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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Genocide by pandemic

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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    Posted: November 30 2023 at 1:51am

UK;








JENNY HARRIES.  Email 16-3-20  “we will need to discharge Covid-19 positive patients into residential care homes ….& this will be entirely clinically appropriate. The number of people with disease will rise sharply within a fairly short time frame and…”

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As her email shows, they knew full well this would mean covid ripping through care homes and killing old people. Jenny Harries should be being prosecuted for manslaughter, not still the head of the UKHSA. A huge scandal

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Dr Duncan Robertson

@Dr_D_Robertson
·
Jenny Harries discussing moving Covid positive patients into care homes.

DJ, UK health authorities knew sending CoViD+ patients to care centers would spread CoViD in care centers...killing tens of thousends...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Help_(2021_TV_film)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Help_(2021_TV_film) ;

The work load is tough, but everyone's world is turned upside down when the COVID-19 pandemic hits the UK in March 2020. Like most other care homes across the country, Bright Sky suffers a COVID-19 outbreak amongst residents. This is made all the worse by a severe lack of personal protective equipment (PPE) with supplies in NHS hospitals being prioritised above homes.

One night, when Sarah is left as the only carer on duty, Bright Sky resident Kenny suffers a serious coughing fit. Sarah calls the COVID-19 hotline, as well as NHS 111, but no ambulances are available in the area. Angry and frightened, Sarah wakes up Tony, who is also Kenny's best friend. He manages to turn Kenny over, but he is still in a bad way.

[url]https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13649036/[/url] or https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13649036/ ;

Sarah seems to have found her calling working in a Liverpool care home where she has a special talent for connecting with the residents. Then, in March 2020, the Coronavirus pandemic hits.

A comment;

Tender and terrifying
Wow! This drama is a little too close to the truth. As I watched it, in Canada, we are entering the 20th month of the pandemic and what they are now calling the 4th wave. The pandemic is now a new way of life but this movie takes us back to the ignorance of those initial months and, I confess, I cringed at every false move we watched play out and relived some of the trauma I underestimated when going through it. The story is tender and terrifying. The performances are brilliant. Jodie Comer deserves highest accolades and awards for her delivery (for those who have only seen her perform in borrowed accents, it will be a treat to hear her speak in her own native, Liverpudlian accent). For those viewing this in the UK, this seems to trigger political outrage, but, I think, worldwide, we were staggering in the dark and I'm not convinced any political party would have charted a better course. We simply didn't know and were ill prepared. I give this film a 9 (superb) out of 10. {Drama}

DJ, point is..."they knew" ! 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Replying to  and 
The latest government building to be kitted out with state-of-the-art air filtration systems was the Department for Education HQ in Westminster. πŸ‘‡πŸ» And yet still our children are crammed into crowded poorly ventilated classrooms without air filtration. https://willmottdixoninteriors.co.uk/news/the-modernisation-of-the-dfes-offices-at-sanctuary-buildings/


DJ, getting air filters for themselves...But since vaccinations are "to costly" CoViD vaccines in the UK end up in garbage...








Replying to 
Some of us have been screaming about this for nearly a year now. πŸ‘‡πŸ» If staff at the Houses of Parliament, Ministry of Defence & other gov buildings have clean air, why can’t our children have it too? It really does seem like it’s one rule for “them” & another rule for us.

DJ, does the "political class" think of themselves as being superior ? 

There will be -no doubt- lots of tries to find legal ways to get those responsible in jail...

-Lots of vulnerable people could still be alive if countries did more to protect them instead of "the economy=profits"...

-Lots of people dealing with Long CoViD may try to get compensation...their lives are ruined...

-Parents may try to get better protection/care for their children...

DJ, the groups most hit hard were the groups already in poverty and high risk...And it is still going on...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Luxembourg: COVID-19 Cases Rise by 23% in one week Flu cases up 79% RSV cases up 82% http://Chronicle.lu report:

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EU: HIV diagnoses rise for the first time in a decade "Across the 30 countries of the European Union and European Economic Area, 22,995 new HIV diagnoses were reported in 2022." 

link ;[url]https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1009731[/url] or https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1009731 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-medical-news-mycoplasma-pneumoniae-infections-rising-in-many-geolocations-including-china,-denmark,-taiwan-and-even-ohio-in-america[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-medical-news-mycoplasma-pneumoniae-infections-rising-in-many-geolocations-including-china,-denmark,-taiwan-and-even-ohio-in-america 

DJ, lots of diseases getting out of control








UK: Earlier lockdown in 2020 could have prevented about 90% of the death toll in the first Covid wave, or more than 30,000 lives - Matt Hancock.

and still we fail to get the point early action saves lives...

Actions needed NOW !!!

-Try to limit spread of diseases so limit travel, social mixing...

-Non Pharma Intervention is also masks, ventilation...

-Vaccinate ALL that want to be vaccinated (CoViD, Flu (etc)

DJ Mask-Up, Vaccinate, Isolate, Think MUVIT !!! Good information makes a difference. So sequencing, testing is needed...

It is very likely people may end up with a mix of diseases..."FluRona" can become a nightmare when the flu is H5N1, H3N3 etc. (lots of flu-types are supposed to be low risk for humans...but people with lower immunity may catch/spread them...with new variants developing..).

