report-that-many-hospitals-continue-to-ask-their-admitted-patients-to-shift-to-other-facilities-as-they-are-running-out-of-oxygen-april-21-2021?view=stream

The virus is spreading faster than ever before in the country despite previous high infection rates in megacities, which should have conferred some protection

The pandemic is sweeping through India at a pace that has staggered scientists. Daily case numbers have exploded since early March: the government reported 273,810 new infections nationally on 18 April. High numbers in India have also helped drive global cases to a daily high of 854,855 in the past week, almost breaking a record set in January.

Just months earlier, antibody data had suggested that many people in cities such as Delhi and Chennai had already been infected, leading some researchers to conclude that the worst of the pandemic was over in the country.

Researchers in India are now trying to pinpoint what is behind the unprecedented surge, which could be due to an unfortunate confluence of factors, including the emergence of particularly infectious variants, a rise in unrestricted social interactions, and low vaccine coverage. Untangling the causes could be helpful to governments trying to suppress or prevent similar surges around the world.

DJ-Why the numbers in India are this extreme-and remain this high is in part easy to understand. People live outdoors in maga-cities. If you live in a building hardly worth the name "house" close to other families "staying indoors" makes matters worse...What other countries should learn from India, Brazil is to have extra oxygen in hospitals...create extra oxygen production capacity (and send a lot of oxygen to India, Brazil etc. if you want to save lives !)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-russia/913441-russia-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5-in-wild-birds-dagestan-oie-april-21-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-russia/913441-russia-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5-in-wild-birds-dagestan-oie-april-21-2021 DJ-There was also a report from Romania on H5N5 (link had problems) after spread of H5 bird flu into humans this year in Russia, Nigeria and lots of cases of H5/H7 bird flu in EurAsia and Africa it is a potential next pandemic...with symptoms that look a lot like Covid19/SARS-2. See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/south-africa/913435-south-africa-h5n1-in-poultry[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/south-africa/913435-south-africa-h5n1-in-poultry 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913413-cureus-an-unusual-case-of-gastrointestinal-bleeding-in-a-patient-with-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913413-cureus-an-unusual-case-of-gastrointestinal-bleeding-in-a-patient-with-covid-19Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is predominantly a respiratory disease that often presents with fever, cough, dyspnea, and myalgia or fatigue. Digestive symptoms such as nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, and abdominal pain may accompany respiratory symptoms. However, gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding among COVID-19 patients is a rare and unusual presentation, since these patients are frequently hypercoagulable and are less likely to bleed and more likely to clot. In this report, we present a case of an 80-year-old male with a history of type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and obesity who presented with GI bleed and was subsequently found to have COVID-19.

DJ-Just a reminder that Covid19 can cause damage all over the body-only looking for respitory problems may miss new symptoms possibly related to new variants...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nQbVIsvsJU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nQbVIsvsJU (He also has a Canada-Update...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKM7YpAf8CE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKM7YpAf8CE ) Some points from under his video's...

DJ -No data on India variant yet (in the UK ?) [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics has over 160 cases of the India variant in the UK...what kind of confirmation Dr. J.C. needs ? 

US-Vaccine tipping point-more vaccines available then demanded...on this forum (a.o.) major doubts on US population willing to get vaccinated...maybe even up to 50% of US population does NOT want a vaccine OR NPI and that is a problem...

"Summertime, hopes life will return to normal"...DJ-Hopism, false perspectives...The same link on the India variant has allready over 50 cases of the India variant in the US-with hardly any limits on further spread...

DJ-Dr.J.C. is an expert-I am not-but his hopes on "vaccines saving us" -this pandemic being over "soon" in my opinion is over-optimistic. Yesterday I posted a link in "latest news" on a Texas variant with antibody resistance...Roni 3470 asked what is new ?  It is a step closer to the virus becoming resistant for all defenses, hosts-so far most people-being infected over and over again with covid19...

In my opinion Dr.J.C. is calling for pro-activity but also wants everything "science based"...problem in a crisis is that science is running behind the facts...Just like vaccines never can be 100% safe science never has been 100% certain during a crisis...Governments have to act with wisdom...science may come later...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/fake-covid-vaccines-discovered-mexico-and-poland[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/fake-covid-vaccines-discovered-mexico-and-poland

While scammers have been selling fake or forged COVID-19 vaccination cards, another scam has been discovered involving counterfeit versions of the vaccine. 

WSJ reports fake versions of the COVID-19 vaccine developed by Pfizer and BioNTech have been found in Mexico and Poland. 

In Mexico, a man who claimed to be a biotech expert injected upwards of 80 people with the fake vaccine - charging $1,000 per dose. WSJ said none of the people had been physically harmed by the injection. 

DJ-Privatizing healthcare gives many problems...

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/the-ukraine-crisis-recedes-but-a-false-narrative-of-it-leads-to-bad-conclusions.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/the-ukraine-crisis-recedes-but-a-false-narrative-of-it-leads-to-bad-conclusions.html 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6aOzQBscOj4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6aOzQBscOj4 Alexander Mercouris on Navalny

[url]https://www.debka.com/iran-is-just-3-4-months-from-breakout-says-israeli-intel-whos-to-stop-it/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/iran-is-just-3-4-months-from-breakout-says-israeli-intel-whos-to-stop-it/ 

DJ-What these two stories "bad Russia" , "bad Iran" have in common with the way a lot of governments deal with this pandemic is that they follow "the picture they have of a problem" and forget to check with reality...The basic idea at the beginning of this pandemic most widespread in many countries was "the age of infectious diseases becoming a major problem" ended with modern medical science...In general the idea was "history repeating" like SARS-1 or MERS...limited outbreaks-no reason to give up billions worth of economy by stopping international travel etc...The basic idea turned out to be totally wrong-from the start...but still may be a major factor in how governments deal with this pandemic...

The basic idea of Russia, Iran, China "has to be an enemy" is in the way of a united global approach now getting more urgent in dealing with this pandemic...There was some UK/Russia cooperation on adeno-virus vaccines, Sputnik-V vaccines will see production around the globe...But Israel and Iran should join their scientists in vaccine development...they could do miracles ! 

-DJ-I write this scenario's to get up-to-date myself with this part of history being made. I share it with you-reader-feed back is more then welcome...I find my text getting a bit long-on the other side "one liners" /social media are terrible in dealing with the complexity of reality...So-there is a reason to "take some room"...

Another part of the story is that I would like to see myself as an optimist not afraid to get into (stories on) problems...If we create problems we can stop creating them...Step one is facing the problem...without fear because if we made the problem looking at that problem is looking at ourselves...Problems can be a mirror...we are on the way, learning every day...

Music; ELO [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsMtoZBM3Rw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsMtoZBM3Rw Don't Bring Me Down-crazy video ! Love it !

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 23 2021 at 4:28am

The problem with Donald Trump is that he was far more than just a fraud. If you read his books, you knew what you were getting. You knew you were getting somebody with a very serious personality disorder that you just knew could do a lot of damage to the country and the world. The United States would probably benefit from having more than just two viable political parties as most other countries in the first world do, but the two parties who are in charge in the United States right now will never let that happen...

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 23 2021 at 8:47pm

Let me start with a question to all willing to react; Is this scenario's still readable ? Am I trying to get to much info in to it ? Simply because that much is happening...I hope to limit writing non-sense..again I am NOT an expert-please correct me if I do write non-sense !

ViQueen24, A multi party system could help to limit the gap between citizens and government. Democracy-like vaccines-never will be 100% perfect...but people need to feel represented. There are proberbly all kinds of statistics to "calculate" the level of democracy in countries. 

Mentality is maybe the main point of democracy...the will to work in the interest of "the people". History did show ignoring "the people" results in a police state trying to stick to power. During this pandemic this may become a real risk.

Democracy=open and honest communications. Trust is the basis of any democracy...and that trust is hard to get and easy to lose..

DJ-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/; Friday april 23 did see a record number of global 892,307 new cases (for thursday 00.00 hrs to 00.00 hrs UTC=GMT). Today that number went up even higher to 896,922 tested and reported cases-still a lot of under reporting...

The India numbers go up by 15,000 per day-now at 345,147 new tested/reported cases...healthcare must be at breaking point. The 2621 reported deaths may be just 10% of a more realistic number of pandemic (related) deaths...

Brazil still reporting a high number of cases 65,971 and 2866 deaths but no further increases...so far. Also the US is reporting a lot of cases 66,515...Turkey close to 50,000 new cases...

Looking at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table India is showing an increase of 58% over the last week. However USA -13%, Brazil -12%, even Turkey -0,9%...the global increase ends up at +9% but most is related to the high India numbers...

Other countries showing a high increase are the Netherlands (yes-that's us...with a right wing government pushing for reopenings...) +11%, Pakistan +13%, Indonesia +3%, Colombia +5%, Japan +27% (with relative low numbers...)..Proberbly Nepal has an influx of the India variant last week. Reporting an increase of 234%=3.502 cases became 11,711 cases..

The list also includes new cases per week-India had over 2 million new cases last week, over 1,3 million cases the week before...

DJ-In general vaccines seem to reduce new cases in a lot of places. The high numbers-most of all in India give an unbalanced view of a global growth..however the India-variant must be increasing worldwide. 

There is a second India variant showing up; [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.618[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.618 ;In October 2020, this triple mutant variant was first isolated. It has a mutation called E484K which is the same mutation which South African variant has. It is growing significantly in recent months in West Bengal.[107][108] As of 23 April 2021, the CoV-Lineages database showed 135 sequences detected in India, with single-figure numbers in each of eight other countries worldwide

See also [url]https://cov-lineages.org/lineages/lineage_B.1.618.html[/url] or https://cov-lineages.org/lineages/lineage_B.1.618.html ;Belgium, Brazil, Singapore, Italy, USA, Germany, UK, Colombia and Turkey already would have one-or a few-of this variant. Looking at some data it could be this variant may de decreasing-proberbly the other India variant is "stronger"...

DJ The other India variant is [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617 . Statistics on it seem to be outdated...Belgium reported 20 cases in India students traveling via Paris-France, Israel reported several cases...The big worry is how fast it is spreading...Even if the illness itself would be the same as in the UK variant it is the numbers that make it a disaster...New accurate statistics are needed to see how fast this B.1.617 variant is spreading...

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913576-india-new-delhi-covid-19-grieving-families-at-punjabi-bagh-cremation-ground-report-chaos-april-24-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913576-india-new-delhi-covid-19-grieving-families-at-punjabi-bagh-cremation-ground-report-chaos-april-24-2021 DJ-High number of cases bring social collapse...can destroy the economy. Government should ensure essentials, electricity, water/food supply, safety keep functioning...See also

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india (latest activity); The national transporter is rationalising its manpower to ensure its operations are not affected, particularly at a time when migrants are rushing home and it is expected to run dedicated oxygen-carrying trains, according to sources.

DJ-Still a high level of community spread in India.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913563-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-surge-becomes-more-grim[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913563-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-surge-becomes-more-grim ; For the third day in a row, India reported more than 300,000 new COVID-19 cases amid reports of hospitals turning to social media to look for oxygen, people waiting on the street for hospital beds, and overrun crematoriums.

India's catastrophic surge—the worst of the pandemic and unfolding in the world's second most populous country—led the world's biggest pandemic day yesterday, with 875,510 cases reported. The number was well over the previous world single-day high reported on Dec 20, according to the World Health Organization (WHO) online dashboard.

-

In neighboring Pakistan, oxygen is also running low at hospitals, and the country announced today that the military will help enforce COVID measures, according to CNN.

-

  • Thailand today reported a record single-day high, and in a televised address today, the country's prime minister didn't announce any strict measures but said he could quickly impose them if cases continue to rise.

DJ-South Asia is getting hit very hard...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913568-on-sudden-covid-deaths-at-home-a-mystery-coroner[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913568-on-sudden-covid-deaths-at-home-a-mystery-coroner ; Ontario is seeing a great number of young Canadians dying at home with COVID-19, with an average of two people a day.

Over the past two weeks there has been 25 deaths of people who have died at home, 16 were under the age of 60.

“This is a significant number that we’ve been involved with, compared to earlier in the pandemic,” said. Dr. Dirk Huyer, Ontario’s chief coroner and coordinator of the province’s outbreak response team.
...
“These people have not been able to obtain health care because the disease affected them so quickly and so seriously, leading to deaths in the community, which we did not see in the Office of the Chief Coroner in the first wave,” he said.

People who have died at home ranged in age from in their 30s to in their 80s.

DJ-You do not need an India variant to see very bad developments...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913559-cidrap-news-scan-malaria-vaccine-trial-bacterial-coinfections-in-flu-patients-vegan-cheese-salmonella-outbreak[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913559-cidrap-news-scan-malaria-vaccine-trial-bacterial-coinfections-in-flu-patients-vegan-cheese-salmonella-outbreakAnalysis of a large sample of US inpatients hospitalized with influenza and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) found that bacterial coinfection occurred in more than 10% of flu patients and that flu patients with bacterial coinfection had worse outcomes, researchers reported today in Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology.

DJ-Bacterial coinfections in Covid patients could become another major problem...Those bacterial infections itself may spread even more disease-also in people not infected with Covid19...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913553-italy-1-new-outbreak-of-sars-cov-2-in-mink-in-farm-villa-del-conte-veneto-oie-april-22-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913553-italy-1-new-outbreak-of-sars-cov-2-in-mink-in-farm-villa-del-conte-veneto-oie-april-22-2021 ;The minks were controlled in the framework of a national surveillance plan. A certain percentage of animals resulted seropositive with seroneutralization test. Some workers in the holding were seropositive as well. No symptoms or abnormal mortality was observed in the mink population.

DJ-Most likely the minks did get infected by the farm workers...if the minks then spread the infection back to the workers it does increase risk of more mutations (resulting in new variants...)

Given the duration and high numbers there will be a lot of mutations going on. Some of these mutations may give the virus an advantage in further reproduction-selfselective...and could become a new variant...Eventhough I am not an expert but are we now in a phase we may expect a new variant per day ? Most of those variants are "out competed", not "strong" enough, and stopped by the dominant UK, SA. P1, P3, India variants...the bad news of course is that the new variants that are NOT stopped have to be "stronger" than the dominant variant in that region...And is there a limit in mutations for Covid19 ? Again I am NOT an expert-but my basic answer is NO-Why should there be a limit ? 

The virus has almost 8 billion people to infect-vaccinated/natural immunity is "an extra challange" but does not seem to stop some variants...On top of that there are "zillions" of non-human hosts...The RNA virus of Covid19 has 29,300 (or so) segments...there is lots of room for mutations, recombinations...(even in length I guess..) So this pandemic is far from over and the only way out is stop spreading the virus..."freeze" ...virus mobility=mutations=variants=self selecting proces for "stronger variants" keeping this pandemic getting worse...Vaccinations may help-but we do need much more vaccinations fast to avoid an exponential evolution of new variants !!!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913543-covid-triple-mutant-variant-in-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913543-covid-triple-mutant-variant-in-india ;As India contends with its second major wave of COVID cases and a double-mutated variant of the virus, it now faces a new threat — a triple-mutant variant.

Scientists found two triple-mutant varieties in patient samples in four states: Maharashtra, Delhi, West Bengal, and Chhattisgarh. Researchers in the country have dubbed it the "Bengal strain" and say it has the potential to be even more infectious than the double-mutant variant.

This is because three COVID variants have merged to form a new, possibly deadlier variant.

DJ-I may have been wrong on the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.618[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.618 thinking it was decreasing while it may be spreading in waves...? We soon will find out if things will worsen even faster...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/913517-n-engl-j-med-vaccine-breakthrough-infections-with-sars-cov-2-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/913517-n-engl-j-med-vaccine-breakthrough-infections-with-sars-cov-2-variantsEmerging variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are of clinical concern. In a cohort of 417 persons who had received the second dose of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) or mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine at least 2 weeks previously, we identified 2 women with vaccine breakthrough infection. Despite evidence of vaccine efficacy in both women, symptoms of coronavirus disease 2019 developed, and they tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by polymerase-chain-reaction testing. Viral sequencing revealed variants of likely clinical importance, including E484K in 1 woman and three mutations (T95I, del142-144, and D614G) in both. These observations indicate a potential risk of illness after successful vaccination and subsequent infection with variant virus, and they provide support for continued efforts to prevent and diagnose infection and to characterize variants in vaccinated persons. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and others.).

DJ -Newer variants may result in more vaccine/natural immunity evasion...

Dr John Campbell did not post a new video...he is doing a great job and he is an expert-I am not ! 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-troop-withdrawal-from-ukraine-just-like-ossieta-in-2008[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-troop-withdrawal-from-ukraine-just-like-ossieta-in-2008 Good info...The west ignores Ukraines provocations because the west is behind these provocations...

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VM2eLhvsSM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VM2eLhvsSM It is time for a drink...!


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 23 2021 at 11:44pm

Vaccination seems to work very well...

Quote Israel has recorded no new daily Covid-19 deaths for the first time in 10 months, as the country pushes ahead with its speedy vaccination drive.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-56868383


Mount Everest: Coronavirus reaches world's tallest peak  https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-56854986

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 24 2021 at 8:53am

Maybe we would do well to regard this pandemic as a marathon, not a sprint.  I think it is quite possible that India (and Canada right now, too) are anomalies and that the immediate worldwide trend is downward in cases.  But with all the variants out there, and variants yet to be, I am not optimistic.  But I never was an optimistic person anyway...

I do not believe the way out of this pandemic is vaccination alone.  Vaccination, good PPE's, social distancing, vigilance to emerging virus trends, wise governance and good communication will eventually get us out of this thing IMHO.  Unfortunately you have those who are tired of masks and want to lift mask requirements.  There are those who fear we may not get to herd immunity therefore --

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/02/herd-immunity-might-be-impossible-even-vaccines/617973/

Here is the only thing I am sure of:

"All suffering has an end, David, if only you wait long enough. Try to remember that. Sorrow has its life just  like people. Sorrow is born and lives and dies. And when it's dead and gone, someone's left behind to remember it.  Exactly like people."

Anne Holm, North To Freedom. 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote WitchMisspelled Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 24 2021 at 3:53pm

Interesting to note in addition to Edwin's article, Israel has an on-going mask mandate.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 24 2021 at 9:10pm

"All suffering has an end" -nice words...something to believe in...

DJ-Yes this pandemic is a marathon-only HCW-ers have to behave like it is a sprint...and that is getting more and more a problem. Here in NL lots of hospitals are sending alarms...there is an end to HCW-ers working (over) 12 hrs shifts...hospitals creating 15 extra IC beds on top of the 24 they had in that (Breda) hospital...with one IC nurse dealing with 3 patients-with the help of OR staff...

Reopening-basicly to party-is an insult for those working almost till they drop in healthcare, many thousends of long covid patients in need of care...(and in part "dumped" with oxygen in their houses after the most critical phase...GP's doing their best-but they are also supposed to deal with vaccinations...)...

In the UK a lot of people after return from hospital did need extra care a few months later on...recovery from Covid is a long proces. The burden on healthcare is extreme-both in duration and intensive care. Yet governments want to reopen based on models that may indicate a slow down of increases...

Vaccinations help-Israel is proof. I hope they manage to stop the India variant at the border...The UK, and many other countries, did NOT stop the India variants...That will have a price...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ;

India may be at the end of its testing capacity, with almost 350,000 new cases, Brazil may be at the end of numbers they want to report...over 70,000 new cases...with a "government" that would love to claim that there is no pandemic...

Since it is now sunday the global numbers are lower-most often global numbers peak during the second half of the week. Still over 820,000 new cases reported on a sunday is high ! Also 13,390 deaths is high...the outlook is NOT good ! Pakistan, Nepal may show spread of India variants...Those variants also show up around the globe...with still way to much air travel spreading them...governments failing to do their basic job; offering safety to their population...

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/influenza-in-animals-excl-h5n1/899873-belgium-bird-flu-outbreaks-2020-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/influenza-in-animals-excl-h5n1/899873-belgium-bird-flu-outbreaks-2020-2021?view=stream ;On April 22, 2021, the presence of avian influenza type H5N8 was confirmed at a bird and poultry merchant for private holders located in the town of Waregem, in West Flanders. It is a highly pathogenic variant of the virus.

DJ-Both H5 and H7 "bird flu" show an increasing capacity to spread to other hosts, may be just a few steps away from becoming a pandemic (in fact is already a pandemic in birds...). See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-bulgaria/913583-bulgaria-reports-fifth-bird-flu-h5n8-outbreak-at-industrial-farm[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-bulgaria/913583-bulgaria-reports-fifth-bird-flu-h5n8-outbreak-at-industrial-farm (a.o.)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/malaria/913669-malaria-vaccine-hailed-as-potential-breakthrough[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/malaria/913669-malaria-vaccine-hailed-as-potential-breakthrough ; A malaria vaccine has proved to be 77% effective in early trials and could be a major breakthrough against the disease, says the University of Oxford team behind it. Malaria kills more than 400,000 people a year, mostly children in sub-Saharan Africa.

DJ-Good news ! Very welcome since-due to "climate change" (=climate collapse as a result of failing politics...)malaria is spreading.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912998-b-1-617-lineage-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912998-b-1-617-lineage-report ; Indian double mutant (L452R & E484Q), R408I, L455Y, K417G and E484K)
have high docking score against ACE2 receptor compared with wild type and less docking score
against antibody (CR3022) unlike wild type (Table2).

DJ-There will be much more news on the India variants...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream DJ-Discussion on the many socio-economic factors in India. From mega cities to animals close to humans, climate change/heat waves increasing poverty in small farmers...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913638-endocr-pract-covid-19-may-increase-the-risk-of-insulin-resistance-in-adult-patients-without-diabetes-a-6-month-prospective-study[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913638-endocr-pract-covid-19-may-increase-the-risk-of-insulin-resistance-in-adult-patients-without-diabetes-a-6-month-prospective-studyConclusions: Our study provided the first evidence that COVID-19 may increase the risk of insulin resistance in patients without diabetes.

DJ-= Diabetes type 2...showing recovery from Covid may take years, some will have live long problems (there have been reports on amputations after clots in limbs, lung transplantation, kidney problems etc...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913613-protein-j-in-silico-study-of-mutational-stability-of-sars-cov-2-proteins[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913613-protein-j-in-silico-study-of-mutational-stability-of-sars-cov-2-proteins ; Clustering of the protein sequences and calculation of residue relative abundance were done to get an idea about the protein conservancy as well as finding out some representative sequences for phylogenetic and ancestral reconstruction. By mutational profiling and mutation analysis, the effect of mutations on the protein stability and their functional implication were studied. This study indicates the mutational effect on the proteins and their relevance in evolution, which directs us towards a better understanding of these variations and diversification of SARS-CoV-2 for useful future therapeutic study and thus aid in designing therapeutic agents keeping the highly variable regions in mind.

DJ-You can make theoritical models of possible limits on mutations, calculate chances of some mutations and their outcome...In retrospect this virus keeps surprising us. Reassuring stories from experts in the media conflict with findings in real life...Corona virusses in animals show to be a very major long term problem. Reality based reports should be the basis for policy NOT "nice models"...yes the chances of recombinations resulting into even worse variants are very small-given the extreme high number of infection-most NOT monitored-and the history of this pandemic there is every reason to be extra carefull !

I noticed an article on social stigma in this pandemic. I know it is a widespread problem. You can be very carefull and still catch Covid 19-unlucky...or behave like there is no pandemic and be very lucky to get away with it...Good communications should help-but even there most governments and experts do a bad job..the vaccine story is just another disaster...

Going in traffic to get vaccinated has a much higher risk for "complications" then the vaccines...still many countries make problems with the AZ/O, J&J vaccine..why ???? It is good a billion out of the 7,8 billion people did get vaccinated ! It may be very welcome a lot of people may have some natural immunity...but the vaccination only can stop this pandemic when you vaccinate high speed, billions of people !!!!

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pytpqP2SYHY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pytpqP2SYHY most of the story under the video. 

Some points; US using a defense law to stop export of vaccine ingredients, US,UK, EU sticking to property rights of Big Pharma limiting vaccine production. DJ-If fighting this pandemic has any priority over profit for big pharma it would be "very welcome"...

DJ-More in general; one could claim that India's high number is giving the wrong picture-if you would ignore the India numbers the outlook is getting better. In part due to vaccines, also NPI; social distancing, (double) masks, lockdown, travel restrictions, ventilation...

India numbers are as high as they are due to variants exploding cases and spreading..Yes-vaccines/NPI help but that does not mean we are out of a problem ! We may have vaccinated 15% of the global population that leaves billions yet to be vaccinated to get some basic hope for "herd immunity" at best...

WAR is priority #1...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-gets-green-light-to-return-fire-from-syria-against-israel[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-gets-green-light-to-return-fire-from-syria-against-israel 

DJ Israel has been attacking Iran in Syria, Iraq, on sea, cyber attacks. The US did join that agression. There was an Iran-deal, it is good there are talks on renewing that deal. The west did regime change in Ukraine, Brazil, Iraq-that only made matters worse...regime change operations in Syria, Venezuela are still going on...When you make a balance these wars are bankrupting the US-only good for the Military Industrial Complex and some banks...who is in power in the US ? Is the US a democracy ? Why then the US is spreading corruption and dictators around the globe ? 

The US can be constructive, talks in stead of agression will make a better world. It would be very welcome if biden could improve US foreign policy !

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ftEJ8xSMQSo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ftEJ8xSMQSo Rain In May-Max Werner 1981...(that is a very German name...maybe not the best song ever-popped up in memory...) We could use some better weather here in NL !


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 25 2021 at 9:23pm

DJ,

I do not know what to think of this [url]https://pandemic.warroom.org/2021/04/19/bombshell-60-of-new-covid-patients-are-vaccinated/[/url] or https://pandemic.warroom.org/2021/04/19/bombshell-60-of-new-covid-patients-are-vaccinated/ ...(from [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913683-yale-medical-doctor-says-60-of-new-covid-patients-are-vaccinated[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913683-yale-medical-doctor-says-60-of-new-covid-patients-are-vaccinated )...The claim 60% of new Cocid patients seeing a clinician did get vaccinated could be translated to: After vaccination people take to much risks-to soon...could be realistic. Another "translation" may be "protection against new variants" is much less then the 90%+ Big Pharma claimed against the old variant...

Yet Israel, UK show vaccinations offer great protection. Those countries have to keep out variants...(and the UK did fail there...). In my opinion NPI and vaccines are our way out-even if vaccines proberbly may be far from perfect. Communications on vaccines have been-again-terrible...Yes there are very minor risks in getting the vaccine...NOT getting a vaccine is a far larger risk.

So my translation of the story is "vaccines are not perfect" and we knew that already...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (sunday april 25 GMT/UK timezone...) About half of all the cases are from India-another record-almost 355,000 new cases...worldwide just over 727,000 cases being reported. In new cases Turkey now #2-with 38,553 new cases...Weekend numbers usual are a bit lower-less testing/reporting...will the number of new cases per day (tested/reported) go over 1 million this week ? India's numbers keep going up..they must be close to maximum testing capacity. The India variants are increasing in other countries.

The number of deaths-total yesterday under 10,000-will go up as well. India 's number of deaths being reported is still "low" compared to the crisis unfolding there...The only "good news" is Modi is asking for international help...some countries are sending oxygen, proberbly medical staff may go to India as well. In Brazil bolsonaro refused to accept there was a disaster...

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/further-communications/912900-discussion-about-pandemic-censorship?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/further-communications/912900-discussion-about-pandemic-censorship?view=stream DJ-(latest activity) a.o. why France did see cases of Covid19 in autumn 2019 ? (India did see censorship a.m.o.-the picture I am getting is that information/communication in most places goes from "bad to terrible"...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream DJ-latest activity-lots of countries sending all kind of materials to India-from oxygen to basic ingredients for vaccine production...at least that part-international aid, countries seeing the urgency, is "good news"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910941-uk-death-rates-fall-dramatically-while-nearly-29-million-are-vaccinated?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910941-uk-death-rates-fall-dramatically-while-nearly-29-million-are-vaccinated?view=stream (latest activity);The average number of new daily cases in the UK has fallen substantially since the start of the year, but the rate of decline has slowed in recent weeks.

A further 1,712 confirmed cases in the UK were announced by the government on Sunday.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said that while the UK continues to make progress against Covid, the majority of scientific experts believe there will be another wave at some stage this year.

DJ-The UK did not do enough-fast enough-to keep the India variant out. The single shot vaccination strategy (I think) was a good plan. But new variant may test the outcome...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/913703-the-grocery-price-shock-is-coming-to-a-store-near-you[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/913703-the-grocery-price-shock-is-coming-to-a-store-near-you ; Corn, wheat, soybeans, vegetable oils: A small handful of commodities form the backbone of much of the world’s diet and they’re dramatically more expensive, flashing alarm signals for global shopping budgets.

DJ-In general production and transport costs do go up due to Covid 19. In combination with climate collapse this pandemic very likely will worsen the "global food situation"...(translation; famines in many places..)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913701-thailand-shortage-of-hospital-beds-for-covid-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913701-thailand-shortage-of-hospital-beds-for-covid-patientsA shortage of hospital beds for Covid-19 patients is spreading throughout Thailand, as the Coronavirus surges through the country, and people are getting desperate to secure a bed for their loved ones. Even celebrities are posting on social media in an attempt to get a space in the rapidly filling hospitals. Government officials say there are enough beds for everyone with Covid-19 but not all beds are in luxury facilities.

DJ-Thailand did great so far...maybe now "luxury beds" are the problem...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/913690-the-rising-risk-of-oxygen-fueled-hospital-fires-during-the-covid-19-pandemic[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/913690-the-rising-risk-of-oxygen-fueled-hospital-fires-during-the-covid-19-pandemic DJ-It does not yet mention the Iraq hospital disaster-killing over 87 people. But also damaging/destroying essential infrastructure during a pandemic-even less ICU-beds, doctors, nurses etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913681-dr-harjit-singh-bhatti-president-progressive-medicos-and-scientists-forum-on-why-situation-is-so-bad-in-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913681-dr-harjit-singh-bhatti-president-progressive-medicos-and-scientists-forum-on-why-situation-is-so-bad-in-indiaDr. Harjit Singh Bhatti, President Progressive Medicos and Scientists Forum:

Concept of herd immunity was wrong – seeing patients who were infected last year, got fully vaccinated and now are infected again.
Vaccine was promoted as a treatment, rather than a preventative.
Oxygen is in short supply.
Quarantine centers were not set up to break transmission chains.

DJ-Yet another report on vaccines not doing as great as was hoped, herd immunity strategy a faillure...

-Dr. John Campbell ; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JMeP66gdc4o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JMeP66gdc4o ;

Dr. Pierre Kory ; Links from Dr. Kory Safety review paper is here on the medincell website https://www.medincell.com/ivermectin My review paper is on a Pre-print but will be published online within days – pre print is here: https://osf.io/wx3zn/ My white paper is not published or posted yet but will be soon My webinar lecture from Wednesday https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YcLnW...

DJ (See under the Dr.J.C. video...again mentioning Ivermectin as treatment...) Part two on Ivermectin [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19DPijOoVKE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19DPijOoVKE ;A comment; 

“Evil thrives where good men do nothing.”  Thank you good doctors for being brave enough to speak the truth in the face of corporate, political, and institutional opposition.  We need more like you to bring us out of this pandemic, and to restore the integrity of the medical community.


-A few other points; 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/25/covid-19-hospitalizations-rise-ic-cases-back-12-month-high[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/25/covid-19-hospitalizations-rise-ic-cases-back-12-month-high and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/25/noord-brabant-ics-warn-minister-urgent-letter-able-able-keep-much-longer[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/25/noord-brabant-ics-warn-minister-urgent-letter-able-able-keep-much-longer 

DJ-Cases may get to the same level (this time more testing) as during wave 1-due to duration ICU capacity will NOT get to the level of wave 1. HCW-ers exhausted (they had "to run a sprint while the race became a marathon"...)

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics trying to keep up with the news-still not including; Canada's first confirmed case of the variant was identified in Quebec on 21 April 2021, and later 39 cases of the variant were identified in British Columbia the same day.[14] Alberta reported a single case of the variant 22 April 2021

DJ-It is very likely the India variants are now all over the globe. By now a lot of countries-finally-stopped-direct-air travel from India. It is very likely indirect airtravel may continue...(a.o. via Africa) [url]https://cov-lineages.org/lineages/lineage_B.1.618.html[/url] or https://cov-lineages.org/lineages/lineage_B.1.618.html and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.618[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.618 ; In October 2020, this triple mutant variant was first isolated. It has a mutation called E484K which is the same mutation which South African variant has. It is growing significantly in recent months in West Bengal.[108][109] As of 23 April 2021, the CoV-Lineages database showed 135 sequences detected in India, with single-figure numbers in each of eight other countries worldwide

DJ-There are indications SA, P1, P3 variants are "stopped" by the UK variant. It "could be" the UK variant is out competed by the India variants...Due to inaction by most governments the India variant is widespread. There are "lots of indications vaccines may not offer very good protection against India variants"...but still-If I had a chance to get vaccinated I would go for it-including AstraZeneca, J&J, Sputnik-V...

-Global priority #1=WAR 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-putin-rewrites-law-geopolitical-jungle[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-putin-rewrites-law-geopolitical-jungle Yet another story on US insanity trying to stop EurAsian integration...

[url]https://southfront.org/syria-to-pay-for-planned-explosion-in-israeli-weapon-factory/[/url] or https://southfront.org/syria-to-pay-for-planned-explosion-in-israeli-weapon-factory/ 

It would be very welcome if some countries did do more for peacefull cooperation not "global/regional dominance"...

Music-On the statistic going "River Deep, Mountain High"-Tina Turner [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhkIh4x4mmM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhkIh4x4mmM (including intro-1971..the 1966 record version [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9Lehkou2Do[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9Lehkou2Do )

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 26 2021 at 9:45pm

DJ

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617 This India variant showed up two times in routine checks in NL suggesting community spread. The official story is "The WHO does not (yet) see an increased risk". Given the mutations; Emerging research suggests the variant may be more transmissible than previously evolved ones.[12] Whether the effectiveness of currently-deployed vaccines is affected remains under investigation - there is speculation that reinfection of those formerly infected with another variant may be more susceptible to the variant at hand.

DJ-It is proberbly correct to claim part of the problem in India may be related with the UK variant. High numbers the result of mass gatherings. Still the mutations indicate this B1.617 (and the B1.618) will spread faster. Countries should have stopped importing these variants. They did not. With pressure for reopening history will repeat itself and wave 3-UK variant will see the India-variants taking over the peak...vaccinations may-according to India reports from the frontlines-offer at best limited protections...Stupidity rules !

In other news-no doubt under US pressure-Brazil says no against Sputnik-V...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ are less extreme. The weekend in India may mean a bit/a lot less testing, India may be at testing/laboratory limits...I do not know what to think of these numbers...Turkey going for another lockdown, Canada [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics hit very hard by P1 variants...It would be very welcome if numbers would decrease..I would love to be wrong in 5 million deaths by june 1. 

-FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-vaccine-dangers-and-side-effects?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913781-vaccine-dangers-and-side-effects?view=stream DJ-Good discussion on vaccines, booster shots-is a third, fourth vaccination more of a risk ? Are they needed ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913806-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-crisis-prompts-global-response[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913806-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-crisis-prompts-global-response ; India had asked the European Union for oxygen and remdesivir, and the European Commission said it has started the steps to send oxygen and medicine, according to Reuters. Separately, Germany said it will send oxygen and medical aid, and the United Kingdom said it would send oxygen concentrators and ventilators, with the first shipment to arrive in New Delhi as early as tomorrow.
Saudi Arabia is sending liquid oxygen, tanks, and oxygen cylinders, and help is also coming from Pakistan, the United Arab Emirates, Canada, China, Hong Kong, Australia, and several other countries, according to India Today.
Regarding US assistance, in a White House statement yesterday, the Biden administration said besides the vaccine raw materials, it can also provide personal protective equipment (PPE), therapeutics, rapid tests, and ventilators and is looking at options for providing more oxygen. Also, the United States is deploying an expert team of public health advisors from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the US Agency for International Development (USAID).
On Twitter today, Tim Manning, White House COVID-19 supply coordinator, said the White House diverted pending orders of vaccine filters to help India ramp up vaccine production.

DJ-Yes "the world"is willing to help India and India is willing to accept help...that is good news. There are some other issues as well; India is the global vaccine/medication producer, countries want to know more on the India variants to get better treatment...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913804-cidrap-covid-19-scan-stroke-and-asymptomatic-covid-airborne-covid-19-in-vehicles[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913804-cidrap-covid-19-scan-stroke-and-asymptomatic-covid-airborne-covid-19-in-vehicles ; Men under 50 recovering from asymptomatic COVID have double the likelihood of acute ischemic strokes (AIS) compared with men of the same age without COVID infection, according to a study last week in JAMA Network Open.

-

Two new studies suggest infectious COVID-19 aerosols can travel in passenger cars and vans.

DJ-Asymptomatic infection still can make someone vulnarable !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913729-former-fda-commissioner-dr-scott-gottlieb-right-now-the-declines-that-we-re-seeing-we-can-take-to-the-bank[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913729-former-fda-commissioner-dr-scott-gottlieb-right-now-the-declines-that-we-re-seeing-we-can-take-to-the-bank ; former FDA commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb. He sits on the board of Pfizer as well as Illumina

-

I do not have any of the qualifications that Dr. Gottlieb has but I think there is a lot we do not know about how a new coronavirus spreads throughout the world's populations.

I think cautiously optimistic should be the attitude.

Vaccines are not a 100% guarantee.

Everyone should stay aware of COVID-19 spread in the world and their local area.

DJ-I think relations between government and big pharma should concentrate on public health, NOT big profit...Of course vaccine producers claim their product do miracles...But we should have stopped the spread of the virus at the start-"experts" with big pharma links may not take public interest is #1 priority...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913761-6-minute-walk-test-for-home-isolated-covid-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913761-6-minute-walk-test-for-home-isolated-covid-patients ;In the six-minute walk test, they have to measure oxygen saturation level with the help of oximeters and then walk in their room for six-minute. After which, they have to check the saturation level again. This has to be done twice a day and report to us. They have to approach our health staff if the oxygen saturation level drops by 3% immediately so that we can arrange to hospitalise them.”..

