Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Russia estimated 186 000 deaths |
Post Reply |
Author | |
EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
Posted: December 29 2020 at 12:17am |
Sorry the link is in Swedish (Josh might be able to work out most of what it says) https://svenska.yle.fi/artikel/2020/12/29/ny-statistik-visar-ryssland-har-tre-ganger-fler-coronadodsfall-an-regeringen The Official Corvid-18 deaths for Russia are about 55 000. The Official Statistics Bureau (Rosstat) estimates that from January to November there have been an excess of 230 000 deaths of which they believe 81% are a result of Corvid-19. So they estimate the death toll as being 186 000 (over three times the rate of the Official totals) This would put the country at a per capita death rate of around 1 280, ie a bit higher that that of the UK or the USA. According to stats from Worldometers (when I last looked at population growth rates) Russia has an annual increase in population of 62 000. So it looks like Russia is joining most of Eastern Europe in seeing a declining population (albeit at a too small a rate to effect its role as a regional power). The immediate risk for Russia is that their main holiday starts with the New Year celebrations, and the Russian Orthodox Christmas is soon after, so there will be ten days of shopping and mingling. |
|
EdwinSm,
Moderator Joined: April 03 2013 Status: Offline Points: 24065 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
BBC Live news reports (so no link as the page is only up for a day)
|
|
carbon20
Moderator Joined: April 08 2006 Location: West Australia Status: Offline Points: 65816 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
I always think that most governments are not telling the truth if figures are bad....... There are statistics and statistics....... Take care all ๐ท๐ท๐ |
|
Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.๐
Marcus Aurelius |
|
Dutch Josh
Adviser Group Joined: May 01 2013 Location: Arnhem-Netherla Status: Online Points: 95767 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910410-russia-excess-mortality-nearing-450-000[/url]or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910410-russia-excess-mortality-nearing-450-000 ;"If Russia stops at 500,000 excess deaths, that will be a good scenario," the now freelance demographer argues. He calculates that the current toll is pushing 450,000 - a giant leap from the 94,267 deaths published online on Friday by Russia's Covid headquarters. Even that lower number is rarely cited by officials, though. DJ link [url]https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56454701[/url] or https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56454701 oficial number of Russian Covid deaths is under 100,000 due to a very strict definition. Excess deaths includes also people dying from other causes-that may have survived if there was not a pandemic. Worldwide the official number of Covid deaths is over 2,7 million-the real number of pandemic deaths may be at least double that number with variants very likely to increase further excess deaths. |
|
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein |
|
Post Reply | |
Tweet
|
Forum Jump | Forum Permissions You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot create polls in this forum You can vote in polls in this forum |