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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Panasonic Orders Expat Families Home on Concern of

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NeilF View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote NeilF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 2:20pm
Originally posted by wrote:

Wow NeilF, you really want to fight with everyone.  Hmmm.  Reminds me of someone else...
No fighting here... Just trying to put a balanced argument in to this thread...

When you get people saying 'buy supplies in August', implying there will be an outbreak in the follow month(s), you have to wonder if people are gettnig carried away.

Panasonic (of all people) do not have a crystal ball... No stats, or law of averages, imply it is more likely to happen now than before... There is surely no evidence a pandemic is more likely this year than last year... or the year before that? Every time we get a big enough news article, we get a spate of 'here it comes'...

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote roni3470 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 2:58pm
Neil, you are making an assumption equally as much as you are perceiving others to be doing.   You can't be positive that Panasonic does not have some additional information (maybe not a crystal ball) that the rest of us do not have.  We have no way of knowing actually whether this decision by them is precautionary or planned from inside knowledge...so one person guessing it means something is equally as valid as another saying it likely menas nothing.  I can completely see your side and say in concession that it may mean nothing at all.  you are right and we should all be balanced.  But the reason most of us are here is that we do believe it is going to happen at some point, so of course we get more inclined to react in relation to those news articles.  That actually makes perfect sense in keeping with why we are all here....well, at least most of us! LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 3:12pm
hi.... My point was...simply that Panasonic is gearing down...way down.  They like to save face, a social thing...it's ok to say ...we are bringing folks home due to flu fears...instead of....Our Company is crapping out and closing 13 plants in Japan and 14 plants overseas...
makes sense.
 
 
Further...I agree with the CDC... not a lot has changed.. I checked out recent flu blog news there and no red flags.  They do report it is there... as we do...we say..we found... H5
 
 
and then there is this....  (old news)
 
 
Japan Finds Another Case Of Bird Flu In Dead Swan
The latest case is the third in Japan this year. In late April, several swans were found with the H5N1 strain on the shores of Lake Towada.
Japan%20Finds%20Another%20Case%20Of%20Bird%20Flu%20In%20Dead%20Swan
 
 
Author REUTERS
Published: May 10, 2008 09:23h
 
 
Japan has found the H5N1 strain of bird flu in another swan in the northernmost main island of Hokkaido, the prefectural government of Hokkaido said on its website on Saturday.

The case was confirmed from a dead swan found five days ago near Lake Saroma in eastern Hokkaido. On the same day, local authorities had said the same strain of bird flu was found in another swan found dead on April 24 in another area of the island.

The latest case is the third in Japan this year. In late April, several swans were found with the H5N1 strain on the shores of Lake Towada, close to the northern tip of the main island of Honshu.

The livestock hygiene service centre will issue an order for chicken farms within a 30-km (18-mile) radius to disinfect poultry houses, Kyodo news agency said.

No human deaths from the disease have been reported in Japan.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DesertDan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 3:22pm
If your company was having financial trouble wouldn't it make sense to keep the cheaper 3rd world factories in operation?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Michael Wishart Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 4:46pm
There is no current evidence that has come to light to suggest human-to-human transmission of H5N1. You would think such cases would at least be brought to light via independent alerting systems such as ProMED if there were even piotential cases (such as couured between family member in Indonesia a while ago). But currently - nothing. China does have a poor history of officially alerting  about infectious disease outbreakes, including H5N1 infections in birds and humans, but there is nothing to suggest they are covering up anythng more than a H5N1 outbreak in birds (again).
 
No idea why Panasonic have elected to do this, but one thought is that they have some officials who have made some noise about what they see as risks to themselves or families. Certainly there has been no heightening of current alert levels worldwide at this stage. Whilst there is good reason to remain vigilant, I can see no real reason why Panasonic would take this action based on current known variables. We are 'due' (statistically) for a pandemic, but it is not possible to set a date for an event like this. Biologically we have had many potential scenarios for the virus to mutate within human hosts, but it has not yet occurred.  Maybe there are as yet unknown triggers that are required (selective pressures of some kind?) that have not yet been in place.
 
My conclusion: Remain vigilant, but don;t panic. Panic will come later when the pandemic is in full swing. :Smile
 
Cheers
Michael Wishart
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Brisbane, Australia
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 6:59pm
I agree that there is no current evidence that we need be concerned about human to human transmission...but that's...currently.   I do agree with others/ that the Japanese people (Govt.)are wise...... and not known  to freak without good reason.
 
 
this is the only thing I find to show that there is a thought of preparation...just as we are doing.
 
