Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Thanksgiving to Christmas to New Year |
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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Posted: November 24 2020 at 7:23am |
With millions traveling in the States for Thanksgiving (often to large family gatherings) how bad will the covid situation be by Christmas? [https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-55057878] I also wonder how bad will early January be from all the different holidays that cluster in December. ps. our children, being in a different country, will not be able to visit us for Christmas, so it will be just me and the wife. So we will not form a super-spreader group. |
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ViQueen24
Adviser Group Joined: May 14 2013 Location: Verona, PA Status: Offline Points: 12270 |
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When I worked at the plaza, we would have a small uptick of colds and flu around the first week of September, and it would stay at that level till after Halloween, where we'd see a larger uptick. Then between right after Thanksgiving into mid-January, the flu would really surge, because not only would you have the holidays, but you'd also have the Christmas parties, and people running themselves ragged decorating, shopping, baking, and getting ready for all that cooking. (We were also a stop on the way back from the outlet shops and malls.) And then maybe another small spike in February, after the height of ski season, and the Presidents Day/Valentine's Day holidays. I would expect to see a lot of the same patterns here now. |
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jacksdad
Executive Admin Joined: September 08 2007 Location: San Diego Status: Offline Points: 47251 |
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It’ll be bad. The surge after Thanksgiving will fuel the surge we can reasonably expect after Christmas. With record numbers of travelers heading home for the holidays, it’s clear that a significant number of people are still not taking this seriously. |
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"Buy it cheap. Stack it deep"
"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary. |
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Meanwhile..... Australia ,after heeding the Health professionals, Seems!!!!??? to be heading to a covid free Christmas.....fingers crossed....... Take care all stay safe and sound π·π |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.π
Marcus Aurelius |
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KiwiMum
Chief Moderator Joined: May 29 2013 Status: Offline Points: 29680 |
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On the news here last night they showed a young woman in the US saying that her family hadn't all been together for thanksgiving in 15 years but this year they were all making a special effort. It beggars belief. How stupid are these people??????!!!!!! |
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Those who got it wrong, for whatever reason, may feel defensive and retrench into a position that doesnβt accord with the facts.
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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"you can't fix stupid"...... Having said that..... I can understand the need to be near loved ones when things are not looking that good.... there is light down that long tunnel....... Take care all stay safe....π·π |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.π
Marcus Aurelius |
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ViQueen24
Adviser Group Joined: May 14 2013 Location: Verona, PA Status: Offline Points: 12270 |
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Pretty stupid, KiwiMum! Here are the number of positive cases in my county, Allegheny, which encompasses the city of Pittsburgh, second largest city in Pennsylvania: September 30 -- 43 October 31 -- 174 November 25 -- 555 |
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WitchMisspelled
Adviser Group Joined: January 20 2020 Status: Offline Points: 17170 |
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Cuomo is talking an estimate of jumping up to 12% state wide two weeks after Thanksgiving. Right now we're at 2.74%. Yesterday's numbers were just under 6300 new infections. NYC is seeing a jump to 1900 new cases per day and an infection rate of 2.79%. My immediate area remains is at an uncomfortable 2.87% and rising. Probably because I'm surrounded by sections that are 3% to 4% and above. |
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ksc
Adviser Group Joined: February 09 2020 Status: Offline Points: 10995 |
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Todays flight map |
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BeachMama
V.I.P. Member Joined: January 25 2020 Location: Southwest US Status: Offline Points: 3080 |
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Unfortunately, one of those flights was carrying one of my best friends to her hometown for her father’s funeral — her father died of Covid last night. :( |
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Penham
Chief Moderator Moderator Joined: February 09 2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 14913 |
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It's absolutely ridiculous that so many people are traveling and not staying put. I'm just wondering what is going on in these people's thought process? It's not going to happen to me? I just don't care? I'm just going to do whatever the hell I want? I just don't get it....... |
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carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
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Not many sane people do Penham..... |
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Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.π
Marcus Aurelius |
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Tabitha111
Adviser Group Joined: January 11 2020 Location: Virginia Status: Offline Points: 11640 |
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I believe its the "it happens to other people, I have been lucky so far" and "I am really careful" the last one is what my sister said to justify her automobile trip with hubby from Boston to DC area to see my elderly parents for Thanksgiving......and she works in a medical office! |
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'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
--Confucius |
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ViQueen24
Adviser Group Joined: May 14 2013 Location: Verona, PA Status: Offline Points: 12270 |
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So sorry, BeachMama. |
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EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
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Fauci warns of 'surge in cases' post Thanksgiving
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