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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Very new Vietnam possible case - Event Date: August 05 2007

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    Posted: August 05 2006 at 3:35am
http://avianflu.futurehs.com/

Xinhua - Vietnamese man suspectedly infected with bird flu

Posted in Vietnam, China, Asia by Future Health Solutions - Spence on August 4th, 2006

Xinhua - English translation

Vietnamese man suspectedly infected with bird flu


www.chinaview.cn 2006-08-03 12:06:58

Special report: Global fight against bird flu

    HANOI, Aug 3 (Xinhua) — A 35-year-old man from Vietnam’s southern Kien Giang province has been hospitalized after eating dead duck meat and then exhibiting bird flu symptoms, local media reported Thursday.

    The man from Giong Rieng district was admitted to the Kien Giang General Hospital on July 30 after having high temperature and respiratory failure and the doctors said his lung has been severely damaged, according to Youth newspaper.

    The patient’s relatives said he slaughtered and ate a dead duck offered by a neighbor one week before hospitalization. Three days after eating the meat, he had high fever and took medicine at home.

    Specimens from the patient are being tested for bird flu viruses.

    To prevent bird flu infections among people, Vietnam’s National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, has asked for permission from the country’s Health Ministry to test bird flu vaccines it made from monkeys’ kidneys on volunteers late 2006, the newspaper said.

    To prevent potential outbreaks of the disease among fowls and humans, Vietnam is intensifying surveillance, management over transport, trade and import of poultry and related products at border gates, preparation for sufficient supply of relevant medicines and equipment, border quarantine activities, and enhancement of public awareness about the potential relapse of bird flu.

Comment : How many hours will it take until this one is dismissed as non-Avian. Let's continue to monitor cases and see what happens. It would appear ducks are going or have developed a strain which is significantly a more virulent form which can be transmitted to humans by simply eating infected fowl. However, as always, verification is pending despite 1) this came from a duck 2) it bears the clear symptoms of H5N1 3) and this person is very sick.



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Medclinician,

Does this case somewhat relate to the last question you asked about the last time we saw human BF testing in the American media? Is it possible that they are trying to establish a bird to human connection rather than H2H?

Part Two: How many different types of avian influenza have shown up in humans? Is H11 the most recent new type? How long does it take for the virus to evolve into a type that is easily spread H2H?
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Originally posted by argyll argyll wrote:

Medclinician,

Does this case somewhat relate to the last question you asked about the last time we saw human BF testing in the American media? Is it possible that they are trying to establish a bird to human connection rather than H2H?

Part Two: How many different types of avian influenza have shown up in humans? Is H11 the most recent new type? How long does it take for the virus to evolve into a type that is easily spread H2H?


American media Bird Flu coverage :

CNN

1.   2006 seasonal flu vaccine formula approved (08.02.2006)
Vaccines that protect against three strains of seasonal influenza considered most likely to strike the northern hemisphere this winter have received federal approval.

2.   Ferrets help understand bird flu (07.31.2006)
Initial results from tests using ferrets suggest the deadly H5N1 bird flu virus has to undergo complex genetic changes before it could develop into a pandemic flu virus.

3.   Bird flu-human flu virus mix doesn't transmit easily in animal test (07.31.2006)
Tests using ferrets suggest that the deadly H5N1 bird flu virus has to undergo complex genetic changes before it could develop into a pandemic flu virus, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

4.   Glaxo claims bird flu breakthrough (07.26.2006)
A bird flu vaccine for humans that uses only a very low dose of active ingredient has proved effective in clinical tests and could be available in 2007, its maker GlaxoSmithKline Plc has said.

Comment : no useful data here. If the Pandemic hits in a few months, what might be available in 2007 is not really that helpful.

Wild Birds Can Spread Benign Avian Flu Strain to Humans - Friday, July 28, 2006 - ATLANTA — A study of duck hunters in Iowa is believed to be the first to show people can catch bird flu — a non-threatening kind...
GlaxoSmithKline: Human Bird-Flu Vaccine May Be Ready in 2007 - Wednesday, July 26, 2006 - LONDON — A British company reported Wednesday it had achieved the best results ever seen on an experimental human vaccine for bird flu...

