Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Mortality Rates |
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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Posted: August 22 2020 at 11:20pm |
One indicator that I am looking at is Mortality rates (ie number of deaths per million people). Given different sizes of countries this allows for country to country comparison. For this month Peru is in a league of its own with rise (in 22 days) of 249 deaths/ million population. This is more than Canada's rate (240, with +3 for August) for the whole outbreak. For this month Colombia is the next worse (+135), and other hard hit countries are Kosovo* (+126), Mexico (+106), Panama (+105), Brazil (+102), and South Africa (+84). For a time the southern and eastern tip of South America seemed to be doing well, but recently the pandemic seems to have taken off in Argentina (+76), and is still raging in USA (+71) and Chile (+70). In Europe, as the rate in UK has been reduced, I am beginning to see signs of mortality picking up else where (although the rises are still small). Another area where the figures first rose fast then seemed to be contained was the Caribbean (possibly easier to contain as links between islands are easier to control for large movements of population). Unfortunately, i am beginning to see tiny signs of a second wave there * The data for Kosovo comes from WHO, as the people behind Worldometers does not treat it as a separate entity (but at least they treat Taiwan separately which WHO does not - Interesting how different points of view treat "independence" differently) - which means one has to look at more than one source. ps. i wonder why Canada's mortality rate (240; +3 in month) is so much lower than that of the USA (544; +71 in month) given that they share a very long land border? Is it, as Dutch Josh has said, this pandemic spreads fast in urban settings and amongst the poor (who tend to live closer together in urban settings)? |
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WitchMisspelled
Adviser Group Joined: January 20 2020 Status: Offline Points: 17170 |
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Why is Canada's mortality rate lower? My mouth is agape at this question. We can begin with the differences of testing and healthcare. There's also compliance with a cohesive policy difference. As far as crowded cities, I'm not sure that's the answer. I'm not sure the per capita numbers would even matter in the face of the differences of policy, compliance, healthcare and testing. |
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ViQueen24
Adviser Group Joined: May 14 2013 Location: Verona, PA Status: Offline Points: 12270 |
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Let's not forget that the Canada-US border has been closed to all but emergency travel for months now. |
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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I imagine the lesser population density of Canada helps reduce the cases a bit. But I am certain that has only a small effect. I agree with Witchy that policy is the main driver of infection rates. If you look at the John Hopkins site, at the cumulative cases: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 and concentrate on the border between the USA and Canada, the difference is astonishing! I can't imagine population density is so different immediately either side of this line. As far as I understand, Canada's most dense populations are in its far south. |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
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ViQueen24
Adviser Group Joined: May 14 2013 Location: Verona, PA Status: Offline Points: 12270 |
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Yes, totally right, ladies! And the best thing Canada can do is continue to hold the line on traffic in and out of the U.S. until such time as we get our $h!t together. Hopefully in November. |
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AndyP
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 25 2020 Location: Virginia Status: Offline Points: 420 |
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It must have something to do with low population density. I have family up in Northern Wisconsin and so far there have been 0 deaths in their county. There is a large elderly population there so I was expecting it to be devastating. Glad to see that hasn't happened yet. |
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AndyP
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 25 2020 Location: Virginia Status: Offline Points: 420 |
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I was reading these stats and according to them the death rate is much worse in Canada than USA. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105914/coronavirus-death-rates-worldwide/ Canada - 7.1 USA - 3.09 |
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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That higher rate for Canada is explained by a lower rate of testing, and is the deaths per case. What I was referring to was the deaths related to the total population. On that measure Canada is still much better than its southern neighbour. |
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AndyP
V.I.P. Member Joined: February 25 2020 Location: Virginia Status: Offline Points: 420 |
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Ok, I see. I did some rough math and you're right. USA 330,000,000 / 180,407 deaths = 1,829 Canada 30,000,000 / 9,148 deaths = 4,044 |
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ksc
Adviser Group Joined: February 09 2020 Status: Offline Points: 10995 |
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Kilt5
V.I.P. Member Joined: March 29 2017 Status: Offline Points: 5740 |
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you mean mortality not morbity the condition of being diseased. "the therapy can substantially reduce respiratory morbidity in infants"
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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Yes, Kilt I got the wrong word. But you have to give me some allowance for my dyslexia. ps. How does one change the title of a posting? |
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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One dyslexic to another, edit functions on a first post include the option to change the title. So click on 'post options' on the top right of the post. Then click on 'edit' from the drop down menu. The rest should be obvious. I can do it. |
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How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving. |
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