DJ-In a crisis with hospitals at/over capacity a lot of extra care is needed outside hospitals...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream ; (latest activity) "The court said that the poll body is to be held "singularly responsible" for the Covid-19 second wave, that the country is currently struggling with. Chief Justice Sanjib Banerjee even went to the extent of noting that Election Commission officials should probably be "booked on murder charges" for allowing political rallies during the Covid-19 pandemic.

DJ-The present India government "tends to be Hindu extremists" so giving all room for political, religious activities because "Hindu gods will save the participants"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/913772-vet-q-sars-cov-2-in-animals-potential-for-unknown-reservoir-hosts-and-public-health-implications[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/913772-vet-q-sars-cov-2-in-animals-potential-for-unknown-reservoir-hosts-and-public-health-implicationsResults obtained from experimental studies indicate that animal species such as cats, ferrets, raccoon dogs, cynomolgus macaques, rhesus macaques, white-tailed deer, rabbits, Egyptian fruit bats, and Syrian hamsters are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection, and that cat-to-cat and ferret-to-ferret transmission can take place via contact and air. However, natural infections of SARS-CoV-2 have been reported only in pet dogs and cats, tigers, lions, snow leopards, pumas, and gorillas at zoos, and farmed mink and ferrets. Even though human-to-animal spillover has been reported at several instances, SARS-CoV-2 transmission from animals-to-humans has only been reported from mink-to-humans in mink farms. Following the rapid transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within the mink population, a new mink-associated SARS-CoV-2 variant emerged that was identified in both humans and mink. The increasing reports of SARS-CoV-2 in carnivores indicate the higher susceptibility of animal species belonging to this order. The sporadic reports of SARS-CoV-2 infection in domestic and wild animal species require further investigation to determine if SARS-CoV-2 or related Betacoronaviruses can get established in kept, feral or wild animal populations, which may eventually act as viral reservoirs. This review analyzes the current evidence of SARS-CoV-2 natural infection in domestic and wild animal species and their possible implications on public health.

DJ-It is simple, the more hosts the bigger the (potential) pandemic, the more variants...This not only for Covid19/SARS-2 but a.o. also for H5/H7 bird flu...

-Dr. John Campbell on vitamin D deficiency in India [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Q_mhJRFtxg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Q_mhJRFtxg ; Prevalence of Vitamin D deficiency ranged from 40% to 99% Most of the studies reporting a prevalence of 80%–90% Prevalent in all the age groups and high-risk groups alike

-

Indian diet generally fails to satisfy the daily requirement of Vitamin D for a normal adult Need for fortifying various foods with Vitamin D, through national programs

DJ-Vitamin D problem widespread in India also a major factor in the present crisis...

-WAR 

[url]https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2021/world-military-spending-rises-almost-2-trillion-2020[/url] or https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2021/world-military-spending-rises-almost-2-trillion-2020 ; Even though military spending rose globally, some countries explicitly reallocated part of their planned military spending to pandemic responsesuch as Chile and South Korea. Several others, including Brazil and Russia, spent considerably less than their initial military budgets for 2020.

-

In 2020 US military expenditure reached an estimated $778 billion, representing an increase of 4.4 per cent over 2019. As the world’s largest military spender, the USA accounted for 39 per cent of total military expenditure in 2020. This was the third consecutive year of growth in US military spending, following seven years of continuous reductions.

DJ-Even during the pandemic, economy under pressure spending on the military did increase...(I hope Biden makes a change...but switching zillions of tax payers money from the military to big pharma (share holders) ???

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-russia-calls-up-military-reservists[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-russia-calls-up-military-reservists DJ; HT claims Turkey also closing its airspace for NATO...

If Turkey gets involved in a war they go there for Turkish interests...Turkey has about 3000 "drone instructors" in a strategic area between East Ukraine and Crimea...Ukraine is bankrupt (maybe even more corrupt then Turkey...) so the party offering something of value for Turkey could be Russia...The Turkish instructors may turn against Ukraine neo nazi's and NATO and get "good deals" on Russian energy and weapons...

In general I think Russia-Iran-China are finished with "the west"...would welcome a split between the EU and US...If the US does not get more realistic in foreign policy the EU shall "find its own way" . For the EU Russia, Iran energy is "spreading energy risks". The EU is willing to work with Russia and China in vaccines etc (Sputnik-V is just part of that deal). Asia is the major market next door for the EU...do not expect Europe to give that up !

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsW8rXPcnM0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsW8rXPcnM0 Summer Breeze-1972-Seals & Croft...some summer may be welcome here in NL...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 27 2021 at 9:44pm

DJ

-Is the "new" Belo Horizonte P1-linked variant now-again-in the news the [url]https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/brazil-finds-new-virus-variant-combining-18-mutations/2201998[/url] or https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/brazil-finds-new-virus-variant-combining-18-mutations/2201998 variant that made headlines april 7th ? With the US stopping Brazil buying Sputnik-V ("because it is from Russia") [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/alleged-that-the-united-states-had-persuaded-brazil-to-deny-the-vaccine-approval.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/alleged-that-the-united-states-had-persuaded-brazil-to-deny-the-vaccine-approval.html 

DJ-I sometimes get the feeling of being in a tredmill-When cases get R0 under 1 countries reopen, cases get over R0=1, new variants show up, vaccination problems (most for non-US vaccines...political reasons...). We are sinking in a dangerous mix of US cold war insanity and an-basicly still out of control-Big Pharma bussiness oppertunity-never wasting a man made crisis...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ are alarming.

India with over 360,000 new cases and 3.285 deaths-reported. Maybe the US will now allow essentials for vaccine production to be exported to India. The US was halting the export under defense production laws...Brazil still in high numbers over 76,000 new cases, 3.120 deaths (and the US trying to stop Russian and Chinese vaccins..). The US over 52,000 new cases,Turkey with over 43,000 new reported cases and France over 30,000 new cases-indicating this pandemic is far from over. 

As Brazilian scientist keep warning-vaccinations go not fast enough allowing variants of the virus evading vaccine, developing towards (present) vaccine resistant forms of Covid 19.

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table trends (ignoring countries that had low number of cases a week earlier-going from 1 to 2 =100% increase..)Laos, Fiji, Sri Lanka, Nepal show up-all over 200% increase but still "hundreds of cases"...Haiti did see an increase from 63 to 99=+57%, no doubt with very limited testing...Botswana +51%, India +37%, Japan +20% (New Zealand also showing a 20% increase-going from 10 cases to 12 cases...). Brazil would have a decrease of -12%...

April 23 had the record high number for new cases 903,410. On january 20 the so far highest number of deaths was 17,347. Yesterdays number (april 27) of a global 830,822 new cases, 14,821 deaths are very high for a tuesday...

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913934-cidrap-india-s-daily-covid-19-cases-break-yet-another-record[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913934-cidrap-india-s-daily-covid-19-cases-break-yet-another-recordThe pace of new COVID-19 cases in India hit a new daily world record today, topping 300,000 for the seventh day in a row as its daily deaths topped 3,000 for the first time.
The worst surge of the pandemic has prompted an outpouring of international assistance as more help arrived.

Scale-up includes more remdesivir

India's health ministry reported 362,757 new cases today, along with 3,285 more deaths. Some experts say the case numbers are likely an undercount, owing to a drop in testing, according to Reuters.
Ventilators and oxygen concentrators from the United Kingdom arrived in New Delhi, where a train hauling 70 tons of oxygen arrived from eastern India. Yesterday, the maker of remdesivir, Gilead Sciences, announced that it took steps to scale up the production of the drug in India and will donate at least 450,000 doses.
The United States is among the countries that has announced urgent assistance for India, and Indian government sources told Reuters that they expect to receive the biggest portion of the 60 million AstraZeneca-Oxford COVID-19 vaccine doses that the United States is donating to the global fight against the virus.
Last week, Doctors Without Borders announced it had restarted its emergency response in India, which targets case identification, management, and prevention efforts in Mumbai. Part of the nonprofit's work involves working with people who have tuberculosis and drug-resistant tuberculosis, some of whom have COVID-19 coinfections.
Also, MSF has expanded its efforts at health centers in overcrowded areas of Mumbai, where living conditions contribute to the spread of the virus, and it is taking steps to staff two units at a Mumbai hospital that will add 1,000 intensive care unit beds.

Neighboring nations also battle rising cases

Other countries in the region are also battling COVID spikes. Amid worries over oxygen supply, Pakistan's two most populous provinces yesterday announced bans on elective surgeries to preserve oxygen supplies for COVID-19 patients, according to CNN.
Pakistan yesterday asked its military to help enforce COVID-19 measures, and the country's president told the nation that he hopes to avoid a lockdown, but may have no choice.
Nepal's cases are also climbing, with Kathmandu as one of the country's hot spot, according to a separate CNN report.
At least three cities in Nepal have ordered lockdowns to slow the spread of the virus.

DJ-Limited testing means real number of cases/deaths in India/region is (far) higher...The India variants did get all the chance to spread around the globe via international air travel.....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913925-cidrap-covid-19-variants-spread-faster-but-grew-milder-over-time-in-ohio[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913925-cidrap-covid-19-variants-spread-faster-but-grew-milder-over-time-in-ohio ; Cleveland Clinic researchers identified 484 unique mutations among six strains of SARS-CoV-2 isolates early in the COVID-19 pandemic, finding that the first variants were more deadly than subsequent strains and suggesting that monitoring circulating strains may help predict patient outcomes.
Their study, published yesterday in JAMA Network Open, involved sequencing the viral genomes from specimens obtained from 302 COVID-19 patients at Cleveland Clinic from Mar 11 to Apr 22, 2020, and comparing them with those of the original SARS-CoV-2 strain from Wuhan, China.

DJ-The idea was the virus would get weaker, somehow in that story variants were missed ? Because [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913924-albertans-in-their-20s-30s-40s-and-50s-are-ending-up-in-icu-with-covid-19-faster-than-ever-before[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913924-albertans-in-their-20s-30s-40s-and-50s-are-ending-up-in-icu-with-covid-19-faster-than-ever-before ;Albertans in their 20s, 30s, 40s and 50s are ending up in ICU with COVID-19 faster than ever before
Intensive-care admissions reach new peaks, raising concerns over variants and long-term health effects

DJ-Ending up in ICU often means severe damage to lungs, organs-long term health issues...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913899-acta-math-sci-analysis-of-the-genomic-distance-between-bat-coronavirus-ratg13-and-sars-cov-2-reveals-multiple-origins-of-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913899-acta-math-sci-analysis-of-the-genomic-distance-between-bat-coronavirus-ratg13-and-sars-cov-2-reveals-multiple-origins-of-covid-19Because it is commonly accepted that SARS-CoV-2 is originated from bat coronavirus RaTG13, we only need to determine which SARS-CoV-2 genome sequence has the closest distance to bat coronavirus RaTG13 under our natural metric. From our analysis, SARS-CoV-2 most likely has already existed in other countries such as France, India, Netherland, England and United States before the outbreak at Wuhan, China.

DJ Based on limited findings outside China before the pandemic. May be the same as H5/H7 bird flu showing up all over EurAsia, Africa-infecting people in Russia, Nigeria...Very likely to become a major problem soon. 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiuVlYWvWkU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiuVlYWvWkU 

Some of the points under the video; India Thriving black market, Underprepared governments , US allowing exports of vaccine components

On vaccines No intellectual property wavers

In the US on J&J vaccines Reports suggest an increased risk of a rare adverse event called thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) Nearly all reports, adult women younger than 50 years old

DJ-In discussions one suggestion is during vaccination a blood vessel may get some damage...the problem may not be in the vaccines but in the vaccination...Again-If you stop vaccinations, stop NPI you do NOT stop this pandemic !!!

Pfizer, Israel , More than 5 million people vaccinated 62 recorded cases of myocarditis 56 of those cases came after the second shot Most of the affected were men under 30. 60 of the patients were treated and released from hospital in good condition 2 deaths (22-year-old woman and a 35-year-old man)
DJ Vaccinating 5 million complications in 62 cases, with 2 deaths...but these vaccinations did save thousends of lives...There is specific concern regarding the frequency of the occurrence observed in men under 30 in the days immediately after the second shot At this stage, according to initial findings that still need to be verified, there is an impression that the number (of cases) is higher than would be expected, especially for those under 30 Overall findings, 1-in-100,000 Aged 16 – 30 years, 1-in-20,000 We cannot yet tell if there are more cases than normal or if there are similar numbers annually and the proximity is just a coincidence. Efforts to collect more data are continuing

Also Israel, children aged 12-15, when US Food and Drugs Administration approves

Once that age group has been vaccinated, the country will reach herd immunity Therefore no need to vaccinate younger children Vaccine choice, may be: Younger women, Pfizer Younger men, Janssen

DJ-Israel is a showcase for "vaccinating out of a pandemic" strategy...The UK may get problems with the India variant getting inside the UK...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics At least 400 cases of the B.1.617 variant detected in the UK...but the numbers are not all clear yet...The 2 Dutch cases showed up at ad random testing...suggesting community spread in NL. Belgium 4 cases, Germany 15 cases, very likely France has cases-just did not find them...

DJ-The picture I have-and correct me if I am wrong !-is the UK variant still causing a lot of global problems in wave 3, Latin America P1 variant...The India variants may get problematic soon...

WAR seems to be the global priority...[url]https://southfront.org/more-us-b-52-bombers-arrived-in-qatar-to-stand-by-troops-withdrawal-from-afghanistan/[/url] or https://southfront.org/more-us-b-52-bombers-arrived-in-qatar-to-stand-by-troops-withdrawal-from-afghanistan/ The Afghan war has been privatized with PMC's/mercenaries replacing NATO to secure heroin export...no doubt Pakistan will get help from Iran and China to restore order...

We did not see major escalations yet [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-urpOC6ugn8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-urpOC6ugn8 Alexander Mercouris/The Duran with lots of info-this time the UK (navy) showing its strenght towards China...wrong century, wrong region...Russia-Iran-China are working with their allies to create their own "New World Order" with the US no role

Music; A world of our own [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSxwqBJLU8A[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSxwqBJLU8A The Seekers 1965..



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 28 2021 at 9:43pm

DJ,

-A look at the high numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ; India a new record in reported cases almost 380,000 cases did get reported-since testing capacity is overrun the real number is much higher...3,647 deaths...also the real number is higher. Brazil, US, Turkey and France make the top 5 in new cases...In the top 5 for new reported deaths India and Brazil over 3,000 reported deaths, the US gets close to a 1,000 (with 954 cases)...Poland reporting 636 deaths, and #5 is Colombia with 434 deaths...total deaths being reported is 15,307...

India and Brazil make over 50% of all reported new cases-over 456,700 of the reported 887,204 cases...These two countries also make 6,666 of the 15,307 deaths...

In total (reported/tested) deaths USA is still at #1 with 588,337 reported deaths, Brazil #2 with 398,343, Mexico has 215,547 reported/tested deaths, India is at #4 with 204,812 deaths...UK still at #5 with 127,480 reported deaths-yesterday an increase still of 29. At #6 is Italy with 120,256 and yesterday another 344 "new deaths"...

The real number is far higher...both for cases and deaths...Vaccines make a difference Israel yesterday reported 106 new cases, 2 deaths...But only a few countries may have had enough vaccinations to make a major difference. Keeping out new variants, NPI is still a major job. 

-FluTrackers (Latest posts)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914061-cidrap-india-s-surge-leads-to-further-global-covid-rise-as-role-of-variants-probed[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914061-cidrap-india-s-surge-leads-to-further-global-covid-rise-as-role-of-variants-probed ; COVID-19 cases in India last week made up 38% of the global total, and circulation of different variants—not just the B1617 variant that was first detected in the country—appears to be partly fueling the nation's massive surge, the World Health Organization (WHO) said yesterday in its weekly pandemic snapshot.

-

Though cases rose for the ninth week in a row, virus spread shows different patterns in world regions and even among countries. Of the five countries that reported the highest case numbers last week, all but India reported a decline, wwith the United States, Brazil, Turkey, and France all reporting falling numbers.
India reported the biggest increases in cases, with a 52% rise. Other countries that reported spikes of more than 10% include Malaysia (27%), Japan (22%), and Pakistan (17%).
At a briefing today, officials from the WHO's Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) said many health systems in South and Central America are still struggling with an influx of patients, against the backdrop of rising infections in younger people who have longer hospital stays. For example, Costa Rica's hospitalizations are at an all-time high and Guatemala's hospitals have reached capacity. And for the first time, Canada's infection rates have passed those of the United States.

-

Scientists told the New York Times that different variants seem dominant in different parts of India, with B1617 detected in many samples from Maharashtra state and B117 expanding quickly in New Delhi.

-

  • Sri Lanka's government is tightening COVID restrictions, due to rising cases in the wake of new year's celebrations earlier this month, according to CNN. Officials shuttered schools, banned private gatherings, and have asked employers to limit the number of people at work. Elsewhere in the region, Bangladesh took steps to divert industrial oxygen to hospitals and clinics as a precautionary measure due rising COVID activity.
  • One dose of COVID vaccine has the potential to cut household transmission by half, according to a report today from Public Health England. The vaccines included in the study are ones in use in the United Kingdom: Pfizer/BioNTech and AstraZeneca/Oxford.

DJ-In most countries cases are decreasing-but a lot of countries still see high numbers-and have a lot of NPI. Vaccinations and testing still are far from a 100% perfect...DJ-I think Africa may be a big unknown...hardly any testing/sequencing...

How big a risk some variants from India, Brazil are for vaccinated people is still not all clear-both countries do see "variations in variants". Relaxing restrictions to soon-with most younger people NOT vaccinated and social more active could start increase of cases again...Travel restrictions are needed to stop the spread of variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914051-chicago-il-creating-vax-pass-plan-mayor-does-not-think-normal-life-will-ever-return[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914051-chicago-il-creating-vax-pass-plan-mayor-does-not-think-normal-life-will-ever-return“When you get vaccinated, it’s going to be an easier to return to a different life,” Lightfoot said. “I won’t say our normal old life, because I don’t think that’s ever coming back.”

DJ-The "old life" was part of the problem...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc-guidance-for-covid-19/914041-cdc-sars-cov-2-variant-classifications-and-definitions-updated-april-27-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc-guidance-for-covid-19/914041-cdc-sars-cov-2-variant-classifications-and-definitions-updated-april-27-2021

  • Genetic variants of SARS-CoV-2 have been emerging and circulating around the world throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Viral mutations and variants in the United States are routinely monitored through sequence-based surveillance, laboratory studies, and epidemiological investigations.
  • A US government interagency group developed a Variant Classification scheme that defines three classes of SARS-CoV-2 variants:
  • The B.1.526, B.1.526.1, B.1.525, and P.2 variants circulating in the United States are classified as variants of interest.
  • The B.1.1.7, B.1.351, P.1, B.1.427, and B.1.429 variants circulating in the United States are classified as variants of concern.
  • To date, no variants of high consequence have been identified in the United States.
  • In laboratory studies, specific monoclonal antibody treatments may be less effective for treating cases of COVID-19 caused by variants with the L452R or E484K substitutionin the spike protein.
    • L452R is present in B.1.526.1, B.1.427, and B.1.429.
    • E484K is present in B.1.525, P.2, P.1, and B.1.351, but only some strains of B.1.526 and B.1.1.7.

DJ-It would be very welcome if there-at least on science-was international cooperation...One of the major problems is all countries (or even states) go for their own interests...no global vision. (DJ-And to be clear a lot of countries go for their own interests...One of the reasons France accepted "foreign vaccines" is that French vaccines were not effective...otherwise France would be using French vaccines...we are in a vaccine war...most countries want to use vaccines to get political influence...)

Sequencing has been a major problem in the US-the UK and DK (=Denmark) still do most sequencing..See also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914008-india-economy-political-system-collapsing-due-to-covid-19-sanjay-raut-april-28-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914008-india-economy-political-system-collapsing-due-to-covid-19-sanjay-raut-april-28-2021 DJ-Countries like India, Brazil may come close to breaking point due to the pandemic. If a lot of people stop working, hospitals are out of capacity/staff social collapse is a next step...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#page-top[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#page-top DJ 71 countries reporting increases of cases out of 207-the average increase is 3%...most due to India...

Is the pandemic under vaccine/natural immunity control ? That may be to optimistic. Again some new variants may evade vaccines, a resistent form of Covid 19 may already be out there...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics (just two of several variants) New variants are widespread and seem to be increasing. In Latin America, South Asia there still is a major health crisis, Africa the big unknown...

Rich countries tend to see themselves as a mirror for the global situation-that gives a false picture...We may be getting out of a third wave...and will learn how well natural/vaccine immunity protects us against new variants...The main problem is the number of people needing to be vaccinated...also booster vaccinations is now seen as essential-every 1/1,5 year...

DJ-Ivermectin shows up from time to time-but if that is that effective why countries like India do not show that effectiveness ? 

-Dr. John Campbell with TWO video's [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tUyQ2luZAWo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tUyQ2luZAWo Wednesday update-some of the info from under the (44 minutes) video; Extremely low breakthrough infection rate India data, 0.02% to 0.04% of vaccinated people falling ill

DJ-That would be very welcome news-only testing in India is a major issue...

Reduced risk of developing symptomatic infection, 4 weeks after one dose of either vaccine, 60 to 65% Those who do become infected 3 weeks after receiving one dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech or AstraZeneca vaccine Were between 38% and 49% less likely to pass the virus on to their household contacts

DJ-Vaccinations protect against severe disease and virus spread-far from perfect but enough to slow down a pandemic-in combination with NPI (masks indoors, travelrestrictions) the perspective looks promissing...(DJ-To good ?)

2,713,640 COVID-19 vaccines, myocarditis in 0.000516% 1 in 193,831 Developed after receiving either Pfizer or Moderna

DJ-Vaccines are never 100% perfect (still if I could get vaccinated I would get vaccinated...may have to wait here in NL till june ? For me all vaccines-now in international use-would be OK, including AZ/O or Sputnik-V...)

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiuVlYWvWkU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiuVlYWvWkU Dr.J.C. on hearth inflamation in Israel (related to Covid19) DJ-Several countries reported hearthissues related to the coronapandemic. Iran was in the news recently, but China-at the start of the pandemic also did see "people dropping" with hearthfaillure...

DJ (The text under the video is from yesterday-did Dr.J.C. change the title ?)

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/unprecedented-nato-deployment-over-black-sea[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/unprecedented-nato-deployment-over-black-sea and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ankara-incirlik-base-with-all-its-weapons-systems-belongs-to-turkey[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ankara-incirlik-base-with-all-its-weapons-systems-belongs-to-turkey 

DJ-Germany is going to buy Sputnik-V vaccines [url]https://www.dw.com/en/germany-wants-to-buy-30-million-sputnik-v-vaccine-doses-state-premier/a-57287686[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/germany-wants-to-buy-30-million-sputnik-v-vaccine-doses-state-premier/a-57287686 Turkey also buying 50 million Sputnik-V vaccines...Both Turkey and Germany did invest billions in pipeline-links for Russian energy...Again the EU (now the UK is "out") wants to increase trade with Asia...

NATO is split...Turkey may be very close to switching to Russia-Iran-China group...doing already a lot of deals with them...Most of western Europe want "working relations" with Russia, eastern Europe divided-Poland/Baltic states anti-Russia-but need the EU...

The UK trying to "show strength" by sending the royal navy close to Russia, China...without any real goals...and the US under biden trying to find a new role...[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/us-four-star-generals-ask-dni-to-stop-lying.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/us-four-star-generals-ask-dni-to-stop-lying.html and [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/something-is-wrong-when-you-need-a-high-rate-of-fire-but-the-ammunition-costs-500-million-per-shot.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/something-is-wrong-when-you-need-a-high-rate-of-fire-but-the-ammunition-costs-500-million-per-shot.html 

DJ-Some in the US still pushing for confrontation with Russia, Iran, China, North Korea, Venezuela etc...but more realistic confrontation is damaging the US...After endless, pointless wars-trying to remain in control over global energy the US long term confrontation strategy has been a disaster-spending zillions on wars NOT on US infrastructure, housing, healthcare, education...the US getto's are the other side of US global wars...

It would be very welcome if biden could change that...other choices could still put the US in a leading position (no need to be #1, it is OK if the US would be #2 or #3 in many area's..) in the world. Endless confrontations-with even sanctions on allies-is isolating the US...The EU is already "looking east" ...

Music; David Bowie-Changes [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pl3vxEudif8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pl3vxEudif8 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 29 2021 at 9:38pm

DJ,

Lots of seismic activity around the Pacific last 24 hrs...with M5+ for the Oregon coast, Mexico, New Zealand...[url]https://www.debka.com/stampede-disaster-at-meron-leaves-scores-dead-and-wounded/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/stampede-disaster-at-meron-leaves-scores-dead-and-wounded/ DJ-Different numbers but very likely over 40 people died during a religous festivity in the north of Israel-with over 30,000 visitors-100,000 ? while only 10,000 were expected...

-Numbers [url]https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-variants-genomically-confirmed-case-numbers/variants-distribution-of-cases-data[/url] or https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-variants-genomically-confirmed-case-numbers/variants-distribution-of-cases-data and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914134-uk-government-reports-400-cases-of-covid-19-variant-1-617-that-was-first-seen-in-india-april-27-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914134-uk-government-reports-400-cases-of-covid-19-variant-1-617-that-was-first-seen-in-india-april-27-2021 DJ-Unclear if variants in the UK are increasing enough to become a problem...India variant +61 not good news...

In India itself new cases are breaking another sad record with 386,888 new cases and 3,501 deaths-both undercounts. Brazil did see 80,000 deaths this month-the highest number for that country so far in this pandemic. Close to 70,000 new cases over 3,000 deaths were reported...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/ The weekly trends show an increase of cases by 3%, deaths by 10%...with also most cases proberbly NOT being tested & reported. In the "India region" cases go up, Sri Lanka reporting an increase of 180%, Nepal did see 151% increase, India itself +27%. Brazil did see a 2% increase, The US did see a 15% decrease of cases (so-15% !)....But in general the numbers are still very high. In NL we may now be dealing with the highest number of infectious people since the start of the pandemic...

Vaccinations do work-but the virus now is spreading in younger age groups, more social active and often NOT vaccinated...lifting lots of restrictions now can create-certainly with variants-still another wave. 

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914146-coronavirus-quarantine-for-hundreds-after-hong-kong-records-first-untraceable-local-case-involving-covid-19-mutated-strain-health-officials-warn-of-%E2%80%98grim-situation%E2%80%99-n501y-and-e484k-mutations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914146-coronavirus-quarantine-for-hundreds-after-hong-kong-records-first-untraceable-local-case-involving-covid-19-mutated-strain-health-officials-warn-of-%E2%80%98grim-situation%E2%80%99-n501y-and-e484k-mutations ; Hundreds of occupants of a 52-storey residential block in Tung Chung have been ordered into quarantine in Hong Kong’s biggest such operation after one of them was confirmed to have contracted a mutated strain of Covid-19 from an unknown source locally for the first time in the city.

... Occupants will have to undergo three weeks of quarantine in government centres.

Health officials said the patient was a 39-year-old domestic helper from the Philippines, and her infection carried the N501Y and E484K mutations. Both types were found in more infectious strains first identified in South Africa and Brazil, and further sequencing would be needed to determine the variant.

-

The "double mutant" coronavirus strain that was found in India has now been detected in China, the country's chief epidemiologist has said in a major announcement ahead of this weekend's public holiday.

At a Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention press conference held in Beijing on Thursday, Wu Zunyou revealed the "Indian variant" had been found in "some Chinese cities," without elaborating. The news has sparked intense discussion online about stricter border controls amid the five-day Labor Day break beginning Saturday.

The country where COVID-19 was first reported some 16 months ago is preparing to step up public health measures in order to allay fears of a fresh outbreak caused by the "double mutant" strain B.1.617.

DJ-Basicly; the pandemic is not over till it's over...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914151-tracking-the-evolution-of-a-%E2%80%98variant-of-concern%E2%80%99-in-brazil-p-1[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914151-tracking-the-evolution-of-a-%E2%80%98variant-of-concern%E2%80%99-in-brazil-p-1 ; To understand better how the P.1 variant led to such an explosion of new COVID-19 cases, the researchers developed a mathematical model that integrated the genomic data with mortality data. The model suggests that P.1 may be 1.7 to 2.4 times more transmissible than earlier variants. They also estimate that a person previously infected with a variant other than P.1 will have only 54 percent to 79 percent protection against a subsequent infection with P.1.

DJ The general impression seems to be that the P1 variant is only a bit more infectious then the UK variant...so in many countries the P1 variant is slowed down/stopped by the UK variant...But both variants still are mutating !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/914150-the-longest-persistence-of-viable-sars-cov-2-with-recurrence-of-viremia-and-relapsing-symptomatic-covid-19-in-an-immunocompromised-patient-%E2%80%93-a-case-study[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/914150-the-longest-persistence-of-viable-sars-cov-2-with-recurrence-of-viremia-and-relapsing-symptomatic-covid-19-in-an-immunocompromised-patient-%E2%80%93-a-case-study ;SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal swabs samples remained positive for 268 days. All five performed viral cultures were positive and genomic analysis confirmed a persistent infection with the same strain. Viremia resulted positive in three out of four COVID-19 clinical relapses and cleared each time after remdesivir treatment. T and NK cells dynamic was different in aviremic and viremic samples and no SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies were detected throughout the disease course.

Conclusions
In our patient, SARS-CoV-2 persisted with proven infectivity for over eight months. Viremia was associated with COVID-19 relapses and remdesivir treatment was effective in viremia clearance and symptoms remission, although it was unable to clear the virus from the upper respiratory airways.During the viremic phase, we observed a low frequency of terminal effector CD8+ T lymphocytes in peripheral blood that are probably recruited in inflammatory tissue for viral eradication. In addition we found a high level of NK cells repertoire perturbation with a relevant involvement during SARS- CoV-2 viremia.

DJ-Variations can show up in immuno compromised persons-the virus can mutate in the hosts...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914147-cidrap-un-meeting-calls-for-more-action-less-talk-on-antimicrobial-resistance[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914147-cidrap-un-meeting-calls-for-more-action-less-talk-on-antimicrobial-resistance ;The One Health concept views the health of humans, animals, and the environment as intrinsically linked. Speakers throughout the day made it clear that any national strategies to combat AMR must address how antibiotics are used in human and veterinary medicine and in agriculture.

DJ-Covid19 is related to bats-jumped to humans via a third host...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/central-america-aa/central-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914138-costa-rica-sets-record-for-new-cases-hospitalizations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/central-america-aa/central-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914138-costa-rica-sets-record-for-new-cases-hospitalizationsCosta Rica on Wednesday set a record for daily new coronavirus cases, with 2,434 infections identified, according to the Health Ministry’s evening update.

Eight-hundred and eighteen people are hospitalized with Covid-19, also a new high. Of those, a record 351 are in intensive care, saturating capacity at some public hospitals.

Of patients currently in the ICU with Covid-19, more than three-quarters are less than 70 years old, La Nación reports, indicating a trend of younger adults requiring hospitalization.

DJ-Costa Rica is a small country, so this is a major problem ! Very likely a mix of variants-creating new variants...see also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914128-peru-media-report-on-covid-19-%E2%80%9Cappalling%E2%80%9D-figures-in-the-words-of-the-director-of-the-medical-college-miguel-palacios-the-virus-is-spreading-uncontrollably-april-30-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914128-peru-media-report-on-covid-19-%E2%80%9Cappalling%E2%80%9D-figures-in-the-words-of-the-director-of-the-medical-college-miguel-palacios-the-virus-is-spreading-uncontrollably-april-30-2021 ;“Appalling” figures , in the words of the director of the Medical College, Miguel Palacios. "The virus is spreading uncontrollably" , as Peruvians are in the midst of the electoral campaign for the second round of general elections on June 6.

Nearly 1.8 million people have been infected. The lack of beds in intensive care units and the serious shortage of oxygen partly explain this dramatic health situation. Miguel Palacios recalls that the medical staff, "hard hit" , are exhausted. More than 430 doctors have died since the start of the epidemic; "We lack human resources , " he laments. According to the National Institute of Health, the Brazilian variant is responsible for 40% of new infections in Lima, the capital.

DJ-Yes the pandemic may be decreasing-hopefully-in the US, UK and some parts of Europe...but again it is far from over. Worsening in many other places. With an increase of international air travel we may be close to yet another healthcrisis...In most countries HCW-ers are exhausted or ill, dead...we have NO room for experiments !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/seasonal-flu-2009-2014-including-h1n1-pandemic-2009-aj/914127-flu-has-disappeared-worldwide-during-the-covid-pandemic[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/seasonal-flu-2009-2014-including-h1n1-pandemic-2009-aj/914127-flu-has-disappeared-worldwide-during-the-covid-pandemic ; Since the novel coronavirus began its global spread, influenza cases reported to the World Health Organization have dropped to minuscule levels. The reason, epidemiologists think, is that the public health measures taken to keep the coronavirus from spreading also stop the flu. Influenza viruses are transmitted in much the same way as SARS-CoV-2, but they are less effective at jumping from host to host.

As Scientific American reported last fall, the drop-off in flu numbers was both swift and universal. Since then, cases have stayed remarkably low. “There’s just no flu circulating,” says Greg Poland, who has studied the disease at the Mayo Clinic for decades. The U.S. saw about 600 deaths from influenza during the 2020-2021 flu season. In comparison, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated there were roughly 22,000 deaths in the prior season and 34,000 two seasons ago...

DJ-It would be very welcome if flu would be gone forever...however birdflu H5/H7 is widespread and close to jumping into humans...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream (latest activity-dying in a car park.....terrible...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914100-sci-rep-climate-and-the-spread-of-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914100-sci-rep-climate-and-the-spread-of-covid-19Abstract

Visual inspection of world maps shows that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is less prevalent in countries closer to the equator, where heat and humidity tend to be higher. Scientists disagree how to interpret this observation because the relationship between COVID-19 and climatic conditions may be confounded by many factors. We regress the logarithm of confirmed COVID-19 cases per million inhabitants in a country against the country's distance from the equator, controlling for key confounding factors: air travel, vehicle concentration, urbanization, COVID-19 testing intensity, cell phone usage, income, old-age dependency ratio, and health expenditure. A one-degree increase in absolute latitude is associated with a 4.3% increase in cases per million inhabitants as of January 9, 2021 (p value < 0.001). Our results imply that a country, which is located 1000 km closer to the equator, could expect 33% fewer cases per million inhabitants. Since the change in Earth's angle towards the sun between equinox and solstice is about 23.5°, one could expect a difference in cases per million inhabitants of 64% between two hypothetical countries whose climates differ to a similar extent as two adjacent seasons. According to our results, countries are expected to see a decline in new COVID-19 cases during summer and a resurgence during winter. However, our results do not imply that the disease will vanish during summer or will not affect countries close to the equator. Rather, the higher temperatures and more intense UV radiation in summer are likely to support public health measures to contain SARS-CoV-2.

DJ-Complicating factor is increased infectiousness of variants, overpopulation...Brazil, India are not that far from the equator...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914069-rev-inst-med-trop-sao-paulo-sars-cov-2-reinfection-caused-by-the-p-1-lineage-in-araraquara-city-sao-paulo-state-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914069-rev-inst-med-trop-sao-paulo-sars-cov-2-reinfection-caused-by-the-p-1-lineage-in-araraquara-city-sao-paulo-state-brazil ;
Reinfection by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-COV-2) has been reported in many countries, suggesting that the virus may continue to circulate among humans despite the possibility of local herd immunity due to massive previous infections. The emergence of variants of concern (VOC) that are more transmissible than the previous circulating ones has raised particular concerns on the vaccines effectiveness and reinfection rates. The P.1 lineage was first identified in December 2020 in Manaus city and is now globally spread. We report the first case of reinfection of SARS-CoV-2 caused by the P.1 variant outside of Manaus. The potential of these new variants to escape naturally and vaccine- induced immunity highlights the need for a global vigilance.

DJ-Again !!!! We have to stop spreading the virus/variants !!!! Vaccines offer some protection but new variants WILL evade that protection if they are not stopped !!! We need a mix of vaccines AND NPI !!! (And we are reopening again to soon..."saving the economy"...)

-Dr. John Campbell update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zd5i3768Jnc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zd5i3768Jnc Thursday update-info/links under the video.

DJ Again this pandemic is FAR FROM OVER !!!! We have to do more and longer to get the global picture under control ! Basicly we still have hardly any idea of Covid19 in Africa-and "we don't care" ...while the news that we do have should be very alarming. For now most of the risk seems to be in the India variants...widespread and spreading...vaccinations may offer some protection but still are not going fast enough. Germany is now vaccinating over 1 million people per day, maybe-I am just trying to get a global picture-worldwide we are now in between 50 to 100 million vaccinations per day...on a global population close to 8 billion...

Vaccination-immunity takes two to three weeks...but now in many places hospital care is in a crisis...NO ROOM for lifting restrictions !

Music; Creep [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zd5i3768Jnc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zd5i3768Jnc Radiohead


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 30 2021 at 9:58pm

DJ,

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ; Almost half of all new cases-402,110 from the total of 872,895 global cases come from India...Also 3,522 of the tested/reported deaths are from India on a total of 14,285...with Brazil reporting 2,870 Covid 19 deaths...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Looking at the weekly trends only 67 countries have growth in cases-and a lot of them in real numbers did see changes smaller then cases (so 2 cases last week, 3 cases this week is growth of 50% but not a major problem...). The global growth of cases this week was "just" 1%-and if you correct for India cases are decreasing.

Last week did show 5,778,903 new cases, the week before had 5,715,919 cases...Of course most cases do still NOT get tested/reported. Statistics can give an indication of reality...Haiti may become a new Covid hotspot, lots of Africa does not even test, South Asia has a problem-but in Latin America in general there already may be a downward trend...

Vaccinations do matter-and now finally are at full speed. Some new variants will be better in evading vaccinations-there are lots of reasons to still keep most of the restrictions...but for now the global situation is looking hopefull...just like last year at the beginning of summer !!!!

The risks are greater !!!! If we waste this chance we may end up with resistant variants-natural/vaccine immunity may no longer offer enough protection. You may get Covid19 just as often as a cold...but with a much worse outcome...

Also other diseases (a.o. H5/H7, [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nipah_virus[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nipah_virus etc. ) are close to getting pandemic...the "old normal" flying all over the place, mass meetings should be over...IF we want to prevent the next pandemic...

-FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914280-colombia-surpasses-500-daily-covid-19-deaths-after-pandemic%E2%80%99s-most-fatal-week[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914280-colombia-surpasses-500-daily-covid-19-deaths-after-pandemic%E2%80%99s-most-fatal-week ;More than 108,000 people were registered as positive on Thursday. Of these people, 7,280 were in intensive care units (ICU’s).

The combination of the high saturation rate and a shortage in oxygen for medium-care patients has created the worst healthcare crisis since the beginning of the pandemic.

DJ-There still is a very serious health crisis in many countries. Maybe new infections are going down in lots of places-but hospital cases may be going up. Oxygen is a problem often, also staff is an issue...more global cooperation can save lives...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914278-covid-19-surges-in-oregon-sickening-younger-adults-and-forcing-a-return-to-restrictions[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914278-covid-19-surges-in-oregon-sickening-younger-adults-and-forcing-a-return-to-restrictions ;Doctors say that patients they’re seeing are younger, sicker and often without underlying medical conditions, suggesting that potent variants could be partly to blame.

DJ-The India variants are all over the globe-even got into China !!!! Those highly infectious variants will spread when restrictions are lifted...wave 3 is going down-we should prevent wave 4...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies?view=stream (latest activities);The problem seems to be that science and politics have become interwoven, and for politics, one can 'read' vested interests of industry. It happens in every major market sector, to a lesser or greater extent, but the censorship of the science itself is a very worrying trend. Yes I do see it now. The question is - how can this be fixed? If the root cause is indeed attributable to needing to allow Emergency Use Authorisations (US/UK/EU) for novel interventions in a new disease, then it would suggest that this legislation needs modification. It should not be an 'either/or' .. When so much money and investment is at stake, I now understand why there is so much activity to 'crush' cheap old interventions that could be beneficial, even as adjunctive therapy.. It is not all about the revenues from the novel interventions, its protecting the massive investments that are involved in finding and researching whether they have any benefits or not. There should be space and economic room for both approaches (repurposing old cheap generics as well developing vaccines and other novel interventions). Between Covid itself (which I believe is with us for the very long term) and Long Covid there are ample opportunities for the industry... no country, even rich ones, could possibly afford the full burden of ongoing healthcare using solely novel interventions.

DJ-There is a lot of evidence indicating Ivermectin is of use-cheap...Ignoring that for "economic reasons" is criminal...This pandemic was man made due to inaction in the early stages...it was allowed to go on to "secure investments in Big Pharma" ...an unbelievable scandal...(Sad it is just part of a rotten system...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914134-uk-government-reports-400-cases-of-covid-19-variant-1-617-that-was-first-seen-in-india-april-27-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914134-uk-government-reports-400-cases-of-covid-19-variant-1-617-that-was-first-seen-in-india-april-27-2021?view=stream ;

Rapid spread of India Covid variant in UK is ‘worrying’, say scientists


Cases of variant B1617 reach 400, but Public Health England says there is no evidence of a threat to vaccines
...
Coronavirus variants first detected in India risk becoming the UK’s second most dominant within weeks, experts have warned after total cases rose to 400.

Public Health England (PHE) said on Thursday that there was “no evidence of widespread community transmission or that these variants cause more severe disease or render the vaccines currently deployed any less effective”.

DJ-        What is wrong with pro-activity ? Do we want to get this pandemic somehow under control ? Or is this all a big pharma marketing strategy with "politics" job transferring zillions of tax payers money to Big Pharma shareholders ? 

There is absolutely NO POINT in mass vaccinations if you do NOT STOP spreading variants evading vaccinations !!! Should people with brains and money move to Australia, New Zealand, China ? Do we "need evidence of widespread community transmission or that these variants cause more severe disease or render the currently deployed any less effective" ? Will "experts"keep running behind the facts to get their "strategy science based" ????

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9t4y1-gSj_U[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9t4y1-gSj_U Again on "how good vaccines work also against variants". Still most people have NOT been vaccinated, new variants showing in Brazil, India (etc) to be stopped less by those vaccines are increasing...By the time western science has a clear picture "vaccines offer less protection against them" we are even deeper in this swamp !

I would love to be hopefull-but we keep repeating mistakes over and over again...

WAR

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVYoCvAgHyw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVYoCvAgHyw Alexander Mercouris on Blinken (US-FM) visit to Ukraine and [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/german-ambassador-wants-more-nazis-112-ukraine-makes-a-curious-little-translation-mistake.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/german-ambassador-wants-more-nazis-112-ukraine-makes-a-curious-little-translation-mistake.html 

DJ-My impression is that the US under Biden is getting the point that supporting nazi's in Ukraine, IS in the Middle East is "damaging the US"...Henry Kissinger warned that the US-China relations now are a far greater risk then the cold war US-Soviet Union (lack of) relations...Kissinger would welcome US-China cooperation...

DJ-Confrontation and sanctions started against Iraq-but now the US is even using these "politics" against allies...We-in NL-can not be friends with the US if that country has a law forcing it to invade the Netherlands if a US military person has to show up in the International Criminal Court in The Hague...It would be welcome if the US would accept international rules..not only claiming it does then pushes its own US rules...

There is no point in Paris climate agreements, Iran deals, WHO if the US steps out because it does not get its way...The US has been acting as a spoiled child in the international community and "we" have had enough of that !!! We-in the EU-have other options...just like Turkey-a main NATO partner, the Phillippines, Australia, New Zealand, Canada...

Again-it is totally unacceptable the US is telling us where we can buy our energy, vaccines, weapons...(the F35 JSF aircraft is a scandal, based on corruption...one of many in the US "defense industry"...). The "neo-liberal" policies of the US-buy now-pay later-puts the bill on future generations and the poor ! 

The total unacceptable unbalance with 0,1% of the "rich" claiming to own more than half the planet goes against any basic idea of democracy...

With over 25% of all people in prison being in US prisons-with only 4% of the global population-steps to "social reform" are very welcome in the US. It is wiser and cheaper to offer the poor perspective in stead of prison !!! The US prison system is close to a new form of slavery...police protection only for the rich is a shame.

Music-The Stranglers-Something Better Change 1977 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_WqKtmn2RC0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_WqKtmn2RC0 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 01 2021 at 10:21am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 01 2021 at 12:05pm

ViQueen24 thanks for the links; 

From drugs.com

  • An in vitro trial has shown ivermectin reduces the number of cell-associated viral RNA by 99.8 % in 24 hours. An in vitro study is when they study cells in a laboratory and not in a living organism.
  • More studies are now needed to be done using ivermectin on people or animals to see how well ivermectin works against COVID-19. This is in vivo testing.

From the NIH link ; 

Proposed Mechanism of Action and Rationale for Use in Patients With COVID-19

Reports from in vitro studies suggest that ivermectin acts by inhibiting the host importin alpha/beta-1 nuclear transport proteins, which are part of a key intracellular transport process that viruses hijack to enhance infection by suppressing the host’s antiviral response.4,5 In addition, ivermectin docking may interfere with the attachment of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike protein to the human cell membrane.6 Ivermectin is thought to be a host-directed agent, which may be the basis for its broad-spectrum activity in vitro against the viruses that cause dengue, Zika, HIV, and yellow fever.4,7-9 Despite this in vitro activity, no clinical trials have reported a clinical benefit for ivermectin in patients with these viruses. Some studies of ivermectin have also reported potential anti-inflammatory properties, which have been postulated to be beneficial in people with COVID-19.10-12

Some observational cohorts and clinical trials have evaluated the use of ivermectin for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19. 

DJ-The extra studies that are supposed to be needed take now more then a year in the middle of the worst pandemic since the Spanish Flu of 1918...All of the world could be protected by taking Ivermectin as prevention or cure-this pandemic could be over !!!!

This man made pandemic is going on because of wrong choises by the wrong people ! 

(If even Dr. John Campbell is asking questions on why Ivermectin is not used the answer is even worse than the pandemic itself !!!)

Ivermectin is very cheap, easy to make old...no/low profit and no/low risk...Vaccines costs each tens of dollars...Remdesivir-not working according to the WHO is widely used max profit...NO benefit for patients but lots of profits for shareholders...

.......


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 01 2021 at 10:23pm

DJ-Again I am NOT an expert, just sharing my thoughts..If Ivermectin is as good as -by now-a lot of experts claim why some countries still do not use it as the basic treatment ? Does Big Pharma control the global healthcare bussinesses ? Russia, China-but also most western vaccine producers have an interest in getting countries "under vaccine control"...

I do not doubt the Ivermectin discussion will keep showing up. Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson and Dr. John Campbell have the courage to bring Ivermectin in their video's...Others also will not get quiet...

This pandemic should have been avoided by stopping (air)travel from China early 2020...after the Wuhan lockdown everyone knew there was a major problem. "We" kept the virus spreading...Then "we" choose to go for vaccine development...only on small experimental scale a.o. Ivermectin was used...The outcomes ignored...the only reason for that I can think of is greed. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies 

The discussion on this pandemic, bad choices, only is starting...herd immunity ideas were criminal...

In Thailand, Turkey a.o. the pandemic was (mis)used as an excuse to stop protests.

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ So far almost 153 million people tested positive and were reported...this number is an underestimate. More then 3,2 million were reported to have died from Covid 19-also the number of pandemic deaths is at least double that number...and it could have been prevented...

May 1 did see almost 800,000 new cases, another 12,882 deaths-India, Brazil pay a heavy price...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Worldwide weekly trends show a global decrease of 0,5%...very welcome even though it is based on tested and reported cases...and lots of cases/deaths never get tested or reported...

In these statistics India is going up 20%+, Brazil 2%+...South Asia, Baltic States show increases...also countries like Costa Rica, Egypt, Cameroon...Afghanistan. 

-Flutrackers (just a selection of the 145 posts..."frontline news")

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914444-european-cases-drop-and-countries-begin-to-reopen[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914444-european-cases-drop-and-countries-begin-to-reopen

Denmark (23%[vaccinated]) reopenedbars, restaurants, cafes, museums, libraries and football stadiums last week, but people must have a coronapas – digital certificate – to enter.
...
France (24%)will start easing restrictions on Monday when domestic travel restrictions will be lifted and high school pupils resume classes after a three-week closure.
...
Germany (26%) hopes that with week-on-week infections falling 12% and vaccinations picking up speed, the country’s week-old “emergency brake” measures – ..... – may be lifted sooner than expected. Germany vaccinated more than 1 million people on Thursday.

Greece, Italy, Poland, Spain, The Netherlands and Portugal all have vaccination rates between 22 & 24% and are also reopening slowly.

DJ-We did see cases go down last year may, june...in many places...we have to keep vigilant and stop spreading new variants-at the end even evading the vaccines...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914437-covid-fears-of-impending-doom-in-pakistan[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914437-covid-fears-of-impending-doom-in-pakistan ;Already Pakistan has seen active cases go from as low as 16,000 in the first week of March, to more than 140,000 new cases in April alone, as well as over 3,000 deaths - making it the worst month since the pandemic began.
pakistan covid overview

Official data reveals that bed capacity in the intensive care units (ICUs) of Lahore's major public and private hospitals reached more than 93% on 28 April, while some of the major cities in the largest and worst-hit province, Punjab, are seeing over 80% utilisation of ventilators and beds with oxygen.

Should the number of infections continue to grow, Pakistan may not just be facing a shortage of beds. Federal Minister for Planning Asad Umar pointed out the country was already using 90% of its oxygen supply, with more than 80% already going towards healthcare needs.

Prime Minister Imran Khan has warned Pakistan - with less than one doctor per 963 people - could be headed for disaster.

DJ-In the article the UK variant (and apathy) are named as the main drivers...In India most likely a mix of the India variants and the UK variant are behind the disaster...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines/914288-vaccines-basel-influenza-vaccination-and-covid-19-mortality-in-the-usa-an-ecological-study[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines/914288-vaccines-basel-influenza-vaccination-and-covid-19-mortality-in-the-usa-an-ecological-study ;Results show that, on the county level, influenza vaccination coverage in the elderly population is negatively associated with mortality from COVID-19, using different methodologies for confounding adjustment. These findings point to the need for studying the relationship between influenza vaccination and COVID-19 mortality at the individual level to investigate any underlying biological mechanisms.

DJ-So-Do I get that correct-the flu shot worsens the outcome of a Covid infection ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914341-cureus-warm-autoimmune-hemolytic-anemia-associated-with-asymptomatic-sars-cov-2-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914341-cureus-warm-autoimmune-hemolytic-anemia-associated-with-asymptomatic-sars-cov-2-infection ;Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the resultant coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are associated with several hematologic abnormalities, including immune thrombocytopenia, antiphospholipid syndrome, and autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA). Initial case reports suggested immune dysregulation to be the underlying etiology of SARS-CoV-2-associated AIHA, as all reported cases involved patients with moderate to severe COVID-19, many of whom had underlying lymphoproliferative disorders. More recently, AIHA has been reported in patients with mildly symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Here, we detail a patient with asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection who presented with severe, symptomatic anemia. Workup was consistent with warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia (WAIHA) secondary to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

DJ-Covid 19 may show up in other symptoms then most often seen...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914330-boy-dies-from-covid-on-hawaii-vacation-with-fully-vaccinated-parents-officials-say[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914330-boy-dies-from-covid-on-hawaii-vacation-with-fully-vaccinated-parents-officials-say ;I can tell you that both parents had been vaccinated, fully vaccinated. And both parents had tested negative before traveling from the mainland to Hawaii,” Department of Health spokesperson Brooks Baehr said, Hawaii News Now reported.
“So soon after arrival that it is very likely this child was infected with COVID while on the mainland or perhaps in transit,” he added...

and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914252-alberta-family-searches-for-answers-in-teen-s-sudden-death-after-covid-exposure-negative-tests[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914252-alberta-family-searches-for-answers-in-teen-s-sudden-death-after-covid-exposure-negative-tests ;Sarah Strate — a healthy, active Grade 12 student at Magrath High School who loved singing, dancing and being outdoors — died on Monday, less than a week after being notified she'd been exposed to COVID-19.

While two tests came back negative, her parents say other signs point to the coronavirus, and they're waiting for more answers.

"It was so fast. It's all still such a shock," said Sarah's mother, Kristine Strate. "She never even coughed. She had a sore throat and her ears were sore for a while, and [she had] swollen neck glands."

DJ-The risks for younger people in this pandemic remains underestimated-they can get very serious illness, they are also the main factor in spreading Covid 19..Also :

The latest on more dangerous variants:

  • Alberta announced its first COVID-19 case linked to the B1617 variant on April 22, the variant fuelling the case surge in India.
  • There were more than 1,300 new cases involving variants of concern reportedon Wednesday.
  • About 63 per cent of active cases have been identified as variants of concern, but not all cases can be screened for variants, due to technical limitations with some samples. Alberta Health Services has said about 80 to 85 per cent of all positive samples are successfully screened for the variants of concern.
  • There are 13,460 active variant cases, while 15,708 people have recovered and 82 people had died from variant infections.
  • Alberta had28,287 cases linked to variant B117, first detected in the United Kingdom, 77 cases linked to variant B1351, first detected in South Africa, and 885cases linked to the variant P1, which was first identified in Brazil.

DJ Alberta is hit hard with variants...travelrestrictions should help to get the spread down..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/preparedness-ab/914329-emerg-med-australas-planning-for-the-next-pandemic-reflections-on-the-early-phase-of-the-australian-covid-19-public-health-response-from-the-emergency-department[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/preparedness-ab/914329-emerg-med-australas-planning-for-the-next-pandemic-reflections-on-the-early-phase-of-the-australian-covid-19-public-health-response-from-the-emergency-department ;COVID-19 has uncovered structural and planning challenges, and highlighted weaknesses and strengths of the Australian federation. In anticipating future pandemics and other public health threats, particularly in the face of climate change, hard won lessons from the COVID-19 response should be incorporated in future planning, policies, practice, and advocacy.

DJ Covid19 is worse then the flu-but most deaths could have been avoided...worldwide the way "we" did deal with this outbreak was the main disaster...there are lots of other-much worse-diseases out there. We have to do that much better !!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914375-israel-finds-indian-variant-even-among-vaccinated-although-it-appears-the-vaccine-offers-some-efficacy[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914375-israel-finds-indian-variant-even-among-vaccinated-although-it-appears-the-vaccine-offers-some-efficacy ;

41 new cases of the Indian variant have been found in Israel - including in 4 previously vaccinated individuals.


  • 24 of those infected with the variant have recently returned from abroad, and the remaining 17 cases are due to community transmission.
  • The Pfizer (NYSE:PFE)/BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) COVID-19 vaccine is believed to be at least ‘partially’ effective against the variant, Reuters reported quoting Israeli health officials.
  • "The impression is that the Pfizer vaccine has efficacy against it, albeit a reduced efficacy," the ministry's director-general, Hezi Levy, has told Kan public radio, confirming that the country found eight cases with the new variant last week.

DJ-One has to be carefull with these kind of findings. Sometimes people may have gotten infected before, during or shortly after vaccination. Immunity after vaccination can take up to three weeks...Still it is possible some variants may develop increased vaccine evasion. Israel may be a country to see such developments...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914415-pediatr-rep-inflammatory-skin-lesions-in-three-sars-cov-2-swab-negative-adolescents-a-possible-covid-19-sneaky-manifestation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914415-pediatr-rep-inflammatory-skin-lesions-in-three-sars-cov-2-swab-negative-adolescents-a-possible-covid-19-sneaky-manifestationCoronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is associated with various clinical manifestations, including skin lesions. In particular, during the COVID-19 pandemic lock-down period numerous chilblain-like lesions, mainly located on the feet, were observed in adolescents. The latter were often asymptomatic or associated with very mild respiratory symptoms. Here, we report three cases of acral nodular lesions in SARS-CoV-2 swab-negative adolescents with histological findings of chronic immune-mediated inflammation and immunohistochemical evidence of SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoproteins in endothelial cells and eccrine sweat glands. In one of these cases, the virus presence was confirmed by electron microscopy.

DJ-Test was negative, still infection causing problems in a young age group. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914407-viruses-a-potential-sars-cov-2-variant-of-interest-voi-harboring-mutation-e484k-in-the-spike-protein-was-identified-within-lineage-b-1-1-33-circulating-in-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914407-viruses-a-potential-sars-cov-2-variant-of-interest-voi-harboring-mutation-e484k-in-the-spike-protein-was-identified-within-lineage-b-1-1-33-circulating-in-brazil ;The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic in Brazil was dominated by two lineages designated as B.1.1.28 and B.1.1.33. The two SARS-CoV-2 variants harboring mutations at the receptor-binding domain of the Spike (S) protein, designated as lineages P.1 and P.2, evolved from lineage B.1.1.28 and are rapidly spreading in Brazil. Lineage P.1 is considered a Variant of Concern (VOC) because of the presence of multiple mutations in the S protein (including K417T, E484K, N501Y), while lineage P.2 only harbors mutation S:E484K and is considered a Variant of Interest (VOI). On the other hand, epidemiologically relevant B.1.1.33 deriving lineages have not been described so far. Here we report the identification of a new SARS-CoV-2 VOI within lineage B.1.1.33 that also harbors mutation S:E484K and was detected in Brazil between November 2020 and February 2021. This VOI displayed four non-synonymous lineage-defining mutations (NSP3:A1711V, NSP6:F36L, S:E484K, and NS7b:E33A) and was designated as lineage N.9. The VOI N.9 probably emerged in August 2020 and has spread across different Brazilian states from the Southeast, South, North, and Northeast regions.

DJ-So after P1 and P2 Brazil now also has a N9 variant...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914405-viruses-household-cases-suggest-that-cats-belonging-to-owners-with-covid-19-have-a-limited-role-in-virus-transmission[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914405-viruses-household-cases-suggest-that-cats-belonging-to-owners-with-covid-19-have-a-limited-role-in-virus-transmission ;Although cats are, among other domestic animals, susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection, little is known about their epidemiological role in the dynamics of a household infection. In this study, we monitored five cats for viral shedding daily. Each cat was confined with its COVID-19 positive owners in separate households. Low loads of viral nucleic acid were found in two cats, but only one developed anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, which suggests that cats have a limited role in COVID-19 epidemiology.

DJ; "A limited role" is a role...cats can spread the virus (but limited...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/914402-biomedicines-genetic-diversity-of-sars-cov-2-over-a-one-year-period-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-a-global-perspective[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/914402-biomedicines-genetic-diversity-of-sars-cov-2-over-a-one-year-period-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-a-global-perspective ;Genome surveillance is a key method to track the spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants. Genetic diversity and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 were analyzed based on 260,673 whole-genome sequences, which were sampled from 62 countries between 24 December 2019 and 12 January 2021. We found that amino acid (AA) substitutions were observed in all SARS-CoV-2 proteins, and the top six proteins with the highest substitution rates were ORF10, nucleocapsid, ORF3a, spike glycoprotein, RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, and ORF8. Among 25,629 amino acid substitutions at 8484 polymorphic sites across the coding region of the SARS-CoV-2 genome, the D614G (93.88%) variant in spike and the P323L (93.74%) variant in RNA-dependent RNA polymerase were the dominant variants on six continents. As of January 2021, the genomic sequences of SARS-CoV-2 could be divided into at least 12 different clades. Distributions of SARS-CoV-2 clades were featured with temporal and geographical dynamics on six continents. Overall, this large-scale analysis provides a detailed mapping of SARS-CoV-2 variants in different geographic areas at different time points, highlighting the importance of evaluating highly prevalent variants in the development of SARS-CoV-2 antiviral drugs and vaccines.

DJ-At least 12 "variants" during this pandemic so far till 12 january '21.

-Dr. John Campbell had TWO video's [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQdKsLZjmaQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQdKsLZjmaQ An interview with Dr. Nair from India...Dr.J.C. did put his questions under the video...the answers are in the video...(There is a third video of the interview itself-but Dr.J.C. made a summery-also because of sound quality...) A.o. discussion on Ivermectin. Some points;

Diabetes is a major issue; steroids push up the bloodsugar...so increase of insulin needed

Ivermectin, antibiotics often used. Ivermectin stops viral infection, antibiotics stop bacterial infections..fungal infections also a problem

clotting major issue-lots of people with strokes

ICU capacity has run out-people have to wait 24/48 hrs before there is room-often they do not make it that long...

Oxygen also major issue, PCR-testing production going up in India (DJ-India now importing vaccins a.o. from Russia)

Outlook is cases going up till may 20-then slowly coming down till august-cases not peaked yet..

Public transport, no masks, NPI for economic reasons major drivers

Reinfections are an issue-also vaccines offer not as good protection as hoped

Up to 40% of cases end up in hospitals-In India people first try to heal themselves-go to hospitals if illness worsens (Poverty major issue...)

Dr.J.C. With this outlook world should do more to help India but also keep India/other variants under control.

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics India variants already widespread...again airtravel stopped AFTER the spread...


And the saterday update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVo0pVC9Swk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVo0pVC9Swk Some of his points under the video...in the UK people after vaccination (+two weeks +) should be protected against spreading the UK variant...still a risk for other variants...

Proberbly lots of info...I will watch them later on...

DJ-Music ! Crazy On You-Hearth 1977 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZjEC4WhCvg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZjEC4WhCvg (from Dutch TV-TopPop) More info on the (US-Canada)Hearth-history under the video.


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 02 2021 at 9:29pm

DJ,

I did see in latest news John L his post from Alberta/Canada on a shop refusing vaccinated people because they would be a health risk for pregnant employees...they want a "study"....If someone came up with the story that vaccination would cause "strawberry skin" 1 in 1 million times, increase the risk of humans turning into camels...demand a study...Kiwimum has the slogan "can 't fix stupid" and it is very sad to see she is right-even if "stupid will kill us all"....

Here in NL over 250,000 foreign workers-often in high risk jobs-are not in the population administration so they will not get vaccinated. The will to get vaccinated is above 70% in NL-but when children (under 12), some other groups (based on religion, anti-vaxers etc.) and these foreign workers all not get vaccinated it may get hard to get enough "herd immunity" via vaccination alone...some "natural immunity" still would need to increase to get to herd immunity...Hospitals in NL (and many other places) are still in crisis mode-ICU beds almost all gone, (occupied), staff exhausted since the crisis in hospitals did start in october...

Most of all the India-variants are a major risk-also for vaccinated people. They may get less ill but still spread the virus. Vaccination may have stopped almost the "milder variants" (vaccine selection proces)..giving room for variants that manage better to evade vaccine (or natural) immunity.

It would be "very welcome" if this pandemic would be over this summer-but it is not realistic...Dr. John Campbell had an interview with Dr. Nair from India-the expectation in India is an increase of cases till may 20-then slow decrease till august...with fears for reinfections due to further mutations/variants and lack of NPI...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show a lot less testing during the weekend...Some "politicians" would use those statistics to claim their policies work...The "good news" is we still did not get over the 1 million new cases per day ! (At least being tested/reported) In general lots of countries see an effect of a combination of NPI, vaccines and natural immunity...but sequencing still is very limited. We may be missing an increase of newer variants...

In my (DJ) view with the reopenings, increase of air travel etc. we may be close-still-to creating wave 4. Those in charge seem unable to understand how this pandemic works-using every opening the virus has to start yet another wave...Do not give variants room...

A mix of bad choices is resulting in measures that do a lot of economic harm while also not doing enough to stop this pandemic. Virusses do not make political compromises...they just want to reproduce in hosts as long as they can...making mistakes in that proces=mutations...only a few of those mutations are harmfull. The problem remains in the high numbers..that is how new variants-with enough "bad" mutations-get a chance...

-Flutrackers (and some other links)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914152-brazil-health-regulator-rejects-russia-s-sputnik-vaccine-presence-of-the-adenovirus-that-could-reproduce?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914152-brazil-health-regulator-rejects-russia-s-sputnik-vaccine-presence-of-the-adenovirus-that-could-reproduce?view=stream ; (latest activity) Combatting malign influences in the Americas: OGA used diplomatic relations in the Americas region to mitigate efforts by states, including Cuba, Venezuela, and Russia, who are working to increase their influence in the region to the detriment of US safety and security. OGA coordinated with other U.S. government agencies to strengthen diplomatic ties and offer technical and humanitarian assistance to dissuade countries in the region from accepting aid from these ill- intentioned states. Examples include using OGA’s Health Attaché office to persuade Brazil to reject the Russian COVID-19 vaccine, and offering CDC technical assistance in lieu of Panama accepting an offer of Cuban doctors. ...

DJ-Mixing cold war insanity with this pandemic (plus economics-US big pharma making zillions of profit on vaccines, medication via this pandemic) is criminal insane..See also [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/bezos-blog-and-nato-lobby-stir-more-anti-chinese-sentiment.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/bezos-blog-and-nato-lobby-stir-more-anti-chinese-sentiment.html DJ-Some in the US keep claiming/blaming China for this pandemic...without any proof-and since they have no proof "China is hiding the proof" ...Dr. John Campbell has a new video about Italian blood samples from september 2019 showing Covid19 antibodies...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i195K2vYfnY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i195K2vYfnY .

DJ-There may be more credit for the Chinese claim the virus got imported. Deep frozen samples of the virus still are able to spread disease after defrost studies find..."blaming China" is more "politics" then facts..On the adenovirus-vector:A crucial issue was the presence in the vaccine of the adenovirus that could reproduce, a "serious" defect, according to Anvisa's medicines and biological products manager Gustavo Mendes. ...
The ctvnews article does not elaborate on how Anvisa came to this conclusion which seems odd as this is supposed to be a replication incompetent Ad vector. Has anyone seen any evidence that it is not? Millions of doses have now been administered if it was reproducing it should be easy enough to find adenovirus in someone who had been given it.

DJ Using (dead/weakened/foreign-monkey) adeno virus as a means of transport-vector-is an old often used way in vaccines. Now claiming the Russian adeno virus is a risk is "non-sense" , criminal ...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream latest activity; Like its close relative Covid-19, Sars had many of the necessary qualities for world domination – it was an RNA virus, meaning it was able to evolve rapidly, and it was spread through droplets expelled when breathing, which are hard to avoid. At the time, many experts were concerned that the virus could cause devastation on the same level as the HIV crisis, or even the 1918 flu pandemic, which infected a third of the world’s population and killed 50 million.

Instead, Sars disappeared as abruptly as it arrived.
...
Unfortunately this situation is extremely unusual. Other than Sars, only two other viruses have ever been driven to extinction on purpose – smallpox and rinderpest, which affects cattle. “It’s not trivial. It’s really very difficult when you have a virus that’s well adapted,” says Stanley Perlman, a microbiologist at the University of Iowa.
...
“Sars went away because there's no other obvious host,” says Perlman. Sars is thought to have made the leap to humans via a palm civet, a tree-dwelling jungle mammal that’s considered a delicacy in China. Perlman points out that the virus couldn’t just retreat back to this species, because they aren’t commonly infected – the individual animal that gave it to a human was probably one of very few which were infected, and may have caught it directly from a bat.

The same cannot be said for Covid-19... “With Covid-19, the reservoir is now us,” says Perlman. In fact, it’s become so much of a human virus that scientists have begun to wonder if it will spread the other way around – from humans to wildlife, in a kind of “reverse spillover”, if you will. This would make it even harder to stamp out.

This brings us to another possible scenario, which involves viruses that exist continuously in people. While they may well be with our species forever, it turns out individual lineages of virus vanish remarkably regularly.

DJ-Till 1900 infectious diseases were a main cause of death for many...Sewage, clean water, better housing, food, education, healthcare made a difference. DJ-Let me make that political-more government interventions made the difference...Neo-liberal extremism is resulting in increased poverty-with an increase of infectious diseases, pandemics as the outcome...Blind capitalism kills ! We have had a balance between "market" and "government" in many places in the 20th century...that balance is gone...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914515-malaysia-finds-first-case-of-indian-variant[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914515-malaysia-finds-first-case-of-indian-variant ;Malaysia has detected its first case of a highly infectious coronavirus variant first identified in India, Health Minister Adham Baba said on Sunday, days after imposing a ban on flights from India.

The variant, named B.1.617, was detected in an Indian national screened at the Kuala Lumpur International Airport, he said.

DJ-South Asia is seeing an increase of cases. Often sequencing/testing is not good. But Vietnam is testing 5% of the samples, the US just 1%...(Dr.J.C.)..In India Maharashtra/Mumbai is a center for India variants, New Delhi more the UK variant...but the Phillipines P3 variant may be spread via the Indian Ocean to the SE Asia region...A mix of variants will result in newer variants...

The Indonesian vaccination strategy-vaccinating the most social active persons-most likely to spread the virus-can show to be a wise decission. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/immunity-aa/914502-life-basel-previous-humoral-immunity-to-the-endemic-seasonal-alphacoronaviruses-nl63-and-229e-is-associated-with-worse-clinical-outcome-in-covid-19-and-suggests-original-antigenic-sin[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/immunity-aa/914502-life-basel-previous-humoral-immunity-to-the-endemic-seasonal-alphacoronaviruses-nl63-and-229e-is-associated-with-worse-clinical-outcome-in-covid-19-and-suggests-original-antigenic-sinAntibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS CoV-2) infection has been hypothesized. However, to date, there has been no in vitro or in vivo evidence supporting this. Cross-reactivity exists between SARS CoV-2 and other Coronaviridae for both cellular and humoral immunity. We show here that IgG against nucleocapsid protein of alphacoronavirus NL63 and 229E correlate with the World Health Organization's (WHO) clinical severity score ? 5 (incidence rate ratios was 1.87 and 1.80, respectively, and 1.94 for the combination). These laboratory findings suggest possible ADE of SARS CoV-2 infection by previous alphacoronavirus immunity.

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement :Antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE), sometimes less precisely called immune enhancement or disease enhancement, is a phenomenon in which binding of a virus to suboptimal antibodies enhances its entry into host cells, followed by its replication.

So earlier infection with other corona (cold) virus may offer a "key" for some of the new variants of Covid19 to evade immunity...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream (latest activity);As The Indian Express reported today, predominantly rural districts in Bihar have seen a nine/ten-fold increase in case count as compared to the count during the peak last year.

DJ-Covid 19 now spreading in rural area's-with even less healthcare...(or testing/reporting-so the gap between reported cases and reality gets even wider...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/914504-vaccines-basel-dissolvable-microneedle-patches-to-enable-increased-access-to-vaccines-against-sars-cov-2-and-future-pandemic-outbreaks[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/914504-vaccines-basel-dissolvable-microneedle-patches-to-enable-increased-access-to-vaccines-against-sars-cov-2-and-future-pandemic-outbreaks ;Dissolvable microneedle patches are advantageous for many possible reasons: improved immunogenicity; dose-sparing effects; expected low manufacturing cost; elimination of sharps; reduction of vaccine wastage; no need for reconstitution; simplified supply chain, with reduction of cold chain supply through increased thermostability; ease of use, reducing the need for healthcare providers; and greater acceptability compared to traditional hypodermic injections. When applied to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and future pandemic outbreaks, microneedle patches have great potential to improve vaccination globally and save many lives.

DJ-Micro needle patches are THE way for mass vaccinations...you can send them by mail...people can put on the patches-and so vaccinate themselves...

Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i195K2vYfnY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i195K2vYfnY on Covid19 antibodies in Italian blood samples from early september 2019. Some of the info under the video; Unexpected very early circulation of SARS-CoV-2 among asymptomatic individuals in Italy  First IgM detected 3rd September.  

Infection more widespread than believed Therefore an overestimation of the mortality rate 

Since November to December 2019 Many general practitioners began reporting severe respiratory symptoms in elderly and frail people

Attributed to aggressive forms of seasonal influenza.

France Paris, December 2019 Patient hospitalized for hemoptysis Stored nasopharyngeal swab confirmed the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

DJ-There are different ways of looking at stories of early Covid19 outside China...one way is to claim China did hide info about the outbreak for months...or at least a faillure to detect in time it was a new virus spreading disease being a global risk...

China itself is claiming they may have imported the virus via frozen food. DJ-Nepal UN peacekeepers did get mail from their country that started the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010s_Haiti_cholera_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010s_Haiti_cholera_outbreak ;A separate study published in December in the New England Journal of Medicine presented DNA sequence data for the Haitian cholera isolate, finding that it was most closely related to a cholera strain found in Bangladesh in 2002 and 2008. It was more distantly related to existing South American strains of cholera, the authors reported, adding that "the Haitian epidemic is probably the result of the introduction, through human activity, of a V. cholerae strain from a distant geographic source."[31]

DJ In may not be liked by "the west" that several European countries did find evidence of Covid19 before China started reporting their cases. I believe it was Barcelona sewage samples of march 2019 as being one of the earlier signs...One other idea may be that Covid19 did start at several places around the same time-just like H5/H7 bird flu did spread to humans a few months ago in Russia and Nigeria...proberbly NOT linked...

It would be very welcome if "politics" and "embedded media" would be kept away from research on how this pandemic started and exploded..

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/i-am-at-the-bugout-location-using-satellite-uplink[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/i-am-at-the-bugout-location-using-satellite-uplink 

DJ-Maybe Hal Turner is overeacting ? Point is after NApoleon, the NAzi's now NAto is moving east. Including Ukraine, Georgia, Azarbaijan in NATO in any form is unacceptable for Russia(ns)...NATO is now privatizing the Afghan war...more or less did get kicked out of Pakistan. De facto Israel, many royal arab dictatorships are "defending democrazy and oil"...via NATO integration without being a NATO member...Due to cooperation with IS, alquaeda and other jihadi extremists, neo-nazi's in Ukraine-and given the support NATO did give to fascist dictators in Portugal, Turkey etc. the right name for NATO is North Atlantic Terrorist Organization...

There are more then enough military that hate the role NATO is playing..it may have been the military that saved us from a nuclear end of the world. There is NO excuse at all for destroying this planet via nuclear war ! (Just as greed is not an excuse for climate change...we can blame politics but we have our own choices and responsibility..)

In this pandemic basicly WE decide how things go...do we realy think flying is a good idea, need a car in the city, need the newest mobile phones...Politicians are humans bound to make mistakes...

Music-Are You Ready ? Barbara Mason [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PNHGlowwHF8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PNHGlowwHF8 A 1965 number-I was looking for another number-but there are that many numbers with "Are You ready"...old clip-over 50 years ago...


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 03 2021 at 10:36pm

DJ

Where are we now in this pandemic ? In South Asia, Latin America there is a very serious problem-with high number of people dying from Covid19 variants...In the US, most of Europe, Canada there are-in many regions-decreasing cases-but hospitals are still in a very serious crisis often with ICU at max capacity. 

Since India, Brazil variants are widespread there is a very serious risk of a 4th wave if reopenings go to fast, people ignore restrictions. Sequencing of samples still is "far from perfect" so we may not be able to get a good view on how new variants are spreading. 

Here in NL there is a claim 30% of the people have antibodies=+10% in one month. Young people did get natural immunity via infection. Older people via vaccination. The group now most at risk is the 40-60 y/o. 

Statistics give only a limited insight in where we are in this pandemic...immunity and India-high numbers give an unclear picture...still [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for monday may 3 relative high numbers-reflecting sunday testing. 

Maybe the top 10 in new cases gives some info-at #1 is India with 355,828 new cases out of a total of 669,689 total global reported cases. So the India number is over 55% of the total global number-but still most likely a very serious underreporting...The US is at #2, Brazil at #3 both also underreporting-less testing on sundays 39k/36K+...#4 is Turkey-with strict lockdown (but not for tourists...) still almost 25k (k=kilo=thousend). Iran, Argentina, Colombia nrs 5,6 and 7...Germany and NL are at nrs 8 and 9...NL (NetherLands) is relative small in population-should not be in a top 10 for new cases...the official story is the over 9000 new reported cases include corrections on earlier numbers that did not make it into the statistics due to "technical problems" DJ-We have "lots of technical problems in reporting positive tests for a small country...) at #10 is Canada-with lots of variants widespread...

In total reported cases from all of this pandemic the US is still at #1 with over 33 million reported cases=almost 10% of the US population ! At #2 but going up high speed is India with over 20 million reported cases-but for over a week daily increases of over 300.000...(and most cases not being tested). Brazil is at #3 with almost 15 million cases being reported...

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902969-alberta-canada-2021-covid-cases?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902969-alberta-canada-2021-covid-cases?view=stream ;Premier Jason Kenney pleaded for Albertans to follow the COVID-19 public health restrictions in place as the province reported 2,012 new cases on Monday, including 1,900 variant infections.