Comment : Numerous comments by health professionals and scientists on this forum concerning significance of this "breakthrough."

MSNBC NEWS

Bird flu vaccine may be ready in 2007

Most of this is almost a week behind the news and threads on this forum. The case updates on major sites may be a week or even several months behind this site. In some cases, reporting or page updating is simply frozen for days or weeks at a time.

POINT : 
You are not going to find current or news which goes against the mainstream spin on English published news.  You either must go to foregin websites or translate news from other languages.

The thread I started on the Hunter's who had contracted a relatively obscure "obviously" non-path version of Avian was a clear case, and probably first documented in a study of this magnitude of direct wild bird to human transference.

The point was not that H11 was a raging virulent pathogen. The point was that it is possible and probable Avian strains have been passed directly to humans for decades and the infamous and world wide statements "the only source to be concerned about of transmission is from domestic fowl" and many statements "it has never been never been passed from human to human" were blatantly false. Yet, not only were they stressed years ago, they are still being spoken from podiums of "experts" to soothe the public.

No one knows for sure. And because H11 is "unlikely" (so was H5N1 to produce a continuously spreading tide of Avian) does not mean that cannot change; despite reassurances it is highly unlikely or even impossible. People keep getting it and dying. Kind of ruins the premise.

So - let's look outside American press - are wild birds infecting people with high path Avian. We keep being told no. How about

http://www.hindu.com/2006/08/02/stories/2006080204841000.htm

Did wild birds bring avian flu to India?

N. Gopal Raj

A "smoking gun" that could convincingly pin the blame on wild birds is lacking. Even at the global level, unravelling the role of wild birds in the spread of H5N1 is not proving easy.

THE OUTBREAKS of deadly bird flu that occurred among poultry in Maharashtra earlier this year could have been the result of two independent introductions of the virus, possibly by wild birds, according to research that has been published in the journal Current Science.

Tests carried out at the time by the government's High Security Animal Disease Laboratory in Bhopal had shown that the outbreaks in Maharashtra were caused by a strain of bird flu known as H5N1. This virus had ravaged poultry flocks in several East and South-East Asian countries since December 2003. To the world's alarm, the virus did not remain confined to birds but occasionally jumped to humans, often with deadly effect.

In the latter half of 2005, the virus spread to Europe and other parts of the world with frightening rapidity. Its journey out of eastern Asia is usually thought to have begun at Qinghai Lake in western China where large numbers of wild birds congregate before their autumn migration. Thousands of these wild birds suddenly died in mid-2005 and were later found to have been infected by the H5N1 strain.

Shortly afterwards, the virus appeared in Mongolia, Siberia, and Kazakhstan before moving on to countries in central Europe, western Europe, and West Asia.

By early February this year, chicken were dying of the virus in Nigeria. Shortly afterwards, India announced that the virus had been detected in samples taken from poultry in Nandurbar district in Maharashtra. Soon afterwards another outbreak was reported from nearby Jalgaon district, also in Maharashtra.

H.K. Pradhan and his colleagues at the Bhopal laboratory have been looking closely at the viruses isolated from the outbreaks at Nandurbar and Jalgaon. In particular, they studied the genetic sequence for a key viral protein known as haemagglutinin.

The haemagglutinin gene in the viruses from the Nandurbar and Jalgaon outbreaks were "not identical," suggesting that these outbreaks were possible due to "two independent populations of the virus introduced at two different times," noted the scientists in their Current Science paper. J.S.M. Peiris, a noted virologist at the University of Hong Kong, is a co-author of the paper.

The scientists also compared the haemagglutinin gene of the H5N1 viruses found in India to those of 30 H5N1 viruses found in east and south-east Asia, Europe, Eurasia, and Africa. The two Indian H5N1 viruses were genetically closest to the viruses isolated this year from swans in Italy and Iran. Such genetic similarity was "suggestive of spread of the virus to distant places through wild, aquatic bird migration," say the scientists.