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 02 2023 at 9:01am

[url]https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adj8104?adobe_mc=MCMID%3D36653196791132727810240883682863829898%7CMCORGID%3D242B6472541199F70A4C98A6%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1701373274[/url] or https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adj8104?adobe_mc=MCMID%3D36653196791132727810240883682863829898%7CMCORGID%3D242B6472541199F70A4C98A6%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1701373274 

Excess mortality in U.S. prisons during the COVID-19 pandemic

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Abstract

U.S. prisons were especially susceptible to COVID-19 infection and death; however, data limitations have precluded a national accounting of prison mortality (including but not limited to COVID-19 mortality) during the pandemic. 
Our analysis of mortality data collected from public records requests (supplemented with publicly available data) from 48 Departments of Corrections provides the most comprehensive understanding to date of in-custody mortality during 2020. 
We find that total mortality increased by 77% in 2020 relative to 2019, corresponding to 3.4 times the mortality increase in the general population, and that mortality in prisons increased across all age groups (49 and under, 50 to 64, and 65 and older). COVID-19 was the primary driver for increases in mortality due to natural causes; some states also experienced substantial increases due to unnatural causes.
These findings provide critical information about the pandemic’s toll on some of the country’s most vulnerable individuals while underscoring the need for data transparency and standardized reporting in carceral settings.

DJ, the only good thing on this study is that the study was made and did get public...The US already has 1/4 to 1/5 of ALL prisoners worldwide-with only 4% of the global population. 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 13 2023 at 9:48am
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Indeed,   Add that to the PET T-Cell studies.... What gets in.... May never get out. With increasing cell-cell spread, your immune system cannot see what is doing to your organs.

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See new posts

Conversation


A hidden reservoir of SARS-CoV-2 virus in body cells: Extracellular vesicles (EVs)--microscopic particles released by cells βž‘️ Researchers showed that RNA or genetic material of SARS2 was present in EVs of individuals who had tested negative via the standard RT-PCR methods. 1

DJ...So CoViD virus staying behind in the host...

https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-covid-19-news-sars-cov-2-hides-in-the-body-via-extracellular-vesicles-and-reactivates-later-while-constantly-testing-negative

DJ "it may never leave"...could increase risk for all kinds of other diseases...(also in non-human hosts !!)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 24 2023 at 6:26am

DJ...sorry for the [  e m p t y   s p a c e   ] in the above story...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-christmas-joy-in-finland-eclipsed-by-rising-covid-19-death-rates-why-isn-t-mainstream-media-reporting-on-this[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-christmas-joy-in-finland-eclipsed-by-rising-covid-19-death-rates-why-isn-t-mainstream-media-reporting-on-this 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-hospitalizations-due-to-covid-19-in-spain-have-gone-from-0-8-per-100,000-inhabitants-to-1-8-in-two-weeks,-hospitals-&-ers-overwhelmed[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-hospitalizations-due-to-covid-19-in-spain-have-gone-from-0-8-per-100,000-inhabitants-to-1-8-in-two-weeks,-hospitals-&-ers-overwhelmed 

and 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-jn-1-now-constitutes-about-36-percent-of-all-new-daily-covid-19-infections-in-saudia-arabia-but-authorities-allays-fears-and-dispels-fak[/url or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-jn-1-now-constitutes-about-36-percent-of-all-new-daily-covid-19-infections-in-saudia-arabia-but-authorities-allays-fears-and-dispels-fak e news...

just a few of the reports ...Thailand does not have "christmas"...(quite a lot of countries may not have it in a "western way"...)

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/12/cdc-update-on-covid-variant-jn1-who.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/12/cdc-update-on-covid-variant-jn1-who.html ;

Two years ago the collective decision was made to slowly de-emphasize the impact of the COVID pandemic by gradually cutting back on surveillance and reporting. As laboratory testing declined in favor of home testing, daily reports were replaced by weekly updates, and then by monthly summaries (often omitting crucial data, like COVID deaths or ICU admissions). 

As a result, the official WHO Epi Curve for the COVID pandemic makes it look as if COVID has all but vanished over the past 12 months.

DJ...a terrible decision with a terrible outcome...very likely DESTROYING !!!! the economy ....

The reality is most countries have simply stopped reporting cases, hospitalizations, or deaths.  COVID cases and deaths are certainly far lower than during the height of the pandemic, but they are just as certainly much higher than the official numbers would suggest. 


Despite these gaps in crucial data, the latest WHO update (Dec 22nd) shows a significant uptick in cases globally.  How much is hard to say, since we don't have a reliable baseline to compare it to.  

But globally, the number of cases appears to have risen 52% over the previous reporting period, with Southeast Asia reporting a nearly 4-fold increase.  Deaths (often a lagging indicator) have not risen, but again, many countries aren't reporting deaths at all. 

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Which is why the WHO Epi report contains multiple caveats, such as the following (emphasis mine):


Reported cases do not accurately represent infection rates due to the reduction in testing and reporting globally. During this 28-day period, only 45% (105 of 234) of countries reported at least one case to WHOIt is important to note that this statistic does not reflect the actual number of countries where cases exist.