There are now 23,608 active cases of COVID-19 in Alberta – the highest amount of total infections in the province throughout the pandemic.

Dr. Deena Hinshaw, Alberta's chief medical officer of health, said the province completed about 15,000 tests Monday, bringing the positivity rate to 13.2 per cent – another pandemic high.

There are now 658 Albertans in hospital, an increase from 648 on Sunday. ICU admissions were at 154 people in the province...

DJ-A look at [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics indicate 77 India B.1.617 variant cases in Canada, and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics shows the Brazil P1 variant 4538 cases in Canada-alomost 1 in 3 global P1 findings are in Canada...and that is a lot ! The India/Brazil wikipedia statistics (based on science...) give also some insight for other countries;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914574-it%E2%80%99s-not-just-india-new-virus-waves-deluge-developing-countries-may-3-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914574-it%E2%80%99s-not-just-india-new-virus-waves-deluge-developing-countries-may-3-2021 DJ The article mentions most South Asia countries seeing India variants..(it also mentions extreme increase in percentages that are basicly non-sense...If a country did not report a case in week 1 then reports 2 cases in week 2 "it is an increase of 200%"...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914571-cidrap-us-sees-covid-19-cases-decline-travel-increase[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914571-cidrap-us-sees-covid-19-cases-decline-travel-increase ;Americans, who have avoided travel for the past 14 months, are once again on the move. The United States Transportation Security Administration (TSA) said it screened more than 1.62 million people at US airports yesterday, the most since the beginning of the pandemic,

-

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) tracker, 31.8% of Americans are fully vaccinated against COVID-19, and 44% have received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine. But daily vaccination administration rates have dropped to 2.42 million per day, down from a high of 3.38 million on Apr 13.
States in the Northeast have the highest proportion of residents vaccinated: New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Vermont, Connecticut, and Maine all have 55% or more of their population with at least one shot. Southern states, including Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi, have the lowest vacation rates, with 31% to 33% of the population vaccinated.
The slowdown in daily vaccination rates and the unevenness across the country have led some experts to conclude that the United States will fail to reach herd immunity, achieved only when at least 70% to 80% of the population is immune to the virus.
If herd immunity is not reached, virus variants and susceptible people will still cause the disease to spread at low levels throughout the population. Current polls show 30% of Americans say they will not get vaccinated.

DJ-Poor countries/regions see much less vaccinations-while the population is more at risk for getting Covid19...It is beyond stupid to go back to lots of (international) air travel !!!! In the above statistics the US has over 200 India variant cases-with just 1% of cases sequenced (Vietnam has 5% sequencing !!!) and 3879 P1-Brazil variants...The US is still far from herd immunity, new variants evade at least more immunity (vaccine or natural) so the US is doing all it can to make newer variants again a global problem...YOU NEED NPI !!!! Also from the link :

  • Data from the CDC suggest Walgreens and CVS, the two pharmacy chains that are an integral part of the US COVID-19 vaccination campaign, have wasted more vaccine doses than states, US territories, and federal agencies combined, Kaiser Health News The CDC recorded 182,874 wasted doses as of late March, 60% of them Pfizer.

DJ-  

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914570-nunavut-capital-declares-local-state-of-emergency-as-covid-19-cases-rise[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914570-nunavut-capital-declares-local-state-of-emergency-as-covid-19-cases-rise ;Iqaluit reported its first case of COVID-19 on April 14, but the territory’s chief public health officer has said the virus is likely to already have been in the city a week before that.

Dr. Michael Patterson says the variant first identified in the United Kingdom is the only strain of the COVID-19 virus circulating in the territory.

Last week, health officials also confirmed COVID-19 cases in Iqaluit’s jails and medical boarding home.

DJ-In the Arctic vitamin D is a problem, not a lot of healthcare available..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914564-cidrap-covid-19-scan-covid-vaccines-variants-b1351-variant-clusters-in-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914564-cidrap-covid-19-scan-covid-vaccines-variants-b1351-variant-clusters-in-usIn January and February, the Maryland Department of Health (MDH) reported a 17-person outbreak in which all four sequenced viruses were related strains of B1351, the variant first identified in South Africa. The cases mark the state's first instance of non-travel–associated B1351, according to the Mortality & Morbidity Weekly Report late last week.
The outbreak consisted of two clusters and resulted in two hospitalizations and one death. According to investigators, the source patient was employed at an organization that had been reported through an anonymous tip line regarding COVID-19 safety concerns as several of the seven employees appeared to be in the workplace despite symptoms. Six of the employees, including the source patient, and five of their close contacts eventually received positive COVID-19 results.
Before the source patient had been diagnosed as having COVID, however, he or she went to an indoor, hours-long social gathering where masks were removed to eat. The six other people at the gathering tested positive for COVID 3 to 13 days after, but none of their close contacts were diagnosed as having the virus. (One of the people at the gathering was MDH's original index case.)
Of the total 17 outbreak patients, 1 had been diagnosed as having COVID 5 months prior, and 2 had received the first dose of a two-dose COVID-19 vaccination 2 weeks before the likely exposure. None said they had contact with anyone connected with international travel. Viruses were sequenced from a close contact of the work cluster and three people from the indoor gathering.
"These first identified linked clusters of B.1.351 infections in the United States with no apparent link to international travel highlight the importance of expanding the scope and volume of genetic surveillance programs to identify variants, completing contact investigations for SARS-CoV-2 infections, and using universal prevention strategies, including vaccination, masking, and physical distancing, to control the spread of variants of concern," write the authors.

DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Statistics The US has almost a 1000 of SA variant cases reported...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Vaccine_evasion[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Vaccine_evasion 

Vaccinations are not going fast enough. People that did get vaccinated also managed to get infected...the virus-variants are developing towards vaccine resistance...meaning people/hosts are likely to get Covid-variants over and over again without (present) vaccines stopping it...(I am not an expert, hope I am wrong etc...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914540-preprint-n440k-variant-of-sars-cov-2-has-higher-infectious-fitness[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914540-preprint-n440k-variant-of-sars-cov-2-has-higher-infectious-fitness ;From Kerala 2032 samples (from all 14 districts) have been sequenced. The N440K variant that is associated with immune escape has been found in 123 samples from 11 districts. This variant was earlier found in 33% of samples from Andhra Pradesh, and in 53 of 104 samples from Telangana. This variant has also been reported from 16 other countries including UK, Denmark, Singapore, Japan and Australia. As of now these can be at best said to be variant under investigation.

DJ-It is unclear what role several variants/mutations play in the several regions in India. Sequencing is almost not there..."immune escape" linked to N440K mutations indicate reinfections are people still getting ill after vaccination (if they only had mild/no symptoms they would not see testing at all in India-testing is far overstretched..)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/mali/912859-mali-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-backyard-birds-and-farms-oie-april-15-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/mali/912859-mali-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-backyard-birds-and-farms-oie-april-15-2021 DJ-Just as a reminder H5/H7 bird flu jumping all over the globe...Canada reported rare swine-flu H1N1/H1N2 cases in humans...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914581-four-fully-vaccinated-people-with-underlying-high-risk-health-conditions-have-died-of-covid-19-in-dallas-county[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914581-four-fully-vaccinated-people-with-underlying-high-risk-health-conditions-have-died-of-covid-19-in-dallas-county ; Four Fully Vaccinated People With Underlying High-Risk Health Conditions Have Died of COVID-19 In Dallas County The four vaccine breakthrough deaths all had underlying high-risk health conditions

DJ 1.Vaccinations offer over 90% protection against the old variants-2.In the US newer variants are very widespread and most likely increasing. 3.These new variants are much more likely to evade vaccinations 4. The US is reopening because less then 50% of the US population did get vaccinated...very unwise...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIIylMJV7wQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIIylMJV7wQ 

Some of the info from under the video; Nevada, 7 cases of India variant, B.1.617 Washoe County residents, did not appear to have travelled Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, B.1.617 not listed as VOI or VOC 

-

Cambodia Population, 15 million Worst outbreak so far All linked to B.1.1.7

-

Longitudinal analysis shows durable and broad immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection with persisting antibody responses and memory B and T cells

DJ-I think comparing the 2003 SARS-1 outbreak-very limited with the present SARS-2 may give a false picture. We now are dealing with over a billion cases, millions of infections in non human hosts-most undetected. Lots of variants...Both SARS-1 and MERS never got this extreme...Countries like Brazil, India report reinfections and vaccine evasion...those reports are not reports on incidents but may reflect a growing problem ! Vaccines may help to limit damage-for now, if you are "lucky" but NPI is the only way out...

Another point I disagree with the Doctor-and he is the expert !-I am not !-is the China link. If China claims they imported the virus in deep frozen food products it at least is worth looking at...[url]https://www.dailysabah.com/world/europe/covid-19-sample-from-months-before-1st-outbreak-in-wuhan-found-in-barcelona-wastewater[/url] or https://www.dailysabah.com/world/europe/covid-19-sample-from-months-before-1st-outbreak-in-wuhan-found-in-barcelona-wastewater  In a sample of Barcelona Catalunya/Spain wastewater from march 12-2019 there were traces of Covid19-virus. 

It may be this pandemic did NOT start in China or Asia ! "Political "reasons blaming China may stand in the way of finding out what happened where when...

Music ; Linkin Park-In The End [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVTXPUF4Oz4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVTXPUF4Oz4 

I tried so hard And got so far But in the end It doesn't even matter I had to fall To lose it all But in the end It doesn't even matter



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 04 2021 at 10:31pm

DJ (Internet problems...)

-Statistics can be a way to get some perspective on where this pandemic is going. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table today is showing a global decrease for the last week of 3%. India is a major larger country showing an increase- here it is 12%. Brazil now showing an increase of 5%. Even Russia now showing a decrease of -0,8%...In smaller countries Nepal did see an increase of 112%-a doubling of cases from 20,000 to over 43,000 in one week-on a population of just under 30 million. Most likely related to India variants in Nepal. Japan did see an increase of 8%...with the Olympics coming..Malaysia +17%, Ecuador +12%, Costa Rica +32%...

The variants-statistics do not get updated every day. India variant [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics Brazil P1 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics and South Africa variant [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Statistics The statistics already show these variants to be widespread...with most cases not being sequenced-we basicly have no radar to detect enough of new developments...

The India numbers may be over testing capacity...what is the point of testing when all hospitals are out of beds...In Africa testing itself is a major problem-resulting in low numbers that mean not much...

There is every reason to be carefull-stop spreading variants...but we are not. Most hospitals are in crisis worldwide..with an increase of younger patients. The older age group did get vaccinated/protected...but very likely variants can do more damage in younger people...Another major question is how good/long vaccinations offer protection. The UK, Israel may provide good info...The US does not have enough people vaccinated-and is not likely to get there...so how will a mix of limited vaccine/natural immunity, very limited NPI restrictions work out with increase of variants..

Flutrackers (just a small selection...) 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914672-group-presses-new-mexico-to-reconsider-student-mask-wearing-policy-especially-athletes-after-student-runner-passes-out-couldn-t-stand-for-over-half-an-hour[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914672-group-presses-new-mexico-to-reconsider-student-mask-wearing-policy-especially-athletes-after-student-runner-passes-out-couldn-t-stand-for-over-half-an-hour DJ-Maybe not run ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-emerging-diseases-and-other-health-threats/914666-6-more-%E2%80%98mysterious%E2%80%99-fatalities-in-rohtak-village-after-22-in-7-days[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-emerging-diseases-and-other-health-threats/914666-6-more-%E2%80%98mysterious%E2%80%99-fatalities-in-rohtak-village-after-22-in-7-days and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-emerging-diseases-and-other-health-threats/914667-new-disease-after-mysterious-deaths-in-nashik-5-people-died-after-chest-pain[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-emerging-diseases-and-other-health-threats/914667-new-disease-after-mysterious-deaths-in-nashik-5-people-died-after-chest-pain DJ-Is India seeing another form of Covid infection showing up ? There are stories from a.o. Iran, Israel of hearthfaillure due to Covidinfection...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914660-cidrap-biden-s-new-covid-19-goal-70-vaccinated-by-july-4[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914660-cidrap-biden-s-new-covid-19-goal-70-vaccinated-by-july-4 DJ-Many questions-not only for the US; 1-Should vaccinations be mandatory ? DJ-NO ! I myself hate to see a need to get a vaccine ! I rather see governments stop spreading the virus via travel restrictions, do more to improve learning, working from home...but they keep failing here. I choose to get vaccinated to be at least somewhat better protected for the time being...2-Children 12+ not old enough for voting but do they get a chance to make their own choice ? Do parents make that choice ? 3-Vaccination passport apps...I do not want a "smartphone" by connecting vaccination with "smart phones" governments still are able to follow the vaccinated people when they use the passport...the "micro-chip vaccine nonsense " getting real via a vaccine passport...4-In the UK they are preparing for vaccination #3 this autumn/fall...vaccination #4 in 2022? Do vaccinations ever stop ? Is there an exit strategy ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914637-uae-scientists-inject-immune-camels-with-covid-19-in-search-of-clues-to-beat-the-pandemic[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914637-uae-scientists-inject-immune-camels-with-covid-19-in-search-of-clues-to-beat-the-pandemic ;A group of scientists from the United Arab Emirates have injected camels with dead samples of Covid-19, hoping that the antibodies produced by the animals – which are immune to the virus – can someday be used to cure humans. The head of the UAE’s Central Veterinary Research Laboratory, Dr. Ulrich Wernery, and his team have chosen dromedaries or one-humped camels for their experiments because they’re known to be immune to Covid-19 and its predecessor, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS). Unlike humans and some other animals, they simply lack a virus receptor, which the disease uses as a gateway into cells.

“MERS-CoV, [camels] can harbor but they don’t get sick. With Covid-19, the virus cannot attach to the camels’ mucosa cells of the respiratory tract as the receptor is absent or dull,” Wernery told Al Arabiya. “This makes it all very interesting. Besides humans, minks and cats – small and big, such as such tigers and lions – can get Covid-19 and can transmit the virus to other cats and to humans and vice versa. But not camels.”...

DJ-Interesting...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914618-trends-microbiol-bacterial-coinfections-in-coronavirus-disease-2019[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914618-trends-microbiol-bacterial-coinfections-in-coronavirus-disease-2019 ;The aim of this review was to identify the frequency and microbial etiologies of bacterial coinfections that are present upon admission to the hospital and that occur during hospitalization for COVID-19. We found that bacterial coinfections were present in <4% of patients upon admission and the yield of routine diagnostic tests for pneumonia was low. When bacterial coinfections did occur, Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Haemophilus influenzae were the most common pathogens and atypical bacteria were rare. Although uncommon upon admission, bacterial infections frequently occurred in patients with prolonged hospitalization, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Klebsiella spp., and S. aureus were common pathogens. Antibacterial therapy and diagnostic testing for bacterial infections are unnecessary upon admission in most patients hospitalized with COVID-19, but clinicians should be vigilant for nosocomial bacterial infections.

DJ Hospital hygiene=essential (but that is not new...) 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914609-eneurologicalsci-stroke-in-a-child-with-sars-cov-2-infection-a-case-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914609-eneurologicalsci-stroke-in-a-child-with-sars-cov-2-infection-a-case-report ;Some patients with COVID-19 show widely neurological manifestations including stroke. We report a child who was hospitalized due to seizures and was later diagnosed with COVID-19. Acute infarction was seen in the right putamen, globus pallidus, and the posterior part of the insula. A small focal dilatation within M1 segment of the left middle cerebral artery (MCA) was also observed. According to the present case report, COVID-19 infection may contribute to the occurrence and development of ischemic stroke.

DJ-Corona infections can cause inflamation all over the body-basicly in all age groups...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jw6zqt-s2Ck[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jw6zqt-s2Ck India increasing cases...some info from under the video....

Peak cases, 15th to 20th May Peak deaths, early June High level of cases until August Vaccine rollout All over 18s eligible 150 million doses given Fully vaccinated, 2%

Harishchandra and Manikarnika ghats, funeral pyres have been burning non-stop for past month Normally, 80 – 90 per day Now, 300 – 400 per day Spread to villages

private hospitals ask for a deposit of 200,000 rupees (£1,953; $2,705) to 500,000 rupees even before they look at a patient We have nowhere to go

If you tested everyone in my village of 2,700 people, at least half would be positive. So many people have cough, fever, pain in the lower back, weakness, loss of taste and smell gasping for breath Deaths in Aidhe not making it onto the official database 

DJ Very likely countries like Brazil, India, also Africa have run out of testing capacity...so the reported numbers may have a "limited link with reality"...

In general-if there are a lot of (wild)fires you do not ask people to wear heat protective, fire resistant clothing-you put the fire out...In a pandemic you try to stop the virus/variants...NOT ask people to get protection and let the virus spread...From the start of this pandemic I do not understand "herd immunity strategy" and going for Big Pharma costly "solutions" when there are more effective, cheaper alternatives...stopping the virus ! 

Music; The Zombies-She's Not There [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_2hXBf1DakE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_2hXBf1DakE 1965-Santana had a hit with it later on...


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2021 at 2:01am

You mentioned Nepal:

Recently an acquaintance from Nepal commented that Nepal has an open boarder with India, so they expect to be badly hit with this wave of the outbreak. 

If India has reached this limits of its testing, then Nepal might be a proxy for what is going on in the country to its self.   [So far the pro-capita rates for the two countries don't seem to be too out of line]

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2021 at 3:04am

Variants are spreading all over the place-India variant in south Asia-Nepal, Sri Lanka. Brazil variant in Latin America...[url]https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/focus/20210504-covid-19-south-african-variant-takes-devastating-toll-on-madagascar[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/focus/20210504-covid-19-south-african-variant-takes-devastating-toll-on-madagascar with the UK variant also still widespread and the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_P.3[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_P.3 from the Phillipines almost "off the radar"... On 30 April 2021, Malaysia detected 8 cases of P.3 variant in Sarawak.[137]But it must be in Indonesia as well...

DJ It is pretty hard to get a realistic picture on where we are-Dr. John Campbell also noticing increase of cases. in some regions..But one of many problems is for instance age-groups. In countries that do not have many 70+ y/o that group was not hit hard in real numbers...because they were already dead due to other causes..Only rich countries have a large population of 70y/o+. The virus/variants now are-worldwide-hitting (much) younger age groups. Also not all infections give lung problems...hearth, brain may also be effected...

There are lots of new variants but most of them-for now-stay regional because the main new variants are more infectious...for now. 

I think one of the biggest risks is this pandemic getting "under the radar" with limited testing (not very usefull if hospitals are full) and not enough sequencing. Opening up for tourism is repeating steps with very bad outcomes...

Every day we may be getting closer to resistent forms of Covid19 able to reinfect hosts over and over again...The vaccination strategy is good for "damage control" but has the risk of variant selection; stopping only milder variants...Again the only way out-in my (DJ) opinion is stopping virusspread and with that creation of new variants...and we are NOT doing that...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2021 at 8:27am

Is is the vaccine or a new variant?  But it shows the continuing need for NPI (as the main person on this thread keeps stressing).

Seychelles: "A third of the active cases involved people who had had two vaccine doses, "  https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-56992121

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2021 at 12:29pm

I don't imgine anyone knowing the answer to that yet, but I would give you very short odds it is a new variant of the virus.

How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 05 2021 at 9:55pm

Part 1

The Seychelles [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seychelles[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seychelles are not that far from [url]https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/focus/20210504-covid-19-south-african-variant-takes-devastating-toll-on-madagascar[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/focus/20210504-covid-19-south-african-variant-takes-devastating-toll-on-madagascar . It is quite likely the SA variant is spreading there. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.351#Statistics is not showing it in its list...also not in the India variant list [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics 

Of course the idea being promoted is vaccines/summer will save us/the economy...If new forms of new variants even further evade vaccine immunization the vaccine-summer strategy is wrong. It is very welcome the US is willing to lift patent rights so more vaccines can be produced...both the Pfizer and Moderna US vaccines are very expensive...production of vaccines is not an easy job...(high skilled workers, high tech, the right ingredients...)

Why I Still Count On New Strategy Of Now=W.I.S.C.O.N.S.O.N.   "the shore is stopping the ship" 

DJ-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ indicate India did increase testing capacity-resulting in 412,618 positive tests...but most cases very likely not being tested...Brazil over 75,000 new cases reported at #3 for new cases still the US with over 46,000 new cases and a large group of the population not willing to accept vaccines...Here in NL two groups jump out in not being vaccinated; poor urban area's (thanks to our conservative government growing fast) and orthodox religion area's. In the press they did not mention it-in poor urban area's there are a lot of orthodox muslim and christian groups...but we also have a [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bible_Belt_(Netherlands)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bible_Belt_(Netherlands) . 

The [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table shows a global decrease of tested/reported cases of 4%. Problem with that is a lot of cases are not tested therefor not reported...It is very likely some new variants may evade testing. In this list India still +11%, Brazil +3% both serious undercounts...Nepal showing an 105% increase, Sri Lanka +82%., Cambodia +30%..Japan +9%, Malaysia +15% The P1 variants causing problems in Ecuador +4%,Honduras +26%, Costa Rica +23%, Bolivia +20%...Alarming is an increase in South Africa of 15% is the SA variant developing into a new form ? In the Middle East Bahrain +16%, Egypt +11%...

In Europe Denmark +16%, Slovenia +23%, Ireland +2%, Estonia +4%...The Seychelles show up in this list with an increase of 108% in real numbers last week 440 cases, this week 917 cases on a population of 98,860-so almost 1% of the population testing positive in the last 7 days...Vietnam showing an increase of 166%-in real numbers 59 to 157 on a population of 98 million. Just like some other SE Asia countries they had this outbreak under control so far...

Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india ; Confirming the enhanced power of the virus, District COVID Special Officer and Principal of Andhra Medical College P.V. Sudhakar said,“We have observed that the new variant has shorter incubation period and the progress of the disease is much rapid. In the earlier cases, a patient affected with the virus would take at least a week to reach the hypoxia or dyspnea stage. But in the present context, patients are reaching the serious condition stage within three orfour days. And that is why there is heavy pressure on beds with oxygen orICU beds,” he said. Experts also point out that unlike during the first wave, a shorter exposure is enough to acquire the virus, which enables an infected person to infect fourto five persons, within a shorter contact span. “Most essentially, none is spared, as we have observed that it is affecting the younger population in a big way, including those who are fitness freaks and have high immunity levels. It is also observed that cytokine storm is occurring faster, and some are responding to treatment and some are not,” said Dr. Sudhakar.

-

On May 3, Indian-American infectious disease expert Rajendra Kapila (Rajendra Kapila) died after contracting the new crown virus in India. Since he had completed two injections of Pfizer's new coronavirus vaccine before going to India, the incident has attracted attention from the outside world.


According to a report on the website of the Hindustan Times on May 4, Dr. Kapila returned to India from the United States with his wife, Doctor of Microbiology, Deepti Saxena-Kapila at the end of March. Ghaziabad in Uttar Pradesh in order to take care of his elderly father-in-law.

He was supposed to fly back to the United States in the second week of April, but contracted the new crown virus and was admitted to the Shanti Mukund Hospital in Delhi, where he died soon afterwards.

Mrs. Capilla confirmed that Capilla had completed two injections of Pfizer’s new crown vaccine before departure.

She told the Hindustan Times: "For the past year, we have been working in a new coronavirus laboratory in New Jersey. We can ensure a safe and uninfected environment at home, but the irony is that we have just arrived in India for two weeks. , My husband passed away here."

DJ-The situation in India is very bad, vaccines not offering enough protection also here is alarming...but should not be unexpected. STS Stop The Spread

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914745-singapore-community-transmission-of-b-1-617-variant-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914745-singapore-community-transmission-of-b-1-617-variant-detected ;More concerning than the spread of these cases is the fact that they have been linked to overseas arrivals who have tested positive even after completing a mandatory two-week quarantine, suggesting the presence of COVID-19 strains with longer incubation periods. Among these were a Vietnamese man returning from Japan and a group of Chinese nationals.

According to Vietnamese media reports, the most recent case involved an Indian national who tested positive for an infectious new strain of the coronavirus after arriving in the country and completing a two-week quarantine in the northern city of Hai Phong, during which time he tested negative twice.

The government has responded by ordering that those currently in 14-day quarantine must remain in isolation after their period of confinement ends. The government has also announced that the mandatory quarantine period will be extended by a length to be determined in the coming days.

Two things come to mind here: Test which no longer work due to a new variant -OR- a longer incubation period due to a new variant. Both are bad

DJ-STS The India variant is already all over the place, may evade testing, be more infectious, evade vaccine/natural immunity...do we need "evidence" for every case or country to wake up ? This is a downward spiral towards resistent variants infecting hosts over and over again...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914754-vietnam-three-covid-19-community-transmissions-carry-indian-double-mutant-strain[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914754-vietnam-three-covid-19-community-transmissions-carry-indian-double-mutant-strain ;Three Covid-19 patients in northern Vietnam have been infected with an Indian mutant of the novel coronavirus, marking the nation's first community transmissions with this strain.

The patients in Vinh Phuc Province contracted the virus from a group of Chinese experts over the weekend. The virus has been identified as the B.1.167 variant, a "double mutant" strain.

This marks the second time that the B.1.167 strain has been found in Vietnam but the first among community transmissions.

-

The three patients in Vinh Phuc with the Indian virus strain are among six female staff of a bar who contracted the virus after coming into close contact with five Chinese male experts.

The experts had arrived in Vietnam early April and had also been quarantined at the Nhu Nguyet 2 hotel from April 9-23, during which time they tested negative thrice.

After completing their quarantine, the men began working at the Trung Bac A Company in the province and continued to have their health monitored for 14 days at another hotel by local medical staff.

However, the experts left their hotel and visited many localities in northern Vietnam from April 23 to 25. On April 28, they returned to China through the Huu Nghi border gate in Lang Son Province. Four of them have since been confirmed positive for the virus by Chinese authorities.

-

More concerning than the spread of these cases is the fact that they have been linked to overseas arrivals who have tested positive even after completing a mandatory two-week quarantine, suggesting the presence of COVID-19 strains with longer incubation periods. Among these were a Vietnamese man returning from Japan and a group of Chinese nationals.

According to Vietnamese media reports, the most recent case involved an Indian national who tested positive for an infectious new strain of the coronavirus after arriving in the country and completing a two-week quarantine in the northern city of Hai Phong, during which time he tested negative twice.

DJ.....Testing negative for the virus several times then spread the virus 2 weeks after arrival...When will the EU/US go for 3 week quarantine ? When will international travel stop ? Stop The Spread !!!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914766-cidrap-us-backs-waiving-covid-vaccine-property-rights[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914766-cidrap-us-backs-waiving-covid-vaccine-property-rights DJ-A bit late for that...again vaccines are for damage control but you have to stop the spread of the virus/variants...There is little point in mass vaccinations if you still keep large scale spreading of virus-variants that are developing towards vaccine escape/evation...is there a basic strategy ? Also from the link: CDC identifies variants from California, New York City

Today the CDC described in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report the emergence of two variants of COVID-19 that originated in the United States, one from New York, and two from California. The data shows the importance of genomic sequencing, and provides evidence of how quickly the variants can circulate in a population.
In Colorado, state public health officials have tracked the emergence of two variants—B.1.427/B.1.429, a lineage first identified in California—from 3% to 4% of sequenced viruses in late January to 20% to 22% in early March.
Ninety-one percent of the Colorado cases with that lineage were symptomatic, and 8 deaths have been associated with that variant in Colorado.
In New York City, variant B.1.526 emerged as a variant of interest in November of 2020. Though the possibility of that strain causing reinfections first alarmed health officials, preliminary evidence suggests that the variant does not lead to more severe disease or increased risk for infection after vaccination.
"By April 5, the B.1.526 variant accounted for 40% of all viruses sequenced by two major laboratories from a relatively representative sample of NYC COVID-19 cases," the authors wrote. "Although the proportional increase in B.1.526 infections suggests that this variant might be more transmissible than other SARS-CoV-2 variants, the secondary attack rate was not higher."

DJ...of course "reinfection is not a problem because it only brings mild disease"....    The point with reinfection is evading immunity...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914763-cidrap-red-cross-sounds-alarm-over-nepal-s-covid-19-crisis[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914763-cidrap-red-cross-sounds-alarm-over-nepal-s-covid-19-crisis ; "Nepal is recording 57 times more cases than this time last month," IFRC said, adding that the country's test positivity rate was 44% last weekend, a sign that thousands of infections are undiagnosed and prompting fears of mass deaths if virus spread isn't stopped.

-

Modeling projections from epidemiologists at the Indian Institute of Science suggest that India could have more than 403,000 deaths and more than 50 million cases by Jun 11, according to CNN. If cases continue at that pace, India's case total, but not deaths, could pass the United States' numbers.
India is seeing fewer B117 variant cases but more caused by the local variant, B1617, the head of the country's National Centre for Disease Control told Reuters.
Goa state, a popular tourist destination on the country's western coast, has one of India's highest test positivity rates, with one in two people testing positive for COVID in recent weeks, government officials told Reuters.

-

  • The Seychelles health ministry is reporting a worrying rise in cases, though more than 60% of its population has been vaccinated, according to the BBC, which said a third of the recent cases involved people who had received two vaccine doses. In January, the country began using doses of China's Sinopharm vaccine, donated by the United Arab Emirates.

DJ-I think we may not have the capacity to stop this crisis, maybe contain it...Of course sending oxygen, PPE, medication etc is good. But be realistic...All efforts should be in limiting the spread...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914762-cidrap-stewardship-resistance-scan-world-hand-hygiene-day-bacterial-fungal-coinfections-in-covid-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914762-cidrap-stewardship-resistance-scan-world-hand-hygiene-day-bacterial-fungal-coinfections-in-covid-patients ;A study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in New York during the first wave of the pandemic found that 17% had bacterial or fungal coinfections, and that antibiotic-resistant bacteria were increasingly isolated from patients with prolonged hospital stays, researchers reported today in Open Forum Infectious Diseases.
In the study, researchers from New York-Presbyterian Hospital/Columbia University Irving Medical Center examined data on COVID-19 patients who were hospitalized for more than 24 hours from Mar 2, 2020, through May 21, 2020, including culture and susceptibility results from all body sources. Microbiologically confirmed bacterial and fungal pathogens from clinical cultures were evaluated to characterize community- and healthcare-associated infections and describe temporal changes in predominant organisms and antibiotic resistance.
Of the 3,028 COVID-19 patients admitted during the study period, 516 (17%) had positive cultures. Community-associated infections (identified within 72 hours of admission) were identified in 183 patients (6%), and healthcare-associated infections were identified in 350 patients (12%), with the median onset of hospital infection on day 16.

DJ-Bacterial and fungal) co-infections are a growing problem...since hospitals have been at max. capacity often since october 2020 keeping them clean may be a problem...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914751-covid-19-new-intranasal-vaccines[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914751-covid-19-new-intranasal-vaccines ;"In order to be effective, a coronavirus vaccine must provide protection at the site where the virus enters the body, namely the respiratory tract. Neutralizing antibodies present in the blood only contribute partially to protection. The lentiviral vector is now emerging as a promising vaccine candidate for intranasal administration to induce mucosal immunity with an almost sterilizing effect in two highly sensitive preclinical animal models."

DJ-The picture I am getting is that present vaccines may become less effective against some newer variants. Nasal sprays could increase effectivity and have even less risks, easy to use...in mass vaccination (in combination with STS/NPI)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914741-cdc-update-on-sars-cov-2-variant-classifications-and-definitions-adds-5-covid-19-vois-to-list-4-are-1-617-series-originating-in-india-may-5-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914741-cdc-update-on-sars-cov-2-variant-classifications-and-definitions-adds-5-covid-19-vois-to-list-4-are-1-617-series-originating-in-india-may-5-2021 ;Today the CDC has updated their list, adding five more variants to their VOI list (B.1.526.1, B.1.617, B.1.617.1, B.1.617.2, B.1.617.3). Notably, 4 of the 5 new variants are all related to the Indian Variant (B.1.617) that has caused so much concern over the past few weeks.

-


Despite the dire reports from India in recent weeks, it isn't clear how much of their crisis is due to any enhanced traits of the B.1.617 variant, and so - for now, at least - the UK and the United States have not listed them as VOCs.


We should be getting new bi-weekly surveillance numbers from the CDC in the next week or so, and we may begin to see some or all of these new variants included in that report as well.

DJ-It is good "the west" is starting to take the India-variants more serious...part 2 under this post...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2021 at 1:41am

hmmmm part 2 is gone....

DJ I notice the alert level has gone to 5 from 6-I think that is to early...

Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies ;latest activity After a short but tense legal battle, Edward-Elmhurst Hospital has agreed to allow an outside doctor to administer ivermectin to one of its COVID-19 patients.
ELMHURST - After a short but tense legal battle, Edward-Elmhurst Hospital has agreed to allow an outside doctor to administer ivermectin to one of its COVID-19 patients.

"She looks calm, relaxed, she looks comfortable, so this is all I can tell right now," said Desi Fype, who has been fighting for her mother, 68-year-old Nurije Fype, to receive ivermectin -- an anti-parasitic drug which has not been FDA-approved to treat COVID.

Since Nurije was placed on a ventilator April 28th, and with her condition not improving, Desi has been fighting for Edward-Elmhurst Hospital to allow the drug to be used.

"At the point of me having nothing else to lose, and seeing that no other treatment in the hospital was making her any better, I wanted to try something different. Why not try to save her life instead of seeing her decline?" Desi said.

While ivermectin isn't FDA-approved, some doctors say it's proved to be effective against COVID. Despite a judge's orders, the hospital had been refusing to administer the drug until Monday night, when it agreed to let an outside doctor give Nurije her first dose....

DJ-The discussion will go on-Ivermectin is cheap and stopped by testing demands...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914717-ann-clin-lab-sci-covid-19-cardiac-injury-an-important-cause-of-covid-19-related-morbidity-and-mortality[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/914717-ann-clin-lab-sci-covid-19-cardiac-injury-an-important-cause-of-covid-19-related-morbidity-and-mortality DJ-Most often covid19 infections damage the lungs but also other organs will get a severe beating-in part could explain long covid...

Other sources;

[url]https://www.france24.com/en/video/20210506-a-decade-to-vaccinate-hesitancy-slows-africa-s-covid-19-inoculation-drive[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/video/20210506-a-decade-to-vaccinate-hesitancy-slows-africa-s-covid-19-inoculation-drive DJ Africa has seen a lot of experiments on humans so hesitancy is logical...

[url]https://www.dw.com/en/covid-in-india-further-waves-inevitable-top-scientist-warns/a-57441921[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/covid-in-india-further-waves-inevitable-top-scientist-warns/a-57441921 ;

India's top scientific adviser has warned that the country would inevitably face further waves of the coronavirus, as India struggled with record deaths and daily infections. 

The country reported 3,980 deaths related to COVID-19 and at least 412,262 new infections on Thursday.

The government's principal scientific adviser said that even when the numbers subside, the country should be ready for a third wave of the pandemic.

"Phase 3 is inevitable, given the high levels of circulating virus," K. Vijay Raghavan said during a news briefing. "But it is not clear on what timescale this phase 3 will occur... We should prepare for new waves."

He also touted the efficacy of vaccines against new mutations like the UK variant and the B.1.617 variant but warned that surveillance and vaccine updates were needed as the virus mutates.

-

As the government faces increased criticism for its handling of the pandemic, opposition parties have called for a stricter nationwide lockdown to curb the spread of the virus.

Despite calls for harsher restrictions, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has shown reluctance in declaring a nationwide lockdown over possible repercussions on the flailing economy. However, several states have continued to impose strict lockdowns as the latest wave of the virus brings the country's health care infrastructure to its knees.

According to the World Health Organization, India accounted for nearly half of the recorded COVID-19 cases across the world this past week. Medical experts believe that a large number of unidentified cases is also probable.

DJ-False conflict between economy and healthcare...false optimism based on a decrease in cases and then mass meetings...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4koWZL_zUPU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4koWZL_zUPU India variants increasing in the UK-some of the info from under the video;

Half of new cases in India

G7 address global vaccines, the global roll out of vaccines will be key in defeating the pandemic

March 27th 0.2% of samples sequenced in England were B.1.617 April 10th 1.7% Hotspots in London (Harrow, Hounslow), Leicester, Basingstoke, Birmingham, Nottingham, Bradford

A new variant that can escape the current vaccines is the greatest risk of a third wave we expect the existing vaccines to offer protection against new variants particularly preventing serious illness and death

India Stops vaccine exports About half of COVAX supplies Bad news for Afghanistan, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Africa

Bangladesh Country locked down since April 14th Positivity rate, 8.9% India variant threat Not yet identified

US Uptake rate slower

DJ-There is lots of news of variants evading vaccines. The mutations found indicate vaccines may decrease effectivity. Do we have to wait for the evidence that variants are stopped better by some vaccines, less by others ? Or can we-finally-get pro-active ??? 

We keep repeating the same mistakes but ending up deeper in the swamp ! Again-new variants could become resistent against vaccines, natural immunity-able to keep reinfecting hosts over and over again ! We are going in that direction now !

Dr.J.C. is the expert I (DJ) am NOT !!! I hope to be wrong ! But I do not believe vaccines will get us out of this pandemic. The present vaccine strategy has a serious risk of variant-selection; stopping the milder variants to give the more dangerous ones more room. 

Dr.J.C. has another video [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gh_3JrODNxY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gh_3JrODNxY discussing Covid19 with two other doctors...

WAR

[url]https://www.dw.com/en/eu-china-investment-deal-put-on-ice-over-sanctions/a-57427703[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/eu-china-investment-deal-put-on-ice-over-sanctions/a-57427703 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/france-negotiating-new-rafale-fighter-jets-for-ukraine-to-fight-russia[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/france-negotiating-new-rafale-fighter-jets-for-ukraine-to-fight-russia 

DJ I was hoping the EU had "a plan" but maybe I was to optimistic...Germany trying to increase Asia trade (Northstream, railway link to China) while France is trying to sell its fighter jets to Ukraine..."good cop, bad cop" idea ? [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_cop/bad_cop[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_cop/bad_cop 

"We" in the EU do not need to be "friends at all costs" with other big countries. Maybe the EU is positioning itself ? Macron-France did try to get more grip on the Mediterranean...Germany/Merkel steps down in september-with increasing uncertainty who would be the next German leader...two candidates; the PM of NRW-largest German memberstate or a woman from the Green Party...