 

Glaxo in Japan, imported INFURU emergency medicine "Tamiflu resistance" in the epidemic (Nikkei,
2 / 2). Tamiflu-resistant H1N1 (A-Russia) are so prevalent.
"Spate of deaths of bird flu warning strengthened China (asahi.com, 1 / 31)
"INFURU new guidelines the ministry to ensure the prevalence of food preparation (Nikkei, 2 / 1)
 
 
............
most here prepare for any danger... ice storms, tornado, hurricane, earthquake etc.
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TipKat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 7:48pm
Hi Albert!  as soon as i opened your email alert about the Panasonic move I searched all over and came upon an article where a WHO official didn't understand why Panosonic made such a move.   The official said he was "perplexed" as to why they (Panasonic) were going to such great lengths to bring home employees when there is no general H2H transmission occuring.  That being said I am wondering even if Panasonic or the Japanese know something wouldn't the WHO also know if there was something there?
 
It just seems to me that the WHO has a responsibility to be better prepared and informed about the potential threat of a pandemic than a electronics manufacturer.  I mean it would look pretty sensless if the first call of a possible pandemic came from a Japanese Electronics company rather than the World Health Organization don't you think?   They could loose credibility couldn't they?  That's why i am thinking if the WHO knew something they would certainly hit the wires before Panasonic no?    
 
Ok and i forgot to get the link regarding the WHO officials comments.  Can post that tomorrow for you.  But still wondering about this one Albert.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Colonel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 8:05pm
Originally posted by jacksdad jacksdad wrote:

... stocking up for an emergency - whether it's natural, manmade or economic - is always a good thing... 

That is what I have been looking for on this thread - and on much of the site. Pandemic Flu is just one of MANY potential threats. Concentrating on one single threat (such as H5N1) can be a big mistake since it can cause you to over-specialize your preps so that other important aspects are ignored. The only good point is that it can serve to make you focus on the need to be prepared.

Think of this forum as a place to learn about one specific threat, but don't base your preparation solely on this threat. If you have a narrow focus on potential threats, then it is too easy to become complacent when it is no longer in the news.

Just my opinion.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote abcdefg Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2009 at 11:40pm
I actually did read in a article today, that Japan did freak out over Sars and some other scare. The article was making fun of the Japanese for doing so again with Bird Flu. Too bad that author of the article did not know and most people in America do not know that we had around fifty cases here in the USA but the news organizations forgot to tell us.
I think there is great merit in watching what other countries do.
My husband has done business with the Japanese, it used be that you were never fired from a Japanese company. That is why their workers were so loyal. I have no idea if that still is the case. If they have no money it may have to be the case. Saving face in the Asian community is very critical to them.  So who knows, perhaps they are using this to bring people home do the honorable thing and pay for them to get home, and then let them go. Honor means a lot there. That is a viable thought.
The other thing is, England said recently that Bird flu could be weaponized, maybe the virus has not changed, but someone in panasonic or Japan got word that some rogue nation has weaponized it.
One reason why I am NOT worried about China at this time, is because they can not hide much during or after their New Year the people literally all travel all around the country. My husband has also done business there. The trains are so crowded that this is the honet to God truth the adults wear a depends type of diaper so that they can stand person to person and go to the bathroom in their pants rather then move. If this virus had gone H2H there would have been massive exposure and the part of the country Gaundong is where most of the American factories are located.  The Chinese government does restrict Internet use, and communication, but they can not and do not, stop Americans from coming and going as they wish. So to get the word out, a maid at a hotel can tell a American, a driver can tell someone, the people still talk amongst each ohter.  I thnk that there have been suspect cases of limited H2H maybe even confirmed there, and I believe when they found the dead birds, considering chicken is a main dish for the New Year celebration, I think the government was scared to death a couple weeks ago. I beieve we have dodged a bullet in China at this time due to no word out the word would have spread even faster then the disease if it were there at this time.
Vietman on the other hand, tends to be the big one for cover up. They fear the loss of American business so much and are so dirt poor, they will never admit it.
Bird Flu, natural  disasters, Terrorism if one does not prepare they are the ones who are nuts.
Mash, read this site, there are preps that cost no money, like saving dryer lint to start a fire. Downloading and copying first aid how to books. Going to the public library and getting information on what plants in your area are edicble.
Dollar stores are a great place to stock up. Saving old soda bottles and using them for water storage. Making sure that the first sign of trouble you fill all containers in your home with water. Salt can be bought for as cheap as .33 cents and salt is often used as currency in a disaster.  Find out how to make a fishing pole out of a tree branch and some fishing line. Locate your nearest lake or water source. Learn how to turn off the electricity in your home, and the water. Guess where a good fallout shelter can be in a pinch? Down a manhole and into the public sewer system, they have ladders to get you down, and  in some neighborhoods you dont have to lift a sewer cap you go thrugh  drain. Pray it does not rain, but if the sirens went off, it is better then nothing, for each turn you make, the radiation your exposed to decreases. Have a bug out bag, with dry sticks and a butane lighter, this is a storm sewer now, not the waste sewer you can start a fire, and you can truly trap and eat cats and rats (ducking from the animal lovers) I guess my point is, I can tell by your reaction you are scared to death, I know I was once. Knowledge will make you less scared and better prepared.  It is not as expensive as you think. Just start.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote NeilF Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2009 at 2:10am
Originally posted by roni3470 roni3470 wrote:

Neil, you are making an assumption equally as much as you are perceiving others to be doing.   You can't be positive that Panasonic does not have some additional information (maybe not a crystal ball) that the rest of us do not have.  We have no way of knowing actually whether this decision by them is precautionary or planned from inside knowledge...so one person guessing it means something is equally as valid as another saying it likely menas nothing.  I can completely see your side and say in concession that it may mean nothing at all.  you are right and we should all be balanced.  But the reason most of us are here is that we do believe it is going to happen at some point, so of course we get more inclined to react in relation to those news articles.  That actually makes perfect sense in keeping with why we are all here....well, at least most of us! LOL


I am making no assumptions at all. I am attempting to take a logical approach to the matter.

We're talking about an electronics company? Not a world health organisation... They make damn good TVs, but I suspect their pandemic knowledge isn't as good as other more dedicated organisations.

Almost certainly we will have another pandemic, but it may be not even happen this side of the century - Contrary to statements in this thread, it is NO more likely to occur in the next 40yrs, just because it hasn't happened in the previous 40yrs... Additionally if/when it does occur it may not be a very virulent strain... Or we may have an vaccine for it by then (Oxford University are making some exciting break-throughs, and in human trial stages).

Yes, of course it's a concern, but basically I don't believe Panasonic are the people to give us news to be worried about. And I certainly don't believe people can say it's anymore likely to occur now/soon, just because it hasn't occured yet.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote coyote Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2009 at 2:58am
Japan has flu plan to block entry, spread of virus - International Herald Tribune

    Japan has flu plan to block entry, spread of virus

    The Associated Press
    Published: February 12, 2009
    TOKYO:

    Japan's plan for any future influenza pandemic calls for shutting down airports, closing schools and organizing mass cremations of the dead in hopes of keeping the virus off its shores or at least containing it.


    The government plan estimates that a new human flu virus could infect a quarter of the Japanese population and force 40 percent of the work force to stay home. It could cause as many as 640,000 deaths in Japan if it were to spread across the country, the Health Ministry said Thursday.

    "It is important to delay as much as possible the virus' entry through measures such as strengthening quarantine to take advantage of the special qualities of our nation as an island nation," it said.

    Flu pandemics break out when a new virus emerges and sweeps through a population without immunity. The deadliest pandemic on record killed an estimated 40 million people starting in 1918.

    While there have been no warnings of increased risk this year, flu fears have been stoked in Japan in the wake of a hit film, "Infected Archipelego," portraying an outbreak that causes death and chaos. The government also held a highly publicized pandemic preparedness drill last month.

    This week, major electronics maker Panasonic Corp. ordered the families of Japanese overseas employees to return home from developing countries that may be at risk, including China, most Asian countries, the Middle East and Africa. The company denied the measure was taken to save money.

    The last influenza pandemic was in 1968, but experts have been closely watching the H5N1 strain of bird flu that has been sweeping poultry flocks worldwide.

    While that virus remains difficult for people to catch — most of the 254 deaths since 2003 have come from contact with sick birds — experts fear it could mutate into a form that easily spreads among humans.

    The World Health Organization has called on countries to develop national plans on how to control the virus should it begin to spread among humans.

    Japan's plan would keep open just four airports and three ports, where a strict quarantine would try to prevent the virus' entry if it emerges overseas. Charter flights would bring healthy Japanese back home, but those infected would be asked stay abroad and foreigners would be restricted from entry.