These findings mirror those based on analysis of the H5N1 viruses responsible for outbreaks in Nigeria. The paper published recently in the scientific journal Nature suggested that there had been multiple introductions of the virus into the African country. Based on comparisons of the haemagglutinin gene, a team of scientists from Luxembourg, Nigeria, and the Netherlands said three lineages of the H5N1 virus had been "independently introduced through routes that coincide with the flight paths of migratory birds, although independent trade imports cannot be excluded."

The issue of how far wild birds are to be blame for the spread of the H5N1 virus, especially its movement out of eastern Asia, is a contentious one. Wild water birds are known to harbour a rich diversity of bird flu viruses. But these viruses are of low virulence that do not harm the wild birds. It was only when the flu viruses spread to other birds, such as chicken, that they mutate and became highly virulent.

FAO finding

The question has been whether migrating wild birds could also carry the dangerously virulent H5N1 strain over long distances when the virus appeared to be lethal to the birds themselves. A recent report prepared for the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said there was evidence that several species of wild birds may be able to carry the virus without themselves becoming ill. "The search for the main healthy carrier species of H5N1 along these migratory routes is under progress," observed Marius Gilbert and fellow scientists in their report of February 2006.

Conservation groups question whether genetic similarities between the H5N1 viruses found in Nigeria and India with strains isolated in distant places can by themselves be taken as evidence implicating wild birds. "Genetic similarity says nothing whatsoever about the mode of transport between sites," points out Richard Thomas of BirdLife International.

A news feature published in a recent issue of Nature quoted Ward Hagemeijer, programme leader for avian influenza at Wetlands International, as saying that a Nigerian H5N1 strain matching one found only in wild European birds was not convincing evidence that wild birds were the cause of the outbreak. Many more H5N1 strains had been studied in wild birds and than in poultry. So a search for similarities between strains was far more likely to turn up a close relative in the wild bird database than in the database for poultry.

Dr. Richard Thomas makes a similar point about the finding that the Indian H5N1 strains closely resembled those found in dead swans in Iran and Italy. The most plausible source of the virus in the dead swans was contamination from poultry sources in the Black Sea and Caspian Sea regions, where the virus had been present for months prior to the wild bird outbreaks in Europe. "Yet no poultry samples are analysed from this region," he said in an email.

A "smoking gun" that could convincingly pin the blame on wild birds is lacking. In the early months of this year, nearly 5,000 samples were collected from wild birds in 12 African countries. The sample collection included countries that had just reported H5N1 infections. But the virulent H5N1 virus did not turn up in even a single sample.

Likewise, although some 1,100 samples taken from wild birds in India were reported to have been tested at the Bhopal laboratory, none was positive for the H5N1 virus, points out Taej Mundkur of Wetlands International. Moreover, before reaching Maharashtra, wild birds would have had to stop at various places further north in India as well as in neighbouring Pakistan, Bhutan, and Nepal. Yet no deaths of wild birds or poultry as a result of the virus were reported from places along the birds' migratory route prior to the outbreaks in Maharashtra, he pointed out.

The Government had checked and ruled out various routes for the H5N1 virus to have entered the country, such as through smuggled poultry, contaminated feed or poor quality vaccines, according to S.K. Bandyopadhyay, the Union Government's Animal Husbandry Commissioner. But it had not been possible to rule out wild birds and the findings of the Bhopal laboratory lent support to that view.

However, in order to establish that wild birds were indeed responsible, it was necessary that the same or very similar viral strains to those found in infected poultry also be isolated from wild bird samples in India, Dr. Bandyopadhyay told The Hindu . That had not been possible.

Even at the global level, unravelling the role of wild birds in the spread of H5N1 is not proving easy. Laboratory experiments show that certain wild ducks, if they became infected, would be capable of transmitting the virus. But healthy migratory birds that are actually carrying the virulent H5N1 virus have been difficult to find. More than 45,000 wild birds were tested between October 2005 and January 2006 in countries of the European Union, and not one had the virus. The virus has been detected only among dead and moribund wild birds in Europe.