Additionally, data from the previous 28-day period are continuously being updated to incorporate retrospective changes made by countries regarding reported COVID-19 cases and deaths. Data presented in this report are therefore incomplete and should be interpreted considering these limitations.

Digging deeper, the WHO reports that only `36 countries consistently reported new hospitalizations', which represents only about 15% of member nations. Of those, 33% reported a 20% or greater increase over the previous 4-week reporting period. 

While declaring `victory' over COVID may have been good for the global economy and the political fortunes of a select few, this lack of data integrity leaves us vulnerable to being blindsided. 

If not by JN.1, then by something else down the line.  Reporting on avian flu, MERS-CoV, and other emerging threats have suffered since the pandemic as well. 

For now, our immediate concern is the JN.1 variant sweeping the globe, and while we've seen no signs that it is any more severe than previous Omicron variants, it does appear to be more immune evasive. And that means that a lot more people could be infected in the next few months. 

DJ...

With much of the flu season likely still ahead of us, it isn't too late to get both the flu and COVID vaccines, and face masks and hand sanitizer can add prudent additional layers of protection. 

And if you do get sick, stay home and call your doctor to see if an antiviral would be appropriate.

not only "Long CoViD" problems are getting much worse...with less immunity more diseases simply get more room...

Not only more people may see infections...those diseases will be able to make more "mistakes"=mutations so other diseases may "go wild" as well...

...very likely a lot of excess deaths may be infected by more than one disease...

This against a background of increase of NATO wars and climate collapse the outlook is 'extreme"...

DJ-of course -again- I am "not an expert" (who is ?)  and hope to be very wrong ! 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: December 24 2023 at 7:02am

[url]https://outbreak.info/situation-reports[/url] or https://outbreak.info/situation-reports 

The CoViD family newest members (these are all "O-micron");

XBB.1.16 with 52 subvariants

EG.5 with 69 subvariants

XBB.1.5 with 231 subvariants

BA.2.75 with 214 subvariants

XBB.2.3 with 84 subvariants

BA.2.86 with 18 subvariants

CH.1.1 with 75 subvariants

XBB with 810 subvariants

XBB.1.9.1 with 113 subvariants

XBB.1.9.2 with 107 subvariants...

So the CoViD "family" welcoming another 1,000+ new variants...Total number of CoViD variants now over 100,000 ? 

Hardly any testing, reporting...and "this is under control"?

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 10 2024 at 12:22am

[url]https://twitter.com/ortegadry/status/1744515608404791383/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/ortegadry/status/1744515608404791383/photo/1 

We now live in a 1,5C+ world worsening pandemics....

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-incubation-period-for-jn-1-and-its-spawns-likely-to-be-between-2-to-3-days[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-incubation-period-for-jn-1-and-its-spawns-likely-to-be-between-2-to-3-days First variants had 5 day incubation time-so there may be a downward trend...

There is a lot of discussion on how "bad" the JN.1 variants are...

-They are better in infecting and evading immunity-this will increase the number of cases, may increase hospital cases.

-Of course JN.1 is NOT an isolated event...flu, RSV, rhino-virusses etc. may co-infect...worsening disease

-JN.1 MAY do more harm in the lowe respitory system/lungs...may be better in "fuso-genecity"=spread from one cell to the next

----------------

DJ; Most countries simply ignore the problem...[url]https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/01/09/hmlv-j09.html[/url] or https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/01/09/hmlv-j09.html ...even worse...may DECREASE testing and reporting in a hide and seek form of insanity...In the US crazy joe biden may "want to fight crime by stopping masks"...

So with even LESS means to stop disease spread of course the outcome will be more disease...

-Again, we may simply lack even basic info by now on recent spread of (all kinds of) CoViD in non-human hosts...that will spread (back) to humans...

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #USA  #SARSCoV2 #Lineages #30DAYTRENDS  JN.1  (38.8%)πŸ‘οΈπŸ†™ HV.1  (16.2%)⬇️ JN.1.1  (5.7%)πŸ‘€ JD.1.1  (3.1%) HK.3  (2.9%) JG.3  (1.9%) FL.1.5.1  (1.5%) JN.1.2  (1.2%) XBB.1.16.6 (1.2%) Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7 | 01/10/24

DJ, even this "picture" is over optimistic...very like 95% of cases may not see any sequencing...We still get some info from waste water and hospital cases...

Like with climate collapse simply denying there is a problem is the dominant policy...

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 23 2024 at 2:27am

[url]https://www.forbes.com/sites/grrlscientist/2024/01/19/avian-influenza-virus-presents-apocalyptic-threat-to-wildlife-around-the-world/?sh=346f1a893b40[/url] or https://www.forbes.com/sites/grrlscientist/2024/01/19/avian-influenza-virus-presents-apocalyptic-threat-to-wildlife-around-the-world/?sh=346f1a893b40 ;

Could HPAI influenza infect and kill humans, too? Possibly. This concern is especially relevant considering that our health and the health of both wild and domestic animals are inextricably linked. As the global population grows, humans are increasingly moving into previously uninhabited areas, so more humans come into contact with wildlife and their diseases, which increases our pandemic risk. (COVID-19 is but one such example.) Whether it’s H5N1 or a different virus, it’s inevitable that new viruses will continue to emerge and threaten to trigger another human or wildlife pandemic.