    If an outbreak occurs in Japan, the government plans to shut down schools and discourage people from going to places where large numbers of people gather, such as concerts and movie theaters, and to cremate bodies of victims within 24 hours.

    The government is now preparing an update of the plan, initially outlined in November, to reflect public feedback that was gathered in recent weeks, Health Minister Yosuke Yamaki said Thursday.
    -

Japan has flu plan to block entry, spread of virus - International Herald Tribune
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote OB1-k-NO-b Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2009 at 5:54am
Vietnam declares bird flu emergency
 
 
HANOI, Vietnam, Feb. 11 (UPI) -- The government of Vietnam has announced emergency measures to prevent the spread of a bird flu
epidemic from poultry to humans.

Thousands of infected birds have been culled since Type A bird flu was discovered in seven provinces, the Vietnam news service VNS reported Wednesday.

The latest province to suffer an outbreak is Bach Ninh where more than 100 ducks found dead on two farms tested positive for the H5N1 virus.

Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung has ordered all government offices and relevant agencies to see that strict prevention measures are implemented to keep the disease from being transmitted to humans.

He also asked that research into development of a vaccine

against the H5N1 strain of the virus be accelerated.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ro2935 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2009 at 10:59am
Originally posted by mashburn20 mashburn20 wrote:

i am scared hlf to deah of td lum hbb think's it's noncense and won't let me stock up on stuf and whave3 kid's age's 6 and 2and 4 month''s i worry tht they could die i can't fid a job so my hubby is our only source of income so im  scared that he could die to should i stock up anyway's mash
 
How about each time you go grocery shopping you buy a couple of extra items that you use every week, if your husband notices, suggest that you want to have extras in so that in November you can have a grocery free shop that month, the money saved can be used for christmas, or what ever you feel is feasabile so that you and your husband are not arguing about excessive amount of food,.
 
Just buy food and over the counter meds that you know you will use, that way there will be no waste, you will find there is a lot of people on this site that are struggling financially, but are creative in prepping, have a look at what people have wrote over the past few years and see what information you can glean that will be useful to your family.
 
At the moment you are in a state of panic, many here myself included have felt like this, breath deeply, take your children for a walk enjoy the day, if you pass the libary borrow a couple of books, first aid and a basic cookery book, make notes, lots of notes, if you have room for a garden grow some food, there are ways of saving money, you just need to be creative.
 
good luck.
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote gsgs12 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2009 at 10:57pm
can someone please help to estimte, what the costs are per person
for the Panasonic repatriating plan ?

assuming, that it were all, as Panasonic says, that cost cutting
ot other economical reasons play no role at all.


just to start....
...it must be thousands per person, right ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2009 at 10:19am
ppl. were not paying attention to men dying in army camps in 1918 even though there was word of it, ppl paid attention when it was too late.  thanks for all the posts, if you want up to the minute birdflu news come here. btw..my influenza culture media changed this year, the media will test for any respiratory illness, any avian flu, and i have an after hours number for suspect bird flu cases.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2009 at 10:30am
MRSA Is on the rise , never saw it in the winter, but seeing lots of it now(2009), 2006 I saw MRSA in the summer, 2007/08- spring + summer.  Of course I am thinking about potential MRSA/FLU co-infections during flu season.  I havent had any positive flu cases yet in our area.  I do wonder if the flu is going to spike late this year???  ie, March?
 
MC:  are you seeing a rise in MRSA this winter where you are?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Johnray1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2009 at 11:20am
norein,I have also ordered many flu test during the last few weeks and all of them have come back negative. I wonder if the flu will even arrive this year. Johnray1
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cap1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 14 2009 at 8:57pm
This certainly brings my attention back to the subject.  Anyone know where they stand on a bf vacine?
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Originally posted by norein norein wrote:

MRSA Is on the rise , never saw it in the winter, but seeing lots of it now(2009), 2006 I saw MRSA in the summer, 2007/08- spring + summer.  Of course I am thinking about potential MRSA/FLU co-infections during flu season.  I havent had any positive flu cases yet in our area.  I do wonder if the flu is going to spike late this year???  ie, March?
 
MC:  are you seeing a rise in MRSA this winter where you are?


In the three hospitals here MRSA is extremely prevalent. One hospital, I won't name is having a bad problem with it and it has gone out into the gyms and general population.  This is an extremely interesting thread so I have been lurking and not posting much.

Medclinician
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mazinn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 8:05am
I agree with the more level heads on this forum like Mary and NeilF.
 
To imply that Panasonic has some sort of "inside information" that no one else has concerning bird flu is odd, to my way of thinking.
 
