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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Bush: Military Will Be Used vs Civilians

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Thomas Angel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Thomas Angel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 12:07pm

There's substantial mistrust in the Government, and rightly so.  None of us here are stupid, I would even go so far as to say we are the intellectual elite.  The "writing  is on the wall", but a few here need to take off the sunglasses so that they can catch all the details.  Toss offf any preconceived notions that government is benevolent, because it's not, and then take a long look at what the facts are.

The Government should be afraid of the people, not the other way around.  That is not the current state of affairs as can be interpreted by many of the posts here in this forum.  The Government cares not for us, only for the power it has, and for the power it wants to get in the future.

The Post-BF Era will be quite interesting.  Yes, indeeed.

I LIKE SCARY RIDES
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Phaedrus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 12:07pm

First off, greetings everyone. I've been lurking in here for a while now and this topic finally nudged me into registering.

I have no doubt that the military will be used to "maintain order" by whatever means are necessary. Fortunately or not, depending on one's perspective, the manpower doesn't exist to do it nationwide. Those living in major population centers and strategic locations will see an undermanned military presence, the rest of us will be on our own.

This means that if this thing hits and it's as bad as it has the potential to be, many of us here will likely have to shoot someone before it's all over. Unpleasant and I'm not trying to be a misanthropic troll in my first post, but them's the facts as they say.

Further, if it's bad enough that the military is called in and subsequently overwhelmed nationwide then the world will be very different when it all settles. Far from losing our cherished civil liberties, we'll be thrust back to a condition closer to our ancestors and (to muse on politics for a moment) perhaps more in line with what the nation's Founders intended. The government doesn't have the resources now for effective repression in the face of widespread public opposition, after a pandemic they'll be impotent.

If it hits, it's gonna be bad. But afterwards we'll be okay. Constitution firmly intact unless we the People deliberately screw it up.

Memento mori
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 12:18pm
welcome Phaedrus, neat name.  I agree things will go back to normal after.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Phaedrus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 12:30pm

Quote welcome Phaedrus, neat name.  I agree things will go back to normal after.

Thanks for the welcome siameselade.

It seems to me that afterwards, provided the pandemic is mild things could go back to where they are now. . . or they could revert somewhat to earlier forms, more local governance. Afterall, if the entire economy has to be restarted alot of red tape will cease to matter to anyone. Many laws will become moot with no one caring and not enough manpower to enforce them if they did.

I personally think that's a good thing, but if it comes to pass individual opinions of it won't count for much.

 

Memento mori
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExaminedLife Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 12:47pm
Originally posted by Thomas Angel Thomas Angel wrote:

There's substantial mistrust in the Government, and rightly so.  None of us here are stupid, I would even go so far as to say we are the intellectual elite.  The "writing  is on the wall", but a few here need to take off the sunglasses so that they can catch all the details.  Toss offf any preconceived notions that government is benevolent, because it's not, and then take a long look at what the facts are.

The Government should be afraid of the people, not the other way around.  That is not the current state of affairs as can be interpreted by many of the posts here in this forum.  The Government cares not for us, only for the power it has, and for the power it wants to get in the future.

The Post-BF Era will be quite interesting.  Yes, indeeed.

 

Good post, and I wholeheartedly agree (they don't always go hand-in-hand; I also like posts that disagree with me every now and then ).

 

Phaedrus - welcome aboard.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 12:50pm

Welcome Phaedrus!  Love the name... wanted to name a girl (that I never had) Phaedra.  Also wanted to name my son Jedadiah, he's ever so grateful that I was over-ruled.

I look forward to your future contributions since your first were of great interest.

SZ

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Doreen View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Doreen Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 1:31pm

Hey guys, remember all the screaming that the military wasn't FAST enough in helping out with Katrina?  How many wanted to pile on Bush because the inept Federal government wasn't responsive enough to the victims of Katrina? 

http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/12666834.htm

Why would you think that a pandemic would require less??

Blessings,
Doreen
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Phaedrus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 1:41pm
Quote Why would you think that a pandemic would require less??