Since Germany is the main EU country uncertainty on who will become the next German (and in many ways EU) leader is "a problem".

Music; The Bangles - Eternal Flame [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSoOFn3wQV4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSoOFn3wQV4 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2021 at 9:43am

The alert level has low-key been at 5 for weeks.  I had been wondering about that myself, both the 5, and the low-key.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2021 at 9:51pm

I will make the alert level an item...DJ

-Numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ India again reporting record numbers-the real numbers may be 5 to 10 times the reported ones...We will reach 3,3 million+ reported deaths today-but the real number by now is over 7 million [url]https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/covid-19-has-caused-6-9-million-deaths-globally-more-than-double-what-official-reports-show-834508507.html[/url] or https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/covid-19-has-caused-6-9-million-deaths-globally-more-than-double-what-official-reports-show-834508507.html 

Can we vaccinate ourselves out of a pandemic would be a poll question-"yes" or "no" the simple answers..I think vaccines are good for damage control. Israel may have vaccinated themselves out of this crisis-and will have to do all it can to limit new variants...Israel is at #30 for total cases, yesterday they reported 61 new cases 4 deaths..The UK-#7 in total cases yesterday (may 6) had 2,613 new cases and 13 deaths. Dr.J.C. noticed increase of India variants in the UK...some reports indicate this variant to evade vaccines...March 27 the UK had 0,2% India variant, April 10 it was already 1,7% of all the cases...only the number of cases most likely decreased so in real numbers it may not have increased that much...

When you look at the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 there are links to the several variants and mutations. Not updated daily and comparing is not that easy if there is just one updated list...with limited sequencing at best the wiki-numbers give an insight on how widespread the variants are...not that much more...So "yes" can we vaccinate ourselves out of a pandemic may be a good question-the answer is very complex...

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914851-leader-of-world-s-largest-vaccine-manufacturer-flees-india-after-threats-from-rich-and-powerful[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914851-leader-of-world-s-largest-vaccine-manufacturer-flees-india-after-threats-from-rich-and-powerfulThe CEO of the Serum Institute in India, the world’s largest vaccine manufacturers, has fled India, claiming he and his family had been threatened by some of the most powerful people in the country.

In an interview with the Times of London, published on Saturday May 1, Adar Poonawalla said he flew to London after enduring phone calls from chief ministers of Indian states, business leaders and others demanding that they receive the vaccine first.

DJ-India should review its government processes...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914849-coronavirus-russia-approves-sputnik-light-a-single-dose-vaccine-with-80-efficacy[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914849-coronavirus-russia-approves-sputnik-light-a-single-dose-vaccine-with-80-efficacy DJ-Most people would prefer one vaccination...Both in the US and Russia the willingness to accept vaccinations is a problem...Also with the global population in the billions two vaccines per person is making the job twice as hard...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914848-where-are-the-300-tonnes-of-emergency-covid-19-supplies-that-have-landed-in-delhi-in-last-five-days[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914848-where-are-the-300-tonnes-of-emergency-covid-19-supplies-that-have-landed-in-delhi-in-last-five-days ;No domestic flights have taken off to carry the supplies to other parts of India, nor have states been informed about their share by the Centre.

In the past five days, 25 flights loaded with 300 tonnes of emergency Covid-19 relief supplies have landed in India’s capital from around the world. The supplies include 5,500 oxygen concentrators, 3,200 oxygen cylinders and 1,36,000 remdesivir injections, said a spokesperson of the Delhi International Airport Limited.

The emergency aid could save lives. But it seems not to have reached even those who are gasping for oxygen a few km away.

“As far as I know, we have not received anything so far,” said Dr Nutan Mundeja, Director General of Health Services, Delhi government. ...

DJ-Again India has a political problem...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/914847-the-covid-19-puzzle-deciphering-pathophysiology-and-phenotypes-of-a-new-disease-entity[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/914847-the-covid-19-puzzle-deciphering-pathophysiology-and-phenotypes-of-a-new-disease-entity ;We review the intricacies of COVID-19 pathophysiology, its various phenotypes, and the anti-SARS-CoV-2 host response at the humoral and cellular levels. Some similarities exist between COVID-19 and respiratory failure of other origins, but evidence for many distinctive mechanistic features indicates that COVID-19 constitutes a new disease entity, with emerging data suggesting involvement of an endotheliopathy-centred pathophysiology. Further research, combining basic and clinical studies, is needed to advance understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms and to characterise immuno-in ammatory derangements across the range of phenotypes to enable optimum care for patients with COVID-19.

DJ-So basicly Covid19 should be seen as a new diseasese..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914844-cidrap-three-vaccines-show-promise-against-covid-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914844-cidrap-three-vaccines-show-promise-against-covid-variants ;

1Novavax versus B1351

Two of the studies appeared in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM), the first of which describes a phase 2a-b clinical trial at 16 sites in South Africa from Aug 17 to Nov 25, 2020, on the efficacy of the Novavax COVID-19 vaccine against the B1351 variant first identified in South Africa, where virus transmission is ongoing.

2 Pfizer against B1351, B117

In the second NEJM study, researchers from Weill Cornell Medicine and Hamad Medical Corp. in Qatar used national COVID-19 data to analyze the efficacy of the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine against B1351 and B117, which was first observed in the United Kingdom.
As of Mar 31, 385,853 people in Qatar had received at least one dose of the vaccine, and 265,410 had received two doses. After Mar 7, almost all COVID-19 cases in Qatar were caused by B1351 or B117.

3 Moderna versus B1351, P1

In a press release, Moderna released preliminary data from its ongoing phase 2 clinical trial demonstrating that a single dose of its COVID-19 vaccine, when given as a booster to people who had completed their two-dose regimens, increased concentrations of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, B1351, and the P1 variant first seen in Brazil.

DJ-Has it become a race between variants and vaccines ? Again STS-Stop The Spread...I am willing to get vaccinated this time, but am I willing to get vaccinated every year from now on with decreasing protection from vaccines ? While the real answer is to stop the spread...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/novel-coronavirus-ncov-mers-2012-2014/saudi-arabia-coronavirus/914831-saudi-arabia-2021-mers-epiwk-18[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/novel-coronavirus-ncov-mers-2012-2014/saudi-arabia-coronavirus/914831-saudi-arabia-2021-mers-epiwk-18 DJ In KSA (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia SA=South Africa) a 36 y/o male died of MERS corona virus disease...one major question is how MERS and SARS-2 may interact in humans...could it result in an even more dangerous variant ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914827-eusurv-case-series-of-four-re-infections-with-a-sars-cov-2-b-1-351-variant-luxembourg-february-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914827-eusurv-case-series-of-four-re-infections-with-a-sars-cov-2-b-1-351-variant-luxembourg-february-2021 ;We describe four SARS-CoV-2 re-infections with a B.1.351 variant in 2021, in healthcare workers (HCWs) previously infected in 2020, before detection of this variant in Europe. Cases live in France, near the border with Luxembourg, where variants B.1.351 and B.1.1.7 circulated. All work in the same hospital unit where a cluster of COVID 19 with B1.351 variant occurred, affecting patients and HCWs. Before the cluster onset, HCWs used surgical masks, as per recommendations. After cluster onset, HCWs used FFP2 masks.

DJ-Vaccination/natural immunity was not 100% with the older variants, now after being infected with the old variant new variants mean an increase of risk for reinfection. It would be very welcome to be open and honest about this...there are limits to immunity..The push for vaccinations "that will open doors" so "we"(=a rich elite) can fly over the planet soon is unrealistic. Flying all over the planet soon is unwise and unwanted !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream ;Notice the age of most of the patients...not seeing a lot of elderly....also - ooof!...there are various family members apparently assisting in the wards too.....wow....super spreader events IN the hospitals?(latest activity) 

DJ Patients under 30 y/o, family members helping hospital staff...in many countries we keep poor there are not enough HCW-ers..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/australia-2019-ncov/914824-sydney-b-1-617-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/australia-2019-ncov/914824-sydney-b-1-617-cases ;An overseas traveler from the U.S. who was quarantined at a hotel in central Sydney last month was found to be infected with the B.1.617 coronavirus variant. Subsequently, an Australian couple with no known links to the man or the hotel also tested positive for the virus, according to the Sydney Morning Herald.

DJ The India variant is even more infectious then other variants-is becoming a major global problem high speed. The India variant is very likely to get a problem for the EU, US but very likely even in Latin America-being more infectious then P1-the way it looks now (but not enough data yet available..) Stop The Spread ! STS !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914808-bmc-infect-dis-covid-19-first-long-term-care-facility-outbreak-in-the-netherlands-following-cross-border-introduction-from-germany-march-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/914808-bmc-infect-dis-covid-19-first-long-term-care-facility-outbreak-in-the-netherlands-following-cross-border-introduction-from-germany-march-2020 ;Background: The Dutch province of Limburg borders the German district of Heinsberg, which had a large cluster of COVID-19 cases linked to local carnival activities before any cases were reported in the Netherlands. However, Heinsberg was not included as an area reporting local or community transmission per the national case definition at the time. In early March, two residents from a long-term care facility (LTCF) in Sittard, a Dutch town located in close vicinity to the district of Heinsberg, tested positive for COVID-19. In this study we aimed to determine whether cross-border introduction of the virus took place by analysing the LTCF outbreak in Sittard, both epidemiologically and microbiologically.

-

Conclusions: Sequencing combined with epidemiological data was able to virtually prove cross-border transmission at the start of the Dutch COVID-19 epidemic. Our results highlight the need for cross-border collaboration and adjustment of national policy to emerging region-specific needs along borders in order to establish coordinated implementation of infection control measures to limit the spread of COVID-19.

DJ-In the EU national borders are still a frustrating issue...from public transport to healthcare...People live on one side of the border-work/study/shop on the other side...but somehow the idea is the virus is stopped at the border in all kind of healthplans...

DJ-More and more I again find myself believing this pandemic is a political problem. We are in a climate crisis-where politics keep failing-increase of pandemics is part of the proces. And all politics want is "business as usual"...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYv30g7TKVM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYv30g7TKVM 

Some of the ifo from under the (17 min) video; Ivermectin in India, Prophylactic role of ivermectin in SARS-CoV-2 infection among healthcare workers 

Healthcare workers (HCWs) are vulnerable to getting infected withSARS-CoV-2 Preventing HCWs from getting infected is a priority to maintain healthcare services The therapeutic and preventive role of ivermectin in COVID-19 is being investigated Based on promising results of in vitro studies of oral ivermectin, this study to look at prophylactic role of oral ivermectin

Conclusion and relevance Two-doses of oral ivermectin (300 μg/kg given 72 hours apart) as chemoprophylaxis among HCWs reduces the risk of COVID-19 infection by 83% in the following month. Safe, effective, and low-cost chemoprophylaxis have relevance in the containment of pandemic alongside vaccine.

Earlier, at least 20 to 25 HCWs were getting infected with the virus daily. After the workers started taking ivermectin, the number of infection has come down to one or two per day Critique The safety of the drug has been established by its large-scale use in the last four decades for various indications such as onchocerciasis, scabies, head lice, and other parasitic infestations

DJ Very courageous of Dr.J.C. to keep pointing at Ivermectin working against Covid19...Why politics keep failing ? 

Music ; A Cookie Presentation-Who Do You Think You Are ? [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K-YJeGvsdJ0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K-YJeGvsdJ0 Candlewick Green from the UK december 1973...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2021 at 10:14pm

DJ-Lots of serious developments;

Carbon20 had in latest news this link [url]https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210506/Indian-SARS-CoV-2-variant-shows-enhanced-host-cell-entry-and-immune-evasion.aspx[/url] or https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210506/Indian-SARS-CoV-2-variant-shows-enhanced-host-cell-entry-and-immune-evasion.aspx; 

A study conducted by researchers in Germany has found that the B.1.617 variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) that has emerged in India entered certain types of lung and intestine cells with slightly increased efficiency compared with the original wild-type strain.

The B.1.617 variant is the lineage thought to be responsible for the sharp rise in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and deaths in India over recent weeks.

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However, this host cell entry was not blocked by the monoclonal antibody Bamlanivimab, which has received emergency use authorization (EUA) as a COVID-19 treatment.

Finally, B.1.617 also partially evaded neutralization by the antibodies induced through natural infection or immunization with the Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 vaccine.

Markus Hoffmann and colleagues say that antibody evasion by B.1.617 may contribute to the rapid spread of this variant.

DJ-Translation the study shows Pfizer vaccine does not stop the India variant enough to stop it from spreading. My interpretation of the story is they either did not look at other vaccines or translate it-possibly-if Pfizer does not stop it other vaccines also can be evaded.

Vaccine/natural immunity evasion, "vaccine escape" was feared to show up sooner or later. Reports from a.o. Brazil, India did give indications this would happen. Can improved vaccines make a difference ? Maybe ? (I hope so-but again I am NOT an expert). Another main question I have is how variants interact with non-human hosts...we already know cats, mice, dogs, minks can catch the virus/variants...We also know at least minks do see spread of Covid19 in minks AND from minks back to humans...A major fear is Covid19 spreading in wild animal hosts...making control of this pandemic impossible...


Reports have shown up of a small hospital near New Delhi/India (supposed to be hit hard with the UK variant) where HCW-ers did leave the hospital after running out of oxygen/means to do their job. The six (?) patients at ICU were dead in their beds and found by family members. A few of the family members did attack staff last week-security was an issue. 

One can only hope that this kind of security problems forcing staff to leave their workplace is an incident. 

One of the reasons why Modi is supposed to be against an India-national-lockdown is that it would send hundreds of millions of workers out of the cities back to rural area's. Further spreading the virus.

-Other serious news [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/report-colonial-pipeline-taken-offline-by-computer-hackers[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/report-colonial-pipeline-taken-offline-by-computer-hackers DJ-I do not know if this is a real story. [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/aiming-at-china-us-uk-launch-guerilla-war-on-myanmar.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/aiming-at-china-us-uk-launch-guerilla-war-on-myanmar.html (Good story but often also good comments-China may be have major logistics via Myanmar-they also have good relations with some of the guerilla groups going back to world war two...)

The US has been trying to keep control over global energy. The US$ is linked to global energy trade being made in US$. Russia, Iran, China, Venezuela (etc.) do want to use other currencies. The US (a.o.) is trying to "limit those alternatives via intervention (=civil wars). That strategy worked till Russia intervened in Syria. Since a lot of EurAsia trade is over land the US is trying to block landroutes via crisis in Ukraine, Belarus, Middle East. 

If Russia/Iran/China (etc) was behind cyber attacks on essential US infrastructure in the US we are getting much closer to war. 

Related [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/afghanistan-taliban-capture-baghlan.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/afghanistan-taliban-capture-baghlan.html : One of the reasons why the US/NATO was in Afghanistan was to block Russia, Iran, China. Pakistan was a main ally-but now is a major partner of China. The Pakistan secret service is believed to be a major factor in the taliban now taking over Afghanistan. 

In the past China did send small units inside the eastern tip of Afghanistan bordering China. One question is where does the taliban gets its weapons from ? Most likely Pakistan-indirect China ? In logistic terms the Afghanistan NATO operation was getting impossible-the US wanted to create "a Vietnam for the Soviets" by creating chaos resulting in Soviet Union intervention in 1979. (Till that time Islam was moderate-women could study, have jobs.). It now looks like Afghanistan did become a NATO-Vietnam...

Another very serious development is the Israeli attacks on mosques at the end of ramadan. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israeli-police-storm-al-aqsa-mosque-on-the-temple-mount-use-stun-grenades-tear-gas-on-worshippers-numerous-dead-and-injured[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israeli-police-storm-al-aqsa-mosque-on-the-temple-mount-use-stun-grenades-tear-gas-on-worshippers-numerous-dead-and-injured  The Iran-Israel relations are getting worse [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-supreme-leader-calls-israel-terrorist-base-not-a-country[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-supreme-leader-calls-israel-terrorist-base-not-a-country DJ-It is very likely Israel attacking holy Islamic sites is insulting Muslims all over the world...It was the last Friday (sort of Sunday in the christian sense) during Ramadan..Jerusalem is the third holiest city in Islam after Mecca and Medina.Israel is also planning to evict eight Palestinian families in East Jerusalem claiming those houses should be Jewish...

Further developments [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-and-nato-exercise-on-russia-border-with-28-000-troops[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-and-nato-exercise-on-russia-border-with-28-000-troops (it could be NATO is also on "training mission" in Ukraine...)

In short; the India-variant may evade present vaccines...the US/NATO confrontation with Russia-Iran-China etc. may be getting out of control...


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ-

Numbers as far as cases get tested reported [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ India reporting over 400,000 new cases, 4,194 deaths-real numbers most likely 5 to 10 times the reported numbers...also most other statistics show underreporting. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Is showing India 7% increase in one week, Nepal +90%,  Sri Lanka +56% Malaysia +12%,most likely linked to India variant with P3 also in Malaysia. Ecuador +42%, Bolivia +12%, Costa Rica +3%, P1 related. South Africa +35% SA variant ? 

Egypt +10%, Denmark +22%, Maldives +77% DJ-In lots of countries numbers are going down in part by less testing. Reports indicate incubation period for the India variants is different-people may show serious symptoms just a few days after infection-but it could also take over two weeks...It is getting harder to get any perspective on where this pandemic is going based on these numbers...

Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914950-india-karnataka-media-report-that-the-state-population-64-million-will-impose-a-total-lockdown-from-may-10-may-24-due-to-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914950-india-karnataka-media-report-that-the-state-population-64-million-will-impose-a-total-lockdown-from-may-10-may-24-due-to-covid-19 DJ-The India government also will have to take steps to stop millions of workers moving (often walking) to their small rural villages-spreading the virus.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914944-cidrap-states-plan-to-lift-remaining-covid-19-restrictions[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914944-cidrap-states-plan-to-lift-remaining-covid-19-restrictions ;Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Rochelle Walensky, MD, MPH, said today during a White House pandemic briefing that the new 7-day average was 45,800 daily cases, down 13% from the previous week.
But daily vaccination rates are also down. According to the CDC, as of May 6, the 7-day average number of administered vaccine doses reported to CDC per day was 2.1 million, a 26% decrease from the previous week.
The CDC COVID Data Tracker shows 327,124,625 COVID-19 vaccine doses have been delivered in the United States, and 254,779,333 have been administered, with 110,874,920 Americans fully vaccinated.
Walensky pleaded with younger Americans to roll up their sleeves, saying her three sons, ages 16, 19, 21, were now fully vaccinated. Only 1 in 5 Americans ages 18 to 29 are vaccinated, and only 1 in 3 of those ages 30 to 39 are vaccinated, Walensky said.

-

Yesterday, the CDC updated its information on how COVID-19 spreads, acknowledging that inhalation of very fine respiratory droplets and aerosol particles is one of the main routes of exposure and that risk of inhaling the virus is greatest close to an infected person.
The CDC wrote, "Breathing in air with small droplets or particles that contain the virus when people are less than 6 feet apart," is the most common type of transmission.
But several aerosol scientists and epidemiologists said the CDC's acknowledgement does not go far enough in that it does not recommend the use of respirators and improved ventilation in indoor settings.
"As CDC has made clear, vaccination alone will not prevent the spread of the virus. Mitigation measures are also needed to limit exposures. We must control inhalation exposure of small aerosol particles to end this pandemic,"

DJ-There is a risk with some groups of very social active persons in a population not being vaccinated. Reopening with variants increasing is unwise. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914938-cidrap-real-world-studies-detail-high-pfizer-covid-vaccine-protection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/914938-cidrap-real-world-studies-detail-high-pfizer-covid-vaccine-protection ;DJ Good protection against the UK variant after two vaccinations (+2/3 weeks)..problem could be in the India variant(s)...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/cdc-advice-about-2019ncov/914932-cdc-how-covid-19-spreads-updated-may-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/cdc-advice-about-2019ncov/914932-cdc-how-covid-19-spreads-updated-may-7-2021

COVID-19 is spread in three main ways

  1. Breathing in air when close to an infected person who is exhaling small droplets and particles that contain the virus.
  2. Having these small droplets and particles that contain virus land on the eyes, nose, or mouth, especially through splashes and sprays like a cough or sneeze.
  3. Touching eyes, nose, or mouth with hands that have the virus on them.

Protect yourself and others

The best way to prevent illness is to avoid being exposed to this virus. Protect yourself and others from all ways COVID-19 spreads by taking these prevention actions:

DJ-The CDC now also focussing more on aerosol-spread. Maskwearing outdoors is not that common in NL...tomorrow is mothersday here-in combination with one summerday-may see lots of people on terraces...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected ;Okieman Comment: Use Google Map to see where Mesa County, CO is located. Grand Junction is the largest city there, with a population of around 62,000 people. These were five individuals from five different households. And were identified via sequencing of the test samples. Mesa County is quite a ways from any larger cities. Does Grand Junction have testing facilities to do the sequencing, or did they have to send the samples to Denver? The point I am trying to make is that probably something threw up a red flag about these cases for them to be sequenced. I do not know, just wondering. If you go to the Covid Pulse Map and look at the graph for Mesa County it is showing a rise in cases. Not steep, but contrary to much of the country it is rising. Grand Junction is located on Interstate 70, a major east/west highway across part of the U.S. Here is a link to the Covid Pulse Map. Zoom into Mesa County (western Colorado), click on it, and then scroll down to see the graph.

https://livingatlas.arcgis.com/covid...4.464,40.252,4

DJ-Alarming !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914923-health-authorities-in-b-c-have-been-withholding-detailed-covid-19-data-from-public-leaked-reports-show[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914923-health-authorities-in-b-c-have-been-withholding-detailed-covid-19-data-from-public-leaked-reports-show ;Health officials in B.C. have been withholding detailed data from the public around COVID-19 case counts and neighbourhood-level vaccinations, which are outlined in two leaked reports from the B.C. Centre for Disease Control (BCCDC).

The reports, first published by The Vancouver Sun, contain maps that show how cases are distributed across the province by neighbourhood, in far more detail than has been released to date. The documents show which areas have the highest test positivity rates and whether those hotspots are being vaccinated.

The reports, which are four times as long as those made public, also contain a deeper breakdown on variants of concern and note the risk to B.C. as Alberta grapples with the highest case rate in the country.

The BCCDC has refused to make such data public, even as transmission in B.C. accelerated to record levels during the second and third waves of the pandemic.

CBC News asked officials for more geographical data more than two weeks ago and followed up nine times, but officials would not respond...

DJ-What info should be public ? Here in NL for privacy reasons you can not get info on streetlevel-but more detailed info could help. Also not giving info on if new cases were vaccinated is not increasing trust in vaccines..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies (latest activity);

A study from AIIMS - a very established research authority in India (and used by big Pharma frequently to conduct studies) has looked at ivermectin prophylaxis in healthcare workers. I dont think anyone is proposing that ivermectin could replace vaccines - it can't, but used alongside vaccines as an adjunctive therapy for high risk individuals and in areas with variants of concern could be a good idea?

The study is pre-print but can be found here https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-208785/v1 Study conclusion:


Conclusion and relevance Two-doses of oral ivermectin (300 ?g/kg given 72 hours apart) as chemoprophylaxis among HCWs reduces the risk of COVID-19 infection by 83% in the following month. Safe, effective, and low-cost chemoprophylaxis have relevance in the containment of pandemic alongside vaccine.

More on AIIMS here https://www.aiims.edu/en.html

DJ-It is a good idea to combine vaccines and Ivermectin (as far as I can see-but again I am not an expert). Would that combination help in India/India variant spread ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india?view=stream Latest activity) DJ-The India variant now (finally) a Variant Of Concern (was variant of interest/VOI) both in the US and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914909-uk-phe-%60indian-variant-b-1-617-2-reclassified-as-a-variant-of-concern-voc[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914909-uk-phe-%60indian-variant-b-1-617-2-reclassified-as-a-variant-of-concern-voc the UK.
Cases of VOC-21APR-02 have increased to 520 from 202 over the last week and almost half the cases are related to travel or contact with a traveller. The cases are spread across the country, however, the majority of the cases are in 2 areas – the North West (predominantly Bolton) and London – and this is where we are seeing the greatest transmission.

DJ-The India B.1.617 has several variants in the UK the B.1.617-2 variant is now Variant Of Concern VOC-21APR-02...The India variant(s) are widespread all over the globe-if they do evade/will become more evading vaccines and natural immunity it is a very major problem..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914908-hong-kong-hospital-authority-ramps-up-procedures-for-new-covid-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/914908-hong-kong-hospital-authority-ramps-up-procedures-for-new-covid-variants ;

Hong Kong, with a population of roughly 7 million, has managed to keep their daily COVID numbers in the double digits for months, and has one of the lowest death rates (28 per million) in the world. By contrast, the death rate per capita in Hungary (2936 per million) is more than 100 times higher.


Part of this is due to their early, and coordinated response to the COVID pandemic (see A Tale of Two Outbreaks: Hong Kong & Italy), a culture that already embraced mask wearing (see HK CDW: Surgical Masks For Respiratory Protection), and the dominance of the original, milder, `asian' lineage of COVID for much of 2020.

As an international city - even with a strict 14-day quarantine policy for arriving visitors - there remains the potential for the introduction and spread of newer, possibly more dangerous, variants which could undermine Hong Kong's success to date.

On Tuesday, May 4th, the CHP announced the detection of a local COVID case with the 501Y mutation, raising concerns of community spread.

-

The normal quarantine period of 14 days has been extended by 50% to 21 days out of an abundance of caution. Today Hong Kong's Health Authority has announced enhanced measures to deal with this new threat.

DJ Singapore also did go for three weeks quarantine...there have been reports of India-variants in China. 

-Dr.John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKcoK2qmBak[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKcoK2qmBak Friday-may 7 update-some info from under the video;

Public Health England, recommends B.1.617.2 should be a VOC Sharp rise 500 cases, 40 clusters Cases, + 318 since 27th April Community transmission Now is the most prevalent form of the India mutation Seems to be spreading more than the other two At least as transmissible as the Kent variant No comment on leaked data

US sequencing improves March 2021, 13.1% of all confirmed molecular COVID-19 cases were sequenced 16, 128 (4.3%) specimens sequenced since January 2020

UK travellers returning from "red list" countries are flying home via Turkey £1,750-per-person to isolate in a hotel in UK Turkish report, British nationals flying in from Pakistan, India and Bangladesh Returning from Pakistan to the UK, many from weddings or funerals Hashir, said he could not afford the cost of quarantining in the UK Travel agent in Bradford, Mr Khawaja has arranged 15-20 journeys home via Turkey Mohammad Saad travelled to Pakistan for a funeral, with his son, flew back via Turkey It's like an extra holiday. Then you can fly back into the UK from Istanbul without any hotel quarantine.

UK vaccinations Chris Whitty Until we have got a situation where we have induced immunity in those who are most vulnerable everywhere in the world, we will continue to see really significant morbidity and mortality from this virus

Olympics, July Little comment needed 2% vaccinated Extend state of emergency for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Hyogo prefectures until end of May Hospital pressure in Tokyo Osaka, deaths while awaiting hospitalization

DJ-I do not always agree with Dr. J.C. but he is an expert and I am not. For me Stop The Spread is priority #1-vaccinations #2...Dr.J.C. thinks "we can vaccinate ourselves" out of this pandemic-with still strict NPI...(wich the US does not have..)

-[url]https://www.doorbraak.eu/death-by-pollution-environmental-racism-video/[/url] or https://www.doorbraak.eu/death-by-pollution-environmental-racism-video/  There is a link between Covid19 and air polution. There is also a link between poverty, race, and living in polution...Most poor people have to deal with the polution the rich produce..they may not have a car but live in an area with extreme air polution from cars...Neo"liberalism" is creating a wider gap in societies...

Music ; It Started All Over Again-Jo Stafford & The Pied Pipers [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwvITR0d93g[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwvITR0d93g  somewhere in the early 50's ? Very old !

 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2021 at 9:11pm

DJ, (Internet problems...)

One of many things I like on history is the many aspects it has. From populationgrowth to the weather...In this pandemic populations in many countries further decreases. Not due to the deaths-allthough often there is excess deaths-but to a decrease in childbirths. Most likely a lot of people find the present time to uncertain to start a family...but also curfews, lockdowns may prevent some people meeting eachother...Here in NL we expect nice weather-with some rain possibly-but summerlike temperatures-for today. Tomorrow again the wind will turn north...it has been much to cold in NL for over a month-and that cold is returning for the rest of this month...people stay indoors-more spreading indoors...

Here in NL the statistics show an increase of Covid cases for the 20-29 y/o's-most social active. Experts expect these age group will further spread the variants...Cases yesterday showed a first slight increase. The India-variant is increasing here-but still most likely <5% of cases and dealing with over 90% UK variant...

Also in NL massmedia report on reopenings, test-events, travel/holiday and hardly on the increase of cases/variants...testing is going down, soon people do stop getting the vaccine "because the pandemic is over"...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show high India numbers-over 400,000 new cases, over 4.000 deaths...The India cases are over half of all the reported cases, close to 1/3 of all reported deaths...Based on these numbers one could think the pandemic is now mainly an India-region problem...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics shows the UK has over 1.000 cases, US 334, Singapore 155, Australia 80, Canada 77, Germany 62, Israel 41 cases of the India variant. The list of may 8 shows 47 countries with 3,340 cases-while on may 3 there were only 28 countries reporting 1,815 cases...so in 5 days the number of countries reporting cases increased with 19-the number of cases reported with 1,525...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table shows an increase of cases for NL +5%. In this list India has an increase of tested/reported cases of +6%, Brazil +2%, Nepal +79%, Indonesia +2%, Japan +1%, Malaysia +19%...statistics do not tell all of the story-they however can give an indication...

I (DJ) expect we are allready at the beginning of wave 4. In hospitals they are still dealing with wave 3. The only sector where "the pandemic was almost over" was in mass media/politics...

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream ; CLOSE TO 50,000 Covid patients in India are currently in intensive care units, while more than 14,500 are on ventilator support, according to Government data released on Saturday.

-

Back in the fall, Tom Wenseleers made a bold claim on Twitter. He tweeted that the new coronavirus variant emerging in the U.K. was more transmissible — or could spread more quickly — than over versions of the virus.

"I posted a graph [on Twitter] showing the U.K. variant had a transmission advantage over the other types of the virus," says Wenseleers, who's an evolutionary biologist at the University of Leuven in Belgium.

At first, many scientists didn't believe his analysis. Many people thought the big COVID surge in England was due to holiday travel and shopping, he says. But after many follow-up studies, Wenseleers was proven correct. The variant from U.K., called B.1.1.7, is indeed more transmissible and likely the most contagious version of the virus known.

Now Wenseleers has performed similar analyses on data from India, and he's feeling a bit of a deja vu.

"Based on this data, the new variant from India has a very big transmission or growth advantage," even over B.1.1.7, he says. "It's kind of like the U.K. variant squared.

DJ-And-looking at corona virusses in animals-given how widespread the covid pandemic still is-we are at THE BEGINNING of this pandemic-NOT the end ! (And yes-vaccines make a difference ! But you need high speed mass vaccinations all over the planet ! Now it is going much to slow giving the virus all the room to start evading vaccines...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-romania/915026-romania-massive-outbreak-of-bird-flu-in-mures-may-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-romania/915026-romania-massive-outbreak-of-bird-flu-in-mures-may-2021 DJ-In this case it is H5N8-still only in birds-but daily there are several reports from EurAsia/Africa on H5 or H7 bird flu...it at least twice this year did spread in humans (in Nigeria and Russia). 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915010-variant-first-identified-in-india-labelled-as-variant-of-concern-by-public-health-england-b16172[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915010-variant-first-identified-in-india-labelled-as-variant-of-concern-by-public-health-england-b16172 ;
The UK has seen a sharp increase in one type in particular, known as B.1.617.2, which now makes up the majority of all Indian variant cases and appears to be growing faster than other versions.

Cases have increased from 202 to 520 in the last week, with most detected in London and the North West of England.

Almost half were related to travel or contact with a traveller but there have been examples of community transmission linked to work and religious gatherings.

In one cluster at a care home, 14 elderly residents who had all been vaccinated, were infected with the variant, a source told the BBC. A number needed hospital treatment, but not for severe disease, and it is thought all have now recovered.

DJ-Community spread of the India variant-including in vaccinated people...in the UK. Most likely lots of countries do not have enough sequencing capacity to see if the India variant is spreading...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/915008-hum-pathol-tissue-based-sars-cov-2-detection-in-fatal-covid-19-infections-sustained-direct-viral-induced-damage-is-not-necessary-to-drive-disease-progression[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/915008-hum-pathol-tissue-based-sars-cov-2-detection-in-fatal-covid-19-infections-sustained-direct-viral-induced-damage-is-not-necessary-to-drive-disease-progression ;Conclusions: In patients who die of COVID-19-related organ failure, SARS-CoV-2 is largely not detectable using tissue-based assays. Even in lungs showing widespread injury, SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA or proteins were detected in only a small minority of cases. This observation supports the concept that viral infection is primarily a trigger for multiple organ pathogenic pro-inflammatory responses. Direct viral tissue damage is a transient phenomenon that is generally not sustained throughout disease progression.

DJ Does the body overreact after viral infection ?

-Dr Been talking with Dr. Pierre Kory [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzsRdcoW5kE&t=208s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzsRdcoW5kE&t=208s ;Dr. Pierre Kory Talks About Human Rights and The Big Science Disinformation - Continued Dr. Kory joins us today to discuss the world health organization’s denial of Ivermectin: big science, disinformation and their Impacts on Human Rights. FLCCC’s site https://covid19criticalcare.com/covid...Dr. Pierre Kory Talks About Human Rights and The Big Science Disinformation - Continued Dr. Kory joins us today to discuss the world health organization’s denial of Ivermectin: big science, disinformation and their Impacts on Human Rights. FLCCC’s site https://covid19criticalcare.com/covid...

DJ For me it is clear this pandemic was manmade due to inaction in the early stages. Not stopping air travel end of january 2020 when Wuhan went into lockdown was a criminal bad choice...made by most governments. They should not blame the WHO for that...There is discussion on Ivermectin for over a year now...the picture I am getting is that it is effective-certainly in combination with vaccines and NPI...

It is very sad to see governments keep making bad choices.."saving the economy" while they are destroying that economy in many ways...We are on our way to Covid19 getting resistent against the vaccines we now have...it is just months away...We are also getting close to H5/H7 becoming a major problem...

The lack of action, denial of the problems, is similar as in the climate collapse discussion..."keep the R0<1" , keep temperature rise under 2C...talking without understanding the basic problem...and when things get out of control you can always start a war...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VE2_ZfL5g0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VE2_ZfL5g0 "From pandemic to endemic-Covid in the UK"...no other wave in the UK thanks to Big Pharma...the India variant is increasing...

Of course-I am NOT an expert-hope to be wrong...

Music; Myanmar-Punk Rebel Riot -One Day...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UA3uAvoZPCg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UA3uAvoZPCg DJ-It is NEVER good when police is shooting at demonstrations (but starting a CIA-backed "civil "/anti-Chinawar does not help Myanmar either...) 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ,

Another try to say something that might make sense on the present pandemic. I did see on this forum coinfections in India-mosr likely a major problem around the globe-and all kinds of risks for coinfections...hygiene will be under pressure with in many countries hospitals at max. capacity since october...

We may be able to get a realistic estimate of the damage this pandemic has done only after the pandemic. There is discussion on the real number of deaths-one could go for several numbers; excess deaths, proberbly the highest number that will include both the Covid deaths-those who died with/from the virus (tested and reported) and "pandemic deaths" =deaths from Covid + those whoe died because healthcare was not available because of the covid-pandemic. There is a maximum on hospital capacity and because of the duration the health care capacity is going down...lots of HCW-ers are exhausted, have mental issues...may have been dealing with one dead person per week before the pandemic to now several per day...

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ the "numbers look good" a global total of just under 650,000 new cases with just over 366,000 of them in India...so the rest of the world had 283,000 new cases...and a lot of those also in the India region...but of course weekend numbers always are underreporting even more then during the week...

The [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table show an increase of 5% for India, 4%+ for Brazil...increases on already very high numbers. Nepal +63%, Netherlands (Yes that is us=NL) +13%...government reopening against medical advice...Greece +17% ready for tourism...

Most likely the main variant now increasing is the India variant (with sub variants). I do not see yet new numbers [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics but no doubt within a few days we will see more countries reporting more cases...

[url]https://innovationorigins.com/en/corona-in-europe-how-the-netherlands-failed-to-get-covid-under-control/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/en/corona-in-europe-how-the-netherlands-failed-to-get-covid-under-control/ has also lots of info...in general not only the variants give an indication of where we are going also reopenings, lack of restrictions will give an indication. Vaccinations do influence the numbers-but in my opinion-and that is why I am writing-we can not vaccinate ourselves out of a pandemic-we need a mix with NPI-restrictions...Most countries are still slow in vaccinations-far from herd immunity-variants will evade vaccines..Also a major factor is age groups. Most countries did protect the old...but the virus is most spread by the young-and there numbers are going up...again...

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915062-india-national-covid-19-task-force-issues-an-advisory-on-black-fungus-mucormycosis-may-10-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915062-india-national-covid-19-task-force-issues-an-advisory-on-black-fungus-mucormycosis-may-10-2021 ;Mucormycosis, a serious fungal infection but otherwise rare, has been observed in a number of Covid-19 patients recently. While there is no major outbreak, the national Covid task force has issued an advisory. 

DJ See also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucormycosis[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucormycosis on what the risks are and for what part of the population...Diabetes is a major problem in India, HIV/AIDS in Africa-both increase risks for coinfections that can pose a risk for healthy people.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream (latest activity) DJ-Yes India is going for lockdowns-but it will only have limited results...people need to have an income to have this evening food...in bad housing, large families could even increase virusspread...