Unless of course they contacted Edgar Cayce via an ouija board....
 
 Thank God this forum has people like mary and NeilF.  That' s why I stopped coming to this forum a year ago, forgot my username and had to reregister....because there was so much fear mongering on here that it was unbelievable...and anytime someone tried to inject some levelheadedness into the conversations, they got lambasted by those who want to be afraid of imminent doom.
 
To Mary and Neil.... keep trying to inject some calm reasoning into these conversations despite the fact that others talk to  you like your naive because of it....otherwise these people are going to scare themselves silly.
 
And by the way, please don't bother lambasting me because I have a different opinion than most of you.  For one, it doesn't matter to me how much you all want to be scared, but what does matter to me is that I have the RIGHT to voice my opinion and support of Mary and Neil without being treated like I'm a four year old child without a shred of intellect. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 8:42am

I'm not sure why people are mentioning words like, "panic" and "fear".  If I posted something that is scaring people, I apologize.   For me, even if I personally feel that we're over due, I'm not scared or fearful of it,  so I'm not sure why people are interpreting a panic-situation.    Panasonic is not panicking, and nobody here is panicking.  People are simply discussing the latest news like always.  Neil seems a little concerned, but that's the nature of the game.    Now, as far as people predicting and talking about when a Panflu might strike, well, this is a panflu forum so people might want to get used to those sorts of discussions.   I hardly doubt anyone is "afraid" of a Pandemic.    What some of you call  fear mongering, I call discussing the latest events.  Remember the line.... "The truth, you can't handle the truth...."  lol

 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 9:48am
I don't see why we have forums like this and people scouring the internet for indications that a pandemic is starting if we blow off this kind of news out of hand. I agree with Albert. For most of us, this isn't scaremongering, it's people questioning a significant shift in corporate thinking and we're understandably a little concerned that it may have some merit. Given the consequences of missing the first credible signs, I don't see a problem in that. I try to maintain a healthy level of skepticism, but I think there's a danger in being overly suspicious about every little snippet that pops up, because we run the risk of ignoring significant warning signs. I'll be the first to admit that this may well amount to nothing, but as with the Spanish Flu the first indicators that something major has gone H2H will be stuff like this, not announcements from the WHO or the government. At what point do you decide that the little news stories flying in the face of the all too predictable governmental denials may actually represent the start of a pandemic? Remain too skeptical and you'll miss it. Corporations all over the world are downsizing and I have a hard time believing this is just a ploy to hide their true intentions. At the very least I think this is an example of big business finally taking on board what we've been espousing for years now, and that's a good thing. It also raised the profile of BF and prepping, and I see a positive in that too.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DANNYKELLEY Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 2:41pm
Albert ,sometimes i wonder how you can do this without going off on some of these people.
WHAT TO DO????
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Levygoddess Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 2:49pm
He has ALOT of patience...If your afraid or panicking, maybe you shouldnt be on the avian flu forum. I do not trust the govt to tell us the truth ..but I also read and make my own decisions
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 8:10pm
Am I concerned about this article - YES, I AM EXTREMELY CONCERNED
-Do I trust H5N1? NOOOO 
Why? I havent forgotten that:
-60 % of those infected with birdflu DIE
-60 countries endemic with continuing  spread
-over 500 million chickens and ducks have been killed to contain the virus
-History of limited H2H and cluster cases
-NO ONE has any immunity to this virus
-Efforts to resolve the problem are in the works, BUT NOT FAST ENOUGH
-It would take 6-8 months to get the vaccine to the population once they have the panflustrain, pre pandmic vaccines dont have long enough studies.
-Half of our vaccines are made offshore and the countries in which they are made will probably say "we'll make the vaccines for ourselves FIRST. 
-IF/or WHEN the virus that kills 60 % of its victims goes H2H2H2, e.g. transmits easily, Society AS WE KNOW IT will Collapse(and not just financially) 
-The probability of a Pandemic may be low, who knows. Bottom line-  the probability is STILL out there, the virus is still lurking/spreading,  and the impact would be ENORMOUS.
-Panasonic-Five Stars, if this were a  bet, I would bet Panasonic does know more than we do.
-I am on my last nerve with Thumb suckers scared of the truth, that make accusations of fear mongering/scare tactics/ thinking some people want the virus to mutate/or want impending doom. Go back to sleep, baaaahhhh, baaahhhhh, and dont worry, the govt. will let you know if the virus goes pandemic, just like they told us about the economy collapsing 2 years too late
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jessme Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 10:40pm
Originally posted by jacksdad jacksdad wrote:

Albert - I've already started to bulk up my preps after reading that. Bought another 25lbs of beans today and I'll be rotating my medical preps in the next few weeks/months. I think you're right. False alarm or not, we should pay attention to this one. For a major corporation to do this, something's potentially in the pipeline. Just hope they're wrong.
 
