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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

pandemic breakfast

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: pandemic breakfast
    Posted: October 27 2022 at 11:08pm

DJ, 

I did compare climate change-'strategy" with the strategy to contain pandemics...[url]https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/10/1129887[/url] or https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/10/1129887 ;

Atmospheric levels of the three main greenhouse gases warming our planet - carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide- all reached new record highs in 2021, according to a new report from the UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO).



The agency’s yearly Greenhouse Gas Bulletin warns of the biggest year-on-year jump in methane concentrations in 2021 since systematic measurements began nearly 40 years ago.

While the reason for the unprecedented increase is still unclear, it seems to be a result of both biological and human-induced processes according to the report.

The increase in carbon dioxide levels from 2020 to 2021 was also larger than the average annual growth rate over the last decade, and according to WMO, the levels continue to rise through 2022.

“[The report] has underlined, once again, the enormous challenge – and the vital necessity – of urgent action to cut greenhouse gas emissions and prevent global temperatures from rising even further in the future,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas.

DJ; CoViD is "out of control" with a fast growing number of new variants undoing immunity...Ebola-in Uganda-for now-may be out of control. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak 

Monkeypox [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory 

H5N1 still most in birds-out of control.....cholera from Haïti to Lebanon, Yemen etc. Polio vaccinations problematic, all kinds of other diseases-in animals-also likely a growing problem...

However the main problem is "we" humans manage to make matters worse....transporting diseases all over the planet...

The economy "in mild recession" resulting in less money for better public healthcare...wars escalating further 

DJ-My expectation when I started scenario's january 2020 was we will get out of the crises within a few years....








A flurry of key reports this week together paint a dire picture  of our future. We are failing spectacularly on EVERY front

but I am losing that trust....At the "political front" parties that did get us into these problems still remain the main players due to lack of alternatives....In the UK bojo could return leading the conservatives...may even win elections...In the US who is doing worse ? trump or biden ? Both are disasters...here in NL the neo-liberals still remain the largest party eventhough most people are fed up with them...a lot of people may stop voting...democracy itself in crisis...

So...I do not want to repeat myself over and over....[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hospital_emergency_codes[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hospital_emergency_codes ...light cases may be code yellow...worldwide the situation -in my non-expert view- is moving from "code red"-help needed urgently to "code black" "not likely to survive"....([url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triage_tag[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triage_tag better link....Code Black = Pain medication only, until death )

DJ-I may decide I do NOT want to write on global collapse....The idea was we would get out of these crises....

So I am rethinking on what I want to do on this forum....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 25 2022 at 12:21am

Let me go for a part 3...

DJ-Of course [url]https://www.bmj.com/content/379/bmj.o2550[/url] or https://www.bmj.com/content/379/bmj.o2550 collapse of public healthcare and [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/30-house-dems-urge-dramatic-shift-biden-policy-ukraine-get-serious-about-diplomacy-or[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/30-house-dems-urge-dramatic-shift-biden-policy-ukraine-get-serious-about-diplomacy-or "confrontation politics" -more wars, are related...

The political insanity by a western political elite did not only see hundreds of billions $/€ for more weapons but also the destruction of global trade....

You need a functioning economy to be able to have decent healthcare...In many countries inflation over 10% means lots of people unable to pay for good healthinsurance...lots of healthcare facing unexpected high costs...This was avoidable...

The money spent on wars could have ended hunger, starvation, poverty...provided all the world with safe water, toilets...

Key data from  et al Confirms extreme immune evasion by BQ.1.1 and XBB

"Living with the virus" may have killed millions worldwide, made this pandemic much worse....

"#VariantSoup": Why this winter’s #COVID wave may be different than any previous pandemic phase

Simply ignoring inconvenient realities resulted in [url]https://www.salon.com/2022/10/24/variant-soup-why-this-winters-wave-may-be-different-than-any-previous-phase/[/url] or https://www.salon.com/2022/10/24/variant-soup-why-this-winters-wave-may-be-different-than-any-previous-phase/

If the last two winters are any indication, North America and Europe will likely experience a surge in COVID infections by the end of this year, driven by cold weather, students in close quarters in classrooms and holiday travel. Public health officials are closely watching the situation by monitoring wastewater, sequencing the genetics of the virus and tracing positive cases.

But an increasing number of experts are worried that this wave could be markedly different from years previous. The emergence of multiple variants with the ability to evade immunity could surge simultaneously, which is something we haven't seen previously.


DJ of course one should limit travel, mass meetings etc.....CoViD however is no longer the only problem....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/959023-uganda-declares-ebola-virus-disease-outbreak-sebov-20-sept-2022?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/959023-uganda-declares-ebola-virus-disease-outbreak-sebov-20-sept-2022?view=stream ;

15 cases of Ebola in Kampala, seven from one family in Masanafu
9hoursago.
The Ministry of Health is treating seven members of one family who tested positive for Ebola in Kampala after they came into contact with a relative who travelled from Kassanda district before it was locked down just over a week ago. The Director General of Health Services, Dr. Henry Mwebesa, says the seven had already been isolated by the time their tests returned positive for Ebola.
video https://www.ntv.co.ug/ug/news/15-cas...sanafu-3996604

from Ebola, Cholera, MPX [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/other-diseases-ai/monkeypox-ab/950381-us-cdc-monkeypox-2022-situation-summary?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states/other-diseases-ai/monkeypox-ab/950381-us-cdc-monkeypox-2022-situation-summary?view=stream US now at 28,004 cases ; Source: https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeyp...22/us-map.html

Data as of October 24 2022 at 2:00 pm EDT

28,004Total confirmed monkeypox/orthopoxvirus cases

and H5N1, other flu-types getting very widespread.....

DJ-We NEED URGENTLY to rethink the way we live....the way we act now is killing us....

End of part 3

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2022 at 10:28pm

DJ-part 2;








I'm going to draw a clear line The people advocating for 'return to normal' and dropping masks are directly putting us at risk of death This is because Long Covid kills, and Nature found the vaccine inadequate to prevent Long Covid

link article from 06/03/2022 [url]https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/03/can-long-covid-lead-to-death-a-new-analysis-suggests-it-could-00036845[/url] or https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/03/can-long-covid-lead-to-death-a-new-analysis-suggests-it-could-00036845 ;

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is analyzing more than 100 deaths that could be attributed to long Covid by looking at death certificates from across the country over the last two years, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The National Center for Health Statistics, a division within the CDC, collects death certificates from states after they have been completed by a coroner, medical examiner or doctor. NCHS is now reviewing a batch of those files from 2020 and 2021.

DJ....the definition of a CoViD-death (often) is dying within 28 days after a positive CoViD test-from/with CoViD symptoms...By now the 28-day limit should be questioned...Also what are "CoViD-symptoms" ; new variants cause more gastrointestinal problems-older variants did do more lung/respitory damage...

or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/must-read-covid-19-is-nothing-but-a-microvascular-and-endothelial-disease-that-kills-fast-or-slowly-depending-on-the-human-host-health-status 

With flu in combination with CoViD very likely getting "ugly" maybe excess deaths are the best indicators for "pandemic deaths"? 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-university-of-glasgow-discovers-new-pathogen-that-can-evade-immune-system-comprising-of-fused-rsv-and-influenza-virus-particles[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-university-of-glasgow-discovers-new-pathogen-that-can-evade-immune-system-comprising-of-fused-rsv-and-influenza-virus-particles RSV/A-Flu virus mix may be able to get around immunity ????...On top of new CoViD "subvariants" (all will be named "Omicron" because Omicron has to be the last variant-policy/insanity...)  it could be "bad news"...

DJ, Ebola, polio etc, in first stages (and most cases do not develop further...) may look a lot like (new) CoViD symptoms...easy to miss..easy to spread...

More twitter;








Dear followers— the NYT wants to know how and why some of you have never caught COVID. What’s your secret??? Fill out the form and let  know:

DJ...Some people were high risk...never may have been infected...Certain immunity "genes" ???

The immunocompromising effects of #COVID19 infections scares the hell out of me—and it should scare the hell out of all of us if more people knew what it does to wreck our immune system. #CovidIsntOver #BringBackMasks

and

Antonio Caramia

@Antonio_Caramia
·
👉#HIV and #SARSCoV2 "We observe a comparable reduction in B cells in both diseases and a more severe reduction in the total amount of T cells in COVID-19 as compared to AIDS patients."

DJ...if large numbers of CoViD infections (some estimates put that number over 3 billion out of the close to 8 billion global population)  result in "major decrease" of immunity defense against all other diseases...Those diseases will "react" (like MPX very likely already did) and "spread much more"...

DJ-(my opinion when I put my initials-not an expert) In a worse case scenario we should expect a tsunami of diseases...only those that manage to isolate long term in a safe place may survive such a disaster...The more reason to do ALL we can to try to avoid such a disaster...STOP THE SPREAD !

A "global freeze" of movements to stop diseases from spreading...

End of part 2


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 24 2022 at 9:52pm

DJ, 

In the UK Sunak now voted to be UK next PM -by conservative party members [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qWMvFPoBuvg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qWMvFPoBuvg Democracy Now talking to a guardian-journalist; "We are a democracy in name only"....Billionaire Sunak would not get that many votes in general elections..."New Labour" hardly opposition-cutting ties with trade unions...

In France [url]https://www.france24.com/en/economy/20221024-french-govt-survives-no-confidence-votes-after-forcing-through-budget[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/economy/20221024-french-govt-survives-no-confidence-votes-after-forcing-through-budget ; use of a special constitutional power to force the budget bill through the National Assembly without a vote.

DJ, Germany pushing to outlaw a main opposition party AfD claiming it is extreme right wing...In the US legal staps against trump....Here in NL rutte is ruling for over a decade-his cabinet would not get enough votes now if there were new elections...

For the US-mid-term november 8 elections there is growing fear the "so called" "democratic party" may seek escalation of crises to get votes....since solving those crises failed. 

This "politics" as a basis for how western governments are positioned to deal with more healthcrises on their way....trust in politics is gone....often opposition may be even worse then the present clique-out of contact with the general public...

So [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table global cases -19% is welcome...even just as an indication....South America the only region with an increase of cases +30%...Brazil, Peru, Argentina had their own variants in the past...

On a global level African countries like Kenya +61%, DRC +45% but as well (Asian) Israel cases +35%....Iceland +22%...South Africa -0,4%...southern Africa may also see new variants...so does India cases -22%...testing a major problem....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-finds-unvaccinated-primary-healthcare-workers-sustained-seropositivity-up-to-20-months-aft9-and-long-lasting-sars-cov-2-humoral-immunityer-covid[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/study-finds-unvaccinated-primary-healthcare-workers-sustained-seropositivity-up-to-20-months-aft9-and-long-lasting-sars-cov-2-humoral-immunityer-covid DJ-Interesting study on long term immunity after infection (and illness) of SARS-2...The idea was SARS-1 (2003) offered long term protection against reinfection (maybe even some protection against CoViD-19/SARS-2). So the basis for a "herd immunity-idea" may have been in SARS-1 and early indications in the present CoViD-19/SARS-2 pandemic...however since then lots of indications (a.o. Brazil, Iran) for high number of people catching CoViD several times...

So knowing more on factors that help creating immunity is welcome...









Booster uptake in nursing homes now stagnant & many at high risk "are no longer concerned." Has ventilation & air filtration in nursing homes or schools been systematically improved? No. Miserable failure on the part of US public health authorities. 2/3

DJ, in any crisis information&communication are the essential basic tools....In the present healthcrises governments, media failed...went for wishfull thinking...








Long-COVID post-viral chronic fatigue and affective symptoms are associated with oxidative damage, lowered antioxidant defenses and inflammation

link [url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01836-9[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01836-9 

DJ There very likely will be over a hundred million global long CoViD cases unable to work full hours...."saving the economy" did cause "economic damage" and human suffering unseen in history...

Bad politics-pushing for even more wars-resulting in (hyper)inflation destroying "the west"...Basic healthcare in most western countries soon may be collapsing...(Here in NL some healthcare facilities may have to fire staff to pay the energy bills...will be worse in other countries...). 

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 23 2022 at 10:30pm

part 2, 

DJ-My goal is to make up my mind on CoViD, the healthcrisis...what can/should I do...Share my ideas on that with others...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza ;In a typical year, 5–15% of the population contracts influenza. There are 3–5 million severe cases annually, with up to 650,000 respiratory-related deaths globally each year. Deaths most commonly occur in high-risk groups, including young children, the elderly, and people with chronic health conditions. In temperate regions of the world, the number of influenza cases peaks during winter, whereas in the tropics influenza can occur year-round.

DJ Other estimates put flu-deaths per year between 400,000 and 600,000....So is CoViD worse then the flu ? When you look at the lowest estimates for CoViD deaths at over 6,5 million deaths...yes...also 5-15% of global population catching the flu each year means between 400 million and 1,2 billion cases per year...Some estimates put global CoViD cases at around 3 billion...around 1 billion per year...so "Case Fatality Ratio" (CFR) for CoViD is much worse...3 to 4 times worse then for the flu-at least ? 

(If you would go for 2,4 billion flu cases resulting in 1,8 million deaths CFR [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case_fatality_rate[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case_fatality_rate for flu would be 0,75...3 billion CoViD cases bringing 6,5 million deaths =CFR =2,2 ? Mmmmm-coffee....1% of 1 billion is 10 million...so for flu 1% would be 24 million, CoViD 30 million...both cases CFR is <1%....more coffee..... flu CFR 0,075...CoViD 0,22 ? Just to get some basic idea...). 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table regional-global-spread;

Asia cases -2%, deaths +3%...Israel cases +27% (high level of vaccinations...deaths "+1% 39 last 7 days, previous week only 2= an increase of 1%....???). Malaysia, Saudi Arabia cases +22%...

South America cases +34%, deaths +14%....Paraguay +67% increase of cases, Suriname +59%, Chile +41%, Brazil +38%

Europe cases -23%, deaths -10% autumn/fall wave is over ??? Norway cases +8%...NL deaths +50% (last week 30, these last 7 days 45...) 

In general first cases increase-deaths often follow 3-4 weeks later on...people first need to catch a disease before they die from it....


Spectacular! Finally, a lab proving what some of us on Twitter have been speculating about for months. After the antigenic jump, the tendency of #SARS2 is toward DEATTENUATION by further innate immune evasion (and/or improving the alternative route, i.e. better fusogenicity).

-

Krogan Lab

@KroganLab
·
We propose that having achieved the antigenic shift required to escape widespread adaptive immune responses to Spike (BA.1), Omicron, like previous VOCs, subsequently experienced the next strongest selective pressure, resulting in the enhancement of innate immune evasion (BA.5).

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attenuation[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attenuation ...to put it simple gradual loss of flux intensity through a medium.  =weakening ? Se DE-attenuation here may mean CoViD is NOT getting "milder" but stronger..."Fusogenicity" is being able to "go/spread" from cell to cell....Innate immunity is the immunity you were born with...antigenetic shift=[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antigenic_shift[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antigenic_shift DJ-to put it very simple is "mutated" 

So the above two twitters simply translate into "CoViD is getting stronger, better able to get around immunity and spreading-in a host-from cell to cell....Bad news...certainly when it is presented in these words...








New update from : confirms extreme immune evasion by Omicron BQ.1.1 and XBB: near zero neutralizing antibody immunity 7.5 months after 3xSinovac vaccination+BA.1 breakthrough infection. Higher neutralizing titers expected after mRNA vaccination & bivalent booster.

So mRNA-booster vaccines may still offer (some) protection.....DJ-However !!!! More then "just" vaccines are needed to stop the downward spiral !!!

Let me mention ebola....


Yesterday 23rd Oct 2022, nine (9) individuals were confirmed positive for #Ebola in Greater Kampala region bringing the total number of cases to 14 in the last 48 hours. The 9 cases are contacts of the fatal case who came from Kassanda  district and passed on in Mulago Hospital.

-








Replying to 
7 family members are from Masanafu and 1 health worker who managed him in a private clinic together with his wife from Seguku. Fellow Ugandans, let's be vigilant. Report yourself if you have had contact or know of a person who has had contact. Lets cooperate to end Ebola.

DJ...we did see the "milder" MPX variant spread in Europe, the world earlier this year...do we want the "10x worse DRC/Congo variant" going global ? Do we want ebola to spread ? We need to do more to STOP THE SPREAD !!!!

Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing
·
Looks like stopping the virus totally wrecked their economy…  China’s Q3 GDP grew by 3.9% from a year ago, beating analysts’ expectations (of 3.4%). Maybe, just maybe, saving lives & stopping transmission = saving the 

economy....In the US some estimates go to 30 million "long CoViD cases" (to make that political; both trump and biden failed to stop the pandemic...). 








France will be another good one to get an idea of the impact of BQ.1.1. There BQ.1.1 just became dominant (>50% of all new infections), though BQ.1.1 will only have a >90% share by the 3d week of November.

A look at France; cases -13% deaths +14%....

Vinod Scaria

@vinodscaria
·
The new emerging sublineages of #SARSCoV2 #Omicron and recombinants. What are they and why are they relevant? @bani_jolly and I write in @the_hindu today https://epaper.thehindu.com/Home/MShareArticle?OrgId=GLSAE7AP7.1&imageview=0&utm_source=telegram&utm_medium=article

Does the link work ? [url]https://epaper.thehindu.com/Home/ShareArticle?OrgId=GLSAE7AP7.1&imageview=0&utm_source=telegram&utm_medium=article[/url] or https://epaper.thehindu.com/Home/ShareArticle?OrgId=GLSAE7AP7.1&imageview=0&utm_source=telegram&utm_medium=article ....

End of part 2



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 23 2022 at 9:29pm

DJ, part 1...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-oxford-study-reveals-new-omicron-variants-and-sub-lineages-causes-impaired-t-cell-immunogenicity-with-potential-for-t-cell-immunity-escape[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-oxford-study-reveals-new-omicron-variants-and-sub-lineages-causes-impaired-t-cell-immunogenicity-with-potential-for-t-cell-immunity-escape Immunology is a science on its own...complex...Again-I am not an expert so when I read the article (with links) I do not understand most of it...basic point however is immune protection against CoViD (re)infection may be at risk...It can be related to both mutations in sub-variants of CoViD19 (most of them will be -still-named "Omicron"...must be over 800 subtypes of "Omicron" by now...) and (immunology) history of the host...

The article does not provide much info on general decrease of immune protection - wich-in theory- could push some types of CoViD towards [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV like effects.... a condition in which progressive failure of the immune system allows life-threatening opportunistic infections and cancers to thrive.[3] Without treatment, average survival time after infection with HIV is estimated to be 9 to 11 years, depending on the HIV subtype.[4]

DJ...The article describes a way to predict how mutations may affect T-cell effectivity...in theory. Practice may provide how CoViD affects general (group) immunity processes...MPX getting "wild" may be related to CoViD post-infection decrease of immunity....(An increase of polio-in-wastewater however may be related to more testing, sampling...so far US,UK, NL (etc) polio-virus was linked to using live polio-virus-vaccines in Afghanistan, Pakistan ...using that kind of vaccines there may have to do with practical reasons...not much modern health infrastructure in most of those countries...). 

Other diseases increased activity may have more links with climate change, population growth...Ebola in Africa may have links with people getting in contact with infected animals. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola#Initial_case[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola#Initial_case

Although it is not entirely clear how Ebola initially spreads from animals to humans, the spread is believed to involve direct contact with an infected wild animal or fruit bat.[61] Besides bats, other wild animals sometimes infected with EBOV include several species of monkeys such as baboonsgreat apes (chimpanzees and gorillas), and duikers (a species of antelope).[83]

Animals may become infected when they eat fruit partially eaten by bats carrying the virus.[84] Fruit production, animal behavior and other factors may trigger outbreaks among animal populations.[84]

Evidence indicates that both domestic dogs and pigs can also be infected with EBOV.[85] Dogs do not appear to develop symptoms when they carry the virus, and pigs appear to be able to transmit the virus to at least some primates.[85] Although some dogs in an area in which a human outbreak occurred had antibodies to EBOV, it is unclear whether they played a role in spreading the disease to people.[85]

Reservoir

The natural reservoir for Ebola has yet to be confirmed; however, bats are considered to be the most likely candidate.[62

DJ...people moving deeper into forests to make a living may get in contact more often with infected animals...so population pressure is a factor. 

CoViD can be spread via frozen food-virus may survive up to 4 weeks...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/south-korean-study-validates-that-sars-cov-2-can-remain-viable-on-foods-for-a-long-time-depending-on-storage-temperatures[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/south-korean-study-validates-that-sars-cov-2-can-remain-viable-on-foods-for-a-long-time-depending-on-storage-temperatures Virus can survive 20C 70F around 3-to-7 hours....4C(around 36F) however the virus may survive 24-48 hours...At -40C/F -depending on the surface-CoViD-virus may survive 100 hours+...So with winter on its way contaminated surfaces may spread the virus longer...

Good hygiene can limit disease spread...but we knew that...however for CoViD it may also help explain season-effects...more (severe) cases (higher viral load) in winter....

Three shots + BA.1 breakthrough infection = ~zero neutralizing antibody immunity 7.5 months later against the soon-to-be-dominant variants. Yet only 6% of Americans have gotten the bivalent booster & uptake in the elderly is pitiful. The "mild" narrative is doing real harm. 1/3

and

Yunlong Richard Cao

@yunlong_cao
·
A short update on how waning immunity and immune evasion by convergent mutants BQ.1.1 and XBB stack together. Data suggest that most serum obtained ~7.5 months after BA.1 breakthrough infection would hardly neutralize BQ.1.1 and XBB. (NT50 of 20 is the lower limit of our assay)

DJ...I think governments need to get much more active in limiting disease spread. Promoting vaccinations (with also in NL discussion between GP-doctors on combining flu- and CoViD-vaccines...or at least two weeks apart...) not only against CoViD but a.o. also against the flu...But also STOP THE SPREAD !!!! When will we see the first Ebola case, more risky Congo-variant of MPX in Europe, the America's, Asia ? 

To regain a certain level of public health masks, study/work from home, NO mass events all may help....

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Part 4...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/22/rivm-wraps-monkeypox-vaccination-campaign-infections-dwindle[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/22/rivm-wraps-monkeypox-vaccination-campaign-infections-dwindle

The current monkeypox outbreak is almost over, says RIVM health institute. The vaccination campaign against the monkeypox will therefore end soon, according to the organization. Risk groups will be invited for a shot until the end of this month.

"The number of new infections has been very low for a few weeks, which means that the campaign can stop. Nevertheless, the disease can still rise and there are still infections," warned the RIVM, calling for vigilance.


After a peak in the summer, the number of infections has now decreased to a few per week. "For example, the virus was detected in only nine people in the past two weeks. Due to the small number of new infections, the need to vaccinate is no longer present," says the health institute.

"Changed behaviour" and natural immunity have also led to a reduction in the number of new infections, the RIVM thinks. The institute cannot yet say how great the effect of the vaccinations has been.


In November, it will be considered whether vaccinations or other measures may be necessary in the future

DJ...very likely low number of new cases of MPX in some countries...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/other-diseases-ah/south-america-monkeypox/951862-chile-monkeypox-outbreak-2022?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america/other-diseases-ah/south-america-monkeypox/951862-chile-monkeypox-outbreak-2022?view=stream ;

Source: https://www.cnnchile.com/pais/minsal...pais_20221022/

22.10.2022 / 00:06
Minsal reported 1,127 confirmed cases of monkeypox in the country
In 15 of the 16 regions of the country, there were cases, where the Metropolitan Region (RM) concentrated the highest percentage with 84.7%, followed by the Region of Valparaíso, Antofagasta, Coquimbo, Biobío and La Araucanía. The age range was 6 months to 89 years, with a median of 34 years.

The Ministry of Health reported a total of 1,127 confirmed cases of monkeypox in the country. According to the weekly report, up to October 20, 2022, 1,734 cases of the disease were registered (1,127 confirmed and 16 probable). In the last week, 12 new cases were confirmed, compared to the last report.

Of the total cases, 571 were confirmed epidemiologically discharged, while 572 correspond to cases in a period of isolation.