It's not a question of what's required but what's possible. In the case of Katrina, and while there were plenty of FUBAR's, the Feds can't really be expected to respond much faster than a couple days. That's what state and local government is for.

In a nationwide or global pandemic, forget it. Unless you live next to something important help ain't comin'.

And for the people that live in one of the areas that would get a military presence, all they'll be is another group of guys with guns and insufficient supplies. They'll conduct themselves well (probably) and do what they're ordered to do to help (which may be directly contradictory to what an individual wants done to them) but in the end any faith in the federal government to take care of this in the short-term is misplaced. They may be able to develop and distribute a cure or vaccine in several months time, but in the meantime help from on high will be scarce and wholly inadequate.

Memento mori
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote calendula Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 1:53pm
Bird flu could hit Americas within a year -UN aide
08 Mar 2006 21:22:24 GMT
Source: Reuters
By Irwin Arieff

UNITED NATIONS, March 8 (Reuters) - Bird flu, already spreading across Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, is expected to jump across the Atlantic Ocean to the Americas within a year, a senior U.N. official said on Wednesday.

"It is certainly within the next six to 12 months. And who knows, we've been wrong on other things, it could be earlier," said Dr. David Nabarro, coordinator of the U.N. drive to contain the pandemic in birds and prepare for its possible jump to humans.

He predicted the leap across the Atlantic Ocean would take place in two stages, carried in the next few months by wild birds flying from West Africa to the Arctic region, and then brought southward to North and South America six months later.

"I just think that every country in the world now needs to have its veterinary services on high alert for H5N1, to try to make sure that they don't get caught unawares and find that it gets into their poultry populations without knowing," Nabarro told a news conference at U.N. headquarters.

"And I will bet you that many countries in the Western Hemisphere are doing just that," he added.
I am not here to reason, I am here to create"
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Doreen View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Doreen Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 1:54pm

Sorry Phaedrus - I guess my post was unclear.

I was responding to those who are freaking out that the military would be assisting with the pandemic...

My point is pretty much that by that point - military help would be more than welcome by most.  However, I agree with you - the sad fact is that a pandemic that overwhelmed local & state first responders would probably overwhelm the federal government too.

We have to be prepared to fend for ourselves.  Unfortunately, we know that many will not be.

And they will be the ones sceaming the hardest for federal aid...

Blessings,
Doreen
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote calendula Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 1:56pm
The excerpt from Dr. Nabarro and his opinion about when the bird flu will hit here, he is sure 6 to 12 months.... but then states, could be sooner, leads me to believe it is here already.
I am not here to reason, I am here to create"
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Fiddlerdave Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 4:15pm

My view of government response is it won't be an "evil" response.  But the reponse will be geared to supporting and protecting the interests and property of the well connected and powerful.

Katrina was only a regional disaster.  But notice:

People sitting on rooftops and in know buildings in large numbers.  Response 2 days after Levees break:  "Really? Didn't know that! Well, We'll get to it when we can.  Can't say when."

Old disabled people drowning by the inch for 5 days, on a cel phone, location known, known to be alive and drowning.  Response:  "We'll get to it when we can.  Can't say when."

Ofetn exagerated reports of looting stores starts coming in:  "Scramble the multi-state National guard units and fly them in with orders to shoot to kill."  These troops often had no more than their own personal water or supplies (which they would give away) but carried little more than weapons and ammunition to help people desparately needing food water or medicine.  These supplies remained stockpiled 60 miles away.

The priorities are obvious.  This tells me what to expect.

 

Dave
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote outsidethecamp Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2006 at 5:00pm
For whatever it's worth...

Alfred W. Crosby, in speaking about what went wrong during the 1918 influenza pandemic in his book, "America's Forgotten Pandemic"  puts it this way...


"The govt. was suddenly called upon to do a job for which it had been created in theory, but for which it had never been prepared in reality." 

The govt. failed the U.S.A., miserably then, & most probably will now as well.

I believe that we're dealing with a very similar situation at this time, only the strengh of the virus we're facing will be magnified significantly.

Govt...lots of good ideas on paper, but not a lot of truth/action in reality.

What I've decided to do is take the advice of Michael Levitt... take care of my own & don't rely on the govt. to come to our rescue.