Does that mean that migratory birds only act as carriers of the virus after they pick it up from infected poultry or other wild birds at an earlier stage in their journey? Or are some species of wild water fowl now able to act as `reservoirs' of the virulent H5N1, as they do with low-virulence forms of bird flu?

There was poor understanding of the H5N1 virus' presence in various wild bird populations, lamented Juan Lubroth, who heads FAO's infectious diseases group, when he addressed a scientific conference in May this year. The virus had been documented too frequently in dead wild birds — and too little in healthy wild bird populations, he pointed out. Limited financial resources, lack of local expertise to carry out such investigations, and the logistics of taking samples from wildlife had constrained the surveillance that was necessary of bird flu viruses in wild birds, he remarked.

Moreover, hitching a ride with wild birds is only one of the ways by which the virus is able to spread. "FAO considers that globalisation and international trade are definitely the main factors in the spread of the virus from one country or region to another, and that wild birds play only a partial role in this," said the organisation's deputy directory-general, David Harcharik, at the May conference.

Comment : FYI only. These human cases are coming from somewhere. And the domestic fowl are being infected by wild fowl. Whether duck soup or bird feces in the water supply - let's hope it does not escalate.

1) the constant drone of "don't worry about subtypes of Avian which are no threat - and literally riddle our poultry for human consumption and are ignored, can they be trusted?
2) That we have a lot of brilliant clairvoyant geneticists whose predictions about a quantum jump in virulence that just "can't happen" in certain strains and is "highly unlikely" is great news. Is it true - and how likely it is - does it matter when the disease continues to spread?

They certainly seem to think so.

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Thanks Medclinician, great post with many helpful links.
 
Question: with regard to The Pandemic of 1918 and H1N1 -- was this virus contracted from wild fowl or domesticated birds?
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I found this article from the University of Maryland on avian influenza and wild birds. 
 
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Originally posted by argyll argyll wrote:

Thanks Medclinician, great post with many helpful links.
 
Question: with regard to The Pandemic of 1918 and H1N1 -- was this virus contracted from wild fowl or domesticated birds?


First, I may have posted this before. It is like Avian 101a. It gets a bit med techie but it is quite a read. Be sure you set aside some time before tackling this one.

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/content/influenza/panflu/biofacts/panflu.html


Answer: As you know, there is a debate as to where Case 0 of the 1918 originated. For one, it was most likely anywhere but Spain, and this would make tracking the source of of Case 0 (which has been the work of many scientists over years) a little iffy.

CDC says :

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/qa/1918flupandemic.htm


Scientists from "the Land Down Under" say :

http://www.abc.net.au/science/news/health/HealthRepublish_1609346.htm


Recombination in mammals?
Taubenberger argues the 1918 virus came directly from birds without combining with viruses in other animals first.

But Gibbs says the family trees show the 1918 virus evolved from a virus that had already been in mammals for some time.

He says the fact that you get a different family tree depending on the virus gene used to construct it supports the idea that the 1918 virus was a result of virus recombination in animals like pigs, horses or cats.

Gibbs also says the virus may have been in humans 50 or 60 years before the pandemic, as suggested by studies showing some elderly people had immunity to the 1918 flu.

He suspects it is a coincidence that the 1918 and bird flu viruses Taubenberger studied were so similar, citing a phenomenon known as parallel evolution.

"Wings have evolved in insects, birds, mammals and reptiles," he says. "But they haven't evolved from a common ancestor with wings. They've evolved wings independently.

"This happens in flu as well. In fact it's probably very common in flu but not well understood."


Focus on birds
Gibbs says Taubenberger's linking of bird flu and the 1918 pandemic increased alarm about bird flu.

"[But] the notion that the threat from influenzas only comes from birds is actually quite wrong," he says.

"There is a reasonable chance that the next pandemic may come from an influenza virus which is already in people or in pigs or in some other mammal," he says.