What kind of medical preps are you talking about? I am fairly new to this and would like to know what is recommended. I know that masks would probably be up there, but what else?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jessme Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 15 2009 at 11:44pm
Quote England said recently that Bird flu could be weaponized, maybe the virus has not changed, but someone in panasonic or Japan got word that some rogue nation has weaponized it.
 
I can't help but wonder if  those who say we are "more than likely"  to see a boilogical attack in the next few years were thinking of the possibility of weaponizing birdflu.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote roni3470 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2009 at 8:47am
Hey all.  Happy Monday!  I would just like to say that I am not personally in any type of panic.  I didn't come to this website all weekend in fact.  Still, I do believe that we have to keep an eye on changes in corporate thinking (as someone previously stated) and discuss it, investigate it and remind people to have a stockpile of food for this type of event or any other type of event.  It does not mean there is widespread panic, just widespread preparedness....which is WISE...and why we are all here.  Every single one of us on this website that seem to some others to be in a panic, well here is food for thought, we hope your view of the situation is RIGHT.....because we do not want bird flu....so heres to hoping all of us that thought the panasonic news could mean something ARE WRONG!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mazinn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 16 2009 at 8:35pm
Originally posted by DANNYKELLEY DANNYKELLEY wrote:

Albert ,sometimes i wonder how you can do this without going off on some of these people.

That has got to be the most inane statement I've seen on this forum.  For cryin out lound, WHY would he go off on "some of these people" ...meaning me, I assume..... merely because "some of these people" disagree with him?  
 
DANNYKELLEY>>>>GROW UP.  If Albert can't handle opposition or diverse opinions, then you are saying he is  a small minded tyrant whose only purpose on running this forum is to stroke his ego and get donations. You insult Albert with your statement.  THerefore, hopefully, you are not speaking for Albert when making such a STUPID comment, but it sure does say alot about YOU! And what it says IS NOT FLATTERING.  You just told the whole forum that when anyone disagrees with you, you have the urge to "go off" on them. You make yourself sound like a jerk, and more.   Do the words "Sieg Heil" mean anything to you????????? 
 
My point in leaving this forum so long ago is that any opinion that "rocks the boat" is not discussed or tolerated.  Which makes me wonder why. WHY not welcome those who disagree with popular opinion? WHY NOT debate the issues with courtesy, not condescending rudeness????
Anyone who intimidates those with opposing viewpoints with sarcasm while dodging meaningful debates and discussions is nothing more than a coward
 
Is this forum a dictatorship or a democracy?
 
Just wanted to add: thanks jacksdad for the levelheaded reply. I appreciate the lack of condescending tone. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 17 2009 at 7:09am
Originally posted by mazinn mazinn wrote:

Originally posted by DANNYKELLEY DANNYKELLEY wrote:

Albert ,sometimes i wonder how you can do this without going off on some of these people.
 

small minded tyrant
 
Who are you calling small minded?  Wink
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote DANNYKELLEY Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 17 2009 at 2:38pm

What did I say!!!!!!!LOLI have never knocked anyone on this forum.I only wonder how Albert can put up with some of the comments made by others.Guess I pushed someones button. 