In 15 of the 16 regions of the country, there were cases, where the Metropolitan Region (RM) concentrated the highest percentage with 84.7%, followed by the Region of Valparaíso, Antofagasta, Coquimbo, Biobío and Araucanía.

and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-monkeypox/953565-dominican-republic-monkeypox-outbreak-2022?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-monkeypox/953565-dominican-republic-monkeypox-outbreak-2022?view=stream ;

Source: https://elnacional.com.do/suben-a-32...uela-del-mono/

Monkeypox cases rise to 32
ByEFE October 22, 2022

Santo Domingo.- The Ministry of Public Health (MSP) reported this Saturday of a new case of monkeypox or monkeypox in an 18-year-old resident of the city of Puerto Plata, bringing the total to 32 confirmed cases of the disease registered in the country.

and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Chronologically[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Chronologically ...latest info Dominican Republic has 32 MPX cases, Chile 1.127 cases on the wiki-list Dominican Republic has 29 cases, Chile 1,078 confirmed with 15 suspected cases...








This brings our informal tally of monkeypox deaths to at least 8 nationwide 1 in California 1 in Ohio 1 in Maryland 2 in New York 1 in Nevada 2 in Illinois We've also updated our story to reflect 's announcement https://cbsnews.com/news/monkeypox-deaths-illinois-maryland-new-york-nevada/

US 8 MPX deaths...wiki-list only mentions 3 US MPX-deaths...So is MPX over ? Or are we missing a lot of cases/not reporting them "bad for economy/tourism"....Unwelcome news...

[url]https://www.nationalgeographic.co.uk/science-and-technology/2022/10/in-central-africa-a-deadly-monkeypox-variant-is-surging[/url] or https://www.nationalgeographic.co.uk/science-and-technology/2022/10/in-central-africa-a-deadly-monkeypox-variant-is-surging

Experts are calling for stronger measures to stop a variant found in the Democratic Republic of the Congo that's 10 times deadlier than the global strain.

Monkeypox, a smallpox-related viral disease with two known variants, was named in 1958 after it was identified in a colony of research monkeys in a laboratory in Copenhagen, Germany. (Scientists think rodents, not primates, are the main reservoir for the disease.)

The mildest form of the disease is Clade II, also known as the West African variant, which went global this May. To date, it has infected more than 70,000 people, killing at least 26, in more than a hundred countries and territories, with the overwhelming majority being gay men. Cases are declining, thanks to vaccinations and changes in sexual behaviour.

Meanwhile, another variant— ten times deadlier—is smouldering in Central Africa.

The Africa Centres for Disease Control reports that the majority of the 3,500 suspected Clade I (or Congo Basin strain) cases this year, including more than 120 deaths, are in the DRC. Nigeria, where the Clade II outbreak began, has had about 700 suspected cases, with fewer than 10 fatalities.

Health experts National Geographic consulted about the steady rise of the Clade I variant in Central Africa say countries should be concerned about its threat to global communities and take stronger action to prevent it and other animal-borne diseases from blazing around the world.

“If the West African strain can spread to Europe, America, and other parts of the world, the more virulent and pathogenic Congo Basin strain can also go there,” says infectious disease expert Dimie Ogoina at Niger Delta University, in the southern part of Nigeria. “International health stakeholders must be deliberate to help address monkeypox and other diseases in Africa. Because if we don’t do this, it will come back to haunt us.”

DJ See also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monkeypox#Epidemiology[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monkeypox#Epidemiology ...disease fly for free....

Ebola;

Dr. Jane Ruth Aceng Ocero
@JaneRuth_Aceng
·
9h
Yesterday 21st Oct. 2022, three individuals from among the 60 in our Mulago isolation facility tested positive for #Ebola. These were contacts to the case from Kassanda who passed on in Mulago Hospital.
They have since been under institutional quarantine in Mulago isolation unit.

Dr. Jane Ruth Aceng Ocero
@JaneRuth_Aceng
·
9h
They will be transferred to the Entebbe Isolation for treatment Unit since the Mulago Unit still has 58 contacts under quarantine.
Let's remain vigilant and report anybody with symptoms similar to #Ebola.
Together we can end this epidemic. #EbolaOutbreakUG

-

By Reuters

Oct. 22, 2022, at 3:32 a.m.

(Reuters) -Three people in an isolation unit of Uganda's main hospital have tested positive for Ebola, the country's health minister said on Saturday.
...
Mulago is in Uganda's capital Kampala. Friday's confirmed cases would be the first known transmission of the virus in the city...

A government statement on Friday evening said the outbreak had infected 65 people and killed 27. It was not clear if the numbers included the three new Kampala cases.

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/ar...tive-for-ebola

DJ...Ebola is NOT under control in Uganda...Uganda in the west is bordering DRC (Democratic Republic of Congo) with lots of diseases...as good as no healthcare in war-zones...lots of refugees...DRC capital Kinshasa [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinshasa#Demographics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinshasa#Demographics

An official census conducted in 1984 counted 2.6 million residents.[28] Since then, all estimates are extrapolations. The estimates for 2005 fell in a range between 5.3 million and 7.3 million.[20] In 2017, the most recent population estimate for the city, it has a population of 11,855,000.[29]

According to UN-Habitat, 390,000 people immigrate to Kinshasa annually, fleeing warfare and seeking economic opportunity. Many float on barges down the Congo River.[30]

According to a projection (2016) the population of metropolitan Kinshasa will increase significantly, to 35 million by 2050, 58 million by 2075 and 83 million by 2100,[31] making it one of the largest metropolitan areas in the world.

DJ...You need to invest in disease control in mega-cities if you want to avoid pandemics....(but who cares....token-investments...all kind of problems; "religion" in the way of birth control/family planning, corruption in the way of money for public health...)

So-what do I think is the outlook for coming months-2023 (excluding more wars, provocations, escalations...we need new politics !) ?

DJ-If we keep failing to stop free transport of diseases/variants CoViD-19 will no longer be the only major pandemic....I think "flu-types" may be a high risk...co-infection of CoViD and "mild"H3N2 in itself already will be bad.....H5N1 is widespread around the globe...so far limited spread/disease in humans....But H5N1 spreading/mixing in pigs should be a major worry....

Of course MPX is widespread and not over....[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monkeypox_virus[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monkeypox_virus did surprise us in 2022...can/will bring more surprises...

Cholera is on a "world tour" from Haïti to Lebanon (so far in Syrian refugees). But also has potential for much more spread....

Ebola may spread a lot if it ends up in countries like Haïti, Yemen, Afghanistan....but also it can become a problem in "rich countries" if incubation time [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola#Onset[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola#OnsetThe length of time between exposure to the virus and the development of symptoms (incubation period) is between 2 and 21 days,[1][23] and usually between 4 and 10 days.[24] However, recent estimates based on mathematical models predict that around 5% of cases may take longer than 21 days to develop.[25]

turns out to be longer then 3 weeks more often...

Symptoms usually begin with a sudden influenza-like stage characterised by fatiguefeverweaknessdecreased appetitemuscular painjoint pain, headache, and sore throat.[1][24][26][27] The fever is usually higher than 38.3 °C (101 °F).[28] This is often followed by nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea, abdominal pain, and sometimes hiccups.[27][29] The combination of severe vomiting and diarrhoea often leads to severe dehydration.[30] Next, shortness of breath and chest pain may occur, along with swellingheadaches, and confusion.[27] In about half of the cases, the skin may develop a maculopapular rash, a flat red area covered with small bumps, five to seven days after symptoms begin.[24][28]

may be easy to confuse with CoViD...(new "tropism" Viruses and other pathogens affect what is called "host tropism", "tissue tropism", or "cell tropism"; in which case tropism refers to the way in which different viruses/pathogens have evolved to preferentially target specific host species, specific tissue, or specific cell types within those species

DJ...resulting in specific symptoms...New CoViD variants seem less effective in lung/respitory, more in gastro-intestinal system...). 

So...WE NEED TO STOP THE SPREAD !!!!

End of part 4...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Part 3...co-infections....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/announcement-please-get-your-flu-shots-asap-co-infections-involving-covid-19-with-flu-or-cold-viruses-like-rsv-or-adenovirus-doubles-the-risk-of-dying[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/announcement-please-get-your-flu-shots-asap-co-infections-involving-covid-19-with-flu-or-cold-viruses-like-rsv-or-adenovirus-doubles-the-risk-of-dying (story full of links) 

[url]https://flunewseurope.org/[/url] or https://flunewseurope.org/

Weeks 41/2022 (10-16 October 2022)

 

  • Germany and United Kingdom (Scotland) reported regional influenza spread and Kazakhstan reported widespread influenza activity.

 

  • The percentage of all sentinel primary care specimens from patients presenting with ILI or ARI symptoms that tested positive for an influenza virus increased to 4% from 3% in the previous week, which is below the epidemic threshold set at 10%.

 

  •  Germany, with a rate of 13%, was the only country to report seasonal influenza activity above 10% positivity in sentinel primary care.

 

  •  Both influenza type A and type B viruses were detected among all monitoring systems.

 

  •  Both type A and type B viruses were detected among hospitalized patients with laboratory confirmed influenza.

 

 
Qualitative indicators

For week 41/2022, of 41 countries and areas reporting on intensity of influenza activity, 30 reported baseline-intensity (across the Region), 9 reported low-intensity (across the Region), 1 reported medium-intensity (Kazakhstan) and 1 reported high-intensity (Malta).

 

Of 41 countries and areas reporting on geographic spread of influenza viruses, 20 reported no activity (across the Region), 17 reported sporadic spread (across the Region), 1 reported local spread (Malta), 2 reported regional spread (Germany and United Kingdom (Scotland)) and 1 reported widespread activity (Kazakhstan).

 


DJ..so far most reported (human) flu-type is H3N2...(there is also H3N2v spreading in pigs.....) [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H3N2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H3N2 ;The Hong Kong Flu was a flu pandemic caused by a strain of H3N2 descended from H2N2 by antigenic shift, in which genes from multiple subtypes reassorted to form a new virus. This pandemic of 1968 and 1969 killed an estimated one million people worldwide.[6][7][8] The pandemic infected an estimated 500,000 Hong Kong residents, 15% of the population, with a low death rate.[9] In the United States, about 100,000 people died.[10]

and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swine_influenza[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swine_influenza

Pigs are unusual as they can be infected with influenza strains that usually infect three different species: pigs, birds, and humans.[25] Pigs are a host where influenza viruses might exchange genes, producing new and dangerous strains.[25] Avian influenza virus H3N2 is endemic in pigs in China and has been detected in pigs in Vietnam, increasing fears of the emergence of new variant strains.[26] H3N2 evolved from H2N2 by antigenic shift.[27] In August 2004, researchers in China found H5N1 in pigs.[28]

These H5N1 infections may be quite common; in a survey of 10 apparently healthy pigs housed near poultry farms in West Java, where avian flu had broken out, five of the pig samples contained the H5N1 virus. The Indonesian government has since found similar results in the same region. Additional tests of 150 pigs outside the area were negative.[29][30]

DJ...would it be wise to stop pig farming all together (like mink fur-farms stopped in some countries because minks are high-risk for CoViD) ? YES ! Will we reduce pig farming ? NO !

Of course [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_effects_of_H5N1#Compared_to_annual_flu_season[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_effects_of_H5N1#Compared_to_annual_flu_season

The annual flu season deaths and costs caused by viruses other than H5N1 provide a point of contrast - something to compare against. According to the United States Government, the annual flu in the United States:

results in approximately 36,000 deaths and more than 200,000 hospitalizations each year. In addition to this human toll, influenza is annually responsible for a total cost of over $10 billion in the United States. A pandemic, or worldwide outbreak of a new influenza virus, could dwarf this impact by overwhelming our health and medical capabilities, potentially resulting in hundreds of thousands of deaths, millions of hospitalizations, and hundreds of billions of dollars in direct and indirect costs.[26]

The New England Journal of Medicine reported that: "A study by the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the consequences of a severe pandemic could, in the United States, include 200 million people infected, 90 million clinically ill, and 2 million dead. The study estimates that 30 percent of all workers would become ill and 2.5 percent would die, with 30 percent of workers missing a mean of three weeks of work — resulting in a decrease in the gross domestic product of 5 percent. Furthermore, 18 million to 45 million people would require outpatient care, and economic costs would total approximately $675 billion."[27] One study concludes that a pandemic that reduced the available dock workers by 28% would cut the throughput capacity for containers arriving at American ports on the West coast by 45%.[28]

would come ON TOP of the CoViD (and other) health crisis...with healthcare allready "exhausted"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia/h5n1-h5n8-h1n08-tracking/vietnam-aa/961089-vietnam-government-report-vietnam-records-first-human-case-of-bird-flu-in-8-years-5-yr-old-female-in-phu-tho-province-a-h5-type-october-21-2022[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia/h5n1-h5n8-h1n08-tracking/vietnam-aa/961089-vietnam-government-report-vietnam-records-first-human-case-of-bird-flu-in-8-years-5-yr-old-female-in-phu-tho-province-a-h5-type-october-21-2022 ; Source: ://nld.com.vn/suc-khoe/be-gai-mac-cum-a-h5n1-da-hoi-phuc-rut-noi-khi-quan-20221022091936848.htm

The girl with influenza A/H5N1 has recovered, extubated
October 22, 2022 - 09:41 |

(LDO) - The health of a 5-year-old child infected with influenza A/H5N1 is recovering. The baby is now extubated, fully awake and continues to monitor kidney function

Information from the National Children's Hospital on October 22 said that up to now, the health of a 5-year-old child in Phu Tho has been infected with:influenza A/H5N1is being treated at the Intensive Care Unit, National Children's Hospital, has recovered. The baby has now been extubated, fully awake and continues to monitor kidney function.

DJ "Twindemic" "Flu-Rona" are word games....behind it is a "nightmare scenario" we have to avoid at ALL costs ! 

End of part 3...part 4 on "it is over/mild MPX"....

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DJ...part 2

In Europe [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/22/coronavirus-subvariant-lead-increase-infections-ecdc[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/22/coronavirus-subvariant-lead-increase-infections-ecdc ;

A subvariant of the coronavirus, BQ.1, will become dominant in Europe sometime between mid-November and early December, the European health service ECDC expects. The dominance of BQ.1 and its sub-variant, BQ.1.1, is likely to lead to an increase in the number of coronavirus cases in the coming weeks to months.

BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 are subvariants of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, which is already dominant. The subvariants are already circulating in the Netherlands, according to the so-called germ surveillance of the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM). They have also appeared in France, Belgium, Ireland and Italy.


According to the ECDC, the subvariants in the Netherlands were found in 6 percent of the samples about two weeks ago. In France, it was already 19 percent.

Studies from Asia show that BQ.1 can evade the immune system, according to the ECDC. The data currently available on the subvariant do not show that BQ.1 is more pathogenic than the Omicron variants that are now widely circulated (BA.4 and BA.5).

DJ...well [url]https://cov-spectrum.org/collections/24[/url] or https://cov-spectrum.org/collections/24 BQ.1 BQ.1.1 did start their own family....BQ.1.1.1 to BQ.1.1.10, BQ.1.2 to BA.20...BQ.2 etc.....As should be expected in exponential growth we now face a "soup" of all kinds of variants...(all still named "Omicron" ...they differ more from eachother then Beta differed from Delta...but who cares...It is simply impractical to name them all Variants of Concern/Variant of High Consequence [url]https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html[/url] or https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html 

DJ [url]https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html#anchor_1632158924994[/url] or https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html#anchor_1632158924994 ;

Variant of High Consequence (VOHC)

A VOHC has clear evidence that prevention measures or medical countermeasures (MCMs) have significantly reduced effectiveness relative to previously circulating variants.

Possible attributes of a variant of high consequence:

In addition to the possible attributes of a variant of concern

  • Impact on MCMs
    • Demonstrated failure of diagnostic test targets
    • Evidence to suggest a significant reduction in vaccine effectiveness, a disproportionately high number of infections in vaccinated persons, or very low vaccine-induced protection against severe disease
    • Significantly reduced susceptibility to multiple EUA or approved therapeutics
    • More severe clinical disease and increased hospitalizations

A variant of high consequence would require notification to WHO under the International Health Regulations, reporting to CDC, an announcement of strategies to prevent or contain transmission, and recommendations to update treatments and vaccines. 

Currently, no SARS-CoV-2 variants are designated as VOHC.

are on their way...but I do not expect the (E)CDC to be willing to name them as such...Immunity evasion reduce vaccine protection, anti-viral treatment....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-sars-cov-2-xbb-recombinant-variant-spawning-newer-sub-lineages-such-as-xbb-1,-xbb-1-1,-xbb1-2,-xbb-2,-xbb-3,-xbb-3-1,-xbb-4-and-xbb-5[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-sars-cov-2-xbb-recombinant-variant-spawning-newer-sub-lineages-such-as-xbb-1,-xbb-1-1,-xbb1-2,-xbb-2,-xbb-3,-xbb-3-1,-xbb-4-and-xbb-5 

DJ Two basic ideas on this pandemic;

1 Disease-transport-host the basic triangle (vaccines can "close" the host for infection...in practice most vaccines do not offer a "100% closed host"...)

2 A virus needs a host for reproduction, mutation-selection -if not stopped by immunity-will bring exponential growth of disease. 

DJ A virus is "on the edge of life" since it can NOT reproduce itself...This could be a "weak spot" but if a virus is NOT stopped in time it "will explode"

So let me end part 2 with "linear growth"= 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 etc..."friendly" 

Exponential growth...1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512, 1024, 2048...Before 100% you have 50%, before that 25%, before that 12,5% "still manageable" before that 6,25% "you have to stop it now !!!) ...Exponential may mean lots of subvariants of one disease/virus...but with CoViD decrease of immunity...increase of other diseases...

End of part 2


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, I was thinking of "Anarchy for the UK" as an opening...of course that is were it ends if politics keep failing...








The good news is that respiratory viruses can't evolve to evade the laws of physics, and so masks and clean air along with vaccination and thoughtful social and public health policies can absolutely defeat them. The bad news is we're apparently the dumbest species on earth.

and








Remarkable stat from Mark Carney here: “Put it this way, in 2016 the British economy was 90 per cent the size of Germany’s. Now it is less than 70 per cent. And that calculation was made before today.”

DJ...of course "economy" matters...We have-still-tools to "beat the pandemic"...on an individual level lots of people do the best they can....It should not be all about vaccines...In history vaccines never were "perfect"...CoViD-vaccine protection may be "maximum of what one should expect" (flu vaccines-in general offer LESS protection-but still good enough to limit the flu...)

It is because vaccines NOT being 100% perfect-nothing in real life is 100% perfect-we need extra NPI measures to contain, stop this pandemic...and that is where governments have to do much better..."Crowd control" by going into a public fight over vaccines-politics was a major error...

In any crisis information, communication need trust to be effective...trust is gone...

If this pandemic was like a tsunami coming in...we would calculate wave height, wich area's will be hit hardest, consequences for infrastructure, power...

It is possible to make-still-reasonable estimates on who now runs most risks in this pandemic and what would be most effective...I-DJ-believe in "Zero-CoViD" =stop the spread...The weak spot in this pandemic is disease getting into hosts-transport...So "freeze"....Some countries are willing to pay a very high economy-price to save human lives...

Vaccines DO help ! 








The vaccine limits the ability of the virus to thrive & replicate. If we have less virus, we transmit less infection. The vaccines are not sterilising ie infection blocking and that is why they don’t completely prevent transmission but they reduce severe infxn

DJ...but it is WRONG to still push the idea "vaccines can end this pandemic"...they NEVER !!!! could !!! (Maybe better (nasal) vaccines can...but they are not in mass use...yet). 








What did we really get?

  • Herd Immunity
    2.8%

  • Hurt Immunity
    97.2%
1,316 votes·Final results

DJ...[url]https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/22/health/cdc-director-positive-covid/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/22/health/cdc-director-positive-covid/index.html Rochelle Walensky did not promote masks..."washing hands"would do the job...(now she did test positive for CoViD...)

What realy makes me very angry (to put it polite) is we are almost three years in this pandemic...Again-on an individual level lots of people do the best they can (and it should NOT be only on getting vaccinated...that is a black-and-white discussion...nuance is needed !)...but those responsible for public health produce bla-bla....

Why not start an International Panel on Pandemic Change ? We have one "political club" on "Climate Change"(IPCC) ...we have all kinds of "bla bla" on end on poverty...reality is rich getting more rich...

"Anarchy" can be the only outcome when healthcare breaks down....








The Care Quality Commission says the NHS is “gridlocked” and “in crisis” and that health service bosses fear long waits for care are so common that the risk of harm to those affected is “a worrying new status quo”. /1

DJ, Already people are dying waiting for an ambulance... UK.gov pushing the idea for further privatizing the NHS....insanity rules...dogmatism...creating even more trillions will solve more problems...let others, future generations, pay....

We deserve better !

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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part 2-twitter, flutracker etc;








This brings our informal tally of monkeypox deaths to at least 8 nationwide 1 in California 1 in Ohio 1 in Maryland 2 in New York 1 in Nevada 2 in Illinois We've also updated our story to reflect 's announcement https://cbsnews.com/news/monkeypox-deaths-illinois-maryland-new-york-nevada/

DJ In [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Chronologically[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Chronologically "only" three US MPX deaths...








Face The Nation

@FaceTheNation
·
New York City has confirmed its first two deaths of residents who had tested positive for monkeypox, health officials said Thursday. https://cbsn.ws/3DetcwV

-


In Central Africa, a deadly monkeypox variant is surging: Experts are calling for stronger measures to stop a variant found in the Democratic Republic of the Congo that's 10 times deadlier than the global strain.

link; [url]https://www.nationalgeographic.co.uk/science-and-technology/2022/10/in-central-africa-a-deadly-monkeypox-variant-is-surging[/url] or https://www.nationalgeographic.co.uk/science-and-technology/2022/10/in-central-africa-a-deadly-monkeypox-variant-is-surging ...some virusses can survive on surfaces...(the Haïti cholera outbreak several years ago was caused via UN-mission mail from Nepal...)...

DJ- We may be only in a pause for MPX....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ah/955863-gambia-government-investigates-as-children-die-of-mysterious-disease-who-issues-a-medical-product-alert-for-four-contaminated-medicines[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-ah/955863-gambia-government-investigates-as-children-die-of-mysterious-disease-who-issues-a-medical-product-alert-for-four-contaminated-medicines 

Fake medication, fake testing (about everything may have cheaper look-a-like fakes...)...only worsening the healthcrisis ( The "free market idea" showing its stupidity...without testing, monitoring...UK planning to "liberate" anti-biotics...insane...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/961093-researchers-reveal-how-cat-virus-might-infect-humans[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/961093-researchers-reveal-how-cat-virus-might-infect-humans ;

Researchers reveal how cat virus might infect humans
By The Science Advisory Board staff writers

October 20, 2022 -- Virologists from the University of Pittsburgh Center for Vaccine Research have reverse-engineered feline morbillivirus (FeMV), an understudied virus linked to chronic kidney disease in cats. Their research, published October 17 in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, described this virus's mechanism of infection and its potential to infect people.

First discovered in Hong Kong's stray cats a decade ago, FeMV has since been found in domestic cats across Asia and Europe. Previous studies linked FeMV infections to chronic kidney disease -- a leading cause of death in older cats. This study provides new details on how the virus gets to the kidneys.

Researchers found FeMV utilizes the same cell entry and infection mechanism as other morbilliviruses, including measles, by binding to a surface protein receptor called CD150. However, unlike measles, FeMV may spread from host to host via urine. Similarly, the zoonotic Nipah virus in bats causes deadly human outbreaks across Southeast Asia...

DJ...pets once was save....but with an increase of diseases we need better animal healthcare...

De juiste figuren van het  , die gisteren ontbraken. ðŸ™ Dat ziet er in de prognose inderdaad uit als een dominante BQ.1* voor het eind van deze maand! Maar de SGTF (BA.4/5) daalt, wat duidt op een stijging van BA.2 afstammelingen. XBB waarschijnlijk, en/of BA.2.3.20 + XBD!

In NL BQ.1 on its way for dominance end of this month ? Lower SGTF (BA4/5) could mean increase of BA.2 descendants, proberbly XBB and/or BA.2.3.20 +XBD...

(DJ-I have given up on following all the subvariants....[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports has now 784 variants of CoViD-Omicron...(recombinations may not even be included...sequencing is very limited...). 








...multiple waves. It's just that the virus has no time to wait for antibodies to wane while it has an infinite antigenic space to explore, so it tends to come up with antigenic innovations before that effect can be observed But it was in fact observed in real life -- at...

DJ...my translation; mutations resulting in more evasion now go that much faster then creating immunity...