Gibbs says it is important to know what really happened in the 1918 pandemic because it was one of the most serious disease outbreaks in history.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TCharley300 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2006 at 8:54am
This might be of a little help. My mom is 86. Her dad caught the 1918 flu and almost died from the high fever. He had purchased surplus blankets from the ending of World War I.  To mom's knowledge, my grandfather had not been exposed to humans that were sick that she was aware of.  The only thng out of the ordinary were the blankets. She remembers her mother telling her about it because at the time, my grandmother was pregnant with my mom.  My grandmother did not become ill.  If nothing else, it might be a little piece of interesting history to ponder on.  He caught it in April of 1918 
TCharley 300
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Medclinician,

I have read part of the CIDRAP report and you are right -- it is Avian101. This really piqued my interest: is it true that both H5 and H7 are both HPAI? (and both unique to Pandemics)? Are they the only two HPAI types in existence today?

If this is true, should we be worried about the Virginia case of H7 that ooccured in 2002? Was biosecurity up-to-par with regard to this case? Thanks very much, Argyll.

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Originally posted by argyll argyll wrote:

Medclinician,

I have read part of the CIDRAP report and you are right -- it is Avian101. This really piqued my interest: is it true that both H5 and H7 are both HPAI? (and both unique to Pandemics)? Are they the only two HPAI types in existence today?

If this is true, should we be worried about the Virginia case of H7 that ooccured in 2002? Was biosecurity up-to-par with regard to this case? Thanks very much, Argyll.



Yes, so far according to my research H7 can be bad as well and has jumped to humans. Since it is not the big H5 it tends to get pushed aside in terms of screening.  Despite minor points, if people die from it, it is pathogenic.

Slide show time. This is good stuff. Well, depressing, but informative.
(note last slide are plastic lawn flamingos- don't know why author included this slide )

http://web1.msue.msu.edu/poultry/poultry/Avian%20Influenza%20May%202006/Avian%20Influenza%20May2006.pdf
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Thanks Medclinician. That was a pretty informative slide show. I used to be an Industrial Rep and sold quite a few Tyvek suits and well as 3M 8511 masks.  I can only imagine the number the governement must go through for each visit to a poultry farm. I never could have imagined them being used for this type of situation. I keep going back to the Shenadoah Valley incident -- mind boggling. It's a little unsettling -- I live in Virginia. And, I used to buy chickens that may have come from this area.
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TCharley300,
 
I found this on military surplus. Hope this is of some interest.
 
 
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MedClinician,
 
I have been thinking about the 2002 Virginia case and had another question. As far as I can tell ( I pursued some google research), I couldn't find a single report on the H7N2 from Virginia in 2002.( I typed in Virginia avian influenza). Was there a media blackout on this? I know it was somewhat close to the West Virginia border, did you ever hear anything about this? I am a religous newspaper reader (have been for many years-- due to my college background), and I don't recall a story being covered. Big question: was the Virginia case LPAI or HPAI? If the 4 million birds were put down, I am surprised the public did not hear about it. There must be nearly 200 chicken farms in Virginia, so I am surprised the story didn't circulate, especially after the Governor compensated chicken owners for their losses. Thanks again for your patience -- I have many questions -- I am curious about the all of the pieces to the puzzle. Thanks for bringing the stories and the links to all of the forum readers.
 
Note: On a drive last night, I did see three dead ducks that surround a man made lake near my home. These are canadian geese. I just noticed it, not sure if it means anything.
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Originally posted by TCharley300 TCharley300 wrote:

This might be of a little help. My mom is 86. Her dad caught the 1918 flu and almost died from the high fever. He had purchased surplus blankets from the ending of World War I.  To mom's knowledge, my grandfather had not been exposed to humans that were sick that she was aware of.  The only thng out of the ordinary were the blankets. She remembers her mother telling her about it because at the time, my grandmother was pregnant with my mom.  My grandmother did not become ill.  If nothing else, it might be a little piece of interesting history to ponder on.  He caught it in April of 1918 


First, I'm glad your grandfather did not die from the flu. Secondly, and it may sound odd, this kind of data, is extremely useful in sorting things out. When I can, even in this age of global internet, I would prefer to either go to the physical site of the outbreak or talk to doctors and health professionals who are taking care of the patients. Within the limits of privacy, one can only have so much access to personal medical data, general data without names is often disclosed.