“As the virus continues to spread through mammal populations, the World Health Organization (WHO) has called on public health officials to prepare for a potential spillover of H5N1 to people. The ‘R naught’ value — the number of people infected by a single infected person — for COVID initially ranged from 1.5 to 7. For H5N1 among birds, it is around 100,” Dr Walzer reported.

A highly contagious novel pathogen like HPAI influenza that can potentially wipe out entire species can likewise threaten the stability of human populations and societies. For this reason, there is urgent need to safeguard the health of people, their pets and livestock, of wildlife, as well as conserve global biodiversity and protect the natural environment to reduce the threat of emerging diseases.

“It is imperative that we take a collaborative One Health approach to identifying emerging strains of bird flu across the globe to support the development of specific and universal vaccines that can quickly treat infection in people to prevent another pandemic,” Dr Walzer advised.

“The cost of inaction is already causing major devastation to wildlife,” Dr Walzer pointed out. “As we work to help affected populations recover, we must remain vigilant against the spread of this deadly pathogen to people before it’s too late.”

DJ, linked to it [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/j-of-infection-emergence-of-triple.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/j-of-infection-emergence-of-triple.html ;

While we generally think of reassortment happening in birds, pigs, or humans, over the past 20 years we've learned that the host range of influenza is much larger than we thought. Today marine mammalsmink & foxes, rodents and even companion animals like dogs and cats are on our watch list (see graphic above). 

While once believed unlikely hosts, dogs are now increasingly on our radar.  In 2007 we learned that an avian H3N2 virus (from chickens and doves) had jumped to dogs in South Korea (see Transmission of Avian Influenza Virus (H3N2) to Dogs).

Since then we've seen multiple reports of influenza viruses in dogs (mostly from Asia), many involving novel reassortments:


Canine H3N2 Reassortant With pH1N1 Matrix Gene

Virology J: Human-like H3N2 Influenza Viruses In Dogs - Guangxi, China

Korea Finds More Dogs With H5N8 Antibodies

Influenza A(H6N1) In Dogs, Taiwan.

While the H3Nx virus appears to be on its own worrisome trajectory in dogs (see One Health Adv.: Surveillance & Characterization of Avian-origin H3N2 Canine Influenza Viruses (China 2021)), since the emergence of a more mammalian-adaptable HPAI H5 clade 2.3.4.4b virus, we've also seen an increase in those reports as well. 

We now see measles showing up because parents do refuse vaccinations in children. Vaccines - in general- do limit risks ! 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-strains-of-malaria-parasites-with-mutations-that-evade-diagnostics-and-drugs-has-emerged-in-ethiopia[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-strains-of-malaria-parasites-with-mutations-that-evade-diagnostics-and-drugs-has-emerged-in-ethiopia 

the good news is there are new anti-malaria vaccines. Cameroon is testing one...[url]https://www.afro.who.int/countries/cameroon/news/cameroon-kicks-malaria-vaccine-rollout[/url] or https://www.afro.who.int/countries/cameroon/news/cameroon-kicks-malaria-vaccine-rollout ...however if the virus is "on the move" vaccines may become less effective...

-[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/eid-journal-sars-cov-2-infection-in.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/eid-journal-sars-cov-2-infection-in.html 

DJ,

- "One Health"-looking at both animal and human health-should be the norm if we want to see pandemic risks decreasing

-We have to decrease meat (and furs...should be banned !!!) consumption to decrease farm-animal risks...

-Testing of animals (pets, wild, farm) has to increase-lots of diseases may be spreading undetected

The "economy/profits" has to be in balance with global public health...

XI JINPING (2023): "Western modernization was fraught with sanguineous crimes such as war, slave trade, colonization, and plunder, which inflicted untold misery on developing countries. 

Having suffered from aggression, bullying, and humiliation by Western powers, we Chinese are keenly aware of the value of peace and will never follow the beaten path of the West." 

"The biggest problems with Western modernization are that it is capital-centered rather than people-centered and that it seeks to maximize capital gains rather than serve the interests of the vast majority of the people."

We need a "people centered" system...otherwise we are killing ourselves via pandemics...in combination with wars, climate/economic collapse...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 31 2024 at 1:36pm

This year did bring 2 human H5N1 cases in Cambodia [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/a-review-of-h5n1-clade-2321c-infections.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/a-review-of-h5n1-clade-2321c-infections.html 

Spain: A human case of swine flu in Catalonia A case of swine flu in a 33-year-old man who works on a pig farm in the province of Lleida, Catalonia

So also a Spanish human H5N1 case ? 









China: Death of woman from combined H3N2, H10N5 bird flu The 63-year-old woman from Anhui province developed symptoms on November 30th and died on December 16th. Deccan Herald

More on it [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/china-nhc-statement-fatal-case-of-h3n2.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/01/china-nhc-statement-fatal-case-of-h3n2.html ;

A case of H3N2 and H10N5 mixed infection discovered in Zhejiang Province
Date: 2024-01-30 Source: Emergency Response Department

The National Administration for Disease Control and Prevention reported that a case of H3N2 and H10N5 mixed infection was discovered in Zhejiang Province.