No, Delta has not been eradicated or eliminated, yet. Definitely not by herd immunity, nor necessarily by Omicron. It's always in cryptic circulation, and obtaining new RBD changes sometimes, such as EPI_ISL_15120575 (featuring spike G446V, N460K, S477N, V483A, S494L and G496R)

The idea that "older variants of CoViD" are gone is wrong...lower numbers, immuno-compromised..."chronic CoViD" ...The total failure -lack of understanding- of this virus only resulting in a "disease-jungle"...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 21 2022 at 11:06pm

DJ, 

For healthcare you need a working economy...for both healthcare, economy...society in general-you need functioning politics...Many fear-for good reason-the UK "chaos" is only the start...both in Europe and "America" there is a very wide gap between "politics/government" and the population...

What 'we" have in common -in the west- is the desire for good healthcare, education, housing for all...disagreement is on "how to get there"....

Politics should be on idea's not ego's....to often "politicians" went for creating/worsening crises to get re-elected/public support...There is NO room left for "stunts"...

-There are claims MPX outbreak is under control...On 23 July, the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC).[17] As of 15 October, there had been a total of 73,087 confirmed cases in over 109 countries.[18][19]

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Chronologically[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Chronologically ...vaccines and change of behavior may have prevented major spread after schoolrestart in september...On top of that lots of places increased ventilation etc. also because CoViD is not over yet...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uIzyyIsN4wk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uIzyyIsN4wk Indie SAGE; LIVE: Join us for a discussion on women's health with regard to Covid, with guests Dr Viki Male, Dr Teresa Kelly, Dr Nighat Arif & Dr Louise Newson, hosted by Dr Zubaida Haque & Dr Binita Kane, chaired by Prof Anthony Costello & Prof. Christina Pagel on numbers.

DJ..Polio detected still (as far as reported) in isolated cases-linked to live-virus vaccinations

Cholera may be a big problem from Haïti to Lebanon, Yemen etc. 

Ebola cases in Uganda limited ? One "lucky factor" stopping international spread is those most at risk for Ebola are those least likely even to get close to airports...

DJ-This world is divided in three groups of people;

-the 0,1% claiming to own the planet...or most of it...often several nationalities...houses in several countries...

-The west 10% of global population...claiming they can go all over the planet for vacation...however most of us do not have the money-we claim to have a right...

-The rest, 90% ...we can visit them...but when they visit us they need visas, somebody willing to pay their bills...

In colonial times there was a difference between a "subject" of a country (no voting rights a.o.) and a "citizen"...One Health does not only have to keep an eye on diseases in animals-like H5N1-becoming a risk "for us" but also good healthcare, water, toilets for ALL humans...

If you want to stop pandemics respect people....

Of course on CoViD;

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-sars-cov-2-xbb-recombinant-variant-spawning-newer-sub-lineages-such-as-xbb-1,-xbb-1-1,-xbb1-2,-xbb-2,-xbb-3,-xbb-3-1,-xbb-4-and-xbb-5[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-sars-cov-2-xbb-recombinant-variant-spawning-newer-sub-lineages-such-as-xbb-1,-xbb-1-1,-xbb1-2,-xbb-2,-xbb-3,-xbb-3-1,-xbb-4-and-xbb-5 

and 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-ohio-state-university-discovers-that-sars-cov-2-bq-1-and-bq-1-1-variants-exhibit-enhanced-fusogenicity-besides-increased-immune-evasiveness[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-ohio-state-university-discovers-that-sars-cov-2-bq-1-and-bq-1-1-variants-exhibit-enhanced-fusogenicity-besides-increased-immune-evasiveness 

CoViD is going exponential....so we may see a repeat of steps...push for more vaccinations...only offering limited protection at best...hospitals/ICU running out of staff/beds/capacity...Non Pharma rules and "organized=paid for protests".....

We are sinking deeper into this crisis...STOP THE SPREAD means limiting (air)travel...(for a start) ...stop spreading variants/diseases all over the planet but "economy=profits" still more important then public health...

of course further escalating/provocating (nuclear-false flag) wars may be a next step in "controlling the crowd...pandemic..."

We need better politicians...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 21 2022 at 2:38am

part 2, 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/preprint-sars-cov-2-may-have-originated-as-an-infectious-clone-assembled-in-vitro/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/preprint-sars-cov-2-may-have-originated-as-an-infectious-clone-assembled-in-vitro/ DJ-I think the discussion on the origen of CoViD-19 -in the present US made cold war- can not be constructive...only end up in propaganda-Russia, China blame the US-biolabs...The US claiming "China did it"....

In general-"nature" did cause lots of very deathly diseases in the past...NOT stopping the spread of diseases/variants is another (endless...) discussion...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/must-read-covid-19-is-nothing-but-a-microvascular-and-endothelial-disease-that-kills-fast-or-slowly-depending-on-the-human-host-health-status[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/must-read-covid-19-is-nothing-but-a-microvascular-and-endothelial-disease-that-kills-fast-or-slowly-depending-on-the-human-host-health-status CoViD-19 causing infection "where receptors are" all over the body...So we may see lots of surprises...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/stanford-study-shows-u-s-cdc-guideline-of-5-day-isolation-period-for-covid-19-is-inadequate-especially-when-ba-2-variants-and-its-sub-lineages-are-con[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/stanford-study-shows-u-s-cdc-guideline-of-5-day-isolation-period-for-covid-19-is-inadequate-especially-when-ba-2-variants-and-its-sub-lineages-are-con cerned...DJ 5 day-isolation-no further test needed to check if the virus is still there...CDC pushing anti-science "for sale"...

DJ-I make a difference between;

-Long CoViD (LC); dealing with the damage virus infection did bring all over the body...(some permanent...)

-Chronic CoViD (CC); virus still active in organs-after 4 weeks...maybe still detectable in stool-samples...A problem with the virus still (hiding) in the body is a person may restart spreading the virus later on....Often it is named "re-infection" but lots of indications that with chronic CoViD the virus simply never left...

The US-CDC and lots of other (often western) countries seem to have only one priority; economy=profits...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nirmatrelvir[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nirmatrelvir Paxlovid-another Pfizer product-now also will be used in Europe...So western pandemic strategy is based on two major companies; 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pfizer[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pfizer

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moderna[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moderna 

Both US companies making billions out of this pandemic...I can live with it if it would be effective...however -yes cases in Europe seem to be going down-the pandemics are only getting worse...

Statistics-as indication [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table 

c=cases, d=deaths

Global c-13%, d-10% ( cases from 3,265,000 down to 2,850,000 as far as tested/reported-still 6,1 million cases being reported last two weeks...just under 0,1% of the global population did test positive the last two weeks.....). 

Europe c-19% d+2%

Asia c+4% d+4%

South America c+21% (!!!) d-7%

Africa c+13% d-65%

North Americ c-24%, d-35% and Oceania c-39%, d-47% may have escaped this wave...

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK cases also going down-for now-with the UK in fact now having FIVE peaks of cases in 2022...

DJ Countries do "a very good job" in NOT reporting MPX cases [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] of course Polio, Ebola also NOT making the news...









3) work done by the Health Finance Institute  has "continuously shown that each dollar invested in chronic disease risk factor prevention such as reduction of physical inactivity yields returns up to seven times of the dollar invested."

DJ [url]https://www.cbsnews.com/news/world-health-organization-report-physical-activity-heart-disease-obseity-diabetes-diseases-risk/[/url] or https://www.cbsnews.com/news/world-health-organization-report-physical-activity-heart-disease-obseity-diabetes-diseases-risk/ Due to CoViD use of public transport decreased-often still below pre-pandemic levels...High petrol/diesel prices only "pushed" a limited number of people out of car-use...Investments in bike-paths did decrease in my region...higher energy prices, inflation is limiting that kind of (healthy, green) investments...airquality is a major problem in NL -and other countries...[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/19/netherlands-ranks-4th-childrens-rights-despite-air-pollution-youth-care-waitlists[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/19/netherlands-ranks-4th-childrens-rights-despite-air-pollution-youth-care-waitlists ;

KidsRights looks at how countries protect five fundamental rights of children. Children in the Netherlands have good opportunities at school and are well-protected, which is why the Netherlands ranks high on the list year after year.


But when it comes to a “favorable environment for the rights of the child,” the Netherlands dropped from 3rd to 37th place in recent years. This is mainly due to long waiting lists in youth care, mental health problems among young people caused by the coronavirus crisis, child poverty, and the deteriorated protection of unaccompanied child asylum seekers. KidsRights expects the Netherlands to drop further in the rankings in the coming years.

Another problem in the Netherlands is air pollution. Nowhere in Europe is there as much nitrogen dioxide in the air as in the Netherlands, said KidsRights. One in five children in the Netherlands has asthma, the highest percentage in Europe.


Last year, when the Netherlands was fifth on the ranking, KidsRights expected the Netherlands could drop significantly in the coming years due to the delayed effect of the coronavirus policy.

Worldwide, Iceland is still the best country to be a child in. Sweden, Finland, Netherlands, and Germany complete the top 5. Chad is the lowest ranked, then Afghanistan, Sierra Leone, the Central African Republic, and Equatorial Guinea.

Countries like Angola, Bangladesh, and Bolivia are making rapid progress. But the overall picture is not positive. In many countries, children’s rights have deteriorated. About 160 million children are forced to work, over 8 million more than a few years ago. Nearly 286,000 children have died due to the indirect effects of the coronavirus pandemic, KidsRights said. And some 25 million babies have missed their first vaccinations due to the cessation of vaccination campaigns.

DJ...NL "government" good in protecting children that do not need government protection...simply ignoring most other problems...Like in lots of other countries the NL government "working most for the rich" not doing enough-even basics-for the rest...(ventilation at schools is good in rich neighbourhoods...)

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/21/nearly-5000-covid-19-deaths-first-half-2022-bringing-dutch-total-towards-45000[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/21/nearly-5000-covid-19-deaths-first-half-2022-bringing-dutch-total-towards-45000 ;

A total of 1,420 people in the Netherlands died of Covid-19 in the second quarter, down from 3,564 coronavirus deaths in the first quarter of 2022. That brings the total number of confirmed Covid-19 deaths since the start of the pandemic to 44,760, Statistics Netherlands (CBS) reported on Friday.

By comparison, 11,304 people died from the coronavirus disease in the first half of 2021. That marks an improvement of 56 percent. The decrease is likely due to the high vaccination rate in the Netherlands and the fact that the omicron variant dominant in the first half of 2022 is less severe than the delta and alpha variants of the coronavirus that were dominant in the first half of last year.


Covid-19 was responsible for 3.5 percent of all deaths during the second quarter of 2022, compared to 8.3 percent in the first quarter. Two-thirds of people who died of Covid-19 in the second quarter were older than 80. Only six percent were younger than 65.

There was excess mortality in the Netherlands every week of April, May, and June, except for the last week of May. Excess mortality means that more people died than expected for a period. The excess mortality was mainly visible among people over the age of 65 and people living in long-term care institutions.

DJ;

-1 The idea that people die within 4 weeks after a positive CoViD test is wrong...by now we need a more realistic definition...

-2 Worldometers still has NL CoViD deaths at 22,747 NOT the 44,760...The NL-CDC is "pushing" the low number, NL-statistics office the more realistic higher number...[url]https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2022/42/1420-mensen-overleden-aan-covid-19-in-tweede-kwartaal[/url] or https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2022/42/1420-mensen-overleden-aan-covid-19-in-tweede-kwartaal 

The BIG question...

How are we ever getting out of this pandemic with politics being such an incompetent mess...by starting global wars ? 

It is good most "normal people" seem to have better brains then (western) leaders at this moment...Limiting exposure, masks, can mean a lot...vaccinations -in statistics-did have an effect however new variants-governments sometimes pushing old vaccines ........








We’ve released new SARS-CoV-2 Nextclade datasets with: - new  clade 22E (BQ.1*) - 152 new Pango lineages (all designations up to 2022-10-19) See further details here: https://github.com/nextstrain/nextclade_data/releases/tag/2022-10-19

End of part 2....


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DJ, 

I think it would be wrong to fully exclude politics on pandemics...The UK political disaster, US-biden pushing conflicts...problem for a simple voter-like me-is who to vote for...Alternatives may be even worse...Or should I simply stop voting-because my "representatives" do such a poor job ? 

China sticking to "zero-CoViD'...[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-chinas-xi-gets-ready-final-countdown[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-chinas-xi-gets-ready-final-countdown ;

Compared to the achievements, success of the Xi-ordered Zero-Covid policy remains highly debatable. Xi stressed that it has protected people’s lives. What he could not possibly say is that the premise of his policy is to treat Covid and its variants as a US bioweapon directed against China. That is, a serious matter of national security that trumps any other consideration, even the Chinese economy.

Zero-Covid hit production and the job market extremely hard, and virtually isolated China from the outside world. Just a glaring example: Shanghai’s district governments are still planning for zero-Covid on a timescale of two years. Zero-Covid will not go away anytime soon.

A serious consequence is that the Chinese economy will most certainly grow this year by less than 3% – well below the official target of “around 5,5%”.

DJ, China is NOT a democracy...when you take a look at the CCP-website [url]http://cpc.people.com.cn/20th/index.html[/url] or http://cpc.people.com.cn/20th/index.html any illusion on that should go...However the CCP did improve healthcare, education...things are not black or white...

For me good basic rights, care, housing, job, school are part of "democracy"...for that matter the US-with over 0,5% of its population in prison "is a problem"....

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/20/workers-calling-sick-flu-coronavirus-spread[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/20/workers-calling-sick-flu-coronavirus-spread ;

Absenteeism due to illness is on the rise again, mainly due to workers getting the flu or coronavirus. Though the number of sick reports due to mental health complaints is also on the rise, NOS reports based on figures from occupational health and safety services Arboned and HumanCapitalCare.

Absenteeism was 4.3 percent in September, 0.3 percent higher than in August. This increase is expected in the autumn, but due to the widespread staff shortages, increasingly hard on businesses. Absenteeism was highest in education, public administration, and healthcare at about 5.7 percent in September.


In addition to the seasonal flu and coronavirus, Arboned also noticed an increase in mental health complaints. “We see that psychological absenteeism has actually been increasing gradually for a long time and still has a large share within companies,” Arbonded director Redmer van Wijngaarden said to NOS. “That often has more impact because those people are often away from the workplace for longer.”

Due to the shortages in the labor markets, many companies have to do the same work with fewer people. “That also means you sometimes get more on your plate than you would like.” The health and safety services advised employers to carefully assess what things have priority and need to be done now and what can be postponed to avoid burning out their employees.


Arboned also advised employers to remind their workers of the basic coronavirus measures and to implement the “snotty nose protocol” - don’t come into the office if you’re sick, so that you don’t infect your coworkers

DJ-NOT having a "Zero-CoViD policy" may be worse-keeping the pandemic going...

Sme twitter; 








Today will be the last time the CDC provides daily figures for COVID-19. BNO News plans to continue gathering data from local health departments across the U.S.

-


This is Trade War Part II. Trump was just poking & messing around futilely & incoherently. These tech bans are real damage. Declarations of? Ties will never be the same again. Two separate ecosystems developing as a consequence; two futures diverging. This is Cold War II.

-DJ-A lot of basics for-and medication- is coming from Asia...pushing for even more war is insane...

Game over, globally! And it's going to be a big one. Among Top 5 global recessions since WWII. (Bottom two charts are US-only composite leading indicators).

-DJ The "west" is slipping into a depression-worse then recession...The west has 10% of the global population...its fiat-currencies only have value "at NATO-gunpoint" but that strategy is over...

Alexander Stahel ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦

@BurggrabenH
·
And Europe has not yet began to consume gas as it experiences and exceptionally mild October so far. 

-Solar/wind in lots of (western) Europe still doing very good for the time of year...gas-price at spring-2022-level...for now...We are waiting for more windturbines in my region...come from China.....

DJ-Without a working economy you can not have healthcare...without "politics/government" doing something usefull forget about stopping pandemics..."Something better change" soon !

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 20 2022 at 2:59am

Since twitter on this forum has its problems-part 3

Petition to require masking in all healthcare settings. Sign here:

link [url]https://actionnetwork.org/petitions/require-masking-in-all-healthcare-settings?source=twitter&[/url] or https://actionnetwork.org/petitions/require-masking-in-all-healthcare-settings?source=twitter& ;


PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN, CDC DIRECTOR ROCHELLE WALENSKY, HHS SECRETARY XAVIER BECERRA, AND WHITE HOUSE CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE COORDINATOR ASHISH JHA

Just in time for flu season, with 300-400 US residents dying from COVID-19 daily, the CDC revised its infection control guidelines regarding mask-wearing in healthcare settings, from hospitals and clinics to home care providers and nursing homes. The new guideline recommended masks only need to be worn in healthcare settings when COVID Community Transmission rates are high, based on the CDC map.

This change is dangerous, unethical and based on flawed data.

Sign our petition to: President Joe Biden, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky, HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra, and White House Coronavirus Response Coordinator Ashish Jha

DJ...How you want to limit diseases ? Or do you think there is no need for limiting them ? Masks are an "old" and "simple" strategy...If we all would use masks indoors-outside your household-we may be able to stop this pandemic...(Nasal)-vaccines on top of it could give the extra push...Of course (visiting) mass events make them "mad events" during pandemics...If you read this you have a brain ! Use it ! Think !!!








Anyone who gave the slightest solitary shit about this country would put this government out of its misery. It's not a political question anymore. It's a basic patriotic responsibility.

On the UK-political disaster...just like trump, bojo, liz truss however is the OUTCOME of a proces, a result...if you think replacing "one clown" with another can do the job-think again !








New  "Our study indicates that [Pfizer] vaccine-induced myocarditis in adolescents appears to be a rare adverse event [<5/100,000]...mild and benign over a follow-up period of 6 months" Study , largest healthcare organization in Israel http://nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2207270

Yes-vaccines ARE medical interventions ! Yes-this brings risks...but claiming "vaccines kill" is even more incorrect then claiming "cars kill" !

In around 17% of the samples from New South Wales (Australia) on the 15th of October was a specific part of the spike detected. Most of these will probably be XBB*. It would be very interesting to know how many were BQ.1* at the same time, but sequencing takes longer. #nextweek

DJ...I gave up on following (sub)variants...the "mega-mix-soup"...To little testing is resulting in to little sequencing...

End of part 3...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2...








Looks like the biggest monetary policy experiment in economic history, Japanese-styled MMT, is not going so well right now. #Japan's Yen briefly hit 150 against the U.S. dollar, weakest levels not seen since August 1990. https://cnb.cx/3Tip1Wu

So not only the Euro, pound are crashing-also the Yen is...a lot of international-western-trade sticking to the US$...weak spot there may be US export may become to expensive...Without a working economy there can not be healthcare...But the balance is gone...








Good Morning from #Germany where more inflationary pressure is in the economic pipeline. Producer Prices #Inflation hit another fresh record. Sep PPI rose by 2.3% MoM and by an eye-watering 45.8% YoY, mainly driven by energy prices, putting pressure on ECB to keep rates raising.

-








Convergent Evolution - finding the path up the fitness peak that only the fit viruses can climb. Different to many previous peaks, were transmission played a major role still, it's immune evasion this time round. If you turn 's graph on the side, you get a better idea

New variants [url]https://twitter.com/_b_meyer/status/1582992983850627073/photo/2[/url] or https://twitter.com/_b_meyer/status/1582992983850627073/photo/2 









Replying to 
however, Immunity in the population shapes this landscape currently. What is at the moment a fitness peak (a virus that works very well) can become a fitness trove/valley in future (where a virus doesn't do well) - because of a better immune coverage.

DJ are getting less and less predictable ? We may now miss most of the spread ? So-yes if you look at "case fatality ratio" (CFR) one could make a claim "Flu is worse" however the point is CoViD seems to produce no "brakes" in the form of (long term) herd immunity...So CoViD is producing much more cases and reinfections...in that way CoViD is much worse then the flu...A decrease in immunity against other diseases is a fast-growing problem. Hundreds-of-millions of people suffer from Long/Chronic CoViD...In my view CoViD is much worse then the flu....We may have seen FOUR waves in most countries in 2022...Comparing CoViD with the (Spanish) Flu is false...two different diseases. virusses...

Jess

@MeetJess
·
Even mild COVID-19 may have long-term brain impacts “This could be the start of a dementia-related epidemic fueled by this latest coronavirus” Totally mild right ? https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8432319/

In many ways CoViD is a mega disaster ! "Economic global damage" (as far as can be calculated) already worse then the Spanish Flu...

BQs spreading in NY: "BQ.1 and BQ.1.1, are spreading fast in the New York region and could account for about 37% of new cases, according to CDC data crunched by NBC News.

In the US

Week ending Oct 1: 6% Week ending Oct 8: 11.1% Week ending Oct 15: 19.6% Almost doubling every week (1.8X) "The two variants accounted for 11.5% and 8% of new cases, respectively, that were recorded in the area in the week ending Oct. 15, up from 4.1% and 1.9% two weeks earlier.

regional differences are a major factor in CoViD, MPX (lots of New York cases) but even Polio...

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DJ-Part 1...is this forum "twitter-proof"...links/post from twitter seems "kamikaze" for the post...

-When I looked at 14 days weather at 'buienradar.nl" it showed temperatures up to 35C/100F for friday october 28 and the days following...wind "7" from the SW...The last time I checked it it presented less extreme-still warm-weather for the coming two weeks...Climate change and pandemics are "inter-linked"...The idea that you can deal with the growing global healthcrisis but ignore the underlying climate disaster is simply very wrong...

So "politics" keep failing to put human survival at #1...."economy=profits" first...All kind of "wordgames" (There was an agreement NATO NOT moving east with the Soviet Union...that country ended in 1991...so....) kicking cans down the road, buying time by creating fiat-money based on thin air...

This pandemic is the outcome of "disaster politics"...total derailment, complete insanity...UK "politics" now maybe the best example of sociopaths rule going for bla-bla and wars...

We need better politics, politicians, "leaders" to get out of these crises...

"Zero-CoViD" used in China, Cuba, Vietnam-is in fact the "old strategy" to contain disease spread. In the triangle disease-transport-host transport is often the "easy" part..."The west" did go for "freedom" -in fact resulting in CoViD-variants, MPX getting free global travel...is Ebola next ? Polio spread may be linked to the use of live-polio-virus-vaccines in Afghanistan, Pakistan (for practical reasons...). 

Western/US media over and over making all kinds of claims "Zero-CoViD" would NOT be effective...Chinese vaccines "not good enough" ...basic claim "Pfizer, Moderna" are the only good vaccines...this is big-pharma marketing...making profits out of a global healthcrisis...the idea itself is "sick"....Seems unable to understand the risks...

Some US "studies" (propaganda) claim China "must have" 1,000+ times more CoViD cases then China does report itself...These "studies" often simply ignore "stop the spread" may work...It reminds me of "satellite pictures on Wuhan funerals after the lockdown"...Simply ignoring Wuhan-area-population 20 million or so...a delay in funerals will bring extra funerals later on...

-On "vaccines" discussions also completely went of the rails...In the US companies can force workers to get vaccinated...in Europe companies can not get medical info on its workers...there is privacy...Sticking to only TWO (mRNA) vaccines; Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna may be a weak spot in "western vaccination strategy"...Yes-it reduced -for now CoViD deaths (far above flu-deaths-still !) but it did NOT make "living with the virus" possible...The vaccines did push the virus into an immunity evasion mutation selection process...so-again buying only time....

Still "politics" sticking to (for profit) vaccines...even when the outcome is we are sinking deeper into the pandemic....Non Pharma Interventions (masks, study/work from home, ventilation etc.) seen as "an extra"....While the NPI may be MORE !!! effective-on the long run-then the vaccines are !

STOP THE SPREAD !!!!

But just like in climate change, creating money out of thin air, "pandemic politics" go for denial...less testing and reporting...lies, propaganda...(with billionaires owned "free press" and "politics/science for sale" joining the show...). 

"Dancing around the golden calf"  (to put it in older history terms) ...YES-I would LOVE to believe "the pandemic is over" ...I would LOVE to believe to win the next lottery....reality does not work like that....

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table for indication only now has global cases at -14%, deaths -19%...Asia cases +11%, deaths in Asia -2%...South America cases +14% (!) deaths -25%...Europe cases now-in these statistics--21%, deaths -14%...

Reporting/testing "problematic"...making sequencing for variants impossible...

While hospitals may become overcrowded "media/politics" may stick to denial....Of course this will not end well...

End of part 1

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 19 2022 at 1:04am

Part 2,

Background; Germany, Sweden know who blew up Northstream but "keep it a secret for their own population" [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65saUjbbNLM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65saUjbbNLM ...the Duran...The New Atlas [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJy3B25Exfs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJy3B25Exfs on a "Politico" US-comment insulting India...