The blankets part is similiar to the old Indian smallpox situation.  One primary hypothesis, the concentration of soldiers in the U.S. could have used those blankets which were not properly burnt and carried virus.
If you will remember in the Black Plague burning everything was imperative, even to a culture who had no concept of germs as we know them. This (just opinion here, but based on a lot of history) type of transfer - similiar to Zaire Ebola - liquid and tactile and then oral or eye can be effective enough to wipe out whole villages.

Thank you for the info. It is very possible that the new Pandemic may mimic patterns which made the H1N1 1918 2.5% killer follow simliar paths. I have noted a few posters, and there are a lot of sharp ones, talking about patterns. Well, sometimes we need to become uneducated without all the medical and virology tech, and step back and just look at the situation and look for patterns. Something like the "Beautiful Mind" thing with cracking the German encryption codes.

We have a puzzle here. Probably, if there are enough survivors, someone can, as in a beautiful piece of music (ever had some explain in detail why a classic piece of music was beautiful) show us slides and flow charts, but we may not have time for all that.

If it stays wet (non-airborne and highly contagious) we may be talking an AIDS type Pandemic where not a lot of people %wise die. However, Bubonic was also (just checked this) airborne and we still are going to have to really be careful about touching and the 3 foot large droplet distance.

Thanks for sharing the data with all of us.
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Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK. neil.ferguson@imperial.ac.uk

Development of strategies for mitigating the severity of a new influenza pandemic is now a top global public health priority. Influenza prevention and containment strategies can be considered under the broad categories of antiviral, vaccine and non-pharmaceutical (case isolation, household quarantine, school or workplace closure, restrictions on travel) measures. Mathematical models are powerful tools for exploring this complex landscape of intervention strategies and quantifying the potential costs and benefits of different options. Here we use a large-scale epidemic simulation to examine intervention options should initial containment of a novel influenza outbreak fail, using Great Britain and the United States as examples. We find that border restrictions and/or internal travel restrictions are unlikely to delay spread by more than 2-3 weeks unless more than 99% effective. School closure during the peak of a pandemic can reduce peak attack rates by up to 40%, but has little impact on overall attack rates, whereas case isolation or household quarantine could have a significant impact, if feasible. Treatment of clinical cases can reduce transmission, but only if antivirals are given within a day of symptoms starting. Given enough drugs for 50% of the population, household-based prophylaxis coupled with reactive school closure could reduce clinical attack rates by 40-50%. More widespread prophylaxis would be even more logistically challenging but might reduce attack rates by over 75%. Vaccine stockpiled in advance of a pandemic could significantly reduce attack rates even if of low efficacy. Estimates of policy effectiveness will change if the characteristics of a future pandemic strain differ substantially from those seen in past pandemics.

PMID: 16642006 [PubMed - in process]

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Jul 25 2006 06:31:58

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2006 at 7:42am
Originally posted by argyll argyll wrote:

MedClinician,
 
I have been thinking about the 2002 Virginia case and had another question. As far as I can tell ( I pursued some google research), I couldn't find a single report on the H7N2 from Virginia in 2002.( I typed in Virginia avian influenza). Was there a media blackout on this? I know it was somewhat close to the West Virginia border, did you ever hear anything about this? I am a religous newspaper reader (have been for many years-- due to my college background), and I don't recall a story being covered. Big question: was the Virginia case LPAI or HPAI? If the 4 million birds were put down, I am surprised the public did not hear about it. There must be nearly 200 chicken farms in Virginia, so I am surprised the story didn't circulate, especially after the Governor compensated chicken owners for their losses.


First, I am searching back trying to find where I referenced this incident or if it is referenced in one of the doc links I put up. Probably data on a link.
first guess is from source aka CDC

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/avian/gen-info/avian-flu-humans.htm

  • H7N2, Virginia, 2002: Following an outbreak of H7N2 among poultry in the Shenandoah Valley poultry production area, one person was found to have serologic evidence of infection with H7N2.
comment : pretty subtle - human transference - no comment on illness

WIKI:

H7N2 is a subtype of the species Influenza A virus (sometimes called bird flu virus). One person in New York in 2003 and one person in Virginia in 2002 were found to have serologic evidence of infection with H7N2. Both fully recovered.