WHAT TO DO????
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2009 at 11:42am
    mazinn - you're welcome. It was getting a little contentious in here and I didn't want to add to it if I could help it.
    Jessme - sorry I didn't reply sooner. Haven't been doing much online the past few days. A lot of medical supplies have expiration dates. As was mentioned on another thread recently, some become dangerous after a certain time, while most just start to lose their efficacy. My wife has asthma so I have inhalers stored. They're getting close to expiring so those in particular are being rotated out for new ones.
   Your medical preps should ideally have general items to cover most situations you might encounter and specific ones for your health needs. Your MD might be okay with some extra prescription meds if they're on board with the possibility of a pandemic. In my wife's case she's fortunate that she can use either the prescription albuterol inhalers or over the counter Primatene mist. They both do the job equally well.
   I have bandages, bandaids, trauma dressings, splints, Neosporin (lots), iodine, hydrogen peroxide, rubbing alcohol, antidiarrheal meds, peptobismol, syrup of ipecac, heat/cold pads, OTC cough/cold, lots of mucinex (it clears chest congestion very well), allergy meds, ibuprofen, Tylenol, antifungal creams, antihistamine creams, sleep aids, emergency dental kits, eye drops, calamine lotion, dried potato flakes (a cheap and very effective coagulant), epsom salts, etc. I can't remember everything, but it fills two large rubbermaid containers to the top. From my days as an EMT I even have a full set of cervical collars, and if I had to I could even pull the oxygen bottle off my welding gear and use that for a while (although it wouldn't last more than a few hours) LOL
   Masks are a must in your preps. They can be expensive unless you shop around - I got lucky a while ago and found a shelf full of N95 3M masks on clearance in a local Home Depot that was relocating. I filled a shopping cart (literally - you should have seen the looks I got at the checkout) and got about 100 packs of them at 80% discount. I also have a Dixieline Lumber near here and they sell boxes of N95s (3M again) for about $15. It's an idea to make sure they fit you - they come in different sizes. If it comes to it, I've heard of people using surgical tape to seal them around the edges - any gaps will allow viruses to go around the filter medium. They don't work with beards for the same reason.
   Gloves should be in your preps too (nitrile or vinyl if anyone has a latex allergy) and learn how to remove them properly. It might sound silly, but you can infect yourself taking them off wrong.
   Buy lots of alcohol based hand cleaner - it'll be at a premium in a pandemic. A sick person sneezing/coughing into their hand or blowing their nose infects everything they touch after that. Anyone touching the same things is then at risk from inadvertently transferring the virus from their hands to their mouth or nose. Make sure you have bottles of hand sanitizer you can easily carry with you and use it often, and get the strongest one you can (at least 60% alcohol I think is the recommendation - Purell is 62%, and the stuff we have at work is 70%). Buy some small bottles (the pocket/purse sized ones) and  refill them from the larger pump bottles to save money.
   Hope this helps.
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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mazinn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2009 at 4:07pm
jacksdad,
 
Isn't that a black widow????
 
LOVE the pic..NOT!Dead
 
My adult daughter found one crawling on her last summer at a picnic...... I've not been "normal" when being outdoors since. I think I have widow-phobia  now.  I keep thinking they're everywhere.....Shocked
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2009 at 4:33pm
   They are everywhere here - just this morning I just found a couple of brown widows guarding egg cases under the handle of the trash can when I wheeled it to the street. I did get bitten by one last year and my back was cramping for a day or so, but nothing too serious. You get used to them. A friend of mine in the UK doubted they were as plentiful as I'd claimed, so I took my camera into the back garden and e-mailed pics of the biggest ones I found. They're under all the patio furniture and my kid's outdoor toys, and I'm having to move them constantly when I work on my car as dozens of them have now taken up residence under it since I parked it a few months ago. They don't really worry me as they only bite when they feel threatened or they're being crushed, which is how I think I got bitten - I was moving boxes in the back just before I noticed the bite on my arm. I don't kill even them - I just move them.
   It's a shame they're not worth anything. I'd be rich. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mazinn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 18 2009 at 10:14pm
Oh God...... thanks a bunch......now I'm going to have nightmares.
 
 
A little off topic I know, since this is an avian forum, not an arachnid forum...but did you say BROWN widows??  Are they the same as black widows, poison potency wise?  Because I've talked to quite a few people who got bitten by the black ones and they were in extreme pain and had to be hospitalized and had morphine drips.   
 
Also, are these brown ones the same size as the black ones?
 
I don't know WHY I am having this conversation, I KNOW I'm going to regret it whey I try to go to sleep tonight.... 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2009 at 10:32am


   Yep - same beasties, different color. and they get to be the same size. Biggest black widow I found was living in a junk yard near here and had a body as big as my thumb nail. It could hardly walk it was so heavy - it just dragged itself along. I found the one in the picture out back and it seems to be about average in terms of size (maybe an inch and a half long including the legs). As you can see the colors can vary quite a bit - I've seen them jet black, brown, dappled and almost white. I watched a program on a local channel the other morning about how brown widows came to California and became a native species. That's how I found them under the trash cans - the program mentioned it was a favorite hiding place, and as it was trash day I went out and looked under the handle and found two of them. I guess it depends on the individual as to the effects (and maybe the size of the spider and amount of venom). I'm not sure which variety got me, but I had a large figure 8 mark on my arm where the two bite marks were joined together by red rings around each one. Black widow venom causes cramps in large muscle groups, often the abdomen, but it was my back that was hurting me the most. It lasted until the following night and I had no other symptoms after that, although the cramping was bad while it lasted. I managed to work but it was pretty miserable. To be honest I never thought of going to the doctors. I could have had morphine? Damn...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jacksdad Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2009 at 11:10am
 

