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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

M. Lipsitch: Using Celebrities to Est. Incidence
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BabyCat View Drop Down
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    Posted: March 11 2020 at 5:03pm

https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237869774782091267 

#BackOfTheEnvelopeEpidemiology with 

. No one famous has #COVID19 #coronavirus yet. Therefore US incidence is below 1 case / 2000 people.
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BabyCat View Drop Down
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Points: 15175 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BabyCat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 11 2020 at 6:27pm

Holy crap! Tom Hanks and wife Rita Wilson tested positive in Australia! I swear I didn't know that before I posted this.
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Glupa View Drop Down
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Points: 1030 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Glupa Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 11 2020 at 6:56pm

I’m just gonna go ahead and say it. Based on all the evidence BabyCat is psychic. 
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BeachMama View Drop Down
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Originally posted by Glupa Glupa wrote:

I’m just gonna go ahead and say it. Based on all the evidence BabyCat is psychic. 

Word!!!!! 
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BabyCat View Drop Down
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Points: 15175 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BabyCat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 11 2020 at 10:32pm

Haha. I'm more and more convinced we are living in a simulation.

I read a lot, obsessively so. 

The Wuhan 400 reference in a Dean Kuntz 1981 novel. 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8075853/amp/Dean-Koontzs-1981-thriller-deadly-virus-Wuhan-bestseller.html
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Glupa View Drop Down
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Points: 1030 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Glupa Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 11 2020 at 11:14pm

I’ve read Koontz quite a bit but skipped a lot of his early stuff because it often involved children in horrible situations and outcomes. 

I still go back and read the odd Thomas series once every year or two. Odd is one cool dude.
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Technophobe View Drop Down
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Points: 88450 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 12 2020 at 3:53am

Odd Thomas is my Daughter's favourite  character.  She loves the whole series.

My favourite is watchers.


So hello all my fellow AFT members.  Thank you all for: "watching against the dark!"
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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