DJ-When you look at the pandemics and compare it to to how "governments", "politics" deal with other crises, climate change, provoking and escalating wars, fiat-currency...(a problem ? just create more money !) the level of stupidity is simply shocking...Public trust is gone...how can one deal with yet more pandemic waves if the "people" do not have any reason to trust "politics"? 








“Can you please tell them to hurry up or I shall be dead.” Ken Shadbolt, 94, begged 999 handlers for an ambulance three times before he died from a fall at home. You promise you care deeply about the NHS & patient safety, . Please do not cut our budgets even more.

Ideological blindness is destroying all that is "public"...privatization to destruction....








The Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI) has published its weekly Mortality Monitor covering deaths to 7 October. There were 10% more deaths this week than if death rates were the same as 2019. That’s another significant excess. 1/3

politics going for false statistics still have to find a way to hide excess deaths...








https://straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/philippines-detects-first-cases-of-xbb-covid-19-sub-variant-xbc-recombinant So according to this news article (Strait Times is a pretty reliable source IMHO), Philippine identified 81 XBB cases and 193 XBC cases already. And noticeably, 5 out of those 193 XBC patients deceased.

link [url]https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/philippines-detects-first-cases-of-xbb-covid-19-sub-variant-xbc-recombinant[/url] or https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/philippines-detects-first-cases-of-xbb-covid-19-sub-variant-xbc-recombinant DJ-I understand Singapore has a high level of vaccinations...








Wow, very cool stuff. More proof that to a certain extent, spike mutations are predictable, & the most obvious ones (recently, R346T, K444X, V445X, and F486X mutations) should be incorporated into vaccines in advance. What do we have to lose?

and

Bloom Lab

@jbloom_lab
·
Here is an updated plot showing the remarkable similarity in the patterns of where spike mutations occur in the #SARSCoV2 variant BQ.1.1 versus the long terms hotspots of evolutionary change in human CoV-229E.
Show this thread

DJ...some countries using "old" vaccines providing protection against variants that are no longer spreading...








Begrijp ik dit goed? De variant waarvoor deze ronde ouderen en kwetsbaren opnieuw zijn geprikt is verdwenen en de variant waarvoor de prikken nog op de plank liggen (omdat eerst de voorraad moest tegen BA1 moest worden opgemaakt) is nu dominant ?

"penny wise-pound foolish"(Translation from Dutch; Do I get it right ? The variant for wich this round old and vulnerable again is vaccinated is gone and the variant for wich vaccines are still in store (because first the old stocks against BA1 had to be finished)  is now dominant ? 

DJ-The UK "government" going for "free spread of anti-biotics" (can you get anti-biotics in UK supermarkets soon ? Is it that stupid ?) just another indication of the level of incompetence and insanity from the present ruling "political elite"....


BQ.1* and BQ.1.1 are growing fast in Europe. XBB in Asia. BQ.1.1 seems faster than BQ.1 worldwide. I included BQ.1* in these charts though, because it becoming dominant will have an impact on case numbers. And it includes some other sublineages that might be fast, like BQ.1.8.>

and








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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 18 2022 at 10:49pm

DJ,

Limited 'new news" on the pandemic(s)...YES new variants are spreading, YES CoViD now seem to give other symptoms...better in evading immunity after infection/vaccination...but that should not be seen as "new news" it has been the pattern-more or less-all over the pandemic...

There is growing doubt on how much protection vaccines/earlier infection-immunity-can provide against the newest variants...For that matter vaccines, anti-virals may have had good short term effects-however creating longer term problems...

At least-that is my impression...again; I am NOT an expert-just trying to make sense...

There are different numbers on how many people did get infected, vaccinated...still-it has been over three years CoViD-19 showed up and it may still bring very major problems. 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/u-s-study-shows-that-billions-could-have-already-been-infected-with-covid-19-than-originally-reported-coming-surges-will-infect-even-more[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/u-s-study-shows-that-billions-could-have-already-been-infected-with-covid-19-than-originally-reported-coming-surges-will-infect-even-more "politics" resulting in a claim China would have had 149 to 1,104 times the number of cases China reported-in this US study-I think deserve a major ????...China, Cuba, several other countries go for "Zero-CoViD" with very high levels of testing, lockdowns...

US "led west" go for profits "economy"...decreasing testing, reporting..."freedom" without responsibility is just careless...

So statistics...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table global tested reported cases -8%, deaths -19%...Europe cases -7%, deaths -3%, Asia cases +2%, deaths -9%, Africa cases -2%, deaths +77% (!!!!!) may provide not even good indications any longer...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data UK cases now going flat...hardly any increase at 3,1 million selfreported symptoms cases...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory "don't test-don't tell" on MPX going worldwide...








COVID hospitalizations in New York state have reached 2,909, up 9% from last week and the highest since February. Cases, however, remain relatively low.

DJ...hospital numbers, excess deaths can give some further indication on where we are...[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/ ;

This week’s overall pooled EuroMOMO estimates of all-cause mortality for the participating European countries show elevated excess mortality.

Data from 25 European countries or subnational regions were included in this week’s pooled analysis of all-cause mortality.

A look at [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ (week 41...we now live in week 42) indicating excess deaths for week 41 is above that of 2021, 2020 for age groups under 45 y/o and 65+...Germany, Estonia moderate excess deaths 4-7% above "normal", Low excess 2-4% above in BeNeLux, France, Switzerland, Spain, Sweden...we are out of heatwaves...most high risks may have had disease allready so-YES this statistic may indicate-a long term-problem...

The primary action that is needed everywhere in the world is: Checking travelers from Uganda for fever daily during 21 days after being in Uganda, and quarantining anyone with symptoms if and as soon as they develop. 3/

DJ...we did NOT stop enough air travel in time to stop CoViD variants over and over again, we offerde MPX free travel around the globe...Ebola next ? 

Stupidity rules...with NATO pushing for more wars...military spending at insane levels killing millions...This has to stop !

End of part 1


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 17 2022 at 10:31pm

DJ,

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/singapore-xbb-variant-more-prevalent-in-those-without-a-previous-covid-infection/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/singapore-xbb-variant-more-prevalent-in-those-without-a-previous-covid-infection/ ;

Singapore’s Health Minister, Ong Ye Kung, has said that he expects the current XBB SARS-CoV-2 wave to peak in mid-November 2022. 

In an assured press conference, Singapore’s Health Minister said he expects the XBB to crest at about 15,000 daily cases on average. Covid case levels in Singapore are currently averaging around 8,500 a day.

-

XBB seems to be more prevalent in the COVID-naive, and for those originally infected in the Delta and pre-Delta era

Singapore Health Ministry data is showing that the vast majority of current Covid-19 cases are either asymptomatic or mild

-

The world may have dodged another bullet with XBB, but we remain convinced that a recombinant SARS-CoV-2 variant will eventually cause a reversion to Wuhan levels of virulence, or worse.

Recombinant variants are a roll of the dice, and with trillions of dice being rolled every day, it’s only a matter of time before our luck runs out.

Minimizing transmission to prevent new variants and recombinants should have always been our first priority for containing the virus.

also a look at the UK [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data cases flatten at just above 3,1 million people reporting symptoms-at least for now. Self-reported cases may increase again...that is still open. This autumn/fall wave is the third largest UK wave in this pandemic. 

DJ-The autumn-wave may NOT be the start of a winterwave...in lots of places cases may peak this/next month...another wave then should be expected. Recent infections/vaccinations may offer some protection against the XBB variant. That is welcome news...

-[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/case-reports-documenting-covid-19-patients-developing-mesenteric-panniculitis-and-acute-abdominal-pain-as-infection-progresses[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/case-reports-documenting-covid-19-patients-developing-mesenteric-panniculitis-and-acute-abdominal-pain-as-infection-progresses a shift of symptoms away from respitory to gastro-intestinal ? 








Replying to  and 
There are also 7 spike mutations in BA.2.3.20 not found in either XBB or BQ.1.1, suggesting co-circulation with at least three different variants might be a possibility, though I still expect "one variant to rule them all" M153T, N164K, H245Y, G257D, K444R, N450D, L452M, E484R

Lots of countries report a "variant-soup" ...not just some gaining dominance...co-infections may change the story as well...








Did you know that with an insurance card you’re entitled to four free boxes of two COVID tests per month from CVS or Walgreens?

In the US...we still have to pay...however did get tests send at home by government after summer breaks (?)...Tests under 2€/2$ each...if you are lucky...








Thread of avian influenza virus (AIV). First off a PSA - DO NOT touch, handle or attempt to treat suspected sick or dead birds yourself - particularly poultry, waterfowl (ducks, geese, etc) or seabirds. These are VERY dangerous viruses that can infect people and be deadly!

Bird-flu...spreading around the globe at a level unseen in history...

DJ-Limited news/time...so end of part 1

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 16 2022 at 11:23pm

DJ, What is your favorite next pandemic ? 


My nightmare scenario since 2014—during Ebola outbreak in West Africa when travel was not restricted—is someone throwing up in the subway system of a major metropolitan area CDC informed us to prepare for Ebola in the US. Honestly not sure what that means

-






I WON’T vote 4 Harris/Buttigieg/AOC in 2024

@flowermusickids
·
- Saw unmasked employees cleaning up what may have been bloody vomit at a local retailer today. @CDCgov, you might want to issue a public health alert âš ï¸. How will employees know how to SAFELY clean up what could be a prank vs SARS2 or Ebola viral laden vomitus in retail outlets?

why stop diseases from spreading ? Virusses need freedom too ! 

Replying to 
Already two quarantined under suspicion of Ebola in Chicago alone. Presumably these were symptomatic upon arrival in the US. The ones who left the airport without symptoms may develop them later.

"freedom"! DJ-Why "western democrazies" do not import cholera ? It is widespread allready-also in Haïti...

US media has been preparing the public for military intervention in Haiti through a years-long disinformation campaign, painting Cherizier as a mass murderer. The fact that he’s so demonized in corporate media should suggest that  he’s, in reality, the opposite.

DJ...so...yes...the US is preparing to import cholera from Haïti...in support of a local elitist dictator...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory if you ignore a virus it will go away ! Do not test-do not tell....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/poxviridae-including-monkeypox/960745-neonatal-monkeypox-virus-infection-nejm-correspondence-october-12-2022[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/poxviridae-including-monkeypox/960745-neonatal-monkeypox-virus-infection-nejm-correspondence-october-12-2022 ;

The ongoing monkeypox outbreak was recently declared to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization.1 Young children are at risk for severe disease; therefore, early recognition and prompt treatment are important.2


Figure 1. Monkeypox Skin Lesions in a Newborn Infant.

Shown are monkeypox skin lesions on the hands and feet of a newborn infant. Visible lesions range from vesicles to pustules, and lesions that were beginning to form scabs are also shown. Photographs were obtained on day 5 after the onset of rash.

DJ.....maybe politics/government will punish reporting on this ? At least de-fund them ! 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/960747-flutrackers-global-human-h10n3-h3n8-h7n4-case-lists[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/960747-flutrackers-global-human-h10n3-h3n8-h7n4-case-lists of course on top of lots of-daily-H5N1 cases in birds most-so far...worldwide....








No war in US history has killed 1 million Americans, and yet the US spends at least 300 times more on our military defense than we do on our public health defense. That must change, or we'll remain vulnerable to disease threats.

there are good news items...








GREAT NEWS / BREAKING First phase III #Covid19 #intranasal #vaccine data released. IT LOOKS VERY GOOD!  s intranasal #iNCOVACC has a 45% higher antibody titer than their intramuscular #Covaxin. And it shows a satisfactory immune response against Omicron BA.5.

but will they get the money needed ? And YES; masks, social distancing, work/study from home, ventilation all work...but "politics do not promote this"...








Een niet bestaande lijst is virtueel de grootste politieke partij in de Kamer (28 zetels). Een niet bestaande lijsttrekker is dan premier en opvolger van Rutte. Arm Kamerlid  dat deze last op zijn schouders mee torst.

In NL a "dissident MP" (former christian-democrat) would lead the largest fraction in parliament if he would have a party and run for elections...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pieter_Omtzigt[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pieter_Omtzigt DJ-In party elections Omtzigt -by fraud-did not win...(Omtzigt's wife voted for her husband to get thanks for voting for his opponent)...the "political elite" did the best they could to find "another function" for Omtzigt...

By the way "our PM" mark rutte [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Rutte#Party_leadership_election[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Rutte#Party_leadership_election did NOT win the election for party leadership [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rita_Verdonk#2006_bid_for_VVD_leadership[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rita_Verdonk#2006_bid_for_VVD_leadership did win...the wiki-pages have been "edited" From a NL=page ;Na afloop van de parlementsverkiezingen bleek zij 620.555 stemmen te hebben gekregen, 67.355 meer dan Rutte. Dit is een unicum in de Nederlandse parlementaire geschiedenis omdat het de eerste keer is dat een lijsttrekker niet de meeste stemmen van de lijst heeft gekregen.

DJ...in parliament elections verdonk did get 67,355 more votes then rutte...unique in NL history...The vvd-neo-liberals follow a bit the same line as US republicans, UK conservatives...however has a more liberal view on gay-rights, abortion, euthanesia...young-liberals even in favor of a republic...The vvd in NL defunded everything public...from public healthcare, housing, education to transport...the number of millionaires did increase...so did the number of food-bank clients...

In 2019 (neo-liberal) press claimed the US, UK and NL were "best prepared for a pandemic"...when you look at the facts a country like Germany-lots of nearby smaller hospitals, de-political healthcare did better...NL reporting of CoViD deaths simply has all old people in care centers dying from old age-not from CoViD...so about half of NL CoViD deaths are simply not reported...

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/10/covid-19-vaccination-campaign-held-back-by-poor-planning-safety-board-finds/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2022/10/covid-19-vaccination-campaign-held-back-by-poor-planning-safety-board-finds/ ;

The Dutch vaccination programme against Covid-19 was held back because the government’s initial plan was too reliant on family doctors, a report by the safety council has concluded. In the second of three reports into the government’s response to the coronavirus crisis, the OVV said preparations to set up vaccination centres through the local health board (GGD) network only started in December 2020, a month before the first jabs were given. The Netherlands was the last country in the EU to begin vaccinating its citizens in January 2021 and lagged behind the rest of Europe for most of the first half of the year. The cabinet believed the coronavirus vaccine could be distributed through the same networks as the annual flu jab, the OVV found. ‘Other scenarios were not prepared,’ it noted. It assumed most people would be given the AstraZeneca vaccine, which can be stored in regular fridges in small quantities, but the Pfizer vaccine, which has to be kept at minus 70C, became the most commonly used type. ‘When it became clear in December 2020 that a different vaccine, which was not suitable for vaccination in doctors’ surgeries, would be available first, vaccination centres had to be set up quickly,’ the OVV said in an explanatory video.

DJ another pandemic related fraud case [url]https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mondkapjesaffaire[/url] or https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mondkapjesaffaire "no profit" facemasks-deal did get three men millions...at least one of them has links to the christian democratic party...then also providing the minister of health...

I do not know how much corruption was involved in "promoting" Pfizer and Moderna-vaccines...very likely -here again- lots of bribes to "misreport" on AstraZeneca non-profit vaccines, keep Russian, Indian, Chinese vaccines out of the west (in a "free market"...)...

This pandemic-like wars-make some people very rich...at the costs of all others...disgusting !

End of part 2..."Music"[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifLqzLEB3E0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifLqzLEB3E0 Always Look At The Bright Side Of Life-North Korean Army Choir...


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 16 2022 at 10:36pm

DJ...again..twitter and this forum does not mix...

My goal is/was to "make sense" of the pandemic and its background...

[url]https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20221016-protestors-set-to-march-in-paris-as-as-fuel-shortages-fuel-anger-over-inflation[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20221016-protestors-set-to-march-in-paris-as-as-fuel-shortages-fuel-anger-over-inflation major protests-in fact in many places in Europe-against another insane war bringing mass inflation and lots of suffering...

I can not make sense of insanity....if "talks on de-escalation" in conflicts is "pictured" as "treason" one can escalate towards global nuclear war....The "west" is run by a bunch of idiots...military Summary-on Ukraine-expects Russia to wait for the outcome of US november 8 elections...

From Ukraine to healthcare-UK giving up medical control on anti-biotics...Outcome will be lots more diseases will get multi-resistent, untreatable..."but "free" as an insane ideology"...Western insanity is pushing healthcare into bankruptcy...lots of hospitals, GP's etc. now facing insane energy bills...with the pandemics getting worse...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table "weekend" may see limited/no statistics from "the west"...Asia CoViD cases now +2%...Over half of the global population lives in Asia...

Nepal cases +109%, Singapore (XBB) +51%, Saudi Arabia +29%, Iran +27%, Hong Kong +25%, Indonesia +15%, China +12% (low numbers), Malaysia, Uzbekistan both +10%, Pakistan, Syria +8%, Philippines +7%, Japan, Vietnam +5%...so in large parts of Asia-as an indication-cases may be going up again...India cases still -3%, Taiwan -4%

By now "statistics" are no longer based on good daily reporting...US-CDC in another act of insanity-going for updates once a week...(no doubt-prior to US elections US cases "will go down" with a correction upward after the "mid-term elections" ...totally disgusting ! This is not "political" it is further destroying any trust in politics, democracy...). 

Is there any point in taking a view on new variants ? 

"western strategy" is "booster-till-you-drop"...even with growing evidence that new variants are getting better in evading immunity (after earlier infection, booster-vaccines) any change in "strategy" is impossible to even start discussing...And "vaccination-without Non Pharma Intervention" is producing immunity-escape variants...

We have a "political elite" with the insane idea "they control everything" going against science...A "political elite" going for empty words and "creating money" to buy time...kick cans down the road...silence all that say this is insanity...

Again-history is a good indicator for what happens to such an "let-them-eat-cake elite"...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-hong-kong-scientists-discovers-that-the-metabolite-glycylproline-is-responsible-for-waning-antibodies-in-recovered-covid-19-patients[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-hong-kong-scientists-discovers-that-the-metabolite-glycylproline-is-responsible-for-waning-antibodies-in-recovered-covid-19-patients maybe there are ways to limit damage to immunity...but given the insane elite...no point...








Tracked  #Convergent #lineages are predicted to be immune evasive and better ACE2 receptor binders than Omicron.BA2 Lineages to watch closely- CH.1.1*, XBB*, BM.1.1.1, CA.1, BQ.1.1*, BR.2, BN.1* Note: Scores are from #Nextclade and predictions are based on RBD mutations.

"strategy" when vaccines stop working "more vaccines"...insane !








6- what’s the take home message? Cell-cell fusion here is a sensor. It’s simply telling us it is using entry factors like TMPRSS2 more efficiently. Viruses generally do this to be fitter and this can indeed be related to a shift in tropism (better entry into other cell types).

and








Something interesting is happening in New York.  Cases have been flat over the past month, however hospitalizations are jumping significantly.  New York has the highest BQ.1* proportions in the country, estimated at 25% of cases today by CovSpectrum

severity of disease may be increasing...

DJ-We are speeding up in a dead-end street...

End of part 1


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 16 2022 at 2:50am

part 3...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/arctic-blast-blanket-eastern-half-us-next-week[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/arctic-blast-blanket-eastern-half-us-next-week ;

A cold blast will descend on the eastern US early next week, forcing tens of millions of Americans to turn on their heaters or fire up their stoves as the cold season comes early. 

"It will feel more like November for many next week," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

Unseasonably cold weather begins Monday and could last through the week and extend down to the Gulf of Mexico. There's also a risk of snow across the Great Lakes, Midwest, and New England.

DJ Cold weather will not only increase illness, also (international) energy prices will go up-pushing inflation/social unrest further...

Thread: My new investigation shows how the U.S. is preparing an "imminent" military invention to crush the uprising in Haiti, either with Pentagon special ops trainers or a full-scale invasion. Full  report here: https://youtu.be/4OmufIgb4tM

and








NHS: “Overuse of antibiotics means they're becoming less effective and has led to emergence of superbugs" Mayo Clinic: “MRSA [which killed 100k in 2019] is the result of decades of often unnecessary antibiotic use” British government: let’s make it easier to overuse antibiotics

DJ...if CoVid cases explode, other illnesses increase, healthcare collapses..."bad politics" may be send home...








Spikes of XBB and BQ.1.1 are as different from each other as the spikes of most named variants between each other. Just because they are all called Omicron doesn't mean they are similar. XBB and BA.1 are _very_ different (16/21 mutations only in one, 20 shared, bottom right) 4/

Naming them all "Omicron" because "Omicron is the last variant of this pandemic-"politics" has gone beyond insane, absurd...








This stat made ripples yesterday (and rightly so because it's appalling). Over 7 million people in England are waiting for NHS treatment - that's roughly one in 8 people in the country and it just keeps rising. If it's not you, it's likely someone you know well.

DJ, maybe "political despair" is largest in the -still- "united" kingdom...when will Scotland, Ireland say enough is enough ? Total incompetence on ALL fields is resulting in more excess deaths...poverty, Still [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data do UK CoViD cases increase slow down ? 

The Uganda lockdown will last for 21 days and a curfew from 7PM-6AM will be implemented to the districts under lockdown. Is the situation far worse than the media presents or the lockdowns are just a cautionary measures?

Ebola reporting falling back on twitter...








I want to point out that, even though NSW/Australia has a broad palet of fast growing variants, it will be hard to make reliable graphs, because their policy of preselecting samples to sequence is not clear. What is clear though, is that they will be spreading those variants! ..

Australia statistics [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/ "weekend drop of cases"????








A closer look at regional patterns of BQ.1, BQ.1.1 and other variants in Germany. The highest BQ.1.1 proportion, estimated to be around 10% today, is found in Bavaria. (This is doesn't have to be a result of Oktoberfest, as it would have brought in all sorts of variants.)

-








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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 15 2022 at 11:58pm

DJ, part 2








No war in US history has killed 1 million Americans, and yet the US spends at least 300 times more on our military defense than we do on our public health defense. That must change, or we'll remain vulnerable to disease threats.

From a history point of view you have to look to all "events" in a wider context...CoViD-19 did see the African Swine Fever going global in 2018-20...we now see an alarming level of "bird-flu" (High Pathogenic Avian Influenza=HPAI) often H5N1 (though some other forms do also show up...). Again-Monkeypox/MPX "acting wierd" should be related to (decrease of immunity caused by) CoViD-19 (COrona VIral Disease)....How the decrease of immunity will work out is part of studies...

A problem is lots of countries hardly see testing...there may be animal spread we hardly notice (untill it produces a variant that spreads again in humans). 

Ebola in Israel ???? [url]https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-719701[/url] or https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-719701 travel link to Uganda may give more info on how immunity still is effective...

There have been worries the spread of infection could be difficult to control because currently there is no vaccine for the Sudan strain


Despite that, World Health Organization chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus reassured African regional health officials that a clinical trial of vaccines to combat the Sudan strain of the haemorrhagic fever could start within weeks.


Two of those vaccines "could be put in clinical trial in Uganda in the coming weeks pending regulatory and other approvals from the Ugandan government," he said.

DJ...there have been claims of (Sudan-type) Ebola in South Sudan, Kenya...but not confirmed...very likely the Israel-ebola-story may see no ebola-virus being detected...

Polio, Cholera (Lebanon, Haïti -possibly facing a US invasion...again) other diseases may become a growing risk. 

Climate change was related to Zika [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zika_virus_outbreak_timeline[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zika_virus_outbreak_timeline Malaria may "move north" (again-it was a problem in northern Europe a hundred years ago...cholera as well...). 

-[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/xbb-set-to-become-the-dominant-variant-in-singapore/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/xbb-set-to-become-the-dominant-variant-in-singapore/ ;

XBB is set to become the dominant variant in Singapore, and is already dominant in Bangladesh.

The XBB variant was first sequenced in India in late August 2022. It is most definitely NOT a “Singapore Variant”. There is some anecdotal evidence that the XBB variant may have been uncovered in the United States in early August 2022, however those sequences have not been uploaded to the global Gisaid database.

The current XBB wave in Singapore could be on course to surpass the second-highest wave in the territory.

XBB deaths in Singapore, so far, seem to running at levels that are slightly below those of previous waves.

Harry Spoelstra has noticed new variants that could potentially compete with XBB and BQ.1.1.