If some of you who read this want to wait on the govt. to come to your rescue, so be it.
Please, just don't say you weren't warned.

God help us all...
Peggy in MN


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mini-mouse Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 4:22am
EXCELLANT! EXCELLANT Posts! Boy, you guys are the" intellectual elite" as ThomasAngel states - I feel fortunate to being hanging out among you. Bravo, Great Minds!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bruss01 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 6:37am
Originally posted by Doreen Doreen wrote:

Sorry Phaedrus - I guess my post was unclear.

I was responding to those who are freaking out that the military would be assisting with the pandemic...

My point is pretty much that by that point - military help would be more than welcome by most.  However, I agree with you - the sad fact is that a pandemic that overwhelmed local & state first responders would probably overwhelm the federal government too.

We have to be prepared to fend for ourselves.  Unfortunately, we know that many will not be.

And they will be the ones sceaming the hardest for federal aid...

Doreen - I agree with you that some large-scale efforts will be needed if a serious pandemic occurs.  People will need food, water, medical help, security.

Do I think the best ones to dispense that help are 19 year old's with assault rifles trained to destroy the enemy on the battlefield, who pay more attention to their orders than whether their "orders" are even legal or constitutional?  Who may see my defensive firearms as a "threat" and my preps as a "hoarde" to be confiscated and redistributed for the common good?  I'm not sure of the answer to that question, but even asking it makes my hackles rise.

It might work out ok, it might be a disaster.  The problem is, once we let the genie out of the bottle, good luck getting it back in.  Pandora was told not to open that box for a good reason.  Natural disasters and epidemics have always been a fact of life.  Posse Comitatus is around for a good reason, and it raises my suspicions that someone feels the need to do away with it now.  BF is just a convenient excuse, and Katrina (possibly) a deliberately engineered or deliberately bungled disaster designed to break down public resistance to doing away with Posse Comitatus.  The same way other events are being used to convince us to let our government write our civil rights on tp and flush them down the commode - "for our own good", of course.

 

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Originally posted by bruss01 bruss01 wrote:

[

Doreen - I agree with you that some large-scale efforts will be needed if a serious pandemic occurs.  People will need food, water, medical help, security.

Do I think the best ones to dispense that help are 19 year old's with assault rifles trained to destroy the enemy on the battlefield, who pay more attention to their orders than whether their "orders" are even legal or constitutional?  Who may see my defensive firearms as a "threat" and my preps as a "hoarde" to be confiscated and redistributed for the common good?  I'm not sure of the answer to that question, but even asking it makes my hackles rise.

It might work out ok, it might be a disaster.  The problem is, once we let the genie out of the bottle, good luck getting it back in.  Pandora was told not to open that box for a good reason.  Natural disasters and epidemics have always been a fact of life.  Posse Comitatus is around for a good reason, and it raises my suspicions that someone feels the need to do away with it now.  BF is just a convenient excuse, and Katrina (possibly) a deliberately engineered or deliberately bungled disaster designed to break down public resistance to doing away with Posse Comitatus.  The same way other events are being used to convince us to let our government write our civil rights on tp and flush them down the commode - "for our own good", of course.

 



I can't possibly say it as well.

Exactly my fears, and for exactly the same reasons.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 6:46am
It was well known that the 1918 efforts were quickly forgotten and not told
in your history books. A time to forget, both the death toll and the inaction
of the federal government.

I think the WTO and WHO and possibly UN are making the right noises now
but when the chips are down it comes right back to the individual country's
own government both local and national. In the UK we are just a tiny speck
in relation to the North Americas but I bet the chaos is going to be just as
bad.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote endman Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 6:52am

Government mum amid salmonella outbreak
CDC: Public not alerted in 2004 despite 31 reports of poisoning

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The government declined to alert the public about suspect ground beef or request a recall after a 2004 salmonella outbreak that sickened at least 31 people nationwide, according to a report by the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The report, made public Wednesday by food safety advocates, said the Agriculture Department traced illnesses in nine states -- Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Tennessee and Wisconsin -- and Washington, D.C., to a national supermarket chain and a single meat processing plant.