The patient is a 63-year-old female from Xuancheng, Anhui Province. She has multiple underlying diseases in the past. Symptoms such as cough, sore throat, and fever developed on November 30, 2023; on December 2, he was admitted to a local medical institution for treatment due to his worsening condition; on December 7, he was transferred to a medical institution in Zhejiang Province for hospitalization. Died on the 16th.
During a retrospective study of fatal cases, Zhejiang Province isolated seasonal H3N2 subtype and avian H10N5 subtype influenza viruses from case specimens on January 22, 2024.

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Experts assessed that the complete genetic analysis of the virus showed that the H10N5 virus was of poultry origin and did not have the ability to effectively infect humans. The epidemic was an occasional cross-species transmission from poultry to humans. The risk of the virus infecting humans is low and no human-to-human transmission has occurred.

-

We've seen studies suggesting that surveillance is lucky if it picks up 1 in 200 novel flu cases (see CID Journal: Estimates Of Human Infection From H3N2v (Jul 2011-Apr 2012), and seroprevalence studies of poultry workers showing very high titers to various subtypes of avian flu.

Ten months ago, in UK Novel Flu Surveillance: Quantifying TTD, we looked at a UKHSA assessment stating that it could take hundreds of community cases, over several weeks, before HPAI H5N1 might be picked up by routine passive surveillance.

In countries or regions with less sophisticated testing, surveillance and reporting capabilities, limited community transmission might take much longer to detect.  Absence of evidence isn't the same as evidence of absence. 

Although it tends to get less attention than H5, H7, or even H9 subtypes, avian H10 viruses have also shown a proclivity for spilling over into mammals (see Avian H10N7 Linked To Dead European Seals), and occasionally, infecting humans.  

DJ,,,so we -by now- are very likely to miss flu spreading in an early stage...including new types of flu...

While the number of reported H10 infected humans remains small - possibly due to a lack of surveillance and testing - in 2014's BMC: H10N8 Antibodies In Animal Workers – Guangdong Province, China, we saw evidence that some people may have been infected with the H10N8 virus in China long before the first case was recognized.

While this mixed H3N2/H10N5 infection appears to have been a dead-end - with no recognized onward transmission of H10N5 or a H10/N3 reassortment detected - humans (like birds, pigs, and other hosts) have the potential to act as mixing vessels for influenza viruses. 

Twice in my lifetime (1957 and 1968avian flu viruses have reassorted with seasonal flu and launched a human pandemic.

  • The first (1957) was H2N2, which According to the CDC `. . . was comprised of three different genes from an H2N2 virus that originated from an avian influenza A virus, including the H2 hemagglutinin and the N2 neuraminidase genes.'
  • In 1968 an avian H3N2 virus emerged (a reassortment of 2 genes from a low path avian influenza H3 virus, and 6 genes from H2N2which supplanted H2N2 - killed more than a million people during its first year - and continues to spark yearly epidemics more than 50 years later.

DJ, does CoViD infection result in more room for flu to spread ? 

We could move towards a multi-disease pandemic....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, lots of diseases now showing up ;

MSF: Cholera vaccine stockpile runs empty as 16 countries report outbreaks “The stockpile is empty,” said Philippe Barboza, cholera lead at the WHO. Doctors Without Borders

and 








700 dead from Zambia cholera outbreak as cases surge The country has recorded nearly 20,000 infections since the outbreak started in October 2023.

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Peru: Health emergency declared as dengue outbreak 'imminent' Peru's death toll due to the dengue virus has risen to 32 so far this year, Reuters

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COVID-19 promoting the development of active tuberculosis in a patient with latent tuberculosis 7w after Covid, "her repeat chest imaging showed right upper zone consolidation and this culminated in a microbiological diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis"

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Florida: More measles cases reported at Broward County elementary school Nine of the state’s measles cases are in Broward County, and all of those involve children.

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Covid’s impact on the brain is honestly the thing that concerns me the most - particularly for our children. This systematic review of nearly 2 years’ worth of studies of children with post-Covid neurological symptoms shows why I’m right to be concerned. https://nature.com/articles/s41598-024-55597-2

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Spain: Three members of the same family have been diagnosed with Monkeypox in Sevilla One of those affected is a child aged under six. Measures are being taken in the youngster’s school. Olive Press

DJ, While CoViD itself is still widespread also damage to immunity may result in -my view- a lower diseaseload still may bring symptoms. Because of CoViD other diseases may result in symptoms much earlier...Before CoViD other diseases also were around but immunity stopped getting symptoms in time...

When will you believe that public health has been taken over by people who want you infected.

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If you're asking "infected by what?", the answer is pretty much most things.

DJ...top-priority; fighting Russia, Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, China, North Korea, Syria, Yemen.....wasting trillions on criminal wars to "protect the rules (=US$) based order" the west made up in its neo-colonial superiority complex....

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/  5 countries low excess deaths...Statistics go back a long time...The first two months of 2024 may still NOT be at prepandemic level...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Spoke to a former colleague today with twin girls, age 9. Since March 2022, they have been sick with: 2 bouts of RSV 2 bouts of Norovirus 1 bout of pneumonia (hospitalized) and, I kid you not, no fewer than SIX bouts of c19. πŸ˜² No prior health issues.