“Omicron stew cooking, new (sub)variants appearing. We’re concerned about BQ.1.1 and XBB, but mutations keep on coming with growing divergence Potential new bad boys like BQ.1.8.1/2 and recombinant XBC.2 are appearing. Fast driving on your evolutionary highway without seatbelts”

Cornelius Roemer: “BQ.1* and XBB have different geographic foci BQ.1* is mostly in Africa, Europe and North America XBB in South (East) Asia 3 countries with similar levels worth watching for comparison and potential co-circulation are: – Japan – Australia – South Korea.”

Meanwhile, in the United States, BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 are now at 11% of variants – up from almost zero just a week ago.

DJ [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table now has Asia cases only -1%...Singapore cases +55%, deaths +20%...Bangladesh cases -24%, deaths however +25% (testing issue ? Flooding ???)








The first XBB was found in the Netherlands. In week 38 in Gelderland. Furthermore, 3 BA.2.3.20 have now been found. 1 in week 37 in Groningen and 2 in week 40 in Limburg and Utrecht. The BQ.1.1 is growing the fastest. BQ.1*= BQ.1+BQ.1.1+BQ.1.2+BQ.1.3 For week 40 there are now 8 out of 99 samples BQ.1*

We did see XBB in my region of NL last month-week 38...travel linked ? 








Replying to 
XBB has higher immune escape but BQs have higher ACE2 binding. Not clear yet how that will turn out.

DJ...mutation proces may go that fast BOTH can not gain dominance before other variants show up...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/german-health-minister-advocates-increasing-covid-19-safety-measures-as-covid-19-infections-and-hospitalizations-rise-what-variants-at- play-are-not-kn[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/german-health-minister-advocates-increasing-covid-19-safety-measures-as-covid-19-infections-and-hospitalizations-rise-what-variants-at-play-are-not-kn own...(lots of links) 

Germany cases +17% getting close to 100,000 per day...real number may be 4x the official one...deaths +88% (worldometers) 

Statistics are now very "influenced" by NOT providing daily updates...The US-CDC NOW !!!! moving towards WEEKLY updates is a scandal...("politics"...mid-term false claim US government did "beat the virus"...). 

Again-present "politics" only makes matters worse...even if the lie "we will not cut spending on healthcare" inflation is "eating healthcare away"...








This is ridiculous. Another Fed member was just caught trading during blackout periods. Reminder, the Fed traded stocks that the Fed was buying in 2021 at the market bottom, before the bull rally. This is where they sold - at the very market top - before the Fed raised rates.

corruption has become a major problem...









Note: This is a constructive reversal of statements that Uganda would not "lockdown" to stop Ebola. But the main action needed is early identification by daily monitoring. 1/ Uganda introduces lockdown measures to halt spread of Ebola: president

-









Replying to 
Here is a description of the community based door-to-door symptom checking to identify potential cases and isolate them. This is what stopped Ebola in Liberia. 

-

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 15 2022 at 11:04pm

DJ,

Economy;








Every week, we crunch thousands of alt data and capital flow series   This (simple) chart stood out to me this week The Eurozone has flipped from large trade surpluses to a  VERY dramatic trade deficit over a short period of time.

-

The overall trade balance is swinging from a trade surplus of $300bn per year (+$25bn/month) to a deficit of now $50bn/month, which annualize to around $600bn. The swing is almost $1 trillion!

The US-biden provoked NATO-Russia war is destroying Europe, bringing the US trillions for LNG and war-export...NL may see (Euro-stat I think it was) 12% annual inflation for 2022, 8% inflation in 2023...So if we spent the same amount of money on healthcare inflation would bring us only 80% of 2021 healthcare...thank you USA!

Of course more wars is resulting in more refugees, more healthissues...we have to bring war criminals to the ICC ! 

The only way out of these pandemics is regime-change...politics made climate change only worse, made CoViD-19 become a pandemic...somehow "politics" claim their foreign policies are not rotten ? 

-Good video's 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wT1MC26pzec[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wT1MC26pzec ;[url]https://www.independentsage.org/independent-sage/[/url] or https://www.independentsage.org/independent-sage/ LIVE: Join us today for a Public Q&A session, chaired by Prof Anthony Costello, along with a presentation of the latest Covid trends by Dr Duncan Robertson (DJ, lots of info, on myocarditis after vaccination-in men often "mild". How to "live with the virus" masks in higher risk enviroments/travel. Statistics)

and Dr.Been on new variants [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAnvEO4Ixjk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAnvEO4Ixjk ;

XBB and Other New Variants And Immune Imprinting New variants are extensively escaping the immune system. Possibly due to the immune imprinting. Let's review a preprint study from China.

DJ [url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.09.15.507787v3[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.09.15.507787v3 new mutations may result in newer variants of CoViD-19 becoming just as different from the Wuhan-2019 "original one" as SARS-1 (2003) is...so one could see it as a "SARS-3 like type"...

Dr.Been mentioning that inclusion of the Wuhan "wild" type in bi-valent CoViD vaccine [url]https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/covid-19-bivalent-vaccine-boosters[/url] or https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/covid-19-bivalent-vaccine-boosters is "anti-science"...you create anti-bodies to a virus that is not spreading that way any longer...

The discussed in vitro study (more theory-in vivo would be in mice, living beings) indicates new variants may evade immunity provided by now used vaccines or earlier infections...Dr.Been underlines the study does NOT tell a thing on severity of infection...Without prior infection or vaccination you still will get a "normal immune response"...However earlier infection/vaccination may see a partial immune reaction to mutations in the (RBD part of the) virus (Receptor Binding Domain-linking to ACE-2/other receptors in the host) for wich there was no immunity yet...

DJ-I try to understand how this pandemic develops...CoViD19 does NOT create immunity...Mutations are selected in new infections...mutations that evade the immune response survive...so forget about "herd immunity"....XBB and lots of other new variants








When we first saw this cryptic lineage it had 4 RBD changes, now there are 12.   These are all positions where changes are also seen in Omicron lineages. Holy convergence.   This really illustrates why cryptic lineages can inform us what the virus is likely to do next.

simply find ways to get around the immune response...

DJ-There is lots of discussions on new variants bringing new symptoms...but since one may be infected by a mix of virus-variants what role wich new variant plays is not clear...more gastro-intestinal "gut" problems (diarrhea a.o.) are mentioned...

In a study to learn how bad CoViD can get [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/deaths/chimeric-sars-cov-2-variant-with-a-mortality-rate-of-80/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/deaths/chimeric-sars-cov-2-variant-with-a-mortality-rate-of-80/ ;

Scientists undertake a gain-of-function experiment and create a chimeric recombinant SARS-CoV-2 virus with 80% mortality rate in mice.

We generated chimeric recombinant SARS-CoV-2 encoding the S gene of Omicron in the backbone of an ancestral SARS-CoV-2 isolate and compared this virus with the naturally circulating Omicron variant.

The Omicron S-bearing virus robustly escapes vaccine-induced humoral immunity, mainly due to mutations in the receptor binding motif (RBM), yet unlike naturally occurring Omicron, efficiently replicates in cell lines and primary-like distal lung cells.

In K18-hACE2 mice, while Omicron causes mild, non-fatal infection, the Omicron S-carrying virus inflicts severe disease with a mortality rate of 80%. This indicates that while the vaccine escape of Omicron is defined by mutations in S, major determinants of viral pathogenicity reside outside of S.

Preprint: Role of spike in the pathogenic and antigenic behavior of SARS-CoV-2 BA.1 Omicron

DJ, these "gain-of-function" studies provide information on what mutations may be high risk, potential risks...More in general -this CoViD-pandemic has been going on for around three years...new variants keep showing up even better to (re)infect...The decrease of immunity after/during a CoViD infection may be linked to MPX "acting differently"...The host-immunity did change-resulting in changes in diseases...it is all interaction-high speed...

My non-expert impression is "this pandemic" has become a "major problem" for science...[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports now has 889 variants of "Omicron" that have been detected/reported...If we want to get out of this healthcrisis we need another strategy...

Non Pharma Intervention-masks, travel restrictions could stop the transport-part of the pandemic triangle (disease-transport-host)..."saving the economy" now has between 5 and 10% of the workforce dealing with (long)CoViD...it is destroying the economy...

Zero-CoViD may have limited cases in China, almost ended CoViD in Cuba...time is running out...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 14 2022 at 11:46pm

DJ, part 2...inflation...

More NATO-provoked wars even worsened inflation...The US now at 8,8% year-to-year, NL had 17.1% per october-year-to-year...(Euro-stat gives a somewhat lower number-weighs elements in a different way...). Healthcare-from hospitals to GP's ("home-docters") all face higher costs...Their (mainly insurance based) income is NOT going up (fast enough) so government have to save healthcare from bankruptcy...

Spending (tens of) billions on yet another needless war may be good for the military-industrial complex + "banksters" and has priority over (basic) public healthcare...in an act of self-destruction...








NEW NUMBERS: ðŸš¨ Liz Truss has the lowest level of satisfaction with the public *ever recorded* for a British Prime Minister with  16% satisfied 67% dissatisfied (John Major briefly dipped to 17% in August 1994)

DJ...one may question the (mental) sanity of "western leaders"....Again-this CoViD pandemic (and other pandemics-like MPX as a result) is the outcome of political-complete-faillure...

Blaming China for the "CCP-Virus"(CoViD), blaming the WHO for not calling it a pandemic in time, blaming Putin for (hyper)inflation is NOT solving any problem...

Fiat-currency, simply "create" more money to "solve any problem" is like not building just "a house on ice" but entire cities on ice...Starting wars to "save fiat-currencies"-let others pay for your overspending-did reach its limits...

Maybe the "best part" in this story is "there are enough very rich people" to tax....main problem; they did buy everything...politics, science, media...

If we want to get out of this pandemic-a symptom of a socio-political disease- we have to chance "the system"...








Staggering from the new health secretary at the point when the workforce crisis facing the NHS could not be worse.

-

NursingNotes

@NursingNotesUK
·
Nurses can leave ‘if they want to’ – they have already had a pay rise, says Thérèse Coffey. In an interview, Dr Coffey suggested she would rather recruit overseas nurses than increase pay for those already in the NHS. Read more â†˜ï¸ https://nursingnotes.co.uk/s/43679/

DJ..."politics" going for " importing nurses" instead of decent pay is sick....Privatizing the UK-National Health System-public healthcare-to end up with "healthcare for profit" is criminal....

I expect we are getting close to a turning point in history...The neo-liberal/conservative "nostalgia" for 19th century conditions -simply ignoring the WHY...we have PUBLIC housing, care, transport...is the main motor behind the pandemic disaster...

This pandemic could have been stopped in january 2020...it was NOT stopped "to save the economy"...Airtravel did transport all kinds of variants, diseases all over the globe...you can NOT deal with pandemics this way unless you want to make matters only worse...

So my next question; Is it ideological blindness...are "politicians" unable to see what they cause ? If it is not "ideological insanity" a tunnel-vision, then the only other word is "genocide"...

I can go on trying to understand new variants, immunity evasion, try to get info on how many people are infected...but what is the point if "politics" simply refuses to stop it...? 

STOP THE SPREAD !!!! Is not rocket-science....

-Do vaccinations still protect ? [url]https://fortune.com/well/2022/09/24/new-covid-omicron-variants-subvariants-evade-monoclonal-antibodies-bebtelovimab-recombinants-convergent-evolution-sars-immune-evasion/[/url] or https://fortune.com/well/2022/09/24/new-covid-omicron-variants-subvariants-evade-monoclonal-antibodies-bebtelovimab-recombinants-convergent-evolution-sars-immune-evasion/ ;It’s unknown how well new Omicron boosters will hold up against coming variants. But Cao’s paper notes that herd immunity and boosters may not protect against new strains. It urges the rapid development of broader COVID vaccines and new antibody drugs, and encourages researchers to test them against recombinants they construct in the lab, in an effort to gauge their effectiveness ahead of time.

DJ...Exponential growth goes in ALL directions is "4 dimensional" so more immune evasion=more cases=more mutations=less immunity protection=more room for other diseases (MPX, H5N1)...not stopping this is mass murder on unprecedented scale...even worse then climate collapse...more mean that nuclear war...

There is a major problem in understanding exponential growth...most of us rather think "linear"...

Exponential is 1-2-4-8-16-32-64-128-256...(you could put % behind it...for CoViD 256% means an average person did catch CoViD 2,56 times...)

Linear is 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10...simply unable to catch/see the "snowball effect"...(here 10% would mean 1 in 10 persons only did catch CoViD...) 

When you look at major pandemics in history "politics" failed (or simply did not excist at a relevant level). Travel "restrictions" often were brutal...killing people trying to get out of a disease/pandemic area....This may have limited diseases spreading further...but basic knowledge on diseases was missing...

In 2022 we have a lot of knowledge...good science...but "politics" makes the wrong choices again...and again...

Music; Status Quo-Down, down, deeper and down...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1gYJDQXPOk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1gYJDQXPOk 1974...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 14 2022 at 10:45pm

DJ, 

Let me start with a few twitter-items in Dutch/translated;








850.000 mensen zijn op dit moment besmet met het corona virus. 1 op 8 mensen krijgt LongCovid=106.250 En dat heeft geen invloed op de economie  ???

translation; In NL  850,000 people at this moment are infected with the corona virus. 1 in 8 people get LongCoViD=106,250 And that has no influence on the economy min-of-health? 

Op1

@op1npo
·
1 op de 20 Nederlanders is op dit moment besmet met het #coronavirus@ministerVWS Ernst Kuipers raadt de basismaatregelen weer aan: “Ik zou adviseren om een boks te geven.”

translation; 1 in 20 Dutch is at this moment infected with the coronavirus. Min-of-healt advises basicmeasures; "Don't shake hands"...

DJ-the above tweet (Op1 is "main stream media" may "mix up" some info. We have had [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/netherlands/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/netherlands/ 8,5 million CoViD cases so far in NL...The [url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/besmettelijke-mensen[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/besmettelijke-mensen number of infectios people stopped being calculated since july 9 2021...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/netherlands/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/netherlands/ currently infected per october 14 in NL 73,385...(=tested & reported)

So...numbers are a bit confusing...I do not know where the 850,000 "active NL cases" oct. 14 comes from...

A look at the UK [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data has just over 3 million cases/oct 13...on a UK population of 68,5 million...that number is sliding towards 1-in-20 UK citizens having CoViD symptoms...(3,425,000 is 5% of the UK population...) 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/14/covid-restrictions-needed-yet-health-min-says-vaccinations-open-everyone-12[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/14/covid-restrictions-needed-yet-health-min-says-vaccinations-open-everyone-12 ;

Sectors like the catering industry, hair salons, beauticians, retail, and sex workers have all made plans over the past months to prepare for a new wave of coronavirus infections in the autumn. Their “measure ladder’ has four levels. From low to high, these are basic measures, prevention measures, intervention measures, and emergency brake measures.


The sectors are now at the basic level. If they move up a step, companies could have to create walking routes, put up splash screens, and ask visitors to reserve a time slot. But according to Kuipers, it is ‘not yet necessary for sectors to collectively take the step in the measures ladder to the preventive phase.”

Coronavirus infections have increased rapidly in recent weeks, putting more pressure on healthcare. The number of Covid-19 patients in hospitals has risen from over 400 to more than 1,100 in a month. The Netherlands is officially in the autumn wave.


A year ago, on 13 October 2021, fewer than 400 coronavirus patients were in Dutch hospitals. About a month later, in mid-November, that number had increased to over 2,000. At the beginning of December 2021, the wave peaked at over 2,800 coronavirus patients admitted to hospitals.

DJ...In many countries policies run behind the facts...stricter rules AFTER cases expolde...not to STOP cases exploding....

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Germany now has on average over 100,000 new cases per day...If you would translate 15 days-so 1,5 million people as "active case" then on the German population of 83,9 million that would be 2% ???

Europe is moving into a major wave of this CoViD pandemic. New variants-better even in evading immunity are expected to become more dominant next month...(DJ-could create another wave-ON TOP !_ of the present wave...)...politics "do not shake hands" shows the political level of incompetence...

"Saving the economy" is destroying that economy high speed...In some sectors 10-12% of staff is now ill (some long term...) Healthcare is "becoming more and more unavailable for all"...

Europe, Oceania cases now +4%...(Europe deaths +15%, Africa deaths +55%) ...in Asia (cases still -6%) China cases +93% (but real numbers 1,556 to 3,006 on a population of 1,4 billion...so very limited !) Singapore cases +64%, deaths +75% [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/the-worlds-first-xbb-wave-begins-in-singapore/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/the-worlds-first-xbb-wave-begins-in-singapore/ ...XBB also becoming dominant in Bangla Desh ...statistics has cases -27%....

Malaysia cases +37%, deaths +28%...Singapore is very close...

DJ Europe, parts of Asia/Africa, Oceania and parts of the America's may be in the "new" CoViD wave...testing/reporting problematic...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Since it is that major [url]https://fortune.com/well/2022/09/24/new-covid-omicron-variants-subvariants-evade-monoclonal-antibodies-bebtelovimab-recombinants-convergent-evolution-sars-immune-evasion/[/url] or https://fortune.com/well/2022/09/24/new-covid-omicron-variants-subvariants-evade-monoclonal-antibodies-bebtelovimab-recombinants-convergent-evolution-sars-immune-evasion/ ;

One Rajnarayanan and others are watching: XBB, a combination of two different Omicron spawns. It’s not currently a concern in terms of spread, but “it’s probably the most immune evasive yet”—even more so than the rising BA.2.75.2, which is more immune evasive than globally dominant BA.5, the most immune evasive until recently.

It’s a concerning pattern that has the ability to reduce the effectiveness of COVID treatments, as acknowledged by World Health Organization officials this week—and perhaps even vaccines. In a worst-case scenario, increasingly immune-evasive variants could render them ineffective entirely.

BA.2.75.2 is being watched for its potential to escape the immunity provided by the last antibody drug that is effective on all variants, Bebtelovimab, according to Rajnarayanan and other experts. It’s administered to those at high risk of serious outcomes from COVID.

According to a preprint updated Friday by Yulong Richard Cao, an assistant Professor at Peking University’s Biomedical Pioneering Innovation Center in China, and others, BQ.1.1 beat it to the punch. The variant escapes immunity from Bebtelovimab, as well as another antibody drug that only works against some variants.

“Such rapid and simultaneous emergence of variants with enormous advantages is unprecedented,” Cao and others wrote in the paper.


It’s unknown how well new Omicron boosters will hold up against coming variants. 

But Cao’s paper notes that herd immunity and boosters may not protect against new strains.

 It urges the rapid development of broader COVID vaccines and new antibody drugs, and encourages researchers to test them against recombinants they construct in the lab, in an effort to gauge their effectiveness ahead of time.

DJ, Non Pharma Interventions still will be usefull; masks, limiting social contacts...however some major worries should be;

-R0 going up...so it may become far more easier to catch...a small viral load could result in severe disease..

-(Bird)Flu mix; "Flu-Rona" resulting in more severe disease...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/john-hopkins-study-shows-that-hiv-patients-with-moderately-low-cd4-cell-counts-risk-severe-breakthrough-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/john-hopkins-study-shows-that-hiv-patients-with-moderately-low-cd4-cell-counts-risk-severe-breakthrough-covid-19-infection DJ-I did see a comment on twitter TMN is 

Thailand Medical News is not a credible source. The website is known to speculate well beyond what is reasonable. The claims are not backed up by evidence. Unfortunately, the site is cited as sole source for lots of tweets, some getting hundreds of retweets or more ðŸ˜”

DJ...maybe so...main stream media often NOT doing that much better...Twitter can be of use but often does not provide "a story" ...So-yes-take things with "grains of salt"..nobody knows all there is to know...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, No "main news" does not mean no news....

-"War" I think there is a lot of silent diplomacy now going on...Hope it will end/limit conflicts...A combination with wars makes it even harder to get out of the pandemics...

-Cholera...first case in Lebanon since 1993...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/cholera-incl-haiti-cholera-disaster/960188-lebanon-records-first-cholera-case-since-1993?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/cholera-incl-haiti-cholera-disaster/960188-lebanon-records-first-cholera-case-since-1993?view=stream so far 29 cases most in the north of Lebanon...with Syria also reporting cases...Yemen, Haïti "problematic" .

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cholera#Prognosis[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cholera#Prognosis

If people with cholera are treated quickly and properly, the mortality rate is less than 1%; however, with untreated cholera, the mortality rate rises to 50–60%.[17][1]

For certain genetic strains of cholera, such as the one present during the 2010 epidemic in Haiti and the 2004 outbreak in India, death can occur within two hours of becoming ill.[82]

DJ...Cholera was a problem in the "west" not that long ago...like malaria may become another problem soon....

-Polio

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/polio/935973-drc-polio-2022?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/polio/935973-drc-polio-2022?view=stream ; Week 41: 3 to 9 October 2022
Data as reported by: 17:00; 9 October 2022

A total of 13 cases of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) were reported; eight in Tanganyika, one in Haut Lomami and two each in Maniema and Tshopo bringing the number of cases reported in 2022 to 133. There were 28 cases in 2021.

https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/...0309102022.pdf

DJ...on its way to become a global issue as well...

-Ebola

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreakOn 10 October 2022, there were 63 confirmed cases and 29 reported deaths.[12] On 12 October 2022, there were 64 confirmed cases and 29 reported deaths.[7]

DJ...no further regional spread...

CoViD; 

Germany’s doctors association, Marburger Bund, urges states with surging Covid rates to reintroduce mask mandates in public indoor settings and transport, the head of the group said in an interview, echoing a plea by Germany’s federal health minister.

-

The Covid hospitalization rate in Germany on Friday increased to the highest level (9.59) since the start of the pandemic, per RKI data. It surpassed the previous peak by ca. 15%. Also: In several states the number of available ICU beds fell below the ten percent mark.

and

Amid a rapid rise of Covid hospitalizations, the head of Germany’s hospital association warned of “extremely difficult weeks ahead.” With ICU bed availability already limited in several regions, the head of Germany’s IC registry expects this trend to spread to more regions.

DJ...for UK [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data over 3 million people reporting symptoms out of 68,5 million UK population...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Europe and Oceania now cases +4%...Europe deaths +15%...Africa deaths +55%...








The SARS-CoV2 lineage soup was becoming a bit too complex to plot nicely, so here some simplified plots with lineages grouped by number of key mutations present, as suggested by  (with some help from ).

DJ...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory Monkeypox/MPX reporting simply bad...

The general picture is an increase of not only CoViD but also-very likely-other diseases...Labs may be reaching their limits for testing/sequencing...very likely a lot of spread of diseases under the radar...Flu-numbers for humans so far limited (but a lot may be simply missed...) H5N1-in birds growing fast....

My goal on this forum is to get/share an impression of "what is going on"...even experts now may be overrun...

I would like to find out more on [url]https://twitter.com/corneliusroemer[/url] or https://twitter.com/corneliusroemer "levels" (4 to 7)...

End of this breakfast-post for today...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ, 

Ebola-in latest news i started an Ebola section. So far the major outbreak is in Uganda-with also at least 1 (fatal) case in Kampala. As far as I did notice suspected cases in South Sudan, Kenya may have tested negative for the (Sudan) Ebola-virus. But further spread is very likely. 

To the south in the east of DRC/Congo another cases (Zaïre ebolavirus) was detected...NOT linked to the spread in Uganda-but related to the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kivu_Ebola_epidemic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kivu_Ebola_epidemic 

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/ebola/uganda-reports-seven-more-deaths-from-ebola-new-figures-at-odds-with-who/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/ebola/uganda-reports-seven-more-deaths-from-ebola-new-figures-at-odds-with-who/ 

and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak trying to follow that story. 

Disease control in Africa often is problematic. Mega-cities may see high speed spread. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table some African countries report an increase in CoViD-cases. A mix of diseases often results in more severe disease and may -limited risk- "change diseases"...MPX [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory is detected in DRC/Congo, Nigeria...(both CoViD and MPX data from Uganda is missing...). 

NL

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/12/dutch-govt-slow-act-second-wave-covid-19-infections-safety-board[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/12/dutch-govt-slow-act-second-wave-covid-19-infections-safety-board

The Cabinet was too slow to act ahead of the second wave of coronavirus infections in the fall of 2020. The number of infections was rising rapidly, but the government hesitated with measures because it feared social unrest, the Dutch Safety Board said in its second coronavirus report on Wednesday, NU.nl and ANP report.

The Safety Board looked at the period from September 2020 to July 2021, and at the three main measures the government took to curb the spread of the coronavirus - mandatory face masks in public spaces, school closures, and curfew.


This was the period after the “realtively quiet summer,” the Safety Board said. And that is also the crux of the problem. Infections started rising rapidly in August 2020. But the government only started intervening a month later. The Safety Board mentioned the advice to wear a face mask in public spaces, which came at the end of September after a lot of social and political pressure.