DJ-In Sweden the government epidemologist admitted Swedens measures were protecting the middle class-that could work/study from home...it made matters much worse for the poor. In general it is nice, welcome if people can work from home-but the poor are often in jobs that you can not do from home...They also have worse housing, more people (children but also other family members) in the house...Copying measures from the west in countries we keep poor may not always be the best plan...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915059-china-media-southern-border-provinces-intensify-surveillance-7-provinces-in-china-have-covid-19-cases-from-india-may-9-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915059-china-media-southern-border-provinces-intensify-surveillance-7-provinces-in-china-have-covid-19-cases-from-india-may-9-2021 ; DJ China did see already a limited number of the India variant. They will have to do all they can on the borders with China, Nepal, Vietnam to keep the variant out as best they can...Australia had some isolated India variant cases...it will be a major job to keep them out.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902969-alberta-canada-2021-covid-cases?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902969-alberta-canada-2021-covid-cases?view=stream (latest activity);Alberta reported 1,633 new COVID-19 cases on Sunday and two more deaths from the illness.
Across the province there are now 25,197 active cases, which is the highest active-case tally in Canada.
The testing positivity rate is 10.5 per cent.
The province has the highest active case rate in Canada and the United States, with 569 active cases per 100,000 people — more than double the case rate of Ontario, the next-highest province, which is 223.
There are now 668 people in hospital with COVID-19, including 155 people in intensive care.
Alberta's death toll increased by two for a total of 2,110 deaths.
The latest R-value reported for the province was 1.12, significantly higher than last week's R-value of 1.04, meaning the virus is spreading to more people for each confirmed case.
181,483 Albertans have recovered from COVID-19.
Currently, 857 schools, about 33 per cent of all schools in Alberta, are on alert or have outbreaks. In-school transmission is believed to have occurred in 729 schools.
Because of an increase in the number of Albertans in the Calgary zone requesting a COVID-19 test, it may take three to five days from the time someone makes a request to when testing occurs, AHS said last week.
Alberta is cutting back scheduled surgeries in its two major cities and the northern part of the province to make room for a possible influx of COVID-19 hospitalizations...

DJ Canada was hit hard-Alberta, Ontario proberbly hardest and numbers there are still going up.Lots of variants...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913014-ontario-2021-covid-cases-number-of-patients-in-icus-on-ventilators-once-again-reached-pandemic-highs?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913014-ontario-2021-covid-cases-number-of-patients-in-icus-on-ventilators-once-again-reached-pandemic-highs?view=stream (latest activity)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915057-the-valneva-co-vid-vaccine[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915057-the-valneva-co-vid-vaccine ;A COVID-19 vaccine from French company Valneva has yet to complete clinical trials. But it has caught the eye of governments in the UK, Europe and Australia.

One of the vaccine’s main selling points is its apparent ability to mount a more general immune response against SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, rather than rely on the spike protein to do this.

DJ-Vaccinations are a major challenge-vaccines production, ingredients, to nationalism/cold war thinking. If vaccines work against this pandemic they should be welcome...vaccines do not have a nationality ! The German partner of US Pfizer-Biontech has made a deal with a major Chinese partner for production of 1 billion vaccines per year...if vaccines can be made and used we may be able to get closer to the end of this pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915046-montana-p-1-and-b-1-617-2-variants-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915046-montana-p-1-and-b-1-617-2-variants-detected ;MISSOULA, Mont. — An updated DPHHS document shows Montana has confirmed cases of the P.1 and B.1.617.2 COVID-19 variants in the state, also known as the Brazil and India variants.

The document, updated Friday, shows a total of 188 variant cases, with 175 being categorized as a “variant of concern.”

The P.1 strain has so far been detected in Big Horn, Gallatin and Meagher counties. The B.1.617.2 strain showed up in Lewis & Clark County.

DJ-The general view on the P1 variant is that it is stopped by the UK variant (P1=1,49 as infectious as the old variant, the UK variant 1,33 times...but these are indications...when there are only old variants both UK, P1, India variant will spread..the India variant is most likely more infectious as the others...Will become dominant soon.) See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected : COVID-19 infections continue to rise locally as Mesa County Public Health reported Saturday that the two-week infection rate was closing in on 550.

Sixty-six new cases were announced Saturday after 97 new cases that were reported Friday. In the past four days, 192 new cases have been logged, bumping the one-week positivity rate to 4.5%, according to data from Mesa County Public Health. 

DJ Cases going up-most likely a lot of them may be India-variant 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRtRJLRRnpU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRtRJLRRnpU ;

Some of the main points under his Sunday Update;

May 3, 2021 COVID-19 deaths = 6.93 million Reported number of deaths = 3.24 million 

India variant UK Surge testing in Bolton, Rumworth, Deane, Great Lever Two mobile testing units for asymptomatic people Door to door visiting to encourage testing Multilanguage leaflet distribution Infection rates increasing Bolton, 78%

Dr Helen Lowey, Bolton Director of Public Health there is some evidence that the Indian variant spreads more easily than other Covid-19 variants so it is the one that we want to stop and contain

taking steps to provide additional capacity in these areas targeted vaccination work to try and nip this in the bud We are so close to getting things back to normal; let’s keep up the momentum and stop this virus from spreading further

DJ-Yes you can increase vaccinations and testing-also including asymptomatic people. Vaccines need two, three weeks to show effect. But immuunity may increase earlier...I did not see a local lockdown...maybe political...But if the India variant shows up there is every reason to increase restrictions/Stop The Spread STS !

And yes national numbers on cases/deaths tend to be underreporting. I think the Dutch number of Covid deaths may be twice the official number. A-At the start testing was a problem-we now do have enough testing but still the rule "no symptoms or contacts=no test"...B Deaths in care centers were kept out of Dutch Covid statistics...The UK, Russia have "defenitions" that people have to die within 4 weeks after a positive test otherwise they do not fit the country Covid19 deaths defenition...(if I am correct)...Belgium did include almost all deaths in their Covid statistics-that is why their number is almost overcounting...

DJ-In general the sources I use indicate there is a real risk for most of all the India variant to start yet another wave...Reopenings are a problem. DJ-Communications, mass media are becoming a bigger problem...are they in fear for losing advertisements ? 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/another-tanker-vessel-attacked-off-coast-of-syria-ship-is-burning[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/another-tanker-vessel-attacked-off-coast-of-syria-ship-is-burning Israel attacked yet another ship for the Syria coast transporting oil from Iran to Syria. The Israeli/US goal is to keep Syria/Assad out of energy sources...There has been discussion on Russian Navy escorte to keep the Iran-Syria oil transport by sea going. Most likely work is in progress to restart pipeline land transport via Iraq. No doubt with Russian air cover...

The bigger picture is the US/UK against Russia-Iran-China...With the EU not being helpfull by not making clear they want an end to this confrontation...Alexander Mercouris [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKJ9cXmn7ec[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKJ9cXmn7ec gives a lot of info...In another talk he claimed "Nato was not ready to defend NATO" -based a.o. on a view from Scott Ritter...DJ NATO is divided...1-US is the main military partner (I believe 70% of NATO in weapons, army, navy etc. is US) 2. After Brexit the UK-BoJo-has some illusions on the role the UK can play-"more royal then the king" and in the way of the US...3 A very divided EU-3.1 Germany going for Russian energy and vaccins, China trade, 3.2 France still dreaming it is an empire...3.3 Smaller countries very divided...BeNeLux, Spain, Portugal, Italy, the Baltics/Poland disagreeing on almost everything...4 is Canada trying to make sense of it all, 6 is Turkey, Erdogan going for his own agenda-claiming Ukraine should be in NATO-but corrected by Putin if Russian tourists stay away, Russian energy, weapons are mentioned...And then there are also "non-NATO-NATO members" Israel, Ukraine, Azarbaijan Gulf States...NATO is a dinosaur...

Music ; (Introduced by ?) Iḿ a little dinosaur -Jonathan Richman [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6KSt1u_UE0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6KSt1u_UE0 "we all have our little problems"....


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 10 2021 at 10:31pm

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ "Low numbers" reflecting sundays limited testing/reporting...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table may be of more use-showing Indiastill going up +3% over the last week, Brazil +0,4%...Nepal +51% [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics could be more interesting; 49 countries reporting 3.728 cases of the India variant...South Africa reporting 4 cases of the India variant may 8. But looking at the numbers for Belgium-from other sources it has to be over 50 by now...I will put this list in another section and compare it with earlier numbers...(see [url]https://www.avianflutalk.com/india-variant-statistics_topic43913.html[/url] or https://www.avianflutalk.com/india-variant-statistics_topic43913.html in latest news section of this forum )

The WHO did name the India variant of global concern...but to get anywhere near realistic numbers not only testing is needed but also sequencing...so we will have to do with the indications these statistics provide us...

Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream (latest activity);WITH AT least 18 deaths in the past 10 days, Titoli village in Rohtak district of Haryana is on the edge. While six of these deaths, confirm health officials, are related to Covid, villagers claim the count is much more. According to them, around 40 people have died of a “mystery fever” in the past two weeks.

The deaths have prompted the district administration to begin setting up a Covid centre in the village, around 60 km from Delhi, the first such centre in rural Haryana.

“Last week, I prepared a list of 32 persons who died recently. After that, the village has been witnessing an average of two deaths a day due to high temperature,’’ says Suresh Kumar, who was speaking on behalf of his sister-in-law Pramila, the village sarpanch. ‘‘People from all age groups have fallen victim to this fever. As many as six persons who died after a bout with fever were below the age of 35.”

DJ-Unclear if all the deaths were from Covid or that other diseases are also going up...As Dr.J.C. did say in one of his latest video's-without sequencing we can not say that much on the variants in India...we simply do not have the data/info...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915146-cidrap-who-names-b1617-fourth-covid-19-variant-of-concern[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915146-cidrap-who-names-b1617-fourth-covid-19-variant-of-concern ;At a media briefing today, Maria Van Kerkhove, PhD, the WHO's technical lead for COVID-19, said the group's experts have been meeting for the past few days to review as much data as possible about the B1617 variant. She said B1617 has three sublineages. Preliminary analysis suggests that it is more transmissible, part of what led the group to move it from a variant of interest to a variant of concern alongside B117, B1351, and P1.
She said much more work is needed to look at B1617 sequences from India and other countries that have detected it, adding that lab studies to shed light on virus neutralization issues are needed, as well as epidemiologic studies to provide clues on how the variant behaves.
So far, public health measures such as distancing, limiting gatherings, and wearing masks seem to work against B1617, Van Kerkhove said. But with a more transmissible virus, "we have to work that much harder."
Tomorrow in its weekly COVID situation report the WHO will publish more details about the variant and its investigation so far, she said.
Public Health England on May 7 announced that it has reclassified B1617.2 as a variant of concern. Indian officials have said a combination of factors has been driving its second surge, the world's worst of the pandemic. They include social mixing, relaxed measures, and more transmissible variants, which has also included B117, the variant first seen in the United Kingdom.

DJ-A reason why it is hard to say the India variant is more infectious is that the India government-more or less-did everything they could to spread the virus in mass-gatherings...So there is also a social reason for the high number of cases.More from the link;

After many weeks of steady rises, the world's COVID cases and deaths show a shift to a plateau, led by declines in the Americas and Europe, two of the hardest-hit regions, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, the WHO's director-general, said today at the WHO briefing.
He warned, however, that the world has been in same situation before, only to see cases go up again when populations let down their guard. Tedros added that cases are still rising rapidly in the WHO Southeast Asia region and that there are some countries in every WHO region experiencing increasing trends.

-

Over the weekend, India's cases remained near record levels, with the country reporting more than 400,000 cases on May 8 and about 366,000 cases yesterday.
In other Indian developments, the country is asking former army medics to help care for patients at overwhelmed hospitals and military doctors to do online consultations, according to Reuters.
Meanwhile, doctors in India are reporting an increase in potentially fatal fungal lung infections called mucormycosis in people with COVID or in those who recently recovered, according to the New York Times. Some experts said the cases could be linked to increased use of steroids or from treatment at home, including oxygen, without proper hygiene.
Two of India's neighbors—Nepal and Sri Lanka—today reported record high cases.

-

More global headlines

  • Other countries in the WHO's Asian region are also reporting steady rises in cases, including Malaysia, which ordered a national lockdown in effect until Jun 7, and Vietnam, a country widely praised for its handling of COVID previously.
  • In North Africa, Sudan is battling a third surge and is struggling with oxygen supplies and stretched healthcare capacity, according to Reuters.
  • Regarding vaccine policies, Norway's advisory group said the country should exclude the AstraZeneca-Oxford and Johnson & Johnson vaccines from national immunization plans owing to rare blood clotting side effects; however, Germany has opened Johnson & Johnson vaccination to all adults under age 60 as long as people talk to their doctors first.
  • The global total today climbed to 158,517,386 cases, and 3,296,584 people have died from their infections, according to the Johns Hopkins online dashboard.

DJ; India is now in the spotlights with limited chances for "cover up" of this story...Global reported numbers tell more on testing/reporting capacity then reality....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915143-ny-free-beer-offer-results-in-more-vaccinations-than-all-erie-county-first-dose-clinics-last-week[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915143-ny-free-beer-offer-results-in-more-vaccinations-than-all-erie-county-first-dose-clinics-last-week DJ-What does it tell that in rich countries people have to get free beer to get vaccinated while a few thousend miles away people are dying due to a lack of oxygen...Decadence wins ? A big shame for the "civilized world" !!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ag/915114-us-dept-of-transportation-statement-declaration-of-a-regional-emergency-due-to-the-unanticipated-shutdown-of-the-colonial-oil-pipeline-may-9-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ag/915114-us-dept-of-transportation-statement-declaration-of-a-regional-emergency-due-to-the-unanticipated-shutdown-of-the-colonial-oil-pipeline-may-9-2021 DJ-Rising transportation costs can bring healthcare in more risks...Healthcare needs logistics-from patients going to healthcare to transport of oxygen, medication...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/australia-2019-ncov/915132-australia-nsw-regional-outbreak-locations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/australia-2019-ncov/915132-australia-nsw-regional-outbreak-locations DJ-The India variant showed up in Australia, China-did start new outbreaks in Thailand, Vietnam-and could be getting a problem in the UK...just a reminder that this pandemic is a global problem...not only a problem for countries we keep poor-don't test/don't tell...A lack of statistics does not mean a lack of serious global problems..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915131-putin-to-remain-self-isolating-in-spite-of-vaccination[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915131-putin-to-remain-self-isolating-in-spite-of-vaccination and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915130-russia-nears-5-000-000-coronavirus-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915130-russia-nears-5-000-000-coronavirus-cases DJ Russia would have 3 India variant cases...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915122-exploring-the-cdc-variant-%60nowcast-option[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915122-exploring-the-cdc-variant-%60nowcast-option

The above graphic, released nearly 2 weeks ago by the CDC while informative - is based on data current through April 10th, making it a month old today. Surveillance data, by its very nature, is always a couple of weeks old when we get it.


Most of the time, particularly when we are dealing with seasonal flu, this lag doesn't matter much. But with COVID, and the plethora of variants in play across the nation, month-old-data can be misleading, and potentially even dangerous.

We should see a new update from the CDC early this week, but that data will be current as of the 3rd week of April, and will grow only staler over the two weeks until the next update. Meanwhile new variants, like the 5 recently added VOIs, could be gaining ground largely outside our view.

Last last week the CDC added a new, experimental option to their variant surveillance page; a `nowcast' option. With the click of a single toggle, you can can change the view from `what was' to a more current estimate, based on recent trends.

While the description (below) indicates the nowcast option should change the bar chart, data table, and regional pie charts, so far only the bar chart appears to update for me. Nevertheless, it provides an additional interesting way to view the data.

DJ Sequencing takes time-weeks-so we will be running behind the facts if one wants "data". In symptoms variants often do not make that much difference-they may infect younger people, see more people infected, getting ill faster-but that can be explained also in other ways...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915113-pandemic-deaths-are-seriously-undercounted-new-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915113-pandemic-deaths-are-seriously-undercounted-new-report ;new report from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington is quietly shocking. With meticulous reasoning, they find that practically every government on the planet has been under-reporting COVID-19 cases and deaths.

DJ-A more realistic number for the extra deaths due to this pandemic since its start would be 10 million ? (So Covid+ Non-covid extra pandemic related) Since birthrates are also going down in many places it may show up in global population statistics...

DJ-So where are we now ? Many countries see cases going down-but India variants often increasing-mixed with reopenings-can get problematic. Hospitals in almost all countries are overstretched. There is "limited room" at best for a new wave...

Public support for new restrictions is as good as gone...both press and politics "need reopenings" foreign travel etc...We have been here before a year ago...we know what happened then. Will vaccinations and summer this time make enough difference ? 

Dr. John Campbell radio interview [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAtjT67c_ow[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAtjT67c_ow ; Tell us about yourself Have there been previous pandemics? Is the India variant a threat? What waves have there been and what is a wave Where did this virus come from? What do you think of the current vaccines? And other interesting questions 

DJ-To be on the safe side we need to stick to limiting social contacts, travel restrictions, increase testing...etc. But a lot of people want "Freedom without Responsability" while they are the two sides of the same coin...

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bomb-shelters-opened-as-rocket-barrages-hit-israel-kornet-anti-tank-weapon-destroys-idf-armored-vehicle-rocket-attack-sirens-sounding-in-cities-throughout-israel[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bomb-shelters-opened-as-rocket-barrages-hit-israel-kornet-anti-tank-weapon-destroys-idf-armored-vehicle-rocket-attack-sirens-sounding-in-cities-throughout-israel DJ Israel should stop pushing Palestinians out of their houses in East Jerusalem to make that part of the city more "Jewish" ...[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/escalation-in-palestine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/escalation-in-palestine.html 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-navy-fires-30-shots-at-iranian-gunboats-in-persian-gulf[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-navy-fires-30-shots-at-iranian-gunboats-in-persian-gulf 

US foreign policy has become one of sanctions and confrontations...that has to change ! The US is NOT in control of global energy-linking to the US$ with global energy has to stop...

It would be welcome if the EU "could help the US to find better ways in foreign policy"...

Music-Do You Know Where You're Going To - Diana Ross 1975 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsA-Xc6gWDE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsA-Xc6gWDE DJ-No, I do not always know where I am going to...but that does not have to be a problem ! 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2021 at 9:44pm

DJ

-The statistics-giving at best an indication [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ; India reporting almost 350,000 new cases-4.200 deaths. Brazil still high numbers. In the top 10 of new cases Argentina at #4, Colombia at #7, Nepal at #9-indicating P1 and India variants still spreading. Turkey #8 and Iran #6 most likely see still a lot of the UK variant. In the US #3-in new cases-numbers still going down but lots of variants very likely getting all the room to spread. France #5, Germany #10 also several variants-but also stilll a lot of restrictions-vaccinations going up...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table India +0.5%, Brazil +2%, Nepal +44%, Japan +0,8%, Malaysia +25%, Indonesia +8%. For Europe; Belgium +0,8%, Greece +40%, UK +12% variants also very likely on the increase even with vaccine/natural immunity also going up...

-Flutracker

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream ; (latest activity) As many as 533 of the country’s 700-plus districts are now reporting a test positivity rate of more than 10 per cent, the government said on Tuesday, underlining the massive spread of the coronavirus infection in rural India in the second wave.

DJ-Cases still going up in India-testing may have run out of capacity...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ag/915114-us-dept-of-transportation-statement-declaration-of-a-regional-emergency-due-to-the-unanticipated-shutdown-of-the-colonial-oil-pipeline-may-9-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ag/915114-us-dept-of-transportation-statement-declaration-of-a-regional-emergency-due-to-the-unanticipated-shutdown-of-the-colonial-oil-pipeline-may-9-2021 (see also [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/urgent-talk-of-rationing-gas-stations-reporting-out-of-gas-already-next-comes-rationing-and-that-brings-slavery[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/urgent-talk-of-rationing-gas-stations-reporting-out-of-gas-already-next-comes-rationing-and-that-brings-slavery DJ-Lack of fuel brings communism=HT-but lack of logistics is a very serious problem

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915217-cidrap-india-s-covid-surge-unfolds-in-more-grim-chapters[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915217-cidrap-india-s-covid-surge-unfolds-in-more-grim-chapters DJ-An overview...pandemic not over...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915216-booster-shots-for-mrna-vaccines-likely-required-within-six-months-to-protect-against-covid-19-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915216-booster-shots-for-mrna-vaccines-likely-required-within-six-months-to-protect-against-covid-19-variants ;Notably, the B.1.617 variant wasn’t included in the new Moderna study. Compared to the B.1.351 and P.1 variants that were, B.1.617 is both more evolved and more dangerous. Whether it requires a homologous booster of its own remains to be seen. For now, we can at least take comfort in the fact that variant-proof booster shots are attainable, effective, and on their way.

To anyone who has already been fully immunized with the mRNA vaccines, either from Moderna or Pfizer, I recommend you note in your calendar when you received your second shot. Six months from then, it might be time for your booster. If you’ve had any other vaccine, the time window is likely shorter. At present we can’t say with certainty how much shorter. The safest bet, given our current understanding of vaccines and variants, is to plan for relatively frequent boosters for some time to come.

DJ-Stop The Spread...I still think variants can beat vaccines...In general the picture in many countries could be social active groups-often 19-35 y/o already show an increase of cases...often NOT vaccinated, often getting/spreading variants...So the over all number of new cases is going down but in younger age groups variants are going up...since governments do not want to learn from recent past reopenings will most likely bring yet another wave...

Variants can become evading ALL immunity...we should stop that but we do not...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyHkLfWLPFw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyHkLfWLPFw some of the info from under the video; 11th April, Ahmedabad, 69 body bags, 20 deaths reported 16th April, visited 21 cremation grounds, 200 bodies, 25deaths reported

Vaccination Two doses, 34.8 million (2.5%) Joint Statement on Widespread Use of Ivermectin in India for Prevention and Early Treatment

The Evidence-Based Medicine Consultancy Frontline Covid Critical Care Alliance British Ivermectin Recommendation Development (BiRD) panel Re-purposed existing drugs Ivermectin, a safe medicine which has been used for nearly 40 years to treat parasitic infections 3.7 billion people have been treated with Ivermectin for parasitic infections and it has been found to be extremely safe New evidence shows that it has potent antiviral and anti-inflammatory properties as well urge the Indian Government and all states in India to adopt Ivermectin as a matter of urgency as a front line prophylaxis and treatment for Covid-19 All India Institute of Medical Sciences and Indian Council of Medical Research have urgently responded with a recommendation to use Ivermectin in mild outpatient illness We also recommend that Ivermectin be used as covid-19 prophylaxis on a large scale through mass distribution of Ivermectin in the dose of 0.2mg/kg (12mg for a 60 kg person) weekly to adults to decrease transmission amongst the general population in the current crisis We believe this will save thousands of lives and reduces the suffering of millions. Dr. Tess Lawrie, Dr Shashikanth Manikappa, Dr Pierre Kory 

Anti-fungal intravenous injection 3,500 rupees ($48) a dose Administered every day up to eight weeks Dr Hegde, Bengaluru The strain of the virus appears to be virulent, sending blood sugars soaring to very high levels. And strangely, the fungal infection is affecting a lot of young people 

Nepal Airport closed Migrant workers return from India Cases increased in border towns first Already circulating in Kathmandu valley Valley has remained an epicentre Then half a million left on same day PM advocated herbal cures Political rallies, religious festivals, massive weddings 

Returning workers from UAE and Oman Nigeria Population 200 million Vaccine deliveries down 4 million doses arrived so far Johnson & Johnson arriving later this year Poor compliance https://www.theguardian.com/world/liv... Government reimposed some lockdown restrictions Very limited testing, unreported numbers

DJ Of course Dr. J.C. is right in getting angry on the WHO for being slow on the India-variant...but the WHO in many ways represent governments being slow...Local governments in India, Nepal did not act in time to stop the spread (as in so many places...) 

If Ivermectin is that succesfull in curing Covid/preventing disease why not use that on a global scale...I rather proberbly take Ivermectin then a vaccine from a criminal Big Pharma company...

Mass/mess media again fail to give good reports on where we are in this pandemic. It is far from over-but the press/politics push for reopenings..."save the economy"...with now several agressive variants we may not see a repeat of the "mild summer pandemic" of 2020...again variants are spreading in younger age groups, vaccines offer limited protection-and maybe for even less then one year...

I would love to believe we are going in the right direction but I just do not see it that way...

WAR

Hal Turner with good updates/info on the Israel agression. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-israel-launched-eighty-80-military-aircraft-for-strikes-against-hamas-and-gaza[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-israel-launched-eighty-80-military-aircraft-for-strikes-against-hamas-and-gaza DJ It is totally unacceptable Netanyahu is restarting [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnic_cleansing[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnic_cleansing . The annexation of the West Bank, East Jerusalem is an insult for Jordan. Attacking mosques by the Israeli police unacceptable...but "the west" looks the other way...

DJ-I am NOT against Israel. But I would like an Israel in balance with its neighbours...Netanyahu hopes another war would make him win the 5th elections in 2 years so he can stay out of prison for corruption...He rather destroys his country then steps down...

If Israel starts another land operation against Gaza Hezbollah from Lebanon may become active. Israel did attack targets in Syria from Lebanese airspace for many years...Yes-in the last days of trump Israel did make peace with some Arab corrupt kingdoms...but in general most in the Arab and Turkish world, most muslims, are fed up with Israel and its agression against the third holy place in Islam-Jerusalem. 

There are extremist in Israel that want a [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_Israel[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_Israel including parts of Jordan, Syria...Those groups endanger Israel...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/more-hacks-more-baseless-accusations-against-russia.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/more-hacks-more-baseless-accusations-against-russia.html  and [url]https://southfront.org/u-s-coast-guard-warship-ports-in-odessa-after-drills-with-ukrainian-navy/[/url] or https://southfront.org/u-s-coast-guard-warship-ports-in-odessa-after-drills-with-ukrainian-navy/ 

The idea of NATO moving east-to include Ukraine, Georgia (etc.) is asking for problems with Russia, China...

Music ; The Jacksons -Blame It On The Boogie [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqxVMLVe62U[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqxVMLVe62U 

(DJ-The music I put here to break away from very serious stuff...We have to go on as best we can.)





We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 12 2021 at 9:59pm

DJ

Let me start with the Israel civil war. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/wednesday-12-may-fierce-fighting-continues-between-israel-and-gaza-strip-factions-death-toll-in-gaza-hits-53-including-14-children-and-3-women-in-addition-to-320-injuries[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/wednesday-12-may-fierce-fighting-continues-between-israel-and-gaza-strip-factions-death-toll-in-gaza-hits-53-including-14-children-and-3-women-in-addition-to-320-injuries and

[url]https://www.rt.com/op-ed/523639-netanyahu-settler-extremists-jerusalem-war/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/op-ed/523639-netanyahu-settler-extremists-jerusalem-war/ 

DJ-Somehow the world has a lot of "bad leaders". The Israel story could have been a US story, several European countries may not be that far from widespread civil unrest. Netanyahu is in a coalition with extremists that want to expel all "non jews" from Israel. Trump is now not the ruling US president, in Brazil bolsonaro still is in power, in India Modi did not stop the pandemic...The U.K. has a BoJo-problem...here in NL Mark(et) Rutte-P.M. puts his ego before national interests...this pandemic is the outcome of bad leadership...

Pandemics bring an increase of tensions. When tensions are allready high a society may explode...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show again high numbers for India; over 360,000 new cases - 4,126 new deaths being reported. Brazil still in high numbers; over 76,000 new cases - 2,545 deaths being reported...In #3 of new cases-the US-numbers are going down. Nepal at #10 for new cases...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table shows Latin America statistics for cases going up again; Brazil +3%, Argentina +1%, Colombia +4%, Uruguay +8%. 

The weekly trends also show increases in the UK, Japan, South Africa South Asia...Global there is a downward trend of -6% for new cases and -3% for new deaths...

All the numbers are based on testing and reporting...and this may be a problem in many countries...Another point is an under current, counter wave, in young people and variant linked...So yes-worldwide for now cases are going down but in a growing group of younger people numbers are gowing up...They did not get vaccinated-spread variants that may evade immunity...

Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915311-cidrap-panel-details-failures-that-unleashed-pandemic-urges-bold-steps[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915311-cidrap-panel-details-failures-that-unleashed-pandemic-urges-bold-steps ; February 2020 was a lost month, when they could have launched measures to contain the spread of the virus and prevent a catastrophe. "The Panel finds that the system as it stands now is clearly unfit to prevent another novel and highly infectious pathogen, which could emerge at any time, from developing into a pandemic," the group wrote, noting that the world didn't heed warnings from earlier pandemics.
For ending the current pandemic, they urged developed countries to quickly share large vaccine quantities—1 billion doses by September, followed by another 1 billion by year's end. They also called for steps to ease intellectual property restrictions for COVID-19 vaccines with an automatic waiver if a voluntary agreement can't be reached through World Trade Organization negotiations.


To address future threats, the group proposed several bold steps, which include giving the WHO more financial resources and power to investigate the source of outbreaks. The group called for an International Pandemic Financing Facility funded mainly with $5 to $10 billion from richer countries to support pandemic preparedness, such building up supplies of personal protective equipment. Other recommendations include establishing a Global Health Threats Council to maintain the political commitment for pandemic preparedness and a new global surveillance system that would speed early warnings about outbreaks.

DJ-See also other posts on this forum. Was this pandemic preventable ? Yes-in my opinion it was ! And it should/could have been stopped february 2020...There were positive samples in Europe in 2019. But keeping international air travel going when Wuhan entered its lockdown was wrong. Of course pandemics are part of history and nature...we live in an imperfect world...but we have science, monitoring-stopping pandemics should have been top priority-and it was not...Still it is seen as a bussiness oppertunity...

Also from this link : B1617.2 more transmissible than B117?

Yesterday, the WHO fleshed out more details about B1617 in its weekly situation report, including that B1617 has three lineages that may have important differences. So far, B1617.2 seems to show higher transmissibility, less response to one of the monoclonal antibodies, and slightly reduced susceptibility to neutralizing antibodies.
So far, the variant has spread to nearly 50 countries, according to the WHO.
The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) said yesterday in a risk assessment that the United Kingdom has experienced a sharp increase in B1617.2 and, to a lesser extent, B1617.1, mainly related to India travel with onward transmission. The group also noted that the variant is being detected more often in Europe as a whole.
In a related development, the UK's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) discussed the variant last week and published their findings on May 10. The group said that B1617.2 prevalence has significantly increased, including some community transmission. It said early indications suggest that it may be more transmissible than B117, while adding that confidence in the assessment is currently low.
SAGE warned that a variant that substantially escapes immunity or is more transmissible than B117 could lead to a wave of infections eclipsing the one from January 2021 without interventions. "Reducing the number of variant infections should be a priority for policy," it said.


The WHO said in its situation report that global cases dropped slightly last week and that India made up 50% of the world's cases, with worrying trends seen in some neighboring countries. Though overall cases declined in Europe and the Middle East, some countries saw double-digit increases last week, including Nepal (79%), South Africa (41%), and Malaysia (19%).
At a briefing today from the WHO's Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), its director Carissa Etienne, MBBS, MSc, said a number of Americas countries are still experiencing surges, putting pressure on health systems and oxygen supplies. For example, intensive care unit beds in Chile and Peru are at 95% capacity, and some parts of Brazil have waiting lists.
She also warned that cases are surging in some border areas, such as parts of Guyana and Bolivia that border Brazil. Also, Colombia's cases have steadily risen over several weeks, which could worsen following a week of protests.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915310-cidrap-cdc-study-shows-rise-in-resistant-salmonella-infections[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915310-cidrap-cdc-study-shows-rise-in-resistant-salmonella-infections ; Antibiotic-resistant Salmonella infections are on the rise, according to new research by scientists with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
In a study published today in Emerging Infectious Diseases, the researchers estimated a 40% increase in the annual incidence of nontyphoidal Salmonella infections with clinically important resistance in 2015-2016 compared with 2004-2008. When extrapolated to the entire US population, that amounts to roughly 63,000 more infections a year caused by antibiotic-resistant Salmonella.

DJ Increasing antibiotic resistance is becoming a bigger problem. In a pandemic it can worsen the pressure on healthcare. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915304-pharma-company-in-china-signs-deal-with-biontech-to-produce-1-billion-mrna-covid-vaccines-a-year[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915304-pharma-company-in-china-signs-deal-with-biontech-to-produce-1-billion-mrna-covid-vaccines-a-year DJ-BioNTech is a German company-may escape from US cold war mentality towards China...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/supply-chain-issues/915303-memphis-tn-mississippi-river-barge-traffic-at-standstill-after-significant-crack-found-on-i-40-bridge-bridge-shut-down-too[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/supply-chain-issues/915303-memphis-tn-mississippi-river-barge-traffic-at-standstill-after-significant-crack-found-on-i-40-bridge-bridge-shut-down-too DJ-US infrastructure is in serious problems...with a major east coast pipeline out of function (rail ?)roads are getting more important..if that infrastructure also is in bad shape the US has a major problem. (DJ-Melting permafrost in arctic zones bring down infrastructure in a.o. Russia...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915302-cidrap-study-80-of-hospital-covid-patients-have-neurologic-complications[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915302-cidrap-study-80-of-hospital-covid-patients-have-neurologic-complicationsEight of 10 hospitalized COVID-19 patients developed neurologic complications and were six times more likely than their peers to die, according to early results from a global study published yesterday in JAMA Network Open.
Many of the conditions were mild to moderate, but half of the patients had altered brain function or structure, and almost one in five were in a coma.
Led by University of Pittsburgh researchers for the Global Consortium Study of Neurologic Dysfunction in COVID-19, the study involved 3,744 hospitalized adult COVID-19 patients at 28 centers in 13 countries from March to October 2020.

Half have acute encephalopathy

Among the patients, 82% reported neurologic symptoms, with 37% having headaches and 26% saying they lost their sense of taste or smell. Clinicians determined that 49% of the patients had acute encephalopathy (diffuse disease that alters brain function or structure), while 17% were in a coma, and 6% had strokes.
The incidence of acute encephalopathy increased with age, from 33% in patients younger than 40 years to 74% in those older than 80. Meningitis and encephalitis (brain swelling and inflammation) were rarely observed (0.5%).

DJ-Covid19 is causing damage all over the body. It could explain long covid...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915301-cidrap-covid-19-scan-postpartum-depression-in-lockdown-covid-home-based-hospital-care-contact-tracing-via-app-covid-19-in-cats-dogs[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915301-cidrap-covid-19-scan-postpartum-depression-in-lockdown-covid-home-based-hospital-care-contact-tracing-via-app-covid-19-in-cats-dogs ;

Twice as many mothers with babies 6 months or younger reported postpartum depression during the first UK COVID-19–related lockdown, according to a Frontiers in Psychology study yesterday.
University College London (UCL) researchers surveyed 162 London mothers in May and June 2020 (about 1.5 to 3 months into the lockdown) and found that 47.5% met the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) criteria (11 points or higher). That compares with previous research that found a prepandemic baseline of 23% in European mothers.

-

Blood analysis shows cats contact COVID-19 at higher rates than dogs

COVID-19 seroprevalence—or the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in blood—is higher in cats than in dogs and higher in general in pets living with people who have the disease, according to a study yesterday in Emerging Infectious Diseases.
Italian scientists analyzed 198 serum samples, 130 from dogs and 68 from cats, collected during March through June of 2020, as well as 100 serum samples, 65 from dogs and from 35 cats, collected in different regions of Italy before 2019 to use as prepandemic controls.
The researchers detected 14 cases in animals, representing a 16.2% SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in cats and 2.3% in dogs. Symptomatic people were more likely to have pets test positive.

DJ-So far only minks did show spreading the virus to other minks/species...So the main Covid-host is humans...and that in itself can help to get a grip on this pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915285-egypt-third-wave[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915285-egypt-third-wave ;CAIRO – 12 May 2021: Head of Genome Research Unit at Children Cancer Hospital Ahmed al-Sayed stated in a phone-in Tuesday that there is collaboration with researchers at Cairo University Medical School to determine the origin of the COVID-19 virus of the third wave in Egypt.
The doctor pointed out that the viruses of the first and second waves were of European origin, and that the results of the analysis of the current samples will be out by the end of May. He added that until present Egypt is clear of the Indian, South African, Brazilian, and British variations.

DJ-It would be very welcome if Egypt could keep variants outside its borders...(to be honest-I do not think they can...Sudan also seeing an increase of cases. Hardly any testing, chaos in Libya/Gaza...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ag/915114-us-dept-of-transportation-statement-declaration-of-a-regional-emergency-due-to-the-unanticipated-shutdown-of-the-colonial-oil-pipeline-may-9-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ag/915114-us-dept-of-transportation-statement-declaration-of-a-regional-emergency-due-to-the-unanticipated-shutdown-of-the-colonial-oil-pipeline-may-9-2021?view=stream (latest activity) DJ oil prices will further increase if the Israel situation further escalates...See also [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/restored-colonial-pipeline-is-back[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/restored-colonial-pipeline-is-back 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1PGGU4RYyAg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1PGGU4RYyAg UK/US update-some of the info (but not even a summary...Dr.J.C. often has good info...now more aware of the variant risks...)

SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted by exposure to infectious respiratory fluids People release respiratory fluids Infection depends on concentration of viral particles Three principal ways: Inhalation Mucous membranes depositions Touching mucous membranes Factors in inoculum Airstream 

Infection still possible More than 6 feet away Passing through a space an infectious person has left Prevention of transmission Physical distancing Well-fitting masks Adequate ventilation Avoidance of crowded indoor spaces

AstraZeneca, 20 manufacturing partners around the world With which it has shared the Covid-19 vaccine technology India’s Serum Institute, has supplied 300m doses so far to 165 countries 90% of India’s vaccines so far Providing 98% of the supply to Covax Pledged not-for-profit basis for the duration AstraZeneca lost money first three months of the year Pfizer and Moderna are on course to make $45bn (£32bn) collectively from their coronavirus vaccines this year

DJ-Dr.J.C. also mentions UK 67%+ did get vaccinated once, in France 26,6% did at least get one vaccination...Since it takes two weeks to get at least some protection still restrictions are needed. 

DJ-Pandemic profits are unethical in my opinion...certainly when Pfizer is using a Dutch post-box company near Rotterdam to evade tax...

WAR

[url]https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/[/url] or https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ lots of info/links

[url]https://southfront.org/israel-scrambling-to-contain-the-coming-storm/[/url] or https://southfront.org/israel-scrambling-to-contain-the-coming-storm/ 

DJ-Lots of Arabs and Israeli's have been living not far from eachother...for lots of Israeli's the unrest/uprising comes unexpected. I see similarities with Black Lives Matters in the US, government racism in Europe...If you are part of the "dominant culture" (In Europe often white and not poor) you may miss the frustration other groups are facing...being checked by police daily is not good for relations between citizens and government... Not having job perspectives is unvisable...

