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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

WHO: B.F. Studies `Urgently’ Needed

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    Posted: March 17 2006 at 9:19pm


Bird Flu Studies `Urgently' Needed to Test Tamiflu, WHO Says

March 18 (Bloomberg) -- More studies are ``urgently'' needed to
determine how bird flu patients can be best treated with oseltamivir, the
antiviral drug marketed by Roche Holding AG as Tamiflu, the World Health
Organization said.

Tamiflu is approved to treat seasonal flu. No direct clinical trial evidence
shows the medicine is effective in treating people infected with the lethal
H5N1 avian influenza virus because no such studies have been
conducted, the Geneva- based United Nations health agency said
yesterday.

``Because the optimal dosage has not been resolved by clinical trials,
and because H5N1 infections continue to have a high mortality rate,
prospective studies are needed urgently to determine optimal dosing and
duration of treatment,'' the WHO said in a statement on its Web site.

The WHO and governments around the world are stockpiling Tamiflu for
use as a prophylactic against any potential influenza pandemic. The
medicine is also one of several drugs being used to treat patients with
H5N1, which health officials worry may mutate into a form that's more
contagious to humans.

Since 2003, H5N1 has killed at least 98 of 177 people infected, the WHO
said on March 13.

There is limited evidence suggesting that some oseltamivir can reduce the
duration of viral replication and improve prospects of survival, provided it
is given within 48 hours following symptom onset, according to the
WHO's fact sheet on avian flu, published on the Internet. Prior to an H5N1
outbreak in Turkey earlier this year, most patients were detected and
treated late in the course of illness, it said.

Turkish Data

Roche said last week it has data from 21 patients in Turkey who took the
drug after being infected with H5N1. Four of the patients were given the
drug ``very, very late'' and died, David Reddy, head of Roche's pandemic
task force, said. The remaining patients recovered and were discharged
from the hospital.

``The evidence for effectiveness of oseltamivir in human H5N1 disease is
based on virological data from in vitro, animal models, and limited human
studies and extrapolation from the results of trials in patients with
ordinary human influenza, '' the WHO said.

Optimal treatment of H5N1 cases using oseltamivir may be different than
recommended for seasonal flu, the WHO said in the statement yesterday.
For seasonal flu, it is recommended that adults take 75 milligrams of
oseltamivir twice a day for five days.

In H5N1 cases, it is possible that severely ill patients might benefit from
taking the medicine for seven to 10 days or given as much as 300
milligrams a day, the WHO said, adding that ``prospective studies are
required.''

Higher Doses

Gastrointestinal side effects in particular may increase with higher doses,
particularly above 300 milligrams a day, the WHO said. There is no
adequate data on the use of oseltamivir in pregnant women, it said.

``Animal toxicology studies do not indicate direct or indirect harmful
effects with respect to pregnancy or fetal development,'' the WHO said.
``Decisions to use oseltamivir in pregnant women should be made on a
case by case basis where the potential benefit to the mother justifies the
potential risk to the fetus.''

Basel, Switzerland-based Roche said on March 16 it will use 15 partners,
including Sanofi-Aventis SA and Clariant AG, to increase production of
Tamiflu by 33 percent by year's end.

Based on the current manufacturing capacity, it will take a decade to
produce enough oseltamivir to treat a fifth of the world's population,
according to the WHO.


To contact the reporter on this story:
Jason Gale in Singapore at j.gale@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: March 17, 2006 23:14 EST

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