Pandemic - WAVE TWO

You haven’t heard these Republican governors gearing up for the onslaught of cases coming their way right now. Montgomery for example,not a bed to be had. Is it blind obedience or do they believe their own rhetoric? Either way it is going to be a disaster of epic proportion.
When all these states blow I fear we are going to see a modern day Grapes of Wrath,a biological exodus of people scattering far and wide.

I can't see how it's a 2nd wave,the first wave isn't over yet.....

Its just a continuation of the on going pandemic,

Which by the behaviour of some of the people in the World

Is Just going to go on and on, 

The hopes of a vaccine and herd immunity are far and away....

And many many more sickness  deaths....

Last Updated on May 27, https://www.redanalysis.org/2020/05/25/the-hidden-origin-of-covid-19-and-second-wave/

In this article we explore the way the COVID-19 pandemic was born and, hidden, spread globally. Learning from this very early process, we deduce initial key elements and indicators to monitor and control the COVID-19 second wave and recurrent ones.

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/visual-tool-gauge-risk-second-coronavirus-wave[/url] linking reopening with R0 can give some indication of "second wave"-far from perfect-South Korea numbers go up sharply-[url]https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20200529002254320?section=science/medicine[/url] ;

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-best-advance-indicator-if-second-wave-coronavirus-coming[/url];

To wit, a team of researchers from Yale University in New Haven, Conn. published a paper earlier this month on their studies of SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the sewage in the Greater New Haven area. In the abstract of their report, the team determined that "when adjusted for the time lag, the virus RNA concentrations were highly correlated with the COVID-19 epidemiological curve (R2 =0.99) and local hospital admissions (R2 =0.99). SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations were a seven-day leading indicator ahead of compiled COVID-19 testing data and led local hospital admissions data by three days."

The search for a reliable leading indicator is critical for developing an effective policy response, since the most closely watched data (reports on the number of newly diagnosed cases) is a lagging indicator, since tests typically aren't run on an individual until symptoms of the virus have already started to appear.

Scientists have already proven that SARS-CoV-2 RNA is present in the human waste of COVID-19 patients. That then seeps into the wastewater in a given community's collection system. An analysis of RNA concentrations in waste can, according to the researchers, "provide information on the prevalence and dynamics of infection for entire populations."

By analyzing wastewater from a sewage plant that serves a four-municipality area (pop ~200,000 residents), the researchers applied several data processing techniques to smooth the data and allow for fair comparisons between the sewage data and data collected by the local hospital system in New Haven.

There have been several threads already about testing sewage to estimate the levels of the Sars-Cov2 virus.  This seems to be a good move as the fecal - oral route is one way that this spreads.   Police already do similar testing to estimate drug use in an area.  

For a quick response (to give approximate figures) this seems an easy and cheaper way to go than to (re)test everyone in an area.