Here in NL lots of people have problems with a government that is not trusting its citizens...while on the other hand it is creating a tax haven for the rich. 

Governments are supposed to serve their population not just a rich elite...This pandemic should be priority-not starting another war...

Music-to bridge the gap between I hope pandemic/war news and daily live Elvis-Bridge Over Troubled Water [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLbOBoa8vD8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLbOBoa8vD8 (DJ-Not bad...)

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 13 2021 at 10:44pm

DJ.

One of my goals with "scenario's" is to try to get a somewhat realistic view of what to expect from this pandemic. I believe that is also the goal of this forum. Again I am NOT an expert...

[url]https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-57109660[/url] or https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-57109660 ;

The variant that was first detected in India, which may spread more quickly, is causing mounting concern.


Numbers are relatively low, but they are rising and the planned unlocking from Monday in England would accelerate that spread.

Meanwhile, the hugely successful vaccination campaign is not yet complete.

So the worry is there is still the possibility of a surge in cases and, because the vaccines are not perfect, a rise in the numbers of people in hospital. This would be much smaller than it would have been without vaccination.

The other issue is the number of confirmed cases tells us what happened between one and two weeks ago, rather than what is happening now. That's because there is a delay between someone catching the virus, it causing symptoms and then being confirmed as the India variant.

One of the four tests for the roadmap out of lockdown has always been the role of new variants.

The key question is whether local approaches in variant hotspots - such as expanded testing and vaccination - will be enough, or if there needs to be a change to the overall plan.


DJ-In short the BBC analysis by James Gallagher puts the main question in just some sentences. In the US vaccinated people do no longer need masks...is the official story...point is you do not know who has been vaccinated...A lot of people are NOT vaccinated...

A look at the numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table show an increase of cases for the UK of +12%...

Also Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFcF2ppAeR4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFcF2ppAeR4 from under his video;

UK, 45 days first discovered Cases, = 727 About 3 times quicker than SA variant Bolton, epicentre, cases doubled in past week Blackburn, Bedford, South Northamptonshire, Sefton, Tynemouth, Glasgow MP for Bolton, Yasmin Quareshi Residents had been slow to get vaccinated React study, Imperial College London Infections are spreading more rapidly amongst the Asian community, and in some of the other groups in the population

Prof James Naismith, Rosalind Franklin Institute We should view it as a country-wide problem Localised restrictions unlikely to work but maybe Sage already have that data before we continue to unlock

Goa and ivermectin prophylaxis https://science.thewire.in/health/ive... https://www.firstpost.com/health/goa-... https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladity... https://www.timesnownews.com/india/ar... https://indianexpress.com/article/ind... For all those above the age of 18 Irrespective of Covid-19 symptoms 12 mg of ivermectin for five days State Health Minister Vishwajit Rane Goa would be the first state in the country to administer, to its adult citizens as a step towards protecting lives State government, drug will be given to the people through its chain of health centres 

There have been studies in journals of therapeutics, there have been studies in the US, UK, Japan, Germany that when this is administered in advance when the entire population is administered this treatment their mortality rate fell and effects of Covid-19 on that individual were also less All our doctors and experts, the chief minister have unanimously decided to go ahead with this We should go ahead and give it to the population It’s a must

Dr Vinayak Buvaji, Goa chapter, Indian Medical Association Treatment should not be given for a short period of five days but should ideally be continued till the pandemic is brought under control The ideal regimen of ivermectin is to administer it on the first, third and seventh day and then continue it once a week till the pandemic is brought under control Giving the tablets only for five days will not be impactful The people weighing below 60 kg should be given the 12 mg dose of ivermectin while those above 60 kg should be given the 18 mg dose

Dr Buvaji writing to state Health Department to change the proposed ivermectin dose protocol 

DJ-So in Goa-a state in India Ivermectin will be used to protect all citizens. Ivermectin is very cheap-no profit...but there are many studies suggesting it is effective as an anti viral. 

The India variant would be 3 times more infectious then the SA variant should translate in more action to Stop The Spread ! 

A look at [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics  shows now 55 countries reporting over 4.703 cases of the India variant. 

Where is this pandemic going ? It is repeating itself-reopening to fast-mixed with limited immunity and more infectious variants we will be moving towards another wave...

DJ-One question may be do we vaccinate the right people to stop the spread ? By protecting the old & vulnarable we may be protecting the less social active...The group with highest number of infections in many countries are now under 40 y/o. Here in NL the trend was downward but Amsterdam did see an increase of +17%...

Poor people-often with language problems-do get vaccinated much less...so in poor area's in even the rich countries the pandemic still is a major issue...

Who are governments working for ? Shareholders in war and disease-going for profits by deaths ? Or are governments doing their job for all ? It is good Goa is going for a massive Ivermectin attempt to stop the spread of the virus via Ivermectin-the alternative is massive disease...

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/who-oms/915403-antony-blinken-calls-on-who-to-include-taiwan[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/who-oms/915403-antony-blinken-calls-on-who-to-include-taiwan DJ-US still going for anti-China cold war strategy...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-taiwan/915402-taiwanese-empty-supermarket-shelves-as-local-covid-cases-rise[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-taiwan/915402-taiwanese-empty-supermarket-shelves-as-local-covid-cases-rise DJ-Sad to see cases going up in Taiwan, Thailand...but the US went for a one-China policy after Nixon's visit to Mao...this is NOT the time to change that...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc-guidance-for-covid-19/915399-cdc-relaxes-mask-guidance-for-fully-vaccinated-people-may-13-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc-guidance-for-covid-19/915399-cdc-relaxes-mask-guidance-for-fully-vaccinated-people-may-13-2021 ;

Disclosure: I am fully vaccinated.


Let's look at this logically:

1) The U.S. population is really pandemic fatigued. Everyone is doing their "own thing" now. Masks are very unpopular.
2) COVID-19 is an airborne respiratory disease.
3) Masks can help stop disease spread via aerosols.
4) There is a lot we still do not know about COVID-19 - including variants like the 1.6.1.7. series that originated in India.
5) Vaccination does not guarantee anything. It is only ONE TOOL in the public health toolbox. You still have to be cautious - even if you are vaccinated.


Please still use caution. Watch local and world events.

As we have said since the beginning - you will have to take care of you.

Use your common sense.

DJ Again the idea that vaccinated people can put of their masks and expect unvaccinated people to stll wear a mask is pretty insane...What about people with natural immunity after infection ? The US did see 1/3 of its population fully vaccinated...is it not to early ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915239-worse-than-the-disease-reviewing-some-possible-unintended-consequences-of-the-mrna-vaccines-against-covid-19?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915239-worse-than-the-disease-reviewing-some-possible-unintended-consequences-of-the-mrna-vaccines-against-covid-19?view=stream ;Sciencemag has an article about the research study Vibrant posted. Critics feared the research would stoke fears about vaccines.

Further evidence supports controversial claim that SARS-CoV-2 genes can integrate with human DNA

It is used as a reference for the paper Gert posted, by the way. They have almost 10 pages of other references. I don't think we know if the vaccines are any less likely to affect DNA than the virus. There are no tissue samples of vaccinated people being studied.

-

The questions raised in the article circulate widely in media. They deserve to be adressed?

Long term effects of mRNA vaccins are not known, surveillance seems to be necessary. Can we say without doubt: adverse effects will be documented?

DJ For me mass vaccinations are plan "B" we had/have to stop the spread as plan "A"! There are allways risks in medical interventions. It still is not clear to me why we did not stop international air travel in january 2020-during the Wuhan lockdown. Governments blame the WHO but have their own responisibilities ! 

If politics is a mix of hide-and-seek and a blame-game then politics is part of the problem...Some Big Pharma companies are now making billions in profit for shareholders-who are the shareholders-politicians ? Why politics failed to stop this pandemic ? Profit ? 

Vaccinating older people is different then vaccinating children...There is no point in vaccinations if you do not stop the spread of variants evading vaccine/natural immunity...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/q-fever-q-koorts/915379-spain-10-people-hospitalized-for-q-fever-after-a-visit-to-a-cave-in-bizkaia[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/q-fever-q-koorts/915379-spain-10-people-hospitalized-for-q-fever-after-a-visit-to-a-cave-in-bizkaia 

and

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/q-fever-q-koorts/915378-spain-high-prevalence-of-q-fever-in-asturias[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/q-fever-q-koorts/915378-spain-high-prevalence-of-q-fever-in-asturias [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q_fever[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q_fever ;Q fever or query fever is a disease caused by infection with Coxiella burnetii,[1][3][4] a bacterium that affects humans and other animals. This organism is uncommon, but may be found in cattlesheepgoats, and other domestic mammals, including cats and dogs. The infection results from inhalation of a spore-like small-cell variant, and from contact with the milkurinefecesvaginal mucus, or semen of infected animals. Rarely, the disease is tick-borne.[5] The incubation period is 9–40 days. Humans are vulnerable to Q fever, and infection can result from even a few organisms.[5] The bacterium is an obligate intracellular pathogenic parasite.

DJ-We did have the largest outbreak of Q fever here in NL -symptoms may look like flu/Covid19...also long term damage..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected?view=stream DJ Also in the US clusters of the India variant...

WAR

First some links [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israel-commences-ground-invasion-of-gaza-strip[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israel-commences-ground-invasion-of-gaza-strip Hal Turner taking a pro-Palestine view...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/escalation-in-palestine-hizbullah-is-ready-to-join-the-fight.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/escalation-in-palestine-hizbullah-is-ready-to-join-the-fight.html some background...

[url]https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/[/url] or https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ updates...

[url]https://www.debka.com/hamas-brings-out-high-powered-rockets-to-hit-strategic-israeli-targets/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/hamas-brings-out-high-powered-rockets-to-hit-strategic-israeli-targets/ pro-Netanyahu-blaming Iran etc...

DJ-The "west" is very selective in what countries/crimes it does want to see and what crimes it want to ignore. In practice IS/alqueada are "allies" against Assad, Iran, Russia, China...The west accept the idea of Israeli atteacking Iran-oil transports to Syria-because they did put sanctions on both countries...the outcome is isolation of that "west" /G7...

Pandemics and wars-mass number of refugees-in history are often mixed. From "the plague" to the "Spanish Flu"...Netanyahu wants a war with Iran-but want the US to fight that war...He may still be pushing for that agenda...

Trump did accept Netanyahu annexing East-Jerusalem/West Bank...It would be welcome if the Biden administration would turn back those steps-put the US embassy in Tel Aviv...as a start for talks. 

The US has to accept they are no longer the dominating power-make deals with Russia, China, Iran, EU,-talks not sanctions...

Iran FM Zarif did visit Damascus/Assad. Turkey may be willing to get involved if Israel invades Gaza...In that scenario Hezbollah will go full scale war from Lebanon-even Syria may try to get the Golan Heights under Syrian control...

Russia demanded Israel to stop ethnic cleansing in Jerusalem and the West Bank-it is unacceptable the west is closing its eyes on this...

Netanyahu did not get the majority of the Israeli votes...he-like some other leaders-has become a problem-not a solution. 

The US could start talks with Russia on this crisis. The US is a main player in this conflict-did pull back 120 military staff from its base in Israel. 

We can avoid another major war-like we can avoid another major wave in the present pandemic...

Music; Ilse de Lange-Dutch singer-Changes [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1rPCDWzmbA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1rPCDWzmbA ; lyrics-

We’re stuck in a circle where all of our hurt will 

Just break us, if we don’t break out. 

We’ve got to make Changes , even if they change us 

We Gotta turn pages, before this pain will strain us 

We go through all that we go through Hoping we will end up in the safe and sound 

Gotta make some changes

DJ Life itself means changes-trying to avoid those changes will become a problem soon...If we do not like where we are now-and it is the outcome of earlier choices-we need changes...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 14 2021 at 9:27pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf_JV7pYNPcDJ,

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table for the UK show cases going up...+9%, yesterday the UK had over 2,600 new cases-the highest number since weeks...most of them very likely the India variant spreading in communities that hardly get tested/vaccinated...There are lots of indications the India variant is becoming a major problem in the UK (see also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics DJ-Yesterday I mentioned for NL cases up 17% in Amsterdam...In the UK London is seeing an increase of the India variant...Often some major cities give indications on what to expect for the rest of the country.)

On a global scale 0,2% of all vaccines went to countries we keep poor. The WHO calling (in vain) for NOT vaccinating children in rich countries but send those vaccines to the countries we keep poor...As far as I know mountain climbing in Nepal still goes on-taking oxygen with them to climb Mt Everest...while hospitals run out of oxygen-patients dying...

Worldwide reported cases went down 10%...Brazil +3%, Argentina +8%, Colombia +6%, Nepal +14%, Russia +2%, Japan +34%, Ukraine +6%, Malaysia +26%, Uruguay +8%, Costa Rica +19%, Thailand +25%, Sri Lanka +27%, South Africa +45% (!!!!), Greece +20%, Bolivia +25%, Bahrain +17% , Egypt +8%, Maldives +101%...as weekly trends...

Most of the increases are due to new variants...Still some rich countries need to "reopen", open the doors for international tourism-spreading the virus...Politicians and some experts unable to learn anything from recent past...depressing !

In NL cases are going down...but also testing is going down...as most likely in lots of countries...

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915483-with-icus-nearly-full-colombia-nears-80-000-covid-19-deaths[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915483-with-icus-nearly-full-colombia-nears-80-000-covid-19-deaths and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/central-america-aa/central-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914138-costa-rica-sets-record-for-new-cases-hospitalizations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/central-america-aa/central-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914138-costa-rica-sets-record-for-new-cases-hospitalizations DJ In both countries most new cases proberbly linked to P1 (and UK ?) variant(s) but without sequencing (and hardly enough testing) we do not know...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915376-cdc-plans-to-drop-mask-requirements-for-fully-vaccinated-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915376-cdc-plans-to-drop-mask-requirements-for-fully-vaccinated-people?view=stream ;(latest activity)Surely a sensible decision.
It gets the CDC out of the 'mask/no mask' quagmire and it provides a powerful incentive to get vaccinated.
If things turn sour later on, the mask requirement can always be reinstated.

DJ-I totally disagree with that view...In the US there is also an under current of India (and likely some other) variants going up...Dropping mask requirements sends the wrong signal...1/3 of the US population is fully vaccinated (2 vaccines or 1 J&J + at least two weeks...). In the US both testing and sequencing simply is not enough to get a good view on how this pandemic is going...with large groups still claiming "there is no pandemic" and not planning to get vaccinated...

Of course in "plan A" there is no need for vaccines-NPI (Non Pharma Intervention) would stop the spread...but most countries also did not go for realistic NPI...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915471-cidrap-mixed-reactions-to-cdc-s-revised-covid-mask-mandate[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915471-cidrap-mixed-reactions-to-cdc-s-revised-covid-mask-mandate ;While states continue to relax COVID-19 mitigation measures, concerns about vaccine uptake continue.

-

At the same time, Fauci acknowledged that people such as store or restaurant owners will have to trust others to unmask responsibly. "They will not be able to know," he said. "I mean, you're going to be depending on people being honest enough to say whether they were vaccinated or not."

-

On the other hand, CNN points to recent CDC data that say only 46% of US adults are fully vaccinated, and an ABC News/Washington Post poll last month reported that 24% are "disinclined" to receive a COVID-19 vaccine.

DJ If you would include the under 18 y/o you would get to 1/3 of US population being fully vaccinated (unclear if that also includes the two weeks + to build up immunity...) With natural immunity-after infection-proberbly not lasting long enough-less then 50% of the US population has a form of immunity-far from herd immunity-with variants-needed to be around 85%....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/915477-nv-ca-mysterious-disease-affecting-bears-across-tahoe-basin[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/915477-nv-ca-mysterious-disease-affecting-bears-across-tahoe-basin ; Biologists and veterinarians in California and Nevada are investigating a puzzling disease that has been causing bears to experience encephalitis, a sometimes fatal inflammation of the brain.

Bears with encephalitis present various symptoms, including a head tilt, tremors, an overly friendly personality and a lack of fear in response to people or dogs.

Since the first case was discovered in 2014, the Nevada Department of Wildlife, or NDOW, has found 10 bears displaying similar conditions and symptoms across the Tahoe Basin...

DJ Allthough Covid19 can cause inflamation all over the body these bears very likely suffer from some other disease...(But just a reminder-animals can get Covid19-it most likely will be spreading in animals (India !!!!).

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915472-oklahoma-b-1-617-2-variant-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915472-oklahoma-b-1-617-2-variant-detected ;The Oklahoma State Department of Health announced Friday it has identified a cluster of 17 recent cases of the B.1.617.2 variant, commonly referred to as the India variant, in the state.

Of those, 13 confirmed cases were associated with Cleveland County, according to the OSDH. To date, officials said a total of 18 cases of the B.1.617.2 variant have been identified in the state.

According to OSDH officials, three of the 17 were fully vaccinated with the Moderna vaccine and two were partially vaccinated at the time of onset. Symptom onsets range from April 16 through April 27.

DJ-A cluster of 17 cases-no mention of travel history suggesting community spread-3 fully vaccinated, 2 vaccinated once..."what can go wrong" ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected?view=stream (latest activity);GRAND JUNCTION, Colo. (KKCO) - COVID-19 transmission is on the rise throughout the Mesa County community, which is leading to elevated hospitalizations, Mesa County Public Health reported on Friday.

The health department states that patients hospitalized with the virus have nearly doubled in recent weeks, with 25 total confirmed hospitalizations as of Friday. Eight of those patients are in the ICU.

Health officials say that several strains are contributing to the rise of transmission and that the additional patients coming into hospitals is putting a strain on the system. Now more than ever, health officials are advising community members to get the vaccine.

DJ-Communications is a main point in any crisis plan-in this pandemic communications may have been the biggest disaster...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/denmark/915451-denmark-2-new-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-barnacle-goose-kors%C3%B8r-and-bjerringbro-oie-may-11-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/denmark/915451-denmark-2-new-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-barnacle-goose-kors%C3%B8r-and-bjerringbro-oie-may-11-2021 DJ-One of the risks for H5/H7 IF it spreads to humans (as it did at least twice this year-in Russia and Nigeria) is symptoms look like Covid 19-without enough testing H5/H7 human cases could go spreading...and become problematic due both lack of testing and spread by birds...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915130-russia-finds-indian-variant-in-ulyanovsk-state-university[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915130-russia-finds-indian-variant-in-ulyanovsk-state-university ;Russia's consumer health watchdog on Thursday denied a report that the country had recorded its first cases of the COVID-19 variant first found in India, which some preliminary studies show spreads easily.

The denial from a research institute attached to the Rospotrebnadzor watchdog came after the Kommersant newspaper reported that authorities in Ulyanovsk, a city 700 km (435 miles) east of Moscow, had recorded 16 cases of the variant among Indian students.

"According to specialists, the analysis of the genome of the coronavirus detected in the students does not allow it to be classified as the Indian variant which people are afraid of now," the watchdog said in a statement carried by Russian news agencies.

DJ ???? (it could be the India students had the UK variant-more in the New Delhi area ?)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915285-egypt-third-wave[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915285-egypt-third-wave ;No masks, no distancing: Egyptians celebrate Eid al-Fitr amid Covid-19 surge

Egypt is marking the three-day Eid al-Fitr festivities amid a rise in Covid-19 cases. Official figures in this country of a 100 million-strong population stand at 237,000 confirmed cases since the beginning of the pandemic, and a total of 13,972 deaths. But experts say the real figures are a lot higher.

Authorities have imposed a two-week night curfew, but many fear it may be inadequate to contain cases. At a market in Cairo, the mood was upbeat, but there was no sign of social distancing and very few face masks on display.

DJ-It could be Egypt has to deal with (still) the UK variant-eventhough they claim they managed to keep out all variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/915438-emerg-infect-dis-possible-human-to-dog-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-italy-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/915438-emerg-infect-dis-possible-human-to-dog-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-italy-2020 ;We detected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in an otherwise healthy poodle living with 4 family members who had coronavirus disease. We observed antibodies in serum samples taken from the dog, indicating seroconversion. Full-length genome sequencing showed that the canine and human viruses were identical, suggesting human-to-animal transmission.

DJ Cats are more likely to become able to spread the virus then dogs...but pets are high risk-their owners getting to ill-others take care of the pet-and may also get infected (still very limited chance...)

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf_JV7pYNPc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf_JV7pYNPc ;

DJ-With around 50% of new cases in the UK being sequenced Public Health England already did find 1,313 India-variant cases...(I do not agree with Dr.J.C. translation 100% would then give 2,626 India variant cases...lot of people with South Asia background may not be willing to get tested. Strict immigration rules may mean a lot of those people in fear of being deported in stead of treated if they show symptoms..a-symptomatic spread is even a bigger problem...) 

So-yes there is large scale community spread of the India variant in the UK. With people under 40 not being vaccinated cases very likely to go up...Dr.J.C. points out so far an increase in cases did not bring increase in severe disease/deaths...DJ-That soon will change-young people-not vaccinated-can get very ill/die from the India variant(s)...

The UK R0 is 0,9...so yes it is under 1 but with variants increasing DJ NO ROOM AT ALL for ANY reopenings ! Not even per may 17....! Still those reopenings will not be stopped increasing further spread...

Dr.J.C. mentions no masks in the US, Ivermectin NOT being allowed in India...Vaccines-Dr.J.C. "over 95% protective" in Israel study...

DJ Vaccines protect till they do not protect....You have to STS !!!! Stop The Spread and we keep ignoring that...

-DJ-My outlook is India variant will further increase-bring global wave 4. Vaccines only offer limited protection; 

A-Immunity evasion/escape being reported a.o. in India variant (but very likely also in developing P1, SA etc. variants-South Africa seeing yet another wave of new cases-what is happening there ?)

B-People now getting infected did not get vaccinated. (Partly because of age, partly being in a country without legal papers). 

Another major problem is a decrease in the willingness to get tested/vaccinated...Also politics/press spreading the idea "this pandemic is over" is not helping. Again-experts asking-often-the wrong questions...serving political goals more then public health...

Another major risk-priority #1 for some counties is;

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/turning-the-clock-back-to-2001-cia-others-prepare-a-new-resistance-against-the-taliban-.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/turning-the-clock-back-to-2001-cia-others-prepare-a-new-resistance-against-the-taliban-.html DJ-NATO getting out of Afghanistan = CIA moving in supporting pro-western warlords via drug trade...Most likely Pakistan-with some other countries bordering Afghanistan China, Iran) will not give the CIA backed IS, alquaeda "freedom fighters" much room. Most likely there are already talks with the Taliban-soon in control of Afghanistan...China would like another direct land-link via Afghanistan with Iran/Persian Gulf-EU...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/nakba-day-in-middle-east-as-may-15-arrives-5-00-pm-eastern-us-time[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/nakba-day-in-middle-east-as-may-15-arrives-5-00-pm-eastern-us-time and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-israel-shoots-kills-hezbollah-protester-on-lebanon-border[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-israel-shoots-kills-hezbollah-protester-on-lebanon-border and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/jordan-and-israel-armies-exchanging-gunfire-on-jordan-border[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/jordan-and-israel-armies-exchanging-gunfire-on-jordan-border and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/turkey-foreign-minister-i-you-don-t-protect-palestinians-we-will[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/turkey-foreign-minister-i-you-don-t-protect-palestinians-we-will 

DJ-Israel now facing protests on ALL its borders and all over Israel itself...the worst crisis it has seen since the start of Israel. Netanyahu pushing for war with Iran-hoping Iran will provide an excuse so the US will get into a war with Iran for Netanyahu's interests...

Missiles not only from Gaza but also-limited/no damage from Lebanon and Syria. Israel killing a demonstrator at the Jordan border...Today is "Nakba-day" in memory of the 1948 expulsion of Palestines by a group of people starting "Israel"...

Since 1948-first recognized as a state then by the Soviet Union-Israel more and more became a US bridgehead in the Middle East...There was no need for Israel to get better relations with its neighbours since the US was putting in zillions of US$....

That "US state of Israel" has no future. Another form of Israel could be very meaningfull for the region...

Turkey claims it has "50 other Islamic countries" willing to move in to protect the Palestinians and Islamic holy places...a.o. Jerusalem. 

It is the interest of Israel to de-escalate ! Hezbollah may have over 100,000 missiles ready and is very close to start using them if Israel further escalates (a.o. by moving into Gaza by land. The "land operation that did start was shelling"). 

Netanyahu is not the man to de-escalate-his goal is to provoke war with Iran. Because that goal is so very clear-and Russia, China do not want an open war between Israel and Iran they will try to get a "controll on the conflict". 

Possible steps may be Russia shooting down Israeli planes trying to hit targets in Lebanon or Syria, China moving in military into Syria (in part also to fight Uyghur-IS fighters in Idlib). 

One unexpected element so far in the Gaza-conflict is Gaza having drones, long range missiles-in part from Iran or Turkey...

DJ-This conflict was planned both by Israel and Palestine (in part also Iran, Turkey). May 15-Nakba-day-was in the agenda's...

Turkey wants to become the leading country in Islam (and therefor is in conflict with Saudi Arabia...). Another aspect is TIP-Turkey-Iran-Pakistan could be working more closely together to find a basis on how to deal with growing Chinese economic, Russian military influence...(all three united against the US a.o. Iran/Turkey still fighting Kurds-US/Israel using Kurds against Assad...) 

Turkey is not very welcome on its own in the Arab world due to the Ottoman history (till 1923...) Non of the TIP countries is Arab...but the largest Islamic countries are not Arab countries (Indonesia, Nigeria, India has over 200 million muslims...Pakistan Bangladesh). 

DJ-China needs foreign energy. TIP itself has limited energy to offer but if TIP manages to "gain influence south" (Iraq, Syria, Libya, and even Gulf States) that may fit China energy needs...

Again Iran is the link for Russia south to the Indian Ocean-for China the link west to Europe/Africa...Both Russia and China will NOT accept large scale military actions against Iran. So far Iran did not permit Russia or China to have permanent bases in Iran-but that may change...

DJ-I think Biden will think twice before getting pulled into the mess Netanyahu is making...The US position in the Middle East is "weak", support for the US in Europe is decreasing (we get the refugees for US conflicts-we have to put sanctions on all kind of US enemies...).

Allready both in Europe and the US there are pro-Palestine demonstrations. Most of the Israeli's did NOT vote for Netanyahu...

So what to expect for today ? Much more protests both in Israel, at/over the Israeli "borders" with protesters trying to get into Israeli held territory (West Bank, Golan heights is occupied area) and international protests. 

Missiles/airstrikes/shelling in/around Gaza will go on...further escalation depends on Israeli moves/choices...If Israel wants war with all its neighbours-break relations with Egypt, Jordan it shoots at demonstrators getting over borders, bombs Lebanon etc...

I think the US wants to stay out of this conflict for the coming days-it is a major US foreign policy disaster...Russia wants a "conflict to be limited" but "Israel to start listening" stop ethnic cleansing in East Jerusalem/West Bank...Not giving Israel much room in Lebanon/Syria-maybe even going for electronic warfare in Gaza...Giving Iran/Turkey room to "increase support" for Palestine...

Again Israel needs to de-escalate as soon as possible !!!!

A major war during an out of control pandemic would be a further disaster...(I did not start on TIP-India relations...China and Pakistan most likely working together in the Kashmir-border conflict...India under Modi moving towards a crisis...)

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8pYpii2Atg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8pYpii2Atg The Sweet-Ballroom Blitz DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blitz[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blitz "Blitz" is German for "lightning" .

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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EdwinSm, View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 14 2021 at 10:40pm

I notice that for the past two days the Palestinian Territories have not posted any cases/deaths from covid.  Given the current horrendous conditions I am wondering just how fast it is spreading.

I have also noticed that since the military takeover in Burma/Myanmar cases have dropped drastically, but that is probably due to the collapse of the state health system following the take over meaning almost no testing is currently been done, 



Note: The WHO definition of "cases" is only relevant when there is a functioning health care service and extensive testing, which is hard in a war situation.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 15 2021 at 10:17pm

EdwinSm, To be honest-for the bigger picture I hardly look at numbers from Myanmar or Palestine...For me the numbers at best give an indication on how this pandemic is developing...A lot of countries with low/limited numbers at best reflect "limited testing" at worst it is some political type sending in some numbers to try to show there is a functioning government...

Maybe some country could get the idea of trying to get more international aid by making up an increase of cases...maybe to cover up for earlier under reporting, an existing healthcrisis...International aid (mis)used in a small country we keep poor...

DJ

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show a decrease of cases in India., deaths 4,000+..but most likely most due to less testing-spread to rural area's (and political manipulation-Government is "very succesfull in dealing with the crisis"- they also created the crisis so now they can "show leadership"...). Brazil sticks around 70,000 new cases per day...In the new cases top 10-Nepal still at #10 with over 8,000 new cases...

Weekend numbers often are lower then end of the week numbers...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Weekly case % change; San Marino +1,600% means they did find 16 cases this week-zero cases last week-in a population of just over 33,000...Haïti +170%, Vietnam +162%, Papua New Guinea +139% are more serious signals...Most likely by now several variants increasing in those area's...Belize +56%, Ghana +52%, Rwanda +42% (that country is now on an orange list for NL tourism, almost all other countries are on a red list...)....

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics not updated daily-reflecting numbers that are over a week old since sequencing takes time provide more info on the undercurrent of variants...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Notable_variants[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Notable_variants and there are lots of variants...

Also a lot of countries use own criteria for "Covid case" or "Covid death"...so numbers give "some indication" not much more...

-Flutrackers can help to give those numbers some meaning. Where are variants showing up ? What other diseases do spread ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/836733-j-infect-dis-avian-influenza-human-infections-at-the-human-animal-interface[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/836733-j-infect-dis-avian-influenza-human-infections-at-the-human-animal-interface ;

Avian influenza A viruses (AIVs) are among the most concerning emerging and re-emerging pathogens because of the potential risk in causing an influenza pandemic with catastrophic impact. The recent increase in domestic animals and poultry worldwide was followed by an increase of human AIV outbreaks reported.

-

We described the characteristics of more than 2,500 laboratory-confirmed human infections with AIVs. Human infections with H5N1 and H7N9 were more frequently reported than other subtypes. The risk of death was highest among reported cases infected with H5N1, H5N6, H7N9 and H10N8 infections. Older people and males tended to have a lower risk of infection with most AIV subtypes, except for H7N9. Visiting live poultry markets were mostly reported by H7N9, H5N6 and H10N8 cases, while exposure to sick or dead bird mostly reported by H5N1, H7N2, H7N3, H7N4, H7N7 and H10N7 cases.
DISCUSSION:

Understanding the profile of human cases of different AIV subtypes would guide control strategy. Continued monitoring of human infections with AIVs is essential for pandemic preparedness.

DJ-You monitor spread of diseases to be ready to get a disease under control when it is getting out of control. The point of putting lots of money in study/monitoring is to PREVENT pandemics ! But stopping pandemics needs political will to make choices...And yes in the present pandemic the choice was to "save the economy"...at the cost of the "most vulnarable" ...by going for herd immunity...Bird Flu is the next pandemic-just around the corner...will we go for "herd immunity" again ? To "save the economy" ? Or will "we" put "leaders on trial in court for mass murder ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/915558-military-jet-flying-training-runs-startled-many-across-eastern-iowa-but-where-that-jet-came-from-and-went-remains-a-mystery[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/915558-military-jet-flying-training-runs-startled-many-across-eastern-iowa-but-where-that-jet-came-from-and-went-remains-a-mystery DJ ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915046-montana-p-1-and-b-1-617-2-variants-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915046-montana-p-1-and-b-1-617-2-variants-detected ;  Montana’s latest COVID-19 variant update shows a total of 216 variant cases but no additional confirmed cases of the P.1 or B.1.617.2 variants, also known as Brazil and India variants.

New on the report is a section that shows how many of Montana’s 159 breakthrough cases are attributed to variants. Breakthrough cases are COVID-19 cases confirmed in people at least two weeks out from full vaccination. All three cases of the P.1 strain in Montana are in people who are fully vaccinated. 30 others are confirmed to be other variants, including B.1.1.7, also known as the U.K. variant.

DJ-"Science" still treating escape cases-vaccinated people getting infected-as exceptions. If a vaccine offers 90% protection-10% will get infected...It becomes a problem if in reality lots of vaccinated people would get infected...showing the real protection of vaccines is much less then 90%...So far against the old variant vaccines seem to be very effective...But reopenings=more spread of variants and that will test vaccine protection...See also : [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915573-maine-b-1-617-2-variant-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915573-maine-b-1-617-2-variant-detected (among others...like [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected?view=stream latest activity ; Okieman Comment: On 5/12/2021 the two week case count was 581. And on the day this article was published, 5/14/2021 the two week case count was 630. I am watching Mesa County, Colorado closely since it may give me some insight into how things will play out in Cleveland County, Oklahoma where a 17 person cluster was reported yesterday.)

!!!! [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india -DJ A discussion on the India variant...starting may 5-maybe one sentence tells it all : It should be noted that the mantra that there is `no evidence' that this variant is more severe or evades the vaccine is based more on a lack of data than anything else. As the following expert reaction, posted on the Science Media Centre website, makes clear - there is a lot about this variant we don't know yet.

Expert said: 

Prof Jonathan Ball, Professor of Molecular Virology, University of Nottingham, said:

“The main threat to vaccine success and return to normality has been the emergence and spread of variants that are able to escape the protection offered by vaccines. Evidence so far suggests that the vaccines should still be effective against the variant of concern first identified in India, but this is far from clear.

“Whilst most vulnerable people have had both doses of vaccine, and therefore will have the highest levels of immunity, there is still a large proportion of the population who have only had a single dose or no dose at all, and it is likely that many of these could become infected and potentially transmit the virus. Whilst the vaccines continue to protect the most vulnerable then this should not be a problem, but there is a potential risk of the virus acquiring more mutations, especially if it continues to spread in a partially immune population. That’s why it makes sense to reduce the interval between vaccine doses and ramp up vaccine coverage in potential hotspots.

“Of course, if heightened vaccine programmes can’t control its spread, and hospitalisations start to increase and threaten the NHS, then restrictions are all you have left. We aren’t there yet by any means, but we must keep a very close eye on things to ensure things don’t get out of hand again.

“Keeping the lid on the spread of this variant isn’t going to be easy, but hopefully early indicators of continued vaccine effectiveness against this variant, will minimise its impact.”

DJ -Why take the risk ? Stop The Spread ! Did we not yet learn enough ? (In most cases when vaccinated people did get the India variant vaccination did prevent severe disease...but there are lots of people vaccinated getting a developing India-variant...)

DJ-The India variant is spreading-reports from both the UK and US make the news-but in many countries it must be increasing. Vaccination may offer protection against severe disease but may not stop-at least in some cases-vaccinated people to get infected (and likely spreading the variant)... This pandemic is FAR from over ! STS !

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eO6oSJbBwbE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eO6oSJbBwbE Saturday-update-some of the info from under the video; International spread, B.1.617.2 https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20... 44 countries Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation, Professor Anthony Harnden https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-he... Vaccines are almost certainly less effective at reducing transmission of the Indian variant The vaccines may be less effective against mild disease but we don't think they're less effective against severe disease 

all the evidence so far suggests there is no evidence of increased severity of illness or that the variant evades the vaccine 

DJ Point is the "evidence" of "no evidence" basicly means we don't know !!!!

There are currently five VOCs in the United States B.1.1.7: UK B.1.351: SA P.1:  Brazil B.1.427 and B.1.429: California

DJ-That info is wrong-the CDC does see the India variant as a variant of concern VOC ! (Dr J.C. has old info ?) No-I am wrong-[url]https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions[/url] or https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions DJ-In the US they are monitoring the India variants as VOI Variants Of Interest...it is the UK that changed it to V.O.C. ...

UK, B.1.617.2 SAGE, now confident it is more transmissible than existing variants Not sure how much Prof Chris Whitty That's a really critical question to which we do not yet have the answer SAGE, realistic possibility it could be 50% Probably will become the dominant strain in the UK 

DJ-So with a lot in the UK at least having one vaccination-the India variant still will get dominant ? 

R rate England 0.8 – 1.1 Wales, 0.7 – 1 Scotland, 0.8 – 1.0 NI, 0.8 – 1.1 There are now multiple fast-growing clusters of this variant in the UK Largest in the northwest of England Observed doubling times are around a week Places where transmission of this variant is occurring have different characteristics to each other Plausible biological reasons as to why some of the mutations present could make this variant more transmissible 

In the areas where numbers of infections are increasing rapidly under the measures currently in place, an even faster increase can be expected if measures are relaxed (high confidence) If this variant were to have a 40-50% transmission advantage nationally compared to B.1.1.7, indicate that it is likely that progressing with step 3 alone would lead to a substantial resurgence of hospitalisations (similar to, or larger than, previous peaks)

Progressing with both steps 3 and 4 at the earliest dates could lead to a much larger peak  

SAGE and immune escape May be some reduction in protection given by vaccines or by naturally acquired immunity from past infection, though data on this are still mixed. Any such reduction is likely to affect protection against infection more than protection against severe disease or death not yet any clear evidence of any difference in disease severity following infection with this variant

DJ-The India variants are still mutating and will develop further vaccine resistance...Again Stop The Spread ! Do we realy need to find out the India variant can "create a much larger peak" then previous peaks ????

(DJ-Watching the video often gives extra info-I will watch it later on...trying to write something readable during my "pandemic breakfast"...)

Under the video comment; -Simon H. ;A city close to me in Finland, probably the least affected city by covid, they've had 0-1 cases/day during the whole year. Well they had a mysterious case of an indian variant, detected 2 weeks ago. Now they have 56 infected, 1 hopitalised and over 400 quarantined. Things may change quickly. They did not manage to trace where the first infected got it from.

DJ-In the statistics from wikipedia there is a link to [url]https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/indian_covid_variant_reaches_finland/11907273[/url] or https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/indian_covid_variant_reaches_finland/11907273 newer info [url]https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/covid_hotspot_lahti_awaits_extra_vaccines_police_break_up_park_parties/11932482[/url] or https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/covid_hotspot_lahti_awaits_extra_vaccines_police_break_up_park_parties/11932482 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israel-air-strikes-media-building-levels-gaza-press-office-building[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israel-air-strikes-media-building-levels-gaza-press-office-building 

Many protests against the Israeli genocide on Palestinians...in those protests variants will spread. Netanyahu is trying to provoke an Iran reaction-so he can pull the US in a war against Iran...The "good news" is the US can stop Netanyahu if they want ! Put the US embassy back in Tel Aviv, say East Jerusalem, West Bank, Golan heights are NOT Israeli territory ! Make clear the US will NOT get itself in a war with Iran because Netanyahu wants such a war...

