Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk |
Gestalt#43 – SARS-2 Pandemic |
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Tabitha111
Adviser Group Joined: January 11 2020 Location: Virginia Status: Offline Points: 11640 |
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Posted: March 15 2021 at 6:20am |
by monotreme1000 | March 15, 2021 Selective Sweep in the Human Population Last week, I wrote about the "it must get milder myth". I'd like to expand on this a bit and explain how a concept called "selective sweep" affects the human response to lethal pathogens. Name the Evil I have been greatly disturbed by reports of attacks on Asian Americans. Not much information has been provided on why these attacks are happening. I think it is possible that the mass media coverage of what is occurring in China is one factor that is causing weak-minded individuals to behave in this way. "China" didn't order the destruction of freedom in Hong Kong; Xi Jinping did. Reference: Natural selection and infectious disease in human populations.(2014) Karlsson et al. Nature Reviews Genetics. https://www.nature.com/articles/nrg3734 |
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'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
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Technophobe
Assistant Admin Joined: January 16 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 88450 |
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Viruses often do evolve to be milder, as those which kill their host quickly tend not to infect others. The dead don't go around breathing on people and the living tend to avoid them. 'And yes, survivors breed more survivors over time. This was never going to happen with this bug, as it only kills a small portion of its victims (currently). The long time taken to die from Covid19 rules that out too, as there is plenty of time for it to spread whilst the host is moribund. There is never a guarantee that a virus will evolve to be milder; even very fatal bugs can buck the trend. It is a game of Russian roulette with every case. Viruses also usually evolve to be more contagious. There is no reason this virus would find that harder than normal. Several more contagious strains have already emerged (UK, Brazil and South African strains for instance) and THERE IS NO REASON TO THINK THIS PROCESS HAS REACHED AN END POINT. IT PROBABLY DOES NOT HAVE AN END POINT. It is a game of Russian roulette with every case, but more chambers have live rounds in them now. Evolutionary forces also push diseases towards avoiding vaccine controls.. The number of infected individuals is the facilitator for this to happen. It is a game of Russian roulette with every case. The best case senario is that the infected are quarrantined and ring vaccinated before this can happen. That ship has sailed. In fact it is over the horizon! The only bit you can still see is the albatross flying high above it. The gun has not gone off yet, but we keep filling more chambers. Diseases usually evolve to survive treatments as well. Had we any really effective anti-viral, SARS2 would be working on that as well. The only reason that Russian roulette is not being played here, is that all the chambers have bullets in already. This is how evolution works. The only way to avoid it, is to completely erradicate the disease. Sadly, human stupidity seems to be repeatedly giving Covid19 a leg-up. America teaches intelligent design in some schools and values freedom apparently above the right to life, so I get why they are failing there. (HEY FOLKS, DO YOU BELIEVE IN EVOLUTION YET?) It also does not help to blame others for problems, instead of searching for solutions. (How many lives does blaming China save?) Russia, Brazil and many, many others have leaders who rule with disinformation and many more countries are so poor, they can't adopt the necessary control methods, so those failures make logical sense as too. I wish I knew what the UK's excuse for such idiocy was. Oh yes! Our economy! It is on its knees, no elbows, already and whilst we battle the virus it is getting worse. We have had 3 short lockdowns and many local ones, instead of one long effective one; we even left some borders open. Ergo, our failure is the failure of our government to understand the cause and effect being very clearly demonstrated. You don't need a fourth parachute if you put the first one on properly and leave it it on long enough to land. OK, I voted for this government. Call me any names you wish for that. |
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His lips or pen are moving. |
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WillobyBrat
Admin Group Joined: January 21 2014 Location: Scotland Status: Offline Points: 2080 |
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That "Hell hole" of New Zealand, as Trump labelled it, has a fatalaty count of 27. "MAGA" America has 547,234. Which is the "Hell hole" now, Trump? https://www.statista.com/statistics/1093256/novel-coronavirus-2019ncov-deaths-worldwide-by-country/ |
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