The CDC reports:

In February 2004, an outbreak of low pathogenic avian influena (LPAI) A (H7N2) was reported on 2 chicken farms in Delaware and in four live bird markets in New Jersey supplied by the farms. In March 2004, surveillance samples from a flock of chickens in Maryland[1] tested positive for LPAI H7N2. It is likely that this was the same strain.

A CDC study following the 2002 outbreaks of H7N2 in commercial poultry farms in western Virginia concluded:

An important factor contributing to rapid early spread of AI virus infection among commercial poultry farms during this outbreak was disposal of dead birds via rendering off-farm. Because of the highly infectious nature of AI virus and the devastating economic impact of outbreaks, poultry farmers should consider carcass disposal techniques that do not require off-farm movement, such as burial, composting, or incineration

http://www.uga.edu/scwds/topic_index/2002/LowPathogenicityAIinVirginia.pdf

SCWDS Briefs, July 2002, 18.2




Turkey

(LOW PATH - no one get excited here and this was 2002)


Poultry farms in Virginia's Shenandoah Valley are in the grip of an avian influenza outbreak that has led to the culling of more than four million turkeys and chickens and, as of press time in June, showed no sign of letting up.

Since the virus was first detected in a flock of ill breeder turkeys this past March in Rockingham County near the West Virginia border, infections have been reported at farms in neighboring Shenandoah, Augusta, Page, Greene, and Highland counties. An estimated 167 poultry farms are still quarantined, with 18,700 birds scheduled for depopulation on two of them.

Early in the outbreak, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, at the request of the state, dispatched a team of veterinarians, epidemiologists, and logistic staff to assist with depopulation, surveillance, and decontamination. Although a federal emergency has not been declared, members of AVMA/AVMF Veterinary Medical Assistance Team-4 have helped with these efforts.

Poultry is one of Virginia's most valuable agricultural commodities. Virginia is home to more than 1,300 poultry farms. Nationwide, it ranks fourth and eighth in turkey and broiler chicken production, respectively. The poultry industry provides billions of dollars to Virginia's economy and employs more than 12,000 people.

The estimated 950 poultry farms located in the Shenandoah Valley make it the leading poultry-producing region of the state. Rockingham County leads the nation in turkey production with 213 farms. Most of the poultry operations in the valley are family-owned farms that have contracted with such companies as Pilgrim's Pride, Perdue Farms, and Tyson Foods.

The last avian influenza epornitic in Virginia in 1983-1984 cost farmers around two million birds. The current outbreak dwarfs those figures. And with infections discovered in an average of two to three new flocks every day, state officials are too busy trying to contain the virus to even begin assessing the economic toll.

"Unfortunately, we don't have a sense yet that it's hit the peak," said Elaine Lidholm of the Virginia Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services about the outbreak in May. "Right now, everybody is so busy in the trenches that they aren't necessarily sitting down to do the calculations of what this is costing us. It's just too soon to tell."

Governor Mark R. Warner, along with Virginia's congressional delegation, has asked Agriculture Secretary Ann Veneman to initiate a federal indemnification program to aid farmers and companies that have had to destroy thousands of birds.

"That's critical to our recovery here, and we're very hopeful it will be forthcoming," said Hobey Bauhan, president of the Virginia Poultry Federation, a trade association representing the Virginia poultry industry.

Dr. William Sims, state veterinarian with the agriculture and consumer services department, canceled all public sales and poultry shows throughout Virginia indefinitely to halt the spread of the virus. Biosecurity at all the poultry farms has been stepped up considerably. Visits are prohibited unless absolutely necessary.

