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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

When is the time to prep for the 2nd wave - Event Date: March 03 2020 - June 02 2021
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Usk View Drop Down
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    Posted: March 28 2020 at 4:11pm

When and what should we prep for 2 nd wave?
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Technophobe View Drop Down
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I don't know there will be a second wave.  I don't know if this is already second or third wave.  I don't know how long we need to SIP for this one.

More questions?   Blubble wubble wubble.....     


Sorry Mate!  No clue.
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Usk View Drop Down
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Dr Fauci said today this is first wave. He thinks we should be prepared to enter a second wave in August. I guess I try in June to resupply items I am low on
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/as-china-virus-cases-near-zero-experts-warn-of-second-wave
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I haven’t dipped into our longer term stores, however families attitudes is we need to just “use up” what we have, they were thoroughly freaked out 10-14 days ago...I’m thinking of more of just rotating and stashing back more as I have been doing quietly, albeit hard to hide from everyone. If my own family’s beginning to have amnesia of how they felt just two weeks ago, how quickly everyone else will also stopping putting back a little extra as well. I expect this will give rise to a new generation of “preppers” and a whole new camp of those dismissing the severity of this. It’s a strange world. I want this over but I also do not trust it to not make mutation and catch everyone “with their pants down” 
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Originally posted by Technophobe Technophobe wrote:

I don't know there will be a second wave.  I don't know if this is already second or third wave.  I don't know how long we need to SIP for this one.

More questions?   Blubble wubble wubble.....     

Sorry Mate!  No clue.

This.

There might not be a second/third wave if enough people get it and we develop a nice herd immunity situation. 

I have heard wild tales of covid not being able to survive above 80 degrees f outside the body. Don't know how much I buy into that. 

The thing that really strikes me is the amount of people coming down with the "Influenza like illness" that even I caught. If not for the overreaction to the covid19 situation I am pretty sure that with how many people are getting it, IT would be the illness making news right now. 

That said, it is good to be out and about again. I drove to Flying Cloud airport last night, knocked out an inspection this morning, and will be on my way back to OK tomorrow!
Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there are other views. - William F. Buckley
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I think it may be very difficult to prep for a second wave, since we haven't even made it through the first, and supplies are difficult to obtain.  If there is something you need, I would order it soon.  It could take months for many products to come back in stock.  Then, you still may have shipping delays.  I don't think i have ever had lost packages until the last two months.  Now, it happens regularly.
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I would expect imported items to start disappearing from the shops...so if they are important for you then try and stock up now (although some items like fresh oranges will not last too long).
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That's BS about covid-19 not being able to survive in temps above 80 outside the body. It was 92 here one day last week and several days of mid 80's. Oklahoma. We're doubling in numbers every couple of days. 
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Originally posted by Technophobe Technophobe wrote:

I don't know there will be a second wave.  I don't know if this is already second or third wave.  I don't know how long we need to SIP for this one.

More questions?   Blubble wubble wubble.....     


Sorry Mate!  No clue.

I guarantee that there will be multiple waves until and unless we develop an effective vaccine, or until 100% of the world population develops immunity from exposure (unlikely).   The pandemic waxes and wanes in different regions, and not everyone is infected at the same time, so there is always a host population of susceptible patients for the virus to infect.  

Trust me, I'm working with the best minds on this one.   Dr. Marc Lipsitch is one, read some of his comments here (this is from a little while ago, his predictions are valid):

https://www.forbes.com/sites/toddhixon/2020/03/12/get-ready-to-live-with-covid-19/#480387124782

·     The Atlantic article cites growing belief among epidemiologists that COVID-19 will be similar to the seasonal flu: it will re-emerge annually in the winter and the virus will evolve sufficiently fast that people will not be able to develop long-lasting immunity.

·     And, it argues that development of a vaccine is likely to take 12 to 18 months, with further time required to scale up dose production and administer the vaccine. This assumes development will occur far faster than is typical. Corona viruses like influenza viruses are based on a single strand of RNA. This viral class has a propensity to mutate, requiring constant development of new vaccines, as with the flu.
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