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lingchi[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lingchi ;

Lingchi ([liΜŒΕ‹ΚˆΚ‚Κ°Ι»Μ©ΜŒ]Chineseε‡Œι²), translated variously as the slow process, the lingering death, or slow slicing, and also known as death by a thousand cuts, was a form of torture and execution used in China from roughly 900 CE up until the practice ended around the early 1900s. It was also used in Vietnam and Korea. In this form of execution, a knife was used to methodically remove portions of the body over an extended period of time, eventually resulting in death.

DJ...11 times an infectious disease since march 2022 for 9 y/o is "very bad"...

DRC: The case fatality rate of Mpox has almost doubled in 2024 The case fatality rate for Monkeypox in the Democratic Republic of Congo has increased from 4.5% last year to 8.4% this year, with 155 deaths in less than 3 months. http://News.cd https://actualite.cd/2024/02/28/rdc-avec-plus-150-deces-le-taux-de-letalite-du-au-mpox-presque-double-en-2024

And there are lots of other diseas around the corner...









UMN researchers uncover undercounted COVID-19 deaths “In those first 2.5 years, there were 1.1 million more deaths in the U.S. than we would have expected to have had there not been a pandemic, and that’s a staggering number,” The Minnesota Daily

DJ, It may become impossible to link excess deaths to single causes..."just" one disease...Lots of people may get long term health issues-a mix of diseases...








France: New Covid vaccination campaign starts in mid-April Targets those aged 80+, immunocompromised people (whatever their age) and residents of nursing homes. https://europe1.fr/sante/covid-19-tout-savoir-sur-la-prochaine-campagne-de-vaccination-qui-debute-le-15-avril-4232991

and 

CDC recommends adults ages 65 years and over receive an additional updated 2023-2024 #COVID19 vaccine dose, which can provide additional protection to older adults, who are at highest risk of severe illness due to COVID-19. Read the full release here: https://bit.ly/3USor5D

DJ...my non-expert view; We need to do much more to restore a basic form of public health...we are moving high speed in the wrong direction...

US: Emergency patients can wait hours or days for a hospital bed "Four hours is supposed to be the maximum time spent boarding in an emergency department, but .. hospitals nationwide are failing to meet that goal when occupancy is high." WAPO

DJ...chronic illnesses will affect economies worldwide...








Japan: Experts blame COVID pandemic for turning many off of marriage "The uncertain employment environment created by the COVID-19 pandemic made marriage less attractive for younger people." The Asahi Shimbun

DJ...pandemics, wars, climate disasters are THE WRONG WAY to decrease populations...Lots of countries now see their population decreasing (China, South Korea, Japan a.o.) [url]https://www.statista.com/statistics/264689/countries-with-the-highest-population-decline-rate/[/url] or https://www.statista.com/statistics/264689/countries-with-the-highest-population-decline-rate/ ...

Like all statistics "one can play with numbers"...Some western countries see population growth via migration...while "natural" growth is gone...NL population growing because of people moving into NL...But more people die here than are born here...

Refugees for climate/war can mean population decline in "disaster countries" (like Ukraine) with growth in a.o. Poland...it can result in vaccines -in a country- becoming less effective because most of the "new population" did not get that much vaccines...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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[url]https://twitter.com/NateB_Panic/status/1767133035705557134/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/NateB_Panic/status/1767133035705557134/photo/1 ;

"NHS-head" most people that can catch Long CoViD may have had it"

DJ...utter stupidity-shocking !

This completely ignores cumulative risks of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, GI disease, renal disease & clotting with each infection. There are also people who develop LC at subsequent infections not necessarily the 1st one, and those with LC can have worsening post-infection.

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We still don't really know the real long terms impacts of illness- a decade or two decades down the line. Even in the short period research has been conducted in, the long-term impacts at population level are very concerning.

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Subsequent infections in someone with LC can seriously not only impede any recovery, but make day to day functioning much worse from an already limited baseline. There's a good reason many people with LC are very cautious about mitigating infection.

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One of the most egregious pieces of covid propaganda so far. How can you refuse to monitor prevalence of a disease and then confidently state this? It's beyond belief

DJ, still "saving the economy"....

[url]https://twitter.com/CoronaHeadsUp/status/1766936475109584958[/url] or https://twitter.com/CoronaHeadsUp/status/1766936475109584958 ;

SARS-CoV-2 replicating inside the brain

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Me: Hey, check out these photos of #SARSCoV2  in the brain from our published study! We can see spike and nucleocapsid proteins and even replicating virus inside neurons! Not all these viral proteins are used in vaccines, so people have to be directly infected to see this type of damage. But you can clearly see the virus is in the brain, right?

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Star Tribune: ‘COVID is not done and gone, nor is it particular’ ‘The CDC reports that 1 in 13 adults (7.5%) report having long COVID symptoms’ “We are among you, and we still suffer.”

DJ, CoViD is airborne...and still around in many places-other places (like NL) may see a pause...