According to the Safety Board, the government’s hesitance stemmed from a fear of social unrest as support for the coronavirus measures dwindled. “Whereas there was great support for measures in the first half of the coronavirus crisis among large parts of the population, this was no longer obvious in the second phase of the crisis.”

DJ, Lots of countries-then and now-see governments, at best, running behind the facts...We are entering yet another wave...booster vaccinations are "chaotic"...not thay many people take them...because also most never get invited...No masks anywhere in NL...(if you use a mask you can face agression...). In short mistakes repeated over and over...








A reminder: * COVID is airborne. * Herd immunity did not happen. * Omicron was not mild. * Kids do get sick. * Transmission does occur in schools. * Each variant is not milder. * No wave has been an exit wave. Minimizers have been wrong about every single one of those things..🦠

DJ, dogmatic incompetence..."healthcare for profit" ...Simply ignoring the need for good public health as a basic for a good economy...Again-the pandemic problem IS a political one...

[url]https://twitter.com/rquiroga777/status/1580279795069648897/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/rquiroga777/status/1580279795069648897/photo/1 "Level 4, 5, 6"....UK proberbly level 6 is very good in evading immunity...BQ.1.1, XBB...and increasing (a.o. in the UK)

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data just under 3 million UK cases...I expected the UK to get over 3 million cases...well they may cross that today...again...

Global daily reported CoViD cases last days between 500,000 and 600,000 per day...Most of them in Europe. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table (Europe cases +11%, deaths +0,1%)

US [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ may see very major under reporting of CoViD cases...CDC switching to once-a-week updates...bizarre...

Great analysis by  fitting UK data with the levels defined above It looks like level 6 (BQ.1.1 and XBB) is set to become dominant in the UK around the beginning of November.

DJ, As far as I understand often people may catch a "mix of variants" with-likely-one of the variants "dominant". Lots of countries now report a "soup" of variant-spread..."level 6" -for now-may be best in evading immunity protection...

Polio,

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/11/poli...cials-say.html

Poliovirus found in Brooklyn and Queens sewage, New York health officials say
Published Tue, Oct 11 20221:42 PM EDTUpdated Tue, Oct 11 20222:10 PM EDT
Spencer Kimball

Key Points

The sewage sample in Brooklyn and Queens that tested positive is genetically linked to the virus that paralyzed an unvaccinated adult in Rockland County over the summer.
New York Gov. Kathy Hochul has extended the state of emergency declared in response to the spread of poliovirus in an effort to boost vaccination rates.
A total of 70 sewage samples have tested positive for poliovirus in the New York City metropolitan area so far, according to New York state health officials...

DJ new detections-around the globe-(so far I did see news on Polio from the US, UK, NL, Israel but very likely lots of other countries may see them...) likely may go up. However "risk" for now seems limited. Afghanistan, Pakistan still use "live-virus-polio-vaccines" - travellers from there may spread the virus at a very low level...

Flu...I have to look further for H3N@ and H1N1 most seasonal spread...Avian-flu cases going up in autumn/fall...

End of part 1

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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part 2, 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/11/covid-19-alert-level-increases-infections-grow-24-hospital-total-6-month-high[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/11/covid-19-alert-level-increases-infections-grow-24-hospital-total-6-month-high ;

Coronavirus infections diagnosed in the Netherlands jumped to their highest point in 11 weeks, and waste water surveillance suggested the new wave of infections will continue to worsen, the RIVM said on Tuesday. Hospital patients who tested positive for the virus also reached the highest level in almost six months. With the situation deteriorating, the RIVM recommended that the government issue a stricter coronavirus warning level.

The RIVM suggested moving the Coronavirus Thermometer from Level 1 to Level 2. This indicates, "Limited pressure on the healthcare system and society, but increasedrisks for vulnerable groups can be expected." The first level indicates little impact from the pandemic. Level 3 indicates a high impact on society, while the most severe Level 4 is to be used when the healthcare sector and society is under intense pressure, with the burden "noticeable to everyone."


Health Minister Ernst Kuipers complied with the RIVM's recommendation soon after the report was released on Tuesday afternoon. "The infections are continuing to increase.," he wrote on Twitter. He asked that people continue to wash their hands frequently, cough or sneeze into an elbow, stay home if symptomatic, and test for the coronavirus when exhibiting Covid-19 symptoms. "For the vulnerable: get the repeat jab to maintain your protection."

No new restrictions on society were announced with the change.


Coronavirus infections increasing fast

Some 23,693 people tested positive for the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus during the seven-day period that ended on Tuesday morning, the RIVM said. That was an increase of 24 percent in a week, which pushed the figure to its highest point since the week ending 26 July. "The increase is visible everywhere. In nursing homes, the number of residents with a positive coronavirus test rose by 23% last week," the health institute stated.

The total number of known infections has doubled in two weeks, and has tripled compared to five weeks ago. Weekly infections have been on the rise consistently since the start of September. The basic reproduction (R) value remained at a high 1.13 on 27 September, indicating that 100 people contagious with the coronavirus passed it on to 113 others, who then infected another 128.

The number of infections does not necessarily paint a clear picture, as the government stopped telling people to confirm a positive self-test with an official test at the GGD health centers. Another indicator of the situation is sewage surveillance. Results of this take a week to process. For the calendar week ending on 2 October, the number of coronavirus particles rose by 75 percent compared to the previous week. The national average continued to rise during the first full week of October.

Waste water analysis showed that the BA.5 Omicron sub variant remained the most common, and BA.4 was becoming more common. Specifically, the RIVM said that, "BA.2.75 and BA.4.6 are currently slowly increasing their share in germ surveillance. Both BA.4.6 and BA 2.75, as some sub-variants of BA.5, appear to be able to more easily evade the built-up defense against SARS-CoV-2 (by vaccination or infection) due to small specific changes in the spike protein."

The number of deaths linked to Covid-19 which were reported to the RIVM nearly doubled from 20 to 39 in a week. There is no obligation to report the deaths to the RIVM.

Hospital patient total continues to rise

Meanwhile, hospitals in the Netherlands were treating 1,160 patients on Tuesday who were infected with the coronavirus, the most since 19 April. That figure increased by a third in one week. The patient total in intensive care rose from 33 to 47, while the regular care wards so their figures swell from 840 to 1,113.

The LCPS, which monitors hospital crowding and available healthcare resources, said an average of 156 people with the coronavirus infection entered hospital care each of the past seven days. That includes nine sent directly to intensive care. Patient admissions rose by about 14 percent combined, with ICU admissions nearly doubling in a week. Those averages include 172 new admissions just since Monday afternoon, of whom 15 were admitted to intensive care.

Figures from the LCPS include all hospital patients who test positive for the coronavirus, regardless of the severity of their symptoms. Each patient needs to be isolated from others, which puts a strain on hospital capacity. By contrast, data from intensive care monitor NICE, used by the RIVM, more specifically focuses on those being treated for Covid-19 symptoms.

The RIVM reported that 693 people with Covid-19 were admitted by hospitals from Monday through Sunday. That was also a substantial 24 percent compared to a week earlier. ICU admissions rose from 38 to 41 during the last calendar week.

One year ago, hospitals were treating just under 500 people infected with the coronavirus. That total more than quadrupled by mid-November, peaking at over 2,800 in early December, noted newswire ANP

DJ..NL hospitals expect energy costs to increase this year 43%, in 2023 175% compared to 2021 and hope government is willing to compensate for the extra costs...(DJ-Since staff is another major cost high energy bills could result in less HCW-ers...even with healthcare demand increasing a.o. due to "Long/Chronic CoViD"...). 

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/category/corona/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/category/corona/ more on the Dutch corona-crisis...

Germany

[url]https://www.dw.com/en/new-german-covid-19-rules-come-into-force-as-infections-rise-in-colder-months/a-63305695[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/new-german-covid-19-rules-come-into-force-as-infections-rise-in-colder-months/a-63305695 (link to [url]https://www.dw.com/en/covid-german-cabinet-signs-off-on-rules-for-autumn-and-winter/a-62909823[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/covid-german-cabinet-signs-off-on-rules-for-autumn-and-winter/a-62909823 new rules per october 1).

DJ [url]https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/COVID-19-Trends/COVID-19-Trends.html?nn=2386228[/url] or https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/COVID-19-Trends/COVID-19-Trends.html?nn=2386228 is NOT the way to communicate...

Nasal vaccines;

"Attempts by Oxford University researchers and AstraZeneca Plc to create a nasal-spray version of their jointly developed #COVID19 shot suffered a setback on Tuesday as initial testing on humans did not yield the desired protection."

-

"An antibody response in the respiratory mucous membranes was seen in only a minority of participants in the trial, which was in the first of usually three phases of clinical testing, the University of Oxford said in a statement on Tuesday."

DJ, link in the tweet...It looks like India, China may make progress in nasal/oral vaccines...however protectionism..."economy/profits above public health" only will see US/western vaccines in "the west"...even if better vaccines are available...








Healthy 14-year old dies suddenly after fever and vomiting in Italy. Triple vaccinated. The journalist writes "She also had Covid19" but actually she had nothing else, from what is known. Is it difficult to accept this can kill and you let it spread?

DJ Symptoms indicate possibly infection with one of the new CoViD variants going for the Gastro-Intestinal route often without major respitory symptoms...


NOT BENIGN—"It's messing with our brains”—#COVID increases â¬†ï¸risk of 44 neurological disorders, including Alzheimer's, 1 year post-infection—says , as well as tremors, strokes, encephalitis & more. #LongCovid is real.    https://wbur.org/hereandnow/2022/10/10/covid-neuro-disorders-alzheimers

DJ, when you look at the Long CoViD numbers; 30 million in the US...in the UK over half a million have two-year+ health issues, 3,5% of the UK population now dealing with "LC"...


Confusion...

I can confirm this, unfortunately. For instance, out of 176 samples from week 40, Singapore has 86 or 87 XBB (almost 50%), when searching by mutations or running the  download through @Nextclade.  calls them all BA.2.10 and those from week 39 BA.2! >>>

-

Raj Rajnarayanan

@RajlabN
·
None of the recently designated lineages feature is @GISAID yet especially the high flyers like XBB, BA.2.3.20, BM.1.1.1 & BQ*. GISAID Probably awaiting new @PangoNetwork release? Most of us are using #Nextclade or Usher to make appropriate lineage calls. 1/n

-

XBB is actually a BJ.1/BM.1.1.1 recombinant, while BJ.1=BA.2.10.1.1 and BM.1.1.1=BA.2.75.3.1.1.1. BA.2.3.20 are called BA.2 or BA.2.3 by @GISAID/Pangolin while BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 are both called BE.1.1 or unassigned. This influences reporting by many countries that use Pangolin!

DJ...different reporting data bases, names...even the best experts are "only human" doing the best they can...However yet another warning for a VERY MAJOR CRISIS !!!!!

End of part 2

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 11 2022 at 10:47pm

DJ, 

The NATO provoked war escalating further is increasing the number of Ukraine refugees to western/central Europe. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table with Europe allready in a major new CoViD wave...cases +18%...all other regions in the world still claim cases numbers going down. However in Asia China cases now +92% (with very low numbers) Hong Kong cases +19%, Taiwan +3%, Singapore cases +70%...

Asia is -in worldometers- presented as one region however it has a higher population then all the other regions put together...

Limited testing, reporting often just once a week makes statistics even "limited indicators"...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data indicating today the UK will go over 3 million active cases...on a population of 68,5 million.Early april and mid-July the UK-ZOE calculated peaks of over 4,5 million active UK cases...It did take around three weeks then to get from 3 million to over 4,5 million cases...so the UK may be over 4,5 million cases again early november...

Ebola

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/ebola/uganda-reports-seven-more-deaths-from-ebola-new-figures-at-odds-with-who/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/ebola/uganda-reports-seven-more-deaths-from-ebola-new-figures-at-odds-with-who/ ;

Update 5 – 11th October 2022 – Ebola screening measures tightened at Entebbe Airport

All departing and arriving passengers through Entebbe International Airport are currently being screened using modern thermo scanners to detect their temperature levels and also look out for any possible signs and symptoms of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD).

-

Update 6 – 11th October 2022 – Ebola confirmed in Kampala, capital city of Uganda 

DJ, The WHO and Uganda report different numbers of cases/deaths. South Sudan also reporting cases/deaths. See also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Uganda_Ebola_outbreak and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ebola_outbreaks[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ebola_outbreaks 

Zero-CoViD/China

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/china-gives-cclearest-sign-yet-it-will-stick-covid-zero-strategy[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/china-gives-cclearest-sign-yet-it-will-stick-covid-zero-strategyPeople’s Daily, urged the country to stick with its zero-Covid strategy, "dampening hopes that controls would ease after a pivotal political meeting this month." The commentary was the clearest sign yet, according to the SCMP editor, that the party is determined to continue with the stringent zero-Covid approach after its twice-a-decade national congress, which starts this Sunday. On Monday, the newspaper called for confidence and patience with the zero-Covid strategy, which aims to cut all virus transmission chains.

DJ, western companies push for an end of Zero CoViD strategy for profit reasons...With a fourth 2022 CoViD wave starting in Europe, parts of the US China did manage to keep CoViD numbers very limited...investing billions in containment.

US








U.S. COVID update: - New cases: 31,502 - Average: 40,746 (-1,236) - In hospital: 26,324 (+582) - In ICU: 3,113 (+102) - New deaths: 243 - Average: 437 (-1)



WasteWater analytics from   Wastewater SARSCoV2 content from Northeast USA is stuck on a high plateau!

DJ see also [url]https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard[/url] or https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard North America may see regional increase of cases (NE-US, Eastern Canada) but trend is cases increasing.

MPX [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory more october updates...however testing/reporting may not be very realistic.

End of part 1

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 11 2022 at 12:21am

https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/part 2, 

With another-very likely severe-CoViD winterwave coming [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-and-long-covid-researchers-in-a-dilemma-as-fundings-for-such-research-has-been-cut-or-reduced-drastically-in-many-countries[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-and-long-covid-researchers-in-a-dilemma-as-fundings-for-such-research-has-been-cut-or-reduced-drastically-in-many-countries it is "criminal" governments/politics de-funded science on (Long) CoViD...

DJ-Again-like in climate "change"/collapse it looks like "politics is for sale" NOT serving public interests/health but working for a very small elite...

If there is NO waning of protection vs. severe #COVID & severity EQUALS (=) novelty thanks to T cells, I would love to hear why is there such a huge booster benefit of 79.1% relative risk reduction against #SARSCoV2–related death after 3- vs. 2-doses. https://acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M22-1856

DJ...Is there such a thing as "Long" CoViD or "Chronic CoViD" or do we need simply better definitions of CoViD ? It is -often-NOT over after just 4 weeks...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/ 

EuroMOMO pooled estimates show an elevated level of excess mortality

This week’s overall pooled EuroMOMO estimates of all-cause mortality for the participating European countries show elevated excess mortality.

Spain is again included in the pooled EuroMOMO data this week 39/2022, after an adjusting process related to mortality data sources. This adjustment imply a change in the deaths numbers for Spain, compared with those before week 39/2022, and therefore the pooled mortality has changed as well.

Data from 25 European countries or subnational regions were included in this week’s pooled analysis of all-cause mortality.

Image

Note on interpretation of data: The number of deaths shown for the three most recent weeks should be interpreted with caution, as adjustments for delayed registrations may be imprecise. Furthermore, results of pooled analyses may vary depending on countries included in the weekly analyses. Pooled analyses are adjusted for variation between the included countries and for differences in the local delay in reporting

Note on observed excess mortality in the age group 0-14 years during 2021-2022

Since mid-2021, some unusual excess mortality signals have been observed in the age group of 0-14 years. EuroMOMO is looking into the possible explanation for these signals, in consultation with participating countries in the network.

From a methodological perspective, it is important to note that the mortality baseline applied currently in the EuroMOMO excess mortality algorithm does not include any mortality data from 2020, 2021 or 2022, which will be affected by varying excess mortality associated with the overall impact of the COVID-19 pandemic including varying restrictions, which could bias the “normal” level of mortality.

Furthermore, it should again be stressed that EuroMOMO does not collect any data beyond mortality data to answer questions about causality in observed mortality signals. Therefore, EuroMOMO’s outputs should not, in any way, be cited as “evidence” for any underlying causes of unusual mortality patterns.

Note about data from Ukraine

The EuroMOMO hub regrets to inform that weekly data from Ukraine will not be provided in the coming period, due to the current war in Ukraine.

and [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ DJ; Excess deaths for age groups under 45 now higher then seen in the last 5 years...maybe a lower vaccination rate for CoViD may explain that...For the age-group 0-14 y/o excess deaths is "very high"...maybe CoViD kills them more slowly...(heatwaves will not create such high numbers in that age group). For 65+ agegroup excess deaths somewhat higher then previous years...very likely due lots of factors, heatwaves, diseases...In that age group most high risks may have died earlier in the pandemic. 








Germany is currently experiencing its fastest rate of COVID ICU admissions in the last year... faster than last winter's surge. There are a lot of "pro-spread" evangelists/trolls... don't listen to them, look at the data — it speaks for itself. Get ready for this fall/winter.

DJ...From NLTimes;

Hospitals in the Netherlands were treating 1,126 people with Covid-19 on Monday, the highest total since 20 July. The total rose by 164 since Friday, a 17 percent increase. The weekend increase was the highest since mid-March.

News outlet ANP noted that a year ago there were fewer than 500 patients in care for Covid-19. About a month later, the total soared above 2,000. 

we are at the start of a winterwave...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany/ Germany ended up with over 200,000 daily cases late january 2022, to over 300,000 new daily cases early march this year...The latest number of daily cases is close to 175,000...so a doubling of that number in one month could bring Germany to 350,000-400,000 new daily cases mid november...

At the moment there are limited CoViD-rules in Germany (masks mandated going against German law...). Germany now also housing millions of refugees often with less vaccinations and not the best health...Low excess deaths (like in NL, Spain) 2-4% above the long term normal...








BREAKING🔔 The 14th paper from G2P-Japan🇯🇵 is out at Cell Host & Microbe #Omicron BA.2.75 (aka #Centaurus) seems to be more contagious than BA.5 and more pathogenic than the original BA.2. Please RT. 1/16

link;[url]https://www.cell.com/cell-host-microbe/fulltext/S1931-3128(22)00516-9?dgcid=raven_jbs_aip_email#relatedArticles[/url] or https://www.cell.com/cell-host-microbe/fulltext/S1931-3128(22)00516-9?dgcid=raven_jbs_aip_email#relatedArticles ;

Highlights

  • â—
    BA.2.75 is more transmissible than BA.5
  • â—
    Immunogenicity of BA.2.75 spike is different from that of BA.2 and BA.5
  • â—
    Compared to BA.2, BA.2.75 exhibits higher affinity to ACE2 and greater fusogenicity
  • â—
    In infected hamsters, BA.2.75 exhibits greater pathogenicity than BA.2

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2.75 variant emerged in May 2022. BA.2.75 is a BA.2 descendant but is phylogenetically distinct from BA.5, the currently predominant BA.2 descendant. Here, we show that BA.2.75 has a greater effective reproduction number and different immunogenicity profile than BA.5. We determined the sensitivity of BA.2.75 to vaccinee and convalescent sera as well as a panel of clinically available antiviral drugs and antibodies. Antiviral drugs largely retained potency but antibody sensitivity varied depending on several key BA.2.75-specific substitutions. The BA.2.75 spike exhibited a profoundly higher affinity for its human receptor, ACE2. Additionally, the fusogenicity, growth efficiency in human alveolar epithelial cells, and intrinsic pathogenicity in hamsters of BA.2.75 were greater than those of BA.2. Our multilevel investigations suggest that BA.2.75 acquired virological properties independent of BA.5, and the potential risk of BA.2.75 to global health is greater than that of BA.5.

DJ...governments downplaying risks of new variants, de-funding science on CoViD are a danger to the public...

Ebola...


Since CDC is not doing what is needed to prevent Ebola from coming to the US, it is realistically saying we have to be prepared for it being in the US.

and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/ebola/uganda-reports-seven-more-deaths-from-ebola-new-figures-at-odds-with-who/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/health/ebola/uganda-reports-seven-more-deaths-from-ebola-new-figures-at-odds-with-who/ ;

Uganda’s Ministry of Health has reported that seven more people have died of Ebola in the past few days, bring their running total to 17.

With the WHO’s recent warning that Ebola could spread internationally, we hope that these conflicting reports don’t mean that the true scale of the outbreak in Uganda is being suppressed. After the catastrophic failure to prevent and contain the international spread of SARS-CoV-2, covering up the spread of Ebola would be a mistake of truly monumental proportions.

DJ WHO has higher number of Ugand Ebola-deaths then the Uganda.gov is admitting...Again-false reporting (ebola deaths "dying with not from Ebola...that kind of games...maybe all those dying above 35 "die from old age"...). South Sudan has also reported Ebola cases/deaths...

There are risks for further spread in Central Africa...and via air travel to other regions of the world. (Haïti -French speaking more at risk ? Belgium, France have lots of travel-links to former colonies...UK-once had good relations with Uganda (idi amin once in the UK East Africa colonial army...) 

MPX

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory countries continue in NOT reporting new MPX cases...

DJ-The way governments now deal with global public health-again-is criminal...With also (bird)flu on the rise we need other politics...

End of part 2

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DJ, 

a look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table ...statistics are bad-however the level of bad reporting may not have changed...so maybe trends can give some indications;

Global cases +0,3%, deaths -15%...first in a longer time cases worldwide in a "+"...

Europe cases/c +17% deaths/d +2%...German cases +113%, deaths +34%...

Asia c-10%, d-12% ...Singapore cases +70%, deaths +43% XBB-Omicron main driver

Africa c-33%, d-22% South Africa...spring cases +23%, deaths -44%

North America c-40% d-37%

South America c-14% d-1%

Oceania c-18% d-49%

So it is only Europe pushing global cases in the "+"...with Germany as a main push-factor...

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data calculates new UK cases on oct.9 at 237,974 Total active UK CoViD cases 2,861,191 (UK.gov simply is providing incorrect numbers). 

Here in NL [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/10/covid-hospital-patient-total-near-12-week-high-1126-care[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/10/covid-hospital-patient-total-near-12-week-high-1126-care ;

Hospitals in the Netherlands were treating 1,126 people with Covid-19 on Monday, the highest total since 20 July. The total rose by 164 since Friday, a 17 percent increase. The weekend increase was the highest since mid-March.

News outlet ANP noted that a year ago there were fewer than 500 patients in care for Covid-19. About a month later, the total soared above 2,000. The patient coordination office, LCPS, stopped updating figures over the weekend in April as the coronavirus situation was steadily improving. However, late last month the RIVM pointed out that the Netherlands is at the start of a new wave of infections.


Dutch hospitals were treating 34 percent more patients infected with coronavirus compared to last Monday. The current patient total includes 47 people in intensive care, up from 44 a week earlier. Regular care wards were treating 1,079, a weekly increase of 281.

Hospitals admitted an average of 152 patients with the disease each of the past seven days, including seven sent directly to intensive care. That figure has gone up by 20 percent in a week. Just in the past 24 hours, hospitals took on 171 new patients with Covid-19. Nine of them were sent to an ICU.


The LCPS monitors crowding at hospitals and how it affects the care hospitals can provide. It counts all patients who test positive for the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, whether they are symptomatic or not, as they need to be quarantined. By keeping them in isolation, hospital resources become more strained

Another link;[url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/ NL R0 at 1,28 positive tests +55% number of tests +47% wastewater/sewage +24% BA.4.6 and BA.2.75both increasing. NL.gov claim "not more sickening then other Omicron variants"

DJ-Governments, politics did make this pandemic a global disaster. By not providing further good info, downplaying risks on new variants (better in evading immunity, giving health issies at G.I. more then respitory) "politics" is the major problem in this pandemic.

The US, UK, NL would be "best prepared for a pandemic" was a claim in 2019...All three countries have been providing incorrect numbers, not in time info..."saving the economy"...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/how-did-japan-achieve-a-low-covid-19-mortality-rate-by-lying-and-hiding-facts-data-emerges-that-it-has-among-the-highest-excess-mortality-rates[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/how-did-japan-achieve-a-low-covid-19-mortality-rate-by-lying-and-hiding-facts-data-emerges-that-it-has-among-the-highest-excess-mortality-rates 

DJ-Governments, politics playing with numbers...delaying reporting deaths so "to keep excess deaths" low...manipulating liars...The TMN has further links...