The department decided no action was needed because the plant was following federal guidelines. The CDC did not name the plant or supermarket chain. A separate report from the Minnesota Department of Health referred to the chain as a member-only warehouse.

Unlike E. coli and listeria, salmonella in raw meat is not an "adulterant" under federal guidelines. That is because people are expected to cook raw meat before they eat it, and cooking kills salmonella.

Many of those who fell ill said they ate undercooked ground beef or tasted the beef while cooking it.

Department spokesman Steven Cohen said officials did a full investigation and were prepared to act on any problems at the plant. "We didn't find problems," Cohen said.

That's not much comfort for people who got sick, said Carol Tucker Foreman, director of food policy for Consumer Federation of America.

"Nobody died, but 31 people ... got sick from eating this product, and I can tell you, not one of them thought that it was their best day on earth," Foreman said. "This is not just a bellyache."

Salmonella is a bacteria that causes diarrhea, fever and abdominal cramps and in some cases requires hospitalization.

It can be deadly unless infected people are treated right away with antibiotics. Of the estimated 1.4 million cases of salmonella each year in the United States, about 400 people die, according to CDC.

Foreman and other food safety advocates called attention Wednesday to the report on the outbreak that was issued by CDC late last month. They said the department could have taken steps to prevent more people from getting sick but chose not to.

"They never announced this outbreak," said Donna Rosenbaum of Safe Tables Our Priority. "I would guess there are a number of cases of this that could have been avoided. It ran from August to October, so this was in people's refrigerators and in their freezers."

She noted that many cases of food poisoning go unreported; CDC estimates there are 39 cases of unreported illness for every one case that is reported.

While the department lacks legal authority to recall meat, it can ask companies to do recalls. No company has ever refused a recall request.

The department has issued alerts involving salmonella before. For example, a news release last year said that several salmonella infections in the Midwest were linked to stuffed and breaded frozen chicken entrees. The announcement pointed out the food needed to be fully cooked to be safe.

Alerts have also been issued about drug-resistant forms of the salmonella bacteria.

"Although salmonella is not considered an adulterant in raw ground beef, we do a great deal of outreach to help consumers understand how to handle and cook their meat and poultry to avoid chances of becoming ill," Cohen said.

Copyright 2006 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

 

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"Doreen - I agree with you that some large-scale efforts will be needed if a serious pandemic occurs.  People will need food, water, medical help, security.

Do I think the best ones to dispense that help are 19 year old's with assault rifles trained to destroy the enemy on the battlefield, who pay more attention to their orders than whether their "orders" are even legal or constitutional?  Who may see my defensive firearms as a "threat" and my preps as a "hoarde" to be confiscated and redistributed for the common good?  I'm not sure of the answer to that question, but even asking it makes my hackles rise.

It might work out ok, it might be a disaster.  The problem is, once we let the genie out of the bottle, good luck getting it back in.  Pandora was told not to open that box for a good reason.  Natural disasters and epidemics have always been a fact of life.  Posse Comitatus is around for a good reason, and it raises my suspicions that someone feels the need to do away with it now.  BF is just a convenient excuse, and Katrina (possibly) a deliberately engineered or deliberately bungled disaster designed to break down public resistance to doing away with Posse Comitatus.  The same way other events are being used to convince us to let our government write our civil rights on tp and flush them down the commode - "for our own good", of course."

****************

Wow - take a big breath.  Release.  Breathe again.

Now, I posted a news article from September which indicated how people were upset that there was not military intervention earlier to help out the victims of Katrina.  And they were very happy with the young men and women who serve in the military when they got there - I heard no reports that the military did anything but help.  

Those young servicemen and servicewomen are trained that illegal orders are not to be followed and are held to a higher standard in military law than civil law.  I know, because I have two sons in the military.  I think you have no clue as to the make-up of those who serve in the US military.  Why would you think they would be unable to distinguish between the battlefield and disaster aid? Do you remember that the US military helping with the tsunami and the earthquake in Pakistan?  Any problems with the US military there?  Hmmm?  Then why would they treat their own countrymen worse?