Numerous avian influenza viruses exist worldwide. The viruses infect chickens, turkeys, pheasants, geese, duck, and a variety of other birds. Some low-pathogenic forms are not very contagious and cause mild disease with little or no mortality. Highly pathogenic strains are highly contagious and result in death. A unique avian influenza strain in Hong Kong infected humans and birds in 1997 (see JAVMA, Feb. 1, 1998, page 331).

The viruses are spread by contact between healthy and infected birds, and through indirect contact with contaminated equipment and materials. Signs of infection include depression, coughing and sneezing, watery eyes, loss of appetite, edema of the head, and decreased egg production.

The low-pathogenic H7N2 avian influenza strain has been identified at the Virginia farms and is not a threat to human health, according to Lidholm.

The number of birds at any given farm varies but can range from 8,000 to 25,000 birds, depending on the type of operation and the number of houses. Commercial turkey farms can reach as high as 40,000 birds.

The types of operations where the avian influenza virus has been detected so far are turkey breeders, commercial turkeys, broilers, broiler breeders, and layers. Turkeys are hit the hardest, with 146 turkey farms affected, compared with 10 broiler, 25 broiler breeder, and one layer operation.

State officials are not sure how the H7N2 strain was introduced to the Shenandoah Valley. Theories range from infected wild birds to ill poultry imported from New York and New Jersey, where the virus is active. There is no indication this latest epornitic started with the breeder turkeys in Rockingham County, however.

Virginia is considered progressive in its surveillance for avian influenza, according to Bauhan of the poultry federation. Flocks are routinely tested for avian influenza prior to slaughter. There is some serologic testing but the majority is done by tracheal swab. A single case of avian influenza was discovered in 1999 and an outbreak was averted.

Now, the agriculture and consumer services department has implemented a mandatory preslaughter testing policy for all breeder birds, commercial turkeys, and broilers, including required testing of any flocks with respiratory signs.

Samples are divided among the USDA's National Veterinary Services Laboratories in Ames, Iowa, and several regional veterinary diagnostic laboratories.

Farms with a flock that tests positive for the virus are quarantined and the poultry company is responsible for destroying the birds within 24 hours. Carbon monoxide is the most common means of euthanasia.

On-farm burial or composting of carcasses is allowed with a permit from the state Department of Environmental Quality. Other accepted disposal methods are incineration and burial at a sanitary landfill. Bauhan says disposal costs alone are already several million dollars.


R. Scott Nolen
Comment : But how accurate is the low path designation? Can we simply say H7N2 in animals or people is low path. Maybe not.

http://www.ntxe-news.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi?archive=5&num=14146

MR. JIM ROGERS:
Good morning. This is Jim Rogers with the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Today we have Dr. Ron DeHaven, deputy administrator for our Veterinary Services Program. Also on the line today we have Dr. Bob Hillman of the Texas Animal Health Commission, Dr. Nancy Cox of the Centers for Disease Control, and Dr. Steve Sundlof of the Food and Drug Administration.

   We're going to have a discussion today about avian influenza as well as a little discussion on BSE and the results of the Secretary's Advisory Committee on Foreign Animal and Poultry Diseases.   SO.....



We know that H5 and H7 viruses can become highly pathogenic even if they start out as a low pathogenic form. And so any time we find an H5 or an H7 they are further classified or further testing is done to classify them as either highly pathogenic or low pathogenic. And again, that pathogenicity relates to their ability to cause disease and mortality in birds.

   Two ways to declare a particular virus highly pathogenic. As I mentioned, one is by international standards that goes on the genetic sequencing of the virus. And it's on that basis that we're declaring this virus recovered in Texas as highly pathogenic.

And I should also mention that the last time we had a highly pathogenic avian influenza virus in the United States was in the 1983-'84 timeframe. It affected commercial poultry in both Pennsylvania and Virginia, and it was a high path H5N2.

Comment : Well, you can read and form your own conclusions. I would note that these subtypes commonly declared low-path have clearly in the past in as little as 6 months mutated to become hiPath and dangerous. Therefore we should keep our eye on other strains besides H5N1.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2006 at 8:04am
MedClinician,
 
As always, thank you for posting this informative post with links. Your comments are always appreciated. Argyll.
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