Western governments "create economic growth" by printing money, creating credits...central banks buying shares, state bonds...in that way keeping other countries poor-because trade has to be made in western currencies...In climate change "celebrating a reduction in growth of CO2 emissions" may describe the PR-empty western political elite...starting war after war to keep "western "civilization" dominant"...at the cost of others...

In "the west"and "the rest" it is the poor that pay the highest price...in most countries vaccinations have a link with income...even if government pay for vaccinations. The poor end up in higher risk jobs, living in lower quality -more urban-housing... Life expectency may be dropping much faster for the poor-while for some rich it may be still increasing...

This pandemic is making the poor even more poor, getting the rich even more rich and there will be a direct link between increase of social unrest, inequality, and the "way" governments "use"this pandemic...

End of part 1

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part 3, 

When you look at "pandemic background" climate change, refugees, transport are factors...

We now have over 100 million people trying to find a safe place...most of then try to escape climate disasters, (drug)wars...some seek a place for religious, political etc. freedoms they not have in their "own" country. Refugees are related to disease spread...less wars, better politics have to reduce this-record-number of refugees...

Most of global travel however is NOT by refugees...even with the present pandemics airtravel is "at pre-pandemic level"...in my view simply insane...You can NOT fight pandemics, climate change without very major reduction of airtravel...STOP THE SPREAD ! 

When I look at my "own region" I notice more spending cuts on public transport...an increase in car-use..we now have over 9 million cars in NL-on a population of less then 18 million...absurd!

Both air travel and car use indicate the "fight against climate change" -in transport-is most empty words...political bla-bla...

However in a radius of 10 miles, 16 kilometers-in the last 10 years I did see 17 windturbines being constructed...another 3 are on their way...NL is planning very large "wind parks" in the Northsea.."Solar-parks" also are going high speed...certainly with high energy prices "renewables" limit energy costs...

Yes-windturbines kill birds...however cats kill more birds...We have solar-parks with fruit growing under it...or chicken, sheep, goats dealing with grass...

In transport there are more investments in bike-paths...however an aging population, population growth, still also means increase of cars...

Most of NL population growth is related to immigration...NL has a problem in "free childcare"[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/09/cabinet-starts-designing-new-childcare-system-replace-allowances[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/09/cabinet-starts-designing-new-childcare-system-replace-allowances ...the better educated the lower the number of children...some statistics indicate...

NL is the second largest-after the US-agri-culture exporter in the world (including flowers...), the fifth largest food-exporter...we have more pigs, cows, chicken, sheep then people...of course that is a major health risk...Plans to reduce meat production-to reduce nitrogen-see lots of farmer protests...However consumers may decrease meat, dairy consumption...meat-replacements, soja/oat-milk/drink are growing markets...tax rules could increase those "Earth-friendly" products...

Of course NL is a very tiny player in the global picture...but my main point is "things are changing"...if it is fast enough, good enough time will tell...NL inflation over 17% is forcing people to make choices...

Some twitter;

Now that #LongCOVID is too widespread to be ignored or negated & after it became clear that age, vaccination, hybrid immunity, 100% seroprevalence, or 200% infections per person do not guarantee 100% one will not develop LC, minimizers are going for genetic predetermination.

DJ...If we would have had 3 billion CoViD cases and "only" 10% would see Long/chronic CoViD you end up with 300 million global coViD cases...In NL 2% of the population now is seeing "Long CoViD"...2% of 8 billion global population would still end up at 160 million people...The UK has 3,5% of its population with "L.C."-translating to (3,5x80 million ) 280 million...

Long/Chronic CoViD is a major global problem...around 300 million cases is a low estimate with this pandemic only ongoing and getting worse...Will we enter 2024 with 600 million-1 billion "Long CoViD" cases ???? What kind of world would that be...? 

"Saving the economy" has been an excuse for stupid inaction...on the long run it is destroying the economy...

So, why this insistence on genetic predisposition? Because otherwise, people might ask why don't we do something to prevent the gamble of non-stop (re)infections. This postpones dealing with #LongCovid by promising it will die out on its own once those destined to get it, get it.

More "science-for-sale" nonsense is making matters only worse...

"Something it seems our government doesn't want to talk about" "[many]..are having trouble just doing day to day things...I know this because I am living it" Long COVID believed to be impacting 30 million Americans

link; [url]https://www.newsnationnow.com/cuomo-show/long-covid-believed-to-be-impacting-30-million-americans/[/url] or https://www.newsnationnow.com/cuomo-show/long-covid-believed-to-be-impacting-30-million-americans/ (not working in the EU)

DJ ...There are 335 million US citizens...so almost 10% !!!! now seeing long term healthissues...(Translating 10% to 8 billion global population would mean 800 million people in serious health problems...crazy numbers...totally unacceptable !). 








The people that wear good masks in public, despite the immense pressure not to, are the true heroes of our time.

Maybe masks as a statement...NO !!! The pandemic is NOT over !!!








"If there's one thing we've learned .. it's that viruses are world travelers — and disease outbreaks are developing at a fast and furious pace... your response needs to move faster than the virus. So we cannot wait. Why Ebola in Uganda matters to you

link; [url]https://www.msn.com/en-ca/health/other/why-the-ebola-outbreak-in-uganda-matters-to-you/ar-AA12L0bE[/url] or https://www.msn.com/en-ca/health/other/why-the-ebola-outbreak-in-uganda-matters-to-you/ar-AA12L0bE 

DJ-We live in a "global village"...even with good testing, limiting airtravel to 5% of pre-pandemic level we will be in major problems for years...

David R Tomlinson ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ðŸ’™

@DRTomlinsonEP
·
☣︠STORY OF THE PANDEMIC ‘We can’t call it airborne because our hospitals won’t cope’ H/t @JonPloug 

DJ...insanity rules...

End of part 3

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2022 at 10:34pm

Part 2,

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/the-worlds-first-xbb-wave-begins-in-singapore/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/the-worlds-first-xbb-wave-begins-in-singapore/ and [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/xbb-and-three-other-sars-cov-2-strains-found-to-be-more-antibody-evasive-than-even-bq-1-1-and-ba-2-75-2/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/xbb-and-three-other-sars-cov-2-strains-found-to-be-more-antibody-evasive-than-even-bq-1-1-and-ba-2-75-2/  DJ Most of the world now is facing yet another wave of CoViD...in many places it will be wave four in 2022...Also in many places it is a "soup" of CoViD variants...still mutating to get around immunity even better...

[url]https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/27-Countries-Reported-Cholera-Outbreaks-Throughout-2022---WHO-20221007-0015.html[/url] or https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/27-Countries-Reported-Cholera-Outbreaks-Throughout-2022---WHO-20221007-0015.html 

[url]https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/us-will-start-screening-passengers-uganda-ebola-african-nation-dealing-rcna51108[/url] or https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/us-will-start-screening-passengers-uganda-ebola-african-nation-dealing-rcna51108 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory 

On top of H3N2 and a bit less H1N1 "human" flu there is also lots of H5N1 "bird flu" so far limited spread into "non-birds"....(but H5N6 etc. also needs monitoring)...Pigs have H3N2v -but it may stay limited...Polio has been detected-linked to using live virus in vaccines (in Afghanistan, Pakistan)...with some luck it may stay limited...

DJ-"Flu-Rona" a coinfection of a flu-type with corona-variants was limited last winter-I expect it to be more of a problem this winter...MPX is much more widespread...MonkeyPoX may have started in gay men...however spread via surface/aerosol makes it high risk...For that matter we may not face a "twin-demic" but a "tri-demic" ; three diseases at a pandemic stage...with HIV/AIDS also being around...immunity getting "weaker" after CoViD on a massive scale...(3 billion human CoViD cases so far...number of CoViD deaths between 17 and 27 million...excess deaths may go to 40 million...0,5% of the global population...Dying from not getting care in time, post-CoViD health issues..excess deaths also include people dying from heatwaves...Excess deaths can give an indication on "survival-bility" of these times...). 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-new-omicron-sublineages-do-not-discriminate-against-the-old-or-young,-healthy-or-the-immunocompromised,-jabbed-or-unjabbed-they-love-all[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/great-news-new-omicron-sublineages-do-not-discriminate-against-the-old-or-young,-healthy-or-the-immunocompromised,-jabbed-or-unjabbed-they-love-all the article has lots of links...

In short catching one variant of CoViD may not offer any protection against also catching other variants on top...In the early stages children had innate immunity protection...CoViD did get around that...Also some variants do NOT go for the respitory system, lungs...but gastro-intestal system...may even go for the heart...A pattern could be-first mild symptoms getting much worse high speed within a week...

We may face an avalanche of diseases...in part 1 I described lots of non-pharma ways to deal with it...The "old style" Non Pharma Interventions; masks, limiting contacts...may work still.

The main problem by now is "political denialism"...Politics, governments have to stop free global travel of diseases allover the planet...Their inaction is becoming criminal, genocidal...

Some of the major pandemics in (Europe's) past may have killed up to 50%+ of the population...Most of those surviving simply were lucky...diseases did not reach them...travel was limited...Some may have had "lucky DNA"...offering protection...

In 2022 massive disease and death not only are a major risk for nuclear/chemical plants...with over 50% of the population in urban area's food/water logistics are essential as well...

Pushing for more wars is irresponsible, inexcusable, criminal....we urgently need global mobilization and cooperation to "get out of trouble" if "we" want to survive...

End of part 2 (TMN is full of info on all kinds of CoViD variants...I give up following those "details"...the "big picture" is bad enough...). 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2022 at 9:59pm

DJ, 

A pandemic story-by definition- is complex. Immunity and medical (Pharma-vaccines, anti virals and Non Pharma; travel restrictions, masks, limiting contacts) interventions all play a role. 

I am not a medical export...know "a little" of history...past pandemics depended much more on immunity - people being protected for re-infection after a first infection and Non Pharma Interventions...(primitive) masks, travel restrictions are known from the several waves of the plague in Europe.  Since the plague also had a link with rats-and flees on rats-keeping rats out made some sense...Travel was very limited in those days...however armies on the move (often with families) were a source of spread...

So in the present CoViD pandemic what strategies did what ? 

-Lockdowns seem to have been quite succesfull in limiting the spread. China did go for "zero-CoViD" also

-going for massive testing...Some variants escape (part of the) testing...

-Isolating those testing positive also makes sense...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/latest-chinese-researchers-develop-new-face-mask-that-detects-and-identifies-type-of-respiratory-viruses-in-proximity-and-alerts-user[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/latest-chinese-researchers-develop-new-face-mask-that-detects-and-identifies-type-of-respiratory-viruses-in-proximity-and-alerts-user (TMN)

-Masks are supposed to keep the virus/disease out...N95, FFP-2, FFP-3 masks do a good job...The TMN-article is one a "clever mask" detecting diseases-also warning for them...masks protect mouth/nose...safety glasses protect the eyes...

-Hygiene, washing your hands, skin, getting "the disease" away from there should be basic...

-Ventilation is keeping the viral/"disease" load as limited as possible...

-And there are sensors detecting virus/bacteria in the air...however they only can detect it when it is already spreading...may limit spread...

The above are all-more or less-Non Pharma Interventions-NPI (well testing can be seen as Pharma Intervention...)...most of it "simple, basic stuff"...but even here "we fail"...STOP THE SPREAD !!!

Pharma Interventions;

-Vaccines

-Anti-virals

-Immune boosters (supplements, vitamin D3 etc)

(-testing)

The three above are all in massive use...Over 13 billion vaccines have been used...however most of the almost 8 billion people still did not get ANY vaccine...the "lucky ones" did get 3, 4 sometimes even 6 vaccines...However these vaccines -so far- are "non-sterilizing"...they limit disease but can not stop infection or spread...

One of the things that went very wrong is acting as if vaccines did stop the spread...that was a political decision...one of the bad outcomes was virusses did "select" mutations evading vaccine-created immunity...

DJ-One of the questions I have is did vaccines also speed up decreasing immunity after infection ? SARS-1 (2003) did see people having long term protection against reinfection...The first idea was SARS-2/CoViD-19 also would see limited number of reinfections...We soon enough (a.o. in Brazil Manaus) learned people could get reinfected after several months...before vaccines were introduced...new variants of CoViD -waning immunity did bring reinfections...

However non-sterilizing vaccines not used in combination with strong NPI (masks etc) may have made the immunity evasion, risks for re-infection far greater...

Anti virals used in CoViD patients sometimes resulted in the same outcome...Some anti-virals did NOT do an anti-viral job...only resulted in both profits for Big Pharma and more immune evasion...

Immune "boosters" may have "limited use"...in combination with NPI they may save lives...

DJ-I use this forum to make up my mind...When I ask myself the question of "what did Big Pharma bring"...yes vaccines may have saved millions of lives...no doubt some anti-virals can have saved tens-of-thousends of lives...but they also did bring us more immune evasion...

Again, we did see re-infections, limited immune evasion before vaccines showed up on a relevant scale...Brazil, Iran-studies (etc) may have seen lots of people getting infected 2 even 3 times before vaccines showed up...Lots of other countries simply had no means for even basic testing...

However the major problem may not be in the vaccines but in the vaccination strategy; dropping NPI for vaccinated was "unwise"...

And now ? 

-There is progress in finding better -sterilizing-vaccines. Nasal/oral (via nose or mouth) vaccines may offer much better protection not only against (severe) disease but also against infection/spread...

-Non Pharma Interventions; masks, limiting contacts, travel do work

-"High Tech" mask, early detection/testing also can limit spread...

-Wastewater/sewage sampling can detect lots of diseases in an early stage...if you can limit the area where the disease is spreading other steps (testing, isolating) can be limited to an area of spread...

-The basic in any crisis is information and trust...Regaining trust is based on honest info....

-A "legal right" to work/study from home can help...however a lot of the spread was in households with sometimes three, four generations...in overcrowded area's...So there creating more room, better housing (ventilation) is needed.

Can we still get out of these pandemics ? I would love that idea..."hopium" may have some use...mixed with realism...But we have to learn from the (recent) past...

"Economy"...

Saving the economy by NOT stopping diseases is foolish, short sighted and -in this phase- simply insane...In the UK 3,5% of the population has Long CoViD, in NL it is 2%...there is no clear definition for Long CoViD...some claim 4 weeks after testing still having symptoms is "Long CoViD"...others may go for symptoms after three months...In the UK more the 1 in 50 (England 1 in 40) now has CoViD symptoms...we are moving into a third winter-wave of CoViD...

The present strategy to "stop" CoViD only resulted in higher spread, major damage to both public health and the economy...Politicians, governments "blind" for these facts are "killing us"...

We can do better ! We deserve better !!!!

End of part 1


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 08 2022 at 11:47pm

part 3, 

After Singapore, Europe a look at the rest of the globe for how the pandemic is developing...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table numbers only as indication...Europe cases +2%...however some countries fail to report statistics...or do that only once, twice a week...So these statistics may be close to useless...

A lack of testing..in countries we-agressively-try to keep poor lack of tests...may result in French Guiana cases +9,900% ...0 last week, 99 this week...Panama +74,700% ...no cases reported last week, 747 this week...59 countries/regions report an increase of cases...Last week worldwide just over 3 million cases were reported, this week -7%, just under 3 million cases...

US cases would be -28%...Canada -10%, Mexico -14%...I think Canadian statistics "also give good indications/corrections" for US "statistics"....(But there are lots of statistics...I use worldometers as a basis...)

[url]https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2022/10/07/1127017062/early-signs-a-new-u-s-covid-surge-could-be-on-its-way[/url]  or https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2022/10/07/1127017062/early-signs-a-new-u-s-covid-surge-could-be-on-its-way ;

But infections and even hospitalizations have started rising in some of the same parts of New England, as well as some other northern areas, such as the Pacific Northwest, according to Dr. David Rubin, the director of the PolicyLab at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, which tracks the pandemic.

"We're seeing the northern rim of the country beginning to show some evidence of increasing transmission," Rubin says. "The winter resurgence is beginning."

DJ, later on in the article even some "indications for realism"...Mainstream media -often owned by "big industry"- have done a terrible job in this ongoing pandemic....








“Is it possible, despite everything we know, that we still underestimate COVID’s reach and danger?” Ya think? 

link; [url]https://fortune.com/2022/10/06/strokes-heart-attacks-sudden-death-america-long-term-risks-catching-covid-carolyn-barber/[/url] or https://fortune.com/2022/10/06/strokes-heart-attacks-sudden-death-america-long-term-risks-catching-covid-carolyn-barber/ ;

In a study that included patients from the initial wave of the pandemic, scientists from the University of Florida found that survivors of severe COVID-19 had two-and-a-half times the risk of dying in the year following illness compared to people who were never infected. Of note, nearly 80% of downstream deaths were not due to typical COVID complications like acute respiratory distress or cardiac causes.

“The results suggest that a severe impact of COVID-19 exists beyond the cost and suffering of the initial hospitalization,” says Arch Mainous, one of the study’s authors.

-

In a huge analysis of more than 30,000 vaccinated patients who had experienced COVID breakthrough infections (pre-Omicron), scientists found that six months later, even the vaccinated incurred a higher risk of death and debilitating long COVID symptoms involving multiple organs (the lungs, heart, kidney, brain, and others) when compared to controls without evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Even the fittest are not immune. Researchers have noted a troubling pattern of sudden cardiac death in athletes in the wake of the pandemic, owing possibly to COVID-related heart complications–myocarditis and pericarditis.

DJ...A lot of people in "top sports" are NOT that healthy...from weight-problems to exhaustion (of muscles), over-medication "athletes" are a health-risk-group...


#SARSCoV2 #Variants are collecting identical sets of concerning mutations (aka #Convergent #Evolution) Latest threat is from the recombinant lineage #XBB (BJ.1/BM.1.1.1), the most immune-evasive #COVID strain seen yet H/T  

DJ...allready high risk variants continu to pick up even more mutations...Governments are in denial...lifting restrictions...simply doing a very bad job...When you know there are very high risks diseases CoViD/SARS-2, MPX, H5N1-birdflu H3N2v-pig related and-as a government you do NOT stop the spread it at a certain point may become genocidal....

Because there are LOTS !!!!! of things governments SHOULD do-but fail !

-Communication on risks (but "politics is simply ignoring it...)

-Information is key...

-Limit travel to a minimum-with increased testing to stop spreading diseases worldwide

-Seek international cooperation...pandemics in history "have been very bad" -could "kill us all"...

-Masks, limiting contacts may be more effective then (fights over) vaccines...

-Vaccines for those that want them...

-work/study from home as a rule...groceries/shopping via internet (or phone)...

DJ, In the "pandemic triangle" ; Disease-transport-hosts transport is the "weak spot"; STOP THE SPREAD !!!!

Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing
·
The CDC of Switzerland has just reinstated mask wearing recommendations again due to soaring #COVID19 cases. When will other countries follow??? â° #BringBackMasks #N95 #MaskUp twitter.com/_mbdr_/status/…

lots of countries may follow-however by that time "cases" are going through the roof...to little-to late...

Prof. Christina Pagel ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦

@chrischirp
·
THREAD: On the @IndependentSage briefing today we had a whistlestop debunking tour through common Covid myths led by the fab @trishgreenhalgh ! Thread of each (timestamped to start at right place!)! 1. Covid is just a cold! (tackled by @SGriffin_Lab ) https://youtu.be/2fXwWF4KoG4?t=832

or [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2fXwWF4KoG4&t=832s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2fXwWF4KoG4&t=832s Independent SAGE...

End of part 3...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Part 2, Europe...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-germany-facing-critical-covid-19-crisis-as-sars-cov-2-infections,-hospitalizations-and-deaths-rises-average-of-more-than-170,000-daily-infec[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-germany-facing-critical-covid-19-crisis-as-sars-cov-2-infections,-hospitalizations-and-deaths-rises-average-of-more-than-170,000-daily-infec tions a.o. link to [url]https://cov-spectrum.org/collections/24?country=Germany[/url] or https://cov-spectrum.org/collections/24?country=Germany TMN claims "Mu" B.1.621 now also showing up again in Germany...newer variants first would give mild symptoms getting much worse after a few days...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Germany, Italy cases +30% ...worldometers also has a list of "cases per million over last 7 days"...Austria now reporting over 10,000 cases =1%+ of their population testing positive the last 7 days...

Italy [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-covid-infections-up-52-in-one-week/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/italy/italy-covid-infections-up-52-in-one-week/ ;

UPDATE 1 – 7th October 2022 – big increase in incidence rate, R rate now at 1.18

New leap in incidence and R rate.

The weekly incidence at national level rises to 441 per 100,000 inhabitants (30/09/2022 -06/10/2022) against 325 per 100,000 inhabitants last week (23/09/2022 -29 / 09/2022).

There was also a sharp increase in the transmissibility index Rt: in the period 14 September-27 September, the Rt was equal to 1.18 (range 0.98-1.52), an increase compared to the previous week (when it was equal to a 1) and above the epidemic threshold value.

Rt based on hospitalized cases is also increasing, at 1.28. This is highlighted by the weekly monitoring Iss-Ministry of Health.

Ansi.it report (in Italian)

DJ see also [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/europe-another-record-breaking-winter-wave-predicted/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/europe/europe-another-record-breaking-winter-wave-predicted/ ...Europe in general has (much) higher level of vaccinations/boosters...still new variants evade that protection...

Netherlands

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/dutch-covid-hospital-total-coronavirus-infections-doubled-2-weeks[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/dutch-covid-hospital-total-coronavirus-infections-doubled-2-weeks ; Hospitals in the Netherlands were treating 873 people infected with the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus on Tuesday afternoon, the highest total in two months. The figure increased by 38 percent in a week, and was more than double the total reported on 16 September. Any ambiguity about the arrival of the autumn coronavirus wave disappeared, with the disclosure that more than 19,000 new infections were recorded in the Netherlands, an increase of 55 percent in a week, and more than double the weekly total revealed on 20 September.

-

Known coronavirus infections jump by 55% in a week

The RIVM said that 19,031 people tested positive for the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus during the seven-day period ending on Tuesday morning. Some 12,269 tested positive the previous week, and 8,820 others were diagnosed with the infection the week before that. The current total stood was the highest reported by the RIVM in its weekly roundup since the week ending 2 August.

Ten months ago, the Dutch government stopped advising people to visit the GGD or a healthcare provider to confirm they are infected with the coronavirus after a positive result from a self-test kit. As a result, the number of infections recorded by the RIVM are likely far lower than the actual number of people infected. Even still, testing by the GGD health services rose by 47 percent with fewer than 3,300 people tested daily during the last calendar week.

Aside from the increase in infections, the RIVM's weekly panel survey found that the number of people with Covid-like symptoms rose from 4.6 percent to 6.0 percent. More coronavirus particles were also found in sewer water. During the 19-25 September calendar week, virus particles rose by 24 percent in national surveillance. The beginning of the following week showed a sharper 55 percent jump.

The basic reproduction (R) value rose significantly from 1.03 to 1.18. That means that 100 people contagious with the coronavirus on 13 September passed it on to 118 others. They then infected 139 individuals, who were expected to further infect 164 more.

The BA.5 coronavirus variant remained the most common found in germ surveillance. The RIVM noted the appearance of an increase in the BA4.6 and BA2.75 sub-variants, but said there was little changed from last week.

and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/05/healthcare-workers-health-deteriorated-20-last-year[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/05/healthcare-workers-health-deteriorated-20-last-year ;

Healthcare workers’ health deteriorated sharply last year, scoring nearly 20 percent lower than in 2020, according to ABN Amro’s annual Welfare Monitor. The other indicators measuring healthcare workers’ welfare also dropped, Het Financieele Dagblad reports.

The total well-being score of healthcare workers fell by 6 percent last year, according to the monitor. Work-life balance saw the sharpest decline at 23 percent, health dropped by 19 percent.

The development is reflected in the high absenteeism in the healthcare sector. Over 12 percent of workers were home sick for at least 20 days in 2021, partly due to the high workload and coronavirus infections.

-

the only way to break this spiral is to put the well-being of healthcare workers first. “We have to take care of the employees first, so to speak, and only then the patients.”

DJ...still lots of other jobs-with lower risk/higher pay push HCW-ers out of healthcare...from doctors to cleaners...

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/45-million-animals-culled-bird-flu-cases-year-4th-case-groningen-3-weeks[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2022/10/04/45-million-animals-culled-bird-flu-cases-year-4th-case-groningen-3-weeks often H5N1...Inflation at 17.1% record high...