   And another one of a couple of black (brown?) widow egg cases I found under my car this morning. I didn't see Mom, but they're very shy. The cases are distinctive with those weird spikes all over them - I wonder how many little 'uns are waiting in there...?
   I know it probably seems strange after being bitten by a black widow, but I didn't have the heart to kill them, so I moved them to a plant near the sidewalk. I figured that it wouldn't make any difference to the eight legged population here anyway, and they do keep the other insects down (think of that next time you kill a spider. Somewhere nearby, hundreds of creepy crawlies are thanking you...)
  Okay. Enough with the spiders before I give people nightmares.

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"Any community that fails to prepare, with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue, will be tragically wrong." Michael Leavitt, HHS Secretary.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2009 at 11:01pm
OMG....Dead
 
I'd rather confront h5n1 rather than those God awful things.
 
Did some net searches and found out that they're having serious infestations down south.  Them southerners are brave folk..... 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mazinn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 20 2009 at 11:04pm
Uh, that was my post above.
 
Guess all this spider talk made me lose my mind and I forgot to log in.Wacko
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote roni3470 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2009 at 5:49am
I was reading on the 1918 flu pandemic and this was something I found interesting:
 
Unaffected locales

In Japan, 257,363 deaths were attributed to influenza by July 1919, giving an estimated 0.425% mortality rate, much lower than nearly all other Asian countries for which data are available. The Japanese government severely restricted maritime travel to and from the home islands when the pandemic struck.

In the Pacific, American Samoa[21] and the French colony of New Caledonia [22] also succeeded in preventing even a single death from influenza through effective quarantines. In Australia, nearly 12,000 perished.[23]

 
Here is the link:
 
Anyway, I found it interesting int he sense that this chain is talking about Japan doing something in a preventative measure and this article talks about thier past preventative efforts.  not saying anything particular though, just wanted to share :)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 25 2009 at 9:55am
Originally posted by roni3470 roni3470 wrote:

I was reading on the 1918 flu pandemic and this was something I found interesting:
 
Unaffected locales

In Japan, 257,363 deaths were attributed to influenza by July 1919, giving an estimated 0.425% mortality rate, much lower than nearly all other Asian countries for which data are available. The Japanese government severely restricted maritime travel to and from the home islands when the pandemic struck.

In the Pacific, American Samoa[21] and the French colony of New Caledonia [22] also succeeded in preventing even a single death from influenza through effective quarantines. In Australia, nearly 12,000 perished.[23]

 
Here is the link:
 
Anyway, I found it interesting int he sense that this chain is talking about Japan doing something in a preventative measure and this article talks about thier past preventative efforts.  not saying anything particular though, just wanted to share :)


Hello Roni. Actually this is good data. The Japanese (not to generalize but lacking a better way to state it) have always been pretty sharp and amazing in taking an area of such size and making it a powerful economy which is world wide competitive.

Healthwise and technology wise, they may not always invent things, and this is changing, they certainly know how to make things more efficient.

It is more efficient to prevent disease than deal with massive infection. It is a wise move to centralize and fortify as opposed to spreading ones self out across the globe if we about to have a Pandemic. And it is noteworthy that during the 1918 Pandemic they fared better.

We are in an incredibly awkward position with the state of the CDC right now. One new leader declined, and by nature of changing administrations, we lost an old and seasoned one. We need to prepare and fortify.

Medclinician
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote roni3470 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 26 2009 at 7:39am
Agreed!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Midas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 12 2009 at 9:25pm

Japan, ASEAN defense officials to meet on Tuesday

Friday 13th March, 03:02 AM JST

TOKYO --

Japan will host the first security meeting for senior defense officials from Japan and 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations member countries next Tuesday to discuss "nontraditional" security issues, the Defense Ministry said Thursday.

The conference, dubbed the "Meeting of Senior Defense Officials on Common Security Challenges in the Asia-Pacific Region," will explore nonmilitary security issues confronting the participating countries, such as natural disasters and bird flu. "Relations between Japan and ASEAN have long centered on the economy. So we hope to move them up to a higher level and start to build confidence from an area that is less likely to meet resistance," a senior ministry official said in a briefing.

 
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