You know, my brother lives just outside of NO - guess what - there are no military there now(haven't been for awhile); he never had the military or any other authorities try to take either his guns or food.  No big surprise either.

As a matter of fact - he has water and power and can go to the stores and restock as need be. 

And guess what else - even though some consider that KKKarl Rove to be an 'evil genius'- he still does not have control over hurricanes and the mutations of viruses that occur in migrating birds.  No person is that powerful - nor any government.  Keep your tinfoil in your preps - not as a hat - you'll need it.  I do know the government is looking at many alternative ways to distribute food and medical supplies - but I know that I cannot count on any government to provide for me in the case of an overwhelming event like a pandemic- so I prep.

Disasters are called disasters because they upset the normal flow of life.  Wise people prepare as best they can.  Don't waste your energy fretting about unreasonable things - that you would have no control over if it did occur.  Focus on what you can do to prepare.

I just hope my sons are close by when the TSHTF.

Blessings,
Doreen
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Phaedrus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 9:42am

Quote Now, I posted a news article from September which indicated how people were upset that there was not military intervention earlier to help out the victims of Katrina.  And they were very happy with the young men and women who serve in the military when they got there - I heard no reports that the military did anything but help.

That's a good point and I for one certainly wouldn't dispute. I'm sure that any military intervention during a BF pandemic would be greatly appreciated by the majority of the hapless populace.

I'd be buggin' out to avoid being disarmed and sent to a shelter, but for most folks the prospect would start looking real good.

From my reading of Bruss' post I think his concern is that every time we reinforce that precedent we imperil ourselves. If the country descends into chaos the vast bulk of the population will be clamoring for any help and the military will do what little it can to provide it on that scale. But those in charge will demand a certain amount of risk management, it won't just be soldiers going door to soor handing out food with a smile. They won't be "evil" at all, but the (remnants of) civil rights we're accustomed too won't exist either.

And a large population of people grateful for the government telling them what to do and giving them stuff is not a recipe for a free nation. It doesn't mean that there's some evil mastermind pulling the strings to create a dictatorship, but power accruing to the top is simply the nature of the beast. Whatever the case, I'll rely on myself rather than the ability and good intentions of others.

Kind of a moot point anyway, in a pandemic the military won't have the manpower to give aid or oppress regardless of the intentions of those giving the orders.

Memento mori
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Doreen Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 10:33am

I think we are in agreement on most of the points you bring up, Phaedrus.

I think the military will mostly be used to block off roads into and our of flu hot spots.  There are not enough of them to go house to house bringing food and medical supplies.  I'm sure that they will be passing that out at certain central points, and will need to keep order there.

One plus for being in the city (only).  If you are in the country - you won't see squat for help - except your own family and neighbors.

BTW - here is the DoD Avian Flu website:

http://www.deploymentlink.osd.mil/medical/medical_issues/imm un/avian_flu.shtml

Blessings,
Doreen
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote 7Strong Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 10:46am
I have told my kids that live in cities that I want them to come out to the country (where I live) before it gets too bad.  I am sure that things will be much worse in cities and I have learned much about prepping for all of you.  I have an orchard and gardens so have lots of fruit and veggies and a hand pump well.  I am sure we will be fine here.  I think things will quickly deteriorate in towns and cities.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote 7Strong Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 10:51am
sorry...  learned lot about prepping from all of you. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2006 at 7:47pm

Phaedrus, welcome aboard. Let me put in my 2 cents worth. When we ealk about the govt. as this entity we forget that it's made up of people. A lot of our experiences will vary from region to region depending on the local commander, whether civilian or military. We saw what happened in No as soon as General Honore arrived on the scene.

Unfortunately, the current command structure is based on following the book, nice and safe, and not about field expediency and get the mission done.

Clearly, our available millitary force is too small to quarantine even one state, never mind a number or most of our big cities. The best we can hope for, that they can block off the highways and being able to escort food and medical delivery trucks.

The first wave of the BF is supposed to last from 6-12 weeks as it works its way thru a region, so for that time at least, we need to be able to hunker down and stay "off the radar", so to speak.  

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