But Long/chronic CoViD may still show after years...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-covid-19-surge-starts-in-northern-india-with-delhi-uttar-pradesh-rajasthan-and-bihar-witnessing-a-concerning-rise[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-covid-19-surge-starts-in-northern-india-with-delhi-uttar-pradesh-rajasthan-and-bihar-witnessing-a-concerning-rise

DJ, India now detecting new CoViD variants; JN.1.11.1 , JN.1.18 and JN.1.4.3 ...mild symptoms at first slowly getting worse...(Indian) vaccines may limit disease...

Nearly four years after Covid, Scotland’s A&E just had its worst ever month In January of this year a record number of people – 8,857, or 7.2% of all attendees – spent over 12 hours in A&E. Helen McArdle at The Herald https://heraldscotland.com/news/24166201.scotlands-e-departments-just-worst-ever-month/

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SARS-COV-2 is "SUPER-AIRBORNE" when compared to other respiratory viruses Study in Swiss classrooms.

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Reinfection with COVID-19 led to a greater risk of developing asthma, COPD, lung diseases, and lung cancer compared to those with a single infection.

DJ, recently Brazil reported an increase of CoViD (carnaval-spread-links ?)..some countries may see more new variants than other countries...

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps Italy "moderate excess deaths" 4-7% above the norm, Germany low excess deaths 2-4% above normal...0-14 y/o excess deaths still higher than previous years...

-In latest news I had links to H5N1 in sea mammals in South America-very likely spreading from mammal-to-mammal. So far most mammals may have had an H5N1 infection from eating infected birds...but that pattern may have changed in 2023.

-Also H3 flu types get extra attention in China...most of the Low Pathogenic Avian Influenza (LPAI) of H3 type still in birds...but there may be some mutations on their way...

In general the idea is humans run higher risks for H1, H2 and H3 types of flu...H5N1 -so far- believed less of a risk (H7, H9 flu types most in birds...)

DJ-my non expert view; Flu may jump from birds into a.o. pigs, rodents eating infected birds...in combination with other types of flu it may result in a new type of flu that will have pandemic potential...

It is not "if" we get another flu-pandemic...only "when"...Also the damage a -bad- flu season can bring-in itself- may be limited if there is enough action to stop it...In a "normal year worldwide 400,000 to 600,000 flu-deaths...In 1957 and 1968 we did see over 1 million flu-deaths in "pandemics"....My view; The Spanish H1N1 flu killing in between 20 and 100 million people -even the timeline is discussed- I go for a wide range; 1917-1923...got out of control because World War One resulted in lots of spread among exhausted men in terrible conditions, censorship because of the war (It was called Spanish-flu because Spain was outside the war...its press could report on it...The pandemic may have started in the US...but maybe also Austria did see a flu-type close to the pandemic one ?)

San Diego County probes possible tuberculosis exposure at City College "People sick with TB may be sick for many months before they are diagnosed, and as such, exposure periods can be long."

and








San Diego County newsletter: 175,000+ in San Diego with latent tuberculosis. "Without preventive treatment, as many as 10 percent of people with latent TB infection may go on to get sick with active, contagious TB  disease."

DJ ; Ukraine may have been a center for multi-resistant TB. CoViD weakening immunity may further increase TB global risks...

AGAIN: !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

We need to improve testing/sequencing, much better healthchecks on borders...limit air travel...

AGAIN !!!!!!!!!!! 

We are doing ALL WE CAN to get a new pandemic on top of CoViD...."saving the economy" may destroy that economy !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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UK: Thousands of disabled people died after COVID treatment was withheld. On whose orders?

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UK, October 2020: Covid-19 Triage Tool produced Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, commissioned a tool to help those deciding which coronavirus patients to allow into intensive care units (ICUs) when pressure on https://thetimes.co.uk/article/critical-care-documents-reveal-covid-advice-and-warnings-ln29b0f2p

link; [url]https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/thousands-of-disabled-people-died-after-covid-treatment-withheld-inquiry-to-probe-2970333[/url] or https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/thousands-of-disabled-people-died-after-covid-treatment-withheld-inquiry-to-probe-2970333 


Thousands of disabled people died after ‘Covid treatment withheld’, inquiry to probe

EXCLUSIVE

Mencap says Do Not Resuscitate notices were placed on the medical files of many people with Down’s syndrome, autism and other learning disabilities who were otherwise healthy before contracting the virus

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 24 2024 at 3:48am

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/03/vietnam-21-yo-university-student.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/03/vietnam-21-yo-university-student.html ;

Twenty-four hours after the first report (see here), Vietnamese media are now reporting the student infected with H5Nx has died after 8 days of treatment.

-

Suffering from influenza A/H5, a 21-year-old male student in Khanh Hoa died
Saturday, 14:54, March 23, 2024

VOV.VN - A 21-year-old male student in a dormitory at Nha Trang University (Khanh Hoa) tested positive for influenza A/H5 with an unknown source of infection and died after 8 days of treatment.

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In addition, the patient's family members, including his mother, aunt and sister, are also closely monitored for his health.

Rooms and suites in the dormitories at Nha Trang University, where the patient is studying, were also sprayed with Chloramin B to disinfect.

In addition, the CDC of Khanh Hoa province said that the results of five samples taken on March 21, from poultry flocks (including two samples from the chicken flock in the patient's house, one sample from the duck flock 50m away from the house, two samples from the flock of birds in the patient's house). where the patient often goes) all tested negative for the A/H5 virus.