DJ (if you have not noticed I am not neutral-I do have an opinion !) With the ongoing Israeli bombing of roads leading to hospitals. media centers etc. and the lack of US/western action against that Turkish claims they have prepared a coalition of 50 countries to "R2P" Right To Protect-a US excuse for invading small countries-is getting more realistic. 

Do we want to see Turkish, Pakistan, Egypt, Iraq, Sudan, Indonesian etc. forces pulling into Gaza ? Moving in via Jordan into the West Bank/East Jerusalem because Israel keeps killing Palestinians ? And the "West" believes that is acceptable ? 

Like in the early phase of this pandemic-inaction has consequences ! 

[url]https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/[/url] or https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ gives at least some info on developments..[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/israel-punishes-media-for-reporting-its-escalation-in-palestine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/israel-punishes-media-for-reporting-its-escalation-in-palestine.html had the news of talks between (qatar sponsored) Hamas and (Iran sponsored) Hizbollah in Lebanon. Hizbollah is willing to "join the fight" from Lebanon. Hamas want to focus on Gaza-so for now Hizbollah stays out of that fight...indicating planning of this conflict. 

Can it get out of control ? Can a relative mild coronavirus create a pandemic ? 

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PoyyZEaDUyU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PoyyZEaDUyU Beautiful People, Melanie Safka 1971-in the middle of another (stupid) war...love the lyrics ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Melanie_Safka[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Melanie_Safka ;

Melanie was born and raised in the Astoria neighborhood of Queens, New York City. Her father, Frederick M. Safka (1924–2009), was of Ukrainian ethnic background, and her mother, jazz singer Pauline "Polly" Altomare (1926–2003), was of Italian heritage.[4][5] Melanie made her first public singing appearance at age four on the radio show Live Like A Millionaire, performing the song "Gimme a Little Kiss". She attended Red Bank High School in Red Bank, New Jersey, after transferring from Long Branch High School, graduating in 1964

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 16 2021 at 10:08pm

DJ-Another try to get a view of where this pandemic is going-and why...a "battle" between virus/variants and vaccines/NPI-with conflics causing increased spread, decreasing healthcare...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table show an increase of 9% for the UK. This is alarming for several reasons; 

A-High number of supposed vaccine and natural immunity-after an earlier wave of the UK variant ! 

B-Very likely spread in communities that did not see much vaccinations-partly due to each-also in part due to legal status. Without proper visa in the UK. Such a spread may be hard to contain or even test...

C-The UK still is planning to reopen more today -against the advise of experts that reopening will further increase the spread...

D-As far as there is info on the India variants B.1.617-2 is believed to be 1,5 as infectious as the UK variant (wich in itself was 1,3 times as infectious as the "old variant"-so the India variant may be 2 times as infectious as the old variant...and still mutating).

E-Given that a large number of the UK population did get one vaccination there is a real chance this variant will "mutate" itself around the vaccines more...

Spread of the India variants is not only a UK problem-the variants are as an under current spreading all over the globe. The main driver of infections in South Asia. 

Some of the statistics-in general-on increase in countries ; Brazil +3%, Argentina +12%, Colombia +6%, Nepal +3%, Russia +5%, Japan +21% (Olympics....) , Chile +7% (high number of Chinese vaccinations-not offering protection against P1-or other variants...), Malaysia +15%, Thailand +26%, South Africa +37%, Sri Lanka +19%, Bolivia +27%, Bahrain +16%, Maldives +72% (!!!!), Cuba +16%, Egypt +7%, Denmark +21% !!!!!! Dominican Republic +38%, South Korea +7%, Portugal +13%, Angola +9%....

DJ-On a global scale cases would go down -14%...The India statistics are a major factor. Testing is also going down in many places...it is very likely also "political factors" are an issue in countries reopening for tourism...The numbers give some indications. Bahrain, Chili are in the vaccinations top ten-cases going up there may mean vaccine escape of variants...

In real numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ India is still reporting over 280,000 cases-weekend will see lower numbers, also decrease of testing and "politics" are in play. Deaths +4,092...spread into the countryside will see much less testing/reporting-in part because there are no hospitals/doctors able to report...In a list of most new cases only 7 countries report more then 10,000 new cases...

On the India variant(s) [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics may 16 has 2,105 India variant cases in India, 2,237 of them in the UK ! Since sequencing takes 10-14 days and only a small number of new cases-at best-see sequencing the numbers indicate the situation of early may...

[url]https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/[/url] or https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/ has more info on spread of variants per region...(again sequencing only a very limited number of cases-so results are 10 to 14 days old...) .The graph may show a strong increase but that may be relative low numbers...but in percentages going from 1 to 2 cases = 100% growth...

-To find out what the numbers mean background info is on Flutrackers ;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915595-brazil-covid-killing-many-young-children[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915595-brazil-covid-killing-many-young-children ; Experts believe Brazil’s overloaded hospital system and uneven access to health care are among the reasons babies and small children are succumbing to the virus at a high rate.

-

Covid-19 is ravaging Brazil, and, in a disturbing new wrinkle that experts are working to understand, it appears to be killing babies and small children at an unusually high rate.

DJ-The WHO is asking countries to send vaccines to "countries we keep poor"-and wait to start vaccinating under 18 y/o...Many western countries are ignoring that request...Also P1 (and SA ?) variant is still spreading in many places...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915553-uk-growing-concerns-over-the-b-1-617-2-variant-s-impact-on-reopening-society[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915553-uk-growing-concerns-over-the-b-1-617-2-variant-s-impact-on-reopening-society (latest activity);Scientists believe that the variant is more transmissible and cases of it nearly tripled to 1,313 in the past week in England.

But Matt Hancock said early lab data showed vaccines remained effective.

He said the majority of those in hospital in Bolton - a hotspot for the Indian variant - were unvaccinated.

DJ-Maybe vaccination protects better against getting very ill after infection then it is protecting against getting infected/spreading...The UK (like Bahrain, Chile) are in the top 10 for vaccinations. The US is even opening more-also very good in vaccinations-but will also see India (a.o.) variants increase/explode...We are far away from herd immunity by vaccines-even Israel may not be there yet...

You can not make vaccinations mandatory in most cases..."media" and "politics" claim the pandemic is almost over...(Dr. John Campbell was on that line till recently as well...). Also in most countries "old and vulnarable" did get vaccinated...Indonesia was one of the few countries vaccinating as a first step-the most social active people. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915239-worse-than-the-disease-reviewing-some-possible-unintended-consequences-of-the-mrna-vaccines-against-covid-19?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/915239-worse-than-the-disease-reviewing-some-possible-unintended-consequences-of-the-mrna-vaccines-against-covid-19?view=stream DJ-A discussion on the safety of (mRNA) vaccines-I do not know enough of it-or have time enough to get into this...But in general I would prefer stopping the spread of virus/variants by Non Pharma Interventions...Even if vaccines have very limited risks vaccinating 7,8 billion people in time is impossible...In animals vaccines to control corona virus disease in a controlled enviroment has shown limited succes at best...This pandemic has billions of hosts with virusses/variants all over the place...The idea that vaccines would be fast and effective is "over optimistic"/unrealistic-fantasy...pushing zillions of $/€ to Big Pharma-share holders...maybe those who decided for this strategy...

In general both experts and politics-in my view-underestimated what an infectious disease could do. The next idea was to go for natural herd immunity-they had to give up in most places when the virus turned out to be much worse. So now we have "herd immunity via vaccination"....Countries like Australia, New Zealand, China did get the spread under control via NPI...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915584-singapore-covid-19-primary-secondary-schools-and-jcs-to-move-to-full-home-based-learning-from-may-19-due-to-rise-in-covid-19-cases-may-16-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915584-singapore-covid-19-primary-secondary-schools-and-jcs-to-move-to-full-home-based-learning-from-may-19-due-to-rise-in-covid-19-cases-may-16-2021SINGAPORE: All primary and secondary schools, as well as junior colleges and Millennia Institute, will shift to full home-based learning from Wednesday (May 19) until the end of the term on May 28, amid a rise in COVID-19 cases in Singapore.

This also applies to students from special education schools.

DJ-The India variant may be a main factor in Singapore-but most likely P3, UK variants also factors in Singapore/Malaysia/Indonesia...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914570-nunavut-capital-declares-local-state-of-emergency-as-covid-19-cases-rise?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/914570-nunavut-capital-declares-local-state-of-emergency-as-covid-19-cases-rise?view=stream (latest activity) Canadian Arctic Inuit ("Eskimo") cases.

-Dr. John Campbell- Sunday Update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZpBJ1LhQto&t=126s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZpBJ1LhQto&t=126s DJ-Since most of his news is also covered above just a few short points from under his video;

UK Matt Hancock I think it’s quite likely this will become the dominant variant. importance of people coming forward for testing and being careful because this isn’t over yet we have increasing confidence that the vaccine works against the variant (Early Oxford University lab data) the strategy is on track - it’s just the virus has just gained a bit of pace and we’ve therefore all got to be that bit much more careful and cautious Over 35s next week Hospital in Bolton vast majority of patients, eligible but unvaccinated Five people who have had a single jab, hospitalised, Indian variant, Bolton, England

-

Local lockdowns not ruled out Next decision day, 14th June (for 21st June)

-

Is covid changing? Asymptomatic rate higher after vaccine Symptoms may be very mild Fewer symptoms Shorter symptomatic time Think, less likely to develop long covid Less transmission of the virus More so after 2 doses

-

Symptoms after vaccination No vaccine, 5 symptoms in first week First dose, 2 to 4 symptoms Booster doses, 0 to 1 symptom

-

Start of Moderna data 6,900 people have reported on Moderna vaccine Profile more similar to Pfizer Short limited side effects Age differences in side effects

-

Europe about one month behind UK in lowering trends 

-DJ-Dr.J.C. now discussing how infection looks like in vaccinated people in itself should be alarming ! Vaccines have several effects; stopping severe illness may be still doing a good job-so far. But vaccinated people may spread the variants more then the "old virus" ? And spreading it more asymptomatic ? Also Dr.J.C./UK politics ignore spread via "illegal immigrants"...people without the proper visa that will not seek help if "help" is being deported to the countries we keep poor...

Conclusion; This pandemic is far from over-India and other variants very likely spreading in many places. When I look at the NL/Dutch data we only would have 3 THREE India variant cases here in NL...But with decrease in testing, limited sequencing and limited measures on control of travel that statistic is unrealistic-still we may see even reopening faster here in NL...

History repeats itself because "we" do not want to learn from history...

WAR

DJ-Lots of protests against Israel killing tens of Palestinians per day in an uprising against Palestinians being kicked out of their houses in East Jerusalem to give those houses to "Jews"....DJ-I do not see "Jews" as a race-but a religious group...in this case the basic idea is to make East Jerusalem/West Bank more "Israeli" by giving the Arab population again less room, less economic oppertunity, water, electricity...The "West" did accept this policy for decades...some of the Arab "royal dictatorships" do not have any problem with it...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/islamic-nations-hold-emergency-summit-on-israel-gaza-attacks[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/islamic-nations-hold-emergency-summit-on-israel-gaza-attacks  and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israeli-mobs-are-marking-doors-of-palestinian-homes-to-attack[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/israeli-mobs-are-marking-doors-of-palestinian-homes-to-attack 

DJ-A number of conflicts in the Middle East now boiling over; 

1-Turkey/Erdogan wants Turkey to play a leading role in the Islamic World. (Would EU membership of Turkey have stopped this ? Maybe if Erdogan did not become "the ruler" of Turkey maybe...) So Turkey is in conflict with Saudi Arabia and wants to show itself as "protector of Islam/Muslims" ...

2-Arab "royal dictators" do not care about Palestinians-but Jerusalem is the third holiest place in Islam...and that is an issue !

3-Netanyahu wants Iran to get involved...so the US would come to help Israel against Iran...

4-Netanyahu would end up in prison for corruption charges if he is not P.M.-fifth elections on its way in two years...

5-Turkey-Iran-Pakistan may be working on increasing their own position-wanting to be a factor both in Afghanistan and the Middle East...

6-So "royal arab dictatorships" recently signing "peace" deals with Israel (de facto-organizing a united front against Iran) and moderate countries with peace with Israel (Egypt, Jordan) are now under pressure to review their position

7-Russia, China want to increase their influence in the region-US (under Trump) accepted Israel annexation of West Bank, Jerusalem and-more or less-Golan Heights...does not go very well in Arab World..

8-Of course there is also still the conflict between Palestinians-and Arab Israeli's with the "Jewish" Israeli's

DJ-Some analists expect the conflict to get much worse...Lebanon/Hezbollah may get active when Israel moves into Gaza...Egypt already is sending ambulances-with Egypt military escorts-inside Gaza to pick up wounded...with that-refugees moving into Egypt-Israel expects weapons may be getting into Gaza...

Netanyahu may have the idea of this conflict helping him getting the US on the Israel side in a war with Iran. Some Palestinian groups expect covered help from "partners" (Iran, Turkey etc.) against Israel. Yemen groups can reach Eilat/South Israel with missiles...

In many ways this is also becoming an East-West conflict again...with the US not having a good strategy yet in how to deal with it...(The US can not openly support Israel bombing Gaza...)

-Music; Back Home-Golden Earing Dutch Rock ! [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8tBX5AMJKk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8tBX5AMJKk  with a very 1970 clip...



  

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 17 2021 at 9:45pm

DJ,

-The numbers; here in NL still close to 1% of the population is spreading the virus-India variant increasing-but we are "reopening"...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ has sunday-low-numbers; India over 263,000 new cases, 4,340 deaths reported-on a global total of 535,371 reported new cases, 10,733 deaths...Most of "the problem" now in countries we keep poor...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table underlines that picture-only gives indications...UK still +1%.

The India variant is increasing-but when you look for variants/countries the info is "very limited and old"...Finland may have a larger outbreak of the India variant [url]https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/92e9bb33fac744c9a084381fc35aa3c7[/url] or https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/92e9bb33fac744c9a084381fc35aa3c7 but "the news" is vaccines going up...

DJ-Most of the "work" getting us out of the pandemic is in NPI NOT vaccines !!!! Countries like Australia, New Zealand, China are doing good because they managed to keep the virus out/under control NOT due to vaccinations ! The idea of getting a vaccine every year while we should have stopped the virus is making the poor more dependent-again via problems they did not create !

The most important numbers may be in [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics -UK now reporting 3,332 cases...worldwide 7,367 cases in 64 countries. Since sequencing takes a lot of time-those numbers are on early may...

-Flutrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-6-series-originally-found-in-india?view=stream (latest activity) DJ India variant increase high speed in UK, US-vaccine offers protection against severe disease, but limited protection against spread...(DJ-maybe more protection against spread if a higher number of the population is vaccinated...so if a vaccinated person catches the India variant he/she is less likely to infect another vaccinated person...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915600-cdc-limits-review-of-vaccinated-but-infected-draws-concern-ignoring-those-with-widespread-medical-issues-if-they-are-not-hosiptalized[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/915600-cdc-limits-review-of-vaccinated-but-infected-draws-concern-ignoring-those-with-widespread-medical-issues-if-they-are-not-hosiptalized ; At the end of April, more than 9,000 Americans were reported to be infected after being vaccinated, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. While that’s a tiny percentage of the 95 million people fully inoculated at the time, researchers still want to find out what specific mechanisms may be spurring the infections.

-

At the start of May, the CDC shifted from monitoring all reported breakthroughs to only those that result in hospitalization or death, Tom Clark, head of the vaccine evaluation unit for the CDC’s vaccine task force, said in an interview. The goal of the new strategy, according to the agency: maximize the quality of data collected on cases....

-

As of April 26, 2021 more than 9,245 COVID cases had been reported in the fully vaccinated, known as “breakthrough cases.” The CDC recently recommended reducing the RT-PCR Ct value to 28 cycles when testing fully vaccinated people for COVID.

The lower threshold would result in a decrease in positive breakthrough cases, calling into question COVID vaccine efficacy data.

Dr. Fauci recommends a Ct value of 35. Globally, the accepted cut-off for Ct value for COVID ranges between 35 and 40, depending on instructions from manufacturers of testing equipment.

According to the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), a patient is considered positive for COVID if the Ct value is below 35. In other words, if the virus is detectable after 35 cycles or earlier, then the patient is considered positive.

-

We asked the CDC to explain why it changed the recommendations for COVID testing in vaccinated patients, the impact this will have on reports of breakthrough COVID cases and why the agency does not apply one RT-PCR testing standard for testing, regardless of vaccination status...

-

This is so discouraging and I wish it was surprising. Do you speak or understand French?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=0-7R3r5_-EA
Pr Didier Raoult, Directeur de l'IHU Méditerranée Infection discusses vaccines and corruption (bribery) amongst big pharmaceutical companies and how they mislead the public into believing things to the benefit of those large companies. He also cites several cases that resulted in heavy fines against all the companies now producing the vaccines.

DJ CDC working for Big Pharma...The India-variant may show vaccines offer "limited protection" against infection/spread...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915643-cidrap-un-agencies-make-urgent-appeal-for-covax-vaccine-doses[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915643-cidrap-un-agencies-make-urgent-appeal-for-covax-vaccine-doses ;

In a statement, UNICEF's Executive Director Henrietta Fore, MPA, said the COVAX program, designed to ensure equitable access to vaccines, will soon deliver its 65 millionth dose, but should have delivered at least 170 million. She predicted that as a deadly surge continues in India and its neighbors, the shortfall will be 190 million doses by the time G7 leaders meet in early June.
She said UNICEF has repeatedly warned about countries letting down their guard and leaving low- and middle-income countries without equitable access to vaccines, diagnostics, and treatments.
"While the situation in India is tragic, it is not unique," Fore said. "Cases are exploding, and health systems are struggling in countries near—like Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Maldives—and far, like Argentina and Brazil. The cost for children and families will be incalculable."
Soaring domestic vaccine demand in India has diverted 140 million doses meant for COVAX, with 50 million more doses that will probably be missed in June.
Fore said G7 leaders meeting next month have a potential stop-gap measure to help make up the lost ground. She said a new analysis suggests that G7 nations and a group of European countries could donate about 153 million doses if they shared 20% of their available supply this summer. "Critically, they could do so while still meeting their commitments to vaccinate their own populations," Fore said.
DJ-Covid is becoming another "poor countries problem" , rich countries have vaccines...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915635-cidrap-covid-19-scan-homeless-people-with-covid-19-covid-reinfection-in-college[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915635-cidrap-covid-19-scan-homeless-people-with-covid-19-covid-reinfection-in-college ; Almost two thirds of homeless patients hospitalized for COVID-19 were of non-White descent and more than 80% had at least one comorbidity, according to a descriptive study in The Journal of Infectious Diseases yesterda

-

In the spring 2021 semester, 2.2% of Clemson University, South Carolina, students previously infected with COVID-19 were diagnosed as having been reinfected, according to a study published yesterday in Clinical Infectious Diseases.

DJ This pandemic is far from over...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/further-communications/913004-reports-of-censorship-during-pandemic?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/further-communications/913004-reports-of-censorship-during-pandemic?view=stream DJ-"We are vaccinating ourselves out of this pandemic" is a lie ! Not asking how we got into this pandemic, why we fall back in the same "old normal" that did bring us this disaster is also a form of censorship. See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915626-the-cdc-s-revamped-vaccine-breakthrough-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915626-the-cdc-s-revamped-vaccine-breakthrough-report

As we've seen many times in the past, surveillance - at best - can show us trends. All numbers - regardless of the location or the disease - are only subsets of what is really out there.


But, the public really needs to understand the numbers being reported likely only represent a very tiny subset of vaccine breakthrough cases across the nation.

DJ-How you will find realistic numbers on vaccine escape if you only include vaccine escape resulting in hospital/death ? My conclusion is you do not want to find the real numbers on vaccine escape...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/826867-general-discussion-of-one-health-concept[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/826867-general-discussion-of-one-health-concept ;The Bria Fund funneled hundreds of thousands of dollars into FIPS research, only to face this strange resistance from Gilead. If anyone has any idea why the successful use of a precursor drug to treat cats would bias the FDA against approving the human form, I'd be interested to know. GS-441542 is described as a systemic metabolite of remdesivir in humans, so in my mind, safe successful use in cats would be a plus, not a negative.

DJ-Money matters...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/west-nile-virus/915620-spain-unprecedented-increase-of-west-nile-virus-neuroinvasive-disease-summer-2020-eurosurveillance[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/west-nile-virus/915620-spain-unprecedented-increase-of-west-nile-virus-neuroinvasive-disease-summer-2020-eurosurveillance ;

West Nile virus (WNV) is a zoonotic pathogen transmitted from birds to mammals, in particular humans and horses, by Culex mosquitoes. WNV lineages 1 and 2 have been described to affect humans, in whom the majority of infections are asymptomatic; 20–40% of cases develop West Nile fever (WNF), which presents as influenza-like symptoms after an incubation period of 3–15 days. West Nile neuroinvasive disease (WNND)—which can present as meningitis, encephalitis or acute flaccid paralysis—develops in less than 1% of cases. WNND has a highly variable clinical course, but is often associated with considerable long-term morbidity. Approximately two-thirds of those with paralysis continue to experience significant weakness in the affected limbs [1]. Treatment is supportive, and after the acute phase recovery long-lasting immunity is conferred. Nevertheless, sequelae are frequent, especially after WNND, and are also possible after WNF. The most frequent physical, psychological and functional sequelae are, respectively, muscle weakness, memory loss and difficulty doing activities of daily living. The WNND fatality rate is around 10%. Several risk factors have been identified for both WNND and death, with advanced age, male sex and underlying medical conditions being the most common ones. There is no WNV vaccine for humans

DJ-Climate "change" related...(like Malaria etc...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915553-uk-growing-concerns-over-the-b-1-617-2-variant-s-impact-on-reopening-society?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/915553-uk-growing-concerns-over-the-b-1-617-2-variant-s-impact-on-reopening-society?view=stream (latest activity) 

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...05.04.442663v1
SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.617 is resistant to Bamlanivimab and evades antibodies induced by infection and vaccination
DJ-But we "are reopening" ....

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaefMrez9XA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaefMrez9XA ;

Interview with PJ Coogan, presenter of "The Opinion Line" Cork's 96FM The potential serious implications of the India variant in Ireland and other European countries. (also Ivermectin...)

and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqEuwgepQWU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqEuwgepQWU Monday update; Some of the info from under the video;

UK, Reopening day People testing positive, + 1,926 + 1,979 Last 7 days, + 15,540 (up 1.1%) Deaths, + 4 + 5 = 127,684 Last 7 days, + 75 (up 7.1%) 

B.1.617.2 Confirmed, 2,323 Bolton, 81.4% per cent of all cases Croydon, 74% Nationally 20%

United States Vaccinations At least 1 dose, 157,132,234 (47.3%) Fully vaccinated, 122,999,721 (37%)

Thailand Cases, + 9,636 Record number Prison cases, + 6,853

DJ From the comments; As a US. Citizen, I am ashamed at the slow release of information from the CDC. 

No kidding.. and did you see they are not checking on “breakthrough” cases w those that are fully vaccinated? They’ve stopped doing that. That is the dumbest thing I’ve heard yet. So now we will have no idea( from them anyway..) if our vacc are protecting from the variants. Ridiculous

I think many people in England feel quite bemused. Certainly not overjoyed or relieved. Most are just crossing our fingers and hoping for the best.

DJ-Again, reopening with India variants exploding, limited vaccinations-AND limited protection via vaccines is asking for a longer pandemic...Is stopping this pandemic a goal-or is this pandemic a money maker ? 

WAR

Netanyahu may not get the US in a war with Iran...Israel may have to rethink evicting Arabs from their homes to give those houses to "Jewish" people...Israel did so far kill over 200 Palestinians in Gaza, dozens in protests in Israel/West Bank. Israel also may see relations with many other countries damaged...

Music; A new world in the morning-Roger Whittaker-1971 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7A0ZgIzICBY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7A0ZgIzICBY 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 18 2021 at 10:25pm

DJ,

It is very quiet on this forum-proberbly in part due to mass media in many western countries spreading the message that "this pandemic is almost over"..."let's celebrate" , "partytime"...etc. Vaccinations in the rich countries may be increasing more then the India variants in those countries. I (DJ-NOT an expert !) do expect India variant to become a major problem in many of those "rich party time countries"....

And of course I hope to be wrong, I love to have "more freedoms" and less cases...But we have been in this crisis for 16 months-"hope is not a basis" we have to look at the facts. Cases decreased late spring, early summer 2020-to explode later on. At present the India variant is widespread, 2,25 times more infectious then the "old variant" (the UK variant was 1,33 times more infectious...).

Countries are reopening on a large scale, with younger-unvaccinated-people catching/spreading the India variant. In many countries that we keep poor also the SA, P1, UK variant is still increasing. 

In the rich-most western-countries-a lot of people are aware of the India variant, did pay attention to how this pandemic did behave. Lots of people think for themselves, use their brains when "politicians, press, experts" seem to be unable to think. Lots of hospitals, GP's, healthcare dealing with long covid patients are under extreme pressure. They almost feel betrayed by the "dominant stupidity"...If there is a fourth wave in the short term healthcare-in general-already is at breaking point...

-The numbers for the global picture [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ India reporting 267,000+ new cases, a record number of 4,525 deaths on a global number of 612,000+ new cases almost 14,000 new deaths...Brazil, Argentina still in very high numbers...In many countries another reason for decreasing number of cases is decrease in number of tests...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table ; Taiwan is seeing an explosion of cases-+1,742% in real cases 57 last week-1,050 this week...Haiti +276%, Thailand +88%, Vietnam +80%-Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam did very well during this pandemic-it is very likely the India variant is not finding any competition, natural immunity...Singapore +64%, China (!!!!!) +61%, Botswana +48%, South Africa +41%, Ghana +40%, Myanmar +35%, Japan +14%....In Europe Denmark +14% (almost 100% sequencing new cases), UK-1%...

I think these numbers [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617#Statistics are "the main news"but they do not get updated daily...lots of countries only report on variants once, twice a week...

-Flutrackers may give more info on where we are;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915707-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-cases-top-25-million-as-deaths-soar[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915707-cidrap-india-s-covid-19-cases-top-25-million-as-deaths-soar ; India's COVID-19 total topped 25 million cases, and though cases dropped below 300,000 for 2 days in a row, the country today reported a daily record for deaths, with 4,387 reported, thought to be a large undercount as the virus spreads to more rural areas with less testing and healthcare capacity.
As India's total edges closer to that of the United States, some Asian countries continue to grapple with their new surges, including Taiwan, which is experiencing its biggest outbreak of the pandemic.

India faces cyclone, on top of surge

So far, it's not clear if India's cases have peaked — earlier reports have noted a drop in cases in New Delhi, but with spread to more rural areas where surveillance data aren't as clear.
In Gujarat state, located on the country's western coast, authorities evacuated more than 200,000 people who were in the path of a Cyclone Tauktae, the country's largest in more than 20 years, according to Reuters. The people were tested for COVID, masks have been provided, and rescue groups made efforts to observe social distancing.
Gujarat and Mumbai postponed their vaccination drives yesterday due to the cyclone, and according to CNN, COVID patients were evacuated from hospitals low-lying areas and relocated to other facilities. Reuters said some power supply disruptions at hospitals were reported, but officials said service has been restored to 29 COVID hospitals so far.

-

Federal government sources said the country probably won't be able to resume COVID vaccine exports until October. The early rollout of vaccine though the COVAX program, designed to ensure equitable global access, hinged on AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine made by the Serum Institute of India. However, the country has had to divert its production to its own population, due to the catastrophic COVID surge.

Asian countries battle surges

Taiwan today reported 245 cases, a day after reporting a single-day high, according to CNN. Most of the local spread is occurring in the capital city Taipei. Health officials have been tightening restrictions and today announced that all schools in Taiwan will close for 10 days.

In Japan, a Tokyo doctor's group urged the country's prime minister to cancel the postponed Olympic Summer Games in the city, according to the Washington Post. They said the health system can't handle the extra demand as it weathers the country's latest COVID surge.

Elsewhere, Malaysia today reported more than 4,800 cases, the highest since the end of January, as well as 47 deaths, a record daily high for the country, according to the Straits Times. Health officials linked the surge to the spread of variant viruses and that the health system is under severe stress. They are also paving the way for employers to buy vaccine for their workers in an effort to speed immunization.

More global headlines

  • Though cases in the African region are declining overall, seven countries are reporting rises of 20% or more, the World Health Organization (WHO) African regional office said today in its latest weekly health emergencies report. They include Benin, Eritrea, Eswatini, Liberia, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, and South Africa.
  • In the Middle East, an Israeli airstrike has partly destroyed Gaza's only lab that can process COVID tests, according to the New York Times.
  • In Germany, officials in the North Rhine-Westphalia city of Velbert have quarantined two apartment tower blocks after the B1617 variant was detected in a woman who lives there, according to Reuters. The city is near Dusseldorf in western Germany.

DJ-"Natural/climatecollapse disasters" will worsen this pandemic. Worldwide availability of vaccines is a problem, in most western countries "vaccines end up in garbage because an ill-informed public thinks the pandemic is over"....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915706-cidrap-us-covid-19-cases-deaths-drop-to-lowest-levels-in-a-year[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/915706-cidrap-us-covid-19-cases-deaths-drop-to-lowest-levels-in-a-year ;Today Rochelle Walensky, MD, MPH, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said the 7-day average of daily COVID-19 deaths—546—is now the lowest level recorded since March of 2020, when the pandemic was just beginning in most parts of the country.
"We should all have cautious optimism," Walensky said during a White House press briefing on the pandemic.
The United States reported 29,387 new COVID-19 cases and 385 deaths yesterday, according to the New York Times. Walensky said these numbers were last seen in June of 2020, and the 7-day average of hospitalizations was 3,500, down 18% from the previous week.
In less than 1 week, 600,000 12- to 15-year-olds received their first dose of the Pfizer vaccine, and overall 4.1 million adolescents 12 to 17 have had at least one vaccine dose. The nation is averaging 1.5 million to 2 million vaccines administered daily and has thus far administered 274 million vaccines.

Hospitalizations increase in young adults

Andy Slavitt, the White House senior advisor for COVID response, began the briefing by addressing young adults, as though in a commencement address. He said getting vaccinated was the most important thing young people could do right now, and shared that his young adult son contracted COVID-19 in the fall and is still suffering from symptoms of "long COVID."

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Though the pandemic is shrinking by all measures in the United States, the people who are getting sick and hospitalized are skewing younger.
According to national data analyzed by the Wall Street Journal, US hospitals are seeing fewer COVID-19 patients, but the ones who do end up hospitalized are ages 50 and younger. Patients between 18 and 49 now account for 36% of hospitalizations, a 15.5-percentage-point increase from early January.
This could change as some states have only been vaccinating those 18 and older for a few weeks; whereas older Americans have had 3 months to get vaccinated.

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States take different approaches to mask mandates

While several states last week lifted mask mandates, others have outlined a stepwise approach to loosing local restrictions.
California health officials said yesterday that the state will wait until its planned Jun 15 reopening to let fully vaccinated people take off their masks in most indoor settings, KQED reports.
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced yesterday that all mask mandates and social distancing rules will lift tomorrow for those who are fully vaccinated. Nursing homes, pre-K to 12 schools, public transit, and healthcare settings will still require masks for all people.

DJ My problem with lifting mask mandates is in the message it is sending-with a public divided-a lot simply deny there is a pandemic-and increase of variants the "no-masks message"is a wrong signal. We were here last year-then cases went up again at the end of summer. The India variant is much more agressive-may evade natural/vaccine immunity...

Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas told CNN yesterday that he believes that without a verification system to prove who has and hasn't been vaccinated, it will be difficult for local health officials and businesses to enforce the CDC's guidance on masking.
"I say this respectfully to the CDC, but we really need to get back to a point where it's encouraging [people] to get vaccinated and more of that focus rather than celebrating our newfound freedoms," Lucas said. "Because the honor system just ain't working here, I don't think it's going to work in a lot of parts in this country."
Wise words...see also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/914921-colorado-cases-of-b-1-617-2-detected

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915700-brazil-people-who-have-had-dengue-are-twice-as-likely-to-develop-symptomatic-covid-19-eurekalert[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915700-brazil-people-who-have-had-dengue-are-twice-as-likely-to-develop-symptomatic-covid-19-eurekalert ;“Our results show that the populations most exposed to dengue, possibly owing to socio-demographic factors, are precisely those that most risk falling very sick if they’re infected by SARS-CoV-2. This is an example of what has been called a syndemic [synergic interaction between two epidemic diseases so that one exacerbates the effects of the other]. On one hand, COVID-19 has hindered efforts to control dengue. On the other, the latter appears to increase the risk for those who contract the former,” Ferreira told Agência FAPESP.

DJ Socio-economic factors play a main role in this pandemic-the "poor" are suffering much more then the rich, hit much harder...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/seychelles-covid-19/915717-unusually-high-number-of-vaccinated-people-have-been-testing-positive-for-coronavirus-in-seychelles-us-doctor-trapped-there-suspects-faulty-testing[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/seychelles-covid-19/915717-unusually-high-number-of-vaccinated-people-have-been-testing-positive-for-coronavirus-in-seychelles-us-doctor-trapped-there-suspects-faulty-testing ;The two vaccines used in the Seychelles, Sinopharm and AstraZeneca, have somewhat lower effectiveness than the shots commonly used in the United States, but it’s not clear if the unusual results reflect a testing failure or a problem with the Sinopharm vaccine.

Pathak said she can’t be absolutely certain that she isn’t one of the unlucky few who gets infected after vaccination, but suspects it was a mistake.

The person conducting the tests didn’t change gloves between samples, which introduced the possibility that one positive test could have contaminated others, or it’s possible the lab also made errors, she said. She arranged for an antigen test in the hotel room where they’re isolated, which was negative, but the Seychelles’ Ministry of Health said it has to treat all initial positives as correct...

DJ-Very limited data in this story-but it comes on top of many other stories indicating vaccines may do well in protecting against severe disease, but may do less in avoiding getting infected/spreading variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915689-germany-residents-of-two-high-rise-buildings-quarantined-after-several-people-test-positive-for-1-6-1-7-covid-19-variant-that-originated-in-india-may-18-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915689-germany-residents-of-two-high-rise-buildings-quarantined-after-several-people-test-positive-for-1-6-1-7-covid-19-variant-that-originated-in-india-may-18-2021 ;Health officials say they have quarantined the residents of two high-rise buildings in the western German town of Velbert after several people tested positive with the coronavirus variant first detected to India.

Officials from the county of Mettmann said “there are currently several infections with the Indian virus variant in Velbert.”

They said several families who were in close touch with each other were affected and that everyone was being tested. Local broadcaster WDR reported about 200 people in the two buildings were affected. They have been quarantined, are getting tested and the Red Cross is providing food and other help.

DJ-This outbreak is in the Dusseldorf-area, we have several train-links with Dusseldorf...trains still running. Sequencing may take up to 10 days...so with the India-variant we may be-again-running behind the facts. The Dutch-German border is closed unless you did get fully vaccinated+tested you can not go INTO Germany...getting into NL from Germany is much easier...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india-a-complete-massacre-of-data-as-well-as-people?view=stream (latest activity): Senior BJP leader Mukul Roy and his wife Krishna are among those who contracted the disease, official sources said. Roy, who is the saffron party’s vice president, is currently in home isolation, sources in the health department said.

-

As many as five doctors died of Covid-19 in the past 24 hours in Bengal, even as the state logged 144 deaths, the highest so far in a single day, pushing the toll to 13,137.

The deceased doctors are pathologist Dr Subir Kumar Dutta (90), Dr Utpal Sengupta (70) a physician from Barasat, surgeon Dr Satish Ghata (70), Dr Sandipan Mandal (37) of Murshidabad Medical College and Hospital, and gynaecologist Dr Dilip Chakraborty.

DJ-The BJP is the party of Modi-accused of inaction in this pandemic. Many doctors/HCW-ers are dying in this pandemic. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915653-study-shows-long-covid-symptoms-ease-after-vaccination[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/915653-study-shows-long-covid-symptoms-ease-after-vaccination ;Covid-19 vaccines tend to alleviate the symptoms of long Covid, according to a large survey of more than 800 people that suggests mRNA vaccines, in particular, are beneficial.

DJ-Welcome news ! (More study needed). 

-I was hoping to put a link to Dr. John Campbell-but he did not yet post a new video. He proberbly is also looking at how the India variant is spreading in the UK. 

Some (UK government controlled) BBC-links; [url]https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-57167322[/url] or https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-57167322An anti-fungal drug used in the treatment of a rare infection called mucormycosis, or "black fungus", is in short supply across states in India.

[url]https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57155943[/url] or https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57155943 ;

Offering children in some richer countries a coronavirus vaccine before some high-risk people in poorer ones is "morally wrong", a group of MPs has been told.

Prof Andrew Pollard, who helped develop the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine, said the "inequity" of vaccine distribution must change "urgently".

The US and Canada have made a jab available to children as young as 12.

But in many low-income countries those most at risk are yet to be vaccinated.

DJ-This pandemic is tending to become more "a problem for the poor"...

[url]https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2021/may/19/coronavirus-live-news-india-reports-record-new-deaths-60-of-all-vaccine-doses-given-in-just-three-countries[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2021/may/19/coronavirus-live-news-india-reports-record-new-deaths-60-of-all-vaccine-doses-given-in-just-three-countries DJ-60% of vaccines only in three countries, US, China, India...

DJ-I hope to get more info today on the spread of the India variant worldwide...

WAR

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ktn3wadiIRo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ktn3wadiIRo ;

As Washington Retreats, Tehran and Riyadh Conduct Gamechanger Talks

Iran confirms talks with rival Saudi Arabia https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/...

DJ, Alexander Mercouris-lots of info-US decreasing influence in Middle East. 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/biden-continues-to-support-israels-warcrimes.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/05/biden-continues-to-support-israels-warcrimes.html A.o. delivering Israel bombs to bomb Gaza...

The US is getting more and more isolated in its "blind"support for Israel...

Music; Rolling Stones-It is all over now [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UVpFf2DmFSM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UVpFf2DmFSM june 1964

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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