UK

[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time october 7 had 2,733,548 UK citizens reporting symptoms (extra polation of self reporting symptoms)...early september the UK was under 1,5 million cases...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-health-authorities-and-agencies-deny-that-an-autumn-covid-19-surge-has-started-despite-more-than-224,316-new-infections-in-the-last-24-hours[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-health-authorities-and-agencies-deny-that-an-autumn-covid-19-surge-has-started-despite-more-than-224,316-new-infections-in-the-last-24-hours UK government simply deny yet another wave...is pushing for more wars....

DJ-My impression; I am NOT an expert but we are on our way to a very major global healthcrisis...Very likely much worse then the Spanish Flu...

-There is no immunity for reinfection after catching CoViD once...worse immunity against other diseases may be much weaker...

-On top of CoViD (now all named Omicron for over a year...eventhough they now are several Variants of Concern/High Consequence) MPX, (Bird)flu (etc) is spreading/co-infecting..

-Healthcare workers are on breaking point after more then two years doing the best they could..

-(Hyper)inflation may bring less money for healthcare...some western governments keep pushing for more wars...

-Climate change is getting worse high speed-resulting in more-new-pandemic risks on top of excisting ones...

DJ-STOP THE SPREAD of diseases...the incompetence of governments/politics for anything else then kicking cans down the road and create more fiat-money is destroying life on Earth...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, 

I hope to find news on talks to end/de-escalate wars...if I find such-welcome- info I put it in non-pandemic latest news.

Pandemic

Both [url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/the-worlds-first-xbb-wave-begins-in-singapore/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/omicron/xbb/the-worlds-first-xbb-wave-begins-in-singapore/

The world’s first wave of the recombinant SARS-CoV-2 variant XBB has apparently begun in Singapore.

Twitter is alight with posts claiming that the recombinant SARS-CoV-2 variant XBB is creating a new wave of infections in Singapore. We covered the latest research information on XBB here and here. One scientist said of the variant “XBB is currently the most antibody-evasive strain tested“. 

The new Covid wave in Singapore can be seen in the daily Covid-19 updates from the Ministry of Health, shown below.

and [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-singapore-is-under-attack-by-the-new-sars-cov-2-xbb-recombinant-variant-with-covid-19-infections-and-hospitalizations-rising-thailand-could-[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-singapore-is-under-attack-by-the-new-sars-cov-2-xbb-recombinant-variant-with-covid-19-infections-and-hospitalizations-rising-thailand-could- be next...

report Singapore is seeing a wave of recombinant XBB-CoViD. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table has Singapore cases at +69% with 6,233 new cases per million in the last 7 days...Taiwan has 13,504 new cases per million-last 7 days...Austria 10,519 per million, Germany 6,705...But with XBB being that evasive Singapore cases per million will further increase...

Tom Wenseelers confirms that the Singapore wave is being driven by XBB.

 

Josette Schoenmakers has commented that “As we see BQ.1(.1) rising and becoming substantial in Europe eg. and XBB to an even greater extent in Singapore and Bangladesh“.

DJ, hospital, ICU cases in Singapore also increasing...but XBB also detected in other countries/regions...

** We’ve been surprised that recombinant variants haven’t made more of an impact on the pandemic so far. That could be about to change…**

We will update this post as more information becomes available.

DJ, newer variants may infect on top of other CoViD variants...hospital spread is a problem...

Thailand Medical News mentions [url]https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/covid-19-vaccination-differentiated-measures-lifted-oct-10-dining-nightlife-events-2994596[/url] or https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/covid-19-vaccination-differentiated-measures-lifted-oct-10-dining-nightlife-events-2994596 CoViD restrictions being lifted to boost tourism...Mortuaries are overloaded...(the 10 deaths in last 7 days-worldometers-very likely fake...If you do not test for CoViD you will not find CoViD...). 

XBB is a recombination of [url]https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past6M/variants?nextcladePangoLineage=XBB*[/url] or https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past6M/variants?nextcladePangoLineage=XBB* BM.1.1.1. and BJ.1 ...BM.1.1.1 is a BA.2.75 sublineage. BJ.1 is BA.2.10.1.1...XBB may be as lethal as SARS-1 (DJ-SARS-1 was stopped in 2003 has limited spread, Hong Kong, Canada..[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-1[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-1 ;

In the SARS outbreak of 2003, about 9% of patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-1 infection died.[14] The mortality rate was much higher for those over 60 years old, with mortality rates approaching 50% for this subset of patients

DJ...A lot of high risk patients in the present SARS-2 pandemic (NOT OVER !!!) may already have died. However all kinds of newer variants are NOT stopped, possibly over 3 billion people (and lots of 9other) animals) did see CoViD infection earlier-this may have weakened their immune defenses...Healthcare and global "situation" are in a "very bad shape"...

[url]https://outbreak.info/?[/url] or https://outbreak.info/? does NOT have XBB...maybe under another name however outbreak now has "788 variants of Omicron"....

XBB goes for the gastro-intestinal route, causing a.o. sepsis...a killer...[url]https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1578759773146607617[/url] or https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1578759773146607617 ;

The start of Singapore's XBB variant wave Notable how this variant left BA.2.3.20 in the dust, a variant with substantial growth advantage over BA.5; variant graph by 

  XBB and BQ.1.1 are 2 of the most important variants on watch right now

DJ, BQ.1.1 is increasing a.o. in Europe...

End of part 1 (on XBB...)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 08 2022 at 1:44am

DJ, 


Without "pushing politics" I think this pandemic is "political"...an outcome of political failure to contain yet another problem...

Fiat-currency was "solved" by printing even more "money"...Quantitive Easing...creating "credits" ignoring a balance...If that would have resulted in more income-equality it would have been welcome...but in-equality, both in "the west" and globally only increased..."We" expect others to pay our bills...

In climate change "future generations" have to pay the bills...again "we" fail...

In my view the US now pushing for nuclear war is the outcome of (western) political faillures...the pandemic just "one of a long list"...

Because in the UK now 3,5% of the population would have "Long CoViD"...in NL that number is 2%...If you translate the 2% to the global population you end up at 160 million people dealing with "long CoViD" ...at least 4 weeks after testing positive still dealing with (major) healthissues...millions of them dealing with those issues over two years by now...often ending in poverty and isolation...

We are now moving into wave four of CoViD for 2022....with MPX-Monkeypox, flu (a.o. H3N2 but other flu-types need watching) also increasing...

Healthwise we are facing a global disaster..."saving the economy=profits"...however even that part is NOT working...

Here in NL 17,1% inflation (year-to-year per october) means energy, medication, food are getting a lot more expensive...people can pay less for healthinsurance...The price/value of houses is decreasing...putting more people in more financial stress...

Again-in my view-this pandemic is getting worse...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table (start january 2020 ?)

100 million cases per january 24-2021

200 million -august 2 2021

300 million-january 4 2022

400 million-february 7 2022

500 million-april 9 2022

600 million-august 19 2022

We are now over 626 million tested-reported cases...very likely get over 700 million cases in november ? Over 800 million cases per december...or will we "further decrease testing and reporting"....

The reported 6,560,000 CoViD deaths are just a fraction of excess deaths..., Some estimates put the real number of global cases at around 3 billion, "excess deaths" could be 0,5% of the global population...40 million...[url]https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates[/url] or https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates per september 21 putting the number of CoViD deaths between 16,1 million and 27,7 million...A big question is in countries "not good at reporting"...India may have had 5 million+ deaths [url]https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-60981318[/url] or https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-60981318 ; More than 4.7 million people in India - nearly 10 times higher than official records suggest - are thought to have died because of Covid-19, according to a new World Health Organization (WHO) report. India's government has rejected the figure, saying the methodology is flawed. Will we ever know how many Indians died in the pandemic?

May 5-2022 ...

One problem is a definition of "CoViD death"...lots of people die from a mix of old age, diseases etc. The NL real number of CoViD deaths may be twice the official NL number...people in care centers "all died from old age" simply were NOT included in CoViD statistics...Worldometers put NL deaths per million at 1,317...Belgium 2,804...Germany 1,795, Luxemburg at 1,759...France 2,370...The real number of NL CoVidD deaths per million very likely has to be 2,630 per million...But "we have another way of counting...other definition...". 

The UK at 2,787 deaths per million...US 3,249 (republicans a lot more then (vaccinated)democrats...)...Peru at 6,433 deaths per million in this statistic...India 376 deaths per million...(very likely 10x that number would be more realistic...) 

So-with yet another wave-very likely even worse then the 2021-22 winter wave-it would be very welcome if we had "a strategy".....

Politics fail...booster vaccines...There have been over 12 billion vaccinations still leaving most of the global population without ANY !!! vaccination...Those that could get vaccinated did get vaccinated sometimes up to 6 times....

The risk of dying from CoViD also is NOT equal...men die more then women...Women get more auto-immune/long CoViD issues...The more poor the higher the risk for dying from CoViD...Poverty very likely more an issue then age...with older ages over represented in CoViD deaths...however excess deaths increasingly see higher numbers for younger age groups...they do not die within the 4 weeks after a positive test and could end up being excluded from the CoViD-death definition...

Vaccines did see a reduction of cases and deaths...in part those vaccines itself may have had some effect against severe disease...another-major-aspect is mass vaccinations made CoViD a major point in social (limiting of) interaction...Mask, social distancing all had effects...It is up to statisticians, epidemiologists to calculate what intervention did give what result...

Another factor is "people only die once"...so high risk groups may have died from CoViD, heatwaves etc. in an early stage...bringing a reduction in CoViD deaths later on...

Healthcare now is exhausted, at breaking point...still bad politics-"privatizing the NHS in the UK" -manages to further destroy public healthcare...To much money went to "BiG Pharma" vaccines and anti-virals etc. with limited or even no effect...Some vaccines/anti-virals may have made matters worse...resulkting in variants that are better in evading immunity..

Still lots of money end up with shareholders of big pharma...while some healthcare workers get food coupons....

For that matter this pandemic stands for fundamental problems in the "western way"of living...if you do not change that you never get out of these crises...

End of part 1...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 07 2022 at 4:28am

DJ, 

Maybe this is not directly related to the total failure of strategies on the pandemic...[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-stella-assange-slaps-mustache-john-boltons-war-criminal-face[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-stella-assange-slaps-mustache-john-boltons-war-criminal-face ...but who is running "the west"? 

[url]https://twitter.com/ginnymooy?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor[/url] or https://twitter.com/ginnymooy?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor ...a Dutch twitter-lots of English links...repeating mistakes in disease contol over and over...








An estimated 2.3 million people – 3.5% of the UK population – had self-reported long COVID as of 3 September 2022.

-In NL over 360,000 long CoViD cases, 64,000 of them over two years...only ignored by government...








Astonishing isn't it that the age group that many scientists said early on was less likely to get infected has had more infections on average than any other age group. I wonder how those who put out this narrative- not just in the UK, but globally- square this with reality.

and

Prof. Christina Pagel ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦

@chrischirp
·
Those with the most number of infections are children aged 2 to 15 years. Enough infections to infect them ALL twice over and more. A few will be on zero infections, some on 1 but many will have had 3+ infections. Last groups to get vax & still lowest vaxed (esp 5-11yrs). 

DJ excess deaths in children is far above normal...but "politics" "discussing" who has to pay for ventilation...Masks do "mental harm"....

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/biden-warns-nuclear-armageddon-threat-back-first-time-cuban-missile-crisis[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/biden-warns-nuclear-armageddon-threat-back-first-time-cuban-missile-crisis "the nuclear option" because of western leaders totally failing in pandemics, climate change....








I got long COVID from Omicron, because I was triply vaccinated, public health told me it was mild, and I was convinced I was suffering professionally from lockdown. Turns out, in retrospect, my risk was 4%. I'm a statistician. 4% is a catastrophic risk, and I regret gambling.

Again...if we want to get out of this pandemic we need regime change in the west...The pandemic IS a political crime !

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-health-authorities-and-agencies-deny-that-an-autumn-covid-19-surge-has-started-despite-more-than-224,316-new-infections-in-the-last-24-hours[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/uk-health-authorities-and-agencies-deny-that-an-autumn-covid-19-surge-has-started-despite-more-than-224,316-new-infections-in-the-last-24-hours

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 06 2022 at 11:17pm

internet-link with this website sometimes is problematic...gets disconnected (while other links still work...)..

Maybe something on sources; There are official websites from the WHO, (E)CDC, ...I see them as "political"...public healthcare is not #1, economy is...Like the IPCC in climate change they may provide a lot of info...but translation to policies is "problematic"...[url]https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea[/url] or https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea or [url]https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/situation-updates/variants-dashboard[/url] - https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/situation-updates/variants-dashboard 

I do not have that much patience....

[url]https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/denmark-a-soup-of-120-covid-variants-sequenced-in-one-month/[/url] or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/variants/denmark-a-soup-of-120-covid-variants-sequenced-in-one-month/  

You may have heard the expression “a soup of Covid variants” recently..

Well, Denmark has just provided graphic evidence of that variant soup. It has just published a list of no less than 120 variants found circulating in the country in the last four weeks in its latest infection report.

BA.5* lineages still represent about 93% of current sequences in Denmark, but the other seven percent is an unholy cocktail of every variant we have ever heard of, and even some that we have not. 

-

In other news in Denmark, Covid cases are up, Covid hospitalizations are up, and Covid deaths are also up. Full report in English below, with a link to the Danish version.

DJ, I learned from these kinds of sites much more then from "official ones"..[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-numerous-studies-are-showing-that-mild-symptomatic-sars-cov-2-infections-can-lead-to-a-variety-of-cardiac-issues,-some-with-fatal-outcomes[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/warning-numerous-studies-are-showing-that-mild-symptomatic-sars-cov-2-infections-can-lead-to-a-variety-of-cardiac-issues,-some-with-fatal-outcomes with a study-link no doubt...

twitter;









Infuriating. The urge to cover up the pandemic is unstoppable.

and

BNO News

@BNOFeed
·
CDC ends daily reporting of COVID-19 cases and deaths, moves to weekly updates

DJ...statistics once had a value [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table but with testing, reporting this bad even as indicator may have lost its meaning...[url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time may provide more info...

DJ-I have a history background; [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thirty_Years%27_War#Human_and_financial_cost_of_the_war[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thirty_Years%27_War#Human_and_financial_cost_of_the_war ; (1618-1648) Based on local records, military action accounted for less than 3% of civilian deaths, with the major causes being starvation (12%), bubonic plague (64%), typhus (4%), and dysentery (5%).[157] Although regular outbreaks of disease were common for decades prior to 1618, the conflict greatly accelerated their spread, due to the influx of soldiers from foreign countries, the shifting locations of battle fronts and displacement of rural populations into already crowded cities.[158] This was not restricted to Germany; disease carried by French and Imperial soldiers allegedly sparked the 1629–1631 Italian plague, the "worst mortality crisis to affect Italy during the Early modern period",[159] leading to some 280,000 deaths, with higher estimates of around 1 million.[160] Poor harvests throughout the 1630s and repeated plundering of the same areas led to widespread famine; contemporaries record people eating grass, or too weak to accept alms, while instances of cannibalism were common.[161]

and a link to [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_plague_pandemic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_plague_pandemic ;

The second plague pandemic was a major series of epidemics of plague that started with the Black Death, which reached Europe in 1348 and killed up to half of the population of Eurasia in the next four years. Although the plague died out in most places, it became endemic and recurred regularly. A series of major epidemics occurred in the late 17th century, and the disease recurred in some places until the late 18th century or the early 19th century.[1][2] After this, a new strain of the bacterium gave rise to the third plague pandemic, which started in Asia around the mid-19th century.[3][4]

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_plague_pandemic#Recurrences[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_plague_pandemic#Recurrences describing other waves of "the plague" killing millions..."endemic"....

So where we are now ? 

Wars, economic crisis/collapse, climate crisis, public healthcare destroyed by insane politicians...and lots of diseases widespread and increasing...

Better public healthcare starting 150 years ago resulted in life expectency increasing from 40 to 70+ for most -a major part of it however related to better care for babies and children...

Life expectency is dropping in a lot of countries...CoViD is a major player in that (other reasons are heatwaves...Not "keeping people alive to the edge"-allowing them to die and save them years of suffering-is still a minor factor). 

Even the best healthcare has its limits...good healthcare needs good economics...it is all related. Greed based economics are NOT good economics...

DJ-I have to rethink my writing here on this forum...My goal was "to make my mind up" ...what should I do ? Get vaccines...my choice was "yes" but with some doubts...I am glad I only had to decide on it for myself...Limiting contacts is still a good point...masks in NL have been "problematic" from the start...

I think there is a lot of good, relevant info on the internet...twitter, flutrackers...I may look around-try to get other sources to "stop repeating myself"...

In latest-non pandemic news more on wars, storms, economy..

Maybe more later...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 05 2022 at 11:38pm

part 3..twitter;

Double Individual Speculator

@x2IndSpeculator
·
Mind you, 15% excess mortality for 1Q 2022 is ABOVE the WHOLE YEAR of 2020 (14.7%). How is that even possible if #Omicron is mild, and the vast majority of people had by then already built up immunity vs. #SARS2 (through vaccination and/or infection)?

fits in with what I tried to describe in part 2...








Holy smokes! This is maybe the most important paper I’ve read in 2022… We know that this #COVID virus is good at hiding from the immune system. Now we have a solid idea of how it scrambles our immunity signals: it messes with the chemical markers the body uses to turn on genes.

and


Eric Topol

@EricTopol
·
We knew about how #SARSCoV2 blocks our defenses by its mutations (immune escape) and inhibiting interferon. Now a new mechanism, mimicking a protein,  described @Nature  https://nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05282-z @PennEpiInst @KorbLab https://nature.com/articles/d41586-022-02930-2 @ProfVolkerThiel

DJ, less immune protection (after CoViD infection) may/seems to provide more room for other diseases...like [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory (updates/testing = poor) 

Also, the method confirms what labs already observed about the progression of severity (& syncytia) of Omicron, with BA.5 being worse than previous ones. Amazing. It would be great to see where new candidates like XBB & BQ.1.1 fall in here.

DJ...there was a trend for claims like "it will get milder" ...CoViD develop into a cold-like issue...[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-early-data-shows-that-new-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-bq-1-1-and-bm-1-1-attacks-the-endothelial-cells-of-the-gut-ferociously-and-causes-disease-s[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-early-data-shows-that-new-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-bq-1-1-and-bm-1-1-attacks-the-endothelial-cells-of-the-gut-ferociously-and-causes-disease-s suggests CoViD is becoming more of a killer-virus...

Herbert Simon stopped traveling in order to get more work done. And bonus: Avoid getting infected.  

and

Study: Holding fewer meetings could save $25K per employee, per year. Excessive meetings are draining employees' brains and employers' bank accounts https://beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-management-administration/holding-fewer-meetings-could-save-25k-per-employee-per-year-study.html

DJ...work/study from home would limit (urban) traffic, save a lot of traveltime and reduce these pandemics...One could try to calculate the cummulitive effects...do vaccines limit CoViD better then work/study from home for 50% of the work/study population ? Could masks, work/study from home, vaccines slow down/limit the winterwave to avoid a major disaster...? 

Information-communication on risks however is major !

Update: Sixty-three confirmed and probable cases have been reported in the Ebola outbreak in Uganda, including 29 deaths

link [url]https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-10-uganda-ebola-outbreak-death-toll.html[/url] or https://medicalxpress.com/news/2022-10-uganda-ebola-outbreak-death-toll.html ;

WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus lamented that the outbreak, declared two weeks ago, was taking a deadly toll on health workers as well as patients.

There are six species of the Ebolavirus genus and the one circulating in Uganda is the Sudan ebolavirus—for which there is currently no vaccine.

"So far, 63 confirmed and probable cases have been reported, including 29 deaths," Tedros told a press conference in Geneva.

"Ten health workers have been infected and four have died. Four people have recovered and are receiving follow-up care."

The east African nation's Health Minister Jane Ruth Aceng Ocero said that a 58-year-old anaesthetist had died of Ebola early Wednesday, following the deaths of a Tanzanian doctor, a health assistant and a midwife.

DJ [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/959915-media-south-sudan-sends-samples-of-suspected-ebola-cases-to-south-africa-for-testing-october-3-2022?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/959915-media-south-sudan-sends-samples-of-suspected-ebola-cases-to-south-africa-for-testing-october-3-2022?view=stream on possible spread into South Sudan...So far Ebola has been limited to Africa...only a few sporadic cases -travel links-outside Africa. 

More CoViD...








And then an interesting BA.2.75* x BJ.1 (which is itself a BA.2 sublineage - BA.2.10.1.1) recombinant - XBB. Fairly standard looking simple breakpoint recombinant (in spike) but growing faster than any other recombinant currently...

and








With so many immune escape variants, I'd love to see experiments with something like a quadrivalent BQ.1.1, XBB, BN.1, BA.2.3.20 vaccine. Maybe it's better to mix a couple of candidate variants than wait until we know which single one wins. Should not be too hard with mRNA tech.

DJ...end of part 3...may go for a part 4 with more from twitter/flutrackers etc...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 05 2022 at 10:45pm

part 2, 

In non-pandemic-latest-news I may write more on the global background...from storms, wars, economy, politics...

Again; the "disease triangle"= disease-transport-host..."

You have to know what the risks are from a disease, how it spreads to what hosts to develop a strategy...If "profits" become a major factor one may see a disasterous strategy...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-early-data-shows-that-new-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-bq-1-1-and-bm-1-1-attacks-the-endothelial-cells-of-the-gut-ferociously-and-causes-disease-s[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-early-data-shows-that-new-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-bq-1-1-and-bm-1-1-attacks-the-endothelial-cells-of-the-gut-ferociously-and-causes-disease-s everity

DJ...the story (with links in article) describes 14 patients developing major "gut-problems" ..no lung problems...9 out of the 14 have died so far...(3 of them from heart faillure..very likely linked to the virus spreading further). Known medication not effective...It is very early-but if this may become "the trend" for "newer CoViD variants" we have a very serious problem...

-One of the major problems we have to deal with is "lack of imagination" on how bad things can get...

I see a lot of similarity between how "politics" deals with climate change, fiat-currencies and the present pandemics..."kicking cans down the road", "buying time" (by printing more money) is NOT solving any problem...

-Fiat currency may mean the "real value" of Dollar, pound, Euro, Yen could be <1% of what "we" love to think it is...Part of the "major global economic powers" is bluff...western-fiat-currencies are "empty"...(there is the war-link...)

-Climate collapse-like a lot of things-goes exponential...not linear...so sealevel-rise may not go 1,2,3,4,5 cm but 1,2,4,8,16 cm. over time...

-A flu-pandemic may be "self limiting"...in the Spanish Flu the flu itself offered immunity against reinfection...with CoViD forget about "herd immunity"...you can catch CoViD variants over and over again...

So-for a more realistic view on the present CoViD pandemic-causing all kinds of other diseases to get out of control looking at the Spanish Flu (killing maybe up to 5% of the global population about a 100 years ago) may be "to optimistic"...The 14th century plague "Black Death" maybe killing up to 50% of the population may be more accurate...

In a 2022 world only "good management" putting priority at preventing major nuclear, chemical disasters with "most of humanity ill and dying" may prevent "end of live" on this planet...

DJ-Of course..."I am not an expert"...point is even "experts", the best virologists, epidimologists...even medical historians may not have the experience to get an overall view...

We have never seen this kind of pandemic in our lifetime...so all we can do is put the best science we have together to try to get "the best possible view"...

-Is my "view" unrealistic overpessimistic ? I hope so ! I hope to be completely wrong ! Again-I do not claim to be an "expert" of any sort...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/ does NOT show exponential growth...we may now getting close to 625 million tested & reported cases...last winter did see an increase of 220 million cases per september 1 -2021 to over 440 million cases by march 1-2022...

September 1 this year had 609 million reported cases...so by march 1 2023 around 1,2 billion cases "should be expected"...?

Bulk of daily cases were before vaccines showed up...january 2021 did see days with over 3 million cases per day...however "we stopped most of the testing"...even with that july 2022-this year-did see days with 1,1 million tested + cases...

Also when you look at the "number of tested/reported CoViD deaths" ...no exponentials...However [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps excess deaths (in Europe) -still not exponential-may picture 2022 as a year with high excess deaths...

DJ-The potential for "exponential growth" is also in the new variants now starting to spread (most in Europe - for now)...in an increase of all kinds of other diseases...For that matter limiting airtravel=limiting variant/disease spread still could be welcome & wise...

But again...I only can hope to see things completely wrong...

End of part 2

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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