Six patient samples from people in the same room as the patient at Nha Trang University are currently negative for influenza A/H5; Test results and daily health monitoring of people exposed to cases of influenza A/H5 infection are also stable, no suspicious symptoms of the disease have been detected.

This is the first case of influenza A/H5 recorded in Vietnam since the beginning of the year.

At this point we still don't know what clade, or even subtype, of H5 Vietnam is dealing with.  The most obvious choices are:


  • H5N1 clade 2.3.2.1c (which has caused recent cases/deaths in Cambodia)
  • H5N6 clade 2.3.4.4h, which has reportedly caused roughly 90 infections and dozens of deaths in China since 2014
  • and newer H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b (which is currently circulating globally) but has a more limited history of infecting humans. 


It is possible, but less likely, that they are dealing with some other subtype, clade, or variant.  More precise laboratory results should be available in a few days.

While it is true that the fatality rate of known (i.e. hospitalized and tested) cases of H5Nx has hovered around the 50% mark, what is not known is how many mild or moderately ill cases go unidentified.

Seroprevalence studies suggest those numbers may be substantial (see Serological Analysis in Humans in Malaysian Borneo Suggests Prior Exposure to H5 Avian Influenza), which would produce a much lower CFR.

A look at H5N1 cases over the past 20 years also shows a wide disparity between the fatality rates of different countries, with Indonesia reporting a staggering 84% CFR (168 deaths out of 200 cases), while Egypt came in at 33% (120 out of 359 cases)


Exactly what accounts for this difference isn't known, although different clades circulating in each country - along with earlier treatment, and better medical care - are likely contributing factors. H5 is an HA Group type 1 

While the reasons aren't entirely clear, younger people (< 40) seem to be more susceptible to H5 infections while the opposite appears true for H7N9 (see H7N9: The Riddle Of The Ages). 

 


Eight years ago, in Science: Protection Against Novel Flu Subtypes Via Childhood HA Imprinting, we looked at research which suggested the influenza HA Group type (1 or 2) you are first exposed to makes a significant, and lasting, impression on your immune system

 H5 is an HA Group type 1 while H7 viruses fall in group 2.
  • Those born prior to the mid-1960s were almost certainly first exposed to Group 1 flu viruses (H1N1 or H2N2)
  • Those born after 1968 and before 1977 would have been exposed to Group 2 (H3N2)
  • After 1977, both Group 1 and 2 viruses co-circulated, meaning the first exposure could have been to either one.
This suggests that those born before 1968 may carry some degree of limited protection against H5 infection. That said, any advantage of being born in the 1950s is probably being gradually offset by advancing age and comorbidities, and may not be as pronounced today as it was 20 years ago.

For now, the good news is that the virus has yet to figure out human physiology sufficiently to transmit efficiently from human-to-human.  

The bad news is, the virus keeps on trying. 

-

Vietnam: Student dies of H5N1 Diabetic patient, male, 21 years  old, student at Nha Trang University, infected with avian influenza A/H5N1, died after many days on a ventilator. 

DJ, lots of questions on what type of H5-flu the student died...mammal-to-mammal (m2m) spread of H5N1 detected in sea mammals in South America. 

However we miss over 99% of disease spread in mammals...very likely even miss a lot of H5-flu types -with a lot of infections possibly resulting in no or mild symptoms-for now. 

DJ-My view; a flu pandemic may already be in the early stages.

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_pandemic[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_pandemic 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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HPAI in cattle: What does AI predict? "The high mutation rate ... leads to a concerning development - a novel strain emerges that has acquired the ability to efficiently spread from cattle to humans and then between humans" Reddit Virology https://reddit.com/r/Virology/comments/1br655j/so_in_the_rh5n1_avianflu_community_one_of_the/

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SARS-CoV-2, measles, flu, RSV, TB, avian flu. Clean the air, FFS.

- (I think I know what FFS stands for...For F..k Sake....there are lots of things we can and should do to slow down the next-incoming-pandemic...but we are hardly testing...)








PMC COVID-19 Forecast, March 25, 2024 (U.S.) πŸ”ΉWe're finally below 500,000 daily infections πŸ”ΉJust under 1% of the U.S. is actively infectious πŸ”ΉExpect transmission to bottom out around April 3 Full report: http://pmc19.com/data

link [url]https://twitter.com/michael_hoerger/status/1772331058656059595/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/michael_hoerger/status/1772331058656059595/photo/1 ...yet another CoViD wave on its way..."politics promoting more war"....








Finland's epidemic 30 Mar 2024: wastewater data suggests that the next epidemic wave has started. 1/x

- Mpox-USA;








Replying to 
Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) states that there have been 511 cases reported this year through March 16, as compared to less than 300 cases by late March 2023.


[url]https://www.thehealthsite.com/diseases-conditions/mpox-cases-on-the-rise-in-the-us-know-about-symptoms-spread-and-more-1077514/[/url] or https://www.thehealthsite.com/diseases-conditions/mpox-cases-on-the-rise-in-the-us-know-about-symptoms-spread-and-more-1077514/ 

DJ...I need a very strong coffee !!!!

I believe in being honest...even when reality is terrible...One only can solve problems if one